The Times They Are A The Times They Are A Changin’Changin’

A Presentation by Bob PauleyA Presentation by Bob Pauley

pauley@palmbeach.k12.fl.uspauley@palmbeach.k12.fl.us

Come gather 'round people - Come gather 'round people - Wherever you roamWherever you roam

To see that the waters - Around you To see that the waters - Around you have grownhave grown

And accept it that soon - You'll be And accept it that soon - You'll be drenched to the bone.drenched to the bone.

If your time to you - Is worth savin'If your time to you - Is worth savin'Then you better start swimmin' – Or Then you better start swimmin' – Or

you’ll sink like a stoneyou’ll sink like a stoneFor the times they are a-changin'For the times they are a-changin'

Bob Dylan, Troubadour, 1964 Bob Dylan, Troubadour, 1964

Until the 1980s Until the 1980s communication came by communication came by

newspaper, book, telephone, newspaper, book, telephone, radio, and television.radio, and television.

With the invention of the Internet With the invention of the Internet came unprecedented opportunity came unprecedented opportunity

for the remotest regions of the for the remotest regions of the world.world.

““Imagine a world in which Imagine a world in which every single person on the every single person on the

planet is given free access to planet is given free access to the sum of all human the sum of all human

knowledge. That's what knowledge. That's what technology makes possible.”technology makes possible.”

Jimbo WalesJimbo WalesFounder of WikipediaFounder of Wikipedia

The best companies in the The best companies in the world outsource to become, world outsource to become,

and to remain, the best and to remain, the best companies.companies.

Oozing with attitude and Oozing with attitude and driving BMWs are young driving BMWs are young Chinese, Indonesians and Chinese, Indonesians and

Indians who walk with a zip in Indians who walk with a zip in their step. They are called their step. They are called

ZippiesZippies..

They exist because the U.S. They exist because the U.S. and other industrialized and other industrialized

nations chose to outsource nations chose to outsource and because their repressive and because their repressive

governments made the governments made the intelligent decision to let them.intelligent decision to let them.

This process has awakened This process has awakened India and China and a hundred India and China and a hundred

other remote parts of the other remote parts of the world. And the unreachables world. And the unreachables

are suddenly within our reach.are suddenly within our reach.

Globalization has become a Globalization has become a reality. It is upon us!reality. It is upon us!

Untouchables of India drink Untouchables of India drink from the gutters; ragpickers from the gutters; ragpickers defecate in the streets. They defecate in the streets. They have no home and no hope. have no home and no hope.

Yet just a few miles away Yet just a few miles away Bangaloreans in high-rises of Bangaloreans in high-rises of tinted glass and burnished tinted glass and burnished

steel are calling to tell steel are calling to tell Americans they are late with Americans they are late with

their Hummer payments.their Hummer payments.

Over 3 million university Over 3 million university degrees in science and degrees in science and

technology will be granted this technology will be granted this year. year.

Fully half of them will be Fully half of them will be earned by Asians.earned by Asians.

In Singapore 44% of 8th graders In Singapore 44% of 8th graders excel in math; 38% in Taiwan; excel in math; 38% in Taiwan;

07% in the United States.07% in the United States.

Will the Indian or Chinese Will the Indian or Chinese equivalent of Simon Cowell tell equivalent of Simon Cowell tell you one day that you one day that youyou have no have no

talent? Will you stare in talent? Will you stare in disbelief like the dimwitted disbelief like the dimwitted

losers of American Idol?losers of American Idol?

The U.S. has no national policy The U.S. has no national policy for promoting broadband. To for promoting broadband. To

all other industrialized nations all other industrialized nations Internet innovation is a Internet innovation is a

priority. priority.

Entanglement in an Entanglement in an unwinnable war and unwinnable war and Dancing Dancing with the Stars with the Stars becomes our becomes our

priority.priority.

Bill Gates is the Britney Spears Bill Gates is the Britney Spears of India. Tim Berners-Lee (the of India. Tim Berners-Lee (the inventor of the Internet) holds inventor of the Internet) holds that position in China. Britney that position in China. Britney Spears is the Britney Spears of Spears is the Britney Spears of

the U.S.the U.S.

