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2017 Interim Results Thursday 3 rd August

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Page 1: Thursday 3rd August - Cobham plc/media/Files/C/Cobham-IR/... · 2017-08-03 · Cobham plc Summary Financial Headlines H1 2017 £m H1 2016 £m Order intake 915.8 1,170.4 Revenue 1,003.3

2017 Interim Results Thursday 3rd August

Page 2: Thursday 3rd August - Cobham plc/media/Files/C/Cobham-IR/... · 2017-08-03 · Cobham plc Summary Financial Headlines H1 2017 £m H1 2016 £m Order intake 915.8 1,170.4 Revenue 1,003.3

Cobham plc 2

Agenda

Introduction David Lockwood, Chief Executive Officer

Financial Results David Mellors, Chief Financial Officer

01 02 03 04 Business Review David Lockwood

Questions

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Introduction David Lockwood

01

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Cobham plc 4

Highlights

First half results in line with expectations; full year outlook unchanged albeit there remains a wide range of potential outcomes for 2017

In early stages of turnaround; focus on priorities of: (1) customers (2) leadership and simplification and (3) control and execution

Portfolio review undertaken: commencing strategic review of Wireless and AvComm business units

plc Board refresh underway

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Financial Results David Mellors

02

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Cobham plc

Summary Financial Headlines

H1 2017 £m H1 2016 £m

Order intake 915.8 1,170.4

Revenue 1,003.3 916.7

Underlying operating profit 89.9 102.2

Underlying operating margin 9.0% 11.1%

Underlying earnings per share (pence) 2.5 3.8

Operating cash flow 108.3 108.0

Operating cash conversion 120% 106%

Net debt 460.8 877.2

Net debt:EBITDA ratio 1.5x 2.3x

Dividend (pence) - 2.03

6

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Cobham plc 7

Order Intake Bridge

H1 2016 Currency & i/c Elims

Divestments CCC CMS CAES CAVS Qantas

H1 2017

£m

0

250

500

750

1000

1500

1,170.4

139.2

4.8

17.0 27.8

23.2

430.4

915.8

1250

19.8

CAVS Other

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Cobham plc 8

Revenue Bridge

H1 2016 Currency & i/c Elims

Divestments CCC CMS CAES CAVS H1 2017

£m

0

250

500

750

1000

1250

916.7

94.6

7.2 12.1

3.7 12.6

5.0

1,003.3

(3%) 2% 5% (3%)

Organic revenue 0.1% lower

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Cobham plc

Underlying Operating Profit Bridge

9

H1 2016 Currency & Divestments

CCC CMS CAES CAVS Centre H1 2017

£m

0

50

100

150

102.2

13.0

2.9 9.4

11.2 0.6

89.9

1.2

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Cobham plc

£m H1 2016 FX Organic H1 2017

Order Intake 311.6 25.9 17.0 354.5

Revenue 328.5 29.4 (12.1) 345.8

Underlying operating profit 21.9 5.2 (1.2) 25.9

Underlying operating margin 6.7% 7.5%

Order Book 269.6 263.4

Communications and Connectivity

10 Note: Revenue by currency; USD 28%, EUR/DKK 48%

Organic revenue decrease driven by:

• AvComm distributor change and large order in 2016

• SATCOM lower aerospace retrofit

• Wireless test and coverage increased volumes provide partial offset

Profit impacted by:

• Revenue decrease

• Restructuring (£3.6m); increased PV (£3.8m)

• 2016 included Wireless charge of £9m

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Cobham plc

Mission Systems

11

£m H1 2016 FX Divested Organic H1 2017

Order Intake 179.6 17.0 (4.8) 27.8 219.6

Revenue 187.5 18.5 (7.2) 3.7 202.5

Underlying operating profit 24.3 2.7 0.4 (2.9) 24.5

Underlying operating margin 13.0% 12.1%

Order Book 622.7 646.1

Note: Revenue by currency; USD 79%

Organic revenue increase driven by:

• Actuation control subsystems

• Air Separation Module for B737 NG operators

• Decrease in aerial refuelling and KC-46 development revenue

Profit impacted by:

