the traditional role of fixed income may be challenged titlefor institutional use only - not for...
TRANSCRIPT
Title <Sub heading>
The Traditional Role of Fixed Income May Be Challenged
Investing Where It Counts
Shawn J. Mato, CFA, CAIA
Senior Vice President
Senior Portfolio Manager
For Institutional Use Only - Not for Public Distribution
Westwood
®
Source: Callan Associates, 2016.
Returns have become
increasingly costly when
measured per unit of risk
“
Estimates of what investors needed to earn 7.5%
100% Bonds
52%
12%
20%
5%
14%
5% 4%
33%
8%
22%
13%
12%
1995 2005 2015
Bonds
U.S. Large Cap
U.S. Small Cap
Non-U.S. Equity
Real Estate
Private Equity
7.5% 7.5%
8.9% 17.2%
7.5%
6.0%
Expected
return
Standard
deviation
The Challenge | The Traditional Role of Fixed Income May be Challenged
The Challenge | Rising Interest Rates
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield
The pro-growth implications
of the U.S. election result
may accelerate the trajectory
of interest rate normalization
1.30%
1.50%
1.70%
1.90%
2.10%
2.30%
2.50%
2.70%
Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16
1.88%
Election Day
2.45%
Current
Source: Strategas, January 3, 2017
Definition of a Convertible
Generally speaking, a convertible is a security that can be
converted into a fixed number of common shares at the
option of the holder.
A convertible is a combination of a fixed income security
and an embedded equity option.
Bond
Equity Option
Convertible
+
=
Characteristics of Convertibles
Advantages
• Downside protection
• Upside participation
• Provides a yield advantage
over the underlying common
shares
• Ahead of common
shareholders in capital
structure
Disadvantages
• Provides a lower yield than the
straight corporate debt
• Potential for equity dilution
• Generally less liquid than
stocks
• More volatile than straight debt
Global Convertibles | Overview
7 Investing Where It Counts
Market size and Regional Allocation source: Nomura Research as of 3/17/2017.Credit Quality and Sector Breakdown are represented by the Thompson Reuters Global Focus Convertible Bond Index.
Data as of 12/31/2016. Data Source: © 2016 FactSet Research Systems Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Global Convertibles | A Diverse $335 Billion Market
Regional Market Cap Allocation (%)
17%
Asia & Other
53%
U.S.
30%
Europe
Sector Breakdown (%)
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
Credit Quality Breakdown (%)
60%
Not Rated 11.8%
Investment
Grade
19%
High Yield
8 Investing Where It Counts
Hypothetical Convertible Return vs. Equity Return
9 Investing Where It Counts
Current Beginning of 2008
Investor Base | Transformation
Source: Westwood, estimates as of 12/31/2016.
Long Only Investors Hedge Funds &
Proprietary Desks
An investor base shift from hedge funds and proprietary desks to more traditional investors
has reduced leverage, concentration and efficiency in the convertible asset class.
10 Investing Where It Counts
Insights
The recent downturn in the market
has disproportionately impacted
capital intensive companies.
Low duration; well positioned against
a short-term rise in interest rates.
Global opportunity set provides increased
diversification and greater breadth to
navigate market volatility.
Strategic Case for Global Convertibles Supported by Attractive Valuations
BAML G300 Index -
Composite
Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch as of December 31, 2016
Global convertible valuations remain attractive relative to historical levels
10
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Market Outlook | Attractive
% D
iscount
Rela
tive t
o H
isto
rical A
vera
ge
11 Investing Where It Counts
With the global convertible market trading below fair value, it remains a fragmented market but
skewed to the cheap side
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
>5% +3 to 5% +1 to 3% +1 to -1% -1 to -3% -3 to -5% <-5%
11
Percentage Discount
Ma
rke
t W
eig
hti
ng
Cheap Expensive
Convertible Market Cheapness*
Below Fair Value/Cheap
*Using BAML G300 Index to represent the broader convertible market. Data as of 12/31/2016. Source: Bank of America Merrill.
Market Outlook | Attractive
12 Investing Where It Counts
Market Neutral Income | Overview
13 Investing Where It Counts
Absolute Return Target
Aims to achieve a 4-6% return
(net of fees) annualized over
a full market cycle.
