ubs conference*
DESCRIPTION
TRANSCRIPT
José Antônio Filippo - CFO
Vitor Fagá de Almeida - Investors Relations
2
Summary
CPFL Energia’s Highlights and Results
IPO - Results After 1st Year
Value Creation Agenda
3
Organizational Structure
37.48% 32.38% 13.34% 16.80%
Free-Float
DISTRIBUTION GENERATIONCOMMERCIALIZATION100% 100%94.94%
66.67%
65%
25.01%
48.72%
100%
100%
60%
67.07%
97.41%
4
CPFL Energia – Business Units
Well-established operations leading the distribution and commercialization markets
Successful history of acquisitions, restructuring and consolidation
Private Company Leader in Energy Sector
Market leader, with a 25% market share
Outstanding performance in capturing free customers
Development of value added services
Success in Commercialization
Business
High growth on installed capacity
Generate energy totally contracted with distributors of the Group
EBITDA Margin ~ 90%
Strong growth In the Generation
Business
The largest distribution platform, with a 12.4% market share
Operating in a high consumption regions
Benchmark in operating efficiency
Efficient Distribution Operation in a
high growth area
Commercialization GenerationDistribution
High Corporate Governance Standards
5
CPFL Energia – 3Q05 Highlights
Net Income of R$ 240 million in 3Q05 and R$ 641 million in 9M05
Growth of 17% in Gross Revenue and 79% in EBITDA in 3Q05 over 3Q04 comparison
Electric Energy Index (IEE) and IBX-100 - Bovespa inclusion
CPFL Paulista and CPFL Piratininga’s minority shareholders migration announcement, with potential free-float increase from 16.8% to 17.8%
Final Tariff Review for CPFL Piratininga
Growth of 45% in the Commercialization business Gross Revenue and 31% in EBITDA in 3Q05 over 3Q04 comparison
HPP Campos Novos reservoir water filling started on Oct 10, 2005
HPP Barra Grande commercial operation started on Nov 1st, 2005
6
3Q05 Energy Sales
Distribution sales evolution
Commercialization sales growth in the free market
Total Energy Sales (GWh)1
Concession Area Sales3 (GWh)
Free Market Sales 2 (GWh)
1,652 GWh sales in the free market, representing growth of 85% in 3Q05 over 3Q04 comparison
Captive market growth: residential 5.8% and commercial 6.0%
93% increase in “TUSD” sales
27,852 26,718
9,293 9,139
3Q04 3Q05 9M04 9M05
1.7%
4.2%
4,643
2,1691,652
891
3Q04 3Q05 9M04 9M05
114%
85%
967 1,864
2,270 5,079
7,641 8,248
24,549 23,209
3Q04 3Q05 9M04 9M05Cativo TUSD
28,28826,819
9,5059,215
5.5%
3.1%
¹ With calendar adjustment. Does not include supply, CCEE and sales to Group’s distribution companies2 Does not include supply, CCEE and sales to Group’s distribution companies3 With calendar adjustment.
