INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 1 July 2016

The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll

for the week of 1 July 2016

INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 1 July 2016

INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 1 July 2016

INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 1 July 2016

INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 1 July 2016

Ifthe“Brexit”dealsablowtotheTexaseconomy,wherewoulditbefelt?

•"Our'direct'economicexchangewithGreatBritainisnotsignificantenoughtogreatlyaffectoureconomy.WhereourexchangeswiththemintersectwiththeU.S.economyiswhereitmightbefelt."

•"Brexit'seffectonTexaswillbeminimalorless."

•"BrexitwillhaveabsolutelynoeffectontheTexaseconomy."

•"Seemsliketheemotional,knee-jerkreactioninthemarketsisstartingto

recover,sotheshort-term'blow'ismuchadoaboutnothing.I'mmoreconcernedaboutthepriceofWTIanditseffectontheTexaseconomythantheEUgettingitspantiesinabunch."

•"ItwillhaveapositiveimpactonTexas.TheEUisgoingtofallapartandthatwillmakeastablepro-businessTexastheplacetodobusiness!"

•"Wemayfeelit,butitwillonlybetemporary."

INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 1 July 2016

•"Youleftouttheautomotivesector.LobbyistslovetodrivetheirRangeRoversandJaguars."

•"Aswepress'reverse'onDarwinismandslinkbackintotheocean,economicactivitythatrequiresopposingthumbswillprobablysuffer."

•"Itwillnothurtusonebit.Really,areyoukidding!!!!!Whyaskthisquestion.Oh,youallareaskingthesameoldstupidskyisfallingquestionsastherestofthemediaactinghysterically."

•"Oilisstillthebigthing,butBrexitshouldhavenolastingeffectonoil.It'saglobalmarketthatrespondstosupplyanddemand,andBritain'sstatusintheEUisjustnotamajorfactorinthoseforces."

•"Shorttermissue"

•"'Uncertainty'isneveragoodthinginthemarketsortheeconomy.Brexithas

definitelycreatedthatdynamicinaveryintertwinedworld."

•"It'lljustbeashort-termhitintermsofstockandcommodityprices.Long-term,itreallyshouldn'timpactourstate."

•"Itwon'thurtTexasverymuch.BusinesswillshifttoIreland,theother(andsoontobeonly)EnglishspeakingmemberoftheEU."

•"Meh.Muchadoaboutnothing."

•"AlowerPoundandEurovs.thedollarwillmakecompetitiveexportsfromtheUKandEuropecheaper."

•"Intheshorttermitwillhavesomeimpact,butpeoplethatbuy,trade,willfigureitout."

•"AnotherreasontovoteagainstTrump."

Doesthe“Brexit”voteforeshadowaTrumpvictoryintheU.S.inNovember?

•"Sadly,theBritsarealreadyseeingthefoolishnessoftheirdecision!ThisdoesNOThelpTrumpinanyway."

•"Whilethereareparallelsofastrongdiscontentwithpoliticalelites,Trumpseemsincapableofcapitalizingonthis.Hisgreatestopponentinthisraceishisownmouth."

•"Neverunderestimatetheangerofthevoter."

•"TheironyisthatthepeoplewhotendtoloveTrumparethosewhomakefun

ofEuropeans.HowfunnythattheythinktheBritshaveprovidedsuchastrongexample."

•"No.Brexitwas,inessence,asingle-issueelection(areferendum)thatboileddowntoimmigration.TheU.S.presidentialelectionistypicallynotasingleissue(unlessit'stheeconomy,stupid)."

•"TheBrexitvoteisawakeningthosevotersthathavebeenlollygaggingthiselectioncycle.Ithasalsoforcedthose

INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 1 July 2016

votersthatarevotingforTrumpforthehellofittoreconsider."

•"Trumpis'reverseDarwinism.'"

•"AboutasmuchasGroundhogDay."

•"WhatpartofHELLYESdoyounotunderstand?CanyousayP-R-E-S-I-D-E-N-TTRUMP?GETUSEDTOIT.ELITESAREGETTINGITHANDEDTOTHEM."

•"BrexitmeansthatBritsareworriedaboutimmigration,asaretheTrumpists,buttheproblemthattheTrumpistshaveis—Trump.Hecan'twinageneralelection."

•"I'mpicking'Don'tknow.'I'vebeencompletelywrongsofaronvirtuallyeverythinginthepresidentialrace...andstillremainastoundedthatwe'veendedupwiththesetwopresumptivecandidatesoutofallthepossiblechoices.320-plusmillionpeopleandthisiswhatwe'vegot?Really??I'mnolongerinthepredictionmode."

•"Trumpisabuffoon.IthinkmanyRepublicansnationwidewilljoinmeinvotingfortheLibertariancandidate."

•"IstilldoubtTrumpcanwin,buttheBrexitcampaignwastotallyparalleltoours:emotionalappealvs.bloodlesspolicy."

•"Again,the'pundits'havenocluehowangrypeopleareacrosstheglobe."

•"Welcometotheelectoralcollegesystem."

•"It'sagreattalkingpoint,andonethemediahasseizedupon.ButsofarevidencehasshownthatTrumphasjustturnedoutGOPgeneralelectionvoters,notanyactual'new'voters.Unless/untilhe'schangingtheactualmathforNovemberturnout,thentherewillbenoTrumpvictorytoforeshadow."

