the new security agenda transnational organised crime and international security derek lutterbeck,...
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The New Security AgendaThe New Security AgendaTransnational Organised Crime and Transnational Organised Crime and
International SecurityInternational Security
Derek Lutterbeck, PhDDerek Lutterbeck, PhD
GCSPGCSP
OverviewOverview
Changing Security ParadigmsChanging Security Paradigms
Transnational Organised Crime as a Transnational Organised Crime as a Security ChallengeSecurity Challenge
Transnational Organised Crime and Transnational Organised Crime and TerrorismTerrorism
Changing Security ParadigmsChanging Security Paradigms
Traditional ChallengesTraditional Challenges– state-basedstate-based– militarymilitary– externalexternal– directdirect– territorialterritorial– enemy strengthenemy strength– military stability military stability – conquestconquest
New ChallengesNew Challenges– non-state actorsnon-state actors– socio-economicsocio-economic– internal / transnationalinternal / transnational– diffusediffuse– non-territorialnon-territorial– state weaknessstate weakness– rule of lawrule of law– corruptioncorruption
European Security Strategy:European Security Strategy:“A Secure Europe in a Better World”“A Secure Europe in a Better World”
(12 December 2003)(12 December 2003)
““Large-scale aggression against any Member State is Large-scale aggression against any Member State is now improbable. Instead, Europe faces new threats now improbable. Instead, Europe faces new threats which are more diverse, less visible and less which are more diverse, less visible and less predictable” predictable”
Key threatsKey threatsTerrorismTerrorismProliferation of WMDProliferation of WMDRegional conflicts (Middle East, Kashmir, Great Regional conflicts (Middle East, Kashmir, Great Lakes region, Korean peninsula)Lakes region, Korean peninsula)State failureState failureOrganised CrimeOrganised Crime
UN High Level Panel:UN High Level Panel:““A more secure world: our shared
responsibility” (December 2004)(December 2004)
Poverty, infectious disease, environmental Poverty, infectious disease, environmental degradationdegradation
Inter-state Conflict Inter-state Conflict Conflict within states, including genocide and Conflict within states, including genocide and
other large-scale atrocitiesother large-scale atrocities Proliferation of nuclear, radiological, chemical, Proliferation of nuclear, radiological, chemical,
biological weaponsbiological weapons TerrorismTerrorism Transnational organised crimeTransnational organised crime
US National Security StrategyUS National Security Strategy
““Enemies in the past needed great armies and Enemies in the past needed great armies and great industrial capabilities to endanger great industrial capabilities to endanger America. Now, shadowy networks of America. Now, shadowy networks of individuals can bring great chaos and individuals can bring great chaos and suffering to our shores for less than it costs suffering to our shores for less than it costs to purchase a single tank.”to purchase a single tank.”
