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Trading Index Futures on the JPX Market - An Introduction to TOPIX and the N/T Ratio Trade - December, 2013 Tokyo Stock Exchange

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  • Trading Index Futures on the JPX Market- An Introduction to TOPIX and the N/T Ratio Trade -

    December, 2013 Tokyo Stock Exchange

  • What is TOPIX?

    1. Representative index of Japanese stock market 2. Includes all stocks listed on TSE 1st section

    1,722 of the biggest, most liquid stocks

    562 stocks

    185 stocks

    1st section

    2nd section

    Mothers882 stocks Jasdaq

    3. Market capitalization-weighted index expressed in points

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    2500

    3000

    Dec. 18, 1989: 2884.8 pts. Nov. 15, 2013: 1239.04 pts.

    Jan. 1, 1968: 100 pts.

  • How is it different from the Nikkei?

    11.9%

    11.6%

    10.4%

    6.8%

    5.6%5.0%4.5%

    4.4%

    4.4%

    4.1%

    31.3%

    Other

    16.8%

    12.6%

    11.0%

    7.9%6.5%

    6.1%

    4.7%

    4.6%

    3.4%

    3.2%

    23.2%

    Other

    TOPIX: Nikkei 225:

    1722 Market Value Weighted Stocks 225 Price Weighted Stocks

    Tokyo Stock Exchange Nihon Keizai Shimbun

  • How do the methodology differences affect price movements?

    Formula:

    Big Movers: High market cap stocks (Toyota, MUFG, etc.) High price stocks (Fast Retailing, Kikkoman, etc.)

    TOPIX Nikkei 225

    0

    2000

    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000

    14000

    16000

    18000

    20000

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    1400

    1600

    1800

    2000

    11/21/2003 11/21/2004 11/21/2005 11/21/2006 11/21/2007 11/21/2008 11/21/2009 11/21/2010 11/21/2011 11/21/2012

    TOPIX (Left Axis) Nikkei 225 (Right Axis)

  • Playing the difference between TOPIX and N225 : the N/T Ratio Trade

    and/or+ N- T and/or

    - N+ T

    N/T N/T

    Nikkei/TOPIX Ratio

    8.00

    8.50

    9.00

    9.50

    10.00

    10.50

    11.00

    11.50

    12.00

    12.50

    11/21/2003 11/21/2004 11/21/2005 11/21/2006 11/21/2007 11/21/2008 11/21/2009 11/21/2010 11/21/2011 11/21/2012

    Nov. 15, 2013: 12.24

  • TOPIX Futures (Large)

    TOPIX Futures (Mini)

    Nikkei 225 Futures (Large)

    Nikkei 225 Futures (Mini)

    9:00~11:3511:45~15:1516:30~23:30

    9:00~11:3511:45~15:1516:30~23:30

    9:00~15:1516:30~3:00

    9:00~15:1516:30~3:00Trading Times

    Index value×\10,000

    (around \12.4M)

    Index value×\1,000

    (around \1.24M)

    Index value×\1,000

    (around \15.2M)

    Index value×\100

    (around \1.52M)Contract Size

    0.5 points(\5,000)

    0.25 points(\250)

    10 yen(\10,000)

    5 yen(\500)Tick Size

    \360,000 \36,000 \480,000 \48,000Required Margin(as of Nov. 1, 2013)

    How do I trade it?

    A short primer on JPX Futures

    Mar. 24, 2014

  • Trading the indices

    I think that N/T’s going UP in November

    Sell TOPIX Futures Buy Nikkei 225 Futures

    Let’s walk through an example of an N/T trade:

  • Trading the indices

    TOPIX Nikkei 225

    Include Mini

    \14,190,000Total Contract Size:

    \30,000 difference is your total exposure to N225

    However:

