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VIETNAM ELECTRICITY INDUSTRY REPORT Q3/2018

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Page 1: VIETNAM ELECTRICITY INDUSTRY REPORT Q3/2018€¦ · VIETNAM ELECTRICITY INDUSTRY REPORT Q3/2018. Executive Summary 4 1. ... increasing over a period of time from 2009 to 2017 with

VIETNAM ELECTRICITY INDUSTRY REPORT Q3/2018

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Executive Summary 4

1. Business environment 7

1.1 Macroeconomic situation 7

1.2 Legal framework 11

1.3 Free Trade Agreements 20

2. Industry overview 23

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry 23

2.1.1 Demand and supply for electricity 24

2.1.2 Development trend of global electricity industry 33

2.1.3 Price movement 35

2.1.4Situation of electricity industry in some Southeast Asia

countries37

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry 42

2.2.1 History of Vietnam electricity industry 43

2.2.2 Value chain of the industry 47

Content

2.2.3 Input fuel 48

2.2.4 Electricity generation 56

2.2.5 Transmission and distribution 66

2.2.6 Electricity consumption 73

2.2.7 Electricity price 79

2.2.8 Structure of electricity industry 82

2.3 Issues in energy industries development 91

2.3.1 Existing 92

2.3.2 Challenges 93

2.3.3 Risks 96

2.3.4 The trend of foreign investment 97

2.4 Planning and forecasting 98

2.4.1 Planning 99

2.4.2 Forecasting 102

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Content

3. Business analysis 104

3.1 Typical companies of electricity industry 105

3.2 Business performance indicators 116

3.3 Financial indicators 121

3.4 Payment indicators 126

4. Appendix 128

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ERAV Electricity Regulatory Authority of Vietnam

EVFTA Vietnam-EU Free Trade Agreement

EVN Vietnam Electricity Corporation

FDI Foreign Direct Investment

FTA Free Trade Agreement

GSO General Statistics Office

MAIFI Momentary Average Interruption Frequency Index

MOIT Ministry of Industry and Trade

NLDC National Load Dispatch Center

PVN Vietnam Oil and Gas Group

SAIDI System Average Interruption Duration Index

SAIFI System Average Interruption Frequency Index

TPP Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement

VCGM Vietnam Competitive Generation Market

Vinacomin Vietnam National Coal - Mineral Industries Group

VIRAC VIRAC Joint Stock Company

VWEM Vietnam Wholesale Electricity Market

WTO World Trade Organization

Abbreviations

4

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Summary

World’s electricity volume was constantly

increasing over a period of time from 2009 to

2017 with compounded annual growth rate

at x.xx%

Currently, EVN still has a monopoly on the

segments of regulation, electricity

wholesaling, transmission and distribution or

retailing..

Three main resourses of generation electricity

are hydroelectricity, thermoelectricity by coal

and thermoelectricity by gas which account

for xx.xx% of total capacity of national

installed electricity system

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Summary

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Vietnam power demand increased rapidly

from 2001 to 2017 with average growth rate

about xx.xx%/year and is forecasted to still

increase in the next 15 years.

Electricity price is quite low compared to

other countries in the Asia-Pacific region.

Generation electricity is exclusive sector

which has other investors beside EVN because

of a specific huge capital requirement.

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1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomic situation

1.2 Legal framework

1.3 Free Trade Agreements

Content

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The Government's 2018 GDP growth target of

Consumer price index (CPI) in the 6 first years 2018 has a lot of

changes

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GDP growth rate by quarter, 2015-quarter 2/2018

Sources: VIRAC, GSO

%

Monthly CPI fluctuations, 2015-6/2018

Sources: VIRAC, GSO

1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomic situation

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Many new projects in the field of electricity production and distribution are

licensed in 2018:

The stable exchange rate will help the electricity producers to be

more active in calculating input costs due to their dependence on

imported coal.

9

Sources: VIRAC, FIA

FDI attraction by industry, 2017

VND/USD exchange rates, 2013-6/2018

Sources: VIRAC, SBV

1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomic situation

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The electricity sector is estimated to have a relatively high and stable growth rate in industrial production.

The electricity industry plays an important role in supporting the

development of all sectors of the economy.

10

Sources: VIRAC collected

Contribution to electricity production and distribution in GDP,

2012 – 6M/2018e

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1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomic situation

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1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomic situation

1.2 Legal framework

1.3 Free Trade Agreements

Content

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal framework

Source: VIRAC

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Electricity Law 2004

Amended Electricity Law 2012:

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal framework

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Decree No. 137/2013 / ND-CP guided the Electricity Law and the amended Electricity Law.

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal framework

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal framework

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The application of advanced technologies, digitization-based technology and the linkage to create high-tech

agricultural models, and smart agriculture are few.

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal framework

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Decree No. 24/2017 guided average electricity price regulation.

.

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal framework

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On 30 November 2017, the Ministry of Industry and Commerce issued Decision No . 4495 / QD-BCT regulating the electricity price.

