trends and opportunities in the residential housewrap

17
TRENDS AND OPPORTUNITIES IN THE RESIDENTIAL HOUSEWRAP MARKET HOUSEWRAP 2019

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Page 1: Trends and Opportunities in the Residential Housewrap

TRENDSAND OPPORTUNITIES IN

THE RESIDENTIAL HOUSEWRAP MARKET

HOUSEWRAP 2019

Page 2: Trends and Opportunities in the Residential Housewrap

Home Innovation Research Labs

▪ Founded in 1964 as wholly-owned subsidiary of NAHB

▪ Independent, for-profit researchers assisting development and commercialization of new building technologies ▪ Engineering research & development

▪ Market & field research

▪ Laboratory testing

▪ #1 in green home building certification (NGBS)

▪ Building codes and standards developers

▪ Partners with ICC-ES to fast-track issuance of ESRs

Page 3: Trends and Opportunities in the Residential Housewrap

Source: NAHB / US Census

Page 4: Trends and Opportunities in the Residential Housewrap

Top Trends Shaping the Building

Materials Industry▪ Skilled labor shortage

▪ Cost of labor also increasing

▪ Cycle time lengthened (from 6 months to 7 months to complete a home)

▪ Industry environment favors easy-to-install and pre-finished materials

▪ Conditions are right for some off-site housing solutions

▪ Construction materials costs increasing▪ Building products up 2 times CPI (4% in 2018)

▪ Lower availability of residential development property▪ Higher density suburbs (smaller and narrower lots, less privacy etc.)

▪ Remodeling outlook very good—improve/expand instead of buy new

▪ More rigorous energy codes▪ Air tightness requirements of homes

▪ Higher R-value + continuous insulation on exterior walls

▪ Windows & HVAC systems—next in line for sweeping upgrades

Page 5: Trends and Opportunities in the Residential Housewrap

Trends Shaping the Building

Materials Industry▪ Demographics

▪ Younger home owners/buyers—transitioning from renting

▪ Smaller, more affordable single family homes

▪ Population flow continues to South and West

▪ More durable products & materials continue to be favored

▪ Technology improvements▪ Plastics with decorative + wear layers gaining much ground

▪ Design trends favoring simpler styles (more euro and urban) and contemporary design—primarily interiors but also exteriors ▪ Exteriors incorporate lines suggestive of traditional styles

▪ Wood, stone, concrete, and steel—with multiple textures on exterior

▪ Open floorplans still popular but defined living spaces

▪ Painted cabinets & wood floors in kitchen

▪ Blurring transition from indoor to outdoor living—window walls or lots of glass, upgraded outdoor living space

Page 6: Trends and Opportunities in the Residential Housewrap

Basis for Presentation Data: Annual

Building Product Tracking Studies

▪ Home Innovation has been tracking annual materials purchases since 1995

▪ Builder Practices Survey of 1,600 U.S. Builders

▪ Consumer Practices Survey of 100,000+ U.S. households

▪ Decades of custom market research, sponsored by hundreds of building materials manufacturers

▪ Support of development and launch of hundreds of new building products

Page 7: Trends and Opportunities in the Residential Housewrap

U.S. New Housing Mix Trend (based on annual housing units starts)

Source: Annual Builder Practices Reports and NAHB Housing Starts

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

SFD Starter

SFD Move-up

SFD Luxury

Townhouses

Apartments

Page 8: Trends and Opportunities in the Residential Housewrap

U.S. Residential Housewrap Market

in 2018 (millions of SF)

1,809

2,368

- 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500

Home Remodeling

New Homes

About 4.2 billion

square feet of

wrap installed in

2018

Source: Annual Builder & Consumer Practices Reports

Page 9: Trends and Opportunities in the Residential Housewrap

Regional Volumes of Housewrap by

New Homes and Remodeling (2018)

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

New England

Mid-Atlantic

East North Central

West North Central

South Atlantic

East South Central

West South Central

Mountain

Pacific

New Homes Home Remodeling

Source: Annual Builder & Consumer Practices Reports

Page 10: Trends and Opportunities in the Residential Housewrap

Shares of Housewrap Purchased by

Pros and Do-It-Yourselfers (2018)

Pro Purchased, 87%

DIY Purchased, 13%

Source: Annual Builder & Consumer Practices Reports

Page 11: Trends and Opportunities in the Residential Housewrap

New Home Shares

of Housewrap by Type, 2018

Mechanically-attached film,

64%

Self-adhered film, 10%

Fluid-applied, 3%

Alternatives or none applied, 22%

Source: Annual Builder & Consumer Practices Reports

Page 12: Trends and Opportunities in the Residential Housewrap

Housewrap by Price-Point and

Type of Home (2018)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

SFD Starter SFD Move-up SFD Luxury Multifamily

Self-adhered film Liquid-applied Mechanically fastened film

Source: Annual Builder & Consumer Practices Reports

Page 13: Trends and Opportunities in the Residential Housewrap

Housewrap Use by Size of Single

Family Home Builder (2018)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Small (1-10) Medium (11 - 50) Large (>50) SFD Average

Self-adhered film Liquid-applied Mechanically fastened film

Source: Annual Builder & Consumer Practices Reports

Page 14: Trends and Opportunities in the Residential Housewrap

Housewrap Role Width in New

Home Installations (2018)

3-Foot, 4%

4.5-Foot, 5%

5-Foot, 10%

9-Foot, 57%

10-Foot, 23%

Other, 0%

Source: Annual Builder & Consumer Practices Reports

Page 15: Trends and Opportunities in the Residential Housewrap

Shares of Housewrap Reported in

New Homes, 2018

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Tremco Barrier Solutions Kimberly-Clark

Grip-Rite Grace / GCP

Benjamin Obdyke James Hardie

Perma R Products REX Wrap

Owens Corning Green Guard / Kingspan

Barricade Building Products CertainTeed

All Others Combined DOW

TYPAR DuPont Tyvek

Source: Annual Builder & Consumer Practices Reports

Page 16: Trends and Opportunities in the Residential Housewrap

U.S. Home Market Size for Roofing

Underlayment (millions of sf, 2018)

- 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000

Other

None

Self-sticking (peel and stick)

Synthetic (nailed on)

Traditional asphalt felt

New Homes Home Replacement/Remodel

About 16 billion square feet

of roofing underlayment

were installed on home

roofs in 2018

Source: Annual Builder & Consumer Practices Reports

Page 17: Trends and Opportunities in the Residential Housewrap

THANK YOU

Home Innovation Research Labs400 Prince George’s Blvd |Upper Marlboro, MD 20774

P: 301.430.6194 | F: 301.430.6180

HomeInnovation.com

[email protected]