variogram modeling

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    Variogram modeling

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    Introduction:

    Characteristics of semivariogram:

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    Sill: The semi variance value at which the

    variogram levels off. Range: the maximum distance beyond which

    there is no correlation between pair of

    samples.

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    Nugget: The nugget represents variability at

    distances smaller than the typical samplespacing, including measurement error.

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    Need of variogram model:

    For the sake of kriging we need to replace

    the empirical semivariogram with anacceptable semivariogram model.

    The reason is that semivariogram models

    used in the kriging process need to obey

    certain numerical properties in order for thekriging equations to be solvable.

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    It should be noted that the variogram models

    introduced here are those that we consider tobe the basic models.

    They are simple, isotropic models,

    independent of direction.

    The basic variogram models can be

    conveniently divided into two types; those

    that reach a plateau and those that do not.

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    Variogram models of the first type are often referred

    to as transition models. The plateau they reach iscalled the silland the distance at which they reach

    this plateau is called the range.

    Variogram models of the second type do not reach a

    plateau, but continue increasing as the magnitude of

    h increases.

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    Using hto represent lag distance, a to

    represent (practical) range, and ctorepresent sill, the most frequently used

    models are:

    Spherical Model: Perhaps the most

    commonly used variogram model is thespherical model.

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    It has a linear behavior at small separation

    distances near the origin but flattens out atlarger distances, and reaches the sill at a.

    In this type we have a large range. i-e the sill

    is reached at high range.

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    The Exponential Model: Another commonly

    used transition model is the exponentialmodel.

    This model reaches its sill asymptotically,

    with the practical range a.

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    Like the spherical model, the exponential

    model is linear at very short distances nearthe origin, however it rises more steeply andthen flattens out more gradually.

    In fitting this model to a sample variogram itshelpful to remember that the tangent at theorigin reaches the sill at about one fifth of therange.

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    The Gaussian Model: The Gaussian model

    is a transition model that is often used tomodel extremely continuous phenomena.

    Like the exponential model, the Gaussianmodel reaches its sill asymptotically.

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    The distinguishing feature of the Gaussian

    model is its parabolic behavior near theorigin.

    The Linear Model: The linear model is not a

    transition model since it does not reach a sill,

    but increases linearly with h.

    All the four models are given in the following

    figure.

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    Fitting model to variogram:

    The actual process of fitting a model to an

    empirical semivariogram is much more of anart than a science, with different authorities

    suggesting different methods and protocols.

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    Since empirical semivariograms are often

    quite noisy, quite a bit of subjective judgmentgoes into selecting a good model.

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    Example:

    Here is the semivariogram for porosity data,

    with three fitted models. In each case the sillvalue was fixed at the overall variance of

    0.78 and the range was estimated using

    weighted nonlinear regression (weighting by

    number of data pairs for each lag):

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    The fitted ranges for the three models are

    4141 m for the spherical, 5823 m for theexponential, and 2884 m for the Gaussian.

    The Gaussian model gives the best fit, but

    the spherical is a close second.

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