the modular modeling system (mms) and prms tools for the development, application, and analysis of...
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THE MODULAR MODELING SYSTEM (MMS) and PRMS
Tools for the development, application, and analysis of
hydrologic and ecosystem models
Other components and class summary
Forecast Methodologies in MMS
Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (ESP)
Atmospheric Model Outputs Statistical Downscaling
Dynamical Downscaling
MMS ESP ToolAll Computed Traces using 1975 - 1998
MMS ESP ToolManager selected 10, 50, and 90 % probability of occurrence
Developing New or Enhancing Existing
Process-Model Concepts
WETLANDSMODELING
APPROACHES
DEPRESSION STORAGE
ESTIMATION (BY HRU)
USING THE GIS WEASEL
(AREA & VOLUME)
WETLANDS HYDROLOGY (1)
CLOSED WETLAND
STORAGE HRU
FL
OW
GW
P ET
FLOW
OPEN WETLAND
WETLANDS HYDROLOGY (2)
UPLAND
WETLAND
WETLAND
SURFACE RUNOFF
SUBSURFACE FLOW
GW FLOW
UPLAND
P ET
P ET
STORAGE
WETLANDS MODEL
ADD MODULE TO PRMS STRUCTUREwetlands
PRMS, MODFLOW, DAFLOW Unsaturated Zone
Streamflow
Unsaturated Zone Model
(Niswonger and Prudic, 2003, WRR)
PRMS
Remove soil2gw_max
Modified
Applied at HRU scale
Replaced with Modflow
Applied at HRU scale
Modified MMS-PRMS Application
Modflow
ssr2gwr
T, S
PRMS With Multiple HRU/SSRs, and MODFLOW
Surface Runoff
Sub-SurfaceRunoff
Ground WaterRunoff
}Streamflow
HRU/GW Cells
DEM/Branch
Branch/GW Cells
Nodes
Nodes to GW Cells
HRUs to Flowplanes to Nodes
MMS Model & Modules: PRMS/MODFLOW/DAFLOW
MMS model xprms_mf96_daf includes the following modules:
all basic PRMS modules: precipitation, temperature, solar radiation, interception, ET, snowpack, soil moisture, precipitation excess, infiltration, and interflow
mf_ssr2cell: maps recharge from PRMS HRUs to MODFLOW cells
daf_hru2node: maps precipitation excess and interflow to DAFLOW stream nodes
mf96_daf: runs MODFLOW and DAFLOW iterating on stream stage and cell head
mf962prms: maps MODFLOW, DAFLOW and PRMS output variables consistent names and unit for water balance, reports, and plotting
MMS Model & Modules: PRMS/MODFLOW/DAFLOW
Test Basin: Sagehen Creek
Results from MMSPRMS / MODFLOW / DAFLOW
1
2
4
3
Results from MMSPRMS / MODFLOW / DAFLOW
SW to GW Flux
Flux ’97 New Years Flood
Results from MMSPRMS / MODFLOW / DAFLOW
Site 2
Site 1
GW Head
GW Head
Stream Stage
Stream Stage
Results from MMSPRMS / MODFLOW / DAFLOW
GW Head Site 4Stream Stage
Stream Stage GW Head Site 3
Results from MMSPRMS / MODFLOW / DAFLOW
Observed & Predicted Streamflow
Iterations & Convergence
Site 1
Future MMS Development:PRMS / MODFLOW / DAFLOW
MODFLOW / SWAT integration in MMSAdd an unsaturated zone module (replace the
sub-surface modules)Simulate soil moisture / infiltration / gw head
feedback (replace the soil moisture module)Add chemistry / transport modulesAdd ecosystems modules
Water Quality and Ecosystem Components
PRMS_ISO
R_gw
R_ssr
R_sm
R_snpk 18O Pools
R_sm2ssrR_sm2gw
R_smelt
18O Fluxes
R_precip
R_ssr2gw
R_sroff
R_ssflow
R_gwflow
R_strflow
PRMS_ISO
Sleepers River, Vermont
Trout Lake, Wisconsin
Panola Mountain, Georgia
Luquillo, Puerto Rico
Loch Vale, Colorado
WATER, ENERGY, AND BIOGEOCHEMICAL BUDGETS (WEBB) PROGRAM
TOP_PRMS
PRMS
National Weather Service - Hydro17
TOPMODEL
WEBB Program
WEBB Program
Tracers and Flow Paths
Coupled xtop_prms and PHREEQC
Water Quality and Ecosystem Components
• Coupled PRMS and Root Zone Water Quality Model (RZWQM) – ARS, NRCS
• SWAT – MODFLOW modules– Chinese Academy Sciences, Kansas GS
• Vegetation growth and succession modules– WRD, BRD, GD, NMD
• Isotopes– International Atomic Energy Agency
USGS National Water Quality Asssessment Program (NAWQA)
An Objective – Increase the use of models for improving our understanding of the causes and effects of water quality
Recommend - “ NAWQA attempt to merge development in watershed based water quality models with the current Modular Modeling System.”
