understanding the crisis that is facing america during the 2016 election – and why bernie sanders...
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Understanding the Crisis that Is Facing America
During the 2016 Election – and Why Bernie Sanders
May Be the World’s Only Hope.
- Douglas McRae
For the past few months, every article that references Donald Trump on the
Huffington Post contains a very brief Editor’s Note at the end, advising the reader
that “Donald Trump is a serial liar, rampant xenophobe, racist, misogynist, birther
and bully who has repeatedly pledged to ban all Muslims – 1.6 billion members of
an entire religion – from entering the U.S.” What makes this Note truly intriguing is
the fact that it refers to the man who is currently the undisputed frontrunner for
the Republican candidate for President of the United States of America; a man who
– during the last televised primary debate – proudly defended the size of his penis
on stage. On the Democratic candidacy side, a 74-year old agnostic who is a self-
proclaimed “democratic socialist” and not even a registered Democrat is currently
locked in a two-way battle against the only remaining vestige of American political
dynasties: a scandal plagued life-long politician who is receiving nearly all of the
establishment support despite being under Federal investigation. Watching this
crazy-train of a cluster-circus unfold before them, a collective cry of “how is this
possible” continues to emanate the average American voter. What the fuck is going
on?The answer, as former President William Jefferson Clinton’s political advisor
James Carville astutely observed back in 1992, is simple: “[t]he economy, stupid.”
And the truth behind all of this is a hell of a lot more terrifying that most people
think.
The United States Government Has Been Operating Under a
Neoliberal Economic Theory for the Past 35 Years.
To understand exactly what is happening in this election cycle requires an
understanding of same basic economic theories and the role that those theories have
played in American politics and our current economic state. At the core of this is the
economic ideology known as “neoliberalism.” Neoliberalism is not a political theory –
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it has absolutely nothing to do with liberal or conservative political beliefs, such as
abortion rights or gun control. Neoliberalism is, instead, an economic theory based
upon the proposal that human well-being is best served “by liberating individual
entrepreneurial freedoms and skills within an institutional framework
characterized by strong private property rights, free markets, and free trade.”1
In other words, an economic ideology based upon principles of individual
accountability, non-redistributive taxes and largely unregulated businesses – think
laissez-faireor Ayn Rand-type economics with a minimal amount of business
regulation and social security programs, so people aren’t starving in the streets.2
The economic policies promoted under a neoliberal ideology allow for the
maximization of competition alongside a generalized indifference to poverty,3
which permits the expansive growth of increasingly larger and more powerful
companies. The end result of this is income inequality – a vast difference in the
amount of income and wealth between the very few individuals who control the
methods of production (the 1%)4 and the work force necessary for that production
(the 99%).
When Ronald Reagan was elected President in 1980, he brought neoliberal
economics to the Republican Party and the United States government.5 The Reagan-
era tax cuts – with the promise that untaxed monies would grow and trickle down
and benefit all Americans – implemented the first part of neoliberal ideology and
ended the redistribution of wealth through taxes that had been in place in this
Country since the New Deal.6 Then President William Clinton brought
neoliberalism to the Democratic Party, and implemented the rest of it with his social
welfare and prison reform (gutting the social security net and increasing the prison
population on the premise of individual accountability), free-trade (such as NAFTA)
1 http://www.corpwatch.org/article.php?id=376
2 http://www.globalissues.org/article/39/a-primer-on-neoliberalism
3 http://www.counterpunch.org/2015/12/04/american-nightmare-the-depravity-of-
neoliberalism/ 4 The 1% described here – the “economic elite” and large corporations – refers to
those who control the methods of production in the Country – the owners of the
large corporations and the large corporations themselves. It is not meant to refer
literally to the top 1% of income earners.
5 http://monthlyreview.org/2001/04/01/neoliberalism-from-reagan-to-clinton/
6 http://monthlyreview.org/2001/04/01/neoliberalism-from-reagan-to-clinton/
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and deregulation of businesses and finance (such as the repeal of Glass-Steagall).7
Neoliberalism is the current political establishment in Washington, D.C. – it is the
underlying economic theory that has united both Democrats and Republicans since
1980.8 And for the past 36 years it has resulted in a gross increase in income
inequality in America.
