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1 QUALITY AND FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF PRIVATE EQUITY OWNED NURSING HOMES IN THE STATE OF FLORIDA By ROHIT PRADHAN A DISSERTATION PRESENTED TO THE GRADUATE SCHOOL OF THE UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA 2010

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QUALITY AND FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF PRIVATE EQUITY OWNED NURSING HOMES IN THE STATE OF FLORIDA

By

ROHIT PRADHAN

A DISSERTATION PRESENTED TO THE GRADUATE SCHOOL OF THE UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT

OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY

UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA

2010

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© 2010 Rohit Pradhan

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To my Mom

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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

A work of this nature is impossible without the help and support of many people. I

would like to thank my committee chair, Dr. Harman, for his constant encouragement

and support throughout my PhD. I acknowledge his patience in repeatedly going over

the methods section with me and answering all my questions. I am indebted to Dr. Hyer

for her generosity in sharing the data. To other members of my committee, Dr. Duncan,

Dr. Al-Amin, and Dr. Neff, a big ―thank you‖ for all your help. I acknowledge my

department chair, Dr. Duncan, for his much-needed words of wisdom and

encouragement.

One of the pleasures of being part of this department is the friendship I have

developed and enjoyed over the years with my fellow PhD students. To all those who

have traveled the same path with me, thank you for your friendship. I especially record

my thanks to Alex Laberge, Michael Morris and Latarsha Chisholm; without them this

process would have been much harder.

I remain grateful to Dr. Weech-Maldonado for his mentorship, infinite patience

and guidance throughout these last few years I have had the opportunity to work with

him. Above all, I thank him for his wonderful camaraderie and friendship. Finally, I

acknowledge my parents whose unconditional love and blind faith in me has always

encouraged me to chase my own dreams, and script my own destiny.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS page

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS .................................................................................................. 4

LIST OF TABLES ............................................................................................................ 7

LIST OF FIGURES ........................................................................................................ 11

ABSTRACT ................................................................................................................... 12

CHAPTER

1 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................... 15

Background ............................................................................................................. 15 Role of Nursing Homes in the Health Care System ................................................ 18

Nursing Home Reimbursement ............................................................................... 20 Medicaid ........................................................................................................... 20 Private Pay ....................................................................................................... 22

Medicare ........................................................................................................... 22 Quality of Care in Nursing Homes .................................................................... 22

OBRA and Nursing Home Quality .................................................................... 24 Market-based Approaches to Improve Quality in Nursing Homes .................... 25 Distribution of Nursing homes by Ownership/Structure .................................... 26

Dominance of For-Profits.................................................................................. 27

Dominance of For-Profit Chains ....................................................................... 28

The Boom Years in the Nursing Home Industry ............................................... 30 The Crisis in the Nursing Home Industry .......................................................... 32

Mariner Health Group ................................................................................ 36 Beverley Enterprise .................................................................................... 37 Genesis Health Care .................................................................................. 41

Defining Private Equity ..................................................................................... 43 Organization of Private Equity Market .............................................................. 44

Nursing Homes in Florida ....................................................................................... 46 Private Equity Investments in Florida Nursing Homes ............................................ 46 The Rationale for this Study .................................................................................... 47

2 CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK ............................................................................... 54

Influence of Ownership on Quality and Financial Performance ........................ 54 Ownership and Financial Performance ............................................................ 56 Private Equity and Financial Performance........................................................ 57

Management Buyouts ...................................................................................... 58 Ownership and Quality ..................................................................................... 59 Quality of Care and Private Equity ................................................................... 60 Conceptual Framework .................................................................................... 61

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Agency Theory ................................................................................................. 62

Manager Accountability .................................................................................... 63 Free Cash Flow Theory and the Role of Debt .................................................. 65

Other Anticipated Benefits of Private Equity Ownership ................................... 67 Private Equity Ownership and Quality of Care ................................................. 68

3 METHODS .............................................................................................................. 74

Datasets ........................................................................................................... 74 Merging Datasets ............................................................................................. 76

Population ........................................................................................................ 78 Quality Variables .............................................................................................. 79

Structural measures of quality .................................................................... 79 Process measures of quality ...................................................................... 82

Outcome measures of quality .................................................................... 85 Financial Performance Measures ..................................................................... 88

Independent Variables ..................................................................................... 91 Control Variables .............................................................................................. 92

Other Variables ................................................................................................ 93 Model................................................................................................................ 93 Quality Variable Analysis .................................................................................. 95

Financial Variable Analysis ............................................................................... 97

4 RESULTS ............................................................................................................. 105

Hypothesis 1 ......................................................................................................... 105

Hypothesis 2 ......................................................................................................... 108

Structural Variables ........................................................................................ 109 Process Variables .......................................................................................... 110 Outcome Variables ......................................................................................... 111

5 DISCUSSION ....................................................................................................... 116

Quality of Care ...................................................................................................... 116

Financial Performance .......................................................................................... 119 Managerial Implications ........................................................................................ 123 Policy Implications ................................................................................................ 126

Limitations ............................................................................................................. 129 Conclusions .......................................................................................................... 130

APPENDIX: BACKGROUND TABLES ........................................................................ 133

LIST OF REFERENCES ............................................................................................. 164

BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCH .......................................................................................... 184

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LIST OF TABLES

Table page 1-1 Private equity investment in nursing homes ....................................................... 52

1-2 Florida nursing homes by organizational types................................................... 53

1-3 Major private equity nursing homes acquisitions in Florida ................................ 53

3-1 RN hours per patient day distribution ............................................................... 100

3-2 LPN hours per patient day distribution .............................................................. 100

3-3 CNA hours per patient day distribution ............................................................. 100

3-4 Skill mix distribution .......................................................................................... 100

3-5 Pressure sore prevention distribution ............................................................... 100

3-6 Restorative ambulation distribution ................................................................... 101

3-7 Pressure ulcer-high/low risk prevalence distribution ......................................... 101

3-8 Non-operating revenue distribution ................................................................... 101

3-9 Non-operating costs per patient day distribution ............................................... 101

3-10 Operating margin distribution............................................................................ 101

3-11 Total margin distribution ................................................................................... 102

3-12 Acuity index distribution ................................................................................... 102

3-13 Dependent variables and their definitions ......................................................... 103

3-14 Independent variables and their definitions ...................................................... 104

3-15 Control variables and their definitions ............................................................... 104

4-1 Descriptive statistics of dependent variables .................................................... 112

4-2 Descriptive statistics of independent control and variables .............................. 113

4-3 Financial performance of private equity nursing homes: Model 1 ..................... 113

4-4 Financial performance of private equity nursing homes: Model 2 ..................... 114

4-5 Private equity nursing homes quality indicated by structural variables: Model1 114

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4-6 Private equity nursing homes quality indicated by structural variables: Model2 114

4-7 Private equity nursing homes quality indicated by process variables: Model1 . 115

4-8 Private equity nursing homes quality indicated by process variables: Model2 . 115

4-9 Private equity nursing homes quality indicated by outcome variables: Model1 115

4-10 Private equity nursing homes quality indicated by outcome variables: Model2 .............................................................................................................. 115

5-1 Rehabilitation categories under PPS ................................................................ 132

A-1 T test of dependent quality variables ................................................................ 133

A-2 T test of dependent financial variables ............................................................. 134

A-3 Chi square test of LPNs on contract by Equity ................................................. 135

A-4 Chi square test of RNs on contract by Equity ................................................... 135

A-5 Chi square test of Actual harm citations by Equity............................................ 136

A-6 Operating revenue PPD: Model 1 ..................................................................... 137

A-7 Operating revenue PPD: Model 2 ..................................................................... 137

A-8 Operating cost PPD: Model 1 ........................................................................... 138

A-9 Operating cost PPD: Model 2 ........................................................................... 138

A-10 OLS of non-operating revenues PPD: Model 1................................................. 139

A-11 OLS of non-operating revenues PPD: Model 2................................................. 139

A-12 OLS of non-operating costs PPD: Model 1 ....................................................... 140

A-13 OLS of non-operating costs PPD: Model 2 ....................................................... 140

A-14 OLS of operating margin: Model 1 .................................................................... 141

A-15 OLS of operating margin: Model 2 .................................................................... 141

A-16 OLS of total margin: Model 1 ............................................................................ 142

A-17 OLS of total margin: Model 2 ............................................................................ 142

A-18 Logit of % Medicare: Model 1 ........................................................................... 143

A-19 Logit of % Medicare: Model 2 ........................................................................... 143

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A-20 Logit of % Medicaid: Model 1............................................................................ 144

A-21 Logit of % Medicaid: Model 2............................................................................ 144

A-22 Logit of % Other: Model 1 ................................................................................. 145

A-23 Logit of % Other: Model 2 ................................................................................. 145

A-24 OLS of Acuity index: Model 1 ........................................................................... 146

A-25 OLS of Acuity index: Model 2 ........................................................................... 146

A-26 OLS of RN hours PPD: Model1 ........................................................................ 147

A-27 OLS of RN hours PPD: Model2 ........................................................................ 147

A-28 OLS of LPN hours PPD: Model2 ...................................................................... 148

A-29 OLS of LPN hours PPD: Model 2 ..................................................................... 148

A-30 OLS of CNA hours PPD: Model 1 ..................................................................... 149

A-31 OLS of CNA hours PPD: Model 2 ..................................................................... 149

A-32 OLS of skill mix: Model 1 .................................................................................. 150

A-33 OLS of skill mix: Model 2 .................................................................................. 150

A-34 Logistic regression of LPNs on contract: Model 1 ............................................. 151

A-35 Logistic regression of LPNs on contract: Model 2 ............................................. 151

A-36 Logistic regression of RNs on contract: Model 1 .............................................. 152

A-37 Logistic regression of RNs on contract: Model 2 .............................................. 152

A-38 OLS of Pressure sore prevention: Model 1 ....................................................... 153

A-39 OLS of Pressure sore prevention: Model 2 ....................................................... 153

A-40 OLS of Restorative ambulation: Model 1 .......................................................... 154

A-41 OLS of Restorative ambulation: Model 2 .......................................................... 154

A-42 Logit of use of restraints: Model 1 ..................................................................... 155

A-43 Logit of use of restraints: Model 2 ..................................................................... 155

A-44 Logit of use of catheters: Model 1 ..................................................................... 156

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A-45 Logit of use of catheters: Model 2 ..................................................................... 156

A-46 Logit of ADL 4 point decline: Model 1 ............................................................... 157

A-47 Logit of ADL 4 point decline: Model 2 ............................................................... 157

A-48 Logit of bowel decline: Model 1 ........................................................................ 158

A-49 Logit of bowel decline: Model 2 ........................................................................ 158

A-50 Negative binomial regression of total deficiencies: Model 1 ............................. 159

A-51 Negative binomial regression of total deficiencies: Model 2 ............................. 159

A-52 Logistic regression of actual harm citation: Model 1 ......................................... 160

A-53 Logistic regression of actual harm citation: Model 2 ......................................... 160

A-54 OLS of pressure sore-h/l risk prevalence: Model 1 ........................................... 161

A-55 OLS of pressure sore-h/l risk prevalence: Model 2 ........................................... 161

A-56 Correlation matrix ............................................................................................. 163

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LIST OF FIGURES

Figure page 1-1 Long-term continuum of care ............................................................................. 50

1-2 Spending for nursing home care ........................................................................ 50

1-3 Percent nursing homes by chains 1993-2004 .................................................... 51

2-1 Donabedian‘s SPO model ................................................................................. 73

A-1 Nursing home deficiencies: scope and severity ................................................ 162

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Abstract of Dissertation Presented to the Graduate School of the University of Florida in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy

QUALITY AND FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF PRIVATE EQUITY OWNED

NURSING HOMES IN THE STATE OF FLORIDA

By

Rohit Pradhan

December 2010

Chair: Jeffrey S. Harman Major: Health Services Research

Purpose: Private equity has acquired multiple large nursing home chains within

the last few years; by 2007, it owned six of the 10 largest chains. Critics have alleged

that private equity nursing homes compromise on quality of care in pursuit of profits and

have called for greater congressional and regulatory oversight. Quality of care in

nursing homes is an area of important public concern because it concerns the well-

being of some of the nation‘s most vulnerable citizens; in addition, as the principal payer

of nursing home care, government has a strong interest in nursing home performance.

However, the empirical evidence on the purported impact of private equity on nursing

home performance remains limited and often contradictory; ergo this study.

Methodology: Secondary data from the Medicare Cost Reports, Minimum Data

Set (MDS), the On-line Survey Certification of Automated Records (OSCAR) file, Area

Resource File (ARF), and Brown University‘s Long-term Care Focus dataset are

combined to construct a longitudinal dataset for the study period 2000-2007. The initial

population comprised of over 6000 observations with an average of approximately 760

nursing homes for each year of the study period. Of those 760 nursing homes,

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approximately 200 are not-for-profit, 300 non-chain based while 40 are hospital based.

All these observations are eliminated resulting in a final sample consisting of 2822

observations. Dependent quality variables consist of structure (RN, LPN, CNA staffing

ratios, skill mix, and RNs and LPNs contract), process (restraints, catheters, pressure

ulcer prevention, and restorative ambulation) and outcomes (ADL worsening, pressure

sores, bowel continence decline, deficiencies, and actual harm citation). Dependent

financial variables consist of operating and non-operating revenues, operating and non-

operating costs, operating and total margins, payer mix (census Medicare, census

Medicaid, census other), and acuity index. Independent variables primarily reflect

private equity ownership. The study was analyzed using ordinary least squares (OLS),

gamma distribution with log link, logit with binomial family link, negative binomial

regression, and logistic regression.

Results: Private equity nursing homes have significantly worse RN staffing while

they report higher CNA and LPN staffing than the control group. Skill mix is poorer in

private equity nursing homes. There is no difference in process or outcome variables

between private equity nursing homes and the control group except in case of

deficiencies where they perform significantly worse and pressure sore prevention,

where they report slightly better results. Private equity nursing homes have higher

operating margin as well as the total margin; they also have higher operating revenues

and costs.

Conclusions: Overall it appears that there isn‘t necessarily a tradeoff between

quality and financial performance; private equity homes are able to deliver significantly

better financial performance than the control group while quality is largely similar.

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However, causes for concern remains particularly due significant lowering of RN staffing

in private equity nursing homes and their significantly higher deficiencies. Greater

transparency should be ensured in private equity nursing home deals, and

accountability should be fixed via an expanded and strengthened regulatory framework.

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CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION

Background

Nursing homes are an integral part of the US healthcare system. In 2006, there

were 16,269 nursing home facilities with over 1,760,000 certified and 52,000 uncertified

beds in the U.S (Harrington, 2007). The expenditure on nursing home care totaled

$115.2 billion in 2004, which represented 6.1 percent of national health expenditures (C.

Smith, Cowan, Heffler, & Catlin, 2006). Experts estimate that over the next twenty

years, 46% of Americans aged 65 and above will reside, at least temporarily, in a

nursing home (Spillman & Lubitz, 2002).

Over the last two decades, the nursing home industry has constantly evolved in

response to regulatory, financial, and environmental challenges (Stevenson &

Grabowski, 2007). New regulatory requirements including minimum staffing levels were

imposed following the passage of Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act (OBRA), while

the financial viability of nursing homes was threatened by reimbursement reforms

introduced by the Balanced Budget Act (BBA) of 1997. As the continuum of care

evolves, nursing homes face ever-increasing competition from home health agencies,

assisted living facilities and hospitals. Occupancy rates for nursing home beds fell from

92% in 1987 to 87% in 1995 (Stone., 2000) and reduced further to 85% in 2006

(Harrington, 2007).

The nursing home industry has been adversely affected by the sluggish economy;

the 2009 federal budget imposed a $10 billion cut in Medicare (Department of Health &

Human Services, 2008) and further cuts are anticipated as the economic outlook

remains poor. On similar lines, budgetary and financial constraints of states (McNichol.

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& Lav., 2008) may further lower Medicaid reimbursement rates for nursing homes, as it

has happened previously (Smith., Ramesh., Gifford., Ellis., & Wachino., 2003). The

nursing home industry has struggled to respond to state specific changes—for

instance, the rise of a litigious climate in the states of Florida and Texas (Stevenson &

Studdert, 2003) leading to the strategic withdrawal of large nursing home chains from

these states (Stevenson & Grabowski, 2007).

Innovations introduced in the organizational structure of the nursing homes,

insofar as much as they affect the delivery of services, performance, and financial

viability remain a salient public policy concern. Public interest in the nursing home

industry is not only motivated by the fact that government is its largest payer (Agency

for Healthcare Administration, 2007) but because it concerns the well being of 1.6

million of America‘s most vulnerable citizens (Harrington, 2007). An important

organizational change introduced in the nursing home industry in recent years is private

equity financing. Private equity refers to a ―range of investments that are not freely

tradable on public stock markets‖ (Jensen, 2007); in essence, the acquired firms delist

from stock exchanges and are taken private. Investments are generally made in

underperforming publicly traded firms and private equity hopes to recoup their

investment by substantially improving the financial performance of acquired firms.

Private equity financing has witnessed exponential growth in the last two decades

and is currently estimated to be one-sixth the size of commercial bank loan market

(Fenn, Liang, & Prowse, 1995). Since 2000 the nursing home industry has witnessed

large scale purchases of chains by private equity ranging from Centennial Health

bought by Hilltopper in 2000 to Manor Care acquisition by the Carlyle group in 2007

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(Table 1). By 2007, private equity owned six of the largest chains representing 9 percent

of total nursing home beds (Harrington, 2007).

Private equity‘s increasing investments in nursing homes has sparked a vigorous

public policy debate because of the significant role nursing homes play in the

healthcare system and the peculiar features of private equity financing. Private equity is

thought to be excessively focused on profits particularly because of the short investment

horizon (Strömberg, 2007); in addition, it is considered to be the most expensive source

of finance (Covitz & Liang, 2001) creating pressure to generate high amount of cash

flow to service debts. Private equity owned firms are exempt from Security and

Exchange Commission (SEC) regulations, and face diminished requirements for public

disclosures of acquisitions and divestitures creating additional concerns over their

monitoring by regulatory authorities.

In October 2007, the New York Times produced an investigative report which

claimed that in the pursuit of profits, private equity owned nursing homes are

compromising on quality (Duhigg, 2007). A report by Service Employees International

Union (SEIU) (2007) has argued that private equity restructures nursing homes to

maximize profit, and lowers quality of care for residents. The furor which followed these

reports led to hearings by Subcommittee on Health of the House Committee on Ways

and Means as well as the Senate‘s Special Committee on Aging. In her testimony

before the House Committee on Ways and Means, Charlene Harrington, Professor of

Nursing at University of California, San Francisco opined that ―Private-equity firms do

not have the expertise and experience to manage complex nursing home

organizations.‖ (Harrington, 2007)

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Despite its important public policy implications and the growing chorus of concern,

limited independent evidence exists on quality and financial performance of private

equity owned nursing homes. Two important and linked questions need to be answered:

a) Literature suggests that private equity improves the financial performance of acquired

firms; is this relationship maintained in the nursing home industry? b) Does this pursuit

of profits adversely affect quality of care? In other words, how do private equity owned

nursing homes differ in their financial performance and quality of care vis-à-vis other

investor owned homes?

Role of Nursing Homes in the Health Care System

The National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) defines a nursing home as ―a

facility with three or more beds that is either licensed as a nursing home by its state,

certified as a nursing facility under Medicare or Medicaid, indentified as a nursing unit in

a retirement center, or determined to provide nursing or Medical care‖ (Delfosse, 1995).

Nursing homes provide a place of residence, temporary or permanent, for people who

require skilled nursing care and may suffer from illnesses, injuries, and functional or

age-related disabilities. Though most nursing home patients are over the age of 65, they

also may cater to younger patients.

The nursing home industry includes skilled nursing facilities (SNFs), Assisted living

Facilities (ALFs), and retirement homes providing different levels of care to residents

(Living, 2001) (Figure1). Retirement homes provide limited services, for instance, rooms

and meals while ALF‘s are designed for older adults with disabilities who may require

assistance with personal care but not medically intensive care (Spillman, Liu, &

McGilliard, 2002). SNFs provide the most complex level of medical and nursing care;

Medicare pays only for care provided in facilities classified as SNFs (Giacalone, 2001).

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In the U.S. healthcare system, nursing homes perform two important functions.

First, they provide long term care (LTC) to individuals. LTC is defined as ―a variety of

individualized, well-coordinated services that promote the maximum possible

independence for people with functional limitations and that are provided over an

extended period of time…in order to maximize the quality of life.‖ (Shi & Singh, 2009)

While longer stay in the LTC facility almost invariably results in progressive health

status decline due to co-morbidities—in 2000, the number of Americans suffering from

chronic conditions was 125 million (45%), a number which is stated to rise to 157 million

by 2020 (Shi & Singh, 2009), the desired goal of the LTC is to retain patient‘s health

status at the time of admittance, while providing maximum functional independence.

The second major function of a nursing home is to provide sub-acute care

designed for patients who ―are sufficiently stabilized to no longer require acute care

services but are too complex for treatment in a traditional nursing center‖ (Department

of Health and Human Services, 1994). It may include wound care, intravenous therapy,

ventilator support and rehabilitative therapy (Shi & Singh, 2009). The literature has

treated subacute care as continuum between acute-care hospitals and long-term care

facilities (Department of Health and Human Services, 1994).

The nursing home industry in the United States is highly regulated (Agency for

Healthcare Administration, 2007; Grabowski, 2004). At the state level, each nursing

home operating within its boundaries must be licensed by the state regulatory

authorities. Each state has basic standards of care which must be met by the nursing

homes verifiable through inspections which are generally held once every year. In the

state of Florida, the Agency of Health Care Administration (AHCA) is the regulatory

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body with oversight over nursing homes. In order to accept Medicare/Medicaid patients,

the nursing homes need to be certified by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid

Services (CMS).

Nursing Home Reimbursement

It is a highly complex system due to the multiplicity of payers—Medicaid,

Medicare, and private pay—and because states have broad latitude in designing their

own policies subject to federal guidelines; Medicaid nursing home payment rates and in

the specific methodology used to formulate the rates are idiosyncratic in nature. As

seen in figure 2, government is the largest payer for nursing home care—in 2005,

Medicare and Medicaid together accounted for 60 percent of nursing home spending

(Wiener, Freiman, & Brown, 2007). Therefore, public policies which affect

reimbursement influence organization, financial performance and quality of care in the

nursing home industry.

Medicaid

Medicaid, the state and federal program, is the major source of funding for those

with low income and assets (Department of Health and Human Services, 2009). In

2005, 44% % of nursing home revenues were derived from Medicaid (Wiener et al.,

2007) while it covers approximately 70% of total available beds (Feng, 2008). In 2005,

Medicaid expenditure on nursing home care totaled $53.6 billion. (Wiener et al., 2007)

In their discussion of state Medicaid reimbursement policies, Swan et al. (Swan &

Pickard, 2003) identify five payment methodologies: retrospective, prospective class,

prospective facility-specific, adjusted, and combination.

The most common reimbursement mechanism adopted by Medicaid programs is

the prospective per diem system (Feng, Grabowski, Intrator, Zinn, & Mor, 2008). In

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contrast to retrospective payments that reflect current costs, the prospective payment

rates are based on prior year costs. The main difference between prospective class and

prospective facility-specific is that in the latter, rates are set at the facility level rather

than a uniform rate across the state. Adjusted reimbursement is similar to retrospective

reimbursement except for its allowance of interim rate increases during the financial

year to reflect cost increase. Finally, the combination reimbursement methods are a

mixture of prospective and retrospective reimbursement (Swan et al., 2000). As of 1997,

only one state used retrospective reimbursement, 25 used prospective, 21 used

adjusted and 3 used combinations (Feng, Grabowski, Intrator, & Mor, 2006).

Over the last two decades, states have increasingly adopted the case-mix

reimbursement methodology to fine tune their nursing home reimbursement. In 1981,

merely four states used case-mix payments, the number had increased to 32 in 2002

and currently 35 states have adopted this system (Long Term Care Community

Coalition, 2009; Feng et al., 2006). Resource Utilization Group (RUG-III) classification

(Long Term Care Community Coalition, 2009; Fries et al., 1994), currently in its third

model, is the most commonly used model for case-mix adjustment. The principle logic

underlying the case-mix payment system is to reimburse medical facilities according to

resources consumed by particular group of patients, and, in turn, make it financially

remunerative for them to admit high-acuity patients (Arling & Daneman, 2002;

Willemain, 1980).

Florida follows a cost-based prospective payment system for Medicaid nursing

homes. Reimbursement rates are set for each provider based on its historical cost of

providing services with rate increases linked to pre-determined inflation indices. In case

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of nursing homes, ceilings are established separately for patient care costs, property

costs and operating costs. There is no case-mix reimbursement.

Private Pay

A smaller source of reimbursement for nursing homes is private pay which covers

26% of total nursing home reimbursement (Wiener et al., 2007). Nevertheless, since

Medicaid rates are only 70% of private pay rates, it is generally more lucrative for

nursing homes to admit such patients (Grabowski, 2004).

Medicare

Medicare covers nursing home care for beneficiaries requiring skilled nursing care

or rehabilitative therapy for conditions related to a minimum hospital stay of three days.

All necessary services—room and board, nursing care, and ancillary services such as

drugs, laboratory tests, and physical therapy—are covered for up to 100 days of care

per spell of illness subject to a coinsurance beginning the 21st day of therapy

(Government Accountability Office, 2002).

Before 1997, Medicare paid SNFs based on retrospective reasonable-cost basis.

While there were some limits imposed on routine care (room and board), ancillary

services including rehabilitation therapy were virtually unlimited (Government

Accountability Office, 2002). Starting July 1st, 1998, the Medicare Prospective Payment

System (PPS) established a prospectively determined per-diem payment rate for Skilled

Nursing Facility (SNF) patient care— adjusted for case-mix, area wages, urban or rural

status, and changes in input prices.

Quality of Care in Nursing Homes

Improving the quality of nursing home care continues to be an important public

policy goal (Mukamel & Spector, 2000; Walshe, 2001). Regulated through a complex

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system of federal and state regulations, nursing homes face constant regulatory and

environmental pressure to improve their quality of care. The government‘s interest in

improving nursing home quality parallels its gradual adoption of a dominant role in this

industry.

Before the passage of Medicare and Medicaid in 1965, no federal standards

existed on regulating nursing homes (Walshe, 2001) except for the requirement for state

licensure (Kumar, Norton, & Encinosa, 2006). Titles XVIII and XIX of the Social Security

Act of 1965 imposed federal standards on nursing homes to ensure that they deliver an

minimally acceptable standard of care (Government Accountability Office, 1999a).