• Lower aerial refuelling production revenue

• KC-46 development trading at nil margin in 2017

• 2016 included high margin UOR

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Cobham plc

Advanced Electronic Solutions

12

£m H1 2016 FX Organic H1 2017

Order Intake 247.1 33.3 (23.2) 257.2

Revenue 225.6 30.2 12.6 268.4

Underlying operating profit 27.3 3.3 (9.4) 21.2

Underlying operating margin 12.1% 7.9%

Order Book 615.0 630.1

Note: Revenue by currency; USD 99%

Organic revenue increase driven by:

• Higher development revenue

• Higher EW production volumes

• Lower RFMW components and ASICS

Profit impacted by:

• Adverse revenue mix, including lower margin development revenue

• Increased costs (£7.5m) strengthening functional infrastructure, IT systems and security compliance

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Cobham plc

Aviation Services

13

£m H1 2016 FX Organic H1 2017

Order Intake 432.1 64.5 (410.6) 86.0

Revenue 175.7 17.1 (5.0) 187.8

Underlying operating profit 21.2 1.7 (11.2) 11.7

Underlying operating margin 12.1% 6.2%

Order Book 1,436.4 1,276.1

Note: Revenue by currency; AUS$ 60%

Organic revenue decrease driven by:

• Reduced flying for natural resources and Qantas repricing

• Completion of helicopter services contract

• Initial revenue from AMSA mobilisation

Profit impacted by:

• Reduced revenue and mix

• Non-recurring charges relating to legacy issues (£2.7m)

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Cobham plc

Movements in Net Debt

14

Opening net debt

Operating cash flow pre capex.

Net capital expenditure

Net interest

Restructuring & acquisition/

divestment costs

Net rights issue proceeds

Other & FX

£m

0

250

500

750

1000

1250

1,028.2

134.9

26.6 21.4 5.9

460.8

6.7

Closing net debt

496.7

17.0

Taxation

• Operating cash conversion of 120%

• Free cash flow of £64.6m

• Gearing ratio 1.5x

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Cobham plc 15

Balance Sheet

£m 30-Jun-17 31-Dec-16 30-Jun-16

Current working capital 335.8 384.3 384.5

Net receivables/payables >1 year 29.4 34.5 49.8

Total Working Capital 365.2 418.8 434.3

Net debt

(460.8) (1,028.2) (877.2)

Provisions

(195.5) (237.9) (124.5)

Pension deficit

(64.2) (87.0) (74.0)

Note: Contingent Liabilities have been disclosed in note 14 to the Interim Financial Statements

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Business Review

David Lockwood

03

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Cobham plc

Communications &

Connectivity

Business Units 5

Operating units 25

Cobham Today

17

4 Sectors

14 Business Units

46 Operating units

Mission Systems

Business Units 3

Operating units 4

Aviation Services

Business Units 3

Operating units 4

Advanced

Electronic Solutions*

Business Units 3

Operating units 13

* Reporting into refreshed SSA Board

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Cobham plc

Customer Focus

18

Increasing customer intimacy; improving delivery

Improving customer intelligence and building

relationships

• More regular leadership meetings: resulting in enhanced understanding of customer views and needs

• Air Marshall Greg Bagwell CB CBE appointment

• Increased government and trade body participation

Monitoring and driving customer satisfaction

• Collecting and reviewing key customer related indicators

• Aligning internal measures to our customer commitments

• Actively using customer score cards

Focusing on improving delivery

• Focus on processes to improve on-time delivery

• Group-wide training; targeting training 500 employees in 2017

• Coaching on operational planning techniques where needed

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Cobham plc

Leadership and Simplification

19

Freeing potential

Instilling a common sense of purpose and motivation

• Strengthened CAES Board (SSA)

• Increased engagement with top 200 leaders and collaboration encouraged

• Visited two thirds of businesses - three quarters of headcount – and all-hands meetings

Reducing and simplifying internal policies

• Streamlined Group policy framework and 40% reduction in policies

• Delegated authorities used as an active management tool

Focusing on most critical performance metrics

• Remove unnecessary system reports and data line items

• Reporting burden reduced - 70% fewer non-financial key performance indicators

• Monthly operational review packs now standardised; comprehensive finance pack

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Cobham plc

Control and Execution

20

Many improvement initiatives underway

Increasing visibility and accountability

• Business unit reviews increased to monthly, with greater clarity on performance and improved accountability