Income Inequality Has Grown to Devastating Levels the Past 35
Years Under Our Neoliberal Economic Policies.
To understand how bad inequality has grown requires first looking at changes in
productivity during this period of time. Worker productivity since the late 1970s
until today is up almost 74%9 – meaning that every single worker makes nearly
twice as much “product” as before, largely thanks to technology. But those workers
do not get paid twice as much – indeed, during that same period of time, overall
wages went up by only 9.2%.10 Some studies, factoring in inflation, in fact conclude
that the American worker has not just endured wage stagnation during this time,
but – at the end of the day – has actually had her actual real wage decreases during
this time.11 Workers are producing more, but they are not making more money.
So where does that extra money go?
Well, quite simply, the other 65% of value resulting from the increasedproductivity goes to the 1% – the large corporations and economic elite that own the
methods of production.12 It is this transfer of the wealth from the increases in the
productivity of the workers to the owners controlling the methods of production has
7 http://monthlyreview.org/2001/04/01/neoliberalism-from-reagan-to-clinton/
8
http://www.salon.com/2015/04/29/neoliberals_are_killing_us_the_ted_talk_techno_ut
opian_thomas_friedman_economy_is_a_lie/
9 http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2015/02/why-the-gap-between-worker-pay-and-productivity-is-so-problematic/385931/
10 http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2015/02/why-the-gap-between-
worker-pay-and-productivity-is-so-problematic/385931/
11 http://www.epi.org/publication/charting-wage-stagnation/
12 http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2015/02/why-the-gap-between-
worker-pay-and-productivity-is-so-problematic/385931/
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resulted in the massive increases in income inequality that we see today. At the
same time, the economic elite have used their massive wealth to fund politicians
that enact policies even more favorable to them; so that in addition to stagnant
wages, the middle class are also forced to endure the increased burden of health
care costs, the loss of manufacturing jobs to free-trade agreements, the weakeningof prevailing wage laws and overtime protections, and the failure to implement
standards to provide sick leave, family leave or minimum vacation schedules.13
The American middle class has been steadily working harder and making less for
almost 40 years.14
And things are even worse for the lower class. 46.7 million Americans – around
15% of the population – live in actual poverty – either the working poor or the
unemployed.15 The initial promise of neoliberal economic ideology that the “rising
tide would lift all boats” has been belied by the fact that the poverty level in the
United States has been essentially stagnant in this Country since the start of the
1980s.16 Trickle-down economics does not actually happen – not in any substantive
way. When President Clinton gutted the American social security net with his
welfare reform law in 1996,17 things got even worse. The safety net is barely there
and there are millions of people in this Country who suffer horribly every single
day.18 People are quite literally dying of poverty in what is considered to be the
wealthiest nation in the history of all mankind.19
Nothing has been done about this problem because the political power of the
economic elite has grown to the point that Congress is no longer accountable to the
general American public. As a mathematical fact, universal healthcare would be
better for essentially every single U.S. voter (every person would receive full
13 http://www.politicalresearch.org/2014/10/07/from-the-new-right-to-neoliberalism-
the-threat-to-democracy-has-grown/#sthash.UmluWzwn.dpbs
14 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/01/20/middle-class-charts_n_6507506.html
15 http://talkpoverty.org/basics/
16 http://journalistsresource.org/studies/economics/inequality/poverty-2014-
overview-research-trends 17 https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2016/02/27/bernie-sanders-is-
right-bill-clintons-welfare-law-doubled-extreme-poverty/
18 http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/25/opinion/how-poor-are-the-poor.html?_r=0
19 http://fortune.com/2015/09/30/america-wealth-inequality/ (in the Forbes 2015 list,
the United States is not only number one, but actually has four times the wealth of
the second wealthiest nation, China).
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healthcare coverage and save hundreds or thousands of dollars per year)20 – and yet
politicians repeatedly say that universal healthcare is a political possibility at this
time. Why? Because Congress has absolutely no accountability to American voters.