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1. Business environment

1.2 Legal framework

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There are also some circulars about the electricity sector:

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1. Business environment

1.1 Macroeconomic situation

1.2 Legal framework

1.3 Free Trade Agreements

Content

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Vietnam trade integration process from 1995 to present

Until the end of Q2/2018 , Vietnam has signed, implemented, and is negotiating a total of 17 FTAs. Accession to international trade agreements brings

opportunities and challenges for domestic firms.

1. Business Environment

1.3 Free Trade Agreements

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One of Vietnam's biggest achievements in 2017 is the completion of negotiation of strategic agreements. These include AHKFTA, EVFTA, EFTA and CPTPP.

Positive signals from trade agreements

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1. Business Environment

1.3 Free Trade Agreements

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Content

2. Industry overview

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry

2.3 Issues in energy industries development

2.4 Planning and forecasting

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2. Industry overview

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry – 2.1.1 Demand and supply for electricity

TWh World electricity production volume , 2009-2017

Sources: VIRAC, Statsreview.bp.com

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Structure of world electricity production, 2017e

Sources: VIRAC, REN21

Global electricity volume increases consistently over a period of time from 2009

to 2017 with compounded annual growth rate at x.xx%

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2. Industry overview

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry – 2.1.1 Demand and supply for electricity

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Structure of electricity supply according to resourse, 2016 - 2017

Sources: VIRAC, Statsreview.bp.com

According to Exxon Mobil enterprise, electricity consumption demand is going to increase in 2014 because of population development and the result is an

increase in power and vehicles demand.

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TWh

World's top largest electricity producing countries, 2016 - 2017

Source: VIRAC, Statsreview.bp.com

Contribution structure of world electricity production, 2017

Source: VIRAC, Statsreview.bp.com

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2. Industry overview

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry – 2.1.1 Demand and supply for electricity

China is the leading country in electricity production.

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Source: VIRAC, IEA

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Electricity production volume in some countries, 2006 - 2016

Unit: TWh

2. Industry overview

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry – 2.1.1 Demand and supply for electricity

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Global electricity consumption, 2008-2017

2. Industry overview

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry – 2.1.1 Demand and supply for electricity

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World's electricity consumption was constantly increasing in the period of 2008-2017e with a CAGR of x.xx%

Source: VIRAC, Statsreview.bp.com

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Source: VIRAC, Enter Data

TWh

China and the United States continued to be the two largest electricity

consuming countries in the world in 2017

Top 10 most electricity consuming countries, 2017

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2. Industry overview

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry – 2.1.1 Demand and supply for electricity

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Billion USDWorld electricity exports, 2010-2017e

Sources: VIRAC, Worldstopexports

Top largest electricity exporters, 2017

Sources: VIRAC, Worldstopexports

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2. Industry overview

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry – 2.1.1 Demand and supply for electricity

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World electricity consumption prospects by region, 1980 – 2030f

Before 1990, the countries belong to Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and Europe were the two largest electricity

consumers in the world. However, after this period Asia rose to be the second-largest consumer of electricity in the world.

Sources: VIRAC, IEA

2. Industry overview

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry – 2.1.2 Development trend of global electricity industry

TWh

30

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Cents/kWh

Sources: VIRAC,

IEA

2. Industry overview

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry – 2.1.3 Price movement

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Electricity price of household, 2016

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Cents/kWh

Sources: VIRAC, IEA

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Average price of electricity in the world, 2011 – 2040f

2. Industry overview

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry – 2.1.3 Price movement

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MtoeDemand for energy of some countries in Southeast Asia, 1990 – 2035f

Sources: VIRAC, IEA

Among ASEAN countries, Indonesia has the largest demand for energy

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2. Industry overview

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry – 2.1.4 Situation of electricity industry in some Southeast Asia countries

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Electricity generation in Southeast Asia by energy sources, 1990 - 2040f

Unit: TWh

Sources: VIRAC, IEA

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2. Industry overview

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry – 2.1.4 Situation of electricity industry in some Southeast Asia countries

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Demand for primary energy in Southeast Asia, 1990 – 2040f

Unit: Mtoe

Sources: VIRAC, IEA

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2. Industry overview

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry – 2.1.4 Situation of electricity industry in some Southeast Asia countries

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Proportion of electricity consumption in ASEAN by sectors

Sources: VIRAC, IEA

The prospect of electricity consumption in ASEAN countries in the period 2010 - 2015 has changed a lot. The most obvious trend is to reduce the

proportion of electricity consumption in the industrial and service sectors, and increase in the usage structure of the people.

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Electricity consumption in ASEAN by sectors, 2010 – 2035f

2. Industry overview

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry – 2.1.4 Situation of electricity industry in some Southeast Asia countries

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Content

2. Industry overview

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry

2.3 Issues in energy industries development

2.4 Planning and forecasting

37

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Overview of Vietnam Electricity Industry

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.1 History of Vietnam electricity industry

38

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.1 History of Vietnam electricity industry

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.1 History of Vietnam electricity industry

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.1 History of Vietnam electricity industry

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Electricity is a special commodity,

Electricity industry of Vietnam also has a similar value chain with other countries in the world

Production

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.2 Value chain of the industry

42

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• Vietnam has many primary sources of energy domestically such as crude

oil, coal, natural gas and hydroelectricity,

The shift to fossil fuels has been and continues to be an

important cause for increasing greenhouse gas emissions.

