vision 2016 report stats brief final

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2/141 VISION 2016 AND MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS INDICATORS REPORT,2013 Statistics Botswana

VISION 2016 AND MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS INDICATORS REPORT, 2013

1.0 INTRODUCTION

The brief is to apprise readers on the progress made on monitoring and evaluation of

Vision 2016 and Millennium Development Goals. Statistics Botswana plays this role aspart of its overall mandate of producing and providing the Government, the privatesector, parastatals, civil society, international organizations, and the general public withofcial statistical information for evidence based decision-making, policy formulation,program/project monitoring and evaluation, and development planning purposes.

The report presents yearly time series statistics, which are continuously updated as

and when data become available. The data are mainly from the surveys undertakenby Statistics Botswana and from administrative records of different stakeholders (LineMinistries, Non-Governmental Organizations etc.).

The Vision 2016 and the Millennium Development Goals statistics are presented inTables 1 and 2, respectively.

Statistics Botswana hopes that users will nd this report useful and improvements will bemade continuously based on the feedback from readers.

October 2013



2.0 VISION 2016

Vision 2016 is a product of extensive consultations with a wide cross-section of individualsand institutions in Botswana conducted by the Presidential Task Group from January 1996.It is meant to guide the nation achieve broad results over the next 3 years and thereafter.As a guideline, Vision 2016 is driven by seven strategic pillars which are as follows;

An Educated, Informed Nation

A Prosperous, Productive and Innovative Nation A Compassionate, Just and Caring Nation A Safe and Secure Nation An Open, Democratic and Accountable Nation

A Moral and Tolerant Nation A United and Proud Nation

Each pillar comprises of different Key Result Areas (KRAs). Furthermore, there are KeyPerformance Indicators (KPIs) under each KRA. These indicators are variables used to

measure progress towards attainment of each pillar. Presented in this section are fewanalyses to show the trend of some indicators. More detailed statistics are presented inTable 1.

2.1 Percent of the Unemployed amongst Secondary School Graduates

The national unemployment rate went down from 19.9 percent in 2001 to 17.9 percent in2009/10. However, the decrease in national unemployment rate was accompanied byan increase in the percentage of the unemployed amongst secondary school graduates,from 19.9 percent in 2001 to 24.3 percent in 2010. The percentage was highest in 2006

at 35.0 percent before it fell to 24.3 percent in 2010. The increases in the percentageof unemployed secondary school graduates was accompanied by high levels ofunemployment rates amongst persons aged 15 19 years, which stood at 48.9, 26.7 and41.4 percent in 2001, 2006 and 2010, respectively. The increase in the percentage of theunemployed amongst secondary school graduates over the period could be partly due

to increases in the net enrolment rates for senior secondary school, which went up from20.0 to 26.5 percent between 2001 and 2008.

2.2 Maternal Mortality Ratio

Maternal mortality ratio (number of maternal death per 100,000 live births) as shown in

Figure 2 decreased from 190 in 2001 to 139.8 in 2006. The ratio was highest in 2008 at 195.7,before going down in subsequent years to reach 163.0 in 2010. Maternal mortality ratioincreased to 188.9 in 2011. The trend in maternal mortality ratio shows uctuations biasedupwards. The lowest was recorded in 2006.

2.3 Percentage Share of Mining and Government GDP to total GDP

From the year 2001 to 2004, the share of mining and Government GDP steadily decreasedfrom 47.7 to 40.3 percent in 2004. There was a general increase in the years 2005 to 2007,before sustained general decrease between 2008 and 2010, with the lowest share of 30.9

percent observed at the height of global economic recession in 2009.


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2.4 Crime Rate per 10,000 Population

For the period 2001 to 2013, crime rate was lowest in 2001 at 1, 166 per 10, 000 population.There has been a general increase in the crime rate since 2001, with a high of 1, 849 per10, 000 population recorded in 2008, after which there was a consistent decline in thecrime rate, with 1, 705 crimes per 10, 000 population recorded in 2012. Figure 4 showscrime rate between 2001 through 2012.