(National Security Strategy of the US, 2002)(National Security Strategy of the US, 2002)
What do People fear most?What do People fear most?(Human Security Centre poll in 11 countries)(Human Security Centre poll in 11 countries)
Defence
Deepening and Widening of Deepening and Widening of SecuritySecurity
VerticalVertical
Regional/ Regional/ internationalinternational
SocietySociety
HumanHuman
SectoralSectoral
HealthHealth
EconomyEconomy
Environment Environment
PoliticsPolitics
State
New Security Actors within StatesNew Security Actors within States
Interior/justice ministriesInterior/justice ministries
Finance ministriesFinance ministries
Environment ministriesEnvironment ministries
Energy ministriesEnergy ministries
Health ministriesHealth ministries
Multilateral Security ActorsMultilateral Security Actors
International OrganisationsInternational Organisations
- - the UN and peace operationsthe UN and peace operations
- specialised agencies- specialised agencies
Regional OrganisationsRegional Organisations
- - military operationsmilitary operations
- peace-building- peace-building
- multilateral police missions- multilateral police missions
Private Security ActorsPrivate Security Actors
NGOsNGOs
Multinational corporationsMultinational corporations
Private military companies Private military companies
Transnational criminal networksTransnational criminal networks
Terrorist groupsTerrorist groups
Convergence of Internal and Convergence of Internal and External SecurityExternal Security
TransnationalTransnational challenges (such as challenges (such as transnational organised crime or transnational transnational organised crime or transnational terrorism)terrorism)
→→ blurring of separation between internal and blurring of separation between internal and external security external security →→ convergence of police and military functionsconvergence of police and military functions
Increasing involvement of military forces in Increasing involvement of military forces in domestic security missions (critical infrastructure domestic security missions (critical infrastructure protection, border control etc.)protection, border control etc.)Internationalisation of policingInternationalisation of policing
Transnational organised crime: Transnational organised crime: factors behind its expansionfactors behind its expansion
Globalisation:Globalisation:– Economic and financial liberalisationEconomic and financial liberalisation– Increasing mobility and migrationIncreasing mobility and migration
Political liberalisationPolitical liberalisation State weakness / economic State weakness / economic underdevelopment in some regions of the underdevelopment in some regions of the worldworld
Definition of Organised CrimeDefinition of Organised Crime
UN Convention Against Transnational UN Convention Against Transnational Organised Crime:Organised Crime:
““Organized criminal group” = structured group of Organized criminal group” = structured group of three or more persons acting together, over a three or more persons acting together, over a period of time, with the aim of committing one or period of time, with the aim of committing one or more serious crimes ”more serious crimes ”
US Organised Crime Control Act:US Organised Crime Control Act:““The unlawful activities of...a highly organized, The unlawful activities of...a highly organized,
disciplined association...”disciplined association...”
The Network of Organised CrimeThe Network of Organised Crime
BusinessOrganized Crime
State Authorities
BriberyCorruptionPartiality
FraudMoney launderingProtection racketsFront Companies
Smuggling
BriberyCronyism
Economic espionageMonopolyProtection
Transnational crimeTransnational crime
Crossing of state borders:Crossing of state borders:
perpetratorsperpetrators
productsproducts
peoplepeople
proceedsproceeds
digital signalsdigital signals
Transnational crimeTransnational crime
Transnational crimes committed by:Transnational crimes committed by:
individualsindividuals
licit enterpriseslicit enterprises
organised crime groupsorganised crime groups
terroriststerrorists
governmentsgovernments
Transnational organised crime: Transnational organised crime: Principal sources of revenue Principal sources of revenue
(estimates)(estimates)Drug trafficking: 321 billion USD (retail Drug trafficking: 321 billion USD (retail level)level)
Human trafficking: 10 - 15 billion USDHuman trafficking: 10 - 15 billion USD
Illicit arms trafficking: 2 -10 billion USDIllicit arms trafficking: 2 -10 billion USD
Threat of transnational organised Threat of transnational organised crimecrime
DirectDirect security threat to weak states security threat to weak states
IndirectIndirect security threat to less vulnerable security threat to less vulnerable statesstates
Threat to:Threat to:– good governancegood governance– state institutionsstate institutions– legal markets / economic developmentlegal markets / economic development– individualsindividuals
Dimensions of state weaknessDimensions of state weakness
Territorial:Territorial: territories escaping control of territories escaping control of state (lawless areas, no-go zones etc.)state (lawless areas, no-go zones etc.)