Subsequently, Congress enacted federal legislation in 1967 and 1972 to further

strengthen the regulatory framework. However, nursing homes continued to face

criticism for poor quality of care; a Government Accountability Office (GAO) reported

(1971) that over half the federal certified facilities did not meet standards on physician

visits and fire standards.. Similarly, Hawes (1996) argues that federal and state

standards of 1970‘s and 1980‘s were inadequate to meet patient needs; state

inspections were flawed; and were poorly implemented. In addition, the regulation was

inordinately focused on nursing homes‘ ability to provide care rather than patient

centered outcomes; in terms of Donabedian‘s Structure-Process-Outcome (SPO)

model, structure was emphasized rather than process or outcomes (Wiener et al.,

2007).

The poor standard of nursing home care motivated the United States Congress to

ask the non-partisan Institute of Medicine (IOM) to recommend steps to address the

glaring gaps in quality of care. In a report released in 1986, IOM (1986) sharply

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criticized the prevailing standard of care in nursing homes and offered a series of

recommendations to improve the quality of care. In 1987, GAO (1987) reported that

deficiencies were widespread in patient care and recommended passage of a federal

legislation to improve quality of care. Largely in response to these reports, the Congress

passed the Nursing Home Reform Act as part of the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act

(OBRA) in 1987 which introduced sweeping reforms in nursing home regulation (Kumar

et al., 2006).

OBRA and Nursing Home Quality

Kumar et al. (2006) point out that OBRA introduced three principal changes to the

regulatory system. First, Nursing homes were obliged to provide minimum nursing hours

with availability of Licensed Practioner Nurses (LPN) 24 hours a day and continuous

training for care-givers. It also mandated that nursing homes provide a broader array of

services including provision of rehabilitation, pharmaceutical, and dental services

(Giacalone, 2001). Second, OBRA established standards of care which were much

more ―resident focused‖ than previous standards limiting use of restraints and

prohibited patient abuse, mistreatment and neglect (Wiener et al., 2007). It also

ordered the development of quality indicators based on residents‘ health outcomes:

Resident Assessment Instrument implemented nationwide in 1993 an important

component of which was the Minimum Data Set (MDS) (Mukamel & Spector, 2003).

Third, it imposed strict penalties on nursing homes violating government regulations

(Kumar et al., 2006). It created a uniform system by merging Medicare and Medicaid

standards survey and certification process (Wiener et al., 2007).

Despite the sweeping changes introduced by OBRA, the nursing home quality of

care remains a pressing public concern. Over the last few years, research continues to

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demonstrate nursing home residents remain susceptible to poor quality and gross

abuse and neglect (Government Accountability Office, 2000a, 2003; Wunderlich &

Kohler, 2001). In 2006, more than 90 percent facilities were cited for deficiencies while

one-fifth were cited for serious deficiencies (Wiener et al., 2007); importantly, this figure

may be an underestimation of actual deficiencies by as much as 40% (Government

Accountability Office, 2008). In its testimony before the U.S. Special Committee on

Aging, the GAO (2008) expressed concern over persistent variation in the proportion of

nursing homes reporting serious deficiencies.

Market-based Approaches to Improve Quality in Nursing Homes

In recent years, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) has

moved from a purely regulatory approach in which nursing homes were penalized for

poor quality to a broader paradigm which includes, apart from penalties, market and

consumer driven approaches like quality reporting and value-based purchasing. In

2001, the CMS announced the Nursing Home Quality initiative (NHQI)—a four-pronged

approach to improve nursing home quality (Kissam et al., 2003). It included public

reporting of nursing home quality measures disseminated via quality report cards

(Castle & Lowe, 2005; Kissam et al., 2003) culminating in the establishment of Nursing

Home Compare website (Centers for Medicare and Medicaid, 2009b). Public reporting

is predicated on the idea that empowering consumers with information on quality

(Mukamel & Mushlin, 1998) would incentivize competition in the nursing home market

based on relative quality of care (Marshall, Shekelle, Leatherman, & Brook, 2000).

Mukamel et al. (2008) demonstrate that publication of quality report cards resulted in

improvement of quality of care in nursing homes though the effect was not similar

across all quality variables.

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The CMS Nursing Home Value-Based Purchasing demonstration project seeks to

reward nursing homes that can improve or deliver high quality care in four specific

areas: staffing, resident outcomes, avoidable hospitalizations and reductions in

deficiency citations (Centers for Medicare and Medicaid, 2009a). Participating nursing

homes will be awarded points in each of the four targeted areas, and those with the

highest scores or greatest improvement will become eligible for a performance

payment. Approximately 200 nursing homes in three states (New York, Wisconsin, and

Arizona) are participating in the demonstration project.

Because the quality of care may be affected by multiple factors of which ownership

is an important factor (Davis, 1993; Hillmer, Wodchis, Gill, Anderson, & Rochon, 2005;

Spector, Selden, & Cohen, 1998); and because of the frailties associated with nursing

home residents, factors which may potentially impact nursing home quality are an

important regulatory concern. Unsurprisingly, a novel form of nursing home ownership

like private equity has raised concerns over quality of care and fueled demands for

greater regulatory oversight.

Distribution of Nursing homes by Ownership/Structure

Unlike the hospital sector, the nursing home industry has traditionally been

dominated by for-profit nursing home chains. According to the National Nursing Home

Survey 2004 (Figure 3), 61 % of total nursing homes are for-profit; 32% not-for-profit,

while 8% are government owned (Center for Disease Control, 2004). Similarly, 54% of

nursing homes belong to a chain while 45% are independents (Center for Disease

Control, 2004). Giacalone (2001) points out that legislative developments are

responsible for the ―pluralistic‖ provider structure of proprietary, not-for-profits and

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government; public policy has similarly promoted for-profit chains as pre-eminent

organizational form in the nursing home industry.

Dominance of For-Profits

The proprietary nature of the modern nursing home industry in the United States

owes its origins to the enactment of the Social Security Act of 1935 (Social Security

Administration, 1935). Previously, long-term care was restricted to almshouses which

delivered charitable services to the indigent. The Social Security Act introduced a

federal-grants-in-aid program to the states for means-tested old-age assistance (OAA)

to elderly who may not quality for old-age insurance (OAI) (Bradford, 1986). Strikingly,

the Act specifically prohibited aid to existing almshouses (Giacalone, 2001) while other

not-for-profit providers were hobbled by economic deprivation of the Great Depression

leading to depressed charitable donations—a major source of funding. Motivated by the

purchasing power of the elderly and aided by limited competition, for- profit entities

entered the elderly care market and the industry came to be dominated by ―mom and

pop‖ entities: for-profit nursing homes owned by individuals with very limited role for

corporation. After the conclusion of the Second World War, the proprietary nature of the

nursing home industry received further impetus from two factors: First, the vendor

payments system provided federal matching grants to states for direct payments to

nursing homes for care provided to OAA beneficiaries. Second, Small Business

Administration (SBA) and Federal Housing Authority (FHA) provided government dollars

for nursing home construction facilitating large-scale new constructions and expansion

of existing nursing homes. The advent of stable payments and construction loans

attracted entrepreneurs and real-estate speculators to the nursing home industry

(Bradford, 1986). Indeed, Lane has argued that ―capitalization of the profession by

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prudent real estate businessmen‖ explains the proprietary nature of the nursing home

industry (Bradford, 1986).

A further fillip to the nursing home industry was provided by the enactment of the

Social Security Amendments of 1965 which led to the establishment of Medicare and

Medicaid. While nursing homes were not part of the initial legislature, the 1967 Moss

Amendments provided the authority for nursing home participation in Medicaid

(Giacalone, 2001). The extension of coverage allowed hitherto excluded groups to

access nursing home care, and, in turn, ensured a constantly expanding market to

providers. The adoption of the ―reasonable cost-related reimbursement mechanism for

Medicaid subsequent to the passage of Public Law 92-603 in 1972 allowed providers

virtually unlimited reimbursement for services rendered1 (Giacalone, 2001). In addition,

nursing homes were reimbursed for capital investment including the facility—which in

effect, guaranteed profits. Bradford argues that ―lenient regulatory posture …full-cost

reimbursement, a guaranteed profit factor, and interest plus depreciation for capital

reimbursement…made nursing homes an attractive investment option‖ (Bradford,

1986). The government, financial, and market imperatives set in motion a process

favoring the proprietary model which has ensured the relative dominance of for-profits in

the nursing home industry to this day.

Dominance of For-Profit Chains

A chain is a ―collection of similar organizations, linked together into a larger ‗super-

organization,‘ that essentially do the same thing‖ (Ingram & Baum, 1997). Despite some

fluctuations in recent years, chains have exerted considerable influence over the

1 The public law 92-603 also introduced Supplemental Security Income (SSI) which expanded the

number of people eligible for Medicaid.

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nursing home industry (Harrington, 2007). While the proprietary model has been

dominant since the 1930‘s, the emergence of chains is a feature of the post-Medicare

environment; chains emerged as a strong organizational form in the 1970‘s. Harrington

et al. (Harrington, Mullan, & Carrillo, 2004) have pointed out that before 1965, the

nursing home industry was largely dominated by ―a cottage industry of local ―mom and

pop‖ providers.‖ Bradford (1986) argues that increased corporatization and formation of

large chains in the post-Medicare era is explained by ―changes in reimbursement and

regulatory policies, restrictions on bed supply, easier access for ―chains‖ to expansion

capital, and tax policies.‖

First, capital requirements increased because of tremendous demand for nursing

home care. Due to the overtly generous reimbursement policies and favorable tax

policies, nursing homes were highly profitable in the immediate post-Medicare era

increasing their appeal among Wall Street investors. Publicly traded chains had greater

access to financial markets to meet their capital needs vis-à-vis independents. Second,

the stricter licensing laws and increasing complexity of reimbursement mechanisms

favored chains as they had greater resources to meet regulatory and payment

complexities (Baum, 1999). Third, the use of Certificate of Need (CON) limited the

ability of nursing homes to expand by constructing new nursing homes thereby leaving

mergers and acquisitions (M&A) as the easiest route for expansion for nursing home

chains. The attractiveness of M&A was increased by continued strong demand for

nursing home care. Publicly traded chains benefited from their ability to finance M&A

because of greater access to capital markets. Finally, the deregulation mantra pursued

by the Reagan administration increased nursing home consolidation by limiting anti-trust

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concerns (Bradford, 1986). By the 1980‘s, growing demand for long-term care and

changes in public policy, especially reimbursement mechanisms, made the for-profit

chains a formidable player in the nursing home industry.

The Boom Years in the Nursing Home Industry

In 1983 the Prospective Payment System (PSS) was implemented in the hospital

industry. PPS replaced per diem reimbursement with fixed payments based on

diagnosis groups; hospitals now had an incentive to quickly discharge their patients

(Liu, Gage, Harvell, Stevenson, & Brennan, 1999). With no PPS in the nursing home

industry, the influx of high-acuity patients substantially expanded post-acute care

opportunities for nursing homes (Friedman & Shortell, 1988). In 1987, Congress passed

the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act (OBRA), which removed the distinction between

skilled nursing and intermediate care centers that existed for state Medicaid systems.

While OBRA increased the cost of care by mandating reforms like presence of

registered nurses at all times, it also increased the reimbursement rates to alleviate the

increased costs particularly for ancillary care (Liu et al., 1999). Focusing on ancillary

services—rehabilitation for example—virtually guaranteed higher profits. This resulted in

a rapid increase in Medicare SNF payments—between 1990 and 1998, Medicare

payments for SNF services increased by 2.5% annually reaching nearly $14 billion in

1998 (Government Accountability Office, 2002), driven largely by what the Office of

Inspector General (OIG) termed as excessive rehabilitative therapy (Government

Accountability Office, 1999b). In 1988, the Congress passed Medicare Catastrophic

Coverage Act of 1988, which increased coverage for seniors and removed hospital stay

requirements. Though the act was repealed the next year, nursing homes read it as a

signal for increasing payments.

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With demand for nursing home care starting to rise due to demographic changes,

the generous reimbursement policies attracted renewed interest of Wall Street and

national chains. Since avenues for new constructions were limited due to CON

requirements, consolidation became the buzz word facilitated by creative financial

mechanisms like Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) (Stevenson & Grabowski,

2007).

The REIT structure worked as follows: the company would sell some facilities to a

REIT, which would then lease them back to the company. The sale of assets would

increase the company‘s cash to either acquire more facilities or pay down debt

(Harrington et al., 2004). This strategy was perhaps first adopted by Vencor, a giant

nursing home chain which split into two companies: Vencor and Ventas. The latter

owned the real state and simply leased back the property to Vencor which functioned as

the operator. The acquisitions particularly in investor-owned chains were largely

financed by debt (Giacalone, 2001); overleveraged2 chains had diminished ability to

survive environmental shocks.

The 1990s was also a period of consolidation. Genesis acquired Meridian

Healthcare in 1995 and Multicare in 1997 while Vencor acquired Hillhaven for $1.9

billion in 1995. The second largest nursing home chain, Mariner Post-Acute network

was an amalgamation of Living Centers of America, Grancare, and Mariner (Giacalone,

2001). In addition, chains acquired complementary lines of business such as assisted

living, home health, and rehabilitation therapy (Walters, 1993).

2 Leverage refers to use of debt to supplement investments.

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In a matter of decades, an industry dominated by ―mom and pop‘‘ entities had

metamorphosized into an industry where giant chains were perhaps the most influential

players. Figure 4 illustrates the rapid dominance of chains; In 1991, chains controlled

39% of the nursing home market, a figure which had increased to 56% by 2002

(Harrington, 2007).

Equally pertinent to note is the increased industry concentration.3 In 1973, the

three largest national chains controlled 2.2% of the market, a figure which had

increased to 9.6% by 1982 (Bradford, 1986) Stevenson and Grabowski (2007) estimate

that between the years 1993 and 2005, the top five and ten chains averaged 16 percent

and 24 percent of the total proportion of chain facilities.

The Crisis in the Nursing Home Industry

In 2000, five of the largest nursing home chains operated under bankruptcy

protection (Harrington, 2007). While this crisis was precipitated by the enactment of the

Balanced Budget Act (BBA) of 1997, its roots can be traced to developments in the

nursing home industry over the previous decade.

In the fall of 1997, Congress passed the Balanced Budget Act which formally

ended the cost based system and marked the introduction of PPS in the nursing home

industry. Under the new system, SNFs are paid a case mix adjusted amount for each

day of care. Patients are assigned to one of 44 groups, called resource utilization

groups, version III (RUG–III) (Medicare Payment Advisory Commission, 2003; Fries et

al., 1994) which consist of seven major categories. Patients in a particular RUG group

3 An industry is said to be concentrated when it is dominated by a small number of firms who acquire

increased market power. Consolidation is thought to be anti-competitive..

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are expected to require similar amount of resources. The system incentivizes efficiency

as provider cost is no longer the sole deciding factor in deciding Medicare rates.

The period following passage of BBA saw a precipitous fall in the financial fortunes

of some of the largest nursing home chains. In September 1998, Sun Healthcare Group

reported poor results and Genesis Health Ventures followed suit in November, 1999

(Keaveney, 1999). Large chains, for instance, Mariner Post Acute Network, Vencor, and

Beverly Enterprises were affected by government investigations in their Medicare billing

practices resulting in large fines (Wall Street Journal, 1999).

Providers complained that Medicare payments were too low and placed them in an

unsustainable financial position (Government Accountability Office, 2000b; Harrington,

2007). Medicare SNF payments contracted by $1.3 billion between 1998 and 1999

while SNF days declined by 2%--both contrary to secular industry trends (Group, 2000).

It is certainly true that nursing home payments decreased due to implementation

of PPS. However, the nursing home chains overstated the adverse effects of PPS on

the financial performance. A Government Accountability Office (GAO) (1999b) report

released in 1999 claimed that Medicare payments remained adequate and blamed the

financial trouble of the large chains on rapid expansion. Similarly, testifying before the

United States Senate, the Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS) ( 2000)

pointed out that [bankrupt] ―chains generally had aggressively acquired new facilities

and expanded rapidly for several years prior to our Nursing Home Initiative and changes

in payment structures. They leveraged themselves heavily, paying top dollar for their

acquisitions and allowing their debt-to-equity ratios to spiral precipitously.‖

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For-profits had hitherto expanded without factoring in costs. The industry was

adversely affected by the cost of servicing old debts and sharply reduced Medicare

payments. In addition, companies faced higher labor costs in an era of economic

prosperity; staff costs typically comprise 60-70% of total nursing home costs (Feng et

al., 2008). The litigation environment turned increasingly hostile—in Florida, for

instance, the cost of litigation increased 37% annually (Department of Health and

Human Services, 2006).

This extraordinary confluence of factors viz. decreased Medicare rates, a tight

labor market, debts accumulated due to rapid acquisitions, and a litigious environment

affected the financial performance of the nursing home industry and prominent chains

began to file for bankruptcy protection. In 1999, Vencor filed for Chapter 11 protection

followed one month later by Sun Healthcare (American City Business Journals, 2000).

In January 2000, Marnier followed suit, (Newswire, 2000b) and in March 2000, Genesis

filed for bankruptcy. (Newswire, 2000a). In 2000, five of the largest nursing home

chains, with over 1800 facilities, operated under Chapter 11 protection (Kitchener,

O'Neill, & Harrington, 2005). Among large chains, only Beverly and Manor care

remained solvent.

Nursing home chains operating under Chapter 11 protection sought to emerge

from bankruptcy by focusing on core operations (Stevenson & Grabowski, 2007). In

sharp contrast to earlier aggressive acquisition posture, large national chains began to

divest facilities. Stevenson and Grabowski (2007).list three factors driving divestitures:

Poor Medicaid reimbursement, geographical dissonance, and high malpractice

expenses. Specifically, the nursing home chains divested from states with low Medicaid

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rates and high malpractice liability: Florida and Texas. This led to the first round of

private equity investment in the nursing home industry; large national chains divested

nursing homes in Florida (Stevenson & Grabowski, 2008). Similarly, the chains began to

exit the ancillary business.

As companies rationalized their portfolios and benefited from Medicare givebacks

in the form of Balanced Budget Refinement Act (BBRA) of 1999 and the Benefits

Improvement and Protection Act (BIPA) of 2000, they were able to improve their

balance sheets. In, 2001, Vencor, Genesis Health Venture, and Sun Healthcare Group

emerged from bankruptcy (Business Wire, 2002) followed by Mariner Post Acute

Network in 2002 (PR Newswire, 2002c).

Although, the financial situation of prominent national chains has improved in

recent years, raising capital remains a challenge for them. Traditionally, nursing home

chains had benefited from their ability to raise capital from the financial markets

(Banaszak-Holl., Berta., Bowman., C., & Mitchell., 2002). However, the financial crisis in

the industry made the capital markets wary of nursing homes with one analyst pointing

out that ―Public companies have no growth prospects because all the traditional means

for a public company to raise capital in the market are dried up‖ (Institutional Investor

Systems, 2000). From March 1998 to December 1999, the value of the public nursing

home industry fell 83%, from $13.4 billion to $2.3 billion (Saphir, 2000). Reflecting these

difficulties, alternative financial strategies such as REITs continue to be employed

(Stevenson & Grabowski, 2007). Starved of capital, it led to the second and decidedly

more massive entry of private equity in the nursing home industry (Stevenson &

Grabowski, 2008).

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Mariner Health Group

The story of Mariner Health group is a complicated one with multiple mergers and

acquisitions and constant spinning of new companies. Mariner was formed by merger of

two large nursing home chains: Paragon Health network and Mariner Health Group

which themselves were formed by multiple mergers & acquisitions (M&A).

The ARA group entered the nursing home industry in 1973 by forming ARA living

centers America (LCA). By 1980s ARA living center was operating 290 long-term

facilities for the mentally impaired primarily concentrated in the South. In the mid-

nineties, with rapid consolidation in the long-term care industry, LCA was sold to

Grancare, a nursing home operator based in Atlanta, Georgia. The merger created a

new nursing home operator called Paragon Health network.

On the other hand, Mariner Health Group began as a sub-acute care operator. It

grew rapidly in the 1990s with acquisitions of nursing home chains like Laurel, Pinnacle,

and Convalescent Services (Stratton, 1993; The Wall Street Journal, 1995a, 1995b). In

the pre-PPS era, the company continued to perform well and expanded by large

number of nursing homes purchases (The Wall Street Journal, 1997).

With the implementation of PPS in 1998, Mariner‘s earning came under pressure.

The company was downgraded by rating agency Standard & Poor and sources of public

financing died down. Left with no alternative, Mariner agreed to be acquired by Paragon

Health Network (The New York Times, 1998) effective July 31st 1998 (PR Newswire,

1998). The new company, renamed Mariner Post-Acute Network had 422 skilled-

nursing, subacute and assisted-living facilities in 42 states (Japsen, 1998). It was

believed that the company would benefit from economies of scale. Unfortunately,

Mariner performed poorly due to lowered reimbursements and limited access to capital

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funds; within 6 months of the merger, the stock of the combined entity was trading at

less than a dollar (Birger, 1998).

Plagued by continued financial problems, Mariner filed for chapter 11 bankruptcy

protection in year 2000 (Newswire, 2000b). Mariner continued to operate under

bankruptcy protection for the next 2 years, emerging from bankruptcy only in 2002 after

agreeing to a restructuring process. The newly formed entity was christened Mariner

Health Care (PR Newswire, 2002b), and it operated 300 nursing homes, a substantial

reduction from its prime (PR Newswire, 2002c).

In August 2003, Mariner Healthcare divested 19 of its Florida facilities to

Formation Capital citing rapidly rising liability costs, and difficulty in obtaining

malpractice insurance (Orlando Sentinel, 2003). In the same year, it further reduced its

exposure in Florida by terminating the lease of seven more facilities (PR Newswire,

2003c). Despite initial encouraging signs, Mariner‘s financial performance began to

deteriorate in 2004. Unable to generate the necessary cash flow, Mariner agreed to be

acquired by National Senior Care in a deal valued at $1 billion; the merger was

completed in December 2004 (The New York Times, 2004). As is frequently the case

with private equity financing, the deal was structured as a leveraged buyout (LBO).

Mariner, now currently known as Seva Care, currently operates approximately 180

nursing homes across United States.

Beverley Enterprise

Beverly enterprise was established in 1963 by Utah accountant Roy Christensen

as three convalescent hospitals near Beverly Hills, California. With the growing demand

for nursing home care in 1960‘s and 1970‘s, Beverly transformed itself into a nursing

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home operator and witnessed rapid growth. By 1983 Beverley was the largest nursing

home operator in the country.

In line with the then prevailing trends in the nursing home industry, Beverly also

diversified---for instance, Pharmacy Corporation of America (PCA) was incorporated as

its institutional pharmacy unit. Flush with easy Wall Street cash, Beverley continued to

grow mainly by the acquisition route (Martin, 1986), investing in nursing homes as well

non-core business like Computran (Michael A. Anderson, 1986). However, concerns

were expressed that Beverly was growing too fast (Flynn, 1986); in 1988, after reporting

two consecutive years of losses, Business Week commented that Beverly may need

‗‘intensive care‘‘ (Miles, 1988).

Motivated by the need to improve its financial performance, Beverley began to sell

substantial number of its nursing homes (Dawson, 1989; Ihle, 1989). The restructuring

improved Beverley‘s financial performance with company reporting profits in 1992

(Rengers, 1992). However, the acquisition bug bit Beverley again in the mid-1990‘s,

and it sought to invest in higher-margin businesses (post-acute care hospitals,

pharmacy services, rehab and respiratory therapy) (Tanner, 1993). As a result, Beverley

made multiple acquisitions: American Transitional Hospitals Inc. of Franklin, Tenn. and

Insta-Care Pharmacy Services of Tampa (David. Smith, 1995).The rapid expansion

negatively impacted its financial performance forcing Beverley to exit managed care and

its pharmacy business. Beverly also exited Texas' punitive liability environment, selling

49 nursing homes in the state (The Wall Street Journal, 1996).The Business Week

suggested that the Beverley was back to square one and was ―ripe for acquisition‘‘

(Forest, 1996).

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Beverley also faced regulatory challenges. National Labor Relations Board (NLRB)

held it guilty of illegal anti-union tactic (Karr, 1990), and it also set records for punitive

damages in 1997 and 1998, suffering $70 million and $95 million judgments (later

reduced to $54 million and $3 million, respectively) relating to patient neglect. Beverley

faced strong competitive challenges with the emergence of Sun Healthcare as a large

integrated nursing home operator.

As Beverly braced itself to face the challenges introduced by PPS, more bad news

was on the way. The federal government charged Beverly with systematically falsifying

records to defraud Medicare (Wall Street Journal, 1999). As part of its settlement, the

company agreed to pay $200 million in fines; it was also forced to shut down ten

facilities in California where Medicare fraud was held to be particularly egregious

(Hilzenrath, 2000). It was clear that only a massive restructuring process could save

Beverley.

In 2001 Beverly agreed to sell 49 nursing homes in Florida to a private equity

entity called Formation Capital. The primary motivation cited was high malpractice

insurance cost in Florida (The New York Times, 2001). On similar lines, Beverly

divested its Washington and Arizona operations, and reduced its California operations

by 50% due to patient liability costs. As it continued to report poor financial reports, it

decided to sell properties in Alabama, (Bassing, 2003), Mississippi (The Mississippi

Business Journal, 2003), and divested its home health care business in North Carolina

(Knight Ridder Tribune Business News, 2003).

The divestiture strategy continued in 2004 with company selling more than 80

nursing homes and its MATRIX Rehabilitation subsidiary, which operated outpatient

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therapy clinics specializing in occupational health and sports medicine. It attempted to

improve its bottom line by diversifying into more profitable eldercare businesses such as

hospices by acquiring Hospice USA (Business Wire, 2004). Though Beverley‘s financial

performance improved somewhat—it reported operating profits though overall it was still

in the red. By the end of 2004, Beverley was operating 356 nursing homes, a huge

decrease in numbers from the early nineties when it was operating more than 1000

nursing homes.

Beverley‘s poor financial performance was reflected in its depressed stock price;

from a high of over $12, it was traded at less than $6 by the end of 2004. With Beverley

sitting on valuable real estate, its cheap valuation meant that it was prime target for

private equity acquisition.

In January 2005 Formation Capital and associates expressed interest in buying

Beverley (Business Wire, 2005a) for $1.53 billion, an offer rejected by Beverly board in

February (Mantone, 2005b). Formation continued to pursue Beverly offering to sweeten

the deal while soliciting support to elect its own directors to Beverly board (Business

Wire, 2005b). In response, Beverly decided to offer itself for an auction (Wisenberg,

2005) leading to a frenzied bidding war between two private equity firms: National

Senior Care and Formation Capital.

