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Urban Development Program

Metropolitan Melbourne Redevelopment 2017

Planning Group

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© State of Victoria, DELWP.

© The State of Victoria Department of Environment, Land, Water and Planning 2017

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International licence. You are free to re-use the work under that licence, on the condition that you credit the State of Victoria as author. The licence does not apply to any images, photographs or branding, including the Victorian Coat of Arms, the Victorian Government logo and the

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ISBN 978-1-76047-938-1 (pdf/online)

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Land Use and Population Research, DELWP



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Contents

Summary of findings .......................................................................................................... 1

1. Introduction ..................................................................................................................... 2

2. Major Residential Development .................................................................................... 3

2.1 The Pipeline Supply of Dwellings in Major Residential Redevelopments .......................................... 3

2.2 Major Residential Redevelopment Pipeline by Region ........................................................................ 4

2.3 Major Residential Redevelopment in Activity Centres ......................................................................... 7

Appendix A Development status by LGA & Plan Melbourne region .......................... 8

Appendix B Changes to the redevelopment component of the 2017 UDP ................ 9



1

Summary of findings

The past five years have seen historically high housing growth throughout Melbourne's growth areas and established areas, with dwelling approvals averaging approximately 48,000 dwellings per annum. Residential redevelopment is an important part of the supply of new housing for Melbourne’s growing population.

Major Residential Redevelopment

• As at July 2017, there were 234,500 dwellings identified for future development in major residential redevelopment projects across metropolitan Melbourne (sites yielding 10 dwellings or more excluding

growth area precincts). In the past decade the pipeline of dwellings planned for major redevelopment sites has more than doubled.*

• The vast majority (81%) of dwellings proposed for major redevelopment sites are expected to be built in buildings of 4 or more storeys. Melbourne’s inner suburbs as well as the inner north and east are expected to see the greatest redevelopment activity.

• The proportion of dwellings proposed in major residential redevelopment projects within activity centre boundaries continues to grow; from 45% of the total redevelopment pipeline in 2004-05, to 60% in 2016-17.

* A more conservative approach has been taken to pipeline classification in the 2017 UDP, however the pipeline of major

redevelopment projects is still at historically high levels.

2 Urban Development Program


1. Introduction

The 2017 Urban Development Program Reports provide an updated analysis of supply and demand for residential and industrial land across metropolitan Melbourne.

This is the fourteenth annual edition of the Urban Development Program. The program aims to ensure ongoing provision of residential and industrial land and supporting infrastructure. Information and feedback is

drawn from across State and Local Government.

The information included within the Urban Development Program is updated annually, and during 2016-17, there were revisions to the associated databases in order to provide more accurate and up-to-date information.

This report outlines the main findings of the 2017 program. Comprehensive data and maps are also available

from the planning portal, at www.planning.vic.gov.au

The Urban Development Program consists of three components:

Major residential redevelopment projects - information on residential projects of 10 or more1 dwellings on non-broadhectare land that is either planned or considered in the longer term development pipeline2.

Broadhectare residential land - information on the supply and construction of broadhectare land across metropolitan Melbourne, including estimated lot yields. This includes land which is either zoned or has an approved precinct structure plan, as well as land that has been identified for residential development where an approved precinct structure plan is required to commence development.

Industrial land - information on the supply and consumption of industrial land across metropolitan Melbourne, as well as indicators on the zoning changes of industrial land.

This year these components have been published in three separate reports.

Plan Melbourne 2017-2050 indicates that Melbourne’s population is expected to increase from 4.4 million to 7.9 million by 2051, requiring an additional 1.5 million homes to accommodate this growth. It also seeks to promote housing supply in areas located close to workplaces, infrastructure, facilities, services and open space.

The Urban Development Program will continue to report on the location and stocks of land identified for residential development, both within the established areas of Melbourne as well as its growth areas. The program will also continue to monitor and report on the supply and consumption of industrial land.

Expansion of the Urban Development Program in future years will also address and report on a number of additional key issues outlined within the Plan Melbourne Refresh.

1 Small scale infill redevelopment projects of less than 10 dwellings are not currently included in the Urban Development Program. These types of

dwellings make up approximately half of dwellings added to the housing stock in the established areas of metropolitan Melbourne each year. They are

not included in the Urban Development Program report because small scale redevelopment is more difficult to identify using the existing method

2 The development pipeline includes strategic sites identified for development, sites currently in the planning process, sites with planning approval or

under appeal and sites currently under construction. Some sites with were planning approval has not been granted are included as long term possible

pipeline supply.