The economic elites do not want universal healthcare to be passed since the
insurance and pharmaceutical industries in which they are invested make billionsoff of private healthcare every year,21 so politicians tell the public it is impossible to
do with no worries of being voted out of office. It is this lack of accountability that
allows the economic elite to force every average taxpayer to pay $2,700 in business
subsidies, and only $36 for welfare programs.22 It is this lack of accountability to
voters that allows the economic elite to take actions that can put profit over the very
existence of the human race.23 We are living in an oligarchy,24 and this is the natural
consequence of a neoliberal economic policy and the income inequality that results
from it.
The Current Level of Income Inequality Has Now Reached
Crisis Levels, and the American Voters Know This.
To be perfectly clear, the level of income inequality that currently exists in the
United States is the highest that it has been since 1929 – the year the stock market
crashed and the Great Depression began.
25
And it is that historically high level of
20 http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/health-costs-how-the-us-compares-with-
other-countries/
21 http://www.businessinsider.com/statistics-about-the-health-care-industry-2011-2?
op=1
22 http://www.truth-out.org/opinion/item/19844-food-stamps-are-affordable-
corporate-welfare-is-not
23 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/wto-tpp-environment-
solar_us_56d09505e4b0871f60eb3e50
24 http://www.newyorker.com/news/john-cassidy/is-america-an-oligarchy; see, for
examplehttp://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/debbie-wasserman-schultz-
paylenders-cfpb_us_56d4ce38e4b03260bf77e8fc (Wasserman-Schultz seeking to
curtail the CFPB’s ability to regulate payday lenders, which prey upon poor people
to an extent that should be criminal).
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inequality back in 1929, coupled with unregulated stock speculation, that caused
the Great Depression.26
For real – the United States of America is, right now, facing another great
depression. And for someone to say that it cannot happen again is absolutely wrong,
because it already did – the market crash and Great Recession in 2008 was thesame exact thing caused by the exact same problems as the Great Depression –
income inequality and excessive stock speculation.27 The only difference between the
two – why there was a “recession” and not a “depression,” is because the Federal
Government used taxpayer money to bailout big businesses and financial
institutions during the Great Recession.28 This was a Band-Aid, a massive use of
taxpayer money that simply delayed the inevitable because it never corrected the
underlying problems of income inequality and excessive stock market speculation.29
The inherent structural causes of the Great Depression and Great Recession in this
Country remain, which means that unless something is done immediately to
redistribute wealth and reign in stock market speculation, another Great
Depression is coming.30 Eventually, taxpayers will not have the funds to continue
bailing out the economic elite. Eventually the fall will come. Eventually the wealth
will be redistributed.
There are only three ways to redistribute wealth in order to eliminate excessive
income inequality: redistributive taxes, revolution or war.31 The last time the United
States was faced with this crisis at this level of magnitude – the Great Depression –
25 http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/USA-Update/2014/1110/Economic-inequality-in-
the-US-reaches-levels-not-seen-since-Great-Depression
26 http://www.thehistoryconnection.com/Great-Depression-4.html
27 http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/cifamerica/2012/may/09/income-
inequality-great-recession
28 http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/secret-and-lies-of-the-bailout-
20130104?page=5
29 http://www.globalresearch.ca/is-another-depression-possible-a-comparison-of-the-
great-depression-and-the-great-recession/26818 30 http://www.investmentnews.com/article/20110911/REG/309119958;
http://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/071515/6-factors-point-global-
recession-2016.asp
31 http://www.businessinsider.com/paul-tudor-jones-on-inequality-2015-3;
http://www.wfs.org/futurist/2014-issues-futurist/september-october-2014-vol-48-no-
5/inequality-predictor-civil-war
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we managed to save this Country and end the depression by the wealth
redistribution of Franklin Roosevelt’s New Deal – through redistributive taxes.32
During this time the top corporate tax rates reached 40% for corporations and 94%
on income.33 Income was redistributed and income inequality plummeted down to
sustainable levels.34
As a result, the American economy flourished. The other twooptions – revolution or war – are outcomes that we must avoid at all costs. However,
if we do not come together as a Country now to do solve the problem of income
inequality, there may be nothing that can be done.
