the new face of television

163
1 © 2013 DeanDonaldson.com | All Rights Reserved @DeanDonaldson | http://NothingToHide.Us THE NEW FACE OF T E L E V I S I O N A make-over or reconstruction of an industry in motion. @DeanDonaldson

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1© 2013 DeanDonaldson.com | All Rights Reserved

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THENEW

FACEOF

TELEVISION

A make-over orreconstruction ofan industry in motion.

@DeanDonaldson

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8.7BnConnected devices in 2012

Source: Morgan Stanley / Cisco

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(Average 10 devices per person on planet!)

Source: Morgan Stanley / Cisco

75BnConnected devices by 2020

Multifaceted

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m

Adjective:

• Having many sides

• Having many different aspects or features

Progressive

Adaptive

Dynamic

Experiencing it Live

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$4M

100%TV Ads in

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@DeanDonaldson | http://NothingToHide.Ussource: Mashable, USATODAY

~48 million

social interactions

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2015 Global Mobile TV

$264m

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vs

5years ago?

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5years from

now

?

Focus on “video”

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11

OVER 3/4 OF GLOBAL CONSUMERS WATCH ONLINE VIDEO – WHETHER PCs, CONNECTED TVs OR MOBILE

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14Average 65 year old

Years watching videocontent during lifetime

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whatever

whenever

wherever

c

8M13© 2013 DeanDonaldson.com | All Rights Reserved

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14

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14

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TVE 2014

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Largest hindrance to uptake of TV Everywhere

Content Rights

XXII Winter Olympics

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Reduce Friction

Auto Verification capabilitiesRights acquisitions negotiations

Facing Facts

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Progressive

18

TV

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The new broadband population in certain countries prefer PCs over TVs for watching their video content.

19

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“”

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20

Video is everywhere

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5 years10 years

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Internet Traffic will be video by 2014

91%Connected TV

(It made up about 40% in 2012!!)

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Global Shipments

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900m

172mSource: IDC

Global Shipments

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>1bnmobile devices in 2013 alonethat are video enabled

PC Shipments DOWN 13.9%!

Source: IDC

28%

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smartphone owners now own a tablet

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40%all Americans now own a tablet

50%Tablet users watch video content

25

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Tablets overtake PC

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TabletOtherConnected TVSmartPhonePC

Christmas 2013

watch & cook

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Truly Portable TV

63%tablet video is

watched at home

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Truly Portable TV

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9%?!wiping?

swiping?What are you

old newmediatraditional

30

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off onTV | PC

lean back | forwards

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off onTV | PC

lean back | forwards

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media32

mass

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33

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activeengagement

33

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lean back?

34

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lean forwards?

35

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socialinteraction

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History ofInnovation

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Two Views, One TV

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20153DTV

© 2012 Digital Generation Inc. All rights reserved. 45© 2013 DeanDonaldson.com | All Rights Reserved

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© 2012 Digital Generation Inc. All rights reserved. 45© 2013 DeanDonaldson.com | All Rights Reserved

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do you ‘mind’?

46

Screens are Getting Bigger

4KUltra High Definition (UHD)

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47

16xMore resolution than HDTV

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SD

1080p HD

2160p 4K UHD

4320p 8K UHD

8.3 MegaPixels

33.2 MegaPixels

2.1 MegaPixels

TV Comparison Guide

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AU

DIO

VIS

UA

L

1979 2001

2012 2006

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AU

DIO

VIS

UA

L

2014

4K Public Debut

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Most Hi-Tech World Cup

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4K20Mbps streams to R&D

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Most Hi-Def Event?

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ULTRA

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60 FPS

HIGH DEFINITION MULTIMEDIA INTERFACE

120p UHDTV replace PAL / NTSC

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HVEC (High Efficiency Video Coding)

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H.264 AVC

H.265 HEVC

MPEG 2

• MPEG 2 = TV vs H.264 = Online

• H.265 HEVC = ALL Digital (TV, PC & Mobile)

TV

Online

Digital

8K + 4G50% Bit Rate Saving Target

50% Bit Rate Saving Target

ULTRA FEBRUARY 2014

“TV or Live Stream?”Robin Wright – Best Actress in a Drama, Golden Globes

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What is TV?

60

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60

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60

...continuous play@DeanDonaldson | http://NothingToHide.Us

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Cloud content synced to device

Cast Away

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Game Consoles DVD DVR Live TV

Consumption Shift of 1st Screen

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@DeanDonaldson | http://NothingToHide.UsSource: Nielsen

Live TV on slow decline

DVR significantly increasing

Game Console streams overtaking DVD

21%bought a new TV in the last year

Leichtman Research Group

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Leichtman Research Group

38% TVs in US homes are now ‘connected’

(either direct, via BluRay or Game Console)

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US Smart vs Connected TV

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Smart TV Connected TV

2018 58.2% Connected TV

24% Smart TV

2014 26.4%

12.1%2x

Source: 06/14 eMarketer

Evolution

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On your television.Apps.

smart67© 2013 DeanDonaldson.com | All Rights Reserved

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Apps

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Apps 2011 = 30%2015 = 90%

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TV change is App-ening!