Legal:Legal: gaps in legislation which organised gaps in legislation which organised crime may exploitcrime may exploit
Political:Political: lack of legitimacy, corruption lack of legitimacy, corruption
Economic:Economic: poor economic performance, poor economic performance, large illegal economylarge illegal economy
Social:Social: ‘culture’ of criminality / corruption ‘culture’ of criminality / corruption
Current trends in Organised Crime Current trends in Organised Crime in the EU areain the EU area
(Europol assessment)(Europol assessment)Organised crime dominated by indigenous groups, Organised crime dominated by indigenous groups, but growing links with non-indigenous groupsbut growing links with non-indigenous groups
‘‘Ethnic’ basis of organised crimeEthnic’ basis of organised crime
Linked to illegal immigration / fraudulent asylum Linked to illegal immigration / fraudulent asylum applicationsapplications
Widening of crime portfolio (diversification)Widening of crime portfolio (diversification)
Trend towards more loose network structuresTrend towards more loose network structures
Abuse of legal company structures to conduct or Abuse of legal company structures to conduct or hide criminal activitieshide criminal activities
Transnational Organised Crime as Transnational Organised Crime as an Issue of ‘Hard Security’an Issue of ‘Hard Security’
Organised Crime and TerrorismOrganised Crime and Terrorism
Organised Crime and Violent ConflictOrganised Crime and Violent Conflict
Organised Crime and Nuclear Material Organised Crime and Nuclear Material TraffickingTrafficking
Transnational Organised Crime and Transnational Organised Crime and Terrorism : Key DifferencesTerrorism : Key Differences
Transnational Transnational Organised crimeOrganised crime
Economic motivationEconomic motivation
Seeks to weaken but Seeks to weaken but not to destroy state not to destroy state institutionsinstitutions
TerrorismTerrorism
Political motivationPolitical motivation
Seeks to destroy the Seeks to destroy the state or to change the state or to change the political system in political system in fundamental waysfundamental ways
Convergence between organised Convergence between organised crime and terrorismcrime and terrorism
Alliances between organised crime groups Alliances between organised crime groups and terroristsand terrorists
Terrorist groups pursuing criminal Terrorist groups pursuing criminal activities (to finance their activities)activities (to finance their activities)
Organised crime groups using terror Organised crime groups using terror tactics (to shape their operational tactics (to shape their operational environment)environment)
Hybrid groupsHybrid groups
Example of Terrorism/Crime nexus: Example of Terrorism/Crime nexus: Madrid bombingsMadrid bombings
Involvement of both religious extremists and Involvement of both religious extremists and criminalscriminalsKey role: Moroccan drug trafficking network (Jamal Key role: Moroccan drug trafficking network (Jamal Ahmidan)Ahmidan)Purchase of explosives against hashishPurchase of explosives against hashishOther criminal activities: robbery, credit and phone Other criminal activities: robbery, credit and phone card fraud, vehicle theft etc.card fraud, vehicle theft etc.Importance of contacts from prisonImportance of contacts from prisonRadicalisation of criminals in prisonRadicalisation of criminals in prisonCriminals not only in support/logistics but also in Criminals not only in support/logistics but also in operational / attack role operational / attack role
Organised Crime and Violent Organised Crime and Violent ConflictConflict
Changing nature of violent conflictChanging nature of violent conflict
Organised crime have impact on Organised crime have impact on – outbreakoutbreak– coursecourse– aftermath aftermath
of armed conflictof armed conflict
Fighting Transnational Organised Crime:Fighting Transnational Organised Crime:International Police CooperationInternational Police Cooperation
Expansion of police cooperation in response to Expansion of police cooperation in response to growth in cross-border crimegrowth in cross-border crimeInternationalInternational – InterpolInterpol– G8 Lyon GroupG8 Lyon Group
RegionalRegional– Europol Europol – SECI Centre (Bucharest)SECI Centre (Bucharest)
BilateralBilateral cooperation between countries cooperation between countries– Exchange of evidenceExchange of evidence– Legal assistanceLegal assistance– Extradition etc.Extradition etc.
Some Dilemmas in Fighting Some Dilemmas in Fighting Transnational Organised CrimeTransnational Organised Crime
Combating illicit cross-border activities Combating illicit cross-border activities typically also hampers legal cross-border typically also hampers legal cross-border exchangesexchanges
More intrusive policing might threaten civil More intrusive policing might threaten civil libertiesliberties
Criminal employment might be better than Criminal employment might be better than high unemploymenthigh unemployment
Dirty money might be better than no FDIDirty money might be better than no FDI