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UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12

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Page 1: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

Campaign Assessment14 Feb 12

Page 2: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

END STATES

MNF MISSION STATEMENTOn order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to compel the Arcadian Forces to cease all military actions and withdraw from Kuhistan and Free Mojave; when conditions allow transition security operations to Royal Kuhistan Armed Forces, and Free Mojave National Army, and/or a UN authorized force in order to restore stability and security in Pacifica.

THREAT - Arcadian forces arewithdrawn from Kuhistan and Free Mojave FRIENDLY - MNF has transitioned security operationsTo Royal KuhistanArmed Forces andFree MojaveNational Army and/Or a UN authorized force;

ENVIRONMENT - restore stability & security in Pacifica Region.

2. Arcadia cease all military actions and withdraw in Free Mojava

7. UN Mission readiness for transition

1. Arcadia cease all military actions and withdraw in Kuhistan

Peace Enforcement /Security

Governance

Humanitarian Assistance

MNF’s Legitimacy/Communication Integration9. Maintain International Support.

8. Civil Populace supports MNF PEO and Transition to HN and/or UN control

5. RKAF readiness for transition

6. FMNA readiness for transition

10. Maintain Regional Support.

4. Indirect fire from Arcadia

3. Sonora does not support Arcadia military operations

Page 3: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

END STATE 1: Arcadian forces are withdrawn from Kuhistan and Free Mojave to positions in Arcadia.• Arcadian armed forces remain deployed to oppose MNF operations.• ARC will continue to use diplomacy to deter MNF involvement in the Pacifica. ARC Military focus is to improve defenses and logistics posture.

END STATE 2: The MNF has transitioned security operations to Royal Kuhistan Armed forces and Free Mojave National Army and/or a United Nations-authorized force.•The RKAF, FMNA and UN force are unable to receive and sustain security operations at this Phase of the PEO operations.

END STATE 3: The CTF has restored stability and security in the Pacifica Region.• Arcadia’s aggression is the cause of the instability in the region.• This regional instability will impede the ongoing humanitarian efforts & possibly delay our transition process if left unchecked.

Campaign End State Status9 Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb 12 Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15 Feb 16 Feb 17 Feb 18 Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb

9 Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb 12 Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15 Feb 16 Feb 17 Feb 18 Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb

9 Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb 12 Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15 Feb 16 Feb 17 Feb 18 Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Page 4: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

Findings & RecommendationsFINDINGS: RISKS:

OPPORTUNITIES: RECOMMENDATIONS:

• UN Authorized Force readiness• Free Mojave capacity to function

as a Sovereign state after MNF PEO

• Concern as well on Kuhistan capacity to function as a Sovereign state after MNF PEO

• NGOs & IHC supporting HA efforts

• None to report

• ARC broadening regional conflict (Sonora and MDCOA)

• CMARFOR may be incapable of preventing DC interference due to insufficient CA forces

• Utilise KUH military forces in DS to CMO in CMARFOR AO

• Transition to Phase 3

Page 5: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

Phase 2 to 3 Transition Assessment

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

CNAVFOR Kelowna Port Seizure (MEU) MEZ maintained CJSOTF Ready to Support Strategic Strike CFACC Strategic Strike on TBMs, SAM and C2 sites. AEZ maintained Air Superiority in Decisive Area CARFOR Conduct POL with JSDF Establish Attack Position CMARFOR Establish Attack Position ARC combat pwr degraded

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+8

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Decision Point 3: -Transit to Phase 3Conditions:a. MNF ready to escalate offensive opsb. ARC combat power projection and

sustainment capabilities degradedc. JSDF redeploy out of AO

3

PH 5Transition

Status of Assessment: - Assessment on plan to transit to PH 3 on

D+7Issues remain: TBM sitesRecommendation: Plan for transition to PH 3 on D+7

Page 6: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

END STATES

Proposed MNF Mission Statement – Phase IVON ORDER, MNF IS TO CONDUCT SECURITY AND STABILITY OPERATIONS THROUGHOUT KUH AND FM, RENDER SUPPORT TO HN RECOVERY EFFORTS AND SET THE CONDITIONS FOR A FOLLOW ON UN AUTHORIZED FORCE IN ORDER TO ENABLE A STABLE NORTHERN PACIFICA.

