the possible influence of the nao on the mediterranean outflow water path in the north atlantic...

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The Possible Influence of the NAO on the Mediterranean Outflow Water Path in the North Atlantic Alexandra Bozec 1 , Eric Chassignet 1 , George Halliwell 2 , Zulema Garraffo 2 , Susan Lozier 3 and Nicole M. Stewart 3 Hycom meeting, April, 24-26 1 Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Predictions Studies, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, USA 2 Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA 3 Division of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Duke University, Duke, NC, USA

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Page 1: The Possible Influence of the NAO on the Mediterranean Outflow Water Path in the North Atlantic Alexandra Bozec 1, Eric Chassignet 1, George Halliwell

The Possible Influence of the NAO on the Mediterranean Outflow Water Path in the North

Atlantic

Alexandra Bozec1, Eric Chassignet1, George Halliwell2, Zulema Garraffo2, Susan Lozier3 and Nicole M. Stewart3

Hycom meeting, April, 24-26

1Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Predictions Studies, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, USA2Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA3Division of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Duke University, Duke, NC, USA

Page 2: The Possible Influence of the NAO on the Mediterranean Outflow Water Path in the North Atlantic Alexandra Bozec 1, Eric Chassignet 1, George Halliwell

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Outline

• Observations

• Parameterization of the MOW tongue in HYCOM

• Results in the 1/3° resolution HYCOM

• Future work

Page 3: The Possible Influence of the NAO on the Mediterranean Outflow Water Path in the North Atlantic Alexandra Bozec 1, Eric Chassignet 1, George Halliwell

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From Lozier and Stewart, 2006

Observations

Page 4: The Possible Influence of the NAO on the Mediterranean Outflow Water Path in the North Atlantic Alexandra Bozec 1, Eric Chassignet 1, George Halliwell

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NAO+ 1985-1994

Increasing salinity anomaly

NAO- 1960-1969

On σ1= 32.10; at MOW core

Lozier and Stewart, 2006

Page 5: The Possible Influence of the NAO on the Mediterranean Outflow Water Path in the North Atlantic Alexandra Bozec 1, Eric Chassignet 1, George Halliwell

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Weak westerlies: NAO- Strong westerlies: NAO+

Lozier and Stewart, 2006

Contraction Expansion

Page 6: The Possible Influence of the NAO on the Mediterranean Outflow Water Path in the North Atlantic Alexandra Bozec 1, Eric Chassignet 1, George Halliwell

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Comparison of the outflow representation in different model resolution of the ATL

• 2° simulation: ATLc2.00 (2deg-PY)– Initial state: GDEM3 climatology – Forcing: ECMWF-ERA40 climatology

• 1°x0.5°: ATLc1b.00 (extracted from global configuration) (1deg-med and 1deg-PY) (Y. Yang and T. Ozgokmen)

– Initial state: GDEM3 climatology – Forcing: ERA40 climatology

• 1/3° : ATLc0.32 (0.32deg-PY)(Z. Garraffo and G. Halliwell)

– Initial state: GDEM3 climatology – Forcing: interannual NCEP 1948-2003

Page 7: The Possible Influence of the NAO on the Mediterranean Outflow Water Path in the North Atlantic Alexandra Bozec 1, Eric Chassignet 1, George Halliwell

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MOW in HYCOM

Q1,1,S1Q2,2,S2

E P R• The Price and Yang model (Price and Yang,

1998) is used as a boundary condition to prescribe the outflow in the HYCOM ocean model. Specified parameters are :– Med. Surf. Fluxes

• E-P-R over Mediterranean• Net Heat flux over Mediterranean

• Specified Atlantic Ocean Water Properties 1, S1 of Gibraltar inflow water• Density, salinity of entrained interior

water at shelf-slope break

• P-Y Model Output• Gibraltar outflow , S2, Q2

• Entrained interior water transport• Final product water , S3, depth,

transport(Q3)

Q3,3,S3

(implemented in HYCOM by George Halliwell)

Page 8: The Possible Influence of the NAO on the Mediterranean Outflow Water Path in the North Atlantic Alexandra Bozec 1, Eric Chassignet 1, George Halliwell

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Model Grids

Page 9: The Possible Influence of the NAO on the Mediterranean Outflow Water Path in the North Atlantic Alexandra Bozec 1, Eric Chassignet 1, George Halliwell

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Price and Yang in ATLc2.00

Simulation 2° (climatology : ERA40 forcing)

2deg-buffer: with buffer zone in the Gulf of Cadiz

2deg-PY: with Price and Yang

Depth: 1000m

Page 10: The Possible Influence of the NAO on the Mediterranean Outflow Water Path in the North Atlantic Alexandra Bozec 1, Eric Chassignet 1, George Halliwell

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Simulation 1°x0.5° (climatology: ERA40 forcing)

1deg-med: with the Mediterranean Sea

1deg-PY: with Price and Yang

013 014

Price and Yang in ATLc1.00

Depth=1000m

1deg-med 1deg-PY

Page 11: The Possible Influence of the NAO on the Mediterranean Outflow Water Path in the North Atlantic Alexandra Bozec 1, Eric Chassignet 1, George Halliwell

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Price and Yang in 1/3°ATL: 0.32deg-PY

34.2 36.2 34.2 36.2

Page 12: The Possible Influence of the NAO on the Mediterranean Outflow Water Path in the North Atlantic Alexandra Bozec 1, Eric Chassignet 1, George Halliwell

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First results: 0.32deg-PYC

ON

TR

AC

TIO

NE

XP

AN

SIO

N

Page 13: The Possible Influence of the NAO on the Mediterranean Outflow Water Path in the North Atlantic Alexandra Bozec 1, Eric Chassignet 1, George Halliwell

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Conclusion/summary

• The mechanism of expansion/contraction found in

the observations is also present in the 1/3° HYCOM

interannual simulations.• Future work : Can we find a relation between the

NAO and the salinity anomalies in the Rockall Trough

as in the observation ?

If yes, can we develop a physical explanation for the

expansion/contraction mechanism as a function of

NAO?

Page 14: The Possible Influence of the NAO on the Mediterranean Outflow Water Path in the North Atlantic Alexandra Bozec 1, Eric Chassignet 1, George Halliwell

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Different representations of the outflow