the new face of television
TRANSCRIPT
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THENEW
FACEOF
TELEVISION
A make-over orreconstruction ofan industry in motion.
@DeanDonaldson
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8.7BnConnected devices in 2012
Source: Morgan Stanley / Cisco
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(Average 10 devices per person on planet!)
Source: Morgan Stanley / Cisco
75BnConnected devices by 2020
Multifaceted
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m
Adjective:
• Having many sides
• Having many different aspects or features
Progressive
Adaptive
Dynamic
Experiencing it Live
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$4M
100%TV Ads in
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@DeanDonaldson | http://NothingToHide.Ussource: Mashable, USATODAY
~48 million
social interactions
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2015 Global Mobile TV
$264m
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vs
5years ago?
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5years from
now
?
Focus on “video”
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11
OVER 3/4 OF GLOBAL CONSUMERS WATCH ONLINE VIDEO – WHETHER PCs, CONNECTED TVs OR MOBILE
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14Average 65 year old
Years watching videocontent during lifetime
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whatever
whenever
wherever
c
8M13© 2013 DeanDonaldson.com | All Rights Reserved
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14
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14
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TVE 2014
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Largest hindrance to uptake of TV Everywhere
Content Rights
XXII Winter Olympics
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Reduce Friction
Auto Verification capabilitiesRights acquisitions negotiations
Facing Facts
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Progressive
18
TV
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The new broadband population in certain countries prefer PCs over TVs for watching their video content.
19
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“”
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Video is everywhere
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5 years10 years
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Internet Traffic will be video by 2014
91%Connected TV
(It made up about 40% in 2012!!)
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Global Shipments
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900m
172mSource: IDC
Global Shipments
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>1bnmobile devices in 2013 alonethat are video enabled
PC Shipments DOWN 13.9%!
Source: IDC
28%
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smartphone owners now own a tablet
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40%all Americans now own a tablet
50%Tablet users watch video content
25
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Tablets overtake PC
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TabletOtherConnected TVSmartPhonePC
Christmas 2013
watch & cook
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Truly Portable TV
63%tablet video is
watched at home
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Truly Portable TV
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9%?!wiping?
swiping?What are you
old newmediatraditional
30
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off onTV | PC
lean back | forwards
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off onTV | PC
lean back | forwards
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media32
mass
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activeengagement
33
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lean back?
34
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lean forwards?
35
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socialinteraction
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History ofInnovation
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Two Views, One TV
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20153DTV
© 2012 Digital Generation Inc. All rights reserved. 45© 2013 DeanDonaldson.com | All Rights Reserved
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© 2012 Digital Generation Inc. All rights reserved. 45© 2013 DeanDonaldson.com | All Rights Reserved
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do you ‘mind’?
46
Screens are Getting Bigger
4KUltra High Definition (UHD)
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16xMore resolution than HDTV
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SD
1080p HD
2160p 4K UHD
4320p 8K UHD
8.3 MegaPixels
33.2 MegaPixels
2.1 MegaPixels
TV Comparison Guide
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AU
DIO
VIS
UA
L
1979 2001
2012 2006
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AU
DIO
VIS
UA
L
2014
4K Public Debut
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Most Hi-Tech World Cup
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4K20Mbps streams to R&D
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Most Hi-Def Event?
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ULTRA
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60 FPS
HIGH DEFINITION MULTIMEDIA INTERFACE
120p UHDTV replace PAL / NTSC
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HVEC (High Efficiency Video Coding)
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H.264 AVC
H.265 HEVC
MPEG 2
• MPEG 2 = TV vs H.264 = Online
• H.265 HEVC = ALL Digital (TV, PC & Mobile)
TV
Online
Digital
8K + 4G50% Bit Rate Saving Target
50% Bit Rate Saving Target
ULTRA FEBRUARY 2014
“TV or Live Stream?”Robin Wright – Best Actress in a Drama, Golden Globes
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What is TV?
60
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...continuous play@DeanDonaldson | http://NothingToHide.Us
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Cloud content synced to device
Cast Away
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Game Consoles DVD DVR Live TV
Consumption Shift of 1st Screen
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@DeanDonaldson | http://NothingToHide.UsSource: Nielsen
Live TV on slow decline
DVR significantly increasing
Game Console streams overtaking DVD
21%bought a new TV in the last year
Leichtman Research Group
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Leichtman Research Group
38% TVs in US homes are now ‘connected’
(either direct, via BluRay or Game Console)
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US Smart vs Connected TV
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Smart TV Connected TV
2018 58.2% Connected TV
24% Smart TV
2014 26.4%
12.1%2x
Source: 06/14 eMarketer
Evolution
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On your television.Apps.
smart67© 2013 DeanDonaldson.com | All Rights Reserved
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Apps
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Apps 2011 = 30%2015 = 90%
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TV change is App-ening!
