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The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station USDA Forest Service

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Page 1: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S.

Toni Lyn MorelliPacific Southwest Research Station

USDA Forest Service

Page 2: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Aspen Basics

Populus

tremuloides

Most widespread in NA

Clonal–

Hardy

Require high resource environment

Seral

or stable–

1/3 of western aspen may be stable C. Millar

Page 3: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Aspen’s Value

Keystone species, biodiversity hotspot–

2nd

only to riparian areas

Plant diversity–

Bird diversity (no advantage of conifers in SD-

Rumble et al. 2000)

Structural diversity

Soil quality

Bill Banazewski - FWS

Page 4: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Aspen’s Value

Water conservation–

Greater snow accumulation

Understory–

Low water use efficiency

• wildfire risk

200x less likely

Forage

Aesthetic value

Bill Banazewski - FWS

Page 5: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Aspen Habitat Types Ryel

& Bartos

2008

Lithic

(including talus)

Riparian

Meadow fringe

Slope

C. Millar

Shepperd

et al. 2006

Page 6: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Aspen Reproduction

Mostly clonal

C. Millar

Page 7: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

D. BartosHow Aspens Grow

How Aspens Grow

Page 8: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Aspen Reproduction

Mostly clonal

Rarely from seeds in the West–

short-lived

occurs after severe fires–

specific temperature and precipitation requirements (high P)

important in marginal stands or areas with suitable habitat but no roots

important in changing climates?

Page 9: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Aspen’s Resource Requirements

Aspen

Air temperature

Soil nutrients

Lush undergrowth

Soil temperature

Conifers

Shade tolerance

Soil moisture

Humidity

Page 10: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Proper soil conditions are critical:–

Mesic

Well-drained–

Not too sloped

Not too much light–

Mineral soil

Deteriorates over time

More selective than conifers

Aspen Soil Conditions

Verbyla - UAF

Page 11: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Sierra Nevada History

Mining and Logging in late 19th

century

Sheep grazing = most widespread disturbance

Fewer aspen(1%)++

Page 12: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Is Aspen Declining in the West?

Yes:

50-96% decline in aspen throughout the U.S.(Bartos

2001)

75% reduction of aspen/3x conifers in COsince 1850s (Gallant et al. 2004)

50% decrease in aspen 1947-1992 in MT, primarily from conifer invasion (Wirth et al. 1996)

Aspen used to be more extensive Sierra Nevada <1850 (tree-ring study-Potter 1998)

Page 13: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

But…–

No large change in much of the GYE (Brown et al. 2006)

Positive change in some parts of CO since 1900, with some recent conifer succession (photographic analysis –

Manier

& Laven

2001)

HRV?

Unusual aspen extent since 1880s?(Kulakowski

and others)

Is Aspen Declining in the West?

Page 14: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Is Disturbance Necessary?

1) Yes:

Apical dominance prevents suckering-

Low elk herbivory

hypothesis (White et al. 2003):

2) No:

Disturbance is not necessary to trigger sprouting but eliminates competition-

Stands w/o conifers regenerate w/o disturbance

-

Replacement dieback hypothesis (Mueller-Dombois

1992)

+ =

Page 15: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Is Disturbance Necessary?

Maybe Yes and

No

Stable

Seral

Decadent

(Bartos

& Campbell 1998) C. Millar

Page 16: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

As aspen age, soil–

loses its organic layer

leaches nutrients–

Becomes more acidic and thinner and colder

Conifers don’t mind•

Happens early and late

Once conifers establish, aspen decline–

Too much shade

Different soil

Conifer Succession

Page 17: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Conifer Succession

Gallant et al. 2003

Page 18: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Seral

aspen are fire-dependent

Rare fire events (1/50 y) can replace a grove–

Even if just a few aspen left!