National Research Council Report (2002) Opportunities to Improve the U.S. Geological Survey National Water Quality Assessment Program
Future Directions
• Framework design
• Additional water quality and ecosystem components
• Expanded DSS capabilities and applications
• Parameter optimization, sensitivity, and uncertainty toolbox
INTEGRATED SYSTEM DEVELOPMENT
Collaborative effort to integrate the Object Modeling System (OMS) and the
Modular Modeling System (MMS)
•US Geological Survey
•Friedrich Schiller University, Jena, Germany
•US Agricultural Research Service (ARS)
•US Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS)
OMS Platform & Extensions
NetBeans Platform
OMS Platform
“Branding”
Netbeans IDE, Sun Forte,…
ModelC
ore
ModelB
uild
er
RZ
WQ
M
PR
MS
Data
base
Java C
om
pile
r
XM
L
Test
ing
C+
+
Oth
er… Extension Modules
OMS Integration and Support
UDDI Registry
Directory of simulation services
OMSCentralSupport
Research Units
DictDict
OMSAppserver
OMS RTOMS RT
OMS RT
OMS Runtime Cluster
ITC
We
b
Fa
rm
Portal DB
Po
rta
l
LighthouseAppServer/
Infrastructure
Data Gateway
ResearchDictionary
OMS Central SupportITC
ProductionDictionary
• OMS Development & Maintenance• OMS Dev Deployment• OMS RT Deployment• Implementation • Training• Peer review, Verification, Approval
• Component development• Science
Field Offices
Model Deployment
ReviewApprovalStagingTesting
Dict
RT Deployment
Development System Deployment
Data warehousePortal technology for Data access Model invocation
E-FOTG
Lighthouse
NRCS RT OMS
Proposed multi-agency
group
Resource InformationConservation Planning
Conservation PracticesResource Setting
E-FOTG Catalog
RUSLE2 WEPS Nutrient Management Pesticide Screening Phosphorus Index
Resource Analysis Tools
Custom User Profile
OMS Deployment at NRCS
NRCS Technical Toolbox
RUSLE2Soil
ClimatePlant
Ortho
Object Modeling System (OMS)
Lighthouse Portal
PS1
Hydrology 1
Crop Growth 1
PS2PS 1
Erosion WindLeaching 1
Hydrology 2
Crop Growth 1a
Hydrology 2
Crop Growth 1
Hydrology 2Hydrology 1Crop Growth 1
PS2
PS 1 Erosion
Leaching 2
Crop Growth 1aWind
Crop Growth 2
Net Present Value
Climate GeneratorCrop Nutrient Uptake
Leaching 1
Data Warehouses
My.NRCS
Smartech (E-FOTG)
Adaptive Parameterization UIDelineation and parameterization of
response units:
U.S. MULTI-AGENCY MEMORANDUM OF UNDERSTANDING
• Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC)
• Army Corp of Engineers (COE)
• US Geological Survey (USGS)
• NOAA
Facilitates cooperation in R&D of multi-media environmental models, frameworks, and databases for use
in human and environmental health risk assessment
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
Department of Energy (DOE)
US Agricultural Research Service (ARS)
Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS)
GIS Data:ESRI ShapefilesESRI GeodatabaseOGC Feature ServerOGC Coverage Server
GIS Processing:ESRI ArcGISOGC Feature ServerOGC Coverage Server
GEOLEM Geographic Feature Business Logic/MetaData
A
P
I
A
P
I
Environmental Model Framework
OMSMMSFramesDIASMIMS
A P I
VisualizationGeoViewerOUIESRI IMS
ModelsSEEMSRZWQMPRMS…
GEOLEM: GeoSpatial Object Library for
Environmental Modeling
Optimization /Sensitivity/ Uncertainty Tool Box
PRMS/MMS Training Class Goals
• Introduce distributed-parameter watershed modeling concepts
• Working knowledge of process-model concepts, formulation, assumptions, and integration
• Proficiency in the use of PRMS
• Working knowledge of selected MMS concepts tools, and techniques
• Familiarity with the concepts of modular design and their development and application in hydrologic and ecosystem modeling
Class Follow-on
• Class was an introduction to a large number of concepts, tools, and techniques. To become proficient need to learn the details.
• Review webb pages (mms & weasel) for updates, enhancements, message board, and modeling tutorials.
• Interact with other modelers. Find a mentor or become a mentor.
• Know model assumptions and limitations before you interpret results.
WRITING MODULES
MODULE STRUCTURE
SOME THINGS WE DID NOT COVER
see the User’s Manual
PRECIPITATION - RUNOFF MODELING PROJECT
OPEN SHOP
CONSULTATION
COLLABORATION
Modeling Overload