3

2. Major Residential Development

The Urban Development Program monitors and reports on major residential redevelopment projects across

metropolitan Melbourne. Data is collected through analysis of aerial imagery, planning permits and commercial data sources and is verified through consultations with councils3.

2.1 The Pipeline Supply of Dwellings in Major Residential Redevelopments

As at July 2017, there were 234,100 dwellings in major residential redevelopment projects that were either

under construction or in the development pipeline.

The vast majority (81%) of dwellings proposed for major redevelopment sites are expected to be built in buildings of four or more storeys.

Figure 1 compares the residential redevelopment pipeline as of July 2017 to data with previous years, by built form.

Figure 1: Annual major residential redevelopment pipeline of dwellings by built form4

Source: Department of Environment, Land, Water and Planning 2017

3 . Limited information was available for 2017 from Banyule, Bayside, Brimbank, Casey, Darebin, Frankston, Glen Eira, Kingston, Maribyrnong, Monash,

Mornington Peninsula, Nillumbik, Stonnington, Whitehorse, Whittlesea. City Councils. Information for these municipalities is partially based on an

update of data from industry and other sources

4 . Note that the ‘Detached’ referred to here are detached dwellings in major residential redevelopment projects rather than in broadhectare

developments, which is dealt with separately below in Broadhectare Residential Development.



2.2 Major Residential Redevelopment Pipeline by Region

The inner ring municipalities continue to be the dominant region for redevelopment (46% of dwellings). There is nonetheless a notable growth in the redevelopment pipeline in Melbourne’s middle ring which since last year’s publication has increased by 27,000 dwellings to 97,000 dwellings and now makes up 41% of the

redevelopment pipeline. Since 2009, the redevelopment pipeline in Melbourne’s inner and middle rings has more than doubled.

Figure 2: Residential redevelopment pipeline by region5


5 . The regions (or ‘rings’) used here are comprised of the following local government areas:

Inner: Melbourne, Port Phillip, Stonnington, and Yarra

Middle: Banyule, Bayside, Boroondara, Darebin, Glen Eira, Hobsons Bay, Kingston, Manningham, Maribyrnong, Monash, Moonee Valley, Moreland,

and Whitehorse

Outer: Brimbank, Frankston, Greater Dandenong, Knox, Maroondah, Mornington Peninsula, Nillumbik, and Yarra Ranges

Growth Area: Casey, Cardinia, Hume, Melton, Mitchell (part, since 2010), Whittlesea and Wyndham



5

The majority (83%) of current and anticipated major development activity in inner Melbourne are in apartment projects of ten storeys or greater. In the middle ring, redevelopment projects are more diverse in height and dwelling type. Apartment projects ten storeys or greater make up 34% of the middle ring dwelling pipeline, while projects of between four and nine storeys make up 40%. Townhouse and low scale apartment projects also feature strongly in the middle ring.

Figure 3: Residential redevelopment pipeline by region and built form


Across the metropolitan region 29% (67,500) of anticipated major development activity is in the Melbourne LGA and mainly consists of apartments greater than ten storeys. As can be seen in figure 4, Maribyrnong, with some large redevelopment sites has the second highest number of anticipated dwellings, followed by

Port Phillip where opportunities exist for larger apartment buildings. The remaining Inner and Middle ring LGAs have a mix of development types, with four to nine storey development common in most of these municipalities.



Figure 4: Residential redevelopment pipeline by LGA and built form (excluding Melbourne LGA)




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2.3 Major Residential Redevelopment in Activity Centres

The Urban Development Program also monitors and reports on major residential redevelopment inside and outside Melbourne’s activity centres. Figure 5 shows that anticipated dwellings in projects of ten storeys or greater are largely concentrated inside activity centres (which includes the CBD), while dwellings in projects

of four to nine storeys are anticipated equally inside and outside activity centres. Lower scale apartments and townhouses tend to be outside activity areas.

Figure 5: Residential redevelopment pipeline, within and outside of Activity Centres6


60% of all dwellings identified in the redevelopment pipeline are expected to be built within the activity centres. Of the other 40% outside of an activity centre, a very high proportion (82%) are within walking

distance of the Principal Public Transport Network.

