university of toronto nature of employment lands
TRANSCRIPT
The Nature of Employment Land
Urban Studies Program, Innis College
University of Toronto
Antony Lorius
February 8th, 2011
HEMSON
Background and Introduction
Hemson Consulting works primarily for the
public sector
Planning for employment land is a primary
area of expertise
Many studies undertaken as part of Growth
Plan conformity
Topics for today:
What is employment land?
Employment land in the Growth Plan context
The density issue
Key challenges
3
What is Employment Land?
One of three land use planning-based
employment types
Employment Land (ELE)
Major Office
Population-related
Defined as land occupied by industrial-type
buildings
Distinct from notion of “Employment Areas”
4
Distinction between employment by type
and by area is important
5
Employment Land Is Strongly Oriented to the
Transportation Network
Cambridge
Mississauga
Milton
Guelph
Toronto
Approximate Extent of
Developed Urban Area
Developed & Developing
Employment Areas
LBPIA
BramptonToronto
Vaughan
Major Office Development In Employment Areas
International Airports
Intermodal Yards
Caledon
Waterloo
Kitchener
Brantford
Markham
Whitby-Oshawa
Woodstock
Source: Hemson Consulting Ltd. NTS
Georgetown
Mississauga
Oakville
Burlington
Pickering-Ajax
Hamilton
Toronto Is Also Part of a System of Major
North American Trade Corridors
US 219
I-69
I-87
I-75
Georgian
Bay
Lake Ontario
Lake Erie
Ottawa River
ONTARIO
U.S.A.
I-77
I-90
I-94
Rochester
BuffaloSarnia
Montreal
Albany
Chicago
Toledo
Sault Ste. Marie
I-90
Lake Huron
Lake Michigan
Detroit
U.S.A.
Source: Hemson Consulting Ltd. NTS
I-75 and I-69
Auto and Manufacturing Corridors:
Ohio, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee
and Alabama. Connections to
Mexican manufacturing centres via
Ciudad Juarez and Nuevo Laredo
I-77 and I-79
Pittsburgh and Ohio Manufacturing
centres and points south
US 219
Proposed NAFTA “Super-Highway”
connecting Toronto to Atlanta
and Miami
I-90 and I-87
Proposed NAFTA “Super-Highway”
connecting Toronto to Atlanta
and Miami
I-94
Chicago and upper
midwest. Western
Canada and USA
Hamilton
I-75
I-79
401Toronto
Employment Structure Continues to Evolve
Declines in Manufacturing Employment Do
Not Necessarily Mean Less Land Need
Manufacturing is Not The Only Economic
Activity on Employment Land
GTA Economy Remains Highly Oriented to
Industrial Space
From a strategic planning perspective,
Employment land is important
Long-term economic outlook remains positive
Employment land is required to accommodate
economic growth
Nature of industry seems to be changing more
than built space requirements
Employment land in a Growth Plan context
Kawartha
Lakes
Norfolk
Haldimand
GEORGIAN BAY
LAKE ONTARIO
Halliburton
Peterborough
Northumberland
Simcoe
YorkDurham
Peel Toronto
Dufferin
Wellington
Waterloo
Hamilton
BrantNiagara
Oxford
Perth
Grey
Muskoka
Hastings
Halton
GTAH
Outer Ring
NTS
By 2031, 11.5
million people
5.6 million
jobs
Good planning
principles
Promoting Economic Vitality is a key
element of the Growth Plan
Ensure availability of sufficient land for
employment (Section 2.2.1)
Protect and preserve Employment Areas
(Section 2.2.6)
Minimize conversion of employment land to
non-employment use (Section 2.2.6)
“Value Gap” Is the Main Factor Driving
Pressure for Conversion
Land supply is highly restricted
Residential or retail is worth more than
employment land in most cases
Potential to achieve increased value creates a
strong incentive for conversion
825, 855 and 863 Bay Street, Toronto
Before Re-zoning & Sale January 2000
Purchase Price Before - $2 Million, $60 per square foot
Paved parking lot
Site Area – 33,368 square feet
Official Plan – Mixed Use Area
Zoning Description – Commercial Residential, height limit 22 storeys and 7.8 times density
Official Plan and Rezoning Amendments approved in February 2004 for 15.4 times density
After Re-Zoning & Sale May 2004
Purchase Price After - $14.41 Million, $432 per square foot
2 Towers, 41 & 38 storeys, 633 units and 531 parking stalls (Murano Condominiums)
Total GFA - 512,754 s.f. (Residential GFA 503,540 s.f., Commercial GFA 9,214 s.f.)
Value Increase (January 2000 to May 2004)
$ Value Increase - $12,400,000
% Value Increase - 620%
1510-1520 Lakeshore Road West, Oakville
Before Re-zoning & Sale July 2006 (assembly of 3 parcels)
Purchase Price Before - $4.365 Million, $45 per square foot
3 old houses, 6,500 s.f. fruit market and garden centre
Site Area – 96,703 square feet
Zoning Description – R-02 (allowing detached houses)
Application was submitted in June 2006 to amend the Official Plan & Zoning By-Law to allow a 140-suite seniors apartment building. Total GFA – 135,000 s.f.
