vista panoramica shale plays

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JOSÉ CARLOS CÁRDENAS MONTES PANORAMIC VIEW OF UNCONVENTIONAL RESERVOIRS (SHALE PLAYS). COLOMBIA AND THE WORLD. 2014

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Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

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Page 1: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

JOSÉ CARLOS CÁRDENAS MONTES

PANORAMIC VIEW OF

UNCONVENTIONAL RESERVOIRS

(SHALE PLAYS).

COLOMBIA AND THE WORLD.

2014

Page 2: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

¿WHAT ARE UNCONVENTIONAL RESERVOIRS?

Page 3: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

PROPOSAL EVIDENT

Where is the most likely place in any

sedimentary basin to find hydrocarbons?

The source rock

Where is the most difficult horizons to

produce hydrocarbons

The source rock

Page 4: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

PERSPECTIVE GAS RESERVOIR

Page 5: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

PORE SYSTEM ORGANIC SHALE

Page 6: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

WGOS ,,

Geochemistry

Petrophysical

Geomechanics

CHARACTERIZATION OF SHALE RESERVOIRS

Page 7: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

KEY KNOWLEDGE FOR ORGANIC RICH RESERVOIR

Page 8: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

KEY KNOWLEDGE FOR ORGANIC RICH RESERVOIR

Geologic

Hazards Shale

Sensitivity

Water

Disposal

Water

Availability

Manageable (Development)

Frac

Barriers

Thickness

Depth

Stresses

Pressure

Important (Prospect)

Stimulation

Potential Organic

Richness

Maturation Complexity

Critical (Play)

Natural

Fracs

Kerogen

Type

Diagenesis

Matrix

Permeability

Mineralogy

Significant (sweet Spots)

Page 9: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

Fuente: Instituto Colombiano del petróleo.

ELEMENTS NEEDED TO MAKE A PLAY OF GAS PRODUCTION AND TRADE

SHALE PRODUCTIVE

Page 10: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

¿WHAT IS DIFFERENT? - DRAINAGE

Page 11: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

RESERVOIR PERMEABILITY IS STILL IMPORTANT.

Page 12: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

• Low connectivity between pore space and well-bore:

Multi-stage hydraulic fracturing

• Need long, narrow fractures; proppant settling

• Water needed for fracturing fluid.

• Water disposal.

• Public perception.

12

Key Issues with Shale Gas Production

Page 13: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

KEY DEVELOPMENT AREAS

Page 14: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

Operating efficiency

Geology

Evaluation

Drilling Completion

Production

Page 15: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

15

The US Shales are driving the natural gas supply increase

revolution

Page 16: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

16

The shale revolution is also impacting liquids production

in the US

Page 17: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

17

THERE ARE NUMEROUS HOT PLAYS IN NORTH

AMERICA, WITH DIFFERENT DYNAMICS

Page 18: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

18

MASSIVE RESOURCE POTENTIAL IS IN PLACE, WITH

NEW PLAYS MATERIALIZING AND COSTS DECLINING

Page 19: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

19

MASSIVE RESOURCE POTENTIAL IS IN PLACE, WITH

NEW PLAYS MATERIALIZING AND COSTS DECLINING

Page 20: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

20

MASSIVE RESOURCE POTENTIAL IS IN PLACE, WITH

NEW PLAYS MATERIALIZING AND COSTS DECLINING

Page 21: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

21

KEY TRENDS IN NORTH AMERICA

Page 22: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

22

SHALE RECOVERABLE VOLUME ESTIMATES CONTINUE

TO INCREASE

Page 23: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

23

The unit cost has declined significantly in the last 3 year

Page 24: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

24

RIG PERFORMANCE CONTINUES TO IMPROVE,

LOWERING THE NEED FOR GAS RIGS

Page 25: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

25

HOW MUCH ADDITIONAL ROOM FOR PAD DRILLING

AND IMPROVEMENT IN DRILLING TIMES?

Page 26: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

26

Associated gas is increasing as new oil developments

show higher gas rates

Page 27: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

27

Bakken—a significant gas resource play with all that oil

Page 28: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

28

GLOBAL TRENDS AND CHALLENGES

Page 29: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

29

The interest for Unconventionals expanded internationally,

with numerous global unconventional exploration ―hot

spots

Page 30: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

30

Globally, countries with most activity combine low relative

well costs and high potential volumes

Page 31: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

31

By 2030, ~4.5% to ~8% of the global oil supply is expected

to be sourced from Shale Oil

Page 32: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

32

However, the road to success in Unconventionals is long,

expensive, difficult, and risky …

Page 33: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

33

US Difficult, and risky …

Page 34: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

34

U.S.A Remaning Shale gas Reserves and Undeveloped

Resources

Page 35: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

35

Shale gas/Oil reservoir properties and resources of

Argentina

Shale Gas Shale Oil

Page 36: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

36

Shale gas/oil reservoir properties and resources of

Brazil

Shale Gas

Shale Oil

Page 37: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

37

Shale gas/Oil reservoir properties and resources of

Colombia

Shale Gas Shale Oil

Page 38: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

38

Shale gas/oil reservoir properties and resources of

Poland - Lithuania

Shale Oil - Poland

Shale Gas/Oil Lithuania

Page 39: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

39

Shale gas/oil reservoir properties and resources of

Rusia.

Shale Gas

Shale Oil

Page 40: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

40

Shale gas/oil reservoir properties and resources of

Eastern Europe.

Shale Gas

Shale Oil

Page 41: Vista Panoramica Shale Plays

Para uso restringido en Ecopetrol S.A. Todos los derechos reservados. Ninguna parte de esta presentación puede ser reproducida o utilizada en ninguna forma o por ningún medio sin permiso explícito de Ecopetrol S.A.