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“It’s not just part of the show. It is the show.

It is not a second-screen experience. It is the

experience.”

TV is a geography. A place. A function.

It is not just a box in the corner of the room.

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Face Forward

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Adaptive

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“The television industry … pretty much undermines innovation in

the sector. The only way this is going to change is if you start from

scratch, tear up the box, redesign, and get it to the consumer in a

way that they want to buy it.”

Steve Jobs, All Things Digital Conference, July 2010

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Per year, cable channels theaverage US home receives: 130

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Per year, cable channels theaverage US home watches: 18

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of available channels arenever actually watched...86%

Channel Surfing is

DEAD!

D

per month for huge waste =consumers are ‘cord-cutting’£75

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5:09Average EU Consumer

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Average Digital Native 18-24

3:300:49 web | 0:20 mobile‘cord-shavers’ vs ‘cord-nevers’

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TV76© 2013 DeanDonaldson.com | All Rights Reserved

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Modern Family Viewing

ABC Q4 2011

• 95% watch DVR content within 3 days to keep in sync

• Online viewing is 3x due to missed not free content

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Leichtman Research Group / Deloitte

10%now watch video online weekly

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Leichtman Research Group / Deloitte

9% cut their cable subscription

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Free-to-view

International TV Org, 2010

Over-The-Top (OTT) The delivery of video, via the internet, directly to user(s) connected devices.

ADVERTISING IS THE ONLY ANSWER

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MOBILE

OPERATOR

NETWORKS

1

2

D I R E C T

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MOBILE

OPERATOR

NETWORKS

1

2

D I R E C T

Cost Speed

Complexity

Flexibility ALWAYS ON

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MOBILE

OPERATOR

NETWORKS

1

2

D I R E C T

TRUE Rich MediaExperience

Data Plans80© 2013 DeanDonaldson.com | All Rights Reserved

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2Mbs

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100MbsDownload a HD movie in under 5 mins!!

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1

2

W E B T V

O N L I N E V I D E O

IPTV / TVE

LINEAR BROADCAST MANAGED NETWORK

Terrestrial / Cable

Satellite / Internet

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1

2

Closed Controlled Proprietary

Content PREMIUM

W E B T V

O N L I N E V I D E O

IPTV / TVE

LINEAR BROADCAST MANAGED NETWORK

Terrestrial / Cable

Satellite / Internet

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1

2

W E B T V

O N L I N E V I D E O

IPTV / TVE

LINEAR BROADCAST MANAGED NETWORK

Terrestrial / Cable

Satellite / Internet

Disruptive

Original Programming

$M’s

Unbundle

TVE

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1

2

Exceed Existing

Deals

Distribution Rights

Money Upfront

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1

2

Exceed Existing

Deals

Distribution Rights

Money UpfrontSolid User Base

Own InfrastructureQuad-play Deals

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1

2

Exceed Existing

Deals

Distribution Rights

Money UpfrontSolid User Base

Own InfrastructureQuad-play Deals

LOCK via OS

iTV

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1

2

Exceed Existing

Deals

Distribution Rights

Money UpfrontSolid User Base

Own InfrastructureQuad-play Deals

LOCK via OS

iTV

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Cloud-based TV Service

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Cloud-based TV Service

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Can Sony’s Virtual Cable Servicesucceed where Intel failed?

END!!

Cloud-based TV Service

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Can Sony’s Virtual Cable Servicesucceed where Intel failed?

Everyone wants to do Everything

Creation Aggregation Distribution Consumption

Rights Holders Content Creators

Rights Dealers Program Packagers

Network Operators Access Providers

Device Manufacturers End Users

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Everyone wants to do Everything

Creation Aggregation Distribution Consumption

Rights Holders Content Creators

Rights Dealers Program Packagers

Network Operators Access Providers

Device Manufacturers End Users

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Everyone wants to do Everything

Creation Aggregation Distribution Consumption

Rights Holders Content Creators

Rights Dealers Program Packagers

Network Operators Access Providers

Device Manufacturers End Users

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STREAMING ON A DEVICE NEAR YOU

Co-financing High Profile Shows

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SThe S-Curve of Inventory

Direct Buy

UpfrontPrivate Marketplace, RON

Exchange / Network Buy

Short Form Long Form

Non

-Pre

miu

m

Pr

emiu

m Shortage (Inventory) Surplus

$$$$$$$$$$

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2014: TVE to add $10Bn pa Advertising

NA revenues (content owners)

SUBSCRIPTION

$85Bn

ADVERTISING

$80Bn

SUBSCRIPTION

$1.7Bn

ADVERTISING

$10Bn

SUBSCRIPTION

$??