After Re-Zoning application & Sale August 2007
Purchase Price After Rezoning Application - $8.0 Million, $83 per square foot
Another application was submitted in June 2008 to remove the existing buildings and re-develop the lands with 15 detached dwellings
Value Increase (July 2006 to August 2007)
$ Value Increase - $3,635,000
% Value Increase - 83%
3037 Derry Road West, Milton
Before Re-zoning & Sale December 2003
Purchase Price Before - $3.1 Million, $6 per square foot
Vacant industrial building of 52,140 square feet
Site Area – 537,966 square feet
Zoning Description – EMP (Employment)
Application was submitted in August 2006 to amend the Official Plan & Zoning By-Law to allow a 129,000 s.f. retail plaza
After Re-Zoning application & Sale February 2008
Purchase Price After Rezoning Application - $7.35 Million, $14 per square foot
Site specific official plan and zoning by-law amendments were approved by OMB on April 9, 2008
Value Increase (December 2003 to February 2008)
$ Value Increase - $4,250,000
% Value Increase - 137%
751 King Street West, Toronto
Before Re-zoning & Sale July 2001
Purchase Price Before - $1.45 Million, $143 per square foot
Retail Plaza of 7,700 square feet with 4 stores
Site Area – 10,127 square feet
Official Plan – Mixed Use Areas
Zoning Description – Commercial / Residential permitting 2.5 times density
Official Plan and Rezoning Applications submitted August 2005, Amendments approved in March 2006 for 6.32 times density
After Re-Zoning Application & Sale September 2005
Purchase Price After - $2.8 Million, $276 per square foot
16 storey condominium, 282 units, with retail uses at grade & 3 levels of underground parking (259 spaces)
* Total GFA - 290,601 s.f. (Residential GFA 276,381 s.f., Commercial GFA 19,772 s.f.)
Value Increase (July 1 to September 2005)
$ Value Increase - $1,350,000
% Value Increase - 93%
* Note: GFA based on larger land assembly of 46,016 square feet inc. 775 King Street West
1815 Yonge Street, Toronto
Before Re-zoning & Sale July 6, 2006
Adjusted Purchase Price Before - $5.9 Million, $221 per square foot
Two vacant office buildings and parking lot
Site Area – 26,673 square feet
Official Plan – Mixed Use Area
Zoning Description –CR T3.0 C3.0 R2.5 & CR T2.0 C2.0 R2.0, (maximum GFA of 73,272 s.f. and 2.5 times density)
Official Plan and Rezoning Applications submitted June, 2007
After Re-Zoning Application & Sale August 2007
Purchase Price After - $13.5 Million, $506 per square foot
29 storeys, 216 units and 234 parking stalls
Proposed GFA – 213,213 s.f. (8 times density)
Value Increase (July 2006 to August 2007)
$ Value Increase - $7,600,000
% Value Increase - 129%
Growth Plan also Provides Direction on
location and use of Employment Land
Shift major office and institutional to transit-
supportive locations (2.2.6.4)
Preserve lands near major transportation
infrastructure (Section 2.2.6.9)
Facilitate transit-supportive, compact built
forms (Section 2.2.6.10)
The Density Challenge
Growth Plan defines an “envelope” within
which planning for growth must occur
Accommodate 40% residential intensification
Plan to achieve a density of 50 residents and jobs per
ha on Greenfield
Both will be difficult to achieve, but particularly
density at it relates to employment land
Most new residential communities exceed
the Growth Plan density target
Single-Detached, Milton 2000sNet Density: 37 uph
Estimated Growth Plan Density
Semi-Detached, Markham 2000sNet Density: 48 uph
Estimated Growth Plan Density
Rowhouse, Oakville 1990s(with laneway)
Net Density: 63 uph
Estimated Growth Plan Density
Rowhouse, Markham 2000sNet Density: 92 uph
Estimated Growth Plan Density
62
71
100
145
Most Employment Land does not: Average is
approximately 30 jobs per net ha
Employment densities are higher than in the
past, but now stable:
Downward trends in goods production and distribution
Upward trend of denser office uses integrated into
industrial building
Increasing amount of “flex space” that
accommodates a wide range of uses
24
Trends help explain geographical variation
of densities across the region
25
Estimated Employment Land Densities
Selected Municipalities in Ontario
Municipality Employees per
Net ha
Town of Richmond HillTown of MarkhamCity of Burlington
City of OttawaCity of BramptonTown of OakvilleCity of MississaugaTown of CaledonCity of VaughanTown of Whitby
City of Hamilton(excl. old industrial areas)
656054
48424038353530
27
Difficult to significantly shift employment
density with planning policy
Embodies a wide range of characteristics in a
single statistical measure
Unlike residential, not a close relationship
between built form and occupancy
Planning can control built form and location,
but not density of employment or the structure
of the economy
The density may seem low, but compared to
what?
Growth Plan? A target with no direct economic relationship
Other industrial places in North America? No,
probably not
Asia? Yes, often much denser, which is an
artefact of a low wage economy
Higher employment densities are not
necessarily better
Firms have a „natural‟ incentive to use land
efficiently – it costs money
Most of our economic development goals
point to lower densities
Industrial-type densities are inversely related to
job skill, education and salary
Not clear if a planning objective related to
density is even helpful….
Building density (coverage) and productive
cubic space has increased over time
Whole new „breed‟ of building has emerged,
larger, more automated, offices combined with
manufacturing or distribution
In theory, a better measure of density would be
GDP per ha
Key Issues and Challenges
How structural economic change translates to
employment land not well understood
You may think there is “wasted” space but do
you really know?
Are we ready to regulate out certain jobs,
businesses, tax revenue simply because the
density is low?