- ARC forces are withdrawn to positions in Arcadia as determined by UNSCR 2000. - MNF has established stability in Kuhistan and Free Mojave.

– The conditions are set for transition to a United Nations authorized force.

Security

Humanitarian Assistance

Governance

MNF Legitimacy

Condition 1: Security in AO established / maintained

Condition 4: Govt/NGO postured for HA Ops

Condition 3: KUH and FM governments remain effective

Condition 2: Peace agreement has been established / signed

Condition 5: Strong support from government and populace

Condition 6: International and regional support

Page 7: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

Phase 3 to 4 Transition Assessment

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

CNAVFOR Maintain security; enforce MEZ Conduct / support HA operations CJSOTF Enable conventional forces clearing in AO CFACC Expand Air Superiority in Decisive Areas Conduct ISR Intra-theater airlift CARFOR Extend LOCs Establish LSA to support HA Operations CMARFOR Shape enemy forces in CMARFOR AO Continue ADP/CAP coverage of SPOD, FOB

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+8

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Decision Point 4: Transit to Phase 4Conditions:1. Security in AO established / maintained2. Peace agreement is established / signed3. KUH & FM governments remain effective4. HN govt / NGO postured for HA Ops5. Strong support from HN govt & populace6. International and Regional support

3

PH 5Transition

Status of Assessment: - Assessment on plan to transit to PH 4 on

D+7Issues remain: VariousRecommendation: Plan for transition to PH 4 on D+XX

Page 8: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

END STATES

MNF Mission StatementOn order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to compel the Arcadian Forces to cease all military actions and withdraw from Kuhistan and Free Mojave; when conditions allow transition security operations to Royal Kuhistan Armed Forces, and Free Mojave National Army, and/or a UN authorized force in order to restore stability and security in Pacifica.

THREAT - Arcadian forces arewithdrawn from Kuhistan and Free Mojave FRIENDLY - MNF has transitioned security operationsTo Royal KuhistanArmed Forces andFree MojaveNational Army and/Or a UN authorized force;

ENVIRONMENT - restore stability & security in Pacifica Region.

Mission Success

For Phase III

ARC forcesHave beendefeated

ARC forcesHave withdrawnfrom KUH & FM

Garrison of allStrategic strike

Assets w/in ARC

Readiness ofComponent forces

For stabilization

Cease-fireAgreement

signed

MNF FLOTRestored at

International border

Page 9: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

ASSESSMENT DRILL DOWN

Page 10: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

MOE1.1Condition 2: Security in AO established / maintained

OVERALL ASSESSMENT: Security in AO are being established / maintained

RECOMMENDATIONS:

MOE 1-2-1 : ARC agreed unconditional withdrawal of all ARC forces. (Issue of orders) (OPR: C2)

MOE 1-2-2: Accounting of remaining ARC units and coordinated exit plan. (OPR: C2)

MOE 1-2-3: I/D Arcadian attacks on FM from outside FM (indirect fire) (OPR: C2)No report of IDF attacks

9 Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb 12 Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15 Feb 16 Feb 17 Feb 18 Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Page 11: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

MOE1.2Cease-fire has been established

OVERALL ASSESSMENT: Peace agreement being established and signed.

RECOMMENDATIONS:

MOE 1-2-1: Arty Missiles system out of DMZ (OPR: C2)

MOE 1-2-2: Buffer zone established between ARC & KUH and ARC & FM borders (15km each side). (OPR: C2)

MOE 1-2-3:Cease-fire agreement signed between ARC, KUH and FM (POLAD)

9 Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb 12 Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15 Feb 16 Feb 17 Feb 18 Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Page 12: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

MOE 2.1

KUH and FM governments remain effective

OVERALL ASSESSMENT:KUH and FM government remains effective.