Sources: VIRAC, EVN, MOIT

Situation of primary energy supply, 2010 - 2015 KTOE*

Sources: VIRAC, EVN, MOIT

KTOEDomestic energy exploitation from 2009 to 2015

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.3 Input material

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Sources: VIRAC, Decision No. 403/QĐ-TTg Sources: VIRAC, Decision No. 403/QĐ-TTg

Market segment of coal consumption, 2016f

Coal reserves are mainly concentrated in coal basin of the Red River Delta and the coal used in electricity production accounts for xx.x% of the coal

consumption market.Coal reserves by region, 2016f

Increase in coal price for power generation, 2010 – 2017

Sources: VIRAC, KTV

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.3 Input material - Coal

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From being a coal exporter many years ago, in 2014 Vietnam has to import

to serve domestic production needs. Million tons

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Forecast for supply and demand coal, 2015 - 2030

Sources: VIRAC, KTV

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.3 Input material - Coal

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Sources: VIRAC, TKV

Most of the gas in Vietnam is used to produce electricity.

Rate of selling price of gas for electricity sector by market price, 2014 - 2015

Sources: VIRAC, Documentary No, 2175/VPCP-KTTH

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Market segment of natural gas consumption

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.3 Input material - Gas

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Sources: VIRAC, PVN

Due to climate change, the 2016 dry season has only 38/81 reservoirs capable of regulating water for electricity generation, challenging the supply of

electricity.Hydroelectricity potential in Vietnam

• By 2016, the national electricity system has 85 hydro

power plants in operation

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.3 Input material – Hydroelectricity

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Data on solar radiation in Vietnam

Sources: VIRAC, EVN

Sources: VIRAC, Decision No. 2068/QĐ-TTg

Schedule for solar energy development in Vietnam to 2030 with a

vision to 2050

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Vietnam is one of the countries with the most sunshine in the map of the

world's solar radiation.

Despite the great potential, the exploitation of solar energy in Vietnam is still

limited.

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.3 Input material – Photovoltaic

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Potential and characteristics of wind electricity in 3 regions and by

wind speed

Sources: VIRAC, EVN

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Sources: VIRAC, MOIT

Wind electricity potential in the provinces of Planning for development of

wind electricity, 2020

By the end of 2017, about xx wind electricity projects have been

registered in the whole territory of Vietnam, mainly in the Central

and southern provinces

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.3 Input material – Wind electricity

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Sources: VIRAC, MOIT

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The characteristics of geothermal resources in Vietnam are distributed

scatteredly, so it is difficult to build large-scale plants.

Geothermal potential of the regions

Sources: VIRAC, MOIT

Theoretical potential and technical potential of the tidal electric power

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.3 Input material – Geothermal and tidal

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Sources: VIRAC, EVN, GSO, MOIT

Total supply of electricity, 2010 – 6M/2018e

Million kWh

Sources: VIRAC, IEA

Million kWh

Structure of electricity, 2017

51

Compounded annual growth rate (2010-2017e) reach xx.x%

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.4 Electricity generation

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Proportion of electricity generation by supplier, 2016

Sources: VIRAC, EVN

Electricity generation is the only segment with the participation of units

outside EVN due to the specific requirements of capital investment.

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.4 Electricity generation

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Sources: VIRAC, EVN

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.4 Electricity generation

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Power projects operation in 2018

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Renewable energy has not been widely used for electric development,

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Structure of electricity production by source of materials, 2012 – 3M/2018

Sources: VIRAC, EVN, MOIT

The main sources of electricity are Hydroelectricity, Coal Thermoelectricity

and Gas Thermoelectricity, accounting for xx.x% of total electricity

generation capacity in the 3M/2018

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.4 Electricity generation

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Most of the machinery and equipment of Vietnam 's hydropower plants are imported from overseas.

Characteristics of power plants by source of fuel

55

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.4 Electricity generation – Characteristics of electricity generation sources

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Compare the advantages and disadvantages of hydroelectricity and thermal electricity

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.4 Electricity generation – Characteristics of electricity generation sources

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Electricity generating technology from coal (Thermal power)

57

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.4 Electricity generation – Characteristics of electricity generation sources

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Wind power

Nuclear power

Electricity produced from renewable energy

58

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.4 Electricity generation – Characteristics of electricity generation sources

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Distribution of main power plants

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At present, the installation location of power plants is heavily

dependent on the distribution of natural resources, so there is a clear

distinction between regions.

