trade defence focus on the recent wine cases: china · 2012/2013: solar panels, polysilicon,...

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TRADE DEFENCE FOCUS ON THE RECENT WINE CASES: CHINA By José Ramon Fernandez, Comité Européen des Entreprises Vins AIDV Conference 24th October 2014 Beaune, France

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Page 1: TRADE DEFENCE FOCUS ON THE RECENT WINE CASES: CHINA · 2012/2013: Solar Panels, Polysilicon, Telecoms and...Wine Summer 2012: rumours of complaint from Beijing... ready to use but

TRADE DEFENCE

FOCUS ON THE RECENT WINE CASES: CHINA

By José Ramon Fernandez, Comité Européen des Entreprises Vins

AIDV Conference 24th October 2014

Beaune, France

Page 2: TRADE DEFENCE FOCUS ON THE RECENT WINE CASES: CHINA · 2012/2013: Solar Panels, Polysilicon, Telecoms and...Wine Summer 2012: rumours of complaint from Beijing... ready to use but

a) In merely 10 years:

The former « fortress Europe » has become a free trade world champion

Wine Reform: support measures to reinforce the competitiveness of the EU wine sector

Wine & Spirits reinforced their leadership as top EU agri-food exporter

b) Sudden proliferation of trade defence threats

Attempt n°1: Brazil – Safeguard (2012) Attempt n°2: China AD & CVD (2013)

Who would have believed this 10 years ago?

Une fois n’est pas coutume… … is twice a trend?

Page 3: TRADE DEFENCE FOCUS ON THE RECENT WINE CASES: CHINA · 2012/2013: Solar Panels, Polysilicon, Telecoms and...Wine Summer 2012: rumours of complaint from Beijing... ready to use but

Ingredients for a perfect storm

Emerging markets

Rampant “adolescent” growth rates led by middle-upper class

Emerging domestic production… with severe structural handicaps (climate, varieties, quality, governance, culture, etc.)

Blurry borders between government and business, public and private spheres

Trade conflict escalation dynamics threats of retaliations in the air…

Page 4: TRADE DEFENCE FOCUS ON THE RECENT WINE CASES: CHINA · 2012/2013: Solar Panels, Polysilicon, Telecoms and...Wine Summer 2012: rumours of complaint from Beijing... ready to use but

2012/2013: Solar Panels, Polysilicon, Telecoms and... Wine

Summer 2012: rumours of complaint from Beijing... ready to use but put in a drawer somewhere at Mofcom’s HQs.

o Commission opens an investigation on Chinese solar panels

o China launches an investigation on EU polysilicon companies

o The Commission decides (light) provisional EU duties on Chinese Solar

Panels,

o Mofcom opens an AD/CVD investigation on EU wines

o Commissioner threatens China with a possible ex-officio launch of an AD/CVD investigation on Telecoms.

Intriguing times… - Towards a trade war ?

Page 5: TRADE DEFENCE FOCUS ON THE RECENT WINE CASES: CHINA · 2012/2013: Solar Panels, Polysilicon, Telecoms and...Wine Summer 2012: rumours of complaint from Beijing... ready to use but

• End July 2013: o Commission accepts a price undertaking on Solar Panels, to be formally

endorsed by MS by the end of 2013. o Mofcom goes ahead with the investigation on EU Wines; both parties

commit to facilitate a B2B dialogue and Mofcom commits not to impose provisional measures during this dialogue.

• October 2013: Wine B2B dialogue CEEV/CADA launched in Beijing, in parallel to

the investigation

• December 2013: the Chinese government says business cooperation is better than trade conflicts

• Deal reached in view of the 1st visit of the Chinese President to Europe.

Intriguing times… - Towards a trade war ?

Page 6: TRADE DEFENCE FOCUS ON THE RECENT WINE CASES: CHINA · 2012/2013: Solar Panels, Polysilicon, Telecoms and...Wine Summer 2012: rumours of complaint from Beijing... ready to use but

The “Wine Case Killers Orchestra”

Page 7: TRADE DEFENCE FOCUS ON THE RECENT WINE CASES: CHINA · 2012/2013: Solar Panels, Polysilicon, Telecoms and...Wine Summer 2012: rumours of complaint from Beijing... ready to use but

The “Wine Case Killers Orchestra”

What makes this case unique: Atomised sector

Fragmented supply chain

More than 5.000 operators

registered Coordination with national and

regional associations and companies

Percussion - Organisational and funding challenges

Page 8: TRADE DEFENCE FOCUS ON THE RECENT WINE CASES: CHINA · 2012/2013: Solar Panels, Polysilicon, Telecoms and...Wine Summer 2012: rumours of complaint from Beijing... ready to use but

The “Wine Case Killers Orchestra”

Coordination with lawyers

Economic facts and legal arguments

Liquid nature of dumping

Breach of casual links

Winds – Legal challenges

Page 9: TRADE DEFENCE FOCUS ON THE RECENT WINE CASES: CHINA · 2012/2013: Solar Panels, Polysilicon, Telecoms and...Wine Summer 2012: rumours of complaint from Beijing... ready to use but

The “Wine Case Killers Orchestra”

European Commission • Close coordination with EC case handlers

during the whole investigation • Commissioner and his office • Various departments DGs in HQs and

the EU Delegation

MS - crucial role at both political and

technical levels

Direct contacts with CN Embassy / Govt

Strings – Lobbying (EC, MS, CN)

Page 10: TRADE DEFENCE FOCUS ON THE RECENT WINE CASES: CHINA · 2012/2013: Solar Panels, Polysilicon, Telecoms and...Wine Summer 2012: rumours of complaint from Beijing... ready to use but

The “Wine Case Killers Orchestra”

Opera – B2B Negotiations

Page 11: TRADE DEFENCE FOCUS ON THE RECENT WINE CASES: CHINA · 2012/2013: Solar Panels, Polysilicon, Telecoms and...Wine Summer 2012: rumours of complaint from Beijing... ready to use but

B2B > MoU CEEV/CADA March 2014

• The Deal

• Activity Packages

• Opportunities

• Contact Us

Page 12: TRADE DEFENCE FOCUS ON THE RECENT WINE CASES: CHINA · 2012/2013: Solar Panels, Polysilicon, Telecoms and...Wine Summer 2012: rumours of complaint from Beijing... ready to use but

• Special commodity ... special sector ... special case study • Trade Defence measures:

"It is not only about law »…(EU) "It is not only about economics »… (CH) ....It is politics, stupid!

• Legal and Advocacy must go hand in hand! • It is not an easy path for arbitrary protectionist attempts. Two failures so far... better not try again!

Lessons learnt…?

Page 13: TRADE DEFENCE FOCUS ON THE RECENT WINE CASES: CHINA · 2012/2013: Solar Panels, Polysilicon, Telecoms and...Wine Summer 2012: rumours of complaint from Beijing... ready to use but

• Lack of appropriate comprehensive equipment and resources to face such multifaceted probes and coordinate the implementation of holistic operations… … but outstanding and decisive support, including financial, from key stakeholders here in the room! • B2B dialogue: the sooner and the stronger, the better!

Lessons learnt…?

Page 14: TRADE DEFENCE FOCUS ON THE RECENT WINE CASES: CHINA · 2012/2013: Solar Panels, Polysilicon, Telecoms and...Wine Summer 2012: rumours of complaint from Beijing... ready to use but

THANK YOU!

For any question, please do not hesitate:

[email protected]

AIDV Conference 24th October 2014

Beaune, France