RECOMMENDATIONS:

MOE 2-1-1: Governance leadership back in the AO (OPR: POLAD)

MOE 2-1-2: Government services restored in AO (OPR: POLAD)

MOE 2-1-3: Judicial system restored in AO (OPR: POLAD)

MOE 2-1-4: Law enforcement agency ready in AO (OPR: POLAD)

9 Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb 12 Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15 Feb 16 Feb 17 Feb 18 Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Page 13: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

MOE3.1Govt/NGO postured for HA Ops

OVERALL ASSESSMENT: NGOs & IHC supporting humanitarian efforts. Conditions at IDP camps stabilising but expecting influx of IDPs to IDP camps.

RECOMMENDATIONS: Continue IO messaging to influence DC movement in AOA, monitor situation at IDP camps & coordinate with IHC / NGOs through CMCM.

MOE 3-1-1: Capacity of IDP camps to meet the demand of IDP (OPR: CMO) WHO provided vaccine to mitigate effects of measles outbreak at RENO CARSON IDP Camp. Other HA agencies also giving support.

MOE 3-1-2: Capacity of HA resources to meet projected demands of affected KUH populace. (OPR: CMO) Unknown at this time. Coordinating with our media & IHC for feedback.

9 Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb 12 Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15 Feb 16 Feb 17 Feb 18 Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Page 14: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

MOE 4.1Strong support from government and populace

OVERALL ASSESSMENT: Forces reconfig and postured for Stability Ops

RECOMMENDATIONS:

MOE 4-1-1:

9 Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb 12 Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15 Feb 16 Feb 17 Feb 18 Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Page 15: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

MOE 4.2Strong support from government and populace

OVERALL ASSESSMENT: Maintain International and regional support

RECOMMENDATIONS:

MOE 4-2-1: UNSCR remains valid in Ph IV (OPR: POLAD)

MOE 4-2-2: Peace agreement established (OPR: POLAD)

MOE 4-2-3: Mandate of UN Mission with UNSUPFORPAC (OPR: POLAD)

9 Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb 12 Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15 Feb 16 Feb 17 Feb 18 Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Page 16: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

Lines of Operations &Key Tasks

Page 17: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

CJSOTF Key Tasks (PH 2)

NSWTG T1: Conduct limited SR (TGO), DA, and limited UW P1: Degrade ARC IADS, C4ISR, and logistics P2: Motivate ARC forces to depart KUH SOTF KUH T1: Conduct limited SR (TGO), DA, and limited UW P1: Degrade ARC IADS, C4ISR, and logistics P2: Motivate ARC forces to depart KUH SOTF FM T1: Conduct limited SR (TGO), DA, and limited UW P1: Degrade ARC IADS, C4ISR, and logistics P2: Motivate ARC forces to depart FM Supporting Efforts CJSOAD CPOTF

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+6

3

PH 5Transition

Status of Assessment:1. xxxxx2. xxxxxx. 3. xxxxxx

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Page 18: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

CJSOTF Key Tasks (PH 3)

NSWTG T1: Provide support to seizure of Kelowna via SR, DA, and UW P1: Degrade ARC IADS, C4ISR, and logistics P2: Enable conventional forces clearing in North KUH SOTF KUH T1: Conduct SR (TGO), DA, and limited UW P1: Degrade ARC IADS, C4ISR, and logistics P2: Enable conventional forces clearing in Central KUH SOTF FM T1: Conduct limited SR (TGO), DA, and limited UW P1: Degrade ARC IADS, C4ISR, and logistics P2: Enable conventional forces clearing in FM Supporting Efforts CJSOAD CPOTF

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+6

3

PH 5Transition

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Page 19: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

CJSOTF Key Tasks (PH 4)

NSWTG T1: Conduct counter ARC SOF operations P1: Defeat Arcadian SOF in KUH and FM T2: Enable DDR of UW forces P2: Support transition of UW forces to pre-conflict roles SOTF KUH T1: Conduct counter ARC SOF operations P1: Defeat Arcadian SOF in KUH T2: Enable DDR of UW forces P2: Support transition of UW forces to pre-conflict roles SOTF FM T1: Conduct counter ARC SOF operations P1: Defeat Arcadian SOF in FM T2: Enable DDR of UW forces P2: Support transition of UW forces to pre-conflict roles

Supporting Efforts: CJSOAD CPOTF

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+6

3

PH 5Transition

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Page 20: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

CFACC Key Tasks (PH 2)