National Senior Care offered $1.9 billion or $12.80 per share for Beverly, a

substantial premium on the $11.50 price initially offered by Formation (Loftus, 2005).

Formation Capital reacted by raising its offer price to $12.90 but eventually conceded

defeat when National Senior Care‘s further increased its offer price to $13 per share

(Wall Street Journal,2005). However, a few months later, National Senior Care

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expressed its inability to complete the deal and was replaced by another private equity

firm: Fillmore strategic investors (Mantone, 2005a).The acquisition was completed in

March 2006 (Business Wire, 2006a). Beverley continues to be owned by Fillmore

Strategic investors.

Genesis Health Care

Genesis HealthCare was created in 2003 as a result of a spin-off from Genesis

Health Ventures. However, the Company's history can be traced back to the mid-1980s.

Genesis Health Ventures was established in 1985 with nine nursing homes. Like

other major nursing home chains of the period, Genesis grew rapidly by adopting the

acquisition route (The Wall Street Journal, 1993), and by diversifying into related

services such as rehabilitation therapy, diagnostic testing, respiratory therapy, and

pharmacy services. It primarily focused on high-acuity patients which in the pre-PPS era

were particularly remunerative. In early nineties it reported strong profits (Hager, 1992,

1993) eventually growing into a $2.5 billion giant by 1995.

In 1997 Genesis Health Ventures and two investment funds agreed to pay $1.4

billion for nursing home operator Multicare Corp to create Genesis ElderCare

Acquisition Corp in what was perhaps the first LBO seen in the LTC industry (Darby,

1997). Explaining his strategy, Genesis‘ Chief Executive Officer (CEO) declared that the

nursing home care industry was ‗‘dead‘‘ and Genesis would focus on becoming a one

stop shop for elder care encompassing LTC as well as outdoor services (Telegram &

Gazette, 1997). ―The people will pay us to keep them home‘‘ (Peck, 1997), he further

declared.

Genesis perhaps could not have chosen a worse time to indulge in a major

acquisition. With the implementation of PPS, Genesis margins came under severe

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pressure while it faced cash flow pressure due to its high debt. In 1999 the company

reported a loss of over $200 million (Keaveney, 1999). Its downward spiral continued

with Genesis defaulting on its loans in 2000 (Brubake, 2000); its bond were assigned

junk status effectively killing its credit line. Left with no other option, in June 2000,

Genesis filed for bankruptcy (Newswire, 2000a). It operated under Chapter 11

protection till October 2001 when it emerged as single entity having integrated Multicare

which hitherto was being operated as division of Genesis (Business Wire, 2002).

Genesis attempted to improve its financial performance by seeking to acquire NCS

Healthcare, a large institutional pharmacy and merge it with Neighborcare, its existing

institutional pharmacy arm. The combined entity would have created the second largest

institutional pharmacy chain in US (PR Newswire, 2003b). However, it faced strong

opposition from another large institutional pharmacy, Omnicare, and after a protracted

legal battle, it terminated its agreement with NCS Healthcare (PR Newswire, 2002a).

As the nursing home business continued to bleed, Genesis mulled selling its 258

nursing home to private investors (Diskin, 2002). As a first step, in 2003, Genesis

divested its ten nursing homes in Florida in favor of Formation Capital (Morse, 2003). As

seen in almost all nursing home divestitures in Florida, liability cost was cited as the

primary motivation. Continuing its restructuring process, Genesis was split into two

parts: the pharmacy division—Neighborcare—was adopted by Genesis; it spun-off the

elder care business including nursing homes and rehabilitation services into a new

entity–Genesis HealthCare Corporation (PR Newswire, 2003a).

In 2007 the company announced that it had agreed to be acquired by private

equity firms Formation Capital and JER Partners for $63 per share for a total transaction

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value of $1.65 billion (Fernandez, 2007). Faced with shareholder grumbling at the ―low

valuation‖, the acquisition price was increased to $64.25 per share. After a short bidding

war with Fillmore investors, the deal was closed at a price of $69.35 a share (Business

Wire, 2006b) on July13th 2007. As of 2010, Genesis continues to be owned by

Formation Capital.

Even this brief history clearly establishes that nursing home chains had expanded

rapidly riding on easy money from Wall Street and innovative investment options. The

crisis in the industry was indeed precipitated by the introduction of PPS, but its origins

can be traced to investment decisions made by nursing home chains with little attention

paid to cash flow, debt servicing requirements, and long-term profitability.

Defining Private Equity

Defined as the market of ―professionally managed equity investments in the

unregistered securities of private and public companies‖ 4the private equity market has

existed since the 1940‘s; however, the industry truly developed in the 1980‘s. After a

blip in the 1990‘s with the disappearance of the junk bond market and large scale

bankruptcies in large leveraged deals (Kaplan & Strömberg, 2008), the private equity

4 Unregistered securities i.e securities not tradable on any stock exchange is a necessary but not a

sufficient condition for a firm to be labeled private equity owned. Securities of a firm in which the original promoters own 100% of the stock would be non-tradable on stock exchange but the company would be described as privately held. Whether the said privately held company is private equity owned or not is entirely dependent upon who owns the stocks. In most mature companies, additional funds are raised, for instance for funding an acquisition, by approaching the markets via a public offering. However, in some cases, companies may find it hard to raise funds via stock markets due to depressed stock prices or poor performance or even when promoters may wish to exit the company entirely. In that case, they may divest their entire take in favor of private equity; only then the company can be labeled as private equity owned. In addition, private equity may invest in publicly-held mature companies and take them private by buying their entire stock and delisting it from all stock exchanges. Another avenue for private equity investment is what is known as venture capitalists who invest in start-ups. Start-ups typically find it difficult to raise funds from markets or from financial institutions as they have no proven track record of delivering decent financial performance. Venture capitalists may step in the case as they are attracted by potential high earning even though there is also the downside of frequent start-up failures. The dot-com bubble of early 2000s was fueled largely by venture capitalists. In recent years, venture capitalists have invested heavily in social media platforms like facebook and twitter.

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market has grown exponentially in recent years with Morgan Stanley estimating that in

2007, ―2,700 Private equity funds represented 25% of global mergers and acquisition

activity, 50% of leverage loan volume, 33% of the high yield bond market, and 33% of

the initial public offerings market‖ (Jensen, 2007).

Organization of Private Equity Market

In its simplest form, private equity consists of three major players: issuers, private

equity funds, and investors. Issuers are company which may be unable to raise public

funds (Fenn et al., 1995) and have stable free cash flow to service high amount of debt

(Jensen, 1989). Private equity funds are organized as limited partnerships in which the

general partners manage the fund and the limited partners provide most of the capital

(Kaplan & Strömberg, 2008). Private equity funds are typically of 10 year duration after

which the funds are liquidated and profits distributed among the limited and general

partners (Fenn et al., 1995). Finally, there are the investors who are large institutional

funds--for instance, pension funds attracted by the higher returns offered by private

equity.

Limited partners are compensated in three ways (Kaplan & Strömberg, 2008).

First, they may earn an annual management fees as share of capital invested. Second,

the profits earned by private equity funds are divided in 20:80 ratio between the limited

and general partners. This constitutes the largest share of income earned by limited

partners and creates a strong incentive to consistently deliver superior financial

performance. Third, they may charge deal and monitoring fees on an annual basis.

Kaplan (2008) explains the typical private equity transaction as follows. Private

equity pays 15 to 50 percent premium for public firms over their current stock prices.

The purchase is financed heavily through the use of debt with a debt: equity ratio of

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ranging from 6 to 1 or even 9 to 1. Debt includes a senior or secured debt arranged

through a bank, institutional investors or hedge funds. It also includes a junior,

unsecured debt financed by high yield bonds or ―mezzanine debt‖; this debt is

subordinate to the secure debt which means that in case of defaults, the former have

the first claim on the remaining resources of the firm. The remaining funds are the

equity portion arranged from the limited partners with a small portion of equity

investment coming from the new management team.

The key feature of private equity deals is leverage—in essence, transfer of risk

from equity holders to debt providers which, in turn, increase the return on equity

(Blundell-Wignall, 2007). Significantly, the private equity investment is not restricted to

provision of capital—rather; it envisions provision of expertise and strategic vision to

optimize firm performance (Financial Services Authority, 2006). According to a study by

Stromberg (2007), the median period for private equity investment is 6.8 years.

In a paper published in 1989, Jensen (1989) argued that public corporation, the

―main engine of economic progress‖ in the United States had outlived its utility and may

be replaced by other forms that ―may be corporate in nature but have no public

shareholders and are not listed or traded on organized exchanges. The main argument

advanced by Jensen (1989) in favor of these new organizational forms was that they

had resolved the agency conflict between owners and managers inevitable in the public

corporation. While Jensen‘s estimation may have been overly pessimistic vis-à-vis the

continued relevance of public corporations, private equity has expanded tremendously

in the last two decades: Value and number of transactions have increased; secondary

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buyouts have become increasingly commonplace; and industry and geographical

diversity has been noticed (Jensen, 2007; Strömberg, 2007).

Table 1 traces the history of private equity investment in nursing homes. It

establishes that interest in the nursing home industry remains undiminished. In fact, the

average size of deals have only increased in recent years While in 2006, only three of

the top ten chains were privately held, by 2007, private equity companies had

purchased six of the ten largest chains representing 9 % of total nursing home beds in

the United States.

Nursing Homes in Florida

In 2007, reports the Agency for HealthCare Administration (ACHA) (2007), the

state of Florida had a total of 673 nursing homes of which ―645 were licensed to accept

Medicare, 21 are certified for Medicare but not Medicaid, six accept only private pay or

private insurance (not certified for Medicare or Medicaid), and one is inactive.‖ The

majority of nursing homes in Florida are for-profit followed by not-for-profits and a

limited number are government owned (Table1-2).

Private Equity Investments in Florida Nursing Homes

In line with national trends Florida witnessed purchase of nursing homes by private

equity firms (Table3). However, one of the primary drivers of divestment in the state of

Florida has been the burden of liability insurance (Stevenson & Grabowski, 2008). In the

State of Florida the mid 1990‘s, over 50% of total nursing homes in the state were

operating without liability insurance as most insurers had left the state due to high

claims. In 2003, Stevenson and Studdart (2003) estimated that litigation costs for

nursing homes had reached $1.1 billion annually in Florida, while Aon Risk Consultants

calculated that the average risk loss per bed in Florida was over four times the national

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average (Department of Health and Human Services, 2006). In particular, large national

chains who were severely affected by tort claims took the initiative in exiting the state;

by 2004, the four of the ten largest national chains had left the state completely

(Department of Health and Human Services, 2006).

One of the first national chains to exit the state of Florida was Beverly Enterprises

which operated 49 skilled nursing homes (The New York Times, 2001). Beverley‘s

facilities in Florida were bought by private equity investor Formation Capital for $165

million or about $27,000 per bed ( Irving Levin Associates, 2006). Formation formed

Seacrest Health Care Management to run its newly acquired facilities.

In 2003, Formation acquired Genesis Healthcare‘s Florida facilities: ten nursing

homes in a deal valued at $26.8 million (Morse, 2003). In August 2003, Mariner

Healthcare divested 19 of its Florida facilities to Formation Capital citing rising liability

costs (Stevenson & Studdert, 2003). The purchase price was $86.0 million, or a

$36,000 per bed, a substantial increase from what Formation had paid for Beverley

(Irving Levin Associates 2006). In less than two years, Formation was the largest

nursing home operator in Florida. Other smaller chains which exited Florida include

Extendicare in September 2000 Kindred Healthcare in May 2003.

The Rationale for this Study

Policy makers have a legitimate interest in the evolving nature of the nursing home

industry. First, as the largest payer of the long-term care—in the state of Florida, for

instance, 80% of nursing home revenues are derived from Medicare and Medicaid

(Agency for Healthcare Administration, 2007)—the government has a responsibility to

ensure that nursing homes utilize its funding in a proper manner (Catherine & Phillips,

1986). In addition, ensuring the financial viability of the nursing home industry to the

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extent they remain solvent is important: The government in the past has revised the law

and incurred additional costs to save the industry from financial ruin (Department of

Health and Human Services, 2000). Considering the expected future demand for long-

term care, nursing homes will continue to play an important role in the American health

care industry.

Second, the government bears significant responsibility for ensuring that nursing

homes deliver appropriate quality of care to their residents. Nursing home residents are

physically and psychosocially compromised and may be entirely dependent upon their

caregivers (Agency for Healthcare Administration, 2007). According to a report by the

Kaiser Family Foundation, ―more than two-thirds of elderly nursing home residents have

multiple chronic conditions, 6 in 10 have multiple mental/cognitive diagnoses, and more

than half are aged 85 and older‖ (Wiener et al., 2007). As nursing home quality remains

a matter of concern (Government Accountability Office, 2000a, 2003; Wunderlich &

Kohler, 2001), analyzing the factors which may potentially impact quality of care—

ownership for instance--is essential to protect nursing home residents.

Third, recognizing the pressing public interest, the nursing home industry is heavily

regulated by the government (Agency for Healthcare Administration, 2007). In 2001,

$382 million was spent on government agencies regulating nursing homes; this figure

does not include the significant costs incurred by nursing homes in complying with

regulatory demands (Kumar et al., 2006). In order to ensure that the regulatory structure

is not rendered obsolete by the evolving nature of the nursing home industry, the policy

makers require independent research which tracks the changes manifest in the industry:

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in this case, the impact of a new form of ownership on quality and financial

performance.

The choice of Florida is in part dictated by limitations of data availability. But it also

offers one distinct advantage. In the state of Florida, nursing home divestment in favor

of private equity been driven largely by high malpractice insurance. Private equity has

attempted to limit the threat of large malpractice claims by separating real estate and

licensure, and by spinning off separate ventures for each nursing home (Duhigg, 2007).

In addition, 339 of total 645 nursing homes certified to admit Medicare and Medicaid in

Florida are Limited Liability Corporations (Agency for Healthcare Administration, 2007).

Specifically citing the example of Florida, Harrington has argued that LLCs limit the

ability of patients to seek redress for poor quality of care by limiting the liability of

individual owners (Harrington, 2007). This study may provide some indirect evidence if

attenuation of the threat of malpractice reduces nursing homes‘ incentive to provide

adequate quality of care.

Considering the concern raised in policy circles due to private equity investments;

its potential impact on both quality and financial performance; and the extremely limited

and often conflicting independent research available currently, (Agency for Healthcare

Administration, 2007; Duhigg, 2007; Harrington, 2007; LTCQ Incorporation, 2008;

Service Employees International Union, 2007; Stevenson & Grabowski, 2008) the

results of this study can help policy makers better design the regulatory environment to

ensure better outcomes for all the stakeholders: providers, consumers, and the

government.

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Figure 1-1. Long-term continuum of care. National Center for Assisted Living (2001).The Assisted Living Sourcebook Retrieved 10/12/2010 from http://www.ahcancal.org/ncal/resources/Documents/alsourcebook2001.pdf

Figure 1-2. Spending for nursing home care. Wiener, J. M., Freiman, M. P., & Brown, D. (2007). Nursing Home Care Quality: Twenty Years after the Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act of 1987: Kaiser Family Foundation

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Figure 1-3.Percent nursing homes by chains 1993-2004/ Stevenson, D. G., & Grabowski, D. C. (2007). Nursing Home Divestiture and Corporate Restructuring. Washington. D.C Department of Health and Human Services.

44%

46%

48%

50%

52%

54%

56%

1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003

Series1

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Table 1-1. Private equity investment in nursing homes

Nursing Home Private investment group

Year Number of facilities

Targeted facilities—type transaction

Extendicare

Greystone Tribeca Acquisition LLC

2000

10

Beverly Enterprises

Formation Capital Properties

2002 49

Genesis Healthcare

Formation Capital Properties

2003 8

Mariner Health Care

Formation Capital Properties

2003

20

Entire chain transaction

Centennial Healthcare

Warburg Pincus

2000

99

Integrated Health Services

Abe Briarwood

2003

241

Kindred Healthcare

Senior Health Management LLC

2003 18

Mariner Health Care

National Senior Care

2004

274

Meridian Formation Capital Properties

2005 7

Skilled Healthcare Group

Onex Partners

2005

80

Beverly Enterprises

Pearl Senior Care 2006 369

Laurel Healthcare Formation Capital Properties

2006 32

Tandem Health Care

Formation; JER Partners 2006

80

Formation Capital Affiliates

General Electric 186 2006

Genesis Healthcare

Formation; JER Partners 2007 220

HCR ManorCare

Carlyle Group

2007

500

Haven Omega, CapitalSource Finance Nationwide Health Properties

21 2008

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Table 1-2. Florida nursing homes by organizational types

Licensee Owner Type

For Profit Not for Profit Total

Corporations

162 130 292

Limited Liability Companies

288 51 339

Limited Partnerships

13 0 13

Limited Liability Partnerships

9 1 10

General Partnership

3 0 3

Trusts

2 2 4

Government Owned

0 11 11

Table 1-3. Major private equity nursing homes acquisitions in Florida

Nursing Home Private investment group

Year Effective Number of units

Extendicare

Greystone Tribeca Acquisition LLC

2001

16

Beverely Formation 2002 49 Genesis Formation 2003 10 Mariner Formation 2003 20 Kindred Healthcare

Senior Health Management LLC

2003 18

Manor Carlyle 2007 29

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CHAPTER 2

CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK

In this section, literature on impact of ownership and nursing home performance is

reviewed. It is established that both quality and financial performance of nursing homes

are influenced by ownership. Therefore, we argue that introduction of a novel ownership

form—private equity—would influence nursing home performance, specifically, quality

and financial performance. Subsequently, a conceptual framework is developed arguing

that private equity nursing homes would exhibit better financial performance but worse

quality of care than other investor owned nursing homes

Influence of Ownership on Quality and Financial Performance

Three different types of ownership structures exist in the nursing home industry:

private for-profit (FP), private not-for-profit (NFP), and government. In 2006, 66% of

nursing homes in the United States were for-profit, compared to 28% not-for-profit and

6% government owned (Harrington, 2007). Unlike the hospital sector, the nursing home

industry has historically been dominated by proprietary chains (Bradford, 1986).

FPs are corporations owned by investors who are rewarded by their share of the

profits generated. They are motivated by a desire to maximize share-holder value and

are generally considered to be more efficient and growth-oriented (Bradford, 1986).

NFPs are governed by section 501(1)(c) of the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) code

and are subject to a non-distribution constraint which ―proscribes distributing net income

as dividends or above-market remuneration‖; in addition, they must serve one of several

broadly defined collective purposes. In exchange for meeting these requirements, NFPs

receive certain tax advantages (DiMaggio & Anheier, 1990) and may have access to

non-operational revenues in the form of philanthropic donations.

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The role of FPs and NFPs in healthcare sector is underpinned by differing

economic philosophies. According to the competitive market model, a marketplace

consists of producers with different agendas and scarce resources (Fulp, 2009). As long

as the conditions of the competitive market are met viz. multiple buyers/sellers, low

entry/exit barriers, perfect information, costless transactions, and homogenous products

(Bradford, 1986), prices are aligned until supply matches demand resulting in an

allocation which is Pareto-optimal (Fulp, 2009). In this model, government production of

services may be required mainly in case of public goods or where imperatives of social

justice trump allocative efficiencies of the market.

The economic rationale for NFPs can be traced back to Arrow‘s seminal paper

―Uncertainty and the Welfare Economics of Medical Care‖, in which he argued that a

key feature of the health care market is the presence of asymmetrical information

between the providers and the patients. (Arrow, 2001) Expanding on Arrow‘s thesis,

Hansmaan (1980) propounded the Trust Hypothesis which attributes the presence of

NFPs in certain sectors of the economy--for instance, health care--to asymmetrical

information. Accordingly, NFPs would be present in markets where consumers find it

difficult to monitor quality and prefer NFPs as the non-distribution constraint ostensibly

circumscribes their profit motive. This paradigm essentially argues that NFPs may have

less incentive to sacrifice quality in pursuit of profits as their actions are not constrained

by the need for profit-maximization.

The nature of ownership has an important bearing on nursing home industry‘s

performance. Because of the differing economic and philosophical rationale, ownership

may impact how nursing homes react to cost-containment, market pressures and the

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evolving regulatory environment which, may, in turn, influence their quality and financial

performance. As nursing home residents are frail and may be too cognitively impaired

to adequately advocate for themselves managerial behavior---dictated by type of

ownership---would be particularly important factor in nursing homes (Hillmer et al.,

2005).

Ownership and Financial Performance

Multiple studies have examined the link between ownership and financial

performance in the health care industry. Primarily, the literature is focused on the

hospital sector. An additional challenge is that different metrics of financial performance

have been used by scholars. Due to the significant changes introduced in the hospital

reimbursement model with the implementation of hospital PPS in 1983, this review is

confined to hospital financial performance in the post-PPS era.

Fiogone et al. (1996) report that despite their smaller average size, FP hospitals

report better financial performance. In a study comparing the financial performance of

FP and NFP hospitals in the state of Virginia, Shukla and Clement (1997) conclude that

FPs have higher operating margins as well as Return on Assets (ROA), they attribute

this to better ‗‘revenue management.‘‘ Younis et al. (2001) conclude that one of the

determinants of the hospital financial performance was ownership; in their national

sample, FPs exhibited superior financial performance to NFPs. In another study

conducted on a national data set of hospitals in 2005, Younis et al. (2005) reported that

FPs perform better than NFPs both on Return on Equity (ROE) as well as Total Profit

Margin (TPM).

In the state of Florida, Sear (1991) conducted a study comparing hospital

profitability between 50FP and 50NFP hospitals between the years 1982 and 1988 and

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reported that FPs deliver better financial performance. However, their data included

periods when PPS implementation was in process in the state of Florida (Sear, 1991).

Using ROA as a measure of financial performance, Younis et al. (2003) reported that in

Florida, FP hospitals exhibit superior economic performance compared to NFP

hospitals. To summarize, despite some variations, research has demonstrated that FPs

generally deliver better financial performance than NFPs (Baker et al., 2000). Some

scholars have attributed their more efficient performance to greater market discipline

imposed on investor owned firms (Jensen & Ruback, 1983) while others have attributed

it to property rights (Clarkson, 1972).

Relatively few studies have examined the effect of ownership status on financial

performance in the nursing home industry--Weech-Maldonado et al. (2003a) in studying

the link between quality and financial performance found that FP nursing homes

experienced higher operating margins compared to NFPs. No study however has

examined financial performance of private equity owned facilities in the health care

sector. Therefore, the evidence from other industries is examined.

Private Equity and Financial Performance

In a leveraged buyout (LBO), firm acquisition is financed by a ―specialized

investment firm using a relatively small portion of equity and a relatively large portion of

outside debt financing‖ (Kaplan & Strömberg, 2008). Multiple studies have examined

the post-facto financial performance of LBOs. In a study comparing performance of 25

sample firms 2 years before and after LBOs (all firms in this sample had managers

acquiring certain portion of equity), Bull (1989) reports that financial results improved

after the buyouts were realized due to what he describes as ―entrepreneurial

management‖ by owner-managers. Opler (1992) utilizing data from 1985-1989 reported

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that in case of 44 large LBOs, operating profit improved significantly 2 years after the

buyouts. Utilizing the extensive Census Bureau Quarterly Finance Report (QFR)

database, Long and Ravenscraft (1993) show that ―LBO firms produced a statistically

significant 15 percent increase in industry-adjusted operating income divided by sales.‖

However, these gains were restricted to the first three years and there was a significant

drop in the performance in the fourth and the fifth year (Long & Ravenscraft, 1993).

Finally, reporting on LBO‘s in France and utilizing multiple financial metrics (Return on

Equity, Return on Investment, Margin Ratios e.t.c.), Desbrieares and Schatt (2002)

found that acquired firms had significantly higher Return on Investment (ROI) than the

industry average though they found no statistically significant difference in case of ROE.

All private equity nursing home purchases in Florida were LBOs.

Management Buyouts

Management Buy Outs (MBOs)5 are transactions in which a firm‘s existing

managers acquire the firm. MBOs are frequently financed by private equity firms as

banks find such acquisitions too risky. In his study of MBOs, Kaplan (1989) studied 76

large public firms which experienced MBOs. He reports that post buy out, the operating

income increased by 24% in third year and was significantly higher than industry

average (Kaplan, 1989). Smith (1990) investigated 58 MBOs of public firms and

concludes that operating returns improved significantly after buy outs and was

sustained subsequently. She further reported that improvement in returns was not due

to layoffs or reduction in expenditure on advertising or research and development (R&D)

5 MBO is a generic term which simply suggests a transaction in which management of an existing firm

buys the company from its owners. Since managers frequently lack the wherewithal to finance a purchase outright, they rely on outside financers. The source of funding may include FDIC insured banks, while in other cases MBOs may be purchased with funds provided by private equity. Therefore, private equity MBOs are a subset of larger MBO market entirely predicated upon source of funding.

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and may reflect changes in financial incentives for owner-managers subsequent to

change in ownership structure (J.A. Smith, 1990). Lichtenberg and Siegel (1990) report

that MBOs improve productivity for at least three years post management buyout.

In summary, the literature provides substantial evidence that operating

performance of firms improved subsequent to private equity investments (Nikoskelainen

& Wright, 2007)

Ownership and Quality

The relationship between ownership and quality of care in the nursing home

industry has received much scholarly attention. Davis (1993) showed that FPs had

poorer quality compared to NFPs and concludes that ―nonproprietary nursing homes

presumably forsake the profit motive in favor of providing better quality.‖ Utilizing the

1987 National Medical Expenditure Survey (NMES) database, Specter (1998) reports

that patients with serious health conditions may prefer NFPs. Specter (1998) argues

that in presence of asymmetrical information patients prefer NFPs as they are thought

to place greater emphasis on quality due to attenuation of property rights; an argument

which has been empirically supported by Chou (2002). Additionally, in terms of patient

outcomes as measured by mortality, infections, bedsores, hospitalizations, and

functional disabilities, patients in NFPs perform significantly better (Spector et al., 1998).

Harrington et al. (2002) in their national level study classify deficiencies in three

categories: quality of care, quality of life, and other. They report that FPs had higher

number of deficiencies across all categories.

Finally, Hillmer et al. (2005) review the evidence concerning ownership status and

quality of care in North America‘s nursing homes. Quality of care in their review is

understood in terms of Donebedian‘s Structure (staffing) Process (Use of restraints,

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catheters) Outcomes (development of pressure ulcers, frequency of falls) (SPO)

framework. They report that in their sample of 38 studies with a total of 81 results, only

6 demonstrated that quality of care in NFPs was worse while 33 results indicate that

quality was poorer in FPs (Hillmer et al., 2005). Hilmer study is particularly relevant as

SPO framework is utilized in this study as well. Their findings are broadly in agreements

with Rosenau and Linder (2003) who conducted a systematic review of performance

difference between FP and NFP health care providers and report that in 59% of the

studies in their sample NFP‘s deliver better quality of care while only 12% favored FPs.