3.0 MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS

Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) are a set of eight (8) goals adopted by 189 UNmember states (including Botswana) at the September 2000 Millennium Summit of theUnited Nations. These goals spell out what member states intend to do so as to eradicatemany dimensions of poverty and achieve sustainable human development. Associatedwith these goals are a set of 18 targets and more than 48 indicators. All the 18 targetsare to be met by 2015. The 48 plus indicators were identied so as to help in monitoringprogress towards these goals, which are as follows;

Goal 1:Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger Goal 2: Achieve universal primary education

Goal 3: Promote gender equality and empowerment Goal 4: Reduce child mortality Goal 5: Improve maternal health Goal 6: Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases Goal 7: Ensure environmental sustainability Goal 8: Develop a global partnership for development

Presented in this section are trends of some of the indicators which are used to track

MDGs progress. More detailed statistics are presented in Table 2.

3.1 Ratio of Girls to Boys in Primary School

The ratio of girls to boys in primary school, which was 0.99 in 2001 went down to 0.97in 2005. The ratio was almost constant from 2006 to 2011, ranging from 0.95 to 0.96. Ingeneral, the ratio of girls to boys has not shown any signicant change over the years.

3.2 HIV Prevalence among 20-24 year old Pregnant Women

The national HIV prevalence rate was estimated at 17.1 in 2004, and slightly increased to17.8 in 2008. In addition, the National AIDS Coordinating Agency (NACA) conducts annual

sentinel surveillance to monitor prevalence of HIV among pregnant women aged 15 49.These survey show that between 2004 and 2011, HIV prevalence among the populationsaged 15 19 years and 20 24 year old pregnant women recorded decreases. For the15-19 years age group, HIV prevalence went down from 17.8 to 10.0, while prevalencerate for the 20-24 year old pregnant women was estimated to have gone down from 30.6in 2004 to 19.0 in 2011. Figure 6 shows HIV prevalence amongst 20-24 year old pregnantwomen from 2001 to 2011.

3 VISION 2016 AND MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS INDICATORS REPORT,2013 Statistics Botswana



3.3 Employment to Population Ratio

The employment to population ratio is the ratio of the employed population to the total

population. A higher ratio shows that the economy is performing better as it shows that theeconomy is absorbing more people into employment. Figure 7 and table 2 show that theratio had been increasing since 2005 before a decline following the global economic crisisin 2010. The trend for employment to population ratio is presented in Figure 7 and Table 2.The ratio was 45.5 percent in 2006 and increased to 56.8 percent in 2008. In 2010, the ratiowent down to 49.3 percent.



TABLE1:VISION2016INDICATORS,20012012

PILLAR

KEYRESULTAREA

INDICATOR

S

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

AnEducated,

InformedNation

ComputerandIT

LiterateSociety

%Homesw

ithcomputers

3.9

4.5

8.0

10.3

Systemo

fQuality

Education

%Unemplo

yedamongstsecondaryschool

graduates

%Unemplo

yedamongstuniversitygraduates

19.9

28.6

35.0

24.3

3.2

17.5

8.6

5.9

%Unemplo

yedamongstvocationalgraduates

13.4

18.4

17.1

11.3

Universaland

continuingEducation

NetEnrolmentratesforprimaryschool

87.2

89.7

90

89.5

88.4

89.2

86.9

85.6

85.8

89.4

89.7

93.1

(6-12years)

NetEnrolmentratesforjuniorsecondary

44.0

45

46.8

47.7

48.7

49.7

50.3

52.3

school(13-15years)

NetEnrolmentratesforseniorsecondary

16.2

17.7

20.0

19.7

20.4

24.2

23.8

26.5

school(16-17years)