MAIN EFFORT T1: Gain/Maintain Air Superiority (AS) in decisive locs P1: Enable MNF freedom of operations T2: Interdict ARC LOCs P2: Degrade ARC fielded forces resupply; isolate T3: Shape force entry operations P3: Enable friendly ground force offensive operations SUPPORTING EFFORT: T1: Enforce AEZ / Support MEZ enforcement P1: Compel ARC withdrawal / isolate ARC T2: Conduct ISR P2: Find, Fix, Track and Target ARC forces T3: Support SC and IO P3: Compel ARC withdrawal

Supporting Efforts: CJSOAD CPOTF AI Air Refueling AEZ

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+6

3

PH 5Transition

Status of Assessment: 1. F-22 Grounded.2. ROE precluding strikes w/in ARC, prevents

CFACC from attaining objectives against enemy SAM, C2 sites, and airfields

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Page 21: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

CFACC Key Tasks (PH 3)

MAIN EFFORT T1: Expand Air Superiority (AS) over KUH and FM P1: Enable MNF freedom of operations T2: Destroy ARC fielded forces P2: Attrite ARC fielded forces and force withdrawal SUPPORTING EFFORT: T1: Enforce AEZ / Support MEZ enforcement P1: Compel ARC withdrawal / isolate ARC T2: Conduct ISR P2: Find, Fix, Track and Target ARC forces T3: Intra-Theater airlift P3: Maintain resupply of MNF forces ..

Supporting Efforts: DCA C2/ISR AI Air Refueling AEZ

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+6

3

PH 5Transition

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Page 22: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

CFACC Key Tasks (PH 4)

MAIN EFFORT T1: Maintain Air Superiority (AS) over KUH and FM P1: Enable MNF freedom of operations T2: ISR operations to monitor ARC forces P2: Ensure ARC forces withdrawal from KUH T3: Enforce AEZ P3: Deter ARC aggression SUPPORTING EFFORT: T1: Support MEZ enforcement P1: Deter ARC aggression T2: Intra-Theater Airlift P2: Sustain MNF forces / Support HA..

Supporting Efforts: DCA C2/ISR AI Air Refueling AEZ

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+6

3

PH 5Transition

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Page 23: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

CNAVFOR Key Tasks (PH 2)

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+8

3

PH 5Transition

MAIN EFFORT Support aggressive IO plan Enforce MEZ Mine Sweeping Operations Conduct Port Seizure Conduct surface, anti-submarine operations RADC duties Conduct strategic strikes Cut off ARC lines of communications Seamless MNF partner integration Provide Logistics support to CNAVFOR forces

Status of Assessment:-Mine Sweeping Operations completed -ROK RLT will land in Kelowna following the completion of mine clearance operations. -ROK RLT has completely off loaded from ROKN shipping in Kelowna Port.-CNAVFOR will have met all conditions to transition to Phase III.

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Page 24: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

CNAVFOR Key Tasks (PH 3)

MAIN EFFORT Support aggressive IO plan Enforce MEZ Conduct amphibious assault Conduct offensive operations Conduct MIO Conduct/Support HA operations Seamless MNF partner integration

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+6

3

PH 5Transition

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Page 25: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

CNAVFOR Key Tasks (PH 4)

MAIN EFFORT Maintain security in AO Facilitate transition of KUH back to legitimate government Conduct/Support HA operations.

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+6

3

PH 5Transition

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Page 26: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

CMARFOR Key Tasks (PH 2)

CONOPS: Intel: Begin collection on NAI Fires: Support MNF/CFACC ATO generations IO: Support MNF Strat Comm messaging LOG: Establish FOB Spokane ICW KUH; Provide CSS FP: Continue AD/CAP coverage of SPOD & FOB Maneuver: RTMC Division USMC RCT-e ROK RLT-7 (CNAVFOR) MAG-36 CLR-3

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+6

3

PH 5Transition

Status of Assessment:1. xxxxx2. xxxxxx. 3. xxxxxx

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

Page 27: UNCLASSIFIED Campaign Assessment 14 Feb 12. UNCLASSIFIED END STATES MNF MISSION STATEMENT On order, MNF XCG 12 conducts peace enforcement operations to

