unhcr/e-centre/interworks - emergency management training2.4.1. session 2.4....

UNHCR/e-Centre/InterWorks - Emergency Management Training 2.4.1.

Session 2.4. Session 2.4.

ContingencyContingencyPlanning Planning ExerciseExercise

?


ObjectivesObjectives

After completing this session, participants will After completing this session, participants will be able to:be able to:

Describe the process of contingency planning Describe the process of contingency planning scenario developmentscenario development

List a number of immediate actions needed by List a number of immediate actions needed by sector in the event of a massive refugee influxsector in the event of a massive refugee influx


Generating ScenariosGenerating Scenarios

• Make explicit analyses of risk & probability, so Make explicit analyses of risk & probability, so others can understand severity & plausibility of others can understand severity & plausibility of scenarios scenarios

• Identify possible warning signs and likely “triggers” Identify possible warning signs and likely “triggers” for each scenariofor each scenario

• Emphasize program needs, i.e., build scenarios Emphasize program needs, i.e., build scenarios around around anticipated needs anticipated needs of affected of affected

• Consider logistical needs & constraints as part of Consider logistical needs & constraints as part of proposed operational responseproposed operational response


Which types of scenarios?Which types of scenarios?

Refugee influx, mass population Refugee influx, mass population displacementdisplacement

RefoulementRefoulement Attack on refugee camp or settlementAttack on refugee camp or settlement Violence within a populationViolence within a population EpidemicEpidemic Natural disasterNatural disaster Sudden repatriationSudden repatriation


How do we limit the possibilities? How do we limit the possibilities?

• Scenarios to which we are Scenarios to which we are likely likely to respond.to respond.

• 1 - 31 - 3 of of most plausiblemost plausible scenariosscenarios

• Some consider “worst Some consider “worst case”, the case”, the “low “low probability / high risk” probability / high risk” scenarioscenario


Scenarios & AssumptionsScenarios & Assumptions

Scenario assumptions include statements about (for Scenario assumptions include statements about (for example): example):

Likely number of refugees or IDPsLikely number of refugees or IDPs

Expected number arriving in poor condition Expected number arriving in poor condition

Potential demographic distortion of affected Potential demographic distortion of affected population (e.g. many single-female headed population (e.g. many single-female headed households)households)

Likely duration of the emergencyLikely duration of the emergency

Etc.Etc.


Contingency Planning in MardonContingency Planning in Mardon

BackgroundBackground1.1. A massive influx of Tuleran refugees may be in A massive influx of Tuleran refugees may be in

the works.the works.

2.2. You have just arrived in Mardon City as the You have just arrived in Mardon City as the representative of your organization.representative of your organization.

3.3. You will join the contingency planning process You will join the contingency planning process for the possible influx.for the possible influx.


TuleraTuleraRiver TuleRiver Tule

OceanOcean

OceanOcean

Mardonburg

Mardon City

Vares

Suremia

Mardon

TulévilleTuléville


Mardonburg

Mardon CustomsCheckpoint

Tulera

Mardon

“LittleTuléville”

50 kms.

Tulé Desert


1.1. ScenariosScenarios

2.2. Strategic objectivesStrategic objectives

3.3. Sectors & resourcesSectors & resources

4.4. Immediate actionsImmediate actions

5.5. Participating agenciesParticipating agencies

Contingency Planning in MardonContingency Planning in Mardon

TasksTasks

unhcr/e-centre/interworks - emergency management training2.4.1. session 2.4....

Documents