In CA, conifers are replacing aspen groves due to less frequent fire (and grazing pressures)

In some cases, frequent fire historically has depleted the conifer seed bank, preventing succession even in the absence of fire

Fire Suppression Conifer Succession

Page 19: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

General Aspen Decline

+

Page 20: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Sudden Aspen Decline

David Burton

Page 21: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Sudden Aspen Decline(Shepperd

2008, Worrall et al. 2008)

= the death of mature aspen with little or no regeneration

UT and AZ >2002

Rapid and simultaneous

1-3 years

White defoliated trees standing w/ bark

Page 22: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

SAD-Numbers

SW CO, N Arizona, parts of UT and Canada, + ID, NV, MT, S WY

Average mortality of aspen in the IM region in 2006-2007 was 31%, 2/3 within 2 years

56,091 ha affected in CO (aerial survey) •

Mortality in 4 stands up to 566% in 3-4 yrs

~13% of CO aspen cover showed effects by 2007 –

140,000 acres lost in San Juan area alone by 2009

Outside of the inner West, effects are unclear:–

recent survey in E WA showed no sign of SAD in 2 NFs

Page 23: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Worrall et al. 2008

Page 24: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

SAD-Characteristics

Large trees die first? -

does not affect young•

Starts at edge of grove

Complete defoliation + branch dieback•

Roots are dying first? no regeneration

(may see delay of effect for a season)•

Most affected:–

Low elevation •also, fewer conifers at higher elevations

S & SW aspects–

Lower slope areas?

Page 25: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

SAD-Causes

Drought and high temperatures (Worrall et al. 2008)

Early 2000s in IM West and W Canada–

Similar effects from a 1961 drought in W Canada

Fine root damage caused by extreme winter freeze followed by drought could reduce water and nutrient uptake

Climate changes seem to be causing SAD

Page 26: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Frey et al. 2004

Page 27: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Frey et al. 2004

Page 28: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

SAD-Causes

Decline Disease Hypothesis(Frey et al. 2004, Worrall et al. 2008)

Defoliation/severe drought + high temp during the growing season

Stand/site factors predispose

Certain insects/pathogens contribute

Page 29: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

SAD

Cytospora

canker:–

the most common fungus found on aspen, particularly weak, injured, or stressed trees, is normally not serious

Poplar borer: –

infest all age-classes but especially disturbed stands or stressed trees and are apparent from signs of ejected frass

and dried sap that accumulate around

the hole •

Bark beetle: –

affect dead bark or stressed trees fairly commonly, mining the bark on the trunk and large branches

(These are species that do not normally kill aspen.)

Page 30: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Johnston et al. 1995

Page 31: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

What’s Happening in Colorado’s Aspen Forests? 2007

Page 32: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Climate Change & Aspen Preferred Climate

Aspen are limited by–

Temperature

Precipitation, including snow–

Radiation

Bright, warm (especially soil), and wet

Better at southern aspects at high elevations (and vice versa)

Otherwise stress tolerant–

Leaves

Clonality

Page 33: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

GYE: aspen = 1.4% of area, found at average:–

Elevation = 2300 m

Annual precipitation = 70.6 cm

Temperature = 2.1°

C

Western CO (similar to SN -

fire is hist. rare)–

Aspen better at mid-elevations (2200-3000m)

If solar radiation is high, aspen found where•growing season PET < 120 cm•Annual Tmax

>6.9°

C

•Slope >2.5°And vice versa

Climate Change & Aspen Preferred Climate-Examples

Page 34: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Aspen is water-limited, drought-intolerant–

moisture deficits in w. Canadian interior have a more negative effect on boreal aspen than insects, even severe forest tent caterpillar outbreaks (Hogg and colleagues)

Pathogens and herbivores interact

with environmental stress

e.g., SAD

Aspen Response to Climate- Examples

Page 35: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Climate Change & Aspen Response to future climate

Drier = bad•

Hotter = good and bad

More fire = good•

More CO2

= mixed: •

A modelling

example:

aspen in the Canadian boreal will increase productivity for the next 200 years, acting as a large carbon sink, as long as prolonged droughts did not occur (Grant et al. 2006)