• Culture of transparency

Increasing scrutiny of key development programmes

• Group-level review of material programmes; drive increased rigour

• Reinforcement of underlying processes (e.g. LCM)

Operational improvements

• New internal COO appointment; consolidating supply chain, quality, information technology and engineering functions

• Launching supply chain and manufacturing plans to drive cost reductions and improve quality and customer delivery

• Investment in quality, supply chain and infrastructure

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Cobham plc

Portfolio

21

CAES SCS CAES SCS

Commercial Connectivity

Commercial Aerospace

Defence

Services/Systems

Subsystems

Products

Components

CAVS Commercial

CAVS Special Mission

CAVS Helicopter Services

CCC Wireless & AvComm

CMS Wimborne

CMS Davenport

CMS Orchard

Park

CCC SATCOM

CAES IES

CCC Antennas

CAES MES

CAES SCS

CCC Aero

Comms.

Bubble sizes proportionate to Cobham revenue contribution in H1 2017

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Cobham plc 22

Portfolio Review

• Focus on areas where Cobham can add value:

- Assess commonality of markets, capabilities and offerings

- Judge market knowledge and management expertise to optimise performance

Review undertaken of business portfolio

• Investigate how to optimise shareholder value:

- Strong technology and/or market positions

- Comprise c10% of Group revenue

Commencing strategic review of Wireless & AvComm business units

A defence and commercial aerospace company which designs and delivers services, systems and products

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Cobham plc

Summary and Outlook

• First half results in line with expectations

• In the early stages of a challenging turnaround – may encounter some turbulence along the way

• Leading positions in attractive markets

• A number of high quality businesses with differentiated technology and know-how

• Full year outlook remains unchanged – albeit with a wide range of potential outcomes

23

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Questions

04

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Appendices

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Cobham plc

Revenue Underlying Operating Profit

H1 2017 £m H1 2016 £m H1 2017 £m H1 2016 £m

CCC Margin

345.8 357.9 25.9 7.5%

27.1 7.6%

CMS Margin

202.5 198.8 24.5

12.1% 27.4

13.8%

CAES Margin

268.4 255.8 21.2 7.9%

30.6 12.0%

CAvS Margin

187.8 192.8 11.7 6.2%

22.9 11.9%

HO and Elims (1.2) (0.7) 6.6 7.2

Subtotal Margin

1,003.3 1,004.6 89.9 9.0%

115.2 11.5%

Divestments - 7.2 - -

Exchange - (95.1) - (13.0)

Cobham Group – as reported Margin

1,003.3 916.7 89.9 9.0%

102.2 11.1%

26

Revenue and Underlying Operating Profit by Sector

2016 data at 2017 FX rates

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Cobham plc 27

Income Statement

H1 2017 £m H1 2016 £m

Revenue 1,003.3 916.7

Underlying operating profit 89.9 102.2

Underlying net finance costs (20.4) (26.4)

Underlying profit before taxation 69.5 75.8

Amounts related to prior periods’ restructuring programmes (2.4) (8.3)

Derivative financial instruments 18.2 (25.1)

Amortisation of intangible assets arising on business combinations (72.4) (81.4)

Adjustment to revisions of the carrying value of assets provided at 31/12/16 1.4 -

Profit on divestments - 0.6

Profit / (loss) before taxation 14.3 (38.4)

Taxation 2.0 13.4

Profit / (loss) after taxation 16.3 (25.0)

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Cobham plc 28

Revenue by Destination and Market Segment

H1 2017 H1 2016

48%

9%

16%

12%

10% 5%

£1,003m 47%

9%

17%

11%

11%

5%

£917m 33%

26%

41% £917m

Group Revenue by Destination

USA UK Other EU Australia Asia ROW US Defence/ Security

UK, RoW Defence/Security

Commercial

Group Revenue by Market Segment

35%

24%

41%

£1,003m

H1 2017 H1 2016

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Cobham plc

7%

16%

77%

H1 2016 H1 2016 H1 2016

29

Market Segment Revenue by Sector

Communications and Connectivity

Mission Systems

Advanced Electronic Solutions

Aviation Services

H1 2017 H1 2017 H1 2017 H1 2017

H1 2016

US Defence/ Security

UK, RoW Defence/Security

Commercial

56% 33%

11%

80%

5%

15%

57%

43%

7%

16%

77%

51%

42%

7%

80%

4%

16%

57%

43%

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Cobham plc 30

Taxation

H1 2017 £m H1 2016 £m

Underlying tax charge (16.4) (16.7)