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.4 Electricity generation – Characteristics of electricity generation sources

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Billion kWh

Source: VIRAC, EVN

Billion

kWh

Cent/kWh

Vietnam imports electricity mainly from China and Laos

60

Import of electricity, 2010 – 2018f

Import of electricity from China, 2010 - 2017e

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.4 Electricity generation – Characteristics of electricity generation sources

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Current situation of selling electricity to Laos:

Situation of electricity import from Laos:

61

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.4 Electricity generation – Characteristics of electricity generation sources

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Sources: VIRAC, EVN

Length of transmission grid and total capacity of distribution, 2011 - 2017

62

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.5 Transmission and distribution – Electrical grid for transmission and distribution

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Sources: VIRAC, EVN

Rate of power losses of some countries, 2011-2014

Sources: VIRAC, Worldbank

Million kWh

63

The power loss in the power transmission grid in Vietnam is still high

compared to many countries in the world.

Power loss, 2010 – 6M/2018e

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.5 Transmission and distribution – Power loss

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• Power losses on the transmission grid is influenced by

• Power losses on distribution grid tend to decrease over the years and

reach at x.xx% in 2017.Sources: VIRAC, EVN

Results of reduction of power losses in 2016 - Plan for 2018Unit: %

Sources: VIRAC, EVN

64

Rate of power losses in the supply chain, 2010 - 2017

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.5 Transmission and distribution – Power loss

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Sources: VIRAC, MOIT

65

MW

Maximum load and electricity system availability *, 7/2015 – 5/2018

• Although the installed capacity is always above the annual peak load, the system is always under very high supply pressures, especially during the dry

season. Alternative electricity outage happens in many places.

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.5 Transmission and distribution – Peak load

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Source: VIRAC, NLDC

MW

66

Peak load by time between two main seasons, 2017

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.5 Transmission and distribution – Peak load

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Advantages and disadvantages of capacitor types

67

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.5 Transmission and distribution – Peak load

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Source: VIRAC, EVN, MOIT

Commercial electricity, 2012 – 6M/2018e

Million kWh

Commercial electricity according to the distribution companies (Million kWh), 2016 – 2018

Source: VIRAC, EVN

68

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.6 Electricity consumption

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Vietnam is one of the most inefficiently electricity using countries in the world.

Electricity intensity by region in the world (kwh / USD)

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.6 Electricity consumption

69

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Source: VIRAC

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Source: VIRAC, MOIT

Source: VIRAC

70

Commercial electricity, 2012-6M/2018e

Electricity consumption per capita of Vietnam, 2000-2017e

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.6 Electricity consumption

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Source: VIRAC, GSO, EVN

71

Elastic electricity factor/GDP, 2010 – 6M/2018

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Electrical efficiency in Vietnam from the perspective of coefficient of

electricity elasticity/GDP.

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.6 Electricity consumption

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Source: VIRAC, NLDCElectricity supply reliability criteria, 2017-2018

Source: VIRAC, EVN

72

Electricity outage, 2012 – 6M/2018Electricity outage

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.6 Electricity consumption

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Vietnam’s getting electricity indicator, 2013 - 2017

Source: VIRAC, World Bank, EVN

73

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.6 Electricity consumption

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Source: VIRAC, Decision No 5106/QĐ-BCT

Avoided cost tariff applied to small and medium-sized hydroelectric plants in 2018

Source: VIRAC, EVN, MOIT

VND/kWh

Electricity generating price

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.7 Electricity price

74

Average electricity purchase price of EVN, 1/2015 – 5/2018

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Source: VIRAC, Decision No 2712/QĐ-BCT

Average electricity wholesale price of EVN for other electricity corporations in 2018Wholesale price of electricity

Retail price of electricity

75

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.7 Electricity price

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Source: VIRAC, Decision No 2712/QĐ-BCT

76

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2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.7 Electricity price

Electricity price in 6 degree

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77

Electricity price in Vietnam is quite low compared to other countries in

the Asia-Pacific region.

Price of input material, 1/2014 – 4/2018

Sources: VIRAC, MOIT

Sources: VIRAC, MOIT

Average electricity price, 7/2007 – 6/2018

VND/ kWh

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.7 Electricity price

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1. Price frame for coal thermoelectricity factories

2. Price frame for hydroelectricity factories

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.7 Electricity price

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Structure of electricity industryComparison of electricity industry structure

before and after 2008

79

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.8 Structure of electricity industry

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Developing a competitive electricity market in Vietnam is essential

80

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.8 Structure of electricity industry

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Vietnam Competitive Generation Market (VCGM)

81

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.8 Structure of electricity industry

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Progress of marketization of electricity industry

Progress of marketization of electricity industry

82

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.8 Structure of electricity industry

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Vietnam Competitive Generation Market in Vietnam

Sources: VIRAC, EVN

83

Market structure

MW

VGCM situation, 2012 - 2017

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.8 Structure of electricity industry

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Operating map of VCGMGeneral operating principles

Existing problems

84

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.8 Structure of electricity industry

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To operate the competitive electricity generation market

85

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.8 Structure of electricity industry

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Based on the production, the electricity supply situation of the whole system in October and the demand for electricity in November, December/2017,

the Ministry of Industry and Trade has decided to operate again in the competitive electricity generation market from November/1st/2017 after one

month of halt to prioritize the mobilization of gas power. Some of the reasons for the resumption of the competitive electricity generation market in