ADVERTISING

$3.1Bn

Traditional TV TVE Online Video

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TV Advertising TV Subscription TVE MultiChannel

11.3

107.4

Effect of TV Everywhere (TVE) in US $BN

140

1/3

5.3

95.5

10480

85

• TV advertising will grow by $12BN annually

Needham

• Subscription rises 3-5% pa + additional 1-3% via TVE

54%

46%

48.5%

51.5%

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85% Interested in Ad Opportunities

Leichtman Research Group

Connected TV

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Face Off

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Dynamic

the revolutionwill not be televised

92

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the revolutionwill not be televised

92

...it will be social

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2.7hrs socializing per day

x2 we spend eating

93

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It took 50 years for TV to build the audience social media has in five

“”

95

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4.75 Bn Items Shared Daily

1.26 Bn Active users

15.8% Time Online

TV x Twitter

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TV x Twitter

97© 2013 DeanDonaldson.com | All Rights Reserved

@DeanDonaldson | http://NothingToHide.Us Mapping the TV Genome

Quality Engagement&

98

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touchpoints 80%99

Saw product on TV

Searched online

Read reviews

Visited shop

Ordered on mobile

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TV combined with online's targeting and measurement capabilities.

100

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audience measurement

) ) )€$£

accurate

102

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The Programmatic

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Bottom-Feeder

Allergy Across America

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Right Place

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Los  Angeles,  CASacramento,  CA

San  Fran/OaklandSeattle/TacomaCleveland,  OH

Salt  Lake  City,  UTSan  Diego,  CAPhoenix/Tucson

Denver,  COMiami/Ft  Lauderdale

Houston,  TXNew  York

Boston,  MAPortland,  ORChicago,  ILAtlanta,  GAOrlando,  FL

Dallas/Ft  WorthBaltimore/WashingtonMinneapolis/St  Paul

Buffalo/RochesterAlbany,  NY

Tampa/St  PetersburgCharlotte,  NCPittsburgh,  PA

Philadelphia,  PAIndianapolis,  IN

South  CarolinaColumbus,  OH

Grand  Rapids,  MIRoanoke,  VADetroit,  MI

West  Tex/New  MexOmaha,  NE

Raleigh/GreensboroNew  England

St.  Louis,  MONashville,  TN

Kansas  City,  KSCincinnati/DaytonRichmond/Norfolk

New  Orleans/MobileMilwaukee,  WI

ToledoPeoria/Springfield

Hartford/SpringfieldLouisville,  KY

Jacksonville,  FLKnoxville

Birmingham/MontgomHarrisburg/Scranton

Cost-Ineffective Markets

Cost-Effective Markets

Right Time

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Allergy Season Local Media Fixed Local Media Programmatic National Media

Average Spring Season

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

Late Spring Season

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

Early Spring Season

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

Modern Family Viewing

88% use SmartPhone or Tablet whilst watching TV

DAILY

108

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Dual Screen Activities What are Tablet and SmartPhone Users doing whilst watching TV?

109

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25% Consumers go online after seeing TV ad

110

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111

280M

Second Screen

TV Apps downloaded in 2012

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X-RaySecond Screen Content Sync

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content recognition

automatic ACR

113

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FingerPrinting: Header additional to file - can be altered if want

WaterMarking: Ingested within the file - can’t be removed later

Content

AA

ID ContentID

AA-01 AA-02 AA-03 AA-04BB

BB-01 BB-02

00:00 00:04 00:09 00:16 00:22 00:30 00:32 00:44

New Ad New Ad

Update Ad Update Ad Update Ad Update Ad Update Ad Update

TIMELINE

Honda McDonalds

Character 1 Character 2 Character 3 Character 4 Happy Meal Big Mac

ACR in Practice

116

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2-way Comms

AudioVisualWiFi

BlueTooth

NFC

?117

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App

+ 150k

+ 100k

+ 150k

+ 250k

+ 50k

+ 50k

+ 50k

+ 50k

+ 150k

1M+

€$£

128

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Interact

HD Ad

Retarget

5% off

Retarget

10% off

Purchase

129

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130

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Sales Lift Doubles

131

x2Multiscreen video vs pure TV spots

Laurent Faracci, Reckitt Benckiser’s General Manager for Marketing

Wall Street Journal

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Le Fin

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Thanks. Your turn@DeanDonaldson

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