the globalisation of swedish marriage fields thomas niedomysl*, john Östh** and maarten van ham***...

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The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University, Sweden ***University of St Andrews, UK

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Page 1: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields

Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham***

*Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden**Uppsala University, Sweden

***University of St Andrews, UK

Page 2: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

Points of departure

• Marriage fields – the geographical area where people meet to partner – traditionally tend to be relatively small and local Bossard (1932); Coleman and Haskey (1986); Bozon and Heran (1989)

• Increasing levels of Globalisation: global connectivity, integration and interdependence in all spheres of society Harvey (1989); Amin and Thrift (1997); Appadurai (1996); Dicken et al. (1997); Held (2000)

Does this lead to a Globalisation of Marriage fields?

Page 3: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

Aim

Explore whether a globalisation of marriage fields can be said to exist

Special attention paid to:

A) Geographical differences (countries of origin)

B) Demographical differences (sex and age)

C) Socio-economic differences (education)

Page 4: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

Theoretical background

Theories of intermarriages between natives and foreigners (Klein 2001)

A. Opportunity structures/structural factorssize of the group of foreign groups of society

the proportion of male and female in the foreign groups of society

other subdivisions of the marriage market

B. Cultural factors

C. Individual factors

Theories of marriages (Kalmijn 1998)A. Preferences of marriage candidates

socioeconomic resources

cultural resources

preferences and homogamy

B. Third partiesgroup identification

group sanctions

C. Marriage marketsThe logic of numbers

The geography of groups

Local marriage markets

Page 5: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

Case study of Sweden

Two reasons why Sweden is a particularly well suited country for exploring the existence of a globalisation of marriage fields:

1) Unique longitudinal population dataDatabase that covers all immigrants to Sweden 1990-2004 containing various geographic-, demographic and socioeconomic information about each individual, with possibilities to link data for families

2) One of the worlds most globalised countriesAccording to Dreher (2002) Sweden has been in the top three of the worlds most globalised countries for the last thirty years or so

Page 6: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

Some background data

Immigrants who married or cohabit with a SwedeN = 43 862 (9 %)

Globalisation

Number of immigrants to Sweden 1990-2004

N = 485473

Same country of origin/cultural backgroundN = 3 694 (9 %)

Different country of origin/cultural backgroundN = 40 168 (91 %)

We only look at immigrants who marry a native Swede whose parents were born in Sweden (thus excluding all “culture marriages”)

Page 7: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

Immigration to Sweden 1990-2004

1990 N = 32713 2004 N = 38376 Increase by 17 %

Globalisation?0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Immigrants

3%

5%7%

22%

25%10%

10%

1%

18%

Page 8: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

19

90

19

91

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92

19

93

19

94

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95

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99

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20

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Year

To

tal n

um

be

rs

Nordic countriesWestern Europe Eastern Europe AfricaMiddle eastSoutheast and other AsiaNorth AmericaSouth AmericaAustralia and Pacific

Immigration to Sweden 1990-2004

Page 9: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

”Immigrant partners” to Sweden 1990-2004

8%

9%7%

10%

20%16%

18%

2%

12%

1990 N = 2519 2004 N = 3449 Increase by 37 %

Globalisation…?0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

N married immigrants to Sweden

Total immigrants Married immigrantsNordic countries 18% 12%Western Europe 10% 16%Eastern Europe 25% 20%Africa 7% 7%Middle east 22% 10%Southeast and other Asia 10% 18%North America 3% 8%South America 5% 9%Australia and Pacific 1% 2%

100% 100%

Page 10: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

19

90

19

91

19

92

19

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94

19

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19

96

19

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19

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19

99

20

00

20

01

20

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03

20

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Year

To

tal n

um

be

rs

Nordic countriesWestern Europe Eastern Europe AfricaMiddle eastSoutheast and other AsiaNorth AmericaSouth AmericaAustralia and Pacific

”Immigrant partners” to Sweden 1990-2004

Page 11: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

”Immigrant partners” men and women 1990-2004

11%

7%

9%

19%

11%

24%

4%

3%

12%

Men marryingnative Swedish

women

6%

10%

5%

9%

11%

2%

26%

29%

1%

Women marryingnative Swedish

men

Page 12: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

”Immigrant partners” to Sweden 1990-2004Nordic countries

0

50

100

150

200

250

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

women to Swedish men

men to Swedish women

Western Europe

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

women to Swedish men

men to Swedish women

Eastern Europe

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

women to Swedish men

men to Swedish women

Africa

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

women to Swedish men

men to Swedish women

Middle east

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

women to Swedish men

men to Swedish women

Southeast and other Asia

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

women to Swedish men

men to Swedish women

Page 13: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

”Immigrant partners” to Sweden 1990-2004South America

0

50

100

150

200

250

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

women to Swedish men

men to Swedish women

North America

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

women to Swedish men

men to Swedish women

Australia and Pacific

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

women to Swedish men

men to Swedish women

World

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Total

women to Swedish men

men to Swedish women

Page 14: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

Comparing age structures for men and women from different types of regions

Swedish men (left) marrying Swedish women (right) (mean age diff 0 years, median diff 1 year).