November:

86

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.8 Structure of electricity industry

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• Vietnam Wholesale Electricity Market (VWEM)

Operational mechanism of the competitive wholesale electricity market in 2018 includes:

The Pilot Experiment in 2018 is divided into three phases:

87

2. Industry overview

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry - 2.2.8 Structure of electricity industry

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Content

2. Industry overview

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry

2.3 Issues in energy industries development

2.4 Planning and forecasting

88

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Existing problems affecting the development of Vietnam's energy industry

2. Industry overview

2.3 Issues in energy industries development – 2.3.1 Existing

89

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Sources: VIRAC, ERAV

90

Structure of electricity production by primary energy source

2. Industry overview

2.3 Issues in energy industries development – 2.3.2 Challenges

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Vietnam currently ranks 20th in the world among the countries with the

most coal thermal power plants in the world.

The development of coal electricity in Vietnam is against the world

trend.

Sources: VIRAC, GreenID

91

Average per capita consumption of coal and CO₂

2. Industry overview

2.3 Issues in energy industries development – 2.3.2 Challenges

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Huge investment capital.

Sources: VIRAC, GDVC

92

Levelized Cost of Electricity of techs per 1kWh, 2017-2025

Million USD/MW

2. Industry overview

2.3 Issues in energy industries development – 2.3.2 Challenges

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Source: VIRAC

Energy using efficiency and awareness are low.

Sources: VIRAC, GDVC

93

Import of electrical wires and cables, 2011 - 2017e

2. Industry overview

2.3 Issues in energy industries development – 2.3.2 Challenges

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Weather risks

Risk of input costs of thermal power

Risks of interest rates

Risks of exchange rates

Risk of mechanisms

94

2. Industry overview

2.3 Issues in energy industries development – 2.3.3 Risks

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The electricity market in Vietnam is gradually developing in three levels (competitive electricity generation, competitive electricity wholesale and

competitive electricity retailing), which will attract foreign investors thanks to the increase of the competitiveness and transparency, gradually reducing

the monopoly of EVN in the electricity market.

95

2. Industry overview

2.3 Issues in energy industries development – 2.3.4 The trend of foreign investment

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Content

2. Industry overview

2.1 Situation of global electricity industry

2.2 Situation of Vietnam electricity industry

2.3 Issues in energy industries development

2.4 Planning and forecasting

96

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2. Industry overview

2.4 Planning and forecasting -2.4.1 Planning

97

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Decision No. 428 / QD-Nog approving the adjustment of zoning for national electricity development in 2011-2020, with a vision to 2030

1. National electric power development planning:

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2. Electricity grid development planning:

Volume of transmission grids shall be elaborated in stages, as follows:

3. Solutions to industry zoning

2. Industry overview

2.4 Planning and forecasting -2.4.1 Planning

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Solution to electricity price

99

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2. Industry overview

2.4 Planning and forecasting -2.4.1 Planning

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Billion kWh

Sources: VIRAC, EVN

100

Demand – supply of electricity, 2010 – 2030f

2. Industry overview

2.4 Planning and forecasting -2.4.2 Forecasting

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GW

Sources: VIRAC, MOIT

101

Growth of renewable electricity capacity, 2016 - 2030f

2. Industry overview

2.4 Planning and forecasting -2.4.2 Forecasting

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3. Business analysis

3.1 Typical companies of electricity industry

3.2 Business performance indicators

3.3 Financial indicators

3.4 Payment indicators

Content

102

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Source: VIRAC

3. Enterprise analysis

3.1 Typical companies of electricity industry

Electricity distribution and retail companies.

103

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Enterprises in electricity industry are divided into three groups:

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Source: VIRAC

Electricity regulation and transmission companies.

Electricity generating enterprises

Source: VIRAC

* By the end of August 2017 EVNNPC has not yet published its financial statements

104

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3. Enterprise analysis

3.1 Typical companies of electricity industry

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3. Enterprise analysis

3.1 Typical companies of electricity industry– 3.1.1. Electricity distribution and retail companies.

Southern Power Corporation - EVNNPC

105

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3. Enterprise analysis

3.1 Typical companies of electricity industry– 3.1.1. Electricity distribution and retail companies.

Northern Power Corporation - EVNNPC

106

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3. Enterprise analysis

3.1 Typical companies of electricity industry– 3.1.1. Electricity distribution and retail companies.

HCM city Power Corporation - EVNHCMC

107

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3. Enterprise analysis

3.1 Typical companies of electricity industry– 3.1.1. Electricity distribution and retail companies.

Hanoi city Power Corporation - HNPC

108

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3. Enterprise analysis

3.1 Typical companies of electricity industry– 3.1.1. Electricity distribution and retail companies.

Central VN Power Corporation - EVNCPC

109

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3. Enterprise analysis

3.1 Typical companies of electricity industry– 3.1.2. Electricity regulation and transmission companies.

Electricity regulation and transmission corporations:

110

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3. Enterprise analysis

3.1 Typical companies of electricity industry– 3.1.3. Electricity generating enterprises.

Power Generation Corporation 3 – EVNGENCO3

111

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3. Enterprise analysis

3.1 Typical companies of electricity industry– 3.1.3. Electricity generating enterprises.

112

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Power Generation Corporation 1 – EVNGENCO1

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Hai Phong Thermal Power Joint Stock Company

3. Enterprise analysis

3.1 Typical companies of electricity industry– 3.1.3. Electricity generating enterprises.

113

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Quang Ninh Thermal Power Joint Stock Company

3. Enterprise analysis

3.1 Typical companies of electricity industry– 3.1.3. Electricity generating enterprises.

114

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3. Enterprise analysis

3.1 Typical companies of electricity industry– 3.1.3. Electricity generating enterprises.

Pha Lai Thermal Power Joint Stock Company

115

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3. Business analysis

3.1 Typical companies of electricity industry

3.2 Business performance indicators

3.3 Financial indicators

3.4 Payment indicators

Content

116

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Source: VIRAC

Billion VND

3. Enterprise analysis

3.2 Business performance indicators

Net revenue, 2016-2017

117

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Net revenue of electricity distribution and retail businesses is much higher than that of electricity generation enterprises.

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Source: VIRAC

Billion VND

3. Enterprise analysis

3.2 Business performance indicators

118

Profit indicator, 2016-2017

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While the net revenue of the 5 electricity distribution and retail businesses is much higher than that of some companies in the electricity generation

business group, the gross profit is not clear.

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Source: VIRAC

3. Enterprise analysis

3.2 Business performance indicators

119

Self-financing rate, 2016 - 2017

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3. Enterprise analysis

3.2 Business performance indicators

120

Financial cost, 2016 - 2017

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3. Business analysis

3.1 Typical companies of electricity industry

3.2 Business performance indicators

3.3 Financial indicators

3.4 Payment indicators

Content

121

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Billion VND

3. Enterprise analysis

3.3 Financial indicators

Total asset, 2016-2017

Source: VIRAC

122

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Sources: VIRAC

Days

Average days of receivables, 2017

123

3. Enterprise analysis

3.3 Financial indicators

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Source: VIRAC

3. Enterprise analysis

3.3 Financial indicators

Profit indicators, 2017

124

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Source: VIRAC

3. Enterprise analysis

3.3 Financial indicators

Days

125

Days in inventory, 2017

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3. Business analysis

3.1 Typical companies of electricity industry

3.2 Business performance indicators

3.3 Financial indicators

3.4 Payment indicators

Content

126

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3. Enterprise analysis

3.4 Payment indicators

Source: VIRAC

127

Solvency, 2016-2017

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Content

4. Appendix

4.1 Financial statements

4.2 Total capacity of national installed electricity system in 2016

128

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4. Appendix

4.1 Financial statements

Southern Power Corporation - EVNSPC

129

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PURPOS

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND 2016 2017

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short term investments

III. Short term receivables

1. Accounts receivable of customers

IV. Inventories

B. NON CURRENT ASSETS

TTOTAL ASSET

A. LLIABILITIES

I. Short term liabilities

1. Borrowings and Short term liabilities

2. Tax and accounts payable to the State

II. Long term liabilities

1. Borrowings and long term liabilities

B. OWNER’S EQUITY

TOTAL EQUITY

STATEMENTS OF BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Revenue from financial activities

Financial costs

Interest expenses

Cost of sales

Enterprise cost management

Revenue from business activities

Profit before tax

Current income tax

Deferred income tax

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

I. Cash flows from operation

(Profit)/Loss from investment activities

Interest expenses

Net cash flows from operation

II. Cash flows from investment

Cash spent for lending, purchasing debt instruments of other

units

L Net Cash flows from investment

III. Cash flows from finance

Net cash flows from finance

Impact of exchange rate changes in foreign currency

Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year

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4. Appendix

4.1 Financial statements

Northern Power Corporation - EVNNPC

130

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PURPOS

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND 2016 2017

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short term investments

III. Short term receivables

1. Accounts receivable of customers

IV. Inventories

B. NON CURRENT ASSETS

TTOTAL ASSET

A. LLIABILITIES

I. Short term liabilities

1. Borrowings and Short term liabilities

2. Tax and accounts payable to the State

II. Long term liabilities

1. Borrowings and long term liabilities

B. OWNER’S EQUITY

TOTAL EQUITY

STATEMENTS OF BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Revenue from financial activities