Quality in their study is multidimensional including lower adverse event rates, lower

mortality rates a full continuum of health, higher Health Plan Employer Data and

Information Set (HEDIS) score e.t.c (Rosenau & Linder, 2003). In summary, evidence

strongly suggests that NFPs deliver better quality of care than FPs.

Quality of Care and Private Equity

The New York Times (NYT) analyzed data from Online Survey and Certification

and Reporting (OSCAR) and Minimum Data Set (MDS) and reported that the average

private equity acquired nursing home fared worst than national average in 12 of the 14

quality indicators including bedsores, preventable infections, and use of restraints

(Duhigg, 2007). However, the methodology adopted by NYT has been questioned and

its findings disputed in a report prepared by LTCQ 6 (2007). Another report released by

Service Employees International Union (SEIU) (2007) examined deficiencies reported

at Mariner and Beverly, two large nursing home chains acquired by private equity firms.

6 LTCQ is now known as PointRight Inc.

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In both these chains, reports SEIU (2007) that the number of violations as well as their

seriousness has increased substantially since the acquisition.

Stevenson and Grabowski (2008) found no deterioration of quality of care in the

form of survey deficiencies or resident outcomes in private equity nursing homes.

However, they do acknowledge that their data is new and that private equity deals raise

troubling questions of ―transparency and accountability‖ (Stevenson & Grabowski,

2008). In an unpublished study, Harrington and Carrillo (2007) conducted an analysis of

105 nursing homes in California which were bought by private equity firms. They report

that total nurse staffing decreased along with particularly sharp drop in the more

expensive Registered Nursing (RN) leading them to conclude that RN‘s were being

replaced by less expensive nursing assistants to save costs (Harrington & Carrillo,

2007). At the same time, there was an increase in deficiencies with a particularly

noteworthy increase in more harmful deficiencies in these nursing homes.

Finally, an analysis conducted by Florida‘s Agency of Healthcare Administration

(AHCA) (2007), concluded that ―There is no evidence to support that the quality of

nursing home care suffers when a facility is owned by a private equity firm or an

investment company.‖ It did acknowledge, however, that complex organizational

structures made understanding ownership patterns of private equity owned nursing

homes ‗‘difficult‘‘ and recommended regulatory and disclosure changes to address

these concerns (Agency for Healthcare Administration, 2007).

Conceptual Framework

Based on the literature review, private equity owned nursing homes would be

expected to exhibit improved financial performance post-acquisition. In this section,

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utilizing Agency Theory and the Free Cash Flow Theory (FCFT) a conceptual

framework is developed to support our conjecture.

Agency Theory

The survival of public corporation has been questioned since the days of Adam

Smith who argued that the "joint stock company"--an analogue to the modern public

corporation—would find survival challenging in a competitive market because of waste

and inefficiency (Daily, Dalton, & Jr, 2003). Separation of ownership and control,

argued Berle and Means in 1932, ―produces a condition where the interests of owner

and of ultimate manager may, and often do, diverge, and where many of the checks

which formerly operated to limit the use of power disappear‖ (Demsetz, 1983). In

essence, this paradigm assumes that interests of owners and managers were

necessarily divergent and often contradictory with both acting in their rational self-

interest. In their classical 1976 paper, Jensen & Meckling (1976) defined agency

relationship as a ―contract in which a principal engages an agent to perform a service on

its behalf which involves delegating authority to the agent.‖ Assuming both principal and

agent are ―utility maximizers‖, it follows that the agent may not always act in the best

interest of the owner (Jensen & Meckling, 1976). The principal attempts to minimize the

likelihood of agent‘s deviant behavior by either offering incentives or by incurring

additional monitoring costs and bonding costs: agency costs (Eisenhardt, 1989).

The principal contribution of agency theory is its elaboration of governance

mechanisms to minimize the agency problem. One mechanism is the adoption of an

outcome-based approach which attempts to co-align the interests of the agents with

those of the principal by linking their rewards to firm performance; this, in turn, is

thought to reduce the conflict of interest between the principal and the agent. Jensen

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and Meckling (1976) argue that manager‘s equity ownership limits opportunism as

agents develop a vested interest in firm‘s welfare. However, public and private

corporations may differ significantly in their ability to address agency problems.

In a provocatively titled paper, ―Eclipse of the Public Corporation‖, Jensen argues

that private companies can resolve the ―central weakness of the large public

corporations—the conflict between owners and managers over the control and use of

corporate resources‖ (Jensen, 1989). In the modern corporation, the wide dispersion of

ownership limits owner‘s ability to oversee the performance of professional managers

(Demsetz, 1983) Or as Berle and Means questioned: Under wide dispersion of

ownership, [was there] "any justification for assuming that those in control of a modern

corporation will also choose to operate it in the interests of the owners?‖ (Williamson,

1984)

Manager Accountability

Two important mechanisms for ensuring that managers serve shareholder

interests are the presence of large institutional investors and board of directors. While

institutional investors can provide oversight by functioning as active investors, evidence

suggests that their intensity of monitoring may be diminished by high private cost of

monitoring (Jensen, 1989) or they may face hurdles in the form of fiduciary duties and

business relations with the firm (Almazan, Hartzell, & Starks, 2005). Similarly, legal

constraints have hampered the ability of capital markets to control the management

(Jensen, 1989).

In public firms, the board of directors is an important part of corporate governance.

With powers to hire, fire and compensate senior management (Baysinger & Butler,

1985), they are formal representatives of shareholders ―whose task it is to supervise

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management's performance and protect stockholders' interests‖ (Kosnik, 1987).

However, the leadership provided by board of directors has been questioned in the

literature. Lorsch (1990) have attributed their ineffective performance to power-gap

between the management and the directors. Lorsch (1990) further argues that directors

frequently share an incestuous relationship with the management—they may be

beholden to the management for their appointments and perks. Researchers have

documented the failure of boards to properly monitor the executive management (Ingley

& Walt, 2001; Sundaramurthy & Lewis, 2003) while others have argued that firms are

simply a reflection of their top management (Hambrick & Mason, 1984) and they

determine the strategic direction firms adopt with a limited role for board of directors.

The lack of effective monitoring by either the board of directors or institutional

investors vests managers with extraordinary powers weakening the ‗‘incentive alliance‘‘

between owners and managers (Jensen, 1989) thereby exacerbating the agency

problem.

Private equity placements are better positioned to resolve the agency problem and

limit managerial opportunism by generating stronger incentives for the current

management (Cuny & Talmor, 2007). Incentive mechanisms allow private equity to

promote managerial compliance with their chosen strategies including profit

maximization. A report by Financial Services Authority (FSA) (2006) lists some of the

mechanisms adopted by private equity to control managers

Managerial stock ownership: Unlike most public corporations, senior managers

in private companies typically own a significant share of their company‘s stock (Jensen,

1989). Ownership forces managers to operate the firm more efficiently as their personal

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wealth is at risk (Fox & Marcus, 1992) and management equity is a significant predictor

of LBO returns in successful buyouts (Nikoskelainen & Wright, 2007). Renneboog et al.

(2007) report that ―incentive alignment‖ is a predictor of value creation in public to

private transactions. Stock options which may constitute an important part of manager‘s

total compensation are predicated on meeting performance objectives.

Type of stock: Convertible preferred stock is issued to private equity firms; it is

superior to common stock—typically held by the management—as it has the first call on

resources in case of liquidation.

Management employment contracts: To avoid excessive short-term risk taking

due to managements‘ ownership of stock, compensation packages are linked to long-

term performance.

Board representation: As block shareholders, equity firms dominate company

boards and are able to exercise stronger oversight (Denis, Denis, & Sarin, 1997).

Private equity has the resources, staff, expertise, and most importantly sufficient

incentive to constantly monitor firm performance. In contrast, board of directors in public

corporations may be dominated by nominees of the professional management (Jensen,

1989).

Control of access to future funds: Capital funds may be provided in stages

dependent upon meeting past performance goals. If, for example, private equity has

been accepted to fund future expansion, control on capital provides a significant

leverage to investors.

Free Cash Flow Theory and the Role of Debt

At the heart of the owner-manager conflict is the free cash flow—defined as ―cash

flow in excess of that required to fund all investment projects with positive net present

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values when discounted at the relevant cost of capital‖ (Jensen, 1989). The Free Cash

Flow Theory (FCFT) argues that managers should "disgorge" the cash rather than

"invest it at below the cost of capital" or "waste it through organizational inefficiencies"

(Jensen, 1986). Managers have an incentive to limit payouts to shareowners as the

amount of resources under their command is directly linked to their power (Jensen,

1986). As firm size is linked to managerial remuneration and benefits (Kostiuk, 1990;

Murphy, 1985) as well as prestige, managers may prefer to invest the free cash flow in

inefficient mergers and acquisitions creating what Jensen has termed the agency cost

of free cash flow (Jensen, 1986). FCFT predicts that the high amount of debt created in

private equity transactions improves organizational performance because of the control

function of debt (Bull, 1989).

Debt has a salutatory effect on managerial discretion as managers are legally

bound to make the interest and principal payouts limiting the wastage of free cash flow

(Jensen, 1986).7 The threat of defaulting on debt forces the management to concentrate

on efficiency as the cost of failure is markedly higher than in cases of missed dividends.

Strong support for FCFT has been demonstrated by Lehn and Poulsen (1989).

Additionally, extensive use of debt to finance buyouts limits the dispersion of equity;

managers and private equity investors control the majority of stock. Concentrated

ownership allows private equity investors to extensively monitor firm strategy and

performance by maintaining an active presence on the board of directors (Nikoskelainen

7 While in theory a similar role is played by dividends, unlike debt, dividends are not a legal requirement.

While market discipline may force managers to issue dividends, managers still retain a large discretion in deciding its quantum as well as frequency.

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& Wright, 2007). In public corporations, active investors are discouraged by insider

trading and other regulations (Jensen, 2007).

Extremely high level of debts may lead to bankruptcies to failure to service the

debt; it is a danger which has been recognized in LBO‘s. However, in their study of

17,171 private equity-sponsored buyout transactions occurred from January 1, 1970, to

June 30, 2007. Kaplan and Strömberg (2008) show that , 6% of deals have ended in

bankruptcy or reorganization; a annual default rate which is lower than Moody‘s reports

for all U.S. corporate bond issuers from 1980-2002.

Other Anticipated Benefits of Private Equity Ownership

Private companies face less regulatory oversight, for example, a private equity

security is exempt from registration with the Securities and Exchange Commission

(SEC) by virtue of its being issued in transactions ―not involving any public offering‖

(Fenn., Liang., & Prowse., 2005). With increased regulatory costs imposed subsequent

to the enactment of Sarbanes-Oxley Act, diminished regulatory requirements may result

in substantial cost-savings (Strömberg, 2007). Similarly, private companies can take a

more long-term approach as their policies are no longer shaped by ―quarter-to-quarter‖

outlook of publicly traded firms (Blundell-Wignall, 2007; Robbins, Rudsenske, &

Vaughan, 2008). Measures like compensation packages can be designed without

Congressional or public scrutiny which helps private companies concentrate on

achieving their strategic objectives (Bull, 1989).

Therefore, based on the literature review and the conceptual framework outlined

above, we hypothesize,

Hypothesiss1: Private equity owned nursing homes will achieve better financial

performance compared to other investor owned nursing homes in the state of Florida.

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Private Equity Ownership and Quality of Care

In a study in California nursing homes, O'Neill et al. (2003) report that among

proprietary nursing homes, profits located within the highest 14% bracket were

associated with significantly higher number of total as well as serious deficiencies

compared to nursing homes with lower profit levels. It signifies that ―extreme levels of

profit-taking‖ was significantly associated with poorer quality. (O'Neill et al., 2003)

Significantly, this relationship was not maintained for non-proprietary nursing homes.

A report in the Financial Times states that ―the main reason for investing in private

equity is to boost returns… The survey shows investors hope to make an average

annual net return of 12.8 percent from their private equity investments. They also expect

private equity to return 4.2 percentage points more than public equity investments.‖

(Phalippou & Gottschalg, 2009) As the report suggests, private equity consistently

operate under high pressure from their investors (limited partners) for high returns; profit

maximization is their raison d'être. Jensen has argued that reputational aspect of

general partners is an important consideration as [The] ―Necessity to raise new funds

makes mediocre returns a disaster (Jensen, 2007) while Kaplan points out that well-

performing partners are better positioned to raise future funds (Kaplan & Schoar,

2005). In order to thrive, private equity firms must consistently deliver high profits.

While no literature exists on financial performance of private equity owned nursing

homes, indirect evidence suggests that such nursing homes outperform the competition:

according to the New York Times analysis, the typical investment owned nursing home

earned $1700 a resident in 2005 and was 41% more profitable than the average facility

(Duhigg, 2007). On similar lines, private equity firm Formation Capital sold 186 of its

recently acquired nursing homes in 2006 to General Electric for $1.5 billion at a profit of

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$ 400 million in merely 4 years (Duhigg, 2007) yielding an estimated fivefold return on

equity (Investor, 2006).

The ―gold standard‖ theoretical framework for identifying quality measures in

healthcare is Donobedian‘s (1988) Structure-Process-Outcome (SPO) model (Figure 2-

1). According to this framework, structural indicators are defined as the staffing patterns

and organizational resources that can be associated with providing care, such as facility

operating capacities (Binns, 1991). Process indicators refer to actions that are

performed on or done to patients, such as medical procedures (Gustafson & Hundt,

1995). Outcome indicators are the states that result from care processes, such as

increases in quality of life as well as decreased mortality rates (R. A. Kane & Kane,

1988). Good structures increase the likelihood of good processes, and good processes

increase the likelihood of good outcomes. Good structure can also directly improve

outcomes (Dellefield, 2000). While it is frequently possible that there is no direct

relationship between structure, processes and the eventual outcomes, ―interrelationship

of structure and process, as well as individual patient characteristics, dictates the final

outcome‖ (Hillmer et al., 2005 p. 141). Weech-Maldonado et al. (2004)have employed

the SPO framework to study the impact of nurse staffing pattern on quality of care in

nursing homes. A similar approach has been taken by Hilmer et al. (2005)in their critical

review of the association between ownership status and quality of care in North

American nursing homes.

Nurse staffing is an important structural indicator of quality (R. L. Kane, 1998).

Keeping in line with IOM which pointed out that ―ongoing patient assessment and

evaluation are the two guideposts of licensed nursing care‖, Aiken et al. argue (2002)

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that nurses constitute the ―ongoing surveillance system‖ for recognition of adverse

medical outcomes and errors. Extant literature suggests that staffing levels as well as

staffing mix has a significant influence on quality of care in nursing homes (Bowers,

Esmond, & Jacobson, 2000; Cherry, 1991; Harrington, Kovner et al., 2000; Johnson-

Pawlson & Infeld, 1996; Konetzka, Norton, Sloane, Kilpatrick, & Stearns, 2006; Munroe,

1990). In their systematic review of role of nurse staffing in nursing homes, Bostick et

al. (2006 p. 366) conclude that ―There is a proven association between higher total

staffing levels (especially licensed staff) and improved quality of care‖. On similar lines,

increased proportion of RN nursing is associated with better quality outcomes include

decreased likelihood of patient mortality and failure to rescue in hospitals (Aiken,

Clarke, Sloane, Sochalski, & Silber, 2002; Estabrooks, Midodzi, Cummings, Ricker, &

Giovannetti, 2005; Tourangeau et al., 2007). Weech-Maldonado et al. (2004) show that

quality of care in nursing homes as measured by use of physical restraints, use of

antipsychotic drugs, incidence or worsening of pressure ulcers, cognitive decline, and

mood decline improves with higher RN staffing. Similarly, In longitudinal study of RN

staffing and quality of care in nursing homes in California, Kim et al. (2009) show that

higher level of RN staffing was associated with lower number of deficiencies in nursing

homes. Anderson et al. (1998) in their study of 494 nursing homes conclude that RN

staffing is the ―key‖ to improving resident outcomes.

Controlling nurse staffing costs is a mechanism nursing homes may adopt to

improve profitability. Nursing homes may achieve nursing cost saving by either

decreasing total nurse staffing or by substituting the more expensive Registered Nurses

(RNs) for the less expensive Licensed Practioner Nurses (LPN) or Certified Nursing

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Assistants (CNA). In their 2007 study on private equity nursing homes in California,

Harrington and Carrillo (2007) found significant decrease in total nurse staffing as well

as substitution of RNs by LPNs and CNAs.

The need to cut costs to improve profitability may be particularly imperative in

Florida nursing homes due to reimbursement issues. Medicaid, the principal payer for

nursing home care, is responsible for 61% of total nursing home revenues in Florida

(Agency for Healthcare Administration, 2007). Nationwide, Medicaid rates are lower

than Medicare or private pay with a recent report projecting average shortfall in

Medicaid nursing home reimbursement at $12.48 per Medicaid patient day in 2008

(Eljay, 2008; LLC Eljay, 2008). Similarly, in Florida, a report by AHCA (2005) shows that

Medicaid costs of majority of Florida nursing homes was not covered by Medicaid rates.

Analysis of historical data suggests that this gap has widened sharply over time:

―Beginning at January 1993, approximately 61.6% of the providers received 100% of

their costs within their final per diem rate. By July 2004, only 4.67% of providers

received 100% of their costs‖ (Agency for Healthcare Administration, 2005). In addition,

an incentive available to nursing home providers whose quality of care met certain

standards was eliminated in 1996 to be replaced by Medicaid Adjusted Rate (MAR)

(Agency for Healthcare Administration, 2005). Because it is linked to Medicaid

utilization, MAR may offer providers a Hobson‘s choice: If nursing homes increase

Medicaid utilization in order to benefit from MAR, it limits their ability to tap lucrative

private pay or Medicare patients; if, on the other hand, they keep Medicaid utilization

low then the gap between costs and Medicaid reimbursement widens

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Therefore, the nursing homes providers in Florida have limited options for

increasing revenues to improve profitability leaving cost cutting as an essential profit

increasing strategy. Because proprietary nursing homes in Florida are likely to have a

greater Medicaid census, (Johnson, Dobalian, Burkhard, Hedgecock, & Harman, 2004)

their options are particularly limited.

Therefore, based on the literature review and the conceptual framework outlined

above, we hypothesize,

Hypothesis 2: Private equity nursing homes will experience poorer quality of care

compared to other investor owned nursing homes in the state of Florida.

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Figure 2-1. Donabedian‘s SPO model. Donabedian, A. (1988). The quality of care. How can it be assessed? JAMA, 260(12), 1743-1748.

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CHAPTER 3 METHODS

Employing multiple longitudinal datasets, this study uses panel data regression to

understand the effect of private equity ownership on nursing home quality and financial

performance. In the following paragraphs, information about datasets is provided,

followed by list of dependent and independent variables. The model is explained

followed by the plan of analysis.

Datasets

This study combines the Online Survey Certification of Automated Records

(OSCAR), the Minimum Data Set (MDS), Brown University‘s Long-Term Care Focus

dataset, Medicare Cost Reports, and Area Resource File (ARF).

Online Survey Certification of Automated Records (OSCAR): It is a data

network maintained by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) in

cooperation with state monitoring agencies. The data is collected as part of certification

process for Medicaid and Medicare. Every nursing home is inspected at least once

every fifteen months; a nursing home may be inspected earlier in case of complaints.

While the information on nursing home‘s characteristics is furnished by the operator,

information on standard health and life deficiencies issues are reported by surveyors

which are then compiled into a national database.

Minimum Data Set (MDS): The Nursing Home Reform Act, part of the Omnibus

Budget Reconciliation Act of 1987 (OBRA) of 1987 was the first major federal legislation

directed towards improving the quality of care in nursing homes (Kumar et al., 2006).

The Act included the Resident Assessment Instrument (RAI); the foundation of MDS

(Wiener et al., 2007). Each Medicare or Medicaid certified nursing home is required by

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law to submit MDS data. MDS records nursing home residents‘ demographic

information, health status as well a number of services that a resident may receive while

they reside at the nursing home. Each resident is assessed when first admitted to a

nursing home, then annually with documentation each quarter of any change in status

(Mor et al., 2003). Phillips et al. (1997) document that implementation findings based

upon MDS administrative data generally yield similar results to data obtained by

research nurses trained to provide quality MDS measurement. MDS remains the most

comprehensive data set available for examining quality of care in nursing homes and is

primarily used to identify resident needs for care (Ryan, Stone, & Raynor, 2004). MDS

data was acquired using a reuse agreement from the CMS. Data is located behind a

fully secure server in the Health Professions and Public Health building operated by the

IT department at the University of Florida. It was originally acquired by the University of

South Florida.

Long-Term Care Focus dataset (LTC Focus dataset): This dataset was created

by researchers at Brown University hosts data ―regarding the health and functional

status of nursing home residents, characteristics of care facilities, and state policies

relevant to long term care services and financing‖ (Long-Term Care Focus, 2010). The

dataset has been built using Medicare enrollment dataset; Medicare claims data, and

MDS. Both facility and county level datasets for the state of Florida (2000-2007) were

downloaded from the Long-Term Care (LTC) Focus website. To maintain consistency,

quality variables were constructed using the LTC Focus dataset to the extent possible.

Medicare Cost Reports: A public access dataset, it was acquired through the

CMS website. All CMS certified nursing homes accepting Medicare beds are required to

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submit their cost reports annually. The Medicare Payment and Advisory Commission

(MedPac) has used the Medicare cost reports in its reports to the Congress. The

Medicare Cost Reports was used to calculate the financial performance variables.

Area Resource Files (ARF): It contains data on socioeconomic and demographic

characteristics of markets where nursing homes are located collected by more than fifty

sources including (CMS) and United States Census Bureau. It includes over 7000

variables including geographic codes and classifications; health professions supply and

detailed demographics; health facility numbers and types. ARF is released annually and

historical data is available.

Merging Datasets

As a first step, yearly datasets consisting of four of the datasets viz. OSCAR,

MDS, LTC Focus dataset, and Medicare cost reports was created. The Medicare cost

reports proved particularly challenging as many observations had multiple cost reports.

This discrepancy may be attributed to updated cost reports filed by a facility in a

particular financial year or new cost reports filed in the case of change in ownership.

From each year‘s dataset, observations with multiple Medicare cost reports were

exported in a separate dataset. Arithmetic mean was calculated and for each

observation, a single Medicare cost report was created. These observations were

merged back with the yearly datasets. Subsequently, all the yearly datasets were

merged to create a master dataset pertaining to the years of study: 2000-2007. This

was subsequently merged with market variables derived from ARF 2008 and LTC

Focus county level dataset.

Identifying private equity nursing homes is challenging due to complex

organizational structures erected by private equity to limit liability claims. As a first step,

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a search was carried out in Lexus-Nexus using the keywords ―private equity nursing

homes‖, ―Beverley‖ ‗Beverley enterprises‖, ―Genesis‖, ―Mariner‖, ―Kindred‖ and

―Extendicare‖. The results helped in understanding the history of these nursing home

chains, prevailing market conditions, and the details of private equity nursing home

acquisition: Number of facilities involved, year of acquisitions, and cost. This

information was verified by downloading filings from the ―Edgar‖ dataset maintained by

the Security & Exchange Commission (SEC) (2010). Edgar is a useful tool as all

―companies, foreign and domestic, are required to file registration statements, periodic

reports, and other forms electronically through EDGAR‖(2010) and this information is

publicly available. To identify individual nursing homes acquired by private equity firms,

OSCAR data was supplemented with by accessing websites of private equity nursing

home chains. Many such websites have a detailed list of individual facilities owned by

that particular nursing home chain which can be matched with the OSCAR dataset.

Since many of these websites were no longer online, WayBack machine was used to

access them (WayBack Machine, 2010). WayBack machine is an internet tool which

allows access to archived WebPages, and thereby maintains a ―record‖ of the internet.

Finally, a unique dataset with a list of Florida nursing homes acquired by private equity

was provided by the University of South Florida (USF) and was used to identify private

equity nursing homes in the master dataset. The use of multiple sources, and in

particular, the USF dataset provides reasonable confidence that private equity nursing

homes were correctly identified in our dataset, and is one of the unique strengths of this

study.

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Population

This study includes all for-profit, chain, free standing nursing homes in the state of

Florida included in the OSCAR, MDS, Long-Term Focus datasets, and which filed

Medicare cost reports between the years 2000-2007. The initial population comprised

of over 6000 observations with an average of approximately 760 nursing homes for

each year of the study period. Of those 760 nursing homes, approximately 200 are

NFPs, 300 non-chain based while 40 are hospital based.8 For reasons discussed

below, all these observations are eliminated resulting in the removal of over 3200

observations---NFP (1500), non-chain (2300), and hospital based facilities (300). The

final sample has 2822 observations spread over the 8 year study period.

There are several reasons for focusing on for-profit, chain, and free-standing

facilities. The underlying premise is to ensure that nursing homes included in the study

are similar to each other in their organizational structure, profit motive, and response to

regulatory, environmental, and market conditions. Hospital-based facilities differ

significantly from free standing facilities (Weech-Maldonado, Neff, & Mor, 2003b) as

they have to frequently manage sub-acute patients from their own hospitals. On similar

lines, chain based facilities may differ significantly from their free standing counterparts.

Chain affiliation has been promoted as a mechanism that can improve financial

performance by increasing access to capital, introducing economies of scale

(Harrington, 2007), greater labor and management resources, larger patient base, more

referrals from within the system, market power, brand identity, increased clout with both

regulatory agencies and third-party payers, community effectiveness (i.e., greater

8 These categories are not mutually exclusive, and some nursing homes may be classified in multiple

groups---for instance, a NFP facility may be non-chain or hospital based.

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service scope and quality), heightened social status and visibility, legitimacy in the

institutional environment, and enhanced information systems and technologies

(Banaszak-Holl. et al., 2002; Bazzoli & Chan, 2000; Tennyson & Fottler, 2000). NFPs

are governed by section 501(1) (c) of the Internal Revenue Service code and are

subject to a non-distribution constraint which ―proscribes distributing net income as

dividends or above-market remuneration‖; in addition, they must serve one of several

broadly defined collective purposes. In exchange for meeting these requirements, NFPs

receive certain tax advantages (DiMaggio & Anheier, 1990). Naturally, the FPs and

NFPs may react in different ways to cost-containment, market pressures and the

evolving regulatory environment. Finally, some nursing homes included in OSCAR or

MDS may not file Medicare cost reports and were omitted from the study.