Swedish women (right) marrying men from high income country (left) (mean age diff -1.7 years, median diff 0 years).

Swedish men (left) marrying women from high income country (right) (mean age diff 2.7 years, median diff 2 years).

Swedish men (left) marrying women from low income country (right) (mean age diff 11.0 years, median diff 9 years).

Swedish women (right) marrying men from low income country (left) (mean age diff -1.4 years, median diff 0 years).

Immigrantfrom high incomecountry

Immigrantfrom low incomecountry

Immigrant men Immigrant women

Note: country divisions according to the World Bank

Page 15: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

Age differences per region between immigrant men and

women marrying a Swede, 2004.

Swedish men marrying women from Swedish woman marrying man from Mean age diff. Median age diff. Mean age diff Median age diff. Sweden 0.0 years 1 year 0.0 years 1 year Nordic countries 2.7 years 2 years 2.1 years 2 years Western Europe 3.8 years 3 years 1.9 years 2 years Eastern Europe 9.5 years 8 years - 0.4 years 1 year Mid and northern Africa 13.0 years 11 years -2.4 years -1 years Northern Africa and Mid. East 4.6 years 4 years -2.0 years 0 years Southeast and other Asia 11.2 years 10 years -0.1 years 3 years North America 1.2 years 1 years 2.8 years 2 years South America 6.7 years 4 years -0.3 years 0 years Australia and the Pacific 0.0 years 1 years 1.4 years 1 years

Page 16: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

Educational levels per region among immigrant men and women marrying a Swede, 2004. %ages.

Swedish men marrying immigrant women with Compulsary school Upper secondary school Post-secondary, tertiary Nordic countries 8% 41% 50% 99% Western Europe 13% 39% 48% 100% Eastern Europe 11% 27% 62% 100% Mid and South Africa 20% 39% 41% 100% Northern Africa and Middle East 26% 51% 23% 100% Southeast and other Asia 36% 18% 45% 99% North America 5% 30% 65% 100% South America 8% 36% 56% 100% Australia and the Pacific 2% 41% 56% 99%

Swedish woman marrying immigrant man with Compulsary school Upper secondary school Post-secondary, tertiary

Nordic countries 11% 37% 43% 101% Western Europe 10% 32% 59% 101% Eastern Europe 20% 45% 35% 100% Mid and South Africa 14% 40% 46% 100% Northern Africa and Middle East 24% 35% 41% 100% Southeast and other Asia 20% 54% 27% 101% North America 4% 31% 65% 100% South America 11% 43% 46% 100% Australia and the Pacific 8% 32% 61% 101%

Page 17: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

Educational levels per country type among immigrant men and women marrying a Swede, 2004. %ages.

Swedish men marrying immigrant women with Compulsary school Upper secondary school Post-secondary, tertiary Low income country 14% 23% 63% 100% Middle income country 26% 18% 56% 100% High income country 15% 43% 42% 100%

Swedish woman marrying immigrant man with Compulsary school Upper secondary school Post-secondary, tertiary

Low income country 16% 33% 51% 100% Middle income country 22% 31% 47% 100% High income country 15% 44% 41% 100%

Page 18: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

Educational distances between couples, 2004.

Swedish men marrying immigrant women Low income country Middle income country High income country Immigrant much more educated 11% 9% 5% Immigrant more educated 25% 30% 25% Equally educated 40% 38% 60% Swede more educated 20% 20% 9% Swede much more educated 4% 4% 1% Swedish women marrying immigrant men Low income country Middle income country High income country Immigrant much more educated 8% 9% 5% Immigrant more educated 28% 30% 29% Equally educated 40% 36% 53% Swede more educated 17% 21% 11% Swede much more educated 7% 5% 1%

Page 19: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

Summary

Total volumes only some support for globalisation…

However, marriage related migration much more support

Volumes are somewhat similar between men and women

Large geographical differences in terms regions of origin

Age differences in particular for Swedish men

Immigrants tend to have a high level of education

Page 20: The Globalisation of Swedish Marriage Fields Thomas Niedomysl*, John Östh** and Maarten van Ham*** *Institute for Futures Studies, Sweden **Uppsala University,

Further research

More in-depth on the characteristics of these couples

What happens to them after arriving to Sweden?

Questions or comments?