Low Volatility
Seeks to achieve low volatility profile for
asset allocators who require an emphasis
on loss limitation regardless of the market
environment.
Uncorrelated Returns
Potential for uncorrelated returns
and attractive diversification
benefits with traditional equity and
fixed income allocations.
Low Equity Beta
Neutralizes systematic equity risk with
the potential to generate positive results
regardless of market direction.
Westwood Market Neutral Income | Potential Investor Benefits
14 Investing Where It Counts
Primary sources of
return consist of
combining three
portfolios that aim
to neutralize
systematic risk.
50-60%
30-40%
0-5%
Yield
Focused
40-60%
Arbitrage
30-50%
Macro
0-10%
Yield + Equity Optionality
Mispriced Convertibles
+ Yield + Gamma Capture
Macro Hedging
Investment | Process
15 Investing Where It Counts
A market-neutral
approach utilizing
convertible bonds
can potentially serve
as a complement to
fixed income.
Yield
Focused Arbitrage
Macro
0-5%
Macro
Long-Yield-Focused Opportunities (40-60%)
o Short maturity and high credit conviction
o Discount to implied fair value
o Attractive yields
o Good liquidity and issue size
Long-Short Convertible Arbitrage Opportunities (30-50%)
o Pure convertible arbitrage: price of bond relative to fair value
o Gamma strategies
o Market directional within equity and credit markets
Macro Hedging (0-10%)
o Equity and Credit Risks – Partially hedged
o Interest Rate Risk and Volatility – Partially hedged
o Currency – Hedged to USD
Portfolio | Construction
16 Investing Where It Counts
4.3% Annualized Net Return Since Inception
Absolute return target of 4-6% with 1/3 equity
volatility
-0.02 Correlation Since Inception
vs. Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate
Bond Index
7+ Year Strategy Track Record
Portfolio team with a history of creating
leading-edge absolute return strategies
2.0% Current Yield
1.6 years effective duration
All data as of 12/31/2016 with an inception date of 1/1/2010. Frequency: Monthly. Equity volatility defined as the standard deviation relative to the MSCI World-ND. Annualized Return and Correlation
calculated using FactSet. Current Yield, Duration and Implied Credit Rating represent that of a representative account. Data Source: © 2016 FactSet Research Systems Inc. All Rights Reserved. Past
performance is not indicative of future results. Performance provided is net of management fees. As with any investment strategy, this strategy involves risk of loss. Please see appendix for full
performance disclosures. The disclosures provided are considered an integral part of this presentation.
Why Westwood Market Neutral Income | Alternative Income Focus
17 Investing Where It Counts
Net Delta (%) 17.00
Global Equity Beta1 SI 0.22
Sharpe Ratio2 SI 0.93
Max Drawdown SI -7.90
VaR (%) 2.76
Rate of Return (%) 4.27
Standard Deviation 4.49
Annualized
Returns and Volatility
Westwood Market Neutral Income*
Evaluation
Measures
1 Market Proxy: MSCI World Index Net* ($US). 2 Risk Free Proxy: 3 Month T-Bill ($US). *All statistics reflect composite statistics except Net Delta and VaR, which reflect that of a representative account.
Data as of 12/31/2016; Inception date: 1/1/2010; Frequency: Monthly. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance provided is net of management fees. Data Source: © 2016
FactSet Research Systems Inc. All Rights Reserved. The information presented is shown as supplemental information to the GIPS compliant disclosure included in the appendix. Please see appendix
for full performance disclosures. The disclosures provided are considered an integral part of this presentation.
Portfolio | Statistics Market Neutral Income Composite, Since Inception (SI) | As of December 31, 2016
Correlation to Bloomberg
Barclays U.S. Agg SI -0.02
18 Investing Where It Counts
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1 Year 3 Year 5 Year
Drawdown for the Market
Neutral Income composite has
exceeded 5% only once since
inception with a recovery rate of
three months.
