understanding compliance with security council resolutions in civil wars
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Understanding Compliance with Security Council Resolutions in Civil Wars. A project of the International Peace Institute. IPI Security Council Compliance Database Statistical analysis Case studies Edited volume and Policy reports Searchable database. Project Outputs. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Understanding Compliance with Security Council Resolutions in Civil Wars
A project of the International Peace Institute
Project Outputs
IPI Security Council Compliance Database
Statistical analysis
Case studies
Edited volume and Policy reports
Searchable database
Security Council demands and UN peace operations
0
40
80
120
160
200
1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003
Nu
mb
er
of
Se
curi
ty
Co
un
cil d
em
an
ds
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Se
curi
ty C
ou
nci
l
de
ma
nd
s (%
)
Security Council demands adopted with a UN peace operationmandatedSecurity Council demands adopted without a UN peaceoperation mandatedPercent of Security Council demands adopted with a UN peaceoperation mandated
Source: IPI Security Council Compliance Database
Average number of demands per Security Council civil war Resolution
0
2
4
6
8
10
1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003
Ave
rage
num
ber
of d
eman
ds
per
Sec
urity
Cou
ncil
Res
olut
ion
addr
essi
ng a
civ
il w
ar
Demands per Security Council Resolution
Demands to civil war parties per Security Council Resolution
Demands to all other parties per Security Council Resolution
Source: IPI Security Council Compliance Database
Security Council demands during and after civil wars
0
40
80
120
160
1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003
Nu
mb
er
of
Se
curi
ty C
ou
nci
l
de
ma
nd
s
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Se
curi
ty C
ou
nci
l de
ma
nd
s (%
)
Demands issued during civil wars
Demands issued after civil war termination
Percent of demands issued after civil war termination
Source: IPI Security Council Compliance Database
Source: IPI Security Council Compliance Database
Security Council use of compliance monitoring mandates
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003P
erc
en
t o
f S
ecu
rity
Co
un
cil d
em
an
ds
ad
dre
sse
d
to c
ivil
wa
r p
art
ies
linke
d t
o a
mo
nito
rin
g m
an
da
te
Research Questions
Under which circumstances are civil war parties most likely to comply with demands of the Security Council?
Does the difficulty of the conflict management setting explain the prospects of compliance?
Which strategies and tools can the Security Council use to make its voice heard by civil war parties?
Is the level of commitment of Security Council members to a demand correlated to compliance?
Distinguish between specific operative demands
Assess compliance on a scale
Compliance Assessment Methodology
Document each compliance coding decision
Assign each coding decision to two independent coders
Compliance Assessment Procedure
Statistical Model
Multi-level structure of data
Selection bias
