ubs global emerging markets one-on-one conference
TRANSCRIPT
1
UBS Global Emerging Markets ConferenceNew York, November, 30th, 2011
Development of projects
focused on the low-
income segment
Industrial projects acting
as contractor to third
parties
Beginning of
large scale
projects for the
low-income
segment
Operations
expansion to
PA, RO and ES
IPO
32% growth in
units launched
from the
previous year
57% growth in
contracted PSV
from the
previous year
2
Over 30 Years of History
Consolidation
of a leading
position in
Manaus and
Brasilia Establishment
of own sales
team
Important geographic
expansion: Brasília, Rio
de Janeiro and Campinas
1981 - 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Capture
significant
market
opportunities
MCMV II
Follow-on: $
228.8 million for
the Company
Increasing
stock liquidity
46.8% 15.0%
Filadélphia
Participações S.A. 1 GICTarpon2 Other
7.2% 24.1%
Ridgecrest, LLC
6.9%
154.904.732 ordinary shares
1. Holding owned by Ricardo Valadares Gontijo and family
2. Funds managed by Tarpon Investimentos S.A.
Unique Footprint Strong footprint in markets with high growth potential, low
competition and high barriers to entry
Low competition in
profitable markets
Track Record in
Operating in the
Low- Income
segment
Over 30 years of experience
Solid track record in 0-3 minimum wages projects
Low equity commitment,
solid margins and high
ROIC
Focus on Large
Scale Projects
Verticalized
Business Model
Strong expertise in large scale ventures
Own work force
Performance-based compensation
Standardized and industrialized production on-site
Large scale operations
in the low-income
segments, with strict
cost control and high
margins
3
Direcional: A Unique Business Model
The best low-income player in Brazil
Source: Santander sector report august 5, 2011.
The most profitable
and efficient player
in the low-income
sector
„‟‟‟„
Highest efficiency and profitability in the sector
19.0% of Annualized
ROIC1st Annualized ROIC
1
2
3
4
4
Unique Expertise in the Low-Income Segment
1. Company estimates – maximum cash exposure in % of total PSV
Solid track record in all low-income segments
Characteristics
Developer approach
Companies develop projects
and sell units to customers
Prices above R$170 k / unit
Most of customers mortgages are
provided by large private banks
Developer approach
Companies develop projects
and sell units to customers
Prices are capped at R$170 k / unit
CAIXA facilitates customer financing
Builder approach
Homebuilders present
projects to Caixa for
evaluation and approval
Usually land/infrastructure is
donated/provided by local
Government
Price are capped at R$51 k / unit
Main Players
Equity
Commitment1
Units Launched
2010
~5%~15%~20% ~10%
7,391 units (60%)1,503 units (12%) 3,470 units (28%)
Mid / Low-Income Low-Income (MCMV – 4-10 MW) Very Low-Income (MCMV – 0-3 MW)+ +
PSV Launched
2010R$ 380 mm (36%)R$ 245 mm (23%) R$ 441 mm (41%)
MCMV Program RET 1
Largest housing program in Brazilian history
First Priority of the Federal Government
The 0-3 segment has increased threefold, reaching 1.2 million units
The regional distribution of the program should benefit Direcional
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Opportunities to be Captured in the Low-Income Segment
400,000
1,200,000400,000
600,000
200,000
200,000
Income limit R$ 1.6k limit R$ 3.1k limit R$ 5.0k
MCMV1
BRL 34 Billion1,000,000 Units
MCMV2
BRL 72 Billion2,000,000 Units
Special taxation regime: Lower tax rate (from 6% to 1%)
Large Scale Projects
Industrialized construction process
Units under R$ 75.0 thousand
6.00%
1.00%
RET1Tax Rate 1%
RET6Tax Rate 6%
Tax Rate
1st Phase “MCMV”
6
The most relevant player in the very low income segment in Brazil
PAR 2nd Phase “MCMV” RET1+ + +
# of projects: 5
# of Units: 3,602
Total PSV: R$ 153.7 million
Previous to “MCMV”
Program
# of projects: 3
# of Units: 7,391
Total PSV: R$ 380.3 million
# of projects: 2
# of Units: 6,724
Total PSV: R$ 392.5 million
# of projects: 5
# of Units: 2,540
Total PSV: R$ 149.2 million
Units under R$ 75.0
thousand
RET 1% Projects:
# of projects: 5
# of Units: .2,540
PSV: R$ 149.2 million
Very Low Income Projects:
# of projects: 10
# of Units: .17,717
Total PSV: R$ 926.6 million
Large Scale Projects + Industrialized construction process
Petrópolis - AM Meu Orgulho 1st Phase Meu Orgulho 2nd Phase Total Ville Macaé - RJ
Direcional as Contractor Direcional as Developer+
7
On September 1st, Direcional signed an agreement with the State of Amazonas and Caixa Economica Federal for the
construction of the 2nd phase of “Meu Orgulho” project in Manaus, with PSV of R$ 313.4 million.