The Great Recession finally raised this issue of income inequality to the public
conscious.35 Even if most Americans are not aware of the underlying economic
ideology of neoliberalism causing the problem, they are aware that whatever
economic policies we have been enacting over the past 40 years are not working.36
And a result, they want something different.37 This election cycle, economic concerns
are the number one factor driving voters, and by a staggering margin. The latest
CNN/ORC poll on the general election matchup shows that the economy is the most
important issue for 47% of the electorate, followed by health care (which is also an
economic concern) at 19%.38 It is not until terrorism (3rd at 14%), that you find a
non-economic concern, but then after foreign policy is illegal immigrants (again, an
economic concern) at 8%. Simply put, for 74% of the voters some economic issue is
their most important voting concern. This would include the unemployed, the under-
employed, the children and families without food security, the working poor and
majority of the middle class who live paycheck-to-paycheck (estimates have put this
as high as 76% of Americans who live every single day without economic stability).39
32 http://fee.org/articles/what-ended-the-great-depression/
33 Id.
34 http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezra-
klein/2010/06/inequality_back_at_record_high.html
35 http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2013/12/05/americans-see-growing-gap-
between-rich-and-poor/ (2013 Pew Research Survey data).36http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/commentisfree/2016/feb/16/thomas-piketty-
bernie-sanders-us-election-2016
37 http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-young-democrats-love-bernie-sanders/
38 http://www.cnn.com/2016/03/01/politics/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-bernie-
sanders-poll/index.html
39 http://money.cnn.com/2013/06/24/pf/emergency-savings/
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At the same time that the American electorate is demanding economic change,
they are also blaming the political establishment for the problem having gotten to
where it is.40 The people want change, but they do not feel that the political
establishment will provide that change – so they want someone new, even if it is not
clear actually who something new is.41
This is the current political landscape of the 2016 Presidential election.
Secretary Hillary Clinton is a neoliberal establishment political figure, promising to
work to maintain the status quo. Donald Trump is an economic elite advancing a
political platform of nationalism is order to distract voters from the unsustainable
economic inequality plaguing this Country. And Senator Bernie Sanders is a
democratic socialist proposing a platform of wealth redistribution that will
completely overhaul the current dominant political ideology in Washington, D.C.
There three paths before the American voter right now – and our future depends on
which path we choose.
Donald Trump is an Economic Nationalist Whose Election
Threatens World War and Global Economic Failure, Along With
Millions of Lives and Environmental Devastation.
Right now, despite months of punditry to the contrary, Donald Trump is likelygoing to secure the Republican Party nomination,42 an outcome driven in large part
by a large number of winner-take-all (16%) and winner-take-most (25%) contests.
Donald Trump needs 1,237 delegates to formally claim the title, and the projections
from the Washington Post put him at 1,246. He has done this on a political platform
of economic nationalism – which he is impliedly offering the voters as an alternative
to the economic ideology of neoliberalism. Economic nationalism is a “set of
40 http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/12/bernie-sanders-2016-why-
sanders-cant-win-213414#ixzz41xEFQTHl 41http://www.postandcourier.com/article/20160225/PC1002/160229621/1021/sanders
-rates-consideration-from-the-right
42 https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/02/23/donald-trump-is-on-
course-to-win-the-1237-delegates-he-needs-to-be-the-gop-nominee/;
http://www.vox.com/2016/2/24/11104782/republican-donald-trump-polls-delegates
(slightly less definitive).
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practices [designed] to create, bolster and protect national economies in the context
of world markets;”43 it is an ideology based on the promise of keeping jobs and
capital at home through policies that would deport immigrants, “[r]aise tariffs,
impose quotas, prevent corporations from moving capital and jobs overseas,
and cancel treaties like NAFTA.”44
The Economist warned of this happening back in2009, under President Obama.45
Economic nationalism does not work. First off, to try and blame the negative
economy on illegal immigrants makes no sense – they are actually beneficial for the
overall economy46 and their loss would devastate the United States economy.47
But even worse, nationalism leads to trade conflicts, like the world suffered in the
early 1930s after the United States tried these very tactics by passing the
nationalist Smoot-Hawley Tariff act.48 Those early United States nationalist policies
resulted in “provoking an avalanche of retaliation, the collapse of world trade and
the formation of antagonistic currency blocs that set the course for the Second World
War.”49 Economic nationalism is what maintained the Great Depression for 10 years,
and lead to the rise of World War II50 – it is a nearly existential threat.
So why is Donald Trump running on a platform of economic nationalism then?