Tax credit on non-underlying items 18.4 30.1

Headline tax credit 2.0 13.4

Underlying tax rate 23.6% 22.0%

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Cobham plc 31

Underlying Earnings Per Share

H1 2016 reported

PY impacts of rights

issue

H1 2016 restated

FX translation

Tax rate CY impact of rights issue

Year-on-year change

0.0

4.4p

0.6p

3.8p

0.5p

0.1p

3.1p

2.5p

Organic movements

H1 2016 ‘like for like’

0.6p

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

H1 2017 reported

1.1p

(13.6)% 13.1% (2.6)% (28.9)% (15.8)%

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Cobham plc 32

Shares in Issue

1,707.9m

Opening number of shares (1 Jan 2017)

2,084.2m 2,391.0m

Weighted average number of shares (to 30 Jun 2017)

Closing number of shares (30 Jun 2017)

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Cobham plc 33

Balance Sheet

30-Jun-17 £m 31-Dec-16 £m

Intangible assets 1,069.7 1,165.9

Property, plant and equipment 403.0 422.9

Other non-current assets 144.0 141.3

Non current assets 1,616.7 1,730.1

Inventories 415.8 405.3

Trade and other receivables < 1 year 359.0 409.8

Trade and other payables < 1 year (439.0) (430.8)

Current working capital 335.8 384.3

Net current tax liabilities (141.5) (146.4)

Net debt (460.8) (1,028.2)

Provisions (195.5) (237.9)

Retirement benefit obligations (64.2) (87.0)

Other assets/liabilities (96.9) (125.0)

Net assets 993.6 489.9

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Cobham plc 34

Cash Conversion

H1 2017 £m H1 2016 £m

Underlying operating profit (less post tax share of JV profits) 89.9 102.1

Depreciation and amortisation 41.4 33.9

Share based payments 2.3 1.3

Movements in provisions (35.9) (7.7)

Pension contributions in excess of pension charges (8.6) (8.2)

Decrease in working capital 45.8 23.1

Gross capital expenditure (27.4) (40.7)

Proceeds on disposal of PPE 0.8 4.2

Operating cash flow 108.3 108.0

Cash conversion 120.5% 105.8%

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Cobham plc 35

Movement in Net Debt

H1 2017 £m H1 2016 £m

Operating cash flow 108.3 108.0

Net interest paid (21.4) (27.1)

Taxation paid (17.0) (9.7)

Costs of prior years’ restructuring programmes (5.3) (17.2)

Free cash flow 64.6 54.0

Dividends paid - (91.6)

Net divestments (0.6) (6.5)

Net rights issue proceeds and allocation of treasury shares 497.0 492.8

Exchange movements 6.4 (119.1)

Decrease in net debt 567.4 329.6

Opening net debt (1,028.2) (1,206.8)

Closing net debt (460.8) (877.2)

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Cobham plc 36

Capital Expenditure and Depreciation

1) Shown net of proceeds on disposal of property, plant and equipment.

2) Depreciation excludes amortisation of acquired intangibles but includes amortisation of other intangibles of £5.3m (2016: £3.0m). Shown net of profit/loss on sale of property, plant and equipment.

