vtb capital "russia calling!" october, 2010
DESCRIPTION
6M2010 Results, Y2010 ForecastTRANSCRIPT
IDGC OF CENTRE:
RESULTS OF 1 HALF 2010,
FORECAST FOR 2010
October 5, 2010
Disclaimer
The information in this presentation was received from the sources which, in opinion of IDGC of Centre (“the Company”),
are reliable. Nevertheless, we do not guarantee accuracy of the given information which may be short or incomplete. All
opinions and estimations containing in the present material reflect our opinion at the date of publication and are subject
to change without notice.
This presentation does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer
to purchase or subscribe for, any shares or other securities representing shares in the Company, nor shall it or any part
of it nor the fact of its presentation or distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or
investment decision.
The information in this presentation includes forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include all
matters that are not historical facts, statements regarding the Company’s intentions, beliefs or current expectations
concerning, among other things, the Company’s results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth,
strategies, and the industry in which the Company operates. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks
and uncertainties, including, without limitation, the risks and uncertainties to be set forth in the prospectus, because they
relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. The Company cautions you that
forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and that its actual results of operations, financial
condition and liquidity and the development of the industry in which the Company operates may differ materially from
those made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. In addition, even if the
Company’s results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and the development of the industry in which the
Company operates are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, those results or
developments may not be indicative of results or developments in future periods
The Company does not bear the responsibility for consequences of use of opinions containing in the present report or
applications, or for incompleteness of the information. No person is under any obligation to update or keep current the
information contained herein.
By attending the presentation you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations.
www.mrsk-1.ru 2
Company‟s storyline
2010
January „09 the first 3 branches transferred to RAB: Belgorodenergo, Lipetskenergo, TverenergoApril „09 Listing at MICEX. The Company‘s shares were included into ―В‖ quotation list of exchangeNovember „09 the Company obtained the credit rating S&P BB-/B/ruAA- forecast ―Stable‖
April „07The final structure of the Company was approved, the Company now includes 11 regional grid companies in Central Russia (decision of the Board of Directors of RAO UES of Russia)
2004-2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
December „04―Interregional Distribution Grid Company of Centre‖, Open Joint-Stock Company, was incorporated
March „08 Connection DGCs to IDGC of CentreMay „08 Company‘s shares were launched for trading at MICEX (MRKC) and RTSJuly „08 JSC ―IDGC Holding‖ became the majority shareholder of the CompanyOctober „08 Shares of IDGC of Centre were included in calculation base of MICEX PWR
„06 Enhancement of DGC management system. Transferring of powers of the DGC sole executive body to the Company
2010
January „10 Another 2 branches transferred to RAB: Kurskenergo, YarenergoJuly „10 Rating Agency S&P approved the Company‘s credit rating ―BB-‖, forecast ―Stable‖July „10 Applications of REC are submitted to FST of Russia on the remaining 6 branchesSeptember‟10 FST of Russia carried out the approving meeting (correcting of tariff applications)
www.mrsk-1.ru 3
Key indicators
Capitalization (as of 31.08.2010)
RUR 51.97 blnUSD 1.71 bln
Number of shareholders(as of 12.05.2009)
15,157
Revenue(RAS 2009) RUR 49.1 bln(RAS 1H 2010) RUR 29.4 bln
Net profit(RAS 2009) RUR 1.3 bln(RAS 1H 2010) RUR 2.5 bln
Net assets(RAS as of 30.06.2010)
RUR 43.8 bln
Output(2009 )(as of 30.06.2010
53.1 bln kWh27.77 bln kWh
Length of power lines (overhead 0.4 — 110 kV power lines as of 30.06.2010)
372.4 thousand km
Capacity of substations(as of 30.06.2010)
35 — 110 kV 31.0 GVA
6 — 10/0.4 kV 14.9 GVA
Number of personnel(as of 30.06.2010)
28,088
www.mrsk-1.ru 4
JSC “IDGC Holding”*
JSC “IDGC of Center”
Minority shareholders
50.23% 49.77%**
JSC “YarESK”
JSC “Energetik”
51%
Belgorodenergo
Брянскэнерго
Воронежэнерго
Kostromaenergo
Kurskenergo
Lipetskenergo
Orelenergo
Smolenskenergo
Tambovenergo
Tverenergo
Yarenergo
Branches Subsidiaries
Group of Companies
- November 11, 2009Subsidiary company JSC "Energetik" acquired a controlling stake in JSC ―YarESK‖- the target company for the consolidation of power grid assets in the Yaroslavl region
100%
** - taking into account the State‘s share 0.46%
Structure of Group of Companies IDGC of Center . Key shareholders
* - the share of the State in JSC “IDGC Holding” – 52.69%
JSC “Yargorelektroset”
51%+49%
- August 3, 2010
JSC “IDGC of Center” signed a contract for the acquisition of a controlling stake in JSC “Yargorelektroset” - one of the largest TSO in CFD. As a result of the transaction under the control of JSC “IDGC of Center” will be more than 90% of the assets of the power grid complex of the Yaroslavl region (the deal is on the completion stage)
Operational business units11 branches
www.mrsk-1.ru 5
Share capital