Quality Variables

In this study, nursing home quality measures encompass all three dimensions of

Donabedian‘s (Donabedian, 1988) SPO framework for quality assessment. In the SPO

framework, structure refers to the professional and organizational resources that can be

associated with providing care; process refers to actions that are performed on or done

to patients; and outcomes are the states that result from care processes (R. A. Kane &

Kane, 1988). Good structures increase the likelihood of good processes, and good

processes increase the likelihood of good outcomes.

Structural measures of quality

Nurse staffing is the most frequent measure of structure in nursing home literature

(Hillmer et al., 2005) . A large number of studies in the nursing home literature have

established that staffing intensity as well as staffing mix has a significant influence on

quality of care (Bowers et al., 2000; Cherry, 1991; Harrington, Kovner et al., 2000;

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Johnson-Pawlson & Infeld, 1996; Konetzka, Norton, Sloane et al., 2006; Munroe, 1990).

Existing academic literature on private equity nursing homes has noted significant

changes in nurse staffing patterns and expressed concern over its impact on quality

(Harrington, 2007; Stevenson & Grabowski, 2008). Finally, nurse staffing is one of the

most significant costs in nursing home operations. A nursing home striving for better

profitability would ordinarily be expected to look towards nurse staffing for significant

cost savings.

Nursing homes typically employ three different types of nursing service personnel:

Registered nurses (RNs), Licensed Practical Nurses (LPNs) and Certified Nursing

Assistants (CNAs). The literature indicates that the nurse staffing as well as proportions

of the different types of nursing staff has a significant effect on patient mortality and

quality of care. Nurse staffing is represented by nursing intensity variables and skill mix.

In addition, this study incorporates two variables measuring the percentage of RN and

LPN contract staffing in a nursing home. Literature suggests that use of contract staffing

may increase nursing home costs and negatively impact quality of care (Bourbonniere

et al., 2006). The following nurse staffing variables are employed in this study.

Registered nurse hours per patient day (RNHRPPD): Derived from the LTC

focus dataset, it is a measure of RN intensity. Literature suggests that nurse

qualification has an independent effect on quality; higher qualified nurses ensure lower

morbidity and mortality (Aiken, Clarke, & Sloane, 2002; Aiken, Clarke, Sloane et al.,

2002; Estabrooks et al., 2005; Weech-Maldonado et al., 2004). In their study in post-

operative complications in hospitals, Kovner & Gregen (1998) demonstrate an inverse

correlation between RN nurse intensity and occurrence of adverse events including

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urinary tract infections (UTI). However, compared to LPNs and CNAs, RNs are more

expensive. Therefore, this variable is employed to capture if private equity nursing

homes have shifted their nurse staffing patterns to save costs in order to improve

profits.

Licensed practical nurse hours per patient day (LPNHRPPD): Derived from the

LTC focus dataset, it is one of the two measures of non-RN staffing. The role of

adequate nurse staffing in ensuring nursing home quality has been widely

acknowledged in the nursing home quality literature (Bowers et al., 2000; Harrington,

Kovner et al., 2000). Though less qualified than RNs, with the rise of cost as a major

concern, LPNs have increasingly been used in nursing homes. Based on our

conceptual framework, in order to increase profits, private equity nursing homes would

be expected to substitute RNs with LPNs.

Certified nurse assistant hours per patient day (CNAHRPPD): Derived from

the LTC focus dataset, it is the second measure of non-RN staffing. It is conceptualized

on similar lines to LPNs, with private equity nursing homes expected to substitute RNs

with CNAs in order to improve profitability.

Skill mix: It is defined as the ―composition of the nursing staff by licensure or

educational status‖ (Kim et al., 2009). In this study skill mix was operationalized as the

ratio of number of RN FTEs divided by number of RN FTEs plus LPN FTEs. This

variable as has been derived from the LTC focus dataset and is intended to capture

shifts in nurse staffing patterns. For instance, if a facility lowered its RN FTEs, and

substituted them with LPN FTEs, the skill mix would be negatively affected. Literature

suggests that decrease in skill mix may lead to harmful effects for patients if substitute

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LPNs and CNAs are made to work beyond their technical expertise. Lower skill mix may

decrease overall nursing home quality, and result in higher workloads for RNs as LPNs

and CNAs are less autonomous in their functioning (Buchan & Poz, 2002).

Registered Nurses contract: An OSCAR variable, it indicates the percentage of

total RN FTEs worked by contract RNs. In literature RN contract staffing has been

coded as a dichotomous level with 5% threshold; nursing homes with more than 5% RN

contract staffing are coded as one while others are coded as zero (Bourbonniere et al.,

2006). However, considering the employment of RNs as contract nurses is relatively

rare in Florida, in our study it was coded as a dichotomous variable indicating whether a

facility employed RNs on contract or not. Increased hiring of RNs on contract increases

costs and has a negative effect on quality (Bourbonniere et al., 2006).

Licensed Nurses Contract: An OSCAR variable, it indicates the percentage of

total LPN FTEs worked by contract LPNs. In literature a 5% threshold level has been

used to code LPN contract staffing as a dichotomous variable (Bourbonniere et al.,

2006). However, due to the relative rarity with which LPNs are engaged on contract in

Florida, in our study it was coded as a dichotomous variable simply indicating whether

a nursing home employed LPNs on contract or not. Similar to the case with RNs,

increased number of LPNs on contract increases costs and adversely affects quality

(Bourbonniere et al., 2006).

Process measures of quality

Process measures of quality reflect what is done to the patient (Hillmer et al.,

2005) and whether it is done with adequate skill (R. L. Kane, 1998). Process measures

are widely employed in the healthcare sector. Since 2005, the CMS has publicly

reported process measures in hospitals. Unlike outcome measures like mortality,

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process measures have proved more useful in distinguishing between high quality and

low quality hospitals (Shih & Schoenbaum, 2007). On similar lines it has been argued

that process measures can be measured in the short-term; are more amenable to

clinical intervention than outcome measures; and set measureable markers for

improvement (Werner, Bradlow, & Asch, 2008). Recognizing the role of process

measures in understanding nursing home quality, CMS has incorporated process

measures like use of restraints and use of catheters in its Nursing Home Compare

database (Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, 2008a).The following process

measures of quality have been used in this study.

Pressure sore prevention: This variable is constructed as a facility composite

score (0-4) of pressure sore prevention processes derived from four MDS dichotomous

(yes/no) items: turning/repositioning program, pressure relieving seat, pressure relieving

mattress and ointment application. These four variables were selected based on factor

analysis with varimax rotation of all skin care processes captured by the MDS. The

pressure sore prevention composite had adequate internal consistency showing a

Cronbach alpha of 0.82. Pressure sore prevention is an important variable as nursing

home patients are highly susceptible to developing pressure sores because of their

often limited mobility. Ensuring a regular turning schedule reduces the likelihood of

pressure sores. Similarly, provision of pressure relieving device distributes pressure

over a greater body surface area lowering the risk of pressure sores (Centers for

Medicare and Medicaid Services, 2008b).

Restorative ambulation: A facility level continuous variable that measures the

facility‘s average number of days in a week that residents are walked using restorative

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nursing aides. It is generated by dividing the resident level restorative variable that

represents the number of days of ambulation provided in the 7 days before the

assessment date by the total number of residents in the facility. Nursing home residents

on a restorative program are more likely to maintain their functional mobility because

they walk on a regular basis. While walking residents may require only CNAs, the

orders must be issued by a Physical Therapist (PT) and the entire program may be

overseen by a licensed nurse.

Use of restraints: It is a continuous variable defined as the proportion of residents

who are physically restrained daily. The use of physical restraints in nursing homes has

been actively discouraged in the last two decades. OBRA (1987) mandated nursing

homes to reduce the use of restraints to minimum establishing that ―residents have a

right to be free from …any physical or chemical restrains imposed for the purposes of

discipline or convenience‖ (Castle & Mor, 1998 p.122). The literature has linked use of

restraints with higher morbidity, cognitive decline, as well as an overall negative

influence on resident quality of life (Castle & Mor, 1998). Restraints is one of the 8

‗chronic care‖ quality measures used for national reporting (Abt Associates, 2004)

Use of catheters: It is a continuous variable that represents the proportions of

residents who had a catheter inserted and left in their bladder. Use of catheters has

been associated with higher rates of nosocomial urinary-tract infections in nursing home

patients (Warren, 2001) while Kunin et al. (1992) have shown that use of catheters is

correlated with higher morbidity and mortality among elderly nursing home patients. Use

of catheters is a CMS quality measure used in the Nursing Home Compare website.

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Outcome measures of quality

The risk-adjusted Quality Indicator (QI) score is a facility- level QI score adjusted

for the specific risk for that QI in the nursing facility. The risk-adjusted QI score can be

thought of as an estimate of what the nursing facility's QI rate would be if the facility had

residents with average risk (Abt Associates, 2004). These outcome measures of nursing

home quality have been validated by Abt Associates (2004) and are part of the CMS

National Nursing Home Quality Measures, and are currently used in the CMS Nursing

Home Compare website. ADL and bowel continence worsening were risk adjusted

using covariate (multivariate regression) models, while pressure ulcer prevalence was

risk adjusted according to the stratification method. Risk adjustment in the stratification

method consisted of two steps: first, a weighted average per quarter was created for the

high- and low-risk measures; second, an average was obtained across quarters.

The following risk-adjusted MDS variables are used.

ADL decline in function: The term ―activities of daily living‖ is defined as referring

to ―a set of common, everyday tasks, performance of which is required for personal

self-care and independent living‖ (Wiener, Hanley, Clark, & Van Nostrand, 1990 p. 230).

ADL- decline in function is a risk adjusted ratio of the proportion of the residents who

experienced a 4 point ADL decline (out of 16 points) relative to the total number of

residents in the nursing homes who had a valid prior assessment. Residents excluded

from the denominator include those identified as being comatose, having end-stage

disease, or receiving hospice care. Four Measures are included in ADL: bed mobility,

transfer, eating, and toileting with each measure assigned 4 points for a total of 16

points. It is one of the ‗chronic care‖ quality variables recommended for nursing home

quality reporting (Abt Associates, 2004).

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Pressure ulcer-high/low risk prevalence: It is a continuous variable that

measures the percentage of residents who have pressure sores (stage 1-4). Per Abt

Associates recommendations, pressure sores are one of the paired ―chronic care‖

quality measures which should be reported together for high-risk as well as low-risk

patients (Abt Associates, 2004). Residents considered high risk for pressure ulcers if

they met any of the following criteria: impaired in mobility or transfer, comatose, suffer

malnutrition, and end stage disease. The variable is risk adjusted using facility

admission profile taking into account the prevalence of pressure sores among

admissions over the past 12 months (Abt Associates, 2004).

Bowel decline in continence: Bowel decline in continence is a continuous

variable that measures the proportion of residents whose bowel functions declined. It is

a measure of the proportion of residents who have become incontinent. It is another

―chronic care‖ quality measure approved for national reporting. The numerator for this

variable is ―residents who were fully or frequently incontinent on target assessment

while the denominator consists of ―all residents with valid target assessment‖ (Abt

Associates, 2004). Three different types of QMs are calculated depending upon the

profile of the denominator: high and low risk which includes all residents regardless of

risk, high risk with only high risk residents, and low risk with only low risk residents. In

our study we use the first type of QM which includes all residents irrespective of their

risk. Residents excluded from the denominator include those identified as being

comatose, having end-stage disease, receiving hospice care, or having an ostomy

present. Covariates include having short term memory problem, dressing problem, or

bladder incontinence in the prior assessment.

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Our study also uses two non-risk adjusted outcome variables to measure quality.

They are as follows.

Deficiencies: Recommended as a quality measure by IOM (Institute of Medicine,

1996) in its report released in 1996, deficiencies are an overall measure of nursing

home quality and are part of the federal survey process. Deficiencies are monitored by

state survey agencies operating under federal contract which evaluate nursing homes

on a periodic basis (Harrington, Zimmerman, Karon, Robinson, & Beutel, 2000). If a

facility fails to meet a particular standard, a citation is issued and the deficiency is

entered in the OSCAR system (Harrington, Zimmerman et al., 2000). Harrington et al.

argue (2000) that deficiencies are an accurate reflection of quality of a nursing home as

they are subject to extensive guidelines, and nursing homes have the right to challenge

their citations. Federal regulations have 179 different standard of nursing home care

classified into 17 major categories. Some of the categories under which deficiencies

may be issued include dietary and rehabilitative services, pharmacy, physician

services, falls, and pressure sores (Harrington, Zimmerman et al., 2000). Deficiencies

have been frequently used in literature to measure nursing home quality (Grabowski,

2004; Kim et al., 2009; D B. Smith, Feng, Fennell, Zinn, & Mor, 2007). The total number

of deficiencies in this study is a count variable which is the sum of all state and federal

deficiencies and is located in the OSCAR dataset.

Actual harm citation: It is a dichotomous variable measuring whether a facility

was cited due to actual harm occurring to residents on a state survey. It is organized

according to a Scope and Severity system followed by all state health agencies under

federal guidelines (Figure A-1). Under this system, each deficiency is classified

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according to the level of harm to the residents and its scope within the facility. There are

three levels of scope viz. ‗isolated‘, ‗a pattern of problems‘, and ‗widespread.‘ On similar

lines, there are four levels of severity ranging from ‗potential to minimal harm‘ to

‗immediate jeopardy to resident health and safety‘ (Colorado Department of Public

Health & Environment, 2010). In our study, following Stevenson & Grabowski (2008)

actual harm citation is coded as 1 for deficiencies ‗F‘ or higher and 0 otherwise. ‗F‘

deficiencies don‘t cause immediate jeopardy to patients but are widespread in scope

(Figure A-1).

Financial Performance Measures

Operating revenue per patient day (OPRPPD): Operating revenue is defined as

income derived from a firm‘s core business operations. By excluding one-time charges

such as sale of distressed properties to increase cash-flow, it provides insight into firm‘s

actual performance. In case of nursing homes, it is mainly income accruing from patient

services. Nursing homes seeking to improve profitability can either seek to increase

revenues, cut costs, or mixture of both. It is incorporated in this study to understand

what avenue private equity nursing homes adopt to improve profitability. OPRPPD is

calculated by dividing operating revenues by total patient days.

Operating cost per patient day (OCPPD): Operating expense is defined as cost

incurred by a firm in discharging its normal business operations. Firms generally would

seek to minimize their operating costs without adversely affecting their ability to

compete in the market. In case of nursing homes, operating cost is primarily expense

incurred on providing patient services. In nursing home, staffing costs constitute over

two third of total costs (Grabowski, Feng, Intrator, & Mor, 2004; Konetzka, Stearns, &

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Park, 2008); it is included in this study to understand the strategies adopted by private

equity nursing homes to maximize profits. OCPPD is calculated by dividing operating

expense by total patient days.

Non-operating revenue per patient day (NORPPD): It refers to income derived

from operations which are not part of main business of a firm. It can include interest

income and gain on sale of assets. For instance, a nursing home chain may show large

non-operating revenue by selling off a few nursing homes if the sale yielded a capital

gain. In case of NFPs, philanthropic contributions usually form a significant portion of

the non-operating revenue. NORPPD is calculated by dividing non-operating revenue

by total patient days.

Non-operating cost per patient day (NOCPPD): it is defined as expense

incurred on operations which are outside a firm‘s mainline of business. It may include

loss on sale of assets, interest payments, and depreciation. NOCPPD is calculated by

dividing non-operating cost by total patient days.

Census Medicare, Census Medicaid & Census Other: While Medicare is

responsible only for a relatively small portion of total nursing home revenues, it has

been well recognized that Medicare patients are more financially attractive (Konetzka,

Norton, & Stearns, 2006) than Medicaid patients. While Medicaid is the principal payer

for nursing home care nationwide, recent reports suggest that cost of Medicaid patients

are not covered by Medicaid payments (Agency for Healthcare Administration, 2005;

Eljay, 2008). Census other---principally, private pay patients---supports a relatively small

portion of nursing home beds. However, they are usually considered most financially

remunerative. Therefore, nursing homes striving to maximize financial performance, a

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shift in payer mix may be noticed shift in patient census in favor of Medicare and private

pay patients at the cost of Medicaid patients. These variables would capture if a similar

strategy is being pursued by private equity nursing homes.

Operating margin: It focuses on core business functions and excludes the

influence of non-operating income like endowments and non-operating expenses such

as interest income. It is calculated as following:

Operating margin: operating revenue-operating expenses Operating revenue Total profit margin: It is the overall measure of financial performance. It includes

all revenues (operating and non operating revenues) and all expenses (operating and

non operating expenses. It is important to include this measure as private equity

investments typically involve large amount of debt which may impact total profit margin

(Atrill, 2008)9.

Total profit margin: total revenue-total expenses Total revenue Operating margin and total profit margin have been used previously in the

literature to measure nursing home financial performance. Dependent variables are

summarized in Tables 3-13.

Acuity index: Derived from the LTC focus dataset, it is a facility level measure of

resident acuity. The Acuity index is derived from the LTC focus dataset and is used as a

measure of resident acuity at the facility level. Residents of a facility with higher acuity

index would in principle require more intensive care. Acuity index can impact financial

performance as facilities with higher resident acuity may have higher revenues, but, at

the same time, is likely to face higher costs than facilities with lower acuity.

9 According to a report in the Wall Street Journal, one of the drivers of Carlyle group‘s takeover of Manor

Care is valuable real estate held by the latter which may help in financing the debt.

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Independent Variables

Private equity ownership: A dichotomous variable (0 or 1) for nursing home

ownership: whether the said nursing home is owned by private equity or not. Nursing

homes are coded as 1 post-acquisition; before their acquisition they are treated as part

of the control group. The year of acquisition is counted a part of post-acquisition and

nursing homes coded as 1.

Year prior equity acquisition: A dichotomous variable coded as 1 in the year

prior to private equity acquisition of a particular nursing home and 0 otherwise. This

variable would indicate if nursing home behavior changes before acquisition. For

instance, nursing homes may focus on improving financial performance to extract the

maximum valuation possible. The emphasis on financial performance, if present, may

have a detrimental effect on nursing home quality.

Years post-acquisition: This indicates the number of years a nursing home has

been owned by private equity. This variable is useful in understanding the impact of

private equity ownership as literature indicates that number of years of private equity

ownership has an independent effect on the performance of acquired firms. This

variable is coded as 0 prior to acquisition and in the year of acquisition; it is coded as 1

in subsequent years.

Years post-acquisition squared: Private equity LBO literature suggests that in

firms acquired by private equity, performance peaks in the first two years post-

acquisition, after which the impact of private equity ownership is minimal. This variable

is designed to capture if the effect of private equity ownership is linear or quadratic.

Independent variables are summarized in Table 3-14.

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Control Variables

Control variables include organizational and market variables that may be

associated with financial performance and quality: size, payer mix, occupancy rate,

acuity index, per capita income county level, metropolitan, excess capacity, and

Herfindahl index. Nursing home size is measured by number of residents. Larger

facilities benefit from economies of scale, which are expected to result in lower resident

cost per day (Banaszak-Holl. et al., 2002; Bazzoli & Chan, 2000). Payer mix variables

are the percentages of Medicare and Medicaid residents. Nursing homes with a greater

proportion of Medicare and private pay residents are expected to have greater revenues

and hence may experience better financial performance. For example, it has been

estimated that private pay residents pay on average 40% more than the Medicaid rate

(Grabowski, 2004).

The occupancy rate is the percentage of nursing home beds occupied by

residents. Facilities with higher occupancy rates are more likely to experience better

financial performance as they increase their revenues and make better use of their

capacity. The Acuity index is derived from the LTC focus dataset and is used as a

measure of resident acuity at the facility level, which is based on resident mobility and

nursing factors, such as proportion of residents that are bedfast, requiring assist with

ambulation or transfers, and receiving suctioning or intravenous therapy. Metropolitan

represents a dichotomous variable that identifies whether a nursing home is located in a

metropolitan area (1=yes, 0= no). Since facilities in metropolitan and non-metropolitan

areas are subject to different environmental factors, they may have different financial

performance. The proportion of the county population that is 65 years and older is

included as another market variable. Since the majority of residents in nursing homes

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are over the age of 65, it would be expected that counties with a younger population

(less than 65 years) will be more competitive and less profitable. We include the nursing

home county‘s per capita income to control for differences in economic conditions

across markets.

We use two measures of market competition: Herfindahl Index and excess

capacity. The Herfindahl index is a measure of market concentration and is derived from

the LTC focus dataset. It is calculated by squaring each facility's total beds and the

sum for all facilities in the county is calculated. This sum is subsequently divided by sum

of all county beds squared. The Herfindahl index represents perfect competition when it

registers a score of 0, while a score of 1 represents a monopolistic market. Excess

capacity is the average number of empty beds per facility in the county. Markets with

higher excess capacity are more competitive. Control variables are summarized in

Table 3-15.

Other Variables

Provider number: The unique provider used to identify individual nursing facilities,

and is common across different datasets.

Time: It is used to identify the number of years of this study and is coded as

2000:1, 2001:2, 2003:3 and so on.

Model

Our study is a longitudinal study (2000-2007) and is organized as a panel data

regression. Kim et al. (2009) point that using large administrative datasets may cause

omitted variable bias; they are not collected specifically for a particular research project

and may therefore exclude measure which impact variables of interest. To address

omitted variable bias, this study uses random effects. Random effects model assumes

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that the model heterogeneity is due to time-invariant traits located within individual

nursing homes. The general model is as follows

Yit=α + β1P.Eit + β2Cit +YearP.Et+1it +Tit + Tit2+µit

Where

Y: Dependent Variable (quality and financial performance measures)

P.E: A dichotomous variable (0=control group, 1=Private equity ownership)

C: Control variables (Size, payer mix, occupancy rate, acuity index, per capita

income county level, metropolitan, Herfindahl Index and excess capacity )

i: Individual facility

t: Year Coded as 1..2..3 for each year individual year in the dataset.

Year prior equity acquisition: A dichotomous variable coded as 1 if the nursing

home ownership changes in t+1.

T: It reflects the years post-acquisition: It will be modeled as T=0 before a

particular facility is acquired by nursing home and 1, 2…post acquisition depending

upon the years subsequent to the acquisition. For instance, a nursing home acquired in

2003 will have T=0 for 2000, 2001, 2002, and 2003 while T=1 in 2004, 2 in 2005, and so

on.

T2: Years post-acquisition squared

µ: Error term

For ratios, Ordinary Least Square (OLS) is used. To satisfy the normality

assumption, it is ensured that skewness and kurtosis are as close to 0 and 3 as

possible. To improve the distribution, outliers are dropped while in other cases

transformations may be necessary. Log, square root, and cube transformations are

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attempted. In case of log transformations, if kurtosis is less than 4, gamma distribution

with log link is used otherwise OLS is used. Logit is used for proportions and Odds ratio

is calculated. Logistic regression is used for dichotomous variables and Odds ratio is

calculated. In case of count variables, negative binomial regression is the preferred

approach.

Quality Variable Analysis

Registered nurse hours per patient day (RNHRPPD): The distribution of

RNHRPPD can be seen in Table 3-1. In order to use Ordinary Least Square (OLS) the

normality assumption must be satisfied; the goal is to reduce kurtosis as close to 0 as

possible and skewness to 3.

As seen in Table 3-1, with log transformation, the skewness and kurtosis

approximates the desired values of 0 and 3 respectively. As kurtosis is less than 4, a

gamma distribution with log link is used to avoid the known issues of heteroskedasticity

Licensed nurse hours per patient day (LPNHRPPD): The distribution of

LPNHRPPD can be seen in Table 3-2. Log transformation achieved the best results

with skewness and kurtosis closest to 0 and 3. As kurtosis is less than 4, a gamma

distribution with log link is used to avoid the known issues of heteroskedasticity.

Certified nurse assistant hours per patient day (CNAHRPPD): The distribution

of LPNHRPPD can be seen in Table3-3. Dropping observations +-5 standard deviations

of mean achieved the best results with skewness and kurtosis closest to 0 and 3

respectively. Therefore OLS is used to analyze CNAHRPPD

Skill mix: The distribution of skill mix can be seen in Table 3-4. The

untransformed variables achieved the best results with skewness and kurtosis closest to

0 and 3 respectively. Therefore OLS is used for skill mix.

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RN contract staffing: It is a dichotomous variable modeled as 1 in presence of

RN contract staffing and zero otherwise. OLS is not appropriate in this case as

estimates would not be efficient. Therefore, logistic regression is used for RN contract

staffing.

LPN contract staffing: It is a dichotomous variable modeled as 1 in presence of

RN contract staffing and zero otherwise. OLS is not appropriate in this case as

estimates would not be efficient. Therefore, logistic regression is used.

Pressure sore prevention: The distribution of pressure sore prevention can be

seen in Table 3-5. cube root transformation achieved the best results with skewness

and kurtosis closest to 0 and 3 respectively. OLS is used for pressure sore prevention.

Restorative ambulation: The distribution of restorative ambulation can be seen in

Table 3-6. Dropping outliers achieved the best results with skewness and kurtosis

closest to 0 and 3 respectively. Therefore, OLS is used for restorative ambulation.

Use of restraints: It is the proportion of residents on whom restraints are used

daily. Since it is a proportion, OLS is not appropriate. Therefore for restraints, binomial

family with logit link is used

Use of catheters: It is the proportion of residents on whose bladders are

catheterized. Since it is a proportion, OLS is not appropriate. Therefore for catheters,

binomial family with logit link is used.

ADL decline in function: It is the proportion of the residents who experienced a 4

point ADL decline (out of 16 points) relative to the total number of residents in the

nursing homes. Since it is a proportion, OLS is not appropriate. Therefore for ADL

decline in function, binomial family with logit link is used

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Pressure ulcer-high/low risk prevalence: The distribution of pressure ulcer-

high/low risk prevalence can be seen in Table 3-7. log transformation achieved the best

results with skewness and kurtosis closest to 0 and 3 respectively. As kurtosis is less

than 4, a gamma distribution with log link is used.

Bowel decline in continence: It is the proportion of residents whose bowel

functions declined. As it is a proportion, OLS is not appropriate. Therefore for bowel

decline in continence, binomial family with logit link is used.

Number of deficiencies: It is a count variable, and therefore OLS is not

appropriate as the distribution is not normal. Therefore is analyzed using negative

binomial regression.

Actual harm citation: It is a dichotomous variable modeled as 1 in presence of

harm and zero otherwise. OLS is not appropriate in this case as estimates would not be

efficient. Therefore, logistic regression is used for LPN contract staffing.