UNCLASSIFIED

CMARFOR Key Tasks (PH 3 – Stage A)

CONOPS: Intel: Continue collection on NAI Fires: Shape enemy forces in CMARFOR AO IO: Target enemy commanders with withdrawal options LOG:Provide CSS from CSSA Spokane FP: Continue AD/CAP coverage of SPOD & FOB Maneuver: RTMC Division USMC RCT-3 ROK RLT-7 MAG-36 (ME) CLR-3

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+6

3

PH 5Transition

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

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UNCLASSIFIED

CMARFOR Key Tasks (PH 3 – Stage B)

CONOPS: Intel: Collection on NAI Fires: Shape enemy forces vic CMF Obj 3. IO: Continue to target enemy commanders options LOG:Provide CSS from CSSA Spokane FP: Continue AD/CAP coverage of SPOD & FOB Maneuver: RTMC Division USMC RCT-3 (ME) ROK RLT-7 MAG-36 CLR-3

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+6

3

PH 5Transition

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

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UNCLASSIFIED

CMARFOR Key Tasks (PH 3 – Stage C)

CONOPS: Intel: Collection on NAI Fires: Provide DS fires to ME, Target (C2, BAGs, Armor) IO: Confirm MNF intentions to restore KUH borders LOG:Provide CSS from CSSA Spokane FP: Continue AD/CAP coverage of SPOD & FOB Maneuver: RTMC Division (ME) USMC RCT-3 ROK RLT-7 MAG-36 CLR-3

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+6

3

PH 5Transition

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

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UNCLASSIFIED

CMARFOR Key Tasks (PH 4)

CONOPS: Intel: Collection on ARC Ph IV actions/intentions Fires: Provide on-call CAS/IDF as required IO: Confirm MNF intentions to restore KUH borders LOG:Provide CSS from CSSA Spokane FP: Continue AD/CAP coverage of SPOD & FOB Maneuver: RTMC Division (ME) USMC RCT-3 ROK RLT-7 MAG-36 CLR-3

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+6

3

PH 5Transition

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

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UNCLASSIFIED

CARFOR Key Tasks (PH 2)

CONOPS: Intel: Conduct ISR to detect ADA, TBM Fires: Destroy enemy ADA systems and ARC fire support FP: Protect units during move to Tactical AAs SUS: Occupy LSPs to support CARFOR attack in zone IO: Continue efforts to encourage ARC forces to W/D CARFOR HQ (ME) T1: Conduct FP vic AO T2: Conduct CMO Task Force West (SE) T1: Conduct FP vic Reno T2: Strategic strikes on TBM, SAM, C2 sites, airfields Task Force East (SE) T1: Conduct FP vic Boise

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+6

3

PH 5Transition

Status of Assessment:1. xxxxx2. xxxxxx. 3. xxxxxx

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

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UNCLASSIFIED

CARFOR Key Tasks (PH 3A)

CONOPS: Intel: Conduct ISR to id strategic & tactical EN assets Fires: Defeat enemy fire support FP: Patrol MSRs, insure FOM SUS: Establish LOCs and LSPs along MSR in AOR IO: Continue efforts to encourage ARC forces to W/D CARFOR HQ (SE) T1: Conduct PEO to include forcible entry operations Task Force West (ME) T1: Defeat ARC forces vic Obj 1 T2: Fix ARC forces vic Obj 2 Task Force East (SE) T1: Defeat ARC forces vic Obj 3 T2: Fix ARC forces vic Obj 4

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+6

3

PH 5Transition

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

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UNCLASSIFIED

CARFOR Key Tasks (PH 3B)

CONOPS: Intel: Identify EN disposition, detect movement of reserve Fires: Isolate OBJs 2, 4; fix ARC reserve Bde FP: MMS, AS, IR, L&O, PIO SUS: Extend LOCs; establish LSA to spt offensive ops IO: CARFOR HQ (SE) T1: Conduct PEO Task Force West (ME) T1: Block ARC reserve forces north of OBJ 1 T2: Defeat ARC forces at OBJ 2 Task Force East (SE) T1: Block ARC reserve forces northeast of OBJ 3 T2: Defeat ARC forces at OBJ 4