AdultLitera

cyrate

81.0

Prosperous,

Productiveand

Innovative

Nation

FullEmployment

by2016

Unemploym

entrate

19.6

23.8

24.6

17.5

26.2

17.9

RapidEconomic

Growthand

Diversication

%Shareofmining+govtGDPtototalGDP

47.4

44.4

41.4

40.3

45.9

45.4

42.4

40.5

30.9

38.8

38.5

34.7

(constant2

006),Prices

Capitalformationrate

25.7

25.3

25.5

27.3

26.5

26.3

26.9

26.8

31.8

32

33.8

37.1

Percapita

GDP(constant2006prices),Pula

27,230

28,350

29,114

29,350

30,121

31,919

34,050

34,726

31,413

34,862

RateofGD

Pgrowthinrealterms

-0.1

6.1

4.6

2.7

4.6

8

8.7

3.9

-7.8

8.6

6.1

3.7

(constant2

006prices)%

ShareofAg

riculturetototalworkforce

12.3

21.2

22.6

29.9

12.5

25.4

Emptycells=data

notavailable



TABLE1:VISIO

N2016INDICATORS,20012012(Continues)

PILLAR

KEYRESULTAREA

INDICATO

RS

2

001

2002

2003

2004

20

05

2006

2007

2008

20

09

2010

2011

2012

Compassionate,

JustandCaring

Nation

AdequateSupplyof

SafeWater

Proportio

nofpopulationwhousesafe

96.0

95.8

90.9

95.8

96.2

96.0

drinkingwatersource

Eradicationof

AbsolutePovertyby

2016

Povertyrate(PopulationlivingbelowPDL)

30.6

19.3

GoodQualityHealth

Servicesby2016

Infantmo

rtalityrate(per1,000)

56.0

48.0

57.0

57.0

57

.0

Lifeexpe

ctancy(years)

55.6

54.4

Maternalmortalityrate(100,000)

190

157.9

139.8

183.5

195.7

189

.6

163.0

188.9

MoreEquitable

distributionofIncome

by2016

GinicoefcientorLorenzcurveestimate

0.573

0.645

StopSpreadofHIVby

2016

HIV/AIDS

National

prevalen

cerate

17.1

17.6

Emptycells=datanotavailable



TABLE1:VISION2016INDICATORS,2001201

2(Continues)

PILLAR

KEYRESULTAREA

INDICATORS

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Safeand

Secure

Nation

Safeand

Secure

Numberofroadacc

identsper10,000

101.9

1

07.2

107.7

106

101.4

97.9

110.9

114.9

111.2

104.1

87.4

93.3

Society

Population

Numberofroadfata

litiesper100,000

31.3

31.0

32.7

31.0

26.1

24.7

28.3

25.6

26.4

21.8

26.2

21.5

Population

Totalcrime(numbers)

195,949

222

,966

218,430

244,904

263,044

267,962

271,277

328,468

327,076

329,161

322,193

320,269

Totalcrimerate/10,000population

1,166

1

,337

1,291

1,431

1,523

1,540

1,544

1,849

1,819

1,806

1,742

1,705

Totalnumberofrape

andattemptedrape

94.2

88.0

89.0

89.0

90.0

88.2

90.9

105.6

97.5

102.3

97.3

110.4

casesper100,000po

pulation

%Increaseperannuminnumberofrape

-0.08

0.0

2.24

0.73

2.11

0.09

0.2

-0.06

0.06

0.06

-0.03

Open,

Democratic

and

Accountable

Nation

O

penand

Transparent

ParticipationrateinNationalelections

46.8

55.5

G

overnance

Participationratein

referendum

4.9




TABLE2:MILL

ENNIUMDEVELOPMENTGOALS

INDICATORS,2001-2012

GOAL

TARGET

INDICATOR

2001

2002

2003

2004

20

05

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Goal1:Eradicate

ExtremePoverty

andHunger

Target1:Half,between

1990and2015the

proportionofpeople

livingonlessthan

oneDollaraday

Proportionofpopulationbelow$1perday

(PPP-va

lues)

23.4

6.4

Target1.1:Achieve

fullandproductive

employmentanddecent

workforall,including

womenandyoung

people

Employmenttopopulationratio

37.8

45.5

46

56.8

48.6

Target2:Half,between

1990and2015the

proportionofpeople

whosufferfrom

hunger

Prevale

nceofunderweightchildren

(under-veyearsofage)

