the good business of healthier homes - habitat x · 2019-05-16 · the good business of healthier...
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1TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes
JoeMedosch
HealthyBuildingScientist&PartnerDevelopment
[email protected] .com
2TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
• 3+Industriesrepresentedontodayscall• Whyisthisnotthenext“dotcom”businessoportunity• Howtodetermineevidencebasedbestpractices• Startcollectingoccupantdata- HaywardScoreor...usesomething• AttributesvsSymptoms• Analysisofthedata• FeelbetterwhenIleaveorBelievemyhomeisimpactingmyhealth• Occupantsaremorecomplicatedthantheindoorenvironment
Today(next10min)
3TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
• Weatherization- Statefunding/lowincome/healthnotapriority
• Clinical- lowincome/healthisapriority
• Privateormarketrate- directservicetohomeowners
• Utilitybased–- notreadytofundhealthbenefits
• Payforsuccessandotherexpermentalprograms
3+BusinessIndustries
4TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
• Fearofliability- don’twanttouse“Healthy”intheirmarketing[healthier]- beliefthereisaguaranteeinhealthoutcomes
• Don’tunderstandthemarket- comfortvsenergyvshealthier
• Whatisahealthyorhealthier home?- Don’tunderstandtheenviornementoroccupantssensatives
• Easiertotrackperformanceinthehomevsoccupant
• Justdon’twanttoworkwith“challenged”or”sensative”clients
• Clientsarenotdemandingtheservice.Organicfoods$40billionindus.
Businessmodelisstrugelingbecause
5TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
• Evidencebasedbestpractices- data,data,valadate,data,data,valadate,data,moredataanddata- datacomesfromcontractorsandoccupants–- nodatafrom1000’sofhomeimprovementseveryday
• Startcollectingdatanow
• EnergyimprovementsarenotvaladatedbyaskingtheoccupantHowdoyoufeelaboutyourenergyuse?
• Butweask...
AcceptanceofHealthRelatedtoEnvironment
Doyoufeelmorecomfortable?
6TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
• Onlinesurveyatwww.haywardscore.com 70%fromphone
• Average100completedScoresaday
• Score- ratedhomebasedonattributesandbehavors,nosymptoms.
• Allrespondentsareself-selectedandself-reported.
• MajorityareNotacrosssectionofthepopulation.(GoogleAdWords)
• Manysensitiveindividualslookingforsolutions
HaywardScoreis:
- Asthma,COPDorrespiratoryissues.- Chemicallysensitiveindividuals.
- Manyhavehighmoisture,mold.- orchallengedenvironments.
NewdataincludesScoresfromContractorsandPartners
Free asofMay15wehave39,689Scores
7TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15 10
OccupantistheIAQReceptor
8TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15 10
HaywardScoresurvey:Questions
~92TotalQuestions
25– generalphysicalattributesand~149
23– Behavioral...............and~71
9– GeneralConditions........and~28
6– Waterleaks..............and~37
10– Symptoms...............and~40
19– SpecificSymptoms ........and~144
~469possibleanswers
Answers
~40,000Scoresx
9TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15 10
HaywardScoresurvey:
92 TotalQuestions
4 averageanswers
=71,639,296 variablesx40,000 Scores
boatloadofdata
10TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
2,357
2,666
2,107
11TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15 10
HaywardScoreuserssay:• Ithinktheairinmyhomeistoxic- moldorsomethingelse.It'shardto
breatheanditseemstobegettingworse.
• Whenmykidsandgrandkidsvisittheyseemtohavetousetheirinhalersmorefrequentlythantheydoattheirplacesofresidence.
• Afterbasementwasredone,Igotsickwithbreathingissues.
• Becamesickaftertheyputinanewsmartmeter.
• Thereisastrongsourodorwhentheairconditionerison.
• Alwaystiredandgroggyinthehome.
• Weneedtomoveoutofhere.
12TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
Conclusion1
• Sensativeindividualsarenotcrazy!
Imagineifyourlifewasoverwhelmedbytheenviorment
Howintensewouldyoube!
13TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
HaywardScoreSurveyData
• Notbeenvalidated.• Data(symptoms)areselfreported.• Hasabias,muchofourdatacomefromoccupants
- Thathavemoisturedamageorvisiblemold,
- Sensativetotheirenvironment,
- Tryingtodetermineiftheirhomeisimpactingtheirhealth
- Lookingforanswers,“can’tfigureoutwhat’shappeningtome”Couldmyhomebeimpactingmyhealth?
• Nocausality“a doesnotcauseb”• Areassociations“a tob”
14TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
N=13,168 N %
Owner
N=8546
MobileHome 916 7%
Multi-unit 1540 12%
Single-family 6090 46%
Renter
N=4622
MobileHome 415 3%
Multi-unit 1789 14%
Single-family 2418 18%
WetClimate CoolClimate
Owner
MobileHome 86% 18%
Multi-unit 86% 26%
SingleFamily 86% 26%
Renter
MobileHome 85% 17%
Multi-unit 82% 24%
SingleFamily 81% 22%
Sixdifferenttypesofhomes
#People %withPets
Owner
MobileHome 2.7 65%
Multi-unit 2.7 59%
SingleFamily 2.8 61%
Renter
MobileHome 3.0 54%
Multi-unit 2.6 46%
SingleFamily 2.8 55%
Majorityrespondantsare:•Single-family• 2-4peoplewithpets• WetClimate
15TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
Drainageissues
Unpleasantormustyodorsorsmells
Alotofdustonsurfaces
Waterstainsonwallsand/orceilings
Visiblemoldonwallsand/or
ceilings
Eventhoughyoudon’tseeit,doyouthinkyou
havemoldinyourhouse?
Owner
MobileHome 86% 54% 69% 39% 32% 41%
Multi-unit 83% 45% 62% 28% 23% 36%
SingleFamily 83% 46% 63% 28% 23% 34%
Renter
MobileHome 86% 68% 71% 50% 45% 55%
Multi-unit 86% 68% 70% 46% 42% 54%
SingleFamily 83% 69% 69% 45% 41% 56%
GeneralConditions
16TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
PhysicalAttributeStartwith
SymptomHadthis
VisibleMold... ...SoreThroat
SimplifiedDataRegressionOver
AfterVacuuming... ...SkinRashes
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MarketingOddsRatios– Misleading (oversimplified)
StartafterVacuum OddsIncreasedAllergies 3.1Sinus 2.9SleepDisturbance 2.7MoodChanges 2.7FeelingDepressed 2.7CoughingSneezing 2.7FoggyThinking 2.7SkinRashes 2.7StomachDiscomfort 2.6AchingMuscles 2.5SoreThroat 2.5Vertigo 2.5DryEyes 2.4Nausea 2.4ExtremeFatigue 2.3FeelingSick 2.3MemoryLoss 2.3HeartRacing 2.3Headaches2 2.2IncreasedAsthma 2.2NightSweats 2.2Nosebleeds 2.1Headaches1 1.5
VisibleMold OddsMoodChanges 3.7Nausea 3.5FeelingDepressed 3.3StomachDiscomfort 3.2CoughingSneezing 3.1AchingMuscles 3.1FeelingSick 3.1Headaches2 3ExtremeFatigue 3SkinRashes 3SoreThroat 3FoggyThinking 2.8HeartRacing 2.8Sinus 2.7SleepDisturbance 2.7MemoryLoss 2.7Vertigo 2.7IncreasedAllergies 2.5NightSweats 2.4Nosebleeds 2.4IncreasedAsthma 2.2DryEyes 2Headaches1 1.5
SymptomsWorseAfterCooking OddsStomachDiscomfort 4MoodChanges 3.8Nausea 3.7CoughingSneezing 3.4HeartRacing 3.4IncreasedAllergies 3.3FeelingSick 3.3FoggyThinking 3.2SleepDisturbance 3.1FeelingDepressed 3.1Headaches2 3.1ExtremeFatigue 3IncreasedAsthma 3NightSweats 3AchingMuscles 2.9SkinRashes 2.9SoreThroat 2.9MemoryLoss 2.8Vertigo 2.8DryEyes 2.7Sinus 2.5Nosebleeds 2.4Headaches1 1.5
18TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
PhysicalAttributeStartwith
SymptomHadthis
SymptomStartwith
PhysicalAttributeHadthis
VisibleMold... ...SoreThroat
SoreThroat... ...StartofForcedAirsystem
SimplifiedDataRegressionOver
AfterVacuuming... ...SkinRashes
LogisticRegressionAnalysis
Sinus... ...SurfaceDust
19TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
HousingorBehaviorconditions.