The answer is simple: it is a diversion. The use of diversionary nationalism by
economic elites – such as Donald Trump – is a documented practice in nations
where income inequality has reached an unsustainable level: “anti-redistributive
elites work to increase the salience of national identity in the face of economic
pressure that could undermine their electoral support.”51 Put differently,
“[t]he whipping up of economic nationalism also serves a vital ideological function in
43 http://www.globalpolicyjournal.com/articles/world-economy-trade-and-
finance/economic-nationalism-theory-history-and-prospects
44 http://www.bloomberg.com/bw/stories/1995-09-17/economic-nationalism-disaster-
ahead
45 http://www.economist.com/node/13061443
46 http://money.cnn.com/2014/11/20/news/economy/immigration-myths/
47 http://www.nytimes.com/roomfordebate/2011/08/17/could-farms-survive-without-
illegal-labor/without-immigrant-labor-the-economy-would-crumble
48 http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2009/02/british-workers-britain
49 https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2009/01/pers-j30.html
50
http://www.academia.edu/4047725/Economic_Nationalism_Theory_History_and_Pro
spects
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diverting the anger of working people over job losses and the precipitous decline in
living standards outwards rather than at the real source of the crisis—the profit
system itself.”52
If this sounds somewhat familiar, that’s because it is a nearly identical to the
political landscape that occurred in Europe prior to the outbreak of World War II.53
If you have ever wondered how the German citizens could have supported Nazi
party, understand that the word “Nazi” is actually an abbreviation of
Nationalsozialistiche Deutsche Arbeiterpartei – or National Socialist German
Workers’ Party – a nationalist political party created to draw voters away from
socialism. This is how that starts, with a political platform of economic nationalism,
just like Donald Trump is running on.
Secretary Clinton Is a Neoliberalist Pledging to Continue the
Same Economic Policy that Created the Crisis We Are In.
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton – like Presidents Ronald Reagan,
George W. Bush, William Clinton and George W. Bush and Barrack Obama before
her – is an economic neoliberal.
54
That is why she supported the North AmericanFree Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and President Clinton’s welfare reform bill in the
1990s.55 And that is why her current political platform is based upon mild,
incremental progressive programs that are still rooted in personal accountability
and free-markets, such as allowing students to refinance their student loans at a
51 http://euroacademia.eu/presentation/inequality-elite-messaging-and-national-
pride/
52 https://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2009/01/pers-j30.html
53 http://www.theguardian.com/business/economics-blog/2014/jun/02/economic-
insecurity-nationalism-on-the-rise-globalisation-nouriel-roubini
54 http://benjaminstudebaker.com/2016/02/05/why-bernie-vs-hillary-matters-more-
than-people-think/
55 http://www.thenation.com/article/why-it-matters-that-hillary-clinton-
championed-welfare-reform/
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lower rate56 or building on the private insurance program set up in the affordable
care act.57 Secretary Clinton’s current political platform does not address significant
wealth redistribution, because she does not believe in it. She believes in maintaining
the status quo.
And the large corporations and designated politicians that make of theneoliberal establishment in Washington, D.C. are now desperately trying to rally
behind Secretary to keep this status quo as long as it can. This is why staunchly
Republican financial institutions, such as Bain Capital, are holding fundraisers for
her,58 and neoconservative military supporters are threatening to defect to her
side.59 This is why the media establishment is actively discounting the hard polling
data on Secretary Clinton’s electability60 and the Democratic political establishment
has been doing its best to keep voter turnout down this election cycle.61 It is not
because these institutions and the economic elite believe that Secretary Clinton can
be bought – it is because they do not need her to be bought because her core
economic beliefs already represent their best interests.
