trends plus participant slides
TRANSCRIPT
Copyright 2009-2015 Kedge, LLC
Yvette Montero Salvatico, Principal and Managing DirectorHolding a bachelor’s degree in Finance and an MBA from the University of Florida, Yvette has over 15 yearsof corporate experience with large, multi-national firms such as Kimberly-Clark and The Walt DisneyCompany. Before becoming a partner at Kedge, she led the effort to establish Future Workforce Insights atthe Walt Disney Company, identifying future workforce trends and leveraging foresight models andtechniques to assess potential threats and impacts, emerging ideas, and exciting opportunities for theorganization. Yvette is an experienced speaker, addressing large audiences on topics such as businesspolicy, diversity, and foresight.
Frank Spencer, Founding Principal and Creative DirectorPrior to founding Kedge, Frank worked for 15 years as a leadership coach and developer withentrepreneurs, social communities, networking initiatives and SMEs, helping them to advance humandevelopment, local and global innovation, and open-source collaboration. He holds a Master of Arts inStrategic Foresight from Regent University, and is a member of the World Futures Studies Federation. Witha strong background in both business and academic foresight, Frank developed a course on futures andforesight for the Duke TIP Institutes; has worked on foresight projects for companies such as Kraft, Mars,Marriott, and The Walt Disney Company; and is a prolific speaker on foresight and innovation.
@ymsalvatico
@frankspencer
About Kedge
www.KedgeFutures.com
Kedge is a minority-owned global foresight, innovation, creativity, and strategic design consultancy. We help our clients to thrive in aworld of complex ideas and practices, uncover emerging trends on the horizon that will impact their business, and discover unseenopportunities for strategic advantage and development.
3275 S. John Young ParkwaySuite 202
Kissimmee, FL 34746407-973-1172
8:00 – 8:15 Welcome and Introductions
8:15 – 8:45 Natural Foresight
8:45 – 9:15 iSee: Headlines from Today
9:15 – 9:45 Art & Science of Scanning
9:45 – 10:00 Break
10:00 – 11:00 Pattern and Sensemaking
11:00 – 12:00 iSee: Headlines from the Future
12:00 – 1:00 Lunch
1:00 – 2:00 Futures Wheels
2:00 – 3:15 Qualitative Predictive Analysis
3:15 – 3:30 Wrap Up and Close
Trends Plus Agenda
So. . .You Want To Create The Future?
An Introduction to Futures Thinking and
Strategic Foresight
Copyright 2009-2015 Kedge, LLC
Context and Background Futures Intelligence
World Building Strategy Recommendations
• Unconscious Bias Modeling
• Ladder of Inference• Causal Layered
Analysis
Discover personal and organizational assumptions around the focal issue.
Sample Tools:
Explore and interpret the emerging trends, patterns and clusters.
• Environmental Scanning• Qualitative Predictive
Analysis• Probability/ Impact Matrix• Pattern and Sensemaking
Sample Tools:
Create sets of divergent, provocative maps using creativity, data, intuition, and research.
• Scenario Fields• Cross Impact Matrix• Narrative Transformation• Futures Wheels• Design Fiction
Sample Tools:
Inform long-range planning efforts, inspire innovation and begin creating the future today!
• Backcasting• Artifacting the Future• Sign Posts• Scenario Commonalities• Scenario/Strategy Matrix
Sample Tools:
WFS Conference Master Class - 2015Trends Plus
The Natural Foresight™ Framework
6
Copyright 2009-2015 Kedge, LLC
Instructions
• In a moment you will be shown a series of pictures and headlines from recent publications. Each visual will be on the screen for just 30 seconds.
• Choose a wristband that represents your initial, gut response to the visual:
• Green = “I feel positive about this”
• Yellow = “I feel neutral about this”
• Red = “I feel negative about this”
• Now we will give you a little more information about the article that may change your perspective.
• Choose another wristband that represents your initial, gut response to this visual:
• Green = “I feel positive about this”• Yellow = “I feel neutral about this”• Red = “I feel negative about this”
You will be wearing two wristbands (they both may be the same color).
Instructions
• Now that you know even more about the visualand the emerging issue it represents, spendthe next 5 minutes discussing your reactionand insights with your team.
• Work as a group to reach a consensus aboutthe issue represented in the visual and thearticle. Choose a final wristband:
• Green = “We feel positive about this”• Yellow = “We feel neutral about this”• Red = “We feel negative about this”
Instructions
Copyright 2009-2015 Kedge, LLC
Copyright 2009-2015 Kedge, LLC
Copyright 2009-2015 Kedge, LLC
Fortress World
MarketWorld
TransformativeWorld
How might your pattern manifest in
each scenario world?
Write a news headline for each scenario
world from the year 2030 that summarizes
your perspective.
Headlines from the Future
Copyright 2009-2015 Kedge, LLC
Stretch us to becomemore provocative
Uncover unexpected consequences
See the bigger picture, create a story
Explore connections between drivers
Why are implicationsand impacts important?
Copyright 2009-2015 Kedge, LLC
Copyright 2009-2015 Kedge, LLC
The Pattern of Generative
Cities
StewardshipConservation
EqualityCommunity
Sustainability
New Productivity Measurements (P)
Innovation Hubs (T)Hybrid Value
Chain (F)
CollaborationAbundanceExploration
PosterityHolistic
The Pattern of Intentional Evolution
Synthetic Humanity (P)
New Ethnicities (F)
Brain Hacking (C)
Copyright 2009-2015 Kedge, LLC
All content and materials are the property of Kedge, LLC. Any use or reuse of this content without expressed written permission of Kedge, LLC is strictly prohibited.
Permission to otherwise reprint or electronically reproduce any page in part or in its entirety is expressly prohibited, unless prior written consent has been obtained from Yvette Montero Salvatico, Managing Director.
For non-commercial use only. To purchase a license covering the use of the material in fee-for-service consulting, please contact [email protected]
All rights reserved. Copyright 2009-2015 Kedge, LLC.
www.KedgeFutures.com