untethered engineering and the fifth it wave

CAD and the Fifth IT Wave

How the augmentation technologies of Cloud, Analytics, Mobile, and Social

are transforming engineering and design

Randall S. NewtonConsilia VektorOctober 2014

Wednesday, October 8, 2014

1992: The Internet sees censorship as damage, and routes around it.

2014: The Internet sees the physical world and human relationships as data, and incorporates it.

Then and Now


Five IT Waves


Five IT Waves

MAINFRAMECentralized1960-1976100K units


Five IT Waves


MINICOMPUTERDepartmental

1976-199210M units


Five IT Waves



1976-199210M units

PERSONAL COMPUTER LAN/WAN connected

1992-2001100M units


Five IT Waves



1976-199210M units


1992-2001100M units

PERSONAL COMPUTERInternet Protocol

2002-20121B units


Five IT Waves



1976-199210M units


1992-2001100M units

PERSONAL COMPUTERInternet Protocol

2002-20121B units

AUGMENTATION PCs + CAMS

2012 - ?100B units?


Four Pillars of Augmentation

CLOUD

ANALYTICS

MOBILE

SOCIAL


AugmentationOn Demand



CLOUD: On-demand computation and storage ANALYTICS: On-demand insight MOBILE: On-demand access SOCIAL: On-demand collaboration




More collaborative More connected Real-time Productive




More collaborative More connected Real-time Productive

The Goal


How Mobile CAD Fits in the Fifth Wave

Extends digital workflow to new participants Keeps the process digital (more efficient) Access to data not limited by location


New Technologies Will Extend Mobile

Ad hoc networks like FireChat

Near Field Communications

Internet of Things


Turning Information into Actionable Data

WHO: Social WHAT: Analytics WHEN: Cloud WHERE: Mobile


Untethered Engineering is the ability to do any design task, from any screen, in any location, at any time, with resources on demand, as part of a collaborative team.

Untethered Engineering


Open EngineeringThe use of augmentation technologies such as cloud, analytics, social, and mobile to accelerate design, manufacturing, and construction processes. Ideas and production are no longer kept exclusively in-house, knowledge is shared, connections extended, and optimum solutions bloom from collaborative efforts involving talented sources across nations.

Web-based design communities

New web-based tools for analysis, simulation, and rendering

Shared knowledge

Crowdsourcing

Real-time interaction for the entire team

Visualization as an upfront technology, not as a one-off

Customers are collaborators, clients as partners


The GoalIntegrate the digital into every step

of the design/engineer/build/deploy construction or manufacturing process.


Using Social Networks


Thank You for Your Time

Randall Newton ([email protected])Principal Analyst, Consilia Vektor (www.consiliavektor.com)Twitter: @RSNatWork LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/randallnewton

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About Consilia VektorConsilia Vektor is a research and consulting service for the technical

software industry and related disciplines. Founder and Principal Analyst Randall S. Newton has more than 25 years of experience in

computer-aided design technology as a programmer, marketing consultant, author, journalist, and business analyst.

From our base in the American Pacific Northwest we roam the world virtually and physically to track and describe the trends

shaping the Digital Epoch.

Consilia Vektor+1.509.720.8833

PO Box 1647Tonasket, WA 98855 USAwww.consiliavektor.com

[email protected]






Design and engineering status quo is rooted in desktop processes, central storage, hierarchical workflows and data access.

Existing changes have done little to reinvent design processes. It is a case of paper on glass: processes originally done at a desk on paper are now done at a desk on a computer.

Cloud offers virtualization, which re-allocates computer resources so that many servers run one task, or one server runs many tasks in parallel. The result is delivery of custom computing experiences on-demand. The expense of owning and operating a high-performance computing environment can become an occasional rental. Computation and storage become utilities, available for use on demand.

In the new on-demand (CAMS) computing era, analytics means data moves from being in a vault to being a river. Data is mobile and fluid, increasing its utility.

Mobile technology challenges the notion of hierarchical workflow based on serial tasks and local computation and storage.

Social technology turns informal information into usable data. Conversations become a strategic asset.

The centralization of human and computer resources is a vestigial artifact of a bygone era. Untethered design transforms a closed process into an open one. The benefits include rapid iteration, access to talent, lower development costs, increased quality, and greater insight into processes.

Extra notes to accompany printed version
