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Where do business opportuni/es lie for the UK solar PV industry within the new framework? Ray Noble – REA Solar Power Specialist SolarPlaza – 22 June 2010 SOLAR POWER

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Where do business opportunities lie for the uk solar pv industry within the new framework?Ray Noble - PV Specialist Renewable Energy Association

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Page 1: UKPVC 2010 Ray Noble - Where do business opportunities lie for the uk solar pv industry within the new framework?

Where  do  business  opportuni/es  lie  for  the  UK  solar  PV  industry  within  the  new  framework?  

Ray  Noble  –  REA  Solar  Power  Specialist  

SolarPlaza  –  22  June  2010  

SOLAR POWER

Page 2: UKPVC 2010 Ray Noble - Where do business opportunities lie for the uk solar pv industry within the new framework?

What  is  UK  SOLAR  POWER?   SOLAR  POWER  is  the  Voice  of  Solar  PV  to  UK  Government,  

Customers,  Regulators,  etc  

 SOLAR  POWER    with  acceptance  by  EPIA  allows  us  to  be  the  link  with  Europe  

 SOLAR  POWER  represents  all  interests  of  the  PV  Industry,  providing  advice  and  support  

 SOLAR  POWER  arrange  and  partner  on  promo/on  Events  and  Exhibi/ons    

 SOLAR  POWER  produce  NewsleQers  &  Website   SOLAR  POWER  –  see  www.r-­‐e-­‐a.net  

Page 3: UKPVC 2010 Ray Noble - Where do business opportunities lie for the uk solar pv industry within the new framework?

Where  have  we  come  from?  •  Although  we  only  have  30MWp  

installed  too  date,  the  UK  PV  Industry  have  been  ac/ve  for  over  20  years  

•  The  Northumberland  Building,  the  First  and  Largest  BIPV  Facade  in  the  World  –  40kWp  in  1996  

•  Ford  Bridgend,  the  Largest  PV  Installa/on  on  a  Commercial  Building  -­‐  26  PV  Rooflights,  103kWp  in  1998  

Page 4: UKPVC 2010 Ray Noble - Where do business opportunities lie for the uk solar pv industry within the new framework?

And  there  were  more!  

•  The  Earth  Centre,  the  Largest  PV  Glass  Canopy  in  the  World  –  106kWp  in  1999  

•  BedZed  Zero  Carbon  Development  and  Winner  of  the  World  Energy  Globe  Award  –  108kWp  in  2001  

Page 5: UKPVC 2010 Ray Noble - Where do business opportunities lie for the uk solar pv industry within the new framework?

Raised  Awareness  

•   Developed    and  demonstrated  the  BP  Service  Sta/on  PV  Systems    as  a  PV  awareness  raising  process  prior  to  roll  out  in  various  countries  in  the  world  

•  Crystalline    PV  –  Sunflower  (s/ll  working)  

•  Thin  Film  PV  -­‐      Harmony  (complete  failure)  

Page 6: UKPVC 2010 Ray Noble - Where do business opportunities lie for the uk solar pv industry within the new framework?

Iconic  Designs    

•  Demonstra/on  of  future  energy  efficient  building  design  with  integrated  Solar  PV  playing  its  part  

•  Worked  closely  with  Architects,  Engineers  and  Building  Industry  to  develop  PV  Iconic  Designs  to  help  showcase  PV  

Page 7: UKPVC 2010 Ray Noble - Where do business opportunities lie for the uk solar pv industry within the new framework?

Developed  BIPV  Products  •  Working  with  the  Building  

Industry    to  develop  BIPV  products,  most  of  which  are  exported  

Page 8: UKPVC 2010 Ray Noble - Where do business opportunities lie for the uk solar pv industry within the new framework?

Which  businesses  can  benefit?  ALL  :-­‐    

•  Designers  •  Manufacturers  •  Suppliers    •  Installers    •  Maintenance  Even  without  any  marke/ng  too  date!  Even  from  the  U/li/es!  

Page 9: UKPVC 2010 Ray Noble - Where do business opportunities lie for the uk solar pv industry within the new framework?

Where  are  the  immediate  benefits?  Significant  growth  in  all  sectors  

happening:-­‐  

•  Domes/c  Market  •  Social  Housing  Sector  •  Public  Buildings  •  Commercial  Buildings  

•  Large  Roofs  •  Farm  Buildings  

•  PV  Fields  Crea/on  of  jobs  in  both  Manufacturing  

and  Installa/on  

Page 10: UKPVC 2010 Ray Noble - Where do business opportunities lie for the uk solar pv industry within the new framework?

What  market  growth    is  expected?  

•  with    only  30MWp  installed  in  the  first  20  years  

•  To  40MWp  to  100MWp  predicted  in  2011  

•  And  anywhere  from  200MWp  to  750MWp  in  2012  

•  Many  talking  of  UK  being  the  “new”  Germany!  

Page 11: UKPVC 2010 Ray Noble - Where do business opportunities lie for the uk solar pv industry within the new framework?

Which  business  models  might  evolve?  •  The  “Genera/on  Tariff”  allows  some  

interes/ng  business  models  –  “Free  PV  Installa/on”  with  benefits  of  the  electricity  for  use  in  the  building,  at  no  charge,  and    the  customer  earnings  from  the  “Export  Tariff”  

•  Un/l  a  Smart  Meter  is  installed,  some/me  between  2013  to  2020,  Domes/c  Housing  is  “deemed”  that  50%  of  all  genera/on  is  exported    

•  Commercial  installa/ons  will  have  output  measured  from  the  start  

Page 12: UKPVC 2010 Ray Noble - Where do business opportunities lie for the uk solar pv industry within the new framework?

What  problems  can  be  an/cipated?  •  Shortage  of  a  skilled  workforce  for  the  Design,  

Installa/on  and  Sales  

•  Possibly  inadequate  Supply  Chain  /  Distribu/on  Network  not  able  to  respond  to  demand  

•  Rapid  growth  could  exceed  available  supply  /  alloca/on  to  UK  of  both  PV  Modules  and  Inverters  

•  Quick  learning  curve  required  on  the  Design  and  Installa/on  of  PV  Fields  

•  Planners  need  educa/ng!  PermiQed  Development  on  Housing  

•  DNO’s  need  to  be  brought  on  side!  G59  Regs  

Page 13: UKPVC 2010 Ray Noble - Where do business opportunities lie for the uk solar pv industry within the new framework?

Impact  of  other  Regula/ons?  •  UK  have  other  Regula/ons  that  

assist  the  growth  and  adop/on  of  PV:-­‐  

•  New  Build  Planning  Requirements  –  10%  to  20%  electricity  generated  on  site  

•  Code  for  Sustainable  Homes  Zero  Carbon  Houses  by  2016  

•  All  new  Buildings  to  be  Zero  Carbon  by  2019  

•  MCS  process  will  be  developed!  

Page 14: UKPVC 2010 Ray Noble - Where do business opportunities lie for the uk solar pv industry within the new framework?

Educa/on  s/ll  required?  

Page 15: UKPVC 2010 Ray Noble - Where do business opportunities lie for the uk solar pv industry within the new framework?

Thank  You  

Ray  Noble  rnoble@r-­‐e-­‐a.net  

www.r-­‐e-­‐a.net