# Units
Segment
Housing PSV
Infrastructure PSV
3,511
MCMV 1st Layer
R$ 149.2 million
R$ 41.4 million
Total PSV R$ 190.6 million
Location Manaus - AM
“Residencial Meu Orgulho” – 1st Phase
Launch 2Q10
# Units
Segment
Housing PSV
Infrastructure PSV
5,384
MCMV 1st Layer
R$ 272.6 million
R$ 40.7 million
Total PSV R$ 313.4 million
Location Manaus - AM
“Residencial Meu Orgulho” – 2nd Phase
Launch 3Q11
Agreement with CEF to develop the 2nd phase of “MeuOrgulho” Project
8
VÍDEO
www.direcional.com.br/ri
Efficiency in Operating the Low-Income Segment
The 0-3 model presents similar margins with a higher ROIC
Main Advantages of 0-3 MW Model
No commercial risks
Non marketing & Brokerage costs
Lower tax rate (from 6.7% to 1.0%)
Lower equity invested for land acquisition
Lower cash exposure
Higher ROIC
100% of the units pre sold to CAIXA
Constructive process
9
Operational Highlights
Launches
Sales
Land Bank
Inventory
10
Operational Highlights
9M11 9M10 D %
Launched PSV% Direcional
R$ million 1,019 652 56%
Launched Units Units 9,698 7,171 35%
Contracted PSV% Direcional
R$ million 863 631 37%
Cantracted Units Units 8,518 7,018 21%
VSO (Sales Over Supply) % PSV 50.4% 53.6% -3.3 p.p.
Land Bank - Potential PSV% Direcional
R$ million 6,991 6,224 12%
Land Bank - Units Units 67,361 66,167 2%
127
441 661
1.037 774
89
2007 2008 2009 2010 9M11
Incorporação Compra Participação
863
176
710 783
1.067 888
131
2007 2008 2009 2010 9M11
Incorporação Compra Participação
1.019
11
CAGR 07-10: 82%
Launched PSV – Track Record
(R$ million)
CAGR 07-10: 101%
Contracted PSV – Track Record
(R$ million)
Operational Highlights
Land Bank (% PSV)
ES1%
AM14%
MG38%
RO4%
SP6%
PA13%
DF22%
RJ1%
Launches Breakdown 9M11 (%PSV)
Low-Income, 52.4%
Commercial, 4.8%
Medium, 36.0%
Upper-Middle,
6.8%
North, 67.7%
Mid-west, 5.6%
Southeast, 26.7%
MCMV 1st layer, 35.3%
Low-Income, 22.4%
Medium, 25.4%
Upper Middle,
5.4%
Commercial, 11.5%
Units Launched in 2Q11 1.732
Contracted Units 700
Contracted in 2Q11 253
Contracted in 3Q11 368
Contracted on October 79
Units to be sold* 1.032
Sales Status: RET1
38.3%
22.1%
36.7%
20.8%
27.6%
18.5%16.0%
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11
With MCMV 1st Layer project Ex MCMV 1st Layer project
12
Sales Over Supply
(Total PSV)
Sales Speed (%)
(Units)
Sales Status of RET1 Projects (launched in the 2Q11)
Impacted by the lower
launched PSV in the
3Q11
Sales Speed
17%
87%
48%
20%
90%
27%
4%
21%
20%
14%
1%
9%
9% 2%3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
3M 6M 9M 12M 15M
40%
78%
93%
70%
90%
40%
60%Contracted Units
Units to be sold*
* RET1 sales are subject to the mortgage facility approval by CEF
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Concluded Projects – 9M11
DF 29%AM
26%
RO 22%
ES 12%
MG 8%
SP 3%
Concluded Projects(Geographic Breakdown % PSV)1 Equilibrium Manaus - AM 2Q11 43,561 136
2 Águas do Madeira Porto Velho - RO 2Q11 40,973 4263 Grand Prix Manaus - AM 2Q11 36,983 1924 Lake View Resort Brasília - DF 2Q11 87,812 2325 Garden Club - Fase 01 Porto Velho - RO 2Q11 27,515 3136 Dream Park Serra - ES 2Q11 35,704 2827 Gran Paradiso Belo Horizonte - MG 3Q11 13,621 1288 Villagio Santa Mônica Belo Horizonte - MG 3Q11 10,219 1209 Vernissage Campinas - SP 3Q11 8,448 58
Total 304,835 1,887
Projects City - StatePSV % Direcional
(R$ '000)UnitsQuarter
271
286
536
1,050
2,230
2,003
7,984
12,201
9,528
14%
7%
9%
% in Inventory23%
Concluded Projects
2008
2009
2010
2011
Launched Inventory
53
63
95
220
275
886
783
1,067
1,019
7%
12%
21%
% in Inventory27%
Concluded Projects
2008
2009
2010
2011
Launched Inventory
14
Inventory
Inventory(Units)
Inventory PSV(R$ million)
Only R$ 53 million (or 271 units) are concluded inventory;
87% of units under construction have already been sold;
Reduction of 7% of the total inventory in the 3Q11.
