tuesday evening session security risks posed by processes of climate change greg grimsich united...

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Tuesday Evening Session Security Risks Posed by Processes of Climate Change Greg Grimsich United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) Regional Office for the Pacific Suva, Fiji

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Page 1: Tuesday Evening Session Security Risks Posed by Processes of Climate Change Greg Grimsich United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

Tuesday Evening Session

Security Risks Posed by Processes of Climate Change

Greg Grimsich

United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA)Regional Office for the Pacific

Suva, Fiji

Page 2: Tuesday Evening Session Security Risks Posed by Processes of Climate Change Greg Grimsich United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

Resources1) Climate Change as a Security Risk

German Advisor Council, 2008 (248 pages)

2) Freshwater under threat – Pacific IslandsSPC and UNEP, 2011 (58 pages)

3) Internal Displacement Caused by Natural Disasters and Climate Change – Conference and Workshop ReportPIFS & OCHA/OHCHR/Brookings supported, 2011

4) Climate Change and Security, Scenarios for Indian-Pacific Ocean Island States. EU, 2009 (14 pages)

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Greg Grimsich
FROM the FRANZ... TBC...
Page 3: Tuesday Evening Session Security Risks Posed by Processes of Climate Change Greg Grimsich United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

Conflict Constellations1) Climate induced degradation of freshwater resources

2) Climate induced decline in food production

3) Climate induced increase in flood and storm disasters

4) Environmentally induced migration

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State Security

1) Fragile states, global economy, and over stretching of classic security policy

Greg Grimsich
FROM the FRANZ... TBC...
Page 4: Tuesday Evening Session Security Risks Posed by Processes of Climate Change Greg Grimsich United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

Conflict Constellations1) Climate induced degradation of freshwater resources

2) Climate induced decline in food production

3) Climate induced increase in flood and storm disasters

4) Environmentally induced migration

4

State Security

1) Fragile states, global economy, and over stretching of classic security policy

Greg Grimsich
FROM the FRANZ... TBC...
Page 5: Tuesday Evening Session Security Risks Posed by Processes of Climate Change Greg Grimsich United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

Conflict Constellations1) Climate induced degradation of freshwater resources

2) Climate induced decline in food production

3) Climate induced increase in flood and storm disasters

4) Environmentally induced migration

5

State Security

1) Fragile states, global economy, and over stretching of classic security policy

Greg Grimsich
FROM the FRANZ... TBC...
Page 6: Tuesday Evening Session Security Risks Posed by Processes of Climate Change Greg Grimsich United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

Sikaiana Atoll, SI

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Greg Grimsich
FROM the FRANZ... TBC...
Page 7: Tuesday Evening Session Security Risks Posed by Processes of Climate Change Greg Grimsich United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

Conflict Constellations1) Climate induced degradation of freshwater resources

2) Climate induced decline in food production

3) Climate induced increase in flood and storm disasters

4) Environmentally induced migration

7

State Security

1) Fragile states, global economy, and over stretching of classic security policy

Greg Grimsich
FROM the FRANZ... TBC...
Page 8: Tuesday Evening Session Security Risks Posed by Processes of Climate Change Greg Grimsich United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

8

Greg Grimsich
FROM the FRANZ... TBC...
Page 9: Tuesday Evening Session Security Risks Posed by Processes of Climate Change Greg Grimsich United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

Conflict Constellations1) Climate induced degradation of freshwater resources

2) Climate induced decline in food production

3) Climate induced increase in flood and storm disasters

4) Environmentally induced migration

9

State Security

1) Fragile states, global economy, and over stretching of classic security policy

Greg Grimsich
FROM the FRANZ... TBC...
Page 10: Tuesday Evening Session Security Risks Posed by Processes of Climate Change Greg Grimsich United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

Conflict Constellations1) Climate induced degradation of freshwater resources

2) Climate induced decline in food production

3) Climate induced increase in flood and storm disasters

4) Environmentally induced migration

10

State Security

1) Fragile states, global economy, and over stretching of classic security policy

Greg Grimsich
FROM the FRANZ... TBC...
Page 11: Tuesday Evening Session Security Risks Posed by Processes of Climate Change Greg Grimsich United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

How many climate induced migrants might there be in 2050? Scenarios…

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Page 12: Tuesday Evening Session Security Risks Posed by Processes of Climate Change Greg Grimsich United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

Manam volcanic eruption 2004

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Page 13: Tuesday Evening Session Security Risks Posed by Processes of Climate Change Greg Grimsich United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

Center for the Manam displaced destroyed in clashes with local communities

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Page 14: Tuesday Evening Session Security Risks Posed by Processes of Climate Change Greg Grimsich United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

Conflict Constellations1) Climate induced degradation of freshwater resources

2) Climate induced decline in food production

3) Climate induced increase in flood and storm disasters

4) Environmentally induced migration

14

State Security

1) Fragile states, global economy, and over stretching of classic security policy

Greg Grimsich
FROM the FRANZ... TBC...
Page 15: Tuesday Evening Session Security Risks Posed by Processes of Climate Change Greg Grimsich United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs

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