£m H1 2017 H1 2016

Net Capex(1) Depn(2) Net Capex(1) Depn(2)

Cobham Communications and Connectivity 3.0 7.7 3.4 7.4

Cobham Mission Systems 1.1 3.2 4.1 2.8

Cobham Advanced Electronic Solutions 6.9 8.1 2.0 6.5

Cobham Aviation Services 15.0 18.0 20.4 14.9

Head Office 0.6 4.4 6.6 2.3

Cobham Group 26.6 41.4 36.5 33.9

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Cobham plc 37

Defined Benefit Pension Schemes

H1 2017 £m FY 2016 £m

Market value of scheme assets 797.6 790.0

Present value of scheme liabilities (861.8) (877.0)

Net pension liability before deferred tax (64.2) (87.0)

Primary assumptions Discount rate Inflation rate Life expectancy of male aged 65 in 2045

2.60% 3.30%

90.2yrs

2.65% 3.45%

90.2yrs

Sensitivity of scheme liabilities to primary assumptions* Discount rate Inflation rate Life expectancy of male aged 65 in 2045

Change Increase by 1.0% Increase by 0.5% Increase by 1 year

Impact Decrease by 9% Increase by 3% Increase by 2%

*Sensitivity updated annually: figures are at 31 December 2016

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Cobham plc 38

Credit Facilities

Loan/Facility £m

Usage £m

US$ loan notes US$75m fixed rate (Oct. 2017) US$180m fixed rate (Oct. 2019) US$250m fixed rate (Oct. 2021) US$425m fixed rate (Oct. 2024)

57.7

138.6 192.5 327.1

57.7

138.6 192.5 327.1

715.9 715.9

Bank facilities US$75m credit agreement (Dec 2019) EUR70m multi-currency revolving facility (Oct. 2018) DKK525m multi-currency revolving facility (Oct. 2018) US$270m multi-currency credit agreement (Oct. 2018) AUS$90m revolving credit facility (Oct. 2018) US$40m Schuldschein agreement (May 2020) EUR131m Schuldschein agreement (May 2020) EUR4m Schuldschein agreement (May 2022)

57.7 61.5 62.0

207.9 53.1 30.8

115.1 3.5

57.7

- - -

19.9 30.8

115.1 3.5

591.6 227.0

Total committed facilities 1,307.5 942.9

Overdrafts Finance leases

- 0.4

- 0.4

Gross debt 1,307.9 943.3

Cash (482.5)

Net debt 1,307.9 460.8 Dec 17

Dec 18

Dec 19

Dec 20

Dec 21

Dec 22

Dec 23

Dec 24

£m

0

200

1,000

1,200

1,400

800

600

400

Net Debt at Jun 2017 £461m

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Cobham plc 39

Covenants

1) For covenant purposes net debt is typically expressed at average translation rates

2) EBITDA includes pro forma adjustments in respect of acquisitions and divestments

H1 2017 FY 2016 H1 2016 FY 2015

Net debt (£m) – balance sheet (460.8) (1,028.2) (877.2) (1,206.8)

Net debt (£m) – average rate (1) (469.6) (937.9) (786.0) (1,160.7)