6 . Activity Centres include all Metropolitan and Major Activity Centres specified in Plan Melbourne 2017-2050



Completed 2015-16 & 2016-17 Under Construction Firm Likely Possible Total identified supply Distribution of total

LGA Dwellings Projects Dwellings Projects Dwellings Projects Dwellings Projects Dwellings Projects Dwellings Projects Dwellings Projects

Banyule 895 30 812 19 1,005 20 1,267 40 271 9 3,355 88 1% 3%

Darebin 1,876 48 1,159 21 2,777 33 2,691 82 347 15 6,974 151 3% 5%

Hume 521 15 125 5 188 3 251 15 181 6 745 29 0% 1%

Moreland 2,561 46 2,991 44 1,334 44 4,465 82 307 17 9,097 187 4% 6%

Nillumbik 32 2 78 4 - - 358 11 28 2 464 17 0% 1%

Whittlesea 637 20 320 10 481 7 540 17 172 6 1,513 40 1% 1%

Northern Region 6,522 161 5,485 103 5,785 107 9,572 247 1,306 55 22,148 512 9% 17%

Knox 933 19 916 19 685 26 1,350 33 2,095 11 5,046 89 2% 3%

Manningham 1,637 35 1,836 20 2,274 33 1,124 27 1,018 14 6,252 94 3% 3%

Maroondah 490 19 654 16 1,049 25 371 7 69 7 2,143 55 1% 2%

Monash 1,413 17 650 15 3,094 30 2,443 55 216 6 6,403 106 3% 3%

Whitehorse 2,048 44 2,068 24 3,478 47 3,172 73 830 13 9,548 157 4% 5%

Yarra Ranges 514 13 807 14 323 7 391 14 2,991 14 4,512 49 2% 2%

Eastern Region 7,035 147 6,931 108 10,903 168 8,851 209 7,219 65 33,904 550 14% 18%

Cardinia 83 6 736 3 185 8 70 3 26 1 1,017 15 0% 0%

Casey 225 11 489 9 133 3 853 32 134 7 1,609 51 1% 2%

Frankston 222 13 210 8 660 14 565 22 102 6 1,537 50 1% 2%

Greater Dandenong 628 21 753 14 402 12 1,231 44 518 18 2,904 88 1% 3%

Kingston 1,053 30 1,023 19 646 21 2,635 57 830 6 5,134 103 2% 3%

Mornington Peninsula 296 13 345 13 121 6 761 23 396 5 1,623 47 1% 2%

Southern Region 2,507 94 3,556 66 2,147 64 6,115 181 2,006 43 13,824 354 6% 12%

Brimbank 964 9 841 10 440 11 1,304 26 1,687 17 4,272 64 2% 2%

Hobsons Bay 226 10 442 11 572 11 4,471 15 145 2 5,630 39 2% 1%

Maribyrnong 1,186 22 2,094 20 5,457 38 4,105 47 8,402 37 20,058 142 9% 5%

Melton 145 5 200 4 85 2 256 9 - - 541 15 0% 0%

Moonee Valley 1,757 42 2,086 13 1,566 36 2,372 48 1,506 12 7,530 109 3% 4%

Wyndham 1,359 9 1,218 11 90 3 461 9 16 1 1,785 24 1% 1%

Western Region 5,637 98 6,881 69 8,210 101 12,969 154 11,756 69 39,816 393 17% 13%

Bayside 930 26 666 17 646 17 1,085 34 690 8 3,077 76 1% 3%

Boroondara 2,143 59 1,472 32 2,043 46 2,329 78 619 29 6,463 185 3% 6%

Glen Eira 2,510 84 1,406 42 1,678 57 2,331 84 2,031 13 7,446 196 3% 6%

Stonnington 4,232 69 1,847 37 2,551 62 3,307 93 613 34 8,318 226 4% 7%

Inner South East Region 9,815 238 5,381 128 6,918 182 9,052 289 3,953 84 25,604 683 11% 23%

Melbourne 18,047 78 18,211 62 34,977 126 12,252 48 1,988 12 67,428 248 29% 8%

Port Phillip 2,470 42 2,668 33 9,327 68 6,962 37 540 4 19,497 142 8% 5%

Yarra 2,386 34 1,689 31 6,489 59 3,113 46 901 9 12,192 145 5% 5%

Inner Metro Region 22,903 154 22,568 126 50,793 253 22,327 131 3,429 25 99,117 535 42% 18%

Metropolitan Melbourne 54,419 892 50,802 600 84,756 875 68,886 1,211 29,669 341 234,113 3,027 100% 100%

Appendix A Development status by LGA & Plan Melbourne region



9

• Project status has been changed to better reflect certainty of development and flexibility in development timing. The new statuses are: Under Construction, Firm, Likely and Possible.

• Built form categories have been changed to better align with development outcomes and general names used to describe development. The new built form names are: Detached, Townhouse and Apartment.

Additional detail has been added to these categories by the inclusion of building height (storeys).

Appendix B Changes to the redevelopment component of the 2017 UDP



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