Thedarkgreenshadingarebothstatisticallysignificantandmostimpactfullogisticcorrelations.
LogisticRegressionAnalysis
Significantatthe0.002alphalevelandOR>=1.5Significantatthe0.002alphalevelSignificantonlyatthe0.05alphalevel
SurfaceDust
StatH
eat
Odo
rs
Allergy
Chem
icalSen
sitiv
e
ThinkM
old
OtherResp
Humidifiers
SevereLeak2
Carpet
StartCo
oking
Waterstains
Renter
Show
erAlot
Pets
LotsPets
Prob
ableChildren
Asthma
Kitche
n2
q_60
0Highway
Vacuum
3x
Bathroom
WetClim
ate
Crow
d4+
OldCarpe
t
CookG
as
Recirc
q_45
0AirP
urifiers
Vacuum
Rare
PoorM
ainten
ance
Vacuum
1x
BathFan
s
Craw
lspa
ce
DampCrawl
Forced
Air
CookA
lot
Aching 3.54 3.23 3.33 3.18 3.52 3.2 3.52 1 1 1 0 3.29 1 0 1 3.26 2.82 1 3.35 3.18 3.66 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 2.86 3.27 0 0 0
Sleep 3.45 3.35 3.36 3.33 3.27 1 3.19 1 0 1 1 3.23 3.22 3.18 1 1 0 3.17 0 3.18 0 1 0 2.74 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 1
Memory 3.3 3.19 3.27 1 3.73 3.19 3.38 3.32 1 3.2 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 3.21 0 0 2.82 2.78 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
Fatigue 3.62 3.18 3.16 1 3.52 3.21 3.45 1 1 3.16 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 2.83 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
Coughing 3.5 3.82 3.29 3.76 0 1 5.21 0 1 3.19 0 3.21 1 0 0 0 0 3.83 0 1 3.54 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0
MoodChanges 3.52 3.26 3.52 3.19 3.46 3.25 1 0 3.31 1 3.41 3.25 1 3.16 3.32 1 3.2 0 3.25 1 1 3.21 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0
Sick 3.36 3.43 3.2 3.49 0 3.19 3.68 1 3.22 3.31 1 3.31 3.21 3.16 0 0 3.22 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Headaches 3.35 3.51 3.6 3.37 3.39 1 0 0 1 0 1 3.24 3.26 3.22 3.24 1 3.2 1 1 0 3.58 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 0
Headaches2 3.23 3.25 3.37 3.26 0 1 0 3.23 1 0 3.55 1 3.28 3.23 3.31 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1
Vertigo 3.24 3.25 3.31 3.23 3.63 0 3.31 3.3 1 3.21 1 3.21 0 0 1 3.27 2.82 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
FoggyThinking 3.48 1 3.45 1 3.18 3.18 1 3.25 3.22 0 1 0 0 1 3.28 1 0 0 3.26 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Depressed 3.41 0 3.41 3.17 3.39 3.17 3.27 3.23 3.22 1 1 0 1 0 2.35 3.25 0 0 1 3.19 0 3.2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.22 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sinus 3.58 3.75 3.33 4.82 0 3.21 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3.62 0 1 0 2.78 1 1 0 3.47 0 3.6 0 0 0 1 1
Stomach 3.41 3.24 3.41 3.21 3.51 1 1 3.28 3.3 3.17 3.62 3.24 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DryEyes 3.39 3.31 3.22 3.47 3.57 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.74 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
SkinRashes 3.32 3.21 1 3.52 3.66 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 3.3 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 3.3 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
IncreasedAllergy
3.36 3.57 3.24 6.63 3.53 1 0 1 0 3.2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3.27 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.76 0 0 3.31 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Nausea 3.28 3.28 3.38 0 3.34 1 1 3.36 3.28 1 3.45 3.21 3.35 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0
SoreThroat 3.22 3.52 3.4 3.38 1 1 1 0 3.23 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 3.22 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.86 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Palpitations 3.4 3.27 3.31 0 3.62 0 3.31 1 0 0 3.51 3.2 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1
NightSweats 3.45 3.36 3.26 3.25 1 0 0 1 1 0 3.4 0 1 3.22 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 2.8 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Inhalers 3.29 3.26 0 3.31 0 1 6.33 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 9.06 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
Headaches1 3.22 3.24 3.31 3.2 3.24 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 3.31 0 0
Nosebleeds 3.29 3.33 1 3.37 3.29 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.48 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sym
pto
ms
20TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
Thedarkgreenshadingarebothstatisticallysignificantandmostimpactfullogisticcorrelations.