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“It’s not just part of the show. It is the show.
It is not a second-screen experience. It is the
experience.”
TV is a geography. A place. A function.
It is not just a box in the corner of the room.
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Face Forward
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Adaptive
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“The television industry … pretty much undermines innovation in
the sector. The only way this is going to change is if you start from
scratch, tear up the box, redesign, and get it to the consumer in a
way that they want to buy it.”
Steve Jobs, All Things Digital Conference, July 2010
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Per year, cable channels theaverage US home receives: 130
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Per year, cable channels theaverage US home watches: 18
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of available channels arenever actually watched...86%
Channel Surfing is
DEAD!
D
per month for huge waste =consumers are ‘cord-cutting’£75
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5:09Average EU Consumer
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Average Digital Native 18-24
3:300:49 web | 0:20 mobile‘cord-shavers’ vs ‘cord-nevers’
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TV76© 2013 DeanDonaldson.com | All Rights Reserved
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Modern Family Viewing
ABC Q4 2011
• 95% watch DVR content within 3 days to keep in sync
• Online viewing is 3x due to missed not free content
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Leichtman Research Group / Deloitte
10%now watch video online weekly
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Leichtman Research Group / Deloitte
9% cut their cable subscription
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Free-to-view
International TV Org, 2010
Over-The-Top (OTT) The delivery of video, via the internet, directly to user(s) connected devices.
ADVERTISING IS THE ONLY ANSWER
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MOBILE
OPERATOR
NETWORKS
1
2
D I R E C T
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MOBILE
OPERATOR
NETWORKS
1
2
D I R E C T
Cost Speed
Complexity
Flexibility ALWAYS ON
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MOBILE
OPERATOR
NETWORKS
1
2
D I R E C T
TRUE Rich MediaExperience
Data Plans80© 2013 DeanDonaldson.com | All Rights Reserved
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2Mbs
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100MbsDownload a HD movie in under 5 mins!!
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1
2
W E B T V
O N L I N E V I D E O
IPTV / TVE
LINEAR BROADCAST MANAGED NETWORK
Terrestrial / Cable
Satellite / Internet
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1
2
Closed Controlled Proprietary
Content PREMIUM
W E B T V
O N L I N E V I D E O
IPTV / TVE
LINEAR BROADCAST MANAGED NETWORK
Terrestrial / Cable
Satellite / Internet
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1
2
W E B T V
O N L I N E V I D E O
IPTV / TVE
LINEAR BROADCAST MANAGED NETWORK
Terrestrial / Cable
Satellite / Internet
Disruptive
Original Programming
$M’s
Unbundle
TVE
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1
2
Exceed Existing
Deals
Distribution Rights
Money Upfront
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1
2
Exceed Existing
Deals
Distribution Rights
Money UpfrontSolid User Base
Own InfrastructureQuad-play Deals
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1
2
Exceed Existing
Deals
Distribution Rights
Money UpfrontSolid User Base
Own InfrastructureQuad-play Deals
LOCK via OS
iTV
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1
2
Exceed Existing
Deals
Distribution Rights
Money UpfrontSolid User Base
Own InfrastructureQuad-play Deals
LOCK via OS
iTV
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Cloud-based TV Service
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Cloud-based TV Service
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Can Sony’s Virtual Cable Servicesucceed where Intel failed?
END!!
Cloud-based TV Service
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Can Sony’s Virtual Cable Servicesucceed where Intel failed?
Everyone wants to do Everything
Creation Aggregation Distribution Consumption
Rights Holders Content Creators
Rights Dealers Program Packagers
Network Operators Access Providers
Device Manufacturers End Users
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Everyone wants to do Everything
Creation Aggregation Distribution Consumption
Rights Holders Content Creators
Rights Dealers Program Packagers
Network Operators Access Providers
Device Manufacturers End Users
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Everyone wants to do Everything
Creation Aggregation Distribution Consumption
Rights Holders Content Creators
Rights Dealers Program Packagers
Network Operators Access Providers
Device Manufacturers End Users
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STREAMING ON A DEVICE NEAR YOU
Co-financing High Profile Shows
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SThe S-Curve of Inventory
Direct Buy
UpfrontPrivate Marketplace, RON
Exchange / Network Buy
Short Form Long Form
Non
-Pre
miu
m
Pr
emiu
m Shortage (Inventory) Surplus
$$$$$$$$$$
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2014: TVE to add $10Bn pa Advertising
NA revenues (content owners)
SUBSCRIPTION
$85Bn
ADVERTISING
$80Bn
SUBSCRIPTION
$1.7Bn
ADVERTISING
$10Bn
SUBSCRIPTION
$??
