transitioning unique nasa data and research technologies to operations

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Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations Total Lightning What it is and operational impacts Geoffrey T. Stano NASA SPoRT / ENSCO, Inc. Huntsville, Alabama GOES-R Brown Bag Seminar 25 June 2014

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Total Lightning What it is and operational impacts. Geoffrey T. Stano NASA SPoRT / ENSCO, Inc. Huntsville, Alabama. GOES-R Brown Bag Seminar 25 June 2014. Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations. Cloud-to-Ground versus Total Lightning. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

Total LightningWhat it is and operational impacts

Geoffrey T. StanoNASA SPoRT / ENSCO, Inc. Huntsville, Alabama

GOES-R Brown Bag Seminar25 June 2014

Page 2: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

(Image by Tamworth)

• Cloud-to-ground observations are only a point source

• Location where flash touches the ground

• Does not observe the entire flash

Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

Cloud-to-Ground versus Total Lightning

Page 3: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

(Image by Tamworth)

• Total lightning observes both intra-cloud and cloud-to-ground lightning• VHF for ground-

based lightning mapping arrays

• Optical for TRMM LIS and the GLM

• Observes flashes that the National Lightning Detection Network cannot regularly observe

• Majority of all lightning is intra-cloudTransitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

Cloud-to-Ground versus Total Lightning

Page 4: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

What is Total Lightning

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Tota

l Lig

htni

ng A

ctiv

ity

Inter-Cloud Flashes

Cloud-to-Ground Strikes

31 Individual Storms from Central Florida

Total Lightning

Intra-cloud AND cloud-to-ground

Page 5: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

1442 UTC

3.4° Reflectivity, ~20 kft

1450 UTC 1452 UTC

Total Lightning• Observes intra-cloud (IC)

and cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning (1-2 min updates)

Physical Reasoning• Driven by updraft in mixed

phase region (above -10°C isotherm)

• Stronger, deeper updrafts• More lightning

Application• Increase in total lightning

signifies strengthening updraft

• Important for severe weather and lightning safety

Total Lightning

Importance of Total Lightning

Page 6: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

Lightning Mapping Arrays

Oklahoma

Dugway Proving Ground

Langmuir Laboratory

White Sands

Houston

Kennedy Space Center

North Alabama

Washington D.C.

Atlanta

SPoRT Collaborations

Other existing or planned networksWFOs with total lightning access

Colorado

Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

Advantages•Spatial extent observations

•High temporal resolution

Disadvantages

•240 km maximum radius

•No national network planned

West Texas

Page 7: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

Preparing for the futureNowcast and Climate

Applications in one sensor

• Sub radar volume scan times

• Full disc domain• Coverage in data

sparse regions• Geostationary• 90% night AND day

detection efficiency• 8-14 km resolution

(nadir to edge)

GLM Domain for GOES-East or West

Positions

OTD + LIS lightning climatology (1995-

2005)

Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

http://www.goes-r.gov/spacesegment/glm.html

Page 8: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

Operational Examples

Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

Page 9: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

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Time (min)

Num

ber o

f Sto

rms

First IC to First CG Delay“First Strike” Forecasting• Majority is intra-cloud• Lead time for initial cloud-

to-ground strike• First IC typically precedes

first CG by 5-10 minAviation applications• Update TAFs• Airport Weather WarningsPublic service applications

Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

Lightning Safety: First Cloud-to-Ground Strike

Page 10: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

Developing cell with LMA sources

21 Jan 20102200 UTC

5 and 10 mile rings for KHSV

Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

First Cloud-to-Ground Strike

Page 11: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

2202 UTC

Increasing Source DensityNo CGs detected

Airport Weather Warning issued

for KHSV

Small intra-cloud flash

Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

First Cloud-to-Ground Strike

Page 12: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

2204 UTC

Continued increase in source densities

Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

First Cloud-to-Ground Strike

Page 13: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

2206 UTC

First CGs reported 5 min after NALMA

detections

Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

First Cloud-to-Ground Strike

Page 14: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

2232 UTC

Total lightning gave a 30 min lead time

First CG within 10 miles of airport

Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

First Cloud-to-Ground Strike

Page 15: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

Tornadic Event: OverviewNorth Alabama Overview• SPC Moderate Risk

• Hatched tornado area• In warm sector• Moist southerly flow

• Tds ≥ 62°F• Temperatures almost 70°F• Low level lapse rates

• 5.5 to 6°C• CAPE: 550 (BMX) to 1200

(BNA) J/kg• ~400 m2/s2 SRH (0-1 km)• ~60 kt Effective bulk shear

• Very favorable for tornado development

Nashville

Page 16: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

Initial Development

1432 UTC

Reflectivity

Source Density

Storm Relative Velocity

Correlation Coefficient

1444 UTC

Several Cells

Minimal Lightning

No Other StandoutFeatures

60+ dBZ

Broad Rotation

~200 Sources

Up from 20 sources

Jump likely underway

Page 17: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

The Lightning Jump

1446 UTC1454 UTC

Reflectivity

Source Density

Storm Relative Velocity

Correlation Coefficient

Radar has not updated yet

425 Sources:Lightning Jump (double since

1444 UTC)

Core lightning still over 400

sources

No major change in

correlation coefficient

Strong reflectivity and tight couplet in storm

relative velocity

Note limited CG activity

Page 18: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

Tornado Touchdown

1510 UTC1520 UTC

Reflectivity

Source Density

Storm Relative Velocity

Correlation Coefficient

Drop off in total lightning typical as severe weather

occurs Very strong radar signatures

Jump preceded tornado by 24

minutesTornado

remains on ground and intensifying

Debris signature

Minimal lightning as core has descended – Few CGs

Page 19: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

Tornadic Event SummarySummary• Favorable storm environment• Total lightning coincided with

radar in pointing out main cell• Lightning jump preceded

definitive radar signature• Lead time of 24 minutes• No cloud-to-ground trend• Demonstrated large drop off as

severe event evolved• Typical as storm core descendsForecaster Quote• “… NALMA data from 1446 UTC

made it clear that the storm was indeed strengthening.”

• Favorable storm environment• Total lightning coincided with

radar in pointing out main cell• Lightning jump preceded

definitive radar signature• Lead time of 24 minutes• No cloud-to-ground trend• Demonstrated large drop off as

severe event evolved• Typical as storm core descendsForecaster Quote• “… NALMA data from 1446

UTC made it clear that the storm was indeed strengthening.”

Lightning Jump

Touchdown

Debris Signature

Velocity Couplet

Page 20: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

Summary• Total Lightning: Observes both intra-cloud and cloud-to-ground lightningo Not a point source – Good for lightning safety o Related to storm updraft strengtho More total lightning = stronger updrafto Special case: Lightning Jump

Rapid increase over ~10 minutes Usually precedes storm becoming severe

o Rapid updates (~1 minute)o Improves situational awarenesso Used in warning decision support

• Geostationary Lightning Mapper (Future instrument)o Lightning Mapping Arrays are an opportunity

“Sneak peek” of GOES-R ability Develop ways to fuse total lightning into operations

Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

Page 21: Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations

Questions?

Dr. Geoffrey Stano: [email protected]

NASA SPoRT web page: http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/sport/

Wide World of SPoRT blog: http://nasasport.wordpress.com/

Transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to operations