More than 3,000,000,000 of More than 3,000,000,000 of the world’s 7 billion people live the world’s 7 billion people live

in poverty right now. in poverty right now.

Will the Wal-Marts of the world Will the Wal-Marts of the world with their fantastic supply with their fantastic supply

chains offer comfort, hope or chains offer comfort, hope or change for the better?change for the better?

If you are one in a million in If you are one in a million in China, there are 1,300 people China, there are 1,300 people just like you. In India there are just like you. In India there are

1,100 people just like you.1,100 people just like you.

The 25% of the population in The 25% of the population in China with the highest IQ is China with the highest IQ is

greater than the total population greater than the total population of North America. In India, it’s the of North America. In India, it’s the

top 28%.top 28%.

They have more honors kids They have more honors kids than we have kids!than we have kids!

China and India are in a race China and India are in a race to become the number one to become the number one English speaking country in English speaking country in

the world.the world.

In the ten minutes it takes you In the ten minutes it takes you to watch this presentation 75 to watch this presentation 75 babies will be born in the U.S.; babies will be born in the U.S.;

300 in China; 440 in India.300 in China; 440 in India.

The 10 most desirable jobs in The 10 most desirable jobs in 2012 don’t exist today. We are 2012 don’t exist today. We are

preparing the students of preparing the students of today for jobs that don’t yet today for jobs that don’t yet

exist…exist…

……using technologies that using technologies that haven’t been invented, solving haven’t been invented, solving problems that we don’t even problems that we don’t even

know are problems yet.know are problems yet.

Technological change is Technological change is exponential. So we won’t exponential. So we won’t experience 100 years of experience 100 years of

progress in the 21st century. progress in the 21st century.

It will be more like 20,000 It will be more like 20,000 years of progress at today’s years of progress at today’s

rate of advancement.rate of advancement.

Within the next decade Within the next decade machine intelligence will machine intelligence will

surpass human intelligence. surpass human intelligence.

This profound occurrence This profound occurrence represents a rupture in the represents a rupture in the

fabric of human history.fabric of human history.

You will live to see the merger You will live to see the merger of biological and non-biological of biological and non-biological

intelligence, immortal intelligence, immortal software-based humans…software-based humans…

……and ultra-high levels of and ultra-high levels of intelligence expanding intelligence expanding

outward into the universe at outward into the universe at the speed of light.the speed of light.

So come now ye leaders - And please So come now ye leaders - And please heed the callheed the call

Don't stand in the doorway - And don't Don't stand in the doorway - And don't block the hallblock the hall

For he that gets hurt - Will be he who For he that gets hurt - Will be he who has stalledhas stalled

There's a battle outside - And it is There's a battle outside - And it is ragin'.ragin'.

As it’s shakin’ your windows - And As it’s shakin’ your windows - And rattlin’ your wallsrattlin’ your walls

The times they are a-changin'The times they are a-changin'

"The course of civilization is a "The course of civilization is a race between catastrophe and race between catastrophe and

education. In a democracy education. In a democracy such as ours, we must make such as ours, we must make sure that education wins the sure that education wins the

race."race." John F. Kennedy John F. Kennedy

Acknowledgements and Special Thanks to:Acknowledgements and Special Thanks to:The Law of Accelerating Returns by Ray The Law of Accelerating Returns by Ray Kurzweil; http://www.kurzweilai.net/articlesKurzweil; http://www.kurzweilai.net/articlesThe Fischbowl Blogspot by Karl Fisch; The Fischbowl Blogspot by Karl Fisch; thefischbowl.blogspot.comthefischbowl.blogspot.comThe Times They Are A Changin’ by Bob Dylan; The Times They Are A Changin’ by Bob Dylan; Ziff Davis Publishing Holdings Inc., New York, Ziff Davis Publishing Holdings Inc., New York, New YorkNew YorkThe World Is Flat by Thomas L. Friedman, The World Is Flat by Thomas L. Friedman, 2006; Farrar, Straus and Giroux, New York, 2006; Farrar, Straus and Giroux, New York, New YorkNew York