Financial costs

Interest expenses

Cost of sales

Enterprise cost management

Revenue from business activities

Profit before tax

Current income tax

Deferred income tax

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

I. Cash flows from operation

(Profit)/Loss from investment activities

Interest expenses

Net cash flows from operation

II. Cash flows from investment

Cash spent for lending, purchasing debt instruments of other

units

L Net Cash flows from investment

III. Cash flows from finance

Net cash flows from finance

Impact of exchange rate changes in foreign currency

Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year

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4. Appendix

4.1 Financial statements

HCM Power Corporation - EVNHCMC

131

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PURPOS

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND 2016 2017

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short term investments

III. Short term receivables

1. Accounts receivable of customers

IV. Inventories

B. NON CURRENT ASSETS

TTOTAL ASSET

A. LLIABILITIES

I. Short term liabilities

1. Borrowings and Short term liabilities

2. Tax and accounts payable to the State

II. Long term liabilities

1. Borrowings and long term liabilities

B. OWNER’S EQUITY

TOTAL EQUITY

STATEMENTS OF BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Revenue from financial activities

Financial costs

Interest expenses

Cost of sales

Enterprise cost management

Revenue from business activities

Profit before tax

Current income tax

Deferred income tax

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

I. Cash flows from operation

(Profit)/Loss from investment activities

Interest expenses

Net cash flows from operation

II. Cash flows from investment

Cash spent for lending, purchasing debt instruments of other

units

L Net Cash flows from investment

III. Cash flows from finance

Net cash flows from finance

Impact of exchange rate changes in foreign currency

Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year

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4. Appendix

4.1 Financial statements

Hanoi Power Corporation - EVNHPC

132

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PURPOS

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND 2016 2017

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short term investments

III. Short term receivables

1. Accounts receivable of customers

IV. Inventories

B. NON CURRENT ASSETS

TTOTAL ASSET

A. LLIABILITIES

I. Short term liabilities

1. Borrowings and Short term liabilities

2. Tax and accounts payable to the State

II. Long term liabilities

1. Borrowings and long term liabilities

B. OWNER’S EQUITY

TOTAL EQUITY

STATEMENTS OF BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Revenue from financial activities

Financial costs

Interest expenses

Cost of sales

Enterprise cost management

Revenue from business activities

Profit before tax

Current income tax

Deferred income tax

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

I. Cash flows from operation

(Profit)/Loss from investment activities

Interest expenses

Net cash flows from operation

II. Cash flows from investment

Cash spent for lending, purchasing debt instruments of other

units

L Net Cash flows from investment

III. Cash flows from finance

Net cash flows from finance

Impact of exchange rate changes in foreign currency

Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year

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4. Appendix

4.1 Financial statements

Central Power Corporation - EVNCPC

133

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PURPOS

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND 2016 2017

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short term investments

III. Short term receivables

1. Accounts receivable of customers

IV. Inventories

B. NON CURRENT ASSETS

TTOTAL ASSET

A. LLIABILITIES

I. Short term liabilities

1. Borrowings and Short term liabilities

2. Tax and accounts payable to the State

II. Long term liabilities

1. Borrowings and long term liabilities

B. OWNER’S EQUITY

TOTAL EQUITY

STATEMENTS OF BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Revenue from financial activities

Financial costs

Interest expenses

Cost of sales

Enterprise cost management

Revenue from business activities

Profit before tax

Current income tax

Deferred income tax

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

I. Cash flows from operation

(Profit)/Loss from investment activities

Interest expenses

Net cash flows from operation

II. Cash flows from investment

Cash spent for lending, purchasing debt instruments of other

units

L Net Cash flows from investment

III. Cash flows from finance

Net cash flows from finance

Impact of exchange rate changes in foreign currency

Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year

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4. Appendix

4.1 Financial statements

Power Generation Corporation 3 – EVNGENCO3

134

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PURPOS

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND 2016 2017

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short term investments

III. Short term receivables

1. Accounts receivable of customers

IV. Inventories

B. NON CURRENT ASSETS

TTOTAL ASSET

A. LLIABILITIES

I. Short term liabilities

1. Borrowings and Short term liabilities

2. Tax and accounts payable to the State

II. Long term liabilities

1. Borrowings and long term liabilities

B. OWNER’S EQUITY

TOTAL EQUITY

STATEMENTS OF BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Revenue from financial activities

Financial costs

Interest expenses

Cost of sales

Enterprise cost management

Revenue from business activities

Profit before tax

Current income tax

Deferred income tax

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

I. Cash flows from operation

(Profit)/Loss from investment activities

Interest expenses

Net cash flows from operation

II. Cash flows from investment

Cash spent for lending, purchasing debt instruments of other

units

L Net Cash flows from investment

III. Cash flows from finance

Net cash flows from finance

Impact of exchange rate changes in foreign currency

Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year

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4. Appendix

4.1 Financial statements

Power Generation Corporation 1 – EVNGENCO1

135

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PURPOS

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND 2016 2017

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short term investments

III. Short term receivables

1. Accounts receivable of customers

IV. Inventories

B. NON CURRENT ASSETS

TTOTAL ASSET

A. LLIABILITIES

I. Short term liabilities

1. Borrowings and Short term liabilities

2. Tax and accounts payable to the State

II. Long term liabilities

1. Borrowings and long term liabilities

B. OWNER’S EQUITY

TOTAL EQUITY

STATEMENTS OF BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Revenue from financial activities

