veritas financial group introduction to the financial universe week 2 – mergers and acquisitions
TRANSCRIPT
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Veritas Financial GroupIntroduction to the Financial Universe
Week 2 – Mergers and Acquisitions
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Review from last week / Today’s focus
cash Investors
Secondarymarkets
Government
securities
Cash flow
reinvest
tax
Corporation
dividends,etc.
Today’s discussion
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Today’s Agenda – M&A
• What are Mergers and Acquisitions?
• Why do companies enter M&A deals?
• How do they pay for these deals?
• Case Example: Kraft-Cadbury deal
• What role does the investment bank play in M&A transactions?
• How do companies figure out how much to pay?
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Refresh: Intro to the Banking System
Retail BanksRetail Banks
Universal BanksUniversal BanksInvestment Banks*Investment Banks*
Commercial BanksCommercial Banks
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Introduction to the Banking System
Arranging FinancingArranging Financing Advising on M&AAdvising on M&A
• Client: • Corporations• Financial Sponsors• Governments• Large non-profits
• Services• Equity• Debt• Convertible Securities
• Client: • Corporations• Financial Sponsors
• Services• Advising Buyer• Advising Seller
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M&A: What is it?
• An acquisition takes place when one company acquires a smaller one
• A merger takes place when two companies or relatively equal size form one larger company.
• Under current law, all mergers are technically acquisitions.• One company is always the “surviving”
company, even if it is a merger of equals.
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Why complete a M&A deal?
Source: Wikipedia
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What are they actually buying?
Shareholders Equity = Assets – Liabilities Shareholders Equity = Assets – Liabilities
Assets = Liabilities + Shareholders Equity Assets = Liabilities + Shareholders Equity
The Big Picture: - Mergers and Acquisitions enable a company
to get ownership of another company - There are many reasons a company might
want to do this
The Big Picture: - Mergers and Acquisitions enable a company
to get ownership of another company - There are many reasons a company might
want to do this
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Clarification: Public versus Private
Public CompaniesPublic Companies Private CompaniesPrivate Companies
• Refers to Equity Ownership• Equity, in the form of
shares, is split up and listed in a stock exchange
• Shares are made available to the public
• The ‘shareholders’ own a small piece of the company If own voting shares, get a vote on corporate affairs
• Also refers to Equity ownership
• Equity is owned in chunks by founders, individuals, investors
• Ownership is more concentrated and controlled
• Not traded on the stock market
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Clarification: Public versus Private
M&A can be done in many forms: • A public company with another public company • A private company ‘taking over’ or merging with
a public company • A public company ‘taking over’ or merging with a
private company • A private company and a private company• An acquisition by an investment firm
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Why complete a M&A deal?
• Financial Reasons• Investment will produce attractive return
• Strategic Reasons • Growth
• Access to new markets • Access to new products
• Synergies • Cost and revenue
• Eliminate competitors
Source: Wikipedia
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Revenue Synergies
• Allow the merged company to take in more money than the sum of the two prior companies, all at the same costs.
• Example: Bank of America buys MBNA (credit card firm)• BofA markets cards in its branches, so revenue
increases with only a minimal increase in costs.
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Overly Simplified Hypothetical
•BofA sells no credit card products
•MBNA has 1 million credit accounts
•BofA buys MBNA and sells MBNA legacy products to BofA customers using existing branches, tellers, etc.
•BofA subsequently sells 500,000 cards.
•This is a revenue synergy.
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Cost Synergies
• Allow the merged company to reduce costs below the total costs of the two prior companies, but without experiencing a drop in revenue.
• Example: Coca-Cola buys Vitaminwater• Coca-Cola shuts down/sells Vitaminwater
distribution network • Coca-Cola then uses its existing distribution and
marketing network to sell Vitaminwater products.
• Goal: eliminate redundancy.
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Question
If a company is worth $10 billion, would you ever pay $15 billion for it?
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Synergies and the Deal Premium
• Deal Value - Market Value = Deal Premium
• A deal premium may be due to synergy potential
• If the company is worth $10 billion, but the synergies are worth $5 billion, as long as the company pays less than $15 billion, it will come out ahead.