LogisticRegressionAnalysis
Significantatthe0.002alphalevelandOR>=1.5Significantatthe0.002alphalevelSignificantonlyatthe0.05alphalevel
SurfaceDust
StartHe
at
Odo
rs
Allergy
Chem
icalSen
sitive
ThinkM
old
Pets
LotsPets
Asthma
Vacuum
3x
Vacuum
Rare
PoorM
ainten
ance
Vacuum
1x
Coughing 3.5 3.82 3.29 3.76 0 1 0 0 3.83 3.54 1 0 1
Vertigo 3.24 3.25 3.31 3.23 3.63 0 1 3.27 0 0 0 0 0
FoggyThinking 3.48 1 3.45 1 3.18 3.18 3.28 1 0 0 0 0 0
Sinus 3.58 3.75 3.33 4.82 0 3.21 0 0 1 3.62 3.47 0 3.6
DryEyes 3.39 3.31 3.22 3.47 3.57 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SkinRashes 3.32 3.21 1 3.52 3.66 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 0
SoreThroat 3.22 3.52 3.4 3.38 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
Inhalers 3.29 3.26 0 3.31 0 1 1 0 9.06 0 0 0 0
Sym
pto
msHousingorBehaviorconditions.
21TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
SymptomFrequenciesbyFeelBetterWhenLeaveHouse
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
FeelBetterWhenLeave Don'tFeelBetterWhenLeaveN=5014N=2561
Q920Overall,doyoufeelbetterwhenyouleavethehouseonlytofeelworseagainwhenyoureturn?
22TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
ClusterAnalysis– Machinelearning(nobias)TooManyPeople,
TooMuchMoisture
KitchenNightmare Bugs! StinkyPetCarpet ShadyLane That70'sCarpet&Air
Pollution SunnySide KeepingupwiththeJoneses
Proximity Dampness HighSuck PoorAttributes Shady LowInfiltration Sunshine LowProximityDampness Poorchemicalstorage Proximity PoorCarpets Age/Climate HighProximity GoodTreatmentbehavior LowDampnessAttributes Poorcookingbehavior Age/Climate Pet/Vacuum ForcedAirFurnace GoodAttributes NonBelievers GoodAttributes
SevereLeaks Leaks PoorAttributes Goodtreatmentbehavior LowOccupancy PoorCarpets LowConditions LowLeaksPoorMaintenance PoorChemicalStorage AlotofPets PoorChemicalStorage LowSymptoms GoodMaintenanceHighOccupancy ForcedAirFurnace SevereProximity/Suck Sunshine
Occupancy/Shower Leaks PoorVacuumingbehavior NonBelieversTooManyPeople PoorMaintenance Believers LowSymptoms
Believers SeverePests HighConditionsHighConditions OverTreatment HighSymptomsHighSymptoms Believers
HighConditions FeelBetterwhenLeaveAllergies HighSymptoms HighChemicalSensitivityAsthma
OtherRespiratory SleepSick IncreasedAllergies
VeryHighNosebleeds DryEyes DepressionCoughing FatigueAching Aching
FoggythinkingNightsweats
HeartpalpitationsVertigo
23TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
Toomanypeople,too
muchmoisture
KitchenNightmare Bugs StinkyPet
Carpet ShadyLane That70scarpet&airpollution SunnySide Keepingupwith
theJoneses
FeelBetter 52% 46% 60% 43% 39% 61% 24% 28%
Asthma 52% 30% 44% 33% 24% 38% 12% 23%
Allergies 73% 59% 70% 56% 47% 66% 38% 42%
ChemicalSensitivity
20% 17% 23% 14% 12% 25% 4% 8%
OtherRespiratory
27% 19% 29% 19% 15% 25% 8% 12%
ClusterAnalysis– Machinelearning(nobias)
24TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
MadeChanges NoChanges Moved n
Owner 139 62 2 291
Renter 66 39 22 127
n 205 129 21 358
57%MadeChanges
60%OwnersMadeChanges52%RentersMadeChanges
7%Moved
1%OwnersMoved17%RentersMoved
Roughlyhalfoftherespondentstookactionandmadechanges.Ownerswerealittlemorelikelytomakechanges.