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+6

3

PH 5Transition

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

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UNCLASSIFIED

CARFOR Key Tasks (PH 3C)

CONOPS: Intel: Detect movement of reserve & IDPs Fires: Defeat EN fire support; Disrupt ARC attacks FP: MMS, AS, IR, L&O, PIO SUS: Provide CSS IO: Continue IO to encourage IDPs to remain in KUH CARFOR HQ (SE) T1: Conduct PEO Task Force West (ME) T1: Clear KUH territory to ARC border T2: O/O Defend KUH border Task Force East (SE) T1: Clear KUH territory to ARC border T2: O/O Defend KUH border

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+6

3

PH 5Transition

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

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UNCLASSIFIED

CARFOR Key Tasks (PH 4)

CONOPS: Intel: Identify remaining EN in KUH; monitor IDP movements Fires: Establish new FPOL along border FP: IR, L&O, MMS, AS, PIO SUS: Sustain the force; transition LOG to host nation IO: Increase support to Gov authorities in KUH and FM CARFOR HQ (ME) T1: Establishment of policy for transfer of authority Task Force West (SE) T1: Maintain presence in AO Task Force East (SE) T1: Maintain presence in AO

PH 0Crisis

PH 1Deter

PH 2 Seize The Initiative

PH 3Dominate

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

DEPLOYMNF

CONDUCT ISR

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

CUT ARC LOC

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

OFFENSIVE OPS RE-ESTB

INT’L BORDER

PH 4Stabilize

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

D-+6

3

PH 5Transition

Achieved On Plan Off Plan Not Assessed

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UNCLASSIFIED

Back-ups

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UNCLASSIFIED

PHASE 1DETER

D – 45 TO D DAY

PHASE 2SEIZE THE INITIATIVE

D TO D + 10 DAY

PHASE 3DOMINATE

D + 10 TO D + 40 DAY

PHASE 4STABILIZE

D + 40 TO D + 100 DAY

This OP is designed to swiftly and decisively compel Arcadian forces to withdraw from KUH and FM using a short and aggressive IO campaign, followed by quick and effective application of overwhelming force. It will include the establishment of AEZ/MEZ, Strategic strikes in Arcadia to degrade Arcadian power projection, and cut off sustainment capabilities. Thereafter execute 3-pronged entry ops into the battlespace, rapidly defeating Arcadian combat power, choking off Arcadian LOCs and driving them out of KUH and FM. Once Arcadian forces are driven out of KUH and FM, the focus will be on security and stability, civil-military operations and transition operations.

DECISIVE AND SWIFT COMBAT OPS TIMELINE

DP 1. Conduct Strategic Strike (transit to Phase 2 Earlier)Conditions. a. ARC kinetic strikes disrupt MNF flow b. Permission from HHQ c. Sufficient assets in theatre

DP 2. To continue Kinetic Ops / Transit to Phase 2

Conditions. a. IO not effective b. Diplomatic actions not successful c. MNF postured, ready for Phase 2

DEPLOYMNF

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

CONDUCT ISR

CONDUCT IO BY PHASES

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

CUT ARC LOC

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

OFFENSIVE OPS

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

RE-ESTB INT’L

BORDER

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY

DP 4. Transit to Phase 4Conditions. a. ARC no longer in KUH and FM

DP 5. Transit to Phase 5Conditions. a. Security in AO is maintained b. CMO and IO is effective c. KUH and FM Forces and / or UN Forces ready to take over

DP 3. Transit to Phase 3Conditions. a. MNF ready to escalate

offensive ops. b. ARC Combat Power

Projection and sustainment capabilities degraded.

DEPLOYMNF

SECURE APOD / SPOD

ESTB MEZ / AEZ

CONDUCT ISR

CONDUCT IO BY PHASES

ENFORCE AEZ / MEZ

STRATEGIC STRIKE

CUT ARC LOC

FORCIBLE ENTRY

INTO AO

OFFENSIVE OPS

COORD & CONDUCT

CMO

RE-ESTB INT’L

BORDER

MAINTAIN SECUIRTY

IN AO

COUNTERSF / PSYOPS

ESTB POLICY FOR TRANSFER OF

AUTHORITY