Page 36: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Managing Aspen•

Healthy aspen stands should have multiple age classes mostly younger than 100 years, adequate sprouting, and an ample herbaceous layer underneath the canopy

5 main risk factors for aspen:–

conifer cover (understory and overstory) > 25%

aspen canopy cover < 40%

dominant aspen trees > 100 yrs old

aspen regeneration < 500 stems per acre (5-15 ft tall)

sagebrush cover > 10%

Page 37: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Shepperd

2001

Page 38: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Managing Aspen•

Prioritize treatments where conifers are taller and live aspen present in the overstory

Set a goalEx: 2000-5000 stems/acre in 10 yrs and annual height

increase

Set up an effective monitoring plan–

Random, non-permanent, circular-shaped plots

Reintroduce natural ecological processes (e.g., fire, carnivores) where possible

Reduce and rotate livestock

Page 39: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Management Solutions

Increase Disturbance•

Prescribed burns–

preferred treatment: returns nutrients to soil, especially important if conifers have been there for a while

Difficult–

Careful if there are a lot of conifers and high fuel loads: very

hot fires can damage roots and reduce reprouting

Logging/cutting–

Careful of soil compaction and deep cutting –

should all be done in 1 yr

Clearcutting

better than partial cutting (shading, suppression,etc)

Other options:–

Bulldozing–

Hand thinning–

Ripping (sever or scrape roots): particularly good method for meadow fringe aspen

Page 40: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Management Issues: Animal Impacts

Elk are the biggest problem for aspen•

Deer and cattle/sheep together might potentially devastate aspen

Livestock grazing can negatively affected aspen regeneration (White et al. 1998)

Effects of wild ungulates and livestock can be reduced by managing around seasonal use patterns and at local scales

Certain areas will be more highly impacted due to browse availability –

Consider snow depths

Page 41: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Kilpatrick & Abendroth 2001

Page 42: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Management Solutions

Protect•

Herbivore exclosures–

Smaller exclosures better

Fence outside of previous grove edge–

choice of exclosure

will depend on browsing

pressure, which varies by site and year –

important to limit use of treated areas by domestic animals for several years •Short-term issue, long-term gain

Could help to treat large area (but Yellowstone NP)

Page 43: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Aspen Management Tradeoffs

Birds need dead/dying aspen stems & conifer snag•

Too much harvesting, building of new roads

Conifer succession is a natural process and future natural disturbances will be sufficient

Since fire frequency will be increasing with climate change, no proactive measures should be taken

Fire and other disturbances may encourage invasives–

nonnative species were found in aspen ecosystems much more commonly than other vegetation types in a study in CO

In some cases, a solution could be to use targeted, smaller fires, which can still have desirable effects

Page 44: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Ongoing & Recent Aspen Projects

•PSW Lake Tahoe Basin Management Unit Aspen Community Restoration Project

•Evaluation of Pine Creek Aspen Stand •Ochoco

National Forest

•Aspen Dahlgreen

Prescribed Fire•Shoshone National Forest•Lassen National Forest•Aspen Delineation Project•Pike and San Isabel National Forests•Arapaho-Roosevelt National Forest (Northern CO)•PRBO Conservation Science Sierra Nevada Program

Page 45: The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. - fs.fed.us · The Status of Aspen in the Western U.S. Toni Lyn Morelli Pacific Southwest Research Station. ... Aspen Response to Climate-Examples

Aspen Web Resources

Aspen Delineation Project: www.aspensite.org/

Riparian Bird Conservation Plan: www.prbo.org/calpif/htmldocs/riparian.html

US Forest Service RMRS Aspen Restoration Site: www.fs.fed.us/rm/aspen/

US Forest Service PSW Sierra Nevada Research Center: www.fs.fed.us/psw/programs/snrc/

Northern Rockies Aspen Working Group: www.aspensite.org/NorthernRockiesAspen.html

Western Association of Fish and Wildlife Agencies (WAFWA) Habitat Committee: www.wafwa.org

Western Aspen Alliance (WAA): www.western-aspen-alliance.org