PostScoreFollowupSurvey
25TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
ReplacedAirFilters 47%ReplacedVacuums 20%ReducedChemicalExposure 28%FixedLeaks 24%AddedAirPurifiers 24%RemovedMold 21%Other 16%RemovedCarpets 16%DidTesting 17%InstalledExhaustFans 10%CleanedDucts 12%CompletedMaintenance 9%AddedHumidifiers 12%AddedDe-Humidifiers 12%SealedCrawlspace 6%AddedHRV 2%
53% ofFollowuprespondentsindicatedtheymadeachange.Ofthose:
PostScoreFollowupSurvey
26TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
PostScoreFollowupSurveyNon- RespiratorySymptomsImprovedRespiratorySymptomsImproved
Selfreportedimprovedsymptoms
FeelingSick 50%SoreThroat 33%FreqHeadaches 27%InFreq Headaches 21%Depressed 21%Nausea 18%DryEyes 27%ExtremeFatigue 22%NightSweats 15%Vertigo 17%FoggyThinking 15%MoodChanges 14%StomachUpset 17%SleepDisturbance 21%SkinRash 13%HeartRacing 12%Short-termMemoryLoss 5%Nosebleeds 11%AchingMuscles 10%Other 4%
SinusCongestion 62%Coughing 49%IncreasedAllergies 41%TroubleSleeping 33%Other 10%
27TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
LogisticRegressionAnalysis
0
5
10
15
20
25Be
lieveIm
pact
Chem
icalSensitive
Surfa
ceDu
stAllergy
StartHeat
OtherRe
spVacuum
3xStartCoo
king
Smells
Asthma
StartVac2
Prob
ableChildren
Pets
Vacuum
1xVacuum
Rare
SillD
ust
Waterstains
ThinkM
old
NoticeC
ondLaund
Humidifiers
Carpet
SevereLeak2
Renter
Show
erAlot
LongStay
q_600Highway
q_45
0Attic
Kitche
n2LotsPets
Bathroom
Crow
d4+
q_60
0_Indu
stria
lOldCarpet
CookGas
q_60
0Ag
riculture
WetClim
ate
DampC
rawl
PoorM
ainten
ance
q_45
0AirP
urifiers
HEPA
like
CoolClim
ate
ShortStay
BathFans
Woo
dSiding
q_45
0Craw
lspace
q_450Ga
rage
HighlySignificant HighlyImpactful
#o
fSi
gnificantSy
mpto
ms
28TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
ForcedAirHighProximityNewerHouseSteamersorBoilCookingMobileHomeHEPAVisibleMoldCondensationonWallsCookalotOlderHouseDampBasementInSunMultiunitSmallHouse
PerimeterWaterKitchenHoodHighInfiltration*CrawlForcedAirLocationLeakERV/HRVFinishedBasementFireplaceUnfinishedBasementSealedBasementSealedCrawlspaceDirtfloorBasement
Lowornon-significantHousingorBehavioralConditions
LogisticRegressionAnalysis Preliminarydata
29TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
Occupantsaremorecomplexthantheenvironment
30TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
LogisticRegressionAnalysis
# o f S i gn i f i cant Symptoms
0510152025
31TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
Conclusions
• Alltheamazingworkyoudohashealthbenefitswe’renottrackingtheoutcomes!
• We(allofus)arere-creatingbilliondollardata.
• JUSTTRACKtheChanges!
32TheGoodBusinessofHealthierHomes2019-05-15
PrivateContractors
WeatherizationCAPAgencies
BlockGrants
Asthma&LeadPreventiongroups CommunityHealthWorkers
PrivateHealthInsurance