Financial costs

Interest expenses

Cost of sales

Enterprise cost management

Revenue from business activities

Profit before tax

Current income tax

Deferred income tax

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

I. Cash flows from operation

(Profit)/Loss from investment activities

Interest expenses

Net cash flows from operation

II. Cash flows from investment

Cash spent for lending, purchasing debt instruments of other

units

L Net Cash flows from investment

III. Cash flows from finance

Net cash flows from finance

Impact of exchange rate changes in foreign currency

Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year

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4. Appendix

4.1 Financial statements

Hai Phong Thermal Power Joint Stock Company

136

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PURPOS

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND 2016 2017

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short term investments

III. Short term receivables

1. Accounts receivable of customers

IV. Inventories

B. NON CURRENT ASSETS

TTOTAL ASSET

A. LLIABILITIES

I. Short term liabilities

1. Borrowings and Short term liabilities

2. Tax and accounts payable to the State

II. Long term liabilities

1. Borrowings and long term liabilities

B. OWNER’S EQUITY

TOTAL EQUITY

STATEMENTS OF BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Revenue from financial activities

Financial costs

Interest expenses

Cost of sales

Enterprise cost management

Revenue from business activities

Profit before tax

Current income tax

Deferred income tax

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

I. Cash flows from operation

(Profit)/Loss from investment activities

Interest expenses

Net cash flows from operation

II. Cash flows from investment

Cash spent for lending, purchasing debt instruments of other

units

L Net Cash flows from investment

III. Cash flows from finance

Net cash flows from finance

Impact of exchange rate changes in foreign currency

Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year

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4. Appendix

4.1 Financial statements

Quang Ninh Thermal Power Joint Stock Company

137

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PURPOS

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND 2016 2017

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short term investments

III. Short term receivables

1. Accounts receivable of customers

IV. Inventories

B. NON CURRENT ASSETS

TTOTAL ASSET

A. LLIABILITIES

I. Short term liabilities

1. Borrowings and Short term liabilities

2. Tax and accounts payable to the State

II. Long term liabilities

1. Borrowings and long term liabilities

B. OWNER’S EQUITY

TOTAL EQUITY

STATEMENTS OF BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Revenue from financial activities

Financial costs

Interest expenses

Cost of sales

Enterprise cost management

Revenue from business activities

Profit before tax

Current income tax

Deferred income tax

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

I. Cash flows from operation

(Profit)/Loss from investment activities

Interest expenses

Net cash flows from operation

II. Cash flows from investment

Cash spent for lending, purchasing debt instruments of other

units

L Net Cash flows from investment

III. Cash flows from finance

Net cash flows from finance

Impact of exchange rate changes in foreign currency

Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year

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4. Appendix

4.1 Financial statements

Pha Lai Thermal Power Joint Stock Company

138

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PURPOS

BALANCE SHEET

Unit: VND 2016 2017

A. CURRENT ASSETS

I. Cash and cash equivalents

II. Short term investments

III. Short term receivables

1. Accounts receivable of customers

IV. Inventories

B. NON CURRENT ASSETS

TTOTAL ASSET

A. LLIABILITIES

I. Short term liabilities

1. Borrowings and Short term liabilities

2. Tax and accounts payable to the State

II. Long term liabilities

1. Borrowings and long term liabilities

B. OWNER’S EQUITY

TOTAL EQUITY

STATEMENTS OF BUSINESS RESULTS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

Net revenue

Cost of goods sold

Gross profit

Revenue from financial activities

Financial costs

Interest expenses

Cost of sales

Enterprise cost management

Revenue from business activities

Profit before tax

Current income tax

Deferred income tax

Profit after tax

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Unit: VND 2016 2017

I. Cash flows from operation

(Profit)/Loss from investment activities

Interest expenses

Net cash flows from operation

II. Cash flows from investment

Cash spent for lending, purchasing debt instruments of other

units

L Net Cash flows from investment

III. Cash flows from finance

Net cash flows from finance

Impact of exchange rate changes in foreign currency

Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the year

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REPORT DISCLAIMER

139

Report Disclaimer:

This document has been prepared in good faith on the basis of information available at the date of publication without any independent verification. VIRAC has

produced this report for private circulation to professional clients only. All information and statistical data herein have been obtained from sources we believe to

be reliable and made to ensure the accuracy of the contents of the pages of the report at the time of preparation. Such information has not been independently

verified and VIRAC makes no representation or warranty, whether express or implied, of any kind with respect to the document and its contents, information and

materials. The content found in this report is proprietary to VIRAC and is provided solely for your personal and non-commercial use. You agree that you will not

use this report for any purpose that is unlawful and that you will not reproduce the report or redistribute it outside your organisation, or place it on a website for

public access without the express written permission of VIRAC.

SHOULD YOU NEED ANY ASSISTANCE, PLEASE CONTACT US:

VIETNAM INDUSTRY RESEARCH AND CONSULTANT (VIRAC JSC.,)

6 th Floor, Anh Minh Building, 36 Hoang Cau, O Cho Dua, Dong Da, Hanoi, Vietnam

Website: http://virac.com.vn/

Email: [email protected] | Tel: +84 463289520

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Thank you !