DoRepublicanlawmakersattemptnextyeartoreinstateinsomeformregulationsofabortionfacilitiesthatwereknockeddownbytheU.S.SupremeCourtthisweek?

•"Ofcoursetheywill!Theywon'tstopattemptingtooverturnRoe,makeSAFE,LEGALabortionshardertoobtainandcontinuetoFORCEmotherhoodonwomenwhoarenotready.TheyareallPRO-LIFE—untilthechildgetshereandthen—NOhealthcare,NOeducationandNObenefitsorhelptothechildorthewomantheyhaveFORCEDintobecomingamother.Ah,reallyshowsyouhowmuchtheyCAREforthetotalhealthofwomanandherchild!"

•"Theywillnevergiveupevenwhilethestatefacesdebilitatingfostercare.Thefocusisonthechildbeforeitisborn,notwhileliving."

•"Thebiennialattempttorestrictabortionswillhaveextraenergythisyear."

•"Ilookforwardtoouragriculturecommissionerleadingthischarge,asI'msurehewill,basedonhisFacebookpostings."

INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 1 July 2016

•"Let'sdealwithCPSfirst,andthesafetyofchildrenareactuallyborn."

•"Isn'tthedefinitionofstupiditydoingthesamethingtwiceandexpectingadifferentoutcome?"

•"Yes,becauseitmakesgoodpolitics."

•"Onlyiftheyfindthetimeafterobsessingaboutwherepeoplegotopee."

•"TheLegewillabsolutelyrevisitthisissue."

•"Wow,whatathought.Safetyforwomen.Novel,eh?"

•"Idon'tthinkanyoneknowswhatthey'regoingtotrytodoabouttheAword,butwhateveritiswillsoakupalotofwindintheCapitol.Andthat'sfinewithme."

•"Ofcourse.Whywasteanopportunitytodosomethingtogetre-elected,Imean,todosomethingaboutabortion."

•"Let'stakeanotherlookatscopeofpractice."

•"Itdoesn'tseemlikeSCOTUSwillputupwithhospitaladmittingprovisionsatall,butmaybesomenewfacilityrequirementscouldgivetheLegetheappearanceofaction.Itwouldbeanotherthreeyearsbeforetheygotthrownout."

•"Toocloseto2018electionsandtheyalreadylooklikeabunchofnutsandcrooks.Theywillworrymoreaboutgaymarriageandschoolbathrooms."

•"Theyjustcan'tgiveup..."

•"Ofcoursetheywill,theyhaveto.ButI'mnotsurewhereitfallsonthelistofsocialissuestheGOPwants.Morethantransgenderbathrooms?Morethansanctuarycities,Part4?Morethanotherabortion-relatedmeasuresthattheymaywanttostartinon?"

•"Yes,becausetheycan'thelpthemselves."

•"Anotheransweris'yes,onneither.'They'lljustcomeupwithotherstupidTRAPlaws."

WhosevotingbaseismotivatedmorebytheSupremeCourt’srulingonTexas’abortionlaw?

•"Historically,pro-choicefolksacceptthevictoryandsighwithrelief.Theytaketheirmarblesandgohomewhilethepro-lifersareinspiredbystrong,passionatereligiousbeliefsandwillneverletthefightdie."

•"InTexas,itwillhelpTrumpasthisisonemoreconcreteexampleofwhytheSupremeCourtappointmentsaresoimportant.Now,conservativeshaveto

trustwillmakestrongappointments.Buthey,hisappointmentswon'tbeworsethanHillary'ssowhatdowehavetolosebygoingallinforTrump?"

•"Thelawofthelandiswhatitis—onlyonesidewantstochangeit—andchangemakesforzealots(hardtobeazealotabout'notchanging')."

INSIDE INTELLIGENCE: The Texas Weekly/Texas Tribune insider poll for 1 July 2016

•"Youwouldexpectthelosingpartytobemoreriledup,inthiscase,TexasRepublicans.However,thatboostamongthebasevotemaynotbevisiblethisyearwhenotherfactors(Trump)swampanyexpectedimpact."

•"Nowswing-statesocialconservativeIndependentshaveanexcusetoholdtheirnoseandvoteforTrump."

•"WinsarescarceforTexasDemocrats.Anyreasonforhopeishelpful."

•"Hey,Idon'tlikethedecisionbutitjusthandedtheRepublicansavictoryandaGOTVissue.Mrs.Clintonisscreamingprivatelyatthoseintheblackrobe.Haha.Thefriggin'irony.JustwhenIthoughtitcouldnotgetany

better.Repeatafterme,again,P-R-E-S-I-D-E-N-TTRUMP!YEP,GETUSEDTOIT."

•"Losersarealwaysmotivatedmorethanwinners.Askpost-WWIGermany."

•"Bothbaseswillbemotivated.Andthenyouhavetheeverydayfolkswhojustdon'tcareonewayortheother."

•"CrankupthefundraisingonGOPside."

•"IfitwereCruzinsteadofTrump,it'dbeanissuebecausehe'sgotaclearrecordonabortion.Trumpdoesn't,sohecan'tcapitalize."

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