Financial Variable Analysis

Operating revenues per patient day (OPRPPD): The distribution of OPPPD

tends to be skewed to the right as few facilities may have significantly higher values

than the mean. Therefore, OLS is not appropriate in this case and a gamma distribution

with log link is used (Fleishman, Cohen, Manning, & Kosinski, 2006; Pagano et al.,

2009). Facilities with OPRPPD greater than 5 standard deviations of the mean were

dropped.

Non-operating revenues per patient day (NORPPD): The distributions of

NORPPD can be seen in Table 3-8. Log transformation achieved the best distribution.

As kurtosis is less than 4, a gamma distribution with log link is used to avoid the known

issues of heteroskedasticity

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Operating costs per patient day (OCPPD): The literature suggests that

distribution of OCPPD tends to be skewed as some nursing homes may have much

higher values than the mean. Therefore, OLS may not be appropriate in this case and a

gamma distribution with log link is used. Facilities with OCPPD greater than 5 standard

deviations of the mean were dropped.

Non-operating costs per patient day (NOCPPD): The distribution of NOCPPD

can be seen in Table 3-9. cube root transformation achieved the best distribution. With

skewness and kurtosis approaching the desired values of 0 and 3 respectively, OLS is

used for NOCPPD.

Operating margin: OLS with random effects is used to analyze operating margin.

In order to use OLS, the normality assumption must be satisfied; the goal is to reduce

kurtosis as close to 0 as possible and skewness to 3. Dropping +/- 5 standard

deviations achieved the best results with skewness and kurtosis closest to 0 and 3

respectively. Therefore, OLS is used for operating margin

Total margin: The distribution of total margin can be seen in Table 3-11. dropping

+/- 3 standard deviations achieved the best results with skewness and kurtosis closest

to 0 and 3 respectively. Therefore, OLS is used for total margin.

Census Medicare: It is the proportion of facility residents who are supported

primarily by Medicare. Since it is a proportion, OLS is not appropriate. Therefore for

census Medicare, binomial family with logit link is used.

Census Medicaid: It is the proportion of the facility residents who are supported

primarily by Medicaid. Since it is a proportion, OLS is not appropriate. Therefore for

census Medicaid, binomial family with logit link is used.

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Census Other: It is the proportion of facility residents who are supported by

modes of support other than Medicare and Medicaid---primarily private pay. Since it is a

proportion, OLS is not appropriate. Therefore for census other, binomial family with logit

link is used.

Acuity Index: Acuity index is a continuous variable, and its distribution can be

seen in Table 3-12. The untransformed variable achieved the best distribution with

skewness and kurtosis closest to 0 and 3 respectively. Therefore, OLS is used for acuity

index.

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Table 3-1. RN hours per patient day distribution

Transformations Mean Skewness Kurtosis

Original .29 14.5 268.3 Dropping outliers* .27 14.5 268.3 Log -1.4 .04 3 Square root .5 .5 1.23 Cube root .5 .13 .58 *Observations with RNHRPPD=0 were dropped as nursing homes are mandated by law to have RNs. A total of 13 observations dropped.

Table 3-2. LPN hours per patient day distribution

Transformations Mean Skewness Kurtosis

Original .91 19.2 404.3 Dropping outliers* .8 1.8 14.2 Log -.16 -.3 2.5 Square root .92 .09 7.08 Cube root .94 -1.16 16.9

*Observations +- 5 standard deviations dropped. A total of 9 observations dropped.

Table 3-3. CNA hours per patient day distribution

Transformations Mean Skewness Kurtosis

Original 2.5 2.8 33.9 Dropping outliers* 2.5 .32 1.6 Log .8 -.67 1.47 Square root 1.57 -.18 .99 Cube root 1.35 -.34 1.03

*Observations +- 5 standard deviations dropped. A total of 6 observations dropped.

Table 3-4. Skill mix distribution

Transformations Mean Skewness Kurtosis

Original .23 1.1 2.7 Dropping outliers* .23 1.1 2.7 Log -1.5 -.77 1.38 Square root .47 .20 .29 Cube root .59 -.09 .21

*Observations +- 3 standard deviations dropped. No observations dropped.

Table 3-5. Pressure sore prevention distribution

Transformations Mean Skewness Kurtosis

Original 1.7 -.03 -.29 Dropping outliers* - - Log .48 -.1.71 5.76 Square root 1.3 -.64 .43 Cube root 1.89 -.91 1.20 Dropping observations +/ 5 standard deviations drops all observations therefore was not attempted.

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Table 3-6. Restorative ambulation distribution

Transformations Mean Skewness Kurtosis

Original .63 1.62 4.05 Dropping outliers* .62 1.38 2.56 Square root .71 0 .07 Cube root .77 -.81 1.04

*Observations +- 5 standard deviations dropped. 30 observations dropped ** Log transformation not

attempted as a lot of zero values and natural log of zero is undefined. Table 3-7. Pressure ulcer-high/low risk prevalence distribution

Transformations Mean Skewness Kurtosis

Original .08 1.19 4.78 Dropping outliers* .08 1.57 2.54 Log -2.5 -.74 1.75 Square root .29 .19 1.08 Cube root .43 -.1 .88

*Observations +- 5 standard deviations dropped. 27 observations dropped Table 3-8. Non-operating revenue distribution

Transformations Mean Skewness Kurtosis

Original 8.3 25.1 763.2 Dropping outliers* 2.3 10.5 128.8 Log -.83 -.06 2.2 Square root .95 5.5 40.1 Cube root .88 3.4 17.7 * Observations +- 3 standard deviations dropped. Values more than $200 dropped. 22 observations dropped

Table 3-9. Non-operating costs per patient day distribution

Transformations Mean Skewness Kurtosis

Original 22.1 7.4 82.1 Dropping outliers* 19.2 1.4 4.9 Log 2.8 -4.4 72.1 Square root 4.2 .2 1.0 Cube root 2.6 -.2 1.23 * Observations with negative values dropped. Observations +/- 3 standard deviations dropped. 118 observations dropped

Table 3-10. Operating margin distribution

Transformations Mean Skewness Kurtosis

Original .07 -11.3 247.9 Dropping outliers* .09 -.9 2.7 Log/square root/cube root**

- -

* Observations +/- 3 standard deviations dropped. 29 observations dropped ** Log, square root and cube root transformation was not attempted as operating margin has large number of negative values and

these values would be undefined.

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Table 3-11. Total margin distribution

Transformations Mean Skewness Kurtosis

Original -.01 -9.3 157.9 Dropping outliers* -.001 -1.1 4.8 Log/square root/cube root**

- -

* Observations +/- 3 standard deviations dropped. 38 observations dropped ** Log, square root and cube root transformation was not attempted as total margin has large number of negative values and these

values would be undefined. Table 3-12. Acuity index distribution

Transformations Mean Skewness Kurtosis

Original 11.5 -.16 .24 Dropping outliers* 11.5 -.16 .24 Log 2.4 -.49 .53 Square root 3.3 -.3 .34 Cube root 2.2 -.38 .39

*+-3 standard deviations dropped. No observations

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Table 3-13. Dependent variables and their definitions

Dependent variable Definition

RN hours per patient day Registered nurses hours/total patient days LPN hours per patient day Licensed nurse hours/total patient days CNA hours per patient day Certified nurse assistant hours/total patient

days Skill Mix RN FTEs/RN FTEs+LPN FTEs RN contract staffing Percentage of total RN FTEs worked by

contract RNs LPN contract staffing Percentage of total LPN FTEs worked by

contract RNs Pressure sore prevention A facility composite score (0-4) of pressure

sore prevention processes derived from four MDS dichotomous (yes/no) items

Restorative ambulation Average number of days in a week that residents are walked using restorative nursing aides.

Use of restraints Proportion of residents who are restrained daily

Use of catheters Proportion of residents who had a catheter inserted and left in their bladder

Number of deficiencies Total number of deficiencies Actual harm citations Measures whether actual harm was

caused to resident in a state survey QI ADL decline Percent of residents who had 4 pt decline QI h/l Pressure sore Percent of residents who acquired a

pressure sore QI Bowel Worsening Percent of residents whose bowel function

declined Operating revenue per patient day Operating revenues/total patient days Non-operating revenues per patient day Non-operating revenues/total patient days Operating cost per patient day Operating cost/total patient days Non-operating cost per patient day Non-operating cost/total patient days Operating Margin Operating revenue - operating cost/patient

revenue Total Margin Total Revenue- total cost / total Revenue Census Medicare Proportion of facility residents supported

primarily by Medicare Census Medicaid Proportion of facility residents supported

primarily by Medicaid Census Other Proportion of facility residents not

supported by Medicare and Medicaid Acuity index The average Resource Utilization Group

Nursing Case Mix Index

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Table 3-14. Independent variables and their definitions

Independent variables Definition

Equity owned Indicates whether a nursing home is owned by private equity (0/1)

Year prior equity ownership A dichotomous variable coded as 1 year prior to private equity acquisition of a nursing home

Years post-acquisition Indicates numbers of years of private equity ownership of a particular nursing home

Years squared Years post-acquisition squared. Indicates whether the effect is linear or quadratic

Table 3-15. Control variables and their definitions

Control Variables Definition

Ownership Dichotomous Total residents # of residents Percent Medicare Percent beds that are designated Medicare Percent Medicaid Percent beds that are designated Medicaid Percent Other Percent beds that are designated Other

Payer Occupancy Rate Number of occupied beds in facility/total

number of beds Acuindex The average Resource Utilization Group

Nursing Case Mix Index Metropolitan Dichotomous Variable (0,1) Per capita income Per capita income of the country in which the

nursing home is located Percentage over 65 Proportion of patients in the nursing home

county aged 65 and over Herfindahl index Measure of nursing home

concentration/competition in the county ranging from 0 to 1

Excess capacity Average number of empty beds in a county

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CHAPTER 4 RESULTS

Table 4-1 provides the descriptive statistics of all dependent variables while Table

4-2 provides descriptive statistics for independent and control variables. Most

dependent variables were skewed and non-kurtotic, and therefore required either

dropping of outliers, transformations, or a combination of both. Bivariate statistics for all

the dependent variables are available on Tables A-1 to A-5.

Two models are run for each dependent variable: A fully specified model which

includes all the independent variables as well as all control variables capturing the

quality and financial performance of private equity nursing homes over time. Squared

year variable is used in the model to understand if the shift in nursing home

performance as years of private equity ownership progress is quadratic or linear. It is

interpreted as linear if the squared year variable is non-significant. If in the initial model

the squared year variable is non-significant, it is dropped from model 1 for that particular

dependent variable. If the squared year variable is significant, then the inflexion point is

calculated. The inflexion point can be understood as the exact point of time when there

is a shift in the dependent variable as years of equity ownership progress. The second

model includes all the dependent and control variables but the only independent

variable incorporated in this model is equity ownership. The second model is designed

to capture the overall effect of equity ownership on nursing home quality and financial

performance.

Hypothesis 1

Hypothesis#1: Equity owned nursing homes deliver better financial performance

than other investor owned nursing homes. In this study, financial performance is

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visualized in terms of operating margin and total margin. The results suggest that

hypothesis #1 is supported (Table 4-3 and Table 4-4).

Private equity nursing homes report 1% lower operating margin than the control

group. However this result is significant only at 10% level. Prior to their acquisition,

these nursing homes had 8% lower operating margin (p=.05). This shift is explained by

positive correlation of operating margin with years of equity ownership (p=.01) with

operating margin increasing by 3% for each year of equity ownership. In terms of total

margin, there is no statistically significant difference between private equity nursing

homes and the control group; however, total margin is positively correlated with years of

private equity ownership (p=.001). In the year prior to their acquisition, these nursing

homes had 3% higher total margin than the control group (p=.001). Chi square test

conducted to capture the overall effect of private equity ownership is significant for both

operating margin (p=.001) and total margin (p=.01).

In model 2 (Table 4-4), private equity nursing homes report 2% higher operating

margin as well as 1% higher total margin (p=.001).Overall it appears that private equity

nursing homes report better financial performance than the control group. This

difference is highly statistically significant

We include revenues and costs in our study to understand the dominant template

adopted by private equity nursing homes to improve financial performance. For

instance, some private equity nursing homes may choose to focus on maximizing

revenues, while others may attempt to improve financial performance by cutting costs.

In model 1 (Table 4-3) private equity nursing homes have higher operating

revenues PPD than the control group. (p=.001); this improvement in operating revenues

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PPD is positively correlated with increasing years of private equity ownership; for every

year of private equity ownership, operating revenue PPD increases by 3% (p=.001). In

the year prior to private equity acquisition, these nursing homes had 3% lower operating

revenue PPD. However, this result is only significant at 10% level. Private equity

nursing homes also report 11% higher operating cost PPD (p=.001) than the control

group; the operating cost PPD is negatively correlated with years of private equity

ownership (p=.001). The results suggest that private equity nursing homes have higher

operating revenues as well as higher operating costs than the control group. Chi square

test is significant in the case of both operating revenue PPD and operating cost PPD

(p=.001) indicating an overall impact of private equity ownership.

Private equity nursing homes have 120% lower non-operating revenues PPD than

the control group (p=.001). However, in somewhat surprising results, before their

acquisitions, these nursing homes had 130% higher non-operating revenues (p=.001).

In terms of non-operating costs PPD, although there is no statistically significant

difference between private equity nursing homes and the control group, it is positively

correlated with years of private equity ownership (.001). Chi square is highly significant

in case of both non-operating revenue PPD and non-operating cost PPD (P=.001)

indicating an overall effect of private equity ownership. There is no statistically

significant difference between private equity nursing homes and the control group on

census Medicare, census Medicaid, and Census other. Chi square test in case of all

three payer mix variables is non-significant indicating no overall effect of private equity

ownership on these variables. Similarly, there is no statistically significant difference

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between private equity nursing homes and the control group on residents acuity.

However, for every year of private equity ownership, acuity increases by 8% (p=.001).

In Model 2 (Table 4-4), private equity nursing homes have 17% higher operating

revenues PPD (p=.001) and 15% higher operating costs PPD than the control group

(p=.001). The non- operating revenue PPD is 86% lower (p=.001) while their non-

operating cost PPD is 27% higher (p=.001).

Private equity nursing homes report 27% higher acuity index than the control

group (p=.001). However, there is no statistically significant difference between private

equity nursing homes and the control group in their payer mix viz. census Medicare,

census Medicaid and census other (primarily private pay).

Year squared variable is significant for operating margin, operating cost PPD, non-

operating cost PPD and non-operating revenue PPD. The inflexion point for operating

margin is 6 years; operating margin increases for the first 6 years post-acquisition, and

then declines. The inflexion point for operating cost PPD is 5 years; it declines for the

first 5 years post-acquisition and then increases. The inflexion point for non-operating

cost PPD and non-operating revenue PPD is 8 and 6.8 years respectively. Full results

for financial variables are available on Tables A-6 to A-25.

Hypothesis 2

Hypothesis #2 states that private equity owned nursing homes are likely to experience

poorer quality of care compared to other investor owned nursing homes. For the

purpose of our study, quality is visualized in terms of Donabedian‘s SPO model. The

results partially support hypothesis #2 but differ significantly across the different

dimensions of the SPO model (Table 4-5 and Table 4-6).

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Structural Variables

In terms of staffing variables Model 1 (Table 4-5) results suggest that private

equity nursing homes have 11% lower RN hours PPD compared to the control group

(p=.05) while years of private equity ownership is negatively correlated with RN hours

PPD (p=.05). Private equity owned nursing homes have 10% higher LPN hours PPD

(p=.001) with positive correlation with years of private equity ownership (p=.05). Private

equity nursing homes report 32% higher CNA hours PPD compared to the control group

(p=.001). CNA hours PPD is also positively correlated with years of equity ownership

(p=.05). The difference in CNA hours PPD between private equity owned nursing

homes and the control group is particularly striking as before acquisition, they had 13%

less CNA hours per patient day (p=.05). Chi square test was highly significant in case of

all three variables viz. RN, LPN and CNA hours PPD indicating an overall statistically

significant impact of private equity ownership on nurse staffing. The shift in nurse

staffing patterns is reflected in the skill mix where private equity nursing homes have 4%

lower skill mix than the control group (p=.001) and this difference is sustained as

nursing homes spend more years under private equity ownership (p=.01). It appears

that as predicted in the conceptual framework, private equity nursing homes have

substituted RNs with LPNs and CNAs.

In terms of nurse staffing on contract, the odds of equity owned nursing homes

hiring RNs on contract are 2.1 times higher (p=.05). However, as years of private equity

ownership progress, the odds of hiring RNs on contract decline (p=.05). On similar lines,

the odds of private equity nursing homes hiring LPNs on contract are 6 times higher

(p=.001) as compared to the control group though it is important to note that even prior

to their acquisition, the odds of these particular nursing homes hiring LPNs on contract

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was 2.2 times higher (p=.01). As noted in the case of RNs, the odds of hiring LPNs on

contract decline with progressive years of private equity ownership (p=.001). It indicates

that private equity nursing homes may have initially hired more RNs/LPNs on contract

but the strategy shifts with the passage of time with these nursing homes attempting to

minimize hiring RNs and LPNs on contract. Chi square test was significant in case of

LPNs on contract (p=.001) but not on RNs on contract.

In Model 2 (Table 4-6), private equity nursing homes report 12% lower RN hours

PPD compared to the control group (p=.001) while they have 12% higher LPN hours

PPD (p=.001) and 42% higher CNA hours PPD (p=.001). The skill mix in private equity

nursing homes is 4% lower (p=.001) compared to the control group. The odds of private

equity nursing homes hiring RNs on contract is 2.1 times higher (p=.01) while the odds

of these nursing homes hiring LPNs on contract is 2.3 times higher (p=.001) compared

to the control group.

Process Variables

In model 1 (Table 4-7), private equity nursing homes report 2% lower pressure

sore prevention than the control group. However, this result is statistically significant

only at the 10% level. However, for every year of private equity ownership, nursing

homes report 1% higher pressure sore prevention (p=.001) while restorative ambulation

declines by 3% for every year of private equity ownership (p= .001). Chi square test is

highly significant in case of both pressure sore prevention as well as restorative

ambulation (p=.001).There is no statistically significant difference between private equity

nursing homes and the control group in case of use of restraints and catheters. The chi

square test is non-significant in case of both these variables indicating that there is no

overall impact of private equity ownership.

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Outcome Variables

In model 1 (Table 4-9), Private equity nursing homes have 10% higher

deficiencies as compared to the control group (p=.01) (Table4-6) while these nursing

homes had 18% higher total deficiencies before their acquisition. (p=.001). This shift

may be explained by 3% decline in deficiencies for every year of private equity

ownership (p=.05). There is an overall impact of private equity ownership on

deficiencies as Chi square test is highly significant (p=.001). Private equity nursing

homes report better results on actual harm citation variable (OR=.53) though this result

is significant only at 10% significance level. Chi square test is non-significant. In case of

all other outcome variables viz. ADL-4point decline, bowel worsening and pressure

ulcer-high/low risk prevalence, there is no statistically significant difference between

private equity nursing homes and the control group.

In Model 2 (Table 4-10), private equity nursing homes have 13% higher

deficiencies as compared to the control group (p=.001). All other outcome variables are

non-significant. Full results are available on Tables A-26 to A-55.

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Table 4-1. Descriptive statistics of dependent variables

Dependent variables

N Mean Minimum Maximum Skewness Kurtosis

RN hours PPD 2737 .27 .01 2.0 1.9 9.8 LPN hours PPD 2737 .87 0.0 3.3 1.4 10.3 CNA hours PPD 2737 2.5 .8 5.2 .32 1.6 Skill mix 2737 .23 .01 1.0 .89 1.45 Pressure sore prevention

2737 1.8 .03 3.5 -.03 -.3

Restorative ambulation

2737 .62 0.0 3.2 1.38 2.57

% of restraints 2723 .08 0.0 .39 .85 .71 % of catheters 1310 .09 .0 .66 1.9 8.9 ADL decline-4 point

2729 .12 .009 .34 .73 1.08

Pressure ulcer-h/l risk prevalence

2723 .08 .4 .009 1.2 4.79

# of deficiencies 2737 7.83 0 33 1.1 1.38 Operating revenue PPD

2645 189.0 25.3 458.1 .64 1.8

Non-operating revenue PPD

2539 2.4 0.0 192.6 10.5 130.8

Operating cost PPD

2645 170.1 22.9 479.0 .6 2.9

Non-operating cost PPD

2645 19.9 0.0 80.6 1.3 4.3

Operating margin 2645 .09 -.33 .44 -.8 2.7 Total margin 2539 -.001 -.54 .44 -1.1 4.9 Census Medicare 2645 .17 0.0 1.0 1.5 5.4 Census Medicaid 2645 .62 0.0 .98 -.8 1.2 Census Other 2645 .20 0.0 1.0 1.3 3.6 Acuity index 2645 11.6 7.9 15.6 -.16 .25

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Table 4-2. Descriptive statistics of independent control and variables

Independent variables

N Mean Minimum Maximum Standard deviation

Equity ownership

2737 .15 0 1 .15

% Medicare

2737 .17 0.0 .9 .1

% Medicaid

2737 .61 0.0 .98 .17

% Other 2737 .20 0.0 1.0 .13 Acuity index prevention

2737 11.5 7.8 18.6 1.1

Occupancy rate

2736 .88 .27 1.0 .1

Per capita income

2595 37217 15971 57446 9620

Metro 2595 .89 .0 1 .3 County population + 65

2595 .19 .08 .34 .06

Herfindahl index

2732 .1 .01 1 .16

Excess capacity

2732 14.7 2 87 5.7

Table 4-3. Financial performance of private equity nursing homes: Model 1

Dependent variable Equity owned Year prior equity acquisition

Years post acquisition

Years post acquisition squared

Operating revenue PPD1

.08***(.01) -.03+(.02) .03***(.00)

Non-operating revenue PPD

-.1.2***(.15) 1.3***(.17) .55***(.12) -.08***(.02)

Operating cost PPD .11***(.01) -.007(.02) -.003(.005) .006*(.00) Non-operating cost PPD

.04(.04) .004(.04) .16***(.03) -.02***(.00)

Operating margin -.01+(.00) -.08*(.01) .03***(.00) -.005***(.00) Total margin1 .008(.00) .03***(.02) .007***(.00) Census Medicare^1 1.04(.21) 1.02(.27) 1.05(.05) Census Medicaid^1 1.09(.15) 1.02(.18) .94(.03) Census Other^1 .78(.17) .88(.23) 1.03(.06) . Acuity index1 .06(.09) -.06(.12) .08***(.02) Significance levels: *.05 **.01***.001

+ .1

^: Odds ratio

1 Squared year variable dropped from the model

due to non-significance.

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Table 4-4. Financial performance of private equity nursing homes: Model 2

Dependent variable Equity owned

Operating revenue PPD .17***(.01) Non-operating revenue PPD -.86***(.1) Operating cost PPD .15***(.01) Non-operating cost PPD .27***(.02) Operating margin .02***(.00) Total margin .01*(.00) Census Medicare^ 1.17(.17) Census Medicaid^ .95(.1) Census Other^ .87(.13) Acuity index .25***(.06) Significance levels: *.05 **.01***.001 ^: Odds ratio

Table 4-5. Private equity nursing homes quality indicated by structural variables: Model1

Dependent variable Equity owned Year prior equity acquisition

Years post acquisition

RN hours per patient day

-.11* (.05) -.07(.05) -.02*(.04)

LPN hours per patient day

.10***(.02) .01(.02) .01*(.01)

CNA hours per patient day

.32***(.04) -.13*(.05) .03*(.01)

Skill mix -.04***(.00) -.01(.01) -.006**(.00) RN contract staffing^

2.1*(1.0) 1.0(.57) .74*(.28)

LPN contract staffing^

6.0***(1.6) 2.2**(.72) .67***(.27)

Significance levels: *.05 **.01***.001 ^: Odds ratio Squared year variable dropped due to non-significance

Table 4-6. Private equity nursing homes quality indicated by structural variables: Model2

Dependent variable Equity owned

RN hours per patient day -.12***(.03) LPN hours per patient day .12***(.01) CNA hours per patient day .42***(.03) Skill mix -.04***(.00) RN contract staffing^ 2.1*(.28) LPN contract staffing^ 2.3***(.45) Significance level: *=.05 **=.01 ***=.001

+=.1 ^Odds ratio

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Table 4-7. Private equity nursing homes quality indicated by process variables: Model1

Dependent variable Equity owned Year prior equity acquisition

Years post acquisition

Pressure sore prevention

-.02(.01)+ -.003(.01) .01***(.00)

Restorative ambulation

.04(.04) -.06(.04) -.03***(.01)

Use of restraints^ 1.0(.26) .94(.29) .97(.06) Use of catheters^ 1.3(.5) 1.0(.22) .92(.09) Significance level: *=.05 **=.01 ***=.001

+=.1^Odds ratio Squared year variable dropped from models as It

was statistically non-significant.

Table 4-8. Private equity nursing homes quality indicated by process variables: Model2

Dependent variable Equity owned

Pressure sore prevention .02*(.00) Restorative ambulation -.005(.02) Use of restraints^ 1.0(.18) Use of catheters^ 1.0(.28) Significance level: *=.05 **=.01 ***=.001 +=.1 ^Odds ratio

Table 4-9. Private equity nursing homes quality indicated by outcome variables: Model1

Dependent variable Equity owned Year prior equity acquisition

Years post acquisition

ADL-4 point decline^

1.0(.24) 1.1(.36) .97(.25)

Bowel worsening^ 1.0(.21) 1.1(.27) 1.0(.06) Pressure ulcer-high/low risk prevalence

-.01(.03) -.01(.03) .002(.00)

Total deficiencies .10*(.05) .18***(.06) .03*(.01) Actual harm citation^

.53+(.19) 1.7+(.49) 1.4(.45)

Significance level: *=.05 **=.01 ***=.001 +=.1 ^Odds ratio Squared year variable dropped from model as It

was statistically non-significant.

Table 4-10. Private equity nursing homes quality indicated by outcome variables: Model2

Dependent variable Equity owned

ADL-4 point decline^ .96(.16) Bowel worsening^ .95(.14) Pressure ulcer-high/low risk prevalence -.01(.02) Total deficiencies .13***(.03) Actual harm citation^ .7(.16) Significance level: *=.05 **=.01 ***=.001

+=.1 ^Odds ratio

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CHAPTER 5 DISCUSSION

Private equity‘s foray in to the nursing home industry has been watched with

wariness and concern in policy and academic circles. The critics have argued that the

organization of private equity financing and its different motivations---in particular, the

quest for short-term profitability--- substantially alters the industry structure, and

potentially has a negative impact on nursing home quality. However, absence of

independent empirical research has hampered this important policy debate; ergo, this

study with its stated goal of understanding the impact of private equity ownership on

nursing home performance. By addressing this gap in the extant literature, this study

furthers our understanding of drivers of nursing home performance—in particular, the

impact of private equity ownership.