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Synergies and Deal Premium: Illustration
Market Value $10.0 billion
Expected Revenue Synergies $2.5 billion
Expected Cost Synergies $2.5 billion
Expected Total Synergies $5.0 billion
Bid Price Market Value Deal Premium Value to bidder
$10.0 billion $10.0 billion $0.0 $5.0 billion
$11.0 billion $10.0 billion $1.0 billion $4.0 billion
$12.0 billion $10.0 billion $2.0 billion $3.0 billion
$13.0 billion $10.0 billion $3.0 billion $2.0 billion
$14.0 billion $10.0 billion $4.0 billion $1.0 billion
$15.0 billion $10.0 billion $5.0 billion $0.0 billion
$16.0 billion $10.0 billion $6.0 billion -$1.0 billion
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How do companies pay for M&A deals?
• Stock• Better for shareholders if there is confidence in the
deal• Shareholders expectations still high
• Cash or Debt• Better for shareholders if the deal is shaky• Easier to close if there is opposition• Difficult to raise cash
• Most deals are paid by both shares-issuance and cash
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Case Study: Kraft and Cadbury
• Largest European food and beverage deal on record
• Why might Kraft and Cadbury want to merge?
Synergies!
• Cadbury has strong growth in emerging markets, like India and Latin America.
• Kraft (Oreo cookies and Philadelphia cream cheese) derives over half its sales from the mature North American market
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Case Study: Kraft and Cadbury
• Kraft was advised by Lazard, Citi, Deutsche Bank and Centerview Partners
• Cadbury was advised by Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and UBS.
• The Deal: • The cash-and-stock agreement• Valued each Cadbury share at 840 pence • Split between 500p of cash and 0.1874 new Kraft shares
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Role of Banks in M&A Transactions
• Primary role of banks is to advise clients on both sides of deals
• Valuation • How much should we pay? How much should
we accept?• Price depends on synergies.• Bankers spend months scouring the ‘books’ for
synergies.• Consultants often assist with synergies and PMI
• Banks also help arrange financing
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The Pitchbook
• Main output from Bankers
• Can Include: • Executive Summary• Bank’s Experience• Market and Company Positioning• Valuation• (Potential Buyers)• (Financing)
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Valuation
• Three common ways to analyze ‘value’• Generally all three are taken into account
• Discounted Cash Flow (“DCF”) • “Present Value” of how much cash this company generate
in the future
• Comparable market values (“Comps”) • What are peers trading at?
• Past transactions multiples• How much have another companies paid in the past?
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What is a DCF?
Discounted Cash Flow: A way of valuing an asset or company through the concept of time value of money
Would you rather have a dollar today or a dollar tomorrow?
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What is present value?
Would you rather have a dollar today or a dollar tomorrow?
•You should always value a dollar today over a dollar tomorrow•This is because something might happen before you get the dollar tomorrow•So, dollars in the future are worth less than a dollar today •If you want to give me dollars in the future, I will need to be compensated somehow for taking on this risk
This is the concept behind “present value”
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What is a DCF?
Every DCF analysis needs two things:
Projected cash flows
A discount rate
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What is a DCF?
• Let’s go to the Excel…
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What is a DCF?
• To get to the present value, you need a discount rate• A discount rate is interest rate
used to calculate the present value of the cash flows
• Rate of compensation that you need to receive be willing to have money in the future versus receiving it today
• The discount rate can be subjective
• Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
• Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)• Market based
Discount Rate Present Value
12% $1,039
10% $1,104
8% $1,175
6% $1,253
4% $1,338
2% $1,432
0% $1,536
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Leading Investment Banks for M&A
Bulge-Bracket Firms 2010 Global M&A League Tables
• Goldman, Sachs & Co.• Bank of America Merrill Lynch• JPMorgan Chase & Co.• Morgan Stanley• Citi
Boutique Firms• Lazard• Greenhill & Company• Perella Weinberg• Moelis & Company• William Blair
FirmDeal Value
Deal Count
1. Goldman Sachs $399.2bn 263
2. Morgan Stanley $355.1bn 287
3. JPMorgan $353.1bn 223
4. Credit Suisse $274.8bn 221
5. BofA Merrill Lynch $263.4bn 173
6. Deutsche Bank $250.5bn 192
7. Barclays Capital $236.0bn 111
8. UBS $203.9bn 202
9. Lazard $180.7bn 199
10. Citi $180.3bn 130
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In the News: PPD LBO
• Why are the largest private equity deals in 2011 so much smaller than they were in 2007?
• Many of the biggest PE deals in the last two years have been in the healthcare industry, why do you think that is?
• Carlyle and H&F paid a 30% premium for the stock, why do you think they feel comfortable doing this?