PSV (R$'000) % Direcional Units in Inventory
Total Inventory 705,493 4,373
15
Financial Highlights
Financial Performance
Liquidity Ratios
Deferred Results
DIRR3 Stock Analysis
16
Financial Highlights
1 - Adjusted for interest capitalized in costs
2 - Adjusted for non-cash expenses (Stock-Options Program).
3- Net profit in the last twelve months / Average Shareholders' Equity in the same period
9M11 9M10 D %
Net Revenue R$ million 776 519 50%
Gross Margin¹ % 31% 34% -3.3 p.p.
EBITDA² R$ million 179 138 30%
EBITDA Margin2 % 23% 27% -3.6 p.p.
Net Income2 % PSV 151 126 20%
Net Margin2 % 19% 24% -4.8 p.p.
ROE LTM³ % 19% 21% -2.1 p.p.
63.4 102.3 263.2 377.6 781.9 776.3
24.0% 21.1%24.5% 22.5% 22.6%
19.4%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 9M11
Adjusted Net Margin (%)¹
17
Financial Highlights
1 - Net Margin: Adjusted for non-cash expenses (Stock-Options Program).
CAGR 06-10: 87,4%
Net Revenues – Track Record
(R$ million)
15.2 21.5 64.4 85.1 176.4 150.7
24.0%21.1%
24.5%22.5% 22.6%
19.4%
0. 0%
5. 0%
10. 0%
15. 0%
20. 0%
25. 0%
30. 0%
0. 0
20. 0
40. 0
60. 0
80. 0
100. 0
120. 0
140. 0
160. 0
180. 0
200. 0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 9M11
Evolução do Lucro Líquido Ajustado¹ (R$ milhões)
Adjusted Net Margin ¹
14.9 20.7 33.0 48.2 56.8 57.7 72.4
10.1%12.2%
15.2%17.7%
23.8% 23.0% 23.7%
1T10 2T10 3T10 4T10 1T11 2T11 3T11
% Gross Revenue
Development, 76.5%
Management Fee, 0.7%
MCMV 1st Layer, 22.3%
Brokerage Fee, 0.4%
Revenue from Services – Track Record
(R$ million)
Net Income1 – Track Record
(R$ million)
Gross Revenues Breakdown-9M11
18
Cash, Debt and Cash Burn
Cash Burn¹ (R$‟000)
Loans and Financing
(ex- securitization)
1. Cash Burn: measured by the variation of Net Debt
* 1Q11: Adjusted by R$ 223.8 million of follow-on and R$ 40.3 million of dividends payment
* 3T11: Adjusted in the amount of R$ 15.6 million, from the Share Repurchase Plan
14,52225,312 22,468
32,65741,236
73,695
86,301
100,873
64,967
33,965
51,609
1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11* 2Q11 3Q11*
Moving Average of Last 4 Quarters
3Q11 2Q11 3Q10 D % D %
(R$'000) (a) (b) (c) (a/b) (a/c)
Loans and Financing 437,708 408,630 245,724 7.1% 78.1%
SFH 372,640 341,303 184,243 9.2% 102.3%
Receivables Securitization 35,273 37,216 53,097 -5.2% -33.6%
FINAME and others 9,480 9,149 8,384 3.6% 13.1%
Working Capital 20,315 20,962 0 -3.1% n/a
Cash and Cash Equivalents 343,618 381,768 235,075 -10.0% 46.2%
Net debt 94,090 26,862 10,649
Net debt / Equity 7.9% 2.3% 1.4%
SFH, 92.6%
FINAME and others,
2.4%
Working Capital,
5.0%
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Deferred Results
REF Recognition Schedule
16.9%
44.5%38.6%
2011 2012 after 2012
Deferred Results Consolidated (R$'000) 3Q11 2Q11 3Q10 D % D %
(a) (b) (c) (a/b) (a/c)
Deferred results Consolidated (1+2) 499,703 413,476 380,825 20.9% 31.2%
Deferred revenues 1,325,614 1,076,829 979,936 23.1% 35.3%
Deferred results - Margin 37.7% 38.4% 38.9% -0.7 p.p. -1.2 p.p.
