topic 1.2 international trade
TRANSCRIPT
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INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS
MANAGEMENTTopic 1.2: The Theoretical Foundations of International Business, Trade
Course Leader: Dr Michael [email protected]
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STRATEGY AND ECONOMICS Firms exist in order to organize the
production of goods and services
The extent to which the firm internalizes any of its transactions depends on Its ability to achieve economies of scale in
production and distribution, andAnalysis of the transaction costs
Dangers of opportunism Search costs
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DIFFERENT THEORIES OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE
Mercantilism Adam Smith and Absolute Advantage Comparative Advantage The Heckscher-Ohlin Framework The Stolper-Sameulson Approach
Factor Price Equalization Theorem Rybzcysky’s approach Bhagwati and Immiserising Growth
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MERCANTALISM Principal: wealth based on holdings of gold
The Concept: Trade is a zero sum game: one country gains at the expense of others Drove the economic expansion in the 17th /18th
centuries Imperialism was also in line with military power Colonies forced to export commodities and import
manufactured products
The Limitations: De-industrialization, brain drain, adverse movement
of factors of production from colonies Inefficient production Rising inflation
Current usage: neo-mercantilism is politically attractive
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ADAM SMITH AND ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE Principle: Adam Smith – both nations can gain from
trade
The concept : countries should specialize in producing those commodities in which they have an absolute advantage The UK has an advantage in producing “scotch”, while
France has an advantage in “champagne” Brings specialisation benefits – economies of scale, learning Can derive from natural or acquired advantages
Limitations: some countries have no absolute advantage, natural or acquired
Current usage: applicable to some industries, particularly strategic
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COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE Principle: Ricardo (1817) – even a country with all
absolute advantages is comparatively better at some things
The concept : two countries specialise in the areas in which they
have a comparative advantage (and possible an absolute disadvantage)
Opens trade to developing entrants
Limitations: Assumes factors of production are only mobile within
countries
Current usage: basic theory of trade
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HECKSCHER-OHLIN APPROACH
Principle: Heckscher & Ohlin – comparative advantage based on factor endowments of capital, land and labour
The concept : a nation will have a comparative advantage in the production of that good that uses its abundant factor intensively Tries to move beyond efficiency to factor
endowment Explains production expansions in low labour cost
developing regions
Limitations: implies trade equilibrium
Current usage: outsourcing benefits
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THE STOLPER SAMEULSON THEOREM Principle: W Stopler & Paul Samuelson (1941) –
derived from OH model but describes the effect of market price changes on returns
The concept : an increase in the price of the traded good will increase the return to the factor that is abundant in its use For a capital intensive industry, rising prices for the
product will lead to an expansion in machinery at the expense of labour
Related to the factor price equalisation theory Free trade is a substitute for factor mobility. Capital Vs
Labour
Limitations: assumes trade equalisation, lack of empirical evidence
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RYBZCYNSKI’S APPROACH Proponent: Tadeusz Rybczynski (1923-1998).
The concept :The Rybczynski theorem proposes that when the endowment of one factor of production is increased there is a relative increase in the production of the good using more of that factor, at the expense of production using another factor. This leads to a corresponding decline in that good's relative price. Shows how the OH model can be affected by changes in the
endowments through investment, immigration etc.
Limitations: what about primitive capitalist accumulation, that prevents factors from receiving their full share?
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BHAGWATI’S IMMESERIZING GROWTH
Principle: Jagdish Bhagwati (1958) – massive export growth leading to a fall in the terms of trade
The concept : increased trade under some circumstances can lead to reduced welfare. If only one country is growing then the TOT can turn adverse The role of FDI Shifting of capacity on account of environment The role of institutions/ are markets really clearing
mechanisms
Limitations: is contrary to push for free-trade
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THE GAINS FROM TRADE Two main gains from trade:
Specialisation – economies of scale, learning Welfare increase – cheaper goods, more to
spend The terms of trade
The import purchasing power of exports: PX/PM
Other reasons for gains from trade decreasing costs increased competition trade as an ‘engine of growth’ non-economic advantages
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THE RESTRICTION OF TRADE
Methods of restricting tradeTariffsNon-tariff barriers (NTBs)
quotasadministrative barriers
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ARGUMENTS FOR RESTRICTING TRADE
infant industry argument changing comparative advantage/technology to prevent dumping to prevent establishment of a foreign-based
monopoly to spread risks To limit externalities (pollution) pursuing national interests (but against world
interests) exploiting monopoly power protecting declining industries
non-economic arguments (politics!)
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CLASS TASK You are an investor looking at the
following four industries Cotton farming Rare earth metal mining (lithium for batteries) Banking
You want to lobby your government to pursue the trade policy that will be most supportive for your investment
Which trade theories fit which industries and provide your investment with the most benefit?
What will be the long-term effects?
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UNDERSTANDING COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE
What is the competitive advantage of a nation?
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UNDERSTANDING COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE
What is the competitive advantage of a nation?Some suggestions
Exchange rates, interest rates Natural resources Policy framework Management practices
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UNDERSTANDING COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE
What is the competitive advantage of a nation?Some suggestions
Exchange rates, interest rates Natural resources Policy framework Management practices
The only meaningful concept: productivity Human resources – wages Capital – roce?
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PORTER 1990: THE COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE OF NATIONS
A nation’s competitiveness depends on its capacity to innovateMuch of the innovation is mundane and
incremental, but important
Competitiveness must be defined in terms of productivitySustained productivity growth requires
that the economy must continuously re-invent itself
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PORTER 1990, CONTD. Innovation can be anywhere
Lower end : cost leadershipUpper end : product differentiation
Nations are not competitive Industry clusters are sources of
competition
National Diamond : one way of capturing the tightness of the cluster Is there a similarity to web structure ?
Role of the state is defined in terms of creation and assimilation of knowledge
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PORTER’S DIAMOND MODEL
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COMPANY AGENDA : STRATEGIC THRUST AREAS
Create pressures for innovation
Seek out capable competitors and motivators
Establish early warning systems
Improve and tighten the industry diamond
Welcome the domestic rivalry
Globalize to tap the advantages of other nations
Use alliances only selectively
Home base is important to support competitive advantage
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GOVERNMENT AGENDA…. Focus on specialized factor creation
Avoid intervening in factor and currency markets
Enforce strict product safety and environmental standards
sharply limit direct cooperation between industry rivals
Promote goals that lead to sustained investment
De-regulate competition
Enforce strong domestic anti trust policy
Reject managed trade
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SEMINAR QUESTION FOR WEEK 2 Break the tutorial Groups into four. Group A to look at Japan Group B to look at China Group C to look at USA Group D to look at UK
Consider the application of the Porter’s national diamond to the allocated country. Does this model explain competitiveness?