“
Risk (as Measured by Annualized Standard Deviation)
4.49
Standard
Deviation
1/3 Equity
Risk
Westwood Market
Neutral Income
LIBOR-1 Month MSCI World-ND
Westwood Market Neutral Income | Emphasis on Low Volatility
Data as of 12/31/2016; Inception date is 1/1/2010; Frequency: Monthly. Data Source: © 2016 FactSet Research Systems, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
As with any investment strategy, this strategy involves risk of loss. Please see appendix for full performance disclosures. The disclosures provided are considered an integral part of this presentation.
19 Investing Where It Counts
4Q16 YTD 1-Year
Trailing
3-Years
Trailing
5-Years
Trailing
Since
Inception
Market Neutral Income Net of Fees (Inception: 1/1/2010) -0.10% 6.67% 6.67% 2.63% 5.20% 4.27%
LIBOR USD 1 Month 0.15% 0.50% 0.50% 0.28% 0.26% 0.25%
Westwood Market
Neutral Income
Composite, Net
LIBOR USD 1 Month
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Prior firm performance returns and benchmark returns are subject to change. The performance data for the period from 1/1/2010 to 9/30/2014
reflects the performance of a registered investment company managed by the portfolio management team members while at a prior employer. During that period, the portfolio management team
members primarily responsible for the Market Neutral Income strategy were primarily responsible for the management of the registered investment company. Returns reflect the deduction of transaction
costs and other administrative fees. Net returns prior to 10/1/2014 reflect the deduction of actual investment advisory fees. Westwood maintains the records that document and support the performance,
which are available upon request. Data Source: © 2016 FactSet Research Systems Inc. All Rights Reserved. Please see appendix for full performance disclosures. Disclosures are also available online
at http://westwoodgroup.com/disclaimers.pdf. The disclosures provided are considered an integral part of this presentation.
Performance | Update As of December 31, 2016
-0.10
6.67 6.67
2.63
5.20
4.27
0.15 0.50 0.50
0.28 0.26 0.25
-1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
4Q16 YTD 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year Since Inception
Composite Performance (%)
20 Investing Where It Counts
Westwood Market Neutral Income | Strategy Summary
Objective
Our objective is to produce absolute returns
of 4-6% (net of fees), on an annualized basis
over a full market cycle, with low volatility.
Expected Volatility
1/3 equity volatility over a full market cycle.
Philosophy
Convertible bonds within an absolute return
framework can provide superior risk-adjusted
returns.
Strategy
Actively managed, utilizing a market-neutral approach to
investing in convertible securities. Incorporates a shorter-dated,
yield-oriented portfolio and a convertible arbitrage strategy while
reducing volatility through macro hedging.
Dedicated Team
Our team has over 60 years of combined experience in
convertible bonds, options, equity and credit analysis. The
team is dedicated to the asset class and has developed
expertise within their field.
Liquidity
Daily
As of January 31, 2017
21 Investing Where It Counts
Market Neutral Income | Compliant Presentation
22 Investing Where It Counts
Past performance is not indicative of future results. The information contained herein represents the views of Westwood Management
Corp. at a specific point in time and is based on information believed to be reliable. No representation or warranty is made concerning the
accuracy or completeness of any data compiled herein. Any statements non-factual in nature constitute only current opinion, which is subject to
change. Any statements concerning financial market trends are based on current market conditions, which will fluctuate. All information
provided herein is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be, and should not be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or
recommendation to buy or sell or otherwise invest in any of the securities/sectors/countries that may be mentioned. In addition, there can be no
guarantee that any projection, forecast or opinion in these materials will be realized. These materials are provided for informational purposes
only.
The charts, data and statistics where indicated herein show portfolio characteristics, evaluation measures and delta and regional, sector, credit,
and/or currency breakdown for the representative account as of the period end date. The representative account was selected by the firm
as it was deemed to best represent this strategy. Portfolio characteristics, evaluation measure and delta, regional, sector, credit, and currency
breakdown, and holdings may vary from account to account, subject to any client-imposed restrictions. Westwood’s analysts closely monitor
the securities held in our portfolios. Should a company’s underlying fundamentals or valuation measures change, Westwood may re-evaluate
its position and may sell part or all of its positions. Data Source: Westwood Management Corp., Bloomberg, FactSet Research Systems, Inc.
and KYNEX. All Rights Reserved.
Disclosures