7
CPFL Energia – 3Q05 Results
Gross Revenue – R$ million
8,016
6,996
2,7632,360
3Q04 3Q05 9M04 9M05
17%
15%
17% Gross Revenue increase
1.7% energy sales growth
Average price increase in distribution and generation companies, due to price readjustments
111% growth in “TUSD” sales
EBITDA – R$ million
1,631
1,166
570318
3Q04 3Q05 9M04 9M05
79%
40%
79% EBITDA increase
17% increase in gross revenue0.3% increase in energy costs4.8% increase in operational costs and expenses
Net Income – R$ million641
119
240
-6
3Q04 3Q05 9M04 9M05
4,105% 439%
4.105% Net Income increase79% EBITDA increase
51% reduction in net financial expenses
Recognition of the adjustments related to CPFL Piratininga´s 2004 tariff review
8
2,130
1,964
1,824
1,694
1,642
3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
429
297
211
610
806
3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05
CPFL Energia has reporting consistent growth in EBITDA and Net Income
30%
282%
Net Income¹ - Last Twelve Months
EBITDA¹ - Last Twelve Months
Amounts in R$ million
¹ With CPFL Piratininga Tariff Revision effects adjustment
9
Distribution business – 3Q05 Results
14% Gross Revenue increase
3.1% sales growth in concession area
111% “TUSD” revenue growth
Tariff increase in distribution companies – tariff
Gross Revenue7,443
6,656
2,559 2,235
3Q04 3Q05 9M04 9M05
14%
12%
adjustments:
CPFL Piratininga 14.00% (Oct/04) CPFL Paulista 18.76%1 (Apr/05)RGE 21.93% (Apr/05)
EBITDA1,242
867
443219
3Q04 3Q05 9M04 9M05
103%
43%
103% EBITDA increase14% growth in gross revenue
2% reduction in energy costs
6% growth in operational costs and expenses
Net Income501
103190
(21)
3Q04 3Q05 9M04 9M05
1,026%
385% 1,026% Net Income increase103% EBITDA increase
57% improvement in financial income
1 On Apr 08, 2005: 17.74% plus 1.01% granted by ANEEL in jul/05
10
Commercialization business – 3Q05 ResultsGross Revenue
1,013
649
373257
3T04 3T05 9M04 9M05
45%
56%
45% Gross Revenue increase
85% growth in free market sales
77% growth in products and services revenues
EBITDA164
114
4938
3T04 3T05 9M04 9M05
31%
44%
31% EBITDA increase
45% gross revenue growth
Taxes (ICMS and ISS) and energy costs increaseabove revenues rates
Net Income112
76
3425
3T04 3T05 9M04 9M05
38%
48% 38% Net Income increase
31% EBITDA increase
209% financial revenues growth
11
Generation Business – 3Q05 Results
Gross Revenue320
243
11077
3Q04 3Q05 9M04 9M05
42%
31%
42% Gross Revenue increase
Monte Claro HPP start-up with additional 88 GWh in 3Q05 (9% on the total)
Average price increase:Semesa 12.42%Centrais Elétricas 11.12%
EBITDA258
208
8965
3Q04 3Q05 9M04 9M05
36%
24%
36% EBITDA increase
42% gross revenue growth
Increase in PIS/COFINS rates
Net Income87
52
32
14
3Q04 3Q05 9M04 9M05
125%
66%
125% Net Income increase
36% EBITDA increase
6% financial income improvement
12
Capex is adequate with the Group’s financial reality
By 2008 CPFL Energia will invest around R$ 2.6 billion to business expansion and maintenance
544 523 467 398
179
161159
158
2005E 2006E 2007E 2008E
Expansion Maintenance
723681
626559
TOTAL CAPEX(R$ millions)
% oftotal
25%
75%
In 9M05 the Group generated R$ 1,631 million EBITDA
13
Summary
CPFL Energia´s Highlights and Results
IPO - Results After 1st Year
Value Creation Agenda
14
Stock Performance Since IPO
BOVESPA1 NYSE1
1 From IPO to Nov 04, 2005 – adjusted for dividends
6 0 %6 0 %
4 0 %4 0 %
I P O O c t 3 1 , 2 0 0 5
5 3 %
4 7 %
Ownership Total Trading Volume2
ADRON
Liquidity maintenance
in both markets
5 1 %4 5 %
3 3 %
I B O V E S P A I E E C P F E 3
9 7 %
6 8 %
5 %
D o w J o n e s D J B R 2 0 C P L
2 From IPO to Nov 04, 2005
15
Stock Performance – Increasing Liquidity
BOVESPA
ITAG Differentiated Tag Along Shares Index
IGC Differentiated Corporate Governance Shares Index
DJBr20 Dow Jones Brazil Titans 20 ADR Index
IBrX Brazil Index – IBrX (IBX-100)
IEE Electric Energy Index
3 . 55 . 9
6 . 9
1 3 . 6
J a n - O c t / 0 5 O c t / 0 5
B o v e s p a B o v e s p a + N y s e