Quality of Care

We hypothesized that private equity nursing homes are likely to deliver poorer quality of

care to their residents compared to other investor owned nursing homes. The results

are mixed and only partially support our hypothesis. As anticipated, private equity

nursing homes have lower RN intensity, and higher LPN and CNA intensity compared to

the control group. The shift is particularly sharp in the case of CNAs. One possible

explanation may be Senate Bill (SB) 1202 signed into law in the year 2001. Aimed at

improving nursing home quality, SB 1202 imposed minimum CNA staffing levels in

Florida and was to be fully implemented by the year 2003 (Polivka, Salmon, Hyer,

Johnson, & Hedgecock, 2003). As private equity nursing homes had lower CNAs than

the control group pre-acquisition, and the law was implemented over 2001-2003---the

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same period as private equity acquisitions---it may explain why private equity nursing

homes so sharply increased their CNA staffing.

The change in nurse staffing pattern is reflected in the lower skill mix of private

equity nursing homes. As argued in the conceptual framework, it appears that private

equity nursing homes are replacing higher-cost RNs with LPNs and nursing aides.

Interestingly, (SB) 1202 had provided incentives for Florida nursing homes to increase

their licensed nursing ratios (RNs and LPNs). It appears that private equity nursing

homes have complied with the law by disproportionately increasing the number of LPN

staffing instead of the more expensive RN staffing. In case of RN staffing, the results

support those reported by Harrington & Carrillo (2007) in their study of private equity

nursing homes in California.

Ordinarily, decrease in RN staffing would have a negative impact on nursing home

quality (Aiken, Clarke, & Sloane, 2002; Weech-Maldonado et al., 2004). The results are

more ambiguous in our study. Despite the troubling decline in RN staffing intensity,

private equity nursing homes perform similar to the control group in all process and

outcome quality variables except pressure sore prevention and deficiencies. Private

equity nursing homes perform slightly better in pressure sore prevention, and

significantly worse in number of total deficiencies. Private equity nursing home‘s better

performance in respect to pressure sore prevention may reflect their higher CNA ratios

while deficiencies are more sensitive to RN staffing which is significantly lower in these

nursing homes as compared to the control group. These results are broadly similar to

those reported by Stevenson and Grabowski (2008) in their national-level study of

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private equity nursing homes: Decline in RN staffing but little significant difference in

quality in private equity and other nursing homes.

Stevenson and Grabowski (2008) argue that though RN staffing is lower in private

equity nursing homes, it may not be a cause of immediate concern as in their sample

these nursing homes had lower RN staffing before their acquisition. While our findings

are similar to Stevenson and Grabowski (2008), it is pertinent to note that we also

report a decline in RN staffing with every progressive year of private equity ownership.

Therefore, we remain less sanguine about future quality in private equity nursing home;

it is possible that more recent data shows a more negative impact of lower RN staffing

on quality.

Despite the sharp increase in CNA staffing intensity, private equity nursing homes

perform no better in process variables like restorative ambulation and; both these

variables may be positively impacted by CNA nurse staffing. For instance, improving

patient mobility is one of CNAs‘ primary tasks (Thomas, Hyer, Andel, & Weech-

Maldonado, 2009). Studies have shown that increasing CNA staffing without adequate

RN supervision may bring little additional benefit (Buchan & Poz, 2002). Another

possible explanation may be that as reported by Thomas et al. (2009), one of the

unintended consequence of SB 1202 is decline in indirect care staff (housekeeping,

therapists, physicians, dietary and laundry staff) as nursing homes may be using the

newly mandated CNAs for indirect care rather than direct patient care. While we cannot

offer definitive evidence as we do not measure indirect care staff in our study, a similar

shift in private equity nursing homes would circumscribe the potential quality gains

anticipated from increased CNA staffing and may help explain our results.

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Deficiencies remain a cause of concern as it is one significant quality differentiator

between private equity nursing home and the control group. Not only private equity

nursing homes had significantly higher deficiencies, what is particularly troubling is the

positive association of deficiencies with every progressive year of equity ownership.

Deficiencies are important as they are the only indicator of a facility is adhering to

federal regulations (Harrington, Zimmerman et al., 2000). Literature suggests that nurse

staffing has a strong influence on deficiencies with Harrington et al. (2000)reporting that

decreased RN intensity was associated with increase in total deficiencies. Similarly Kim

et al. report that skill mix as measured by ratio of RNs to total licensed nursing staff is

negatively correlated with total number of deficiencies (Kim et al., 2009). Therefore, it

appears that decrease in RN staffing intensity and skill mix has had a negative impact

on deficiencies.

Financial Performance

We hypothesized that private equity nursing homes deliver better financial

performance, as measured by operating and total margins, than the control group. The

results fully support our hypothesis. Private equity nursing homes exhibit higher

operating margin as well as total margin. Interestingly, both the margins are positively

associated with progressive years of private equity ownership suggesting continued

potential for improved financial performance. These findings are somewhat contrary to

those reported in the private equity literature where some studies suggest that

improvement in private equity acquired firms is confined to first two or three years post-

acquisition (Long & Ravenscraft, 1993).

We had anticipated that private equity nursing homes would improve their financial

performance either by increasing revenues, lowering costs, or a combination thereof. As

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anticipated, private equity nursing homes indeed have higher operating revenues. One

common route adopted in the nursing home industry to improve operating revenues is

shift in patient census in favor of Medicare and private pay patients. No such shift in

payer mix is noted in our study. Private equity nursing homes have higher acuity index

than the control group. In presence of case mix adjustment, it would ordinarily result in

higher operating revenues as this system reimburses medical facilities according to

resources consumed by particular group of patients (Arling & Daneman, 2002); facilities

with higher acuity would be expected to have more resource-intensive patients, and

therefore enjoy higher reimbursement rates. However, Florida follows a cost-based

prospective payment system for Medicaid nursing homes with no case-mix adjustment.

Though there is no shift in Medicare census in private equity nursing homes, they may

still be able to increase Medicare revenues by adopting two different strategies:

increasing length of stay and increasing intensity of rehabilitation therapy.

Increasing length of stay: In a departure from hospital PPS, which uses

admissions as unit of payment, SNF PPS use the day as the unit of payment (White,

2003a). Therefore, while PPS creates an incentive for SNFs to reduce their cost of

providing a day of care, it includes no incentive for reducing the length of stay. In its

2002 report to the Congress, MedPac (2002) expressed concern that providers may

attempt to increase their profitability by increasing length of stay—in fact, average

length of stay in nursing homes increased by one day between 1999 and 2000

(Medicare Payment Advisory Commission, 2003).

Increasing intensity of rehabilitation therapy: Under RUG-III, patients are

initially classified into seven major categories—one of which is rehabilitation. During the

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initial RUG development process, patients in the rehabilitation category were deemed

most resource intensive.(Fries et al., 1994) The rehabilitation category is further divided

into five sub-categories dependent upon the number of minutes of therapy received.

With varying payment rates (Table5-1).

Payment for rehabilitation therapy services under the current SNF PPS is based

on the number of minutes of therapy which are predicated upon provider expectations

rather than clinical characteristics of the patients (Centers for Medicare and Medicaid

Services, 2007). While the ―fee schedule-like‖ mechanism provides certain advantages,

it also creates incentives for providers to classify patients in rehabilitation groups with

the most favorable payment rates (Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, 2007).

In a report released in 2002, the GAO (2002) found that more patients were classified

into ―medium‖ and ―high‖ rehabilitation payment groups which are the most profitable

groups on a payment-per-minute of therapy basis (Centers for Medicare and Medicaid

Services, 2007) while in 2007 MedPac (2007)pointed out that due to skewed payment

mechanism ―over time the number of beneficiaries receiving therapy has increased, as

has the amount of therapy each beneficiary has received.‖ Similar results were reported

by White in his study of the effect of PPS on rehabilitation therapy (White, 2003b).

While we cannot provide conclusive evidence as we do not measure the relevant

variables in this study, it can be speculated that private equity nursing homes may have

improved their operating revenues by adjusting the length of stay and by providing

increased rehabilitation therapy.

Private equity nursing homes also report significantly higher operating costs than

the control group. One possible explanation is simply their higher acuity; if a facility has

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more resource intensive patients, its patients cost would normally increase. On similar

lines, if private equity nursing homes are providing higher amount of rehabilitative

therapy, it would also lead to higher costs. If true, it‘s an interesting strategic approach

as it would suggest that private equity nursing homes are willing to incur higher patient

costs if it leads to a disproportionate increase in patient revenues.

An interesting finding is that in the year prior to their acquisition, private equity

nursing homes had significantly poorer operating margin while their total margin was

superior to the control group. Operating margin reflects actual operational efficiency of

the firm while total margins include relatively fixed costs such as depreciation, capital

costs, and interest payments. Therefore, assuming that the financial performance of

nursing homes would be reflected in their selling price, and considering the moribund

status of the nursing home industry in that time-period, private equity would potentially

be able to acquire these nursing homes for a lower price. As private equity operates on

the principle of making operational improvements, and specializes in financial

distressed firms, it would be better placed to improve nursing home operating

performance and thereby increase operating margins.

Better total margins in these nursing homes are an additional benefit as

depreciation or interest payments are usually fixed costs. Additionally, as private equity

deals are highly leveraged, and real estate was utilized to raise debt, a highly

depreciated property---reflected in better total margins---would be a particularly

attractive target. It appears that private equity acquired nursing homes with potential for

best financial results. Whether this selection is a product of a deliberative process or

just providence is open to conjecture, but it would be reasonable to conclude that

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private equity would be well-positioned to understand balance sheets. Interestingly,

contrary to general trends, private equity nursing homes had sharply higher non-

operating revenues in the year prior to their acquisition. It may be possible that these

nursing homes were selling assets, and registering capital gains in order to make their

balance sheet more attractive. However, as the mean of non-operating revenues is low,

it should be interpreted conservatively.

Overall it appears that there isn‘t necessarily a tradeoff between quality and

financial performance. Private equity nursing homes are able to deliver better financial

performance without a significant decline in quality. While it is important to remain

cautious, these findings are certainly encouraging.

Managerial Implications

Management of private equity nursing homes may believe that quality is of

secondary importance as long as financial goals are met and they are able to earn an

adequate return on their investments. However, regulators are increasingly moving

towards a regime which actively rewards good quality while penalizing healthcare

facilities delivering poor quality of care. For instance, in 2007, CMS announced that it

would no longer pay for ―preventable complications‖---avoidable conditions resulting

from physician error or hospital deficiencies (Rosenthal, 2007). NHQI launched by CMS

in 2001 aims to improve nursing home quality through a mixture of public reporting,

penalties, and incentives for higher quality (Kissam et al., 2003). CMS value-based

purchasing demonstration project seeks to reward nursing homes delivering higher

quality of care in four specific areas: staffing, resident outcomes, avoidable

hospitalizations and reductions in deficiency citations (Centers for Medicare and

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Medicaid, 2009a). Incidentally, deficiencies and staffing are two variables where private

equity nursing homes differ most significantly from the control group in this study.

Public reporting may yet pose a more formidable challenge to private equity

nursing homes. Public reporting is predicated on the idea that consumers armed with

information (Mukamel & Mushlin, 1998) would spur competition in the nursing home

industry based on quality of care (Marshall et al., 2000). The need to address the vital

challenge of dissemination of quality information has led to the development of nursing

home compare website; information once hard-to-find is now available at the click of a

mouse. In Florida the Office of Health Quality Assurance inspects each Florida nursing

home and assigns them ratings of Superior, Standard or Conditional indicating their

compliance with minimum quality standards (Troyer & Thompson, 2004). With their less

than savory reputation for quality, private equity nursing homes may be adversely

affected as literature suggests that perceptions of quality affect firm profitability.

McGuire et al. (1990) reported that there was a strong correlation between firm quality,

as reported in the Fortune magazine annual survey of corporate reputations, and future

profitability while Roberts & Dowling (2002) report that reputation may provide firms with

sustained competitive advantage (Barney, 1991) leading to long-term profitability.

Moreover, Nelson et al. (1992) has reported that patient‘s impression of hospital quality

may explain 17-27% variation in hospital financial performance. Therefore, private

equity nursing homes may face a financial imperative to invest in quality.

However, addressing quality only partially solves the reputation conundrum for

private equity nursing homes. In his seminal paper, Arrow (2001) argues that a key

feature of the health care market is the presence of asymmetrical information between

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providers and patients. Expanding on Arrow‘s thesis, Hansmaan (1980) propounded the

Trust Hypothesis which argues that the presence of NFPs in certain sectors of the

economy (e.g. health care) is explained by greater trust placed in them by consumers

due to the attenuation of profit motive. Correspondingly, in presence of asymmetrical

information, consumers are less likely to trust profit driven enterprises.

Consumer concerns are likely to be exacerbated in the case of private equity

nursing homes due to their byzantine organizational structures and a deliberate policy of

obfuscation and non-transparency. It has proved challenging for even regulators to

navigate their maze of complex ownership structures (Agency for Healthcare

Administration, 2007). The primary justification offered is huge liability costs. Or as a

private equity executive put it: ―Lawyers were convincing nursing home residents to sue

over almost anything‖, and that the barriers erected by private equity were necessary

for the survival of nursing home industry (Duhigg, 2007). While it may help them lower

liability costs, non-transparency damages the reputation and credibility of private equity

nursing homes. Private equity has paid for its damaged reputation in the form of critical

media reports, Congressional hearings, and public opprobrium. Therefore, it is

advisable that management takes steps to assuage the concerns of different

stakeholders. Even with reference to liability costs, literature suggests in many cases

health care facilities admitting to medical errors have noticed a decline in lawsuits

(Berlin, 2006; Sack, 2008; Wojcieszak, Banja, & Houk, 2006) and have benefited from

consequent cost-savings. Many states have issued laws prohibiting courts from

admitting apologies as evidence in malpractice lawsuits (Berlin, 2006); a similar bill was

introduced in United States Senate in 2005 by (then) Senators Obama and Clinton

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(Glendinning, 2005). A less conformational attitude towards patients and patient

advocates, nursing home employees, and other stakeholders will serve private equity

well.

Finally, private equity nursing homes perform better on financial margins in our

study but their operating costs are also significantly higher. Quality management

literature posits a positive relationship between quality and lower costs. According to the

Deming Chain, quality improvement lowers waste (less rework, fewer mistakes, snags

and delays) and thereby reduces costs (Deming, 1986). In this scenario, quality

improvement entails managing the production process with the goal of implementing

clinically proven processes of care. For instance, Frantz et al. (1995) showed that the

implementation of a skin care protocol in a long-term care facility reduced treatment

costs. Some researchers have argued a business case for nursing home quality

(Weech-Maldonado et al., 2003a) but even a less ambitious approach linking higher

quality to lower cost of production would prove financially beneficial to private equity

nursing homes.

Policy Implications

Federal and state governments are concerned with nursing home performance as

they are the principle payers of nursing home care and because it affects the well-being

of highly vulnerable citizens. The introduction of a novel form of ownership in the

nursing home industry would justifiably raise regulatory concerns. Our results suggest

that quality of care delivered at private equity nursing homes is largely similar to other

investor owned nursing homes while financial performance is significantly better.

However, there is still cause for concern.

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Perhaps the most pressing issue is of transparency. The complicated ownership

and operating structures limit an important incentive to improve quality. In their study of

malpractice suits in Florida nursing homes, Troyer & Thompson (2004) report that

chain-level legal claims are associated with higher measurable quality of firms

associated with that chain. It has been reported that in many cases lawyers simply gave

up attempting to sue the private equity owners (Duhigg, 2007).

Weisbord (1988) divides nursing homes quality measures in to Type I and Type II

measures. Type I measures are easily quantifiable and are frequently the focus of

nursing home inspections. Type II measures are less tangible, harder to measure, and

are frequently unobserved by regulators. Examples would include relationship with staff

and neglect (Troyer & Thompson, 2004). Nursing homes may focus their resources on a

Type I measures to avoid citations while Type II measures may be under-resourced. As

Type II measures are important for patient satisfaction, and yet unobserved by

regulators, litigation may reflect particularly blatant examples of problems with Type II

measures (Troyer & Thompson, 2004). Correspondingly, nursing homes facing less

threat of lawsuits may feel emboldened to divert more resources from Type II measures

negatively impacting patient satisfaction and quality though this deterioration would not

be captured in administrative datasets.

Stevenson and Grabowski (2008) argue CMS regulation of nursing home quality is

not based on ownership, but reflects facility level outcomes and deficiencies. If the

behavior of a facility is guided by its ownership, a facility-based approach may be

ineffectual. While it is true that this paradigm is applicable to non private equity chains

as well, it becomes especially important in case of private equity as the complicated

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ownership structures—for instance, separation of ownership and licensure---creates

legal walls between facilities, and the identification of a common owner may be

challenging. It also protects them from other possible chain-wide sanctions including

termination from Medicare and Medicaid programs for criminal activities, and

prosecution for false Medicare or Medicaid claims (Stevenson & Grabowski, 2008). Just

like in the case of residents, the complicated ownership structures handicap regulators

and limit their policing tools. Therefore, regulators must ensure greater transparency in

private equity nursing home deals particularly in relation to ownership. Serious thought

needs to be given to an expanded regulatory framework shifting the ―locus of

accountability‖ (Stevenson & Grabowski, 2008) from facility to the chain-level

recognizing that chain is not merely an amalgamation of disparate units but represents

a common governing and operational philosophy.

Another worrying aspect of private equity nursing homes is the short investment

period typically not extending beyond 5-7 years. Private equity may adopt a different

strategic outlook than long-term investors as investments maturing over a longer time

horizon would make little financial sense. We had stressed the importance of reputation

to private equity nursing homes and how it may nudge them towards improving quality.

An important caveat is in order here. Assuming a reasonable priori that improving

quality of nursing homes may incur substantial initial costs, private equity may conclude

that the investment yields little benefits as they are too far in the horizon. Even data-

driven efforts like Nursing Home Compare website are blunt tools and most nursing

homes would be expected to congregate near the mean. Therefore, an excessive

reliance on public reporting may be overly optimistic and the anticipated gains may not

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materialize. Development of more granular measures of quality and sharper linkages

between quality and reimbursement is required. The importance of a strong regulatory

framework cannot be stressed enough.

Two other concerns remain. First, private equity nursing homes deliver better

financial performance in our study but they also carry a large amount of debt created to

finance the acquisitions. Their future financial viability remains a matter of regulatory

concern especially in an era of bleak government finances. Second, as noted, private

equity nursing homes have introduced changes in nurse staffing prima facie structured

to save costs. Nurse staffing is a primary target for cost-savings if these nursing homes

face future financial pressures. The role of minimum nurse staffing in improving nursing

homes quality has been emphasized in the literature. Hyer et al. (2009) recently

reported that Florida nursing homes quality has substantially improved since the

imposition of minimum nurse staffing regulations in the state. Imposition of federal

minimum nurse staffing levels may be helpful and something CMS should seriously

consider.

Limitations

This study presents several limitations. First, staffing data are based on OSCAR

data, which is self-reported and it is not subject to regular audits. However, a recent

study by Grabowski et al (2004) found a strong inter-survey agreement between

OSCAR and their own survey with respect to RN, LPN, and CNA full-time equivalents

(FTEs) data. Second, this study is limited to facilities with Medicare residents. This results

in the exclusion of facilities that are exclusively private pay or Medicaid. However, the

number of such nursing homes is limited. Third, our explanations for cost and revenues

are speculative in nature in absence of relevant variables. For instance, we speculate that

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the increase in private equity operating revenues may be explained by increase in length

of stay and more rehabilitative therapy. Since we do not measure either the length of stay

or the rehab minutes, our argument may or may not reflect actual strategic choices

adopted by private equity nursing homes. In turn, that may color the managerial and policy

implications of our study. Fourth, nursing home deals are recent in nature; the full effects

of private equity ownership may only be fully manifest in more recent data. Therefore,

conclusions, particularly in reference to quality, should be drawn conservatively from our

study. Finally, this study is restricted only to Florida which may make generalizations

across states and at the national level difficult.

Conclusions

Should private equity be allowed to invest in nursing homes? Any proposal to limit

private equity may be untenable in the absence of a ―smoking gun‖ evident of deliberate

malfeasance especially in an industry dominated by proprietary chains. And as we

have noted, there is no significant difference in quality between private equity and other

investor owned nursing homes in our study. The focus therefore has to be on the twin

issues of transparency and accountability.

Transparency and accountability are inextricably linked. Without ensuring that

nursing homes ownership is more transparent, accountability cannot be fixed. And

without a strengthened regulatory framework which attempts to move beyond facility

level monitoring system, accountability would be limited. These are challenges which

may be particularly relevant to private equity ownership but are by no means limited to

them. Addressing them would facilitate achieving what engages policymakers,

regulators, and patients alike: Nursing homes ensure quality care to their residents and

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in instances where this expectation is belied, effective tools are available to punish the

guilty and to compensate the victims.

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Table 5-1. Rehabilitation categories under PPS

Rehabilitation Category Number of minutes of therapy

Ultra High 720 Very high 500 High 325 Medium 150 Low 45

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APPENDIX BACKGROUND TABLES

Table A-1. T test of dependent quality variables

Dependent variable N Mean P value

RN hours PPD Equity 614 .25 .003 Non-equity 2123 .27

LPN hours PPD Equity 614 .84 .002 Non-equity 2123 .88

CNA hours PPD Equity 614 2.5 .5 Non-equity 2123 2.5

Skill mix Equity 614 .23 .62 Non-equity 2123 .23

Pressure sore prevention

Equity 614 1.8 .06 Non-equity 2123 1.73

Restorative ambulation

Equity 614 .61 .48 Non-equity 2123 .63

% Catheter Equity 332 .09 .05 Non-equity 978 .09

% restraints Equity 614 .08 .18 Non-equity 2109 .08

ADL-4 point decline Equity 614 .13 .06 Non-equity 2115 .12

Bowel worsening Equity 610 .15 .009 Non-equity 2083 .16

Pressure ulcer hi-low prevalence

Equity 614 .08 .88 Non-equity 2109 .08

Total deficiencies Equity 614 9.1 .001 Non-equity 2123 7.4

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Table A-2. T test of dependent financial variables

Dependent variable N Mean P value

Operating revenue PPD

Equity 614 191.2 .17 Non-equity 2031 188.4

Non-operating revenue PPD

Equity 573 3.2 .06 Non-equity 1966 2.1

Operating cost PPD Equity 614 169.7 .7 Non-equity 2031 170.3

Non-operating cost PPD

Equity 614 18.3 .01 Non-equity 2031 19.4

Operating margin Equity 614 .1 .001 Non-equity 2031 .09

Total margin Equity 573 .02 .001 Non-equity 1966 -.008

Census Medicare Equity 614 .16 .001 Non-equity 2031 .17

Census Medicaid Equity 614 .65 .001 Non-equity 2031 .61

Census Other Equity 614 .17 .001 Non-equity 2031 .2

Acuity index Equity 614 11.6 .1 Non-equity 2031 11.6

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Table A-3. Chi square test of LPNs on contract by Equity

Frequency‚

Percent ‚

Row Pct ‚

Col Pct ‚ 0‚ 1‚ Total

ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ

0 ‚ 1842 ‚ 453 ‚ 2295

‚ 67.30 ‚ 16.55 ‚ 83.85

‚ 80.26 ‚ 19.74 ‚

‚ 86.76 ‚ 73.78 ‚

ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ

1 ‚ 281 ‚ 161 ‚ 442

‚ 10.27 ‚ 5.88 ‚ 16.15

‚ 63.57 ‚ 36.43 ‚

‚ 13.24 ‚ 26.22 ‚

ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ

Total 2123 614 2737

77.57 22.43 100.00

(Chi square test P value=.001)

Table A-4. Chi square test of RNs on contract by Equity Frequency‚

Percent ‚

Row Pct ‚

Col Pct ‚ 0‚ 1‚ Total

ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ

0 ‚ 2018 ‚ 571 ‚ 2589

‚ 73.73 ‚ 20.86 ‚ 94.59

‚ 77.95 ‚ 22.05 ‚

‚ 95.05 ‚ 93.00 ‚

ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ

1 ‚ 105 ‚ 43 ‚ 148

‚ 3.84 ‚ 1.57 ‚ 5.41

‚ 70.95 ‚ 29.05 ‚

‚ 4.95 ‚ 7.00 ‚

ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ

Total 2123 614 2737 77.57 22.43 100.00

(Chi square test: P value=.04)

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Table A-5. Chi square test of Actual harm citations by Equity Frequency‚

Percent ‚

Row Pct ‚

Col Pct ‚ 0‚ 1‚ Total

ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ

0 ‚ 1780 ‚ 507 ‚ 2287

‚ 65.97 ‚ 18.79 ‚ 84.77

‚ 77.83 ‚ 22.17 ‚

‚ 85.33 ‚ 82.84 ‚

ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ

1 ‚ 306 ‚ 105 ‚ 411

‚ 11.34 ‚ 3.89 ‚ 15.23

‚ 74.45 ‚ 25.55 ‚

‚ 14.67 ‚ 17.16 ‚

ƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆƒƒƒƒƒƒƒƒˆ

Total 2086 612 2698

77.32 22.68 100.00

Frequency Missing = 39

(Chi square test: P value=.13)

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Table A-6. Operating revenue PPD: Model 1

Operating revenue PPD

Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .08 .01 .001 Year prior equity acquisition

-.02 .02 .2

Years post acquisition

.03 .00 .001

% Medicare .8 .05 .001 % Medicaid -.2 .04 .001 Acuity index .03 .00 .001 Occupancy rate -.6 .05 .01 Total residents .00 .00 .001 County per capita income

.67 .85 .4

Metro -.02 .03 .3 County population over 65

-.08 .11 .4

Herfindahl index -.06 .06 .2 Excess capacity .00 .00 .001

Table A-7. Operating revenue PPD: Model 2

Operating revenue PPD

Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .17 .01 .001 % Medicare .8 .05 .001 % Medicaid -.2 .04 .001 Acuity index .03 .00 .001 Occupancy rate -.6 .05 .001 Total residents .00 .00 .001 County per capita income

.7 .8 .3

Metro -.03 .03 .2 County population over 65

-.08 .11 .4

Herfindahl index -.06 .06 .2 Excess capacity -.00 .00 .001

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Table A-8. Operating cost PPD: Model 1

Operating cost PPD Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .1 .02 .001 Year prior equity acquisition