But it is too late for the status quo to remain. In this political climate where
rebellion against the economic establishment is the primary driving issue for voters,
Secretary Clinton’s political platform that major change simply cannot be
successfully undertaken is driving away too many voters.62 The worst moment of
Secretary Clinton’s campaign was when she said that single payer healthcare
“will never, ever come to pass,”63 because it showed voters that she did not believe
56 https://www.hillaryclinton.com/issues/college/
57 https://www.hillaryclinton.com/issues/health-care/
58 http://www.politico.com/tipsheets/morning-money/2016/01/winter-fed-day-with-
an-eye-toward-summer-212365
59 https://theintercept.com/2016/02/29/neoconservatives-declare-war-on-donald-
trump/
60 https://www.jacobinmag.com/2016/02/karp-bernie-sanders-electability-clinton-
republicans-trump-election/
61 http://www.nydailynews.com/news/election/dem-voter-registration-leading-
turnout-article-1.2545420;http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/2/24/1490972/-
Democratic-Party-better-heed-Rachel-Maddow-s-warning
62 http://www.dailykos.com/story/2015/11/16/1443844/-Hillary-A-Status-Quo-
Candidate-in-a-Change-Election-Cycle
63
http://www.salon.com/2016/03/01/no_bernie_sanders_moment_isnt_over_why_his_ga
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the system needed to be fundamentally changed at this time. But it does, and the
American voter, having already endured the Great Recession, is not willing to wait
anymore. Right now it is estimated that in the United States, every year, 883,914
people die as a result of income inequality,64 and another approximately 400,000
people worldwide are dying every year as a result of climate change – over 1,000 aday are children.65 This will not end until the economic ideology that allows it –
neoliberalism – is replaced. Every year that America continues to follow neoliberal
economic policies, millions of people die while we inch closer to outright revolution
or war.
And while Secretary Clinton tries in vain to convince the American voters that
the change they are demanding is simply not possible, Donald Trump is out there at
the forefront of Republican Party making promise after promise of change so great
that it cannot even be imagined (or explained). Secretary Clinton’s plan to defeat
Donald Trump in the general election is through a series of personal attacks against
him.66 That will not work, because the American voter does not care about Donald
Trump as a person. That is why the negative attacks on Donald Trump have
absolutely no effect on his standings in the polls.67 Secretary Clinton will lose.
Bernie Sanders Is a Democratic Socialist, Whose Proposals for
Wealth Redistribution Are America’s Best Chance to AvertRevolution or War.
In the midst of all of this, an obscure, wily-haired and agnostic life-long politician
from the tiny State of Vermont has risen to the national political stage on a
grassroots campaign built around an economic policy of “democratic socialism.”
Democratic socialism is an economic theory that combines capitalism with
rgantuan_impact_cant_be_erased_by_a_super_tuesday_drubbing/
64 http://inequality.org/inequality-health/
65 http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/09/27/climate-change-kills-400-000-a-
year-new-report-reveals.html
66 http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/01/us/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-
general-election.html?_r=0
67 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/republican-debate-
detroit_us_56d903f4e4b03a40567814c7
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progressive taxes used to redistribute wealth towards positive social programs – just
like what President Roosevelt did with the New Deal.68 It has nothing to do with the
political theories of socialism or communism – it is simply an economic theory of
capitalism that uses a progressive tax component to reduce income inequality.
Senator Sanders is offering the American people an alternative to the status quo ofeconomic ideology in Washington, D.C. – an actual solution to the crisis that this
Country faces – and that is why he has been able to rise up and challenge the most
dominant primary campaign that has ever existed in a non-incumbent race.69
Because he is promising the change this Country is demanding.
And in a head-to-head race against Donald Trump’s nationalist promises of
change, it is easy to see that Senator Sanders’ proposals are the correct one. It is not
difficult to see where the wealth needs to be distributed from in the United States.
The average (mean) wealth in American is $301,000 per adult – whereas the median
(middle-point) wealth is only $44,900.70 Think about what this means – if wealth
was redistributed out equally among all Americans, every single adult in this
Country would have no debt and $300,000 in their checking account. Instead, all of
that unequal wealth is in the hands of the few economic elites – the 1%. Donald
Trump instead seeks to blame the immigrants and China for this inequality. How
much wealth do illegal immigrants have to transfer? How much money is Donald
Trump going to take back from China? Donald Trump may promise change, but his
ideas of how to get that change cannot hold up against Senator Sanders’ proposals.