CPFL EnergiaDaily Average Trading Volume
R$ million
NYSE
Aiming for inclusion in IBX-50 and ISE
Negotiability Index: 63rd place over the past 12 months 45th in October, 2005
Wide analyst coverage
13 institutions release research reports about the company
10 buy recomendations
16
Summary
CPFL Energia´s Highlights and Results
IPO - Results After 1st Year
Value Creation Agenda
17
Defined strategy focused on value creation
ObjectivesStrategies Programs
Operating Efficiency
Standardization and Certification of ProcessesSystem Automation and ModernizationCall Center
Value
Liquidity
Security
Synergic Growth
Financial Discipline
Distribution: Opportunities of Scale GainsGeneration: PPA’s GuaranteeCommercialization: Free Clients Retention
Debt managementFinancial Investment PolicyTax planning
Differentiated Corporate Governance
Single class of shares: 100% Tag AlongCommitment to increase the Free FloatDividend Policy
18
Continuous search for operating efficiency
Distribution
• 51 thousand new connections in 3Q05, 14% above 1H05 monthly average
• Continuous commercial losses reduction1
• 292 thousand inspections in 9M05
• R$ 49 million revenues recovery in 9M05
• 65 GWh annual recovery perspective
• Delinquency levels reduction, with the historical best indexes in the CPFL Paulista e CPFL Piratininga in 3Q05
1 CPFL Paulista and CPFL Piratininga
Commercial Losses %1 . 8 9
1 . 6 01 . 4 91 . 7 6
1 . 3 71 . 2 6
2 0 0 4 1 H 0 5 3 Q 0 5
C P F L P a u l i s t a C P F L P i r a t i n i n g a
Delinquency %
2.76 2.63
1.95 1.86
2.82
3.20
3.66
2.022.22
2.42
2002 2003 2004 1H05 3Q05
CPFL Paulista CPFL Piratininga
19
Strong activity in free market
Commercialization business
• 9 new free customers in 3Q05Highlight for customers recovery from the CPFL concession area
• 50 customers in Dec/04 e 83 in 3Q0525 outside concession area
5 8
2 5
9
3 74 9
5
1 3
2 5
2 0 0 3 2 0 0 4 1 H 0 5 3 Q 0 5
o u t s i d e c o n c e s s i o n a r e aI n s i d e c o n c e s s i o n a r e a
Free customers number in free market
14
50
7483
Energy commercialization desk
20
Synergic Growth
54% Barra Grande HPP assured energy in the 1st turbine and 100% in the 2nd turbine
91% Campos Novos HPP assured energy in the 1st turbine
nov/05
Estimated Evolution of Installed Capacity - MW
Campos NovosHPP operation in
Jan/06Barra Grande HPP operation
in Oct/05
Generation business
• HPP Barra Grande commercial operation started on Oct 31, 2005
• R$ 102 million/year1 additional in Group’s revenue
• HPP Campos Novos reservoir water filling started on Oct 10, 2005
• Small power plant repowering
1 Considering approximately 100% Normative Value tariffs
21
Financial Discipline
3Q05
CDI32%
Dollar5% TJLP
26%
IGP37%
Debt Breakdown1
3Q04
CDI53%
Dollar3%
TJLP16%
IGP28%
Debt 55% / Equity 45%Net Debt / EBITDA = 1.8
Capital Structure 3Q05
Nominal Debt Cost
3Q04 3Q05
Indebtedness (R$ billion)6.28
4.39
3.78 3.87
1.82.3
2.9
4.9
2002 2003 2004 3Q05
Adjusted Net Debt*Net Debt/EBITDA
18.4% 13.2% -28%
Amortization Average Term - years 20%5.1 6.1
EBITDA 3Q05: considering last 12 months.¹ Debt without RTE* Adjusted net debt = total debt + pension funds - regulatory assets / CVA – cash
22
CPFL Energia’s float increase
Migration of CPFL Paulista and CPFL Piratininga’s minority shareholders
Free-Float37,48% 32,38% 13,34% 16,80%
Jul/05
Benefits to CPFL Paulista and CPFL Piratininga shareholders
receipt of ordinary shares with 100% tag along rights
shares with higher liquidity, traded in Bovespa´s Novo Mercado and NYSE
Benefits to CPFL Energia and its shareholders
7.7 million new shares on the free float, representing around R$ 182 thousand1 (+10%)
bigger float in the private electric sector
increase by 10.5 thousand2 in the current shareholders base
reduction in the number of subsidiaries trading at Bovespa
liquidity concentration in CPFL Energia shares
Dez/05 - estimado
38,32% 31,11% 12,82% 17,75%
Free-Float
1 Based on Oct. 31, 2005 share price2 Estimated – standard lot