Deferred results Development (1) 328,803 312,496 278,536 5.2% 18.0%
Deferred revenues 773,964 723,042 673,976 7.0% 14.8%
Deferred results - Margin 42.5% 43.2% 41.3% -0.7 p.p. 1.2 p.p.
Deferred results MCMV 1st Layer projects (2) 170,899 100,979 102,289 69.2% 67.1%
Deferred revenues 551,651 353,787 305,960 55.9% 80.3%
Deferred results - Margin 31.0% 28.5% 33.4% 2.4 p.p. -2.5 p.p.
1,151
1,651
1,379
500
Book Value 3Q11 REF Book Value + REF Market Cap 20
Share Repurchase Plan
Market Cap = 84%BV + REF
Date: 11/28/2011
Term 60 days 180 days
Starting date 8/12/2011 10/24/2011
Expiring date 10/11/2011 4/20/2012
Status finished active
# of shares approved by the Board (a) 4,500,000 4,000,000
# of repurchased shares (b) 1,633,800 -
% (b/a) 36.3% 0.0%
Buy back Approved (c) 35,000,000.00 30,000,000.00
Total Expenses 15,618,904.00 0.00
% (d/c) 44.6% 0.0%
Average price 9.56 0.00
Share Repurchase Plan - Details Plan 1 Plan 2
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Direcional vs. Peers
SETOR; 13.2%
BISA3; 12.2%
CCIM3; -8.9%
CRDE3; 3.9%
CYRE3; 9.0%
19.6%
EVEN3; 16.7%
EZTC3; 23.7%
GFSA3; 5.9%
HBOR3; 26.4%
JHSF3; 29.9%
MRVE3; 22.5%
PDGR3; 14.8%
RDNI3; 9.2%
RSID3; 12.8%
TCSA3; 17.2%
VIVR3; 2.3%
TRIS3; -12.8%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
-10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Ne
t Re
ven
ue
/ T
ota
l A
sse
ts
Net Margin
Slow turnover and margin above averageSlow turnover and margin below average
Fast Turnover and margin below average Fast turnover and margin above average
Company; ROESize: Leverage(Assets/Equity)
Color: Average Price - Launched units in 9M11
Low-Income - up to R$ 200,000 per unit
Medium - between R$ 200,000 and R$ 400,000
High-Income - above R$ 400,000
Sector
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
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-11
Pre
ço d
a A
ção
Vo
lum
e (
R$
mil)
Volume (R$ '000)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
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b-1
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17
-Mar
-10
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pr-
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-Ap
r-1
0
5-M
ay-1
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20
-May
-10
8-J
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-10
24
-Ju
n-1
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12
-Ju
l-1
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29
-Ju
l-1
0
16
-Au
g-1
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3-S
ep
-10
29
-Se
p-1
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15
-Oct
-10
1-N
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7-D
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27
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c-1
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-Jan
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-Jan
-11
14
-Fe
b-1
1
1-M
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1
18
-Mar
-11
4-A
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19
-Ap
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6-M
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23
-May
-11
7-J
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-11
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n-1
1
8-J
ul-
11
25
-Ju
l-1
1
9-A
ug-
11
24
-Au
g-1
1
9-S
ep
-11
26
-Se
p-1
1
11
-Oct
-11
27
-Oct
-11
Sto
ck P
erf
orm
ace
Vo
lum
e (
R$
'00
0)
Average Volume (21 days) Ibovespa IMOB Direcional
22
Shares Performance Since IPO
Since IPO
DIRR3: -14.0%
IBOVESPA: -13.5%
IMOB: -11.5%
23
Disclosure
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements concerning the business prospects,
projections of operating and financial results and growth potential of the Company, which are based on
management’s current expectations and estimates of the future performance of the Company. Although the
Company believes such forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, it can give no
assurance that its expectations will be achieved. Expectations and estimates that are based on the future
prospects of the Company are highly dependent upon market behavior, Brazil’s political and economic
situation, existing and future regulations of the industry and international markets and, therefore, are
subject to changes outside the Company’s and management’s control. The Company undertakes no
obligation to update any information contained herein or to revise any forward-looking statement as a result
of new information, future events or other information.
24
Contacts
Carlos WollenweberCFO | IR Officer
Jose Francisco DutraTreasurer | IR
Lucas BousasIR Analyst
Paulo SousaIR Analyst
www.direcional.com.br
+55 (31) 3214-6200
+55 (31) 3214-6450