This is why, even though Secretary Clinton continues to lead nationally in most
head-to-head polls against Senator Sanders,71 Senator Sanders leads by much more
substantial margins in head-to-head matchups against Donald Trump. The most
recent Quinnipiac polls show Senator Sanders beating Donald Trump by 6
percentage points, whereas Secretary Clinton is ahead by one percentage point,
68 http://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/presidential-campaign/271652-what-does-
sanders-mean-by-democratic-socialism
69 http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-hillary-clinton-steamroller-rumbles-to-life/
70 http://money.cnn.com/2014/06/11/news/economy/middle-class-wealth/
71http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presid
ential_nomination-3824.html (current most recent polling average has Secretary
Clinton leading by 5 percentage points);but see
http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR131 (Reuters trending poll actually has Sanders
in the lead for the past five days nationally, ahead by 1 percentage point).
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within the margin of error.72 In the RealClearPolitics average of polls for these
hypothetical matchups, Secretary Clinton beats Donald Trump by 2.8 percentage
points, compared to Senator Sanders’ lead of 6 percentage points.73 Similarly,
though less worst-case for Democrats, in the HuffingtonPost poll-of-polls, Secretary
Clinton beats Donald Trump by 5 percentage points, compared to Senator Sanderswho beats him by 10 percentage points.74 And while the most recent CNN poll has
Trump doing worse against both, Senator Sanders still has higher margins than
Secretary Clinton.75
And in a national election, what matter even more than the popular vote
(Vice President Gore actually won the popular vote in 2000) is the Electoral College
vote. This is where things get worse for Secretary Clinton than even the current
polling numbers show. As a recent Huffington Post analysis of the electoral
breakdown demonstrated, to get the 270 electoral votes necessary “[t]o secure the
presidency, Democrats only have to win the Northeast, the West Coast, and the
Upper Midwest, including Iowa.”76 While President Obama did far better than he
needed to in 2012, his victory would “have been undone by victories for Republican
rival Mitt Romney in just four states: Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.
Together, those four Rust Belt states account for 64 electoral votes. Even if
Floridians, Iowans, Coloradans and all of the other swing states had gone to Obama,
his failure to capture the Upper Midwest would have been enough to hand the White
House over to Romney.”77
Obama was able to capitalize on his rescue of the auto industry, record turnout
and the fact that both neither he nor Mitt Romney offered an alternative to
neoliberal economic ideology. Secretary Clinton does not have those advantages this
time. The Rust Belt is disproportionately working class and white (over 75% in
Michigan, 77% in Pennsylvania, 80% in Ohio and 82% in Wisconsin, compared to
72
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html
73
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html 74 http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster#2016-general-election 75 http://www.cnn.com/2016/03/01/politics/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders-poll/
76 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/how-donald-trump-becomes-
president_us_56cb5429e4b0928f5a6c9ead
77 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/how-donald-trump-becomes-
president_us_56cb5429e4b0928f5a6c9ead
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the national average of 62%).78 These are the voters that are flocking to Donald
Trump and his nationalist ideology. This is the part of the Country that was
crushed economically by NAFTA under President William Clinton. Secretary
Clinton runs a very real risk of losing the four Rust Belt States – and thereby the
general election – to Donald Trump. Right now, Donald Trump leads SecretaryClinton in Ohio in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup, 44 to 42 percent.79
Senator Sanders does not suffer from the same weaknesses as Secretary Clinton
does in the demographic most demanding economic change, having bested Secretary
Clinton among lower income white voters by 9% in Iowa and 46% in New
Hampshire.80 Even nationally, “[i]n a compilation of New York Times/CBS News
surveys since November, Mr. Sanders leads Mrs. Clinton, 47 percent to 39 percent,
among white voters who make less than $50,000.”81 And while Secretary Clinton
may defeat Senator Sanders among African-American minorities in the primary (it
is not clear who, between the two, is leading among Latino minorities),82
those voters tend to be far more Democratic overall and therefore have a much lower
likelihood of defecting over to Donald Trump in the general election, whose
xenophobic rants smack of racism (current polls show him between 4% and 12%
among African-Americans).83 Senator Sanders poses the best chance of winning the
voters in the Rust Belt States and getting the necessary electoral votes to win in the
general election.84
This becomes even more apparent when Independent voters are considered.