ADVERTISING
$3.1Bn
Traditional TV TVE Online Video
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TV Advertising TV Subscription TVE MultiChannel
11.3
107.4
Effect of TV Everywhere (TVE) in US $BN
140
1/3
5.3
95.5
10480
85
• TV advertising will grow by $12BN annually
Needham
• Subscription rises 3-5% pa + additional 1-3% via TVE
54%
46%
48.5%
51.5%
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85% Interested in Ad Opportunities
Leichtman Research Group
Connected TV
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Face Off
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Dynamic
the revolutionwill not be televised
92
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the revolutionwill not be televised
92
...it will be social
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2.7hrs socializing per day
x2 we spend eating
93
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It took 50 years for TV to build the audience social media has in five
“”
95
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4.75 Bn Items Shared Daily
1.26 Bn Active users
15.8% Time Online
TV x Twitter
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TV x Twitter
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@DeanDonaldson | http://NothingToHide.Us Mapping the TV Genome
Quality Engagement&
98
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touchpoints 80%99
Saw product on TV
Searched online
Read reviews
Visited shop
Ordered on mobile
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TV combined with online's targeting and measurement capabilities.
100
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audience measurement
) ) )€$£
accurate
102
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The Programmatic
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Bottom-Feeder
Allergy Across America
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Right Place
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Los Angeles, CASacramento, CA
San Fran/OaklandSeattle/TacomaCleveland, OH
Salt Lake City, UTSan Diego, CAPhoenix/Tucson
Denver, COMiami/Ft Lauderdale
Houston, TXNew York
Boston, MAPortland, ORChicago, ILAtlanta, GAOrlando, FL
Dallas/Ft WorthBaltimore/WashingtonMinneapolis/St Paul
Buffalo/RochesterAlbany, NY
Tampa/St PetersburgCharlotte, NCPittsburgh, PA
Philadelphia, PAIndianapolis, IN
South CarolinaColumbus, OH
Grand Rapids, MIRoanoke, VADetroit, MI
West Tex/New MexOmaha, NE
Raleigh/GreensboroNew England
St. Louis, MONashville, TN
Kansas City, KSCincinnati/DaytonRichmond/Norfolk
New Orleans/MobileMilwaukee, WI
ToledoPeoria/Springfield
Hartford/SpringfieldLouisville, KY
Jacksonville, FLKnoxville
Birmingham/MontgomHarrisburg/Scranton
Cost-Ineffective Markets
Cost-Effective Markets
Right Time
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Allergy Season Local Media Fixed Local Media Programmatic National Media
Average Spring Season
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Late Spring Season
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Early Spring Season
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Right Ad
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Upfront
Programmatic
National vs Local
Modern Family Viewing
88% use SmartPhone or Tablet whilst watching TV
DAILY
108
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Dual Screen Activities What are Tablet and SmartPhone Users doing whilst watching TV?
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25% Consumers go online after seeing TV ad
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111
280M
Second Screen
TV Apps downloaded in 2012
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X-RaySecond Screen Content Sync
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content recognition
automatic ACR
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FingerPrinting: Header additional to file - can be altered if want
WaterMarking: Ingested within the file - can’t be removed later
Content
AA
ID ContentID
AA-01 AA-02 AA-03 AA-04BB
BB-01 BB-02
00:00 00:04 00:09 00:16 00:22 00:30 00:32 00:44
New Ad New Ad
Update Ad Update Ad Update Ad Update Ad Update Ad Update
TIMELINE
Honda McDonalds
Character 1 Character 2 Character 3 Character 4 Happy Meal Big Mac
ACR in Practice
116
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2-way Comms
AudioVisualWiFi
BlueTooth
NFC
?117
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App
+ 150k
+ 100k
+ 150k
+ 250k
+ 50k
+ 50k
+ 50k
+ 50k
+ 150k
1M+
€$£
128
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Interact
HD Ad
Retarget
5% off
Retarget
10% off
Purchase
129
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130
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Sales Lift Doubles
131
x2Multiscreen video vs pure TV spots
Laurent Faracci, Reckitt Benckiser’s General Manager for Marketing
Wall Street Journal
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Le Fin
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Thanks. Your turn@DeanDonaldson
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