    Large Contract Price (Nov.1) 1180 pts 14190 yen

    Multiplier 10000 1000

    Contract size (JPY) \11,800,000 \14,190,000

    Mini Contract Price (Nov.1) 1180 pts

    Multiplier 1000

    # Contracts 2

    \14,160,000

    \2,360,000

    \11,800,000

  • 11.85

    11.90

    11.95

    12.00

    12.05

    12.10

    12.15

    12.20

    12.25

    11/1

    /201

    3

    11/2

    /201

    3

    11/3

    /201

    3

    11/4

    /201

    3

    11/5

    /201

    3

    11/6

    /201

    3

    11/7

    /201

    3

    11/8

    /201

    3

    11/9

    /201

    3

    11/1

    0/20

    13

    11/1

    1/20

    13

    11/1

    2/20

    13

    11/1

    3/20

    13

    11/1

    4/20

    13

    11/1

    5/20

    13

    11/1

    6/20

    13

    11/1

    7/20

    13

    11/1

    8/20

    13

    11/1

    9/20

    13

    11/2

    0/20

    13

    N/T Ratio

    13400

    13600

    13800

    14000

    14200

    14400

    14600

    14800

    15000

    15200

    15400

    1140

    1160

    1180

    1200

    1220

    1240

    1260

    TOPIX (Left Axis) Nikkei (Right Axis)

    Trading the indices

    Buy:1 Large N225 Sell:1 Large TPX 2 Mini TPX

    Position November 1, 2013 November 20, 2013 Profit

    Nikkei 225 Large (Long) \14,190,000 \15,100,000 + \910,000

    TOPIX Large (Short) \11,800,000 \12,355,000 - \555,000

    TOPIX Mini (Short) \2,360,000 \2,471,000 - \111,000

    Total + \244,000

    Sell:1 Large N225Buy:1 Large TPX 2 Mini TPX

    How does it work out?

  • *Figures are for week of 10/28 to 11/1.**Margin calculated using SPAN. Actual margin required by broker may vary.

    Trading the indices

    BEFORE

    1 TOPIX Large: \360,0002 TOPIX Mini: \72,000

    1 Nikkei 225 Large: \480,000

    AFTER

    1 TOPIX Large (short): \360,0002 TOPIX Mini (short): \72,0001 Nikkei 225 (long): \480,000Margin discount: (- \705,980)

    Margin savings of about \705,980 (77%) thanks to merger

    Your potential returns increase by 92%

    Total required margin: \912,000 Total required margin: \206,020

    What about margins?

  • Characteristics of N/T ratio trade

    Opportunities in all market environments

    Advantages:

    Risks:

    Futures are leveraged products with inherently high risk

    Take sector positions through products with deep liquidity, less idiosyncratic risk

    Low required capital investment

    Index constituents may change suddenly/significantly

  • How do I get started?

    Contact a JPX trading participant:

    A list is available on our website:

    http://www.tse.or.jp/english/about/participants/index.html

    Any other questions?

    Contact us!

    [email protected]

    http://www.tse.or.jp/english/about/participants/index.html�mailto:[email protected]�mailto:[email protected]�mailto:[email protected]

  • Disclaimer : The descriptions in this publication are intended solely for the purpose of providing information on futures andoptions. Losses may be incurred due to fluctuation of prices of futures and/or options, etc. and the entire deposited margin or a portion of such may be lost. Losses may also exceed the deposited margin. Investors must carefully review the documents provided by their financial services provider before trading futures and/or options, and must trade on their own responsibility based on their own judgment only after fully understanding the product qualities, the trading mechanism, relevant fees, the risk involved, etc. While every effort is taken to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication, Japan Exchange Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries shall not guarantee and be liable for any damages caused by any errors or omissions in this publication. Japan Exchange Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries reserve the right to change the contents of this publication without prior notice.Copyright Ⓒ Japan Exchange Group, Inc. 2013 All rights reserved.

    Trading Index Futures on the JPX Market�- An Introduction to TOPIX and the N/T Ratio Trade - What is TOPIX?How is it different from the Nikkei? How do the methodology differences affect price movements? Playing the difference between TOPIX and N225 : the N/T Ratio TradeHow do I trade it? Trading the indicesTrading the indicesTrading the indicesTrading the indicesCharacteristics of N/T ratio tradeHow do I get started? Slide Number 13