The number of American voters who classify themselves as Independent
(irrespective of actual party registration) is higher than either political party –
78 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/how-donald-trump-becomes-
president_us_56cb5429e4b0928f5a6c9ead
79 http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/oh/ohio_trump_vs_clinton-
5634.html
80 http://mic.com/articles/136039/sanders-has-a-30-point-lead-over-clinton-in-west-
virginia-here-s-why-that-matters#.LTzdbXMwW
81 http://mic.com/articles/136039/sanders-has-a-30-point-lead-over-clinton-in-west-
virginia-here-s-why-that-matters#.LTzdbXMwW
82http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-dem-primary-live-updates-and-
results/2016/02/hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders-hispanic-voters-fight-219578
83http://www.factcheck.org/2016/02/trump-and-the-black-vote/
84https://www.currentaffairs.org/2016/02/unless-the-democrats-nominate-sanders-
a-trump-nomination-means-a-trump-presidency
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42% in 2013 after the last major election (compared to 25% Republican and 31%
Democrat). And Senator Sanders is – by far – the leading candidate among those
who identify as Independent, 45% over Donald Trump’s 25% and Secretary Clinton’s
9%.85 The Independent voting block has become the most important voting block in
this Country, and Secretary Clinton polls abysmally in it.Simply put, as many are starting to realize, “backing Hillary in general—would
be, in the words of Donald Trump, a disaster.”86 It is entirely possible that she will
lose to Donald Trump.
The Fate of this Country Is Now Hanging in the Balance.
Right now, the American electorate is sitting on the sidelines watching the
dominant political establishment crumble and die because of its failed economic
policy. As this death escalates, politicians will be forced to cling to a sinking ship or
to jump sides to one of the two new emerging ideologies – nationalism and
democratic socialism. Some will do this obviously (such as Chris Christie and Sarah
Palin publicly endorsing Trump), and others quietly (such as Nancy Pelosi
denouncing the role of super-delegates87 or Elizabeth Warren declining to endorse
Secretary Clinton). This election has nothing to do with the candidates, andeverything to do with which of those two policies will emerge as the new dominant
ideology in Washington, D.C.
Neoliberalism is failing and will last. Nationalism will end in war. Democratic
socialism is our only hope. America needs to rally behind Senator Sanders – not
because of who he is – but because of what he believes in.
It is almost too later. Currently Secretary Clinton has 597 pledged delegates to
Senator Sanders’ 406. Super Delegates can change their mind (despite the
85 http://www.dailykos.com/story/2015/9/17/1422117/-Poll-of-Independents-Sanders-
45-Trump-26-HRC-9
86
http://www.salon.com/2016/02/28/the_case_against_hillary_clinton_this_is_the_disa
ster_democrats_must_avoid/
87 http://www.inquisitr.com/2852213/nancy-pelosi-just-dropped-presidential-
campaign-bombshell/
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impression that many media outlets are giving), and since there are 469
congressional seats running this fall (34 Senate and all 435 House of
Representatives) while the political establishment is crumbling, the idea that Super
Delegates would be used to overturn a clear majority winner in the primaries is
unlikely. Senator Sanders still has a path to victory, but his window in which to doso is narrowing.88
People are starting to panic, and rightly so. The New York Times committed
what would otherwise be an unacceptable journalistic act in publicly leaking off-the-
record comments about Donald Trump to try – in what will ultimately be a futile
attempt – to discredit him.89 Donald Trump cannot be stopped – he must be
defeated. Back in 1932, British political scientist Sir Arthur Salter spoke at a time
when the world was facing the same type of crisis that is staring us down today,
with the same choice between continued nationalism or embarking upon what
would eventually be the path to the New Deal: “This is the specific task of our age. If
we fail, the only alternatives are chaos or the substitution of a different system
inconsistent with political and personal liberty, perhaps after an intervening period
of collapse and anarchy.”90
I will be absolutely damned if I am going to sit by and let my children grow up in
a Country that is marching defiantly down the same path as the Third Reich.
America needs a political revolution.
88 http://inthesetimes.com/article/18913/bernie-sanders-delegate-path-to-victory-
super-tuesday;http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/bernie-sanders-doesnt-need-
momentum-he-needs-to-win-these-states/ 89 https://theintercept.com/2016/03/01/the-new-york-times-strange-behavior-in-the-controversy-over-
trumps-off-the-record-comments/
90 https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/1932-10-01/future-economic-nationalism