EBITDA (2) (£m) 314.8 316.5 346.5 396.4

Net debt to EBITDA (not to exceed 3.5 times) 1.5 3.0 2.3 2.9

EBITA (£m) 238.9 245.2 280.7 333.4

Net interest (£m) 41.7 48.0 50.5 48.7

Interest cover (at or above 3 times) 5.7 5.1 5.6 6.8

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Cobham plc 40

Exchange Rates

Average Rate Period End

Rate

H1 2017 US$ AUS$ EUR DKK

1.26 1.67 1.16 8.64

1.30 1.69 1.14 8.47

FY 2016 US$ AUS$ EUR DKK

1.35 1.83 1.22 9.11

1.24 1.71 1.17 8.71

Impact of pro rata 1 cent movement

Revenue £m PBT £m

US$ AUS$ EUR/DKK

9 2 3

1 0 0

14 1

H1 2016 US$ AUS$ EUR DKK

1.43 1.95 1.28 9.54

1.34 1.80 1.20 8.95

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Cobham plc

$ / DKK $ / £

2017 Total

Hedging in Place 80% 89%

Average Hedge Rate $1:DKK 6.50 $1.43:£1

Hedging in Place

2018

Average Hedge Rate $1:DKK 6.48 $1.37:£1

2019 to 2022 $2m

Average Hedge Rate $1:DKK 6.07 $1.44:£1

41

Hedging Transaction Exposure

$89m

$71m

$62m

$80m

$112m

$126m

$40m

Dollar/Euro exposure predominantly hedged for 2017 with $58m @ 1.13

2013 $1.59: £1

2014 $1.61: £1

2015 $1.59: £1

2016 $1.51: £1

Historic Average Effective Rate

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Cobham plc

SEP

17

OCT

17

NOV

17

DEC

17

JAN

18

FEB

18

MAR

18

APR

18

MAY

18

JUN

18

JUL

18

AUG

18

42

IR Calendar R

esu

lts

Inve

sto

r E

ve

nts

12th- 15th DSEI

exhibition, London

25th

Trading update

1st

Preliminary Results 2017

26th AGM & AGM

statement

2nd Interim Results 2018

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Cobham plc

Definitions

Underlying measures To assist with the understanding of earnings trends, the Group has included within its published financial statements non-GAAP measures including underlying operating profit and underlying

profit. The non-GAAP measures used do not include the impact of items described below which are not considered to reflect the day to day operating results of the Group. Underlying measures

are therefore considered to provide a more comparable view year-on-year, having removed the distorting effects of the excluded items which are more clearly understood when presented

separately. All underlying measures include the operational results of all businesses including those held for sale until the point of sale.

Underlying operating profit This has been defined as operating profit from continuing operations excluding the specific adjusting items as described below.

• Business acquisition and divestment related items excluded from underlying operating profit and underlying profit comprising the amortisation of intangible assets arising on business

combinations, gains or losses arising on business divestments, and other direct costs associated with business combinations and terminated divestments;

• Amounts relating to prior periods’ restructuring programmes which are incremental to normal operations and non-recurring in nature. In 2017 and 2016, these relate to the integration of

the Aeroflex businesses acquired in 2014. Where restructuring costs are incurred as a result of the on-going execution of Group strategy, such costs are included within administrative

expenses and are not excluded from underlying results;

• Changes in marking to market of non-hedge accounted derivative financial instruments and gains and losses arising on dividend related foreign exchange contracts; and

• Other items deemed by the Directors to be of exceptional, non-operating nature including impairment of intangible assets and adjustments arising from the January 2017 Balance Sheet

review.

Underlying profit before taxation Underlying profit before taxation is defined as underlying operating profit less net underlying finance costs, which exclude business acquisition and divestment related items and non-recurring

finance costs.

Free cash flow and operating

cash flow

Free cash flow is defined as net cash from operating activities plus dividends received from joint ventures, less cash flows related to the purchase or disposal of property, plant, equipment and

intangible assets but excluding payments relating to business acquisition and divestment related activities.

Operating cash flow is free cash flow before payment of tax, interest and restructuring costs. Operating cash conversion is defined as operating cash flow as a percentage of underlying operating

profit, excluding the share of profit from joint ventures and associates.

Net debt Net debt is defined as the net of borrowings less cash and cash equivalents at the balance sheet date.

Organic revenue growth Organic revenue growth is defined as revenue growth stated at constant translation exchange rates, excluding the incremental effect of acquisitions and divestments

43

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Cobham plc

Disclaimer

For the purposes of the following disclaimers, references to this ‘document’ shall be deemed to include references to the presenters’ speeches, the question and answer session and any other related verbal or written communications.

This document contains certain ‘forward-looking statements’ with respect to the financial condition, results of operations and business of Cobham plc (Cobham) and to certain of Cobham’s plans and objectives with respect to these items. Forward-looking statements are sometimes but not always identified by their use of a date in the future or such words as “anticipates”, “aims”, “due”, “could”, “may”, “should”, “expects”, “believes”, “intends”, “plans”, “targets”, “goal”, or “estimates”. By their very nature, forward-looking statements are inherently unpredictable, speculative and involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or will occur in the future. There are various factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. These factors include but are not limited to, changes in the economies, political situations and markets in which the Group operates; changes in government priorities due to programme reviews or revisions to strategic objectives; changes in the regulatory and competition frameworks in which the Group operates; the impact of legal or other proceedings against or which affect the Group; changes to or delays in programmes in which the Group is involved; the completion of any acquisitions and divestitures and changes in currency exchange rates. All or written or verbal forward-looking statements, made in this document or made subsequently, which are attributable to Cobham or any other member of the Group or persons acting on their behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the factors referred to above. Cobham does not intend to update these forward-looking statements.

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Cobham plc

Notes

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Notes

46