vermont’s northeast kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000...

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Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom A Community Profile Presented by: The Vermont State Data Center at UVM’s Center for Rural Studies

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Page 1: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom A Community Profile

Presented by:

The Vermont State Data Centerat

UVM’s Center for Rural Studies

Page 2: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

About the Vermont State Data Center

• The VT State Data Center is part of a network of a liaison between the U.S. Census Bureau and Vermont data users.

• The VT SDC• Conducts Data Trainings• Responds to Data Requests• Assists Census Bureau Data Collection Programs• Participates in Data Advocacy & Network Development• Advocates for VT Data Needs with the Census Bureau

Page 3: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

Let’s Get to Know the Northeast Kingdom

• Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom (NEK)- a name coined by former VT governor George Aiken in 1950- consists generally of Essex, Orleans and Caledonia counties.

• Primary population centers in “The Kingdom” include Newport, on the Canadian border, Hardwick and Saint Johnsbury to the South.

• The NEK is home to about 64,500 residents, or about 10% of VT’s population.

• The Northeast Kingdom also has about 7,200 firms (2012)- About 9.5% of VT’s total.

Page 4: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

Northeast Kingdom Population in Context

6,231 6,979

24,843 27,160 28,927 31,109 36,739 36,88344,050 48,226

56,328 59,333 60,864

158,686

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

2010-2014 Population Estimates

Page 5: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

Northeast Kingdom Population Density

93942

4848

54545658

6568

76858689

296

ESSEX

ORLEANS

ORANGE

CALEDONIA

ADDISON

LAMOILLE

BENNINGTON

WINDHAM

WINDSOR

RUTLAND

VT

FRANKLIN

GRAND ISLE

WASHINGTON

U.S.

CHITTENDEN

People Per Sq. Mile

Page 6: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

Northeast Kingdom Population Change

Addison 2.4%Bennington 0.4%

Caledonia 5.1%Chittenden 6.8%

Essex -2.4%Franklin 5.1%

Grand Isle 1.0%Lamoille 5.3%

Orange 2.5%Orleans 3.6%

Rutland -2.8%Washington 2.6%

Windham 0.7%Windsor -1.3%

-4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0%

2000-2010 Population Change

Page 7: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

Northeast Kingdom Educational Attainment

82.7

86.2 86.3

89 89.8 89.9 90.6 91.5 91.6 91.6 91.7 92.1 93 93 93.7 93.9

Percent High School Graduate or Higher

Page 8: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

Northeast Kingdom Veteran Populations

7.27.8

8.18.7

9.39.7

9.910.110.110.1

10.310.410.4

10.710.8

13.7

CHITTENDEN

ADDISON

LAMOILLE

UNITED STATES

VERMONT

WASHINGTON

WINDHAM

FRANKLIN

ORLEANS

RUTLAND

GRAND ISLE

CALEDONIA

ORANGE

WINDSOR

BENNINGTON

ESSEX

Page 9: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

Northeast Kingdom Disabled Populations

10.211.211.4

11.712.3

12.812.9

13.515.115.1

15.615.916.1

16.419

20.5

WASHINGTON

WINDSOR

RUTLAND

ORLEANS

CHITTENDEN

LAMOILLE

FRANKLIN

ADDISON

GRAND ISLE

ORANGE

CALEDONIA

BENNINGTON

ESSEX

UNITED STATES

VERMONT

WINDHAM

Page 10: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

NEK Labor Force Participation

58.1 58.463.3 63.4 63.9 64 65.1 66.5 67.2 67.4 67.7 68.3 68.3 69.5 70.8 70.9

Page 11: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

Northeast Kingdom Unemployment

4.65.3

5.65.75.85.8

6.26.56.6

77.3

7.57.57.5

9.210.4

LAMOILLE

WASHINGTON

FRANKLIN

ORANGE

WINDSOR

CHITTENDEN

VERMONT

ORLEANS

ADDISON

GRAND ISLE

BENNINGTON

CALEDONIA

RUTLAND

WINDHAM

U.S.

ESSEX

Page 12: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

Northeast Kingdom Median HH Income

3556741437

4508948308 49303 50447 50526 53114 53482 53610 54447 57159 58293 59274 61338

64243

Page 13: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

Northeast Kingdom Poverty in Context

7.910 10.2 10.3 10.7 11.3 12 12.2 13 13.1

14 14.1 14.215.6

16.7 16.9

Percent of Population in Poverty

Page 14: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

NEK Jobs Trends in Context

270000

275000

280000

285000

290000

295000

300000

305000

VERMONT JOBS TREND

20200

20400

20600

20800

21000

21200

21400

21600

21800

22000

NORTHEAST KINGDOM JOBS TREND

Page 15: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

NEK Primary Industry Sectors

Retail trade, 18.1%

Construction, 14.4%

Health care and social assistance, 10.3%

Other services (except public administration), 10.1%

Accommodation and food services, 7.8%

Professional, scientific, and technical services, 7.1%

Manufacturing, 5.5%

Page 16: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

Northeast Kingdom Agriculture in Context

93 121

305 349447

532 560 587638 640

736 748 768 814

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Number of Farms by County Over Time

1992 2002 2012

Page 17: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

Northeast Kingdom Agriculture in Context

114 125 127 132 136 141 146 149 157 170 171204

253 256274

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Average Farm Acreage Over Time

1992 2002 2012

Page 18: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

What We Now Know About the NEK

• The NEK is comprised of some of the least populous, least densely-settled counties in a state with the 2nd most rural population in the country.

• This area of Vermont has lower Educational Attainment & Workforce Participation than the State overall, though levels are similar to the U.S.

• Likewise, Poverty and Unemployment rates are higher than State averages, but similar to U.S levels.

• Median Incomes however, tend to track significantly lower than both Vermont and U.S. Median Incomes.

• Essex County differences are more pronounced than Orleans and Caledonia Counties’…

Page 19: Vermont’s Northeast Kingdom...36,739 36,883 44,050 48,226 56,328 59,333 60,864 158,686 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 160,000 2010-2014 Population Estimates

Thank You

ContactMichael Moser

VT State Data Center Coordinator

[email protected] 802.656.0864