.02 .02 .2

Years post acquisition

-.00 .01 .8

Squared year .00 .00 .03 % Medicare .8 .05 .001 % Medicaid -.2 .04 .001 Acuity index .02 .00 .001 Occupancy rate -.7 .05 .001 Total residents .00 .00 .001 County per capita income

.15 .8 .001

Metro -.00 .03 .2 County population over 65

-.14 .11 .2

Herfindahl index -.08 .06 .1 Excess capacity -.00 .00 .001

Table A-9. Operating cost PPD: Model 2

Operating cost PPD Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .14 .01 .001 % Medicare .8 .05 .001 % Medicaid -.2 .04 .001 Acuity index .03 .00 .001 Occupancy rate -.7 .05 .001 Total residents .00 .00 .001 County per capita income

.15 .8 .07

Metro -.03 .03 .2 County population over 65

-.14 .11 .2

Herfindahl index -.09 .00 .001 Excess capacity .00 .00 .001

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Table A-10. OLS of non-operating revenues PPD: Model 1

Non-operating revenues PPD

Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned -.1 .15 .001 Year prior equity acquisition

1.3 .17 .001

Years post acquisition

.55 .1 .001

Squared year -.08 .02 .001 % Medicare .12 .4 .7 % Medicaid -.16 .3 .001 Acuity index -.00 .02 .9 Occupancy rate -1.2 .33 .001 Total residents -.00 .00 .01 County per capita income

.00 .64 .06

Metro -.35 .23 .1 County population over 65

-.5 .8 .4

Herfindahl index .3 .4 .4 Excess capacity -.00 .6 .009

Table A-11. OLS of non-operating revenues PPD: Model 2

Non-operating revenues PPD

Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .-.8 .1 .001 % Medicare .17 .4 .6 % Medicaid -1.7 .3 .001 Acuity index .00 .02 .8 Occupancy rate -1.2 .34 .001 Total residents -.00 .00 .02 County per capita income

.00 .6 .07

Metro -.3 .2 .1 County population over 65

-.6 .8 .4

Herfindahl index .3 .4 .3 Excess capacity -.00 .00 .7

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Table A-12. OLS of non-operating costs PPD: Model 1

Non-operating costs PPD

Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned -.02 .04 .5 Year prior equity acquisition

.004 .04 .9

Years post acquisition

.16 .02 .001

Squared year -.02 .00 .001 % Medicare .05 .11 .6 % Medicaid -.35 .08 .001 Acuity index .01 .00 .041 Occupancy rate -.8 .1 .001 Total residents .00 .00 .2 County per capita income

-.3 .2 .09

Metro -.00 .07 .9 County population over 65

.2 .2 .4

Herfindahl index .009 .1 .9 Excess capacity -.00 .00 .01

Table A-13. OLS of non-operating costs PPD: Model 2

Non-operating costs PPD

Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .23 .02 .001 % Medicare .08 .11 .4 % Medicaid -.4 .08 .001 Acuity index .01 .00 .01 Occupancy rate -.8 .1 .001 Total residents .00 .00 .1 County per capita income

-.3 .2 .1

Metro -.02 .07 .7 County population over 65

.19 .2 .5

Herfindahl index -.001 .15 .9 Excess capacity .00 .00 .06

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Table A-14. OLS of operating margin: Model 1

Operating margin Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned -.01 .00 .1 Year prior equity acquisition

-.4 .01 .001

Years post acquisition

.03 .00 .001

Squared year -.00 .00 .001 % Medicare -.00 .02 .9 % Medicaid -.01 .01 .3 Acuity index .00 .00 .3 Occupancy rate .1 .02 .001 Total residents .00 .00 .2 County per capita income

-.6 .3 .05

Metro .00 .01 .9 County population over 65

.05 .04 .2

Herfindahl index -.01 .00 .01 Excess capacity -.04 .03 .2

Table A-15. OLS of operating margin: Model 2

Operating margin Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .03 .00 .001 % Medicare -.00 .02 .9 % Medicaid -.02 .01 .1 Acuity index .00 .00 .1 Occupancy rate .15 .01 .001 Total residents .00 .00 .1 County per capita income

-.6 .3 .07

Metro -.00 .01 .8 County population over 65

.04 .04 .3

Herfindahl index .01 .02 .4 Excess capacity -.00 .00 .002

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Table A-16. OLS of total margin: Model 1

Total margin Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .008 .00 .3 Year prior equity acquisition

.03 .01 .001

Years post acquisition

.007 .00 .01

% Medicare .05 .02 .02 % Medicaid -.03 .01 .04 Acuity index .00 .00 .06 Occupancy rate .16 .02 .001 Total residents .0002 .00 .01 County per capita income

-.4 .3 .2

Metro -.008 .01 .5 County population over 65

-.009 .04 .8

Herfindahl index .009 .00 .001 Excess capacity -.001 .00 .001

Table A-17. OLS of total margin: Model 2

Total margin Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .01 .00 .005 % Medicare .06 .02 .02 % Medicaid -.03 .01 .04 Acuity index .003 .00 .06 Occupancy rate .16 .02 .001 Total residents .00 .00 .001 County per capita income

-.4 .3 .1

Metro -.008 .01 .5 County population over 65

-.009 .04 .8

Herfindahl index .01 .02 .6 Excess capacity -.001 .00 .001

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Table A-18. Logit of % Medicare: Model 1

% Medicare^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned 1.0 .2 .8 Year prior equity acquisition

1.0 .2 .9

Years post acquisition

1.0 .05 .2

Acuity index 1.0 .04 .03 Occupancy rate 1.2 .79 .7 Total residents 1.0 .02 .9 County per capita income

1.0 .00 .9

Metro 1.0 .43 .9 County population over 65

3.1 4.9 .4

Herfindahl index .7 .6 .7 Excess capacity .98 .01 .2

^ Odds ratio Table A-19. Logit of % Medicare: Model 2

% Medicare^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned 1.1 .17 .27 Acuity index 1.4 .04 .3 Occupancy rate 1.28 .8 .6 Total residents 1.0 .00 .9 County per capita income

1.0 .00 .9

Metro 1.0 .4 .9 County population over 65

2.1 4.9 .4

Herfindahl index .74 .65 .7 Excess capacity .98 .01 .2

^ Odds ratio

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Table A-20. Logit of % Medicaid: Model 1

% Medicaid^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned 1.0 .1 .5 Year prior equity acquisition

1.0 .18 .8

Years post acquisition

.94 .03 .1

Acuity index .98 .03 .6 Occupancy rate .5 .2 .2 Total residents 1.0 .00 .7 County per capita income

.99 .00 .3

Metro .93 .3 .8 County population over 65

.1 .2 .1

Herfindahl index 2.1 1.5 .3 Excess capacity 1.0 .00 .7

^ Odds ratio Table A-21. Logit of % Medicaid: Model 2

% Medicaid^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .95 .1 .6 Acuity index .98 .03 .5 Occupancy rate .5 .2 .1 Total residents 1.0 .00 .7 County per capita income

.99 .09 .3

Metro .9 .3 .9 County population over 65

.17 .23 .1

Herfindahl index 2.1 1.5 .2 Excess capacity 1.0 .00 .6

^ Odds ratio

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Table A-22. Logit of % Other: Model 1

% Other^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .78 .1 .2 Year prior equity acquisition

.88 .23 .6

Years post acquisition

1.0 .06 .5

Acuity index .98 .04 .7 Occupancy rate 2.7 1.6 .09 Total residents .99 .00 .2 County per capita income

1.0 .00 .2

Metro 1.1 .48 .7 County population over 65

4.4 6.3 .2

Herfindahl index .4 .4 .3 Excess capacity 1.0 .00 .4

^ Odds ratio Table A-23. Logit of % Other: Model 2

% Other^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .8 .13 .3 Acuity index .9 .04 .8 Occupancy rate 2.7 1.6 .09 Total residents .99 .00 .2 County per capita income

1.0 .00 .2

Metro 1.1 .4 .7 County population over 65

4.4 6.3 .2

Herfindahl index .4 .39 .3 Excess capacity 1.0 .00 .4

^ Odds ratio

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Table A-24. OLS of Acuity index: Model 1

Total margin Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .06 .09 .5 Year prior equity acquisition

-.02 .11 .8

Years post acquisition

.07 .02 .002

% Medicare .8 .29 .005 % Medicaid .1 .2 .6 Occupancy rate .21 .2 .4 Total residents .001 .00 .3 County per capita income

-.00 .04 .01

Metro .01 .16 .9 County population over 65

.08 .6 .8

Herfindahl index -.77 .3 .01 Excess capacity -.003 .00 .3

Table A-25. OLS of Acuity index: Model 2

Total margin Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .24 .06 .001 % Medicare .8 .29 .004 % Medicaid .06 .2 .7 Occupancy rate .22 .26 .4 Total residents .00 .00 .2 County per capita income

-.00 .04 .02

Metro -.001 .16 .9 County population over 65

.07 .6 .9

Herfindahl index -.7 .3 .01 Excess capacity -.00 .00 .2

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Table A-26. OLS of RN hours PPD: Model1

RN hours PPD Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned -.09 .04 .05 Year prior equity acquisition

-.07 .05 .23

Years post acquisition

-.02 .01 .04

% Medicare -.49 .15 .001 % Medicaid -.49 .11 .001 Acuity index -.01 .01 .319 Occupancy rate -.15 .14 .28 Total residents -.00 .00 .8 County per capita income

-.211 .26 .4

Metro .09 .09 .3 County population over 65

.61 .35 .08

Herfindahl index -.11 .18 .5 Excess capacity .004 .00 .06

Table A-27. OLS of RN hours PPD: Model2

RN hours PPD Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned -.12 .03 .001 % Medicare -51 .15 .001 % Medicaid -.49 .11 .001 Acuity index -.011 .01 .26 Occupancy rate -.15 .14 .28 Total residents -.00 .00 .8 County per capita income

.28 .26 .4

Metro .09 .09 .3 County population over 65

.62 .35 .07

Herfindahl index -.11 .18 .5 Excess capacity .004 .00 .04

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Table A-28. OLS of LPN hours PPD: Model2

LPN hours PPD Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .1 .02 .001 Year prior equity acquisition

.01 .01 .4

Years post acquisition

.01 .00 .06

% Medicare .46 .06 .001 % Medicaid .01 .04 .8 Acuity index .01 .00 .001 Occupancy rate -.45 .01 .001 Total residents .00 .00 .912 County per capita income

.28 .1 .8

Metro -.00 .03 .9 County population over 65

-.18 .15 .18

Herfindahl index .07 .07 .3 Excess capacity -.00 .00 .001

Table A-29. OLS of LPN hours PPD: Model 2

LPN hours PPD Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .12 .01 .001 % Medicare .46 .06 .001 % Medicaid .009 .04 .84 Acuity index .01 .00 .001 Occupancy rate -.45 .06 .001 Total residents .00 .00 .874 County per capita income

.31 .1 .7

Metro -.00 .03 8 County population over 65

-.18 .14 .18

Herfindahl index .07 .07 .29 Excess capacity -.00 .00 .001

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Table A-30. OLS of CNA hours PPD: Model 1

CNA hours PPD Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .32 .04 .001 Year prior equity acquisition

-.13 .05 .02

Years post acquisition

.03 .01 .01

% Medicare 1.0 .15 .001 % Medicaid .02 .1 .8 Acuity index .04 .01 .001 Occupancy rate -.45 .13 .001 Total residents -.00 .00 .001 County per capita income

.38 .17 .03

Metro -.04 .06 .4 County population over 65

-.5 .2 .01

Herfindahl index .08 .12 .5 Excess capacity -.01 .00 .001

Table A-31. OLS of CNA hours PPD: Model 2

CNA hours PPD Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .42 .03 .001 % Medicare 1.0 .15 .001 % Medicaid .004 .1 .9 Acuity index .04 .01 .001 Occupancy rate -.46 .13 .001 Total residents -.00 .00 .001 County per capita income

.39 .17 ;02

Metro -.05 .06 .4 County population over 65

-.55 .22 .01

Herfindahl index .08 .12 .5 Excess capacity -.01 .00 .001

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Table A-32. OLS of skill mix: Model 1

Skill mix Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned -..04 .00 .001 Year prior equity acquisition

-.01 .01 11

Years post acquisition

-.00 .00 .001

% Medicare -.13 .02 .001 % Medicaid .02 .001 .001 Acuity index -.004 .00 .02 Total residents -.00 .00 .31 County per capita income

.12 .54 .8

Metro .01 .01 .3 County population over 65

.1 .07 .1

Herfindahl index -.01 .03 .6 Excess capacity .001 .00 .001

Table A-33. OLS of skill mix: Model 2

Skill mix Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned -.04 .00 .001 % Medicare -.13 .02 .001 % Medicaid -.05 .02 .01 Acuity index -.00 .00 .01 Total residents -.00 .00 .2 County per capita income

.1 .5 .8

Metro .01 .01 .3 County population over 65

-.01 .03 .1

Herfindahl index -.01 .03 .6 Excess capacity .00 .05 .001

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Table A-34. Logistic regression of LPNs on contract: Model 1

LPNs on contract^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned 6.0 1.6 .001 Year prior equity acquisition

2.2 .72 .01

Years post acquisition

.67 .05 .001

% Medicare .79 .83 .8 % Medicaid 2.7 2.0 .1 Acuity index .98 .06 .7 Occupancy rate 1.2 1.08 .8 Total residents 1.0 .00 .2 County per capita income

.99 .00 .6

Metro 1.2 .55 .6 County population over 65

34 52 .02

Herfindahl index .66 .5 .6 Excess capacity 1.02 .01 .1

^ Odds ratio

Table A-35. Logistic regression of LPNs on contract: Model 2

LPNs on contract^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned 2.3 .45 .001 % Medicare .79 .83 .8 % Medicaid 3.4 2.5 .09 Acuity index .9 .06 .5 Occupancy rate 1.1 1.0 .8 Total residents 1.0 .00 .2 County per capita income

.99 .00 .5

Metro 1.3 .59 .5 County population over 65

35.5 54.0 .02

Herfindahl index .66 .58 .6 Excess capacity 1.0 .01 .04

^ Odds ratio

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Table A-36. Logistic regression of RNs on contract: Model 1

RNs on contract^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned 2.1 .84 .05 Year prior equity acquisition

1.0 .5 .9

Years post acquisition

.7 .1 .04

% Medicare .4 .5 .5 % Medicaid .6 .6 .6 Acuity index 1.1 .11 .1 Occupancy rate 3.0 3.9 .28 Total residents -.00 .00 .8 County per capita income

-.211 .26 .4

Metro .09 .09 .3 County population over 65

.61 .35 .08

Herfindahl index -.11 .18 .5 Excess capacity .004 .00 .06

^ Odds ratio

Table A-37. Logistic regression of RNs on contract: Model 2

RNs on contract^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned 1.1 .35 .5 % Medicare .4 .6 .5 % Medicaid .72 .74 .75 Acuity index 1.1 .11 .18 Occupancy rate 3.0 3.9 .38 Total residents 1.00 .00 .23 County per capita income

1.00 .00 .23

Metro .62 .36 .4 County population over 65

4.2 .89 .4

Herfindahl index 1.57 1.76 .6 Excess capacity 1.04 .01 .007

^ Odds ratio

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Table A-38. OLS of Pressure sore prevention: Model 1

Pressure sore prevention

Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned -.02 .01 .09 Year prior equity acquisition

-.003 .01 .8

Years post acquisition

.01 .00 .001

% Medicare .23 .04 .001 % Medicaid -.0 .3 .001 Acuity index .03 .00 .001 Occupancy rate -.06 .03 .07 Total residents -.00 .00 .5 County per capita income

.4 .6 .9

Metro -.03 .02 .1 County population over 65

.1 .08 .04

Herfindahl index -.03 .04 .4 Excess capacity -.00 .00 .05

Table A-39. OLS of Pressure sore prevention: Model 2

RNs on contract^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .02 .00 .02 % Medicare .2 .0 .001 % Medicaid -.1 .03 .001 Acuity index .03 .00 .001 Occupancy rate -.06 .03 .07 Total residents -.00 .00 .5 County per capita income

.7 .6 .9

Metro -.03 .02 .1 County population over 65

.1 .08 .04

Herfindahl index -.03 .04 .4 Excess capacity -.00 .00 .02

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Table A-40. OLS of Restorative ambulation: Model 1

Restorative ambulation

Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .04 .04 .2 Year prior equity acquisition

-.06 .04 .1

Years post acquisition

-.3 .01 .002

% Medicare -.1 .1 .3 % Medicaid -.09 .09 .2 Acuity index -.02 .00 .01 Occupancy rate .6 .1 .001 Total residents -.00 .00 .01 County per capita income

-.5 .2 .01

Metro .07 .07 .3 County population over 65

.2 .2 .4

Herfindahl index -.1 .1 .3 Excess capacity .00 .00 .8

Table A-41. OLS of Restorative ambulation: Model 2

RNs on contract^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned -.00 .02 .8 % Medicare -.1 .1 .3 % Medicaid -.08 .09 .3 Acuity index -.02 .00 .01 Occupancy rate .5 .1 .001 Total residents -.00 .00 .01 County per capita income

.5 .2 .01

Metro .08 .07 .2 County population over 65

.2 .2 .3

Herfindahl index -.12 12 .3 Excess capacity .00 .00 .7

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Table A-42. Logit of use of restraints: Model 1

Use of restraints^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned 1.08 .2 .7 Year prior equity acquisition

.9 .3 .8

Years post acquisition

.9 .07 .6

% Medicare 1.0 .97 .9 % Medicaid 1.2 .83 .7 Acuity index 1.0 .06 .2 Occupancy rate .98 .8 .9 Total residents 1.0 .00 .3 County per capita income

.99 .99 .5

Metro 1.1 .5 .8 County population over 65

2.1 4.2 .7

Herfindahl index .93 .99 .9 Excess capacity .99 .01 .9

^ Odds ratio

Table A-43. Logit of use of restraints: Model 2

Use of restraints^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned 1.0 .2 .8 % Medicare 1.0 .9 .9 % Medicaid 1.2 .8 .7 Acuity index 1.0 .06 .3 Occupancy rate .9 .8 .9 Total residents 1.0 .00 .3 County per capita income

.99 .00 .5

Metro 1.1 .5 .8 County population over 65

2.1 4.2 .7

Herfindahl index .9 .9 .9 Excess capacity 1.0 .01 .99

Odds ratio

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Table A-44. Logit of use of catheters: Model 1

Use of catheters^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned 1.3 .5 .4 Year prior equity acquisition

1.0 .3 .4

Years post acquisition

.9 .1 .4

% Medicare 1.8 2.9 .7 % Medicaid .63 .7 .6 Acuity index 1.0 .1 .7 Occupancy rate .7 1.0 .8 Total residents 1.0 .00 .4 County per capita income

.99 .00 .4

Metro 1.0 .6 .8 County population over 65

1.8 3.5 .7

Herfindahl index .8 .9 .8 Excess capacity 1.0 .02 .8

^ Odds ratio Table A-45. Logit of use of catheters: Model 2

Use of catheters^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned 1.0 .3 .7 % Medicare 1.8 2.8 .7 % Medicaid .6 .7 .7 Acuity index 1.0 .1 .7 Occupancy rate .7 1.0 .8 Total residents 1.0 .00 .4 County per capita income

.99 .00 .3

Metro 1.0 .6 .8 County population over 65

1.9 3.7 .7

Herfindahl index .8 .9 .8 Excess capacity 1.0 .02 .8

^Odds ratio

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Table A-46. Logit of ADL 4 point decline: Model 1

ADL 4 point decline^

Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned 1.0 .2 .8 Year prior equity acquisition

1.1 .3 .7

Years post acquisition

.9 .07 .7

% Medicare 1.8 1.5 .4 % Medicaid .65 .38 .4 Acuity index 1.0 .05 .9 Occupancy rate .7 1.0 .8 Total residents 1.0 .00 .9 County per capita income

.99 .00 .7

Metro 1.0 .4 .9 County population over 65

1.0 1.4 .9

Herfindahl index .9 .8 .9 Excess capacity 1.0 .01 .8

^Odds ratio Table A-47. Logit of ADL 4 point decline: Model 2

ADL 4 point decline^

Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .9 .2 .8 % Medicare 1.8 1.5 .4 % Medicaid .6 .3 .4 Acuity index 1.0 .05 .9 Occupancy rate .9 .7 .9 Total residents .99 .00 .9 County per capita income

.99 .00 .7

Metro 1.0 .4 .9 County population over 65

1.0 1.5 .9

Herfindahl index .9 .7 .9 Excess capacity 1.0 .01 .8

^Odds ratio

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Table A-48. Logit of bowel decline: Model 1

Bowel decline^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned 1.0 .2 .8 Year prior equity acquisition

1.1 .3 .6

Years post acquisition

.9 .07 .7

% Medicare 1.2 .9 .8 % Medicaid .7 .4 .5 Acuity index 1.0 .05 .4 Occupancy rate .9 .7 .9 Total residents 1.0 .00 .9 County per capita income

.99 .00 .7

Metro 1.0 .4 .9 County population over 65

1.0 1.4 .9

Herfindahl index .9 .7 .9 Excess capacity 1.0 .01 .6

^ Odds ratio Table A-49. Logit of bowel decline: Model 2

Bowel decline^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .9 .2 .7 % Medicare 1.2 .9 .8 % Medicaid .7 .4 .5 Acuity index 1.0 .05 .4 Occupancy rate .9 .7 .9 Total residents 1.0 .00 .7 County per capita income

1.0 .00 .7

Metro 1.0 .4 .8 County population over 65

1.1 1.5 .9

Herfindahl index .9 .7 .9 Excess capacity 1.0 .01 .6

^ Odds ratio

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Table A-50. Negative binomial regression of total deficiencies: Model 1

Total deficiencies Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .1 .05 .04 Year prior equity acquisition

.18 .06 .004

Years post acquisition

.03 .01 .04

% Medicare -.005 .18 .9 % Medicaid .11 .12 .3 Acuity index .00 .01 .4 Occupancy rate -.55 .15 .001 Total residents .002 .00 .001 County per capita income

.00 .00 .001

Metro -.07 .08 .3 County population over 65

-.3 .2 .2

Herfindahl index .03 .15 .8 Excess capacity -.00 .00 .7

Table A-51. Negative binomial regression of total deficiencies: Model 2

Total deficiencies Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .13 .03 .001 % Medicare .01 .18 .9 % Medicaid .12 .12 .3 Acuity index .01 .01 .3 Occupancy rate -.5 .15 .01 Total residents .00 .00 .001 County per capita income

.00 .00 .001

Metro -.07 .08 .3 County population over 65

-.3 .28 .2

Herfindahl index .03 .15 .8 Excess capacity -.00 .00 .7

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Table A-52. Logistic regression of actual harm citation: Model 1

Total deficiencies^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned ..6 .2 .1 Year prior equity acquisition

1.6 .4 .08

Years post acquisition

1.1 .1 .1

% Medicare .66 .55 .6 % Medicaid 1.9 1.0 .2 Acuity index .9 .05 .2 Occupancy rate .93 .6 .9 Total residents .99 .00 .1 County per capita income

1.0 .00 .001

Metro .82 .2 .5 County population over 65

5.5 5.8 .1

Herfindahl index 1.4 .8 .5 Excess capacity 1.0 .01 .4

^Odds ratio Table A-53. Logistic regression of actual harm citation: Model 2

Total deficiencies^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .8 .1 .001 % Medicare .7 .6 .9 % Medicaid 2.0 1.1 .3 Acuity index .93 .05 .3 Occupancy rate .96 .6 .01 Total residents .99 .00 .001 County per capita income

1.0 .00 .001

Metro .83 .25 .3 County population over 65

5.6 5.9 .2

Herfindahl index 1.4 .8 .8 Excess capacity 1.0 .01 .7

^ Odds ratio

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Table A-54. OLS of pressure sore-h/l risk prevalence: Model 1

Total deficiencies^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned -.01 .03 .6 Year prior equity acquisition

-.01 .03 .6

Years post acquisition

.-.00 .00 .8

% Medicare .4 .1 .001 % Medicaid -.28 .07 .001 Acuity index .02 .00 .001 Occupancy rate -.03 .09 .6 Total residents .00 .00 .7 County per capita income

.15 .14 .9

Metro -.11 .05 .03 County population over 65

-.08 .18 .6

Herfindahl index -.4 .1 .001 Excess capacity .00 .00 .001

Table A-55. OLS of pressure sore-h/l risk prevalence: Model 2

Total deficiencies^ Coefficient Standard Error P value

Equity owned .01 .02 .5 % Medicare .4 .1 .001 % Medicaid -.2 .07 .001 Acuity index .02 .00 .001 Occupancy rate -.03 .09 .6 Total residents .00 .00 .7 County per capita income

.16 .14 .9

Metro -.11 .05 .03 County population over 65

-.08 .18 .6

Herfindahl index -.4 .1 .001 Excess capacity .00 .00 .01

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Scope of the Deficiency

Isolated Pattern Widespread

Immediate jeopardy to

resident health or safety J K L

Actual harm that is not

immediate jeopardy G H I

No actual harm with a

potential for more than

minimal harm, but not

immediate jeopardy

D E F

No actual harm with a

potential for minimal harm A B C

Seve

rity

of th

e D

efic

ienc

y

Figure A-1 Nursing home deficiencies: scope and severity

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Table A-56. Correlation matrix

%

Medicare

%

Medicaid

MMdicaid

Acuity

Index

Occupancy

rate

Total

residents

Per capita

Income

Metro

Population

65 +

Excess

capacity

Herfin

dahl

% Medicare 1.000

% Medicaid -0.673 1.000

Acuity Index 0.058 -0.049 1.00

Occupancy rate 0.212 -0.152 0.074 1.000

Total residents -0.042 0.181 0.044 0.238 1.000

Per capita Income 0.057 -0.259 -0.058 -0.073 -0.054 1.000

Metro 0.043 -0.169 0.039 -0.002 0.056 0.360 1.000

Population 65+ 0.123 -0.226 -0.006 -0.093 -0.070 0.309 -0.031 1.000

Excess capacity -0.079 0.010 0.027 -0.320 -0.058 0.099 0.077 0.068 1.000

Herfindahl Index -0.104 0.193 -0.064 0.012 -0.058 -0.398 -0.689 -0.143 -0.072 1.000

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BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCH

Rohit Pradhan completed his undergraduate degree in Medicine from India in

2002. Subsequently he worked as a physician in India for more than two years. He has

done graduate work at State University of New Jersey, Rutgers in health policy and

management. He completed his PhD in health services research, management, and

policy in December 2010 from the University of Florida. His areas of interest include

long-term care especially nursing homes, and organizational theory. Lately, he has also

developed an interest in global health especially with rural health care delivery systems.