9.3

6.5

6.0

6.8

5.2

4.8

4.6

4.3

3.5

3.2

4.6

Goal2:Achieve

Universal

Primary

Education

Target3:Ensurethat

by2015children

everywhere,boysand

girlsalike,willbeableto

completeafull

courseofprimary

schooling

Proportionofpupilsstartinggrade1who

reachg

rade5

84

86.3

86.3

86

84

86.1

86.4

87.9

87.6

88.4

Netenrolmentratesforprimaryschool

(6-12years)

87.2

89.7

90

89.5

88.4

89.2

86.9

85.6

85.8

89.4

89.7

93.1

Literacy

rateof15-24yearolds

93.7

95.8



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TABLE2:MILLE

NNIUMDEVELOPMENTGOALSINDICATORS,2001-2012(Continues)

GOAL

TARGET

INDIC

ATOR

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Goal5:Improve

MaternalHealth

Target6:Reduceby

three-quarters,

between1990and

2015,thematernal

mortalityrate

Proportionofbirthsattendedbyskilled

92

96.5

96.1

97.3

94

99.3

99.5

98.3

99.5

99.1

healt

hpersonnel

Mate

rnalmortalityrate(per100,000)

190

15

7.9

139.8

183.5

195.7

189.6

163

188.9

Goal6:Combat

HIV/AIDS,

Malariaand

otherdiseases

Target7:Havehalted

by2015,andbegunto

reverse,thespreadof

HIV/AIDS

HIVP

revalenceamong15-19yearold

24.7

21,0

22.8

17.8

1

8.1

17.5

17.2

13.2

10.0

pregnantwomen

HIVP

revalenceamong20-24yearold

38.7

37.4

38.6

30.6

3

1.2

29.4

27.9

24.1

19.0

pregnantwomen

Cont

raceptiveprevalencerate

4

8.0

52.0

76.1

Target8:Havehalted

by2015,andbegunto

reverse,theincidence

ofmalariaandother

majordiseases

Preva

lencerateassociated

with

0.62

0.58

0.62

0.6

0.6

0.52

0.47

0.54

tuberculosis

ProportionofTBcasesdetectedand

cured

28.0

33.0

35.0

36.0

3

6.4

42.7

50.0

52.0

59.7

49.6

unde

rDOTS(DirectlyObserved

Treatment

Short

Course)

Emptycells=datanot

available


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TABLE2:MILLENNIUMDEVELOPMENTGOALS

INDICATORS,2001-2012(Contin

ues)

GOAL

TARGET

INDICATOR

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Goal7:Ensure

Environmental

Sustainability

Target9:Integratethe

principlesof

sustainable

developmentinto

countrypoliciesand

programmesand

reversethelossof

environmental

resources

GDPperunitofenergyuse(asproxy

0.28

0.3

0.32

0.56

0.44

forenergyefciency)

CarbonDioxide

Emissions,MillionPula

2.47

2.57

2.46

3.26

perTerajoule(percapita,per1000

grams)

Landareaprotectedto

19.1

19.1

19.1

19.1

19.1

19.1

19.1

maintainbiological

diversication

Target9.1:Reduce

biodiversityloss,

achieving,by2010,a

signicantreduction

intherateofloss

Proportionofspeciesthreatenedwith

extinction

8.1

4.1

Waterusetototalwaterresources

1.81

1.84

1.87

1.4

1.12

Target10:Halve,by

2015,proportionof

peoplewithout

sustainableaccessto

safedrinkingwater

Proportionofpopulationwith

sustainable

96.0

95.8

95.8

90.9

96.1

96.2

96.0

accesstoanimprovedwatersource

Goal8:Develop

a

Global

Partnershipfor

Development

Target16:Incooperation

withdeveloping

countries,develop&

implementstrategiesfor

decent&productive

workforall

Unemploymentrateof15-24year

olds

40.9

51.1

55.7

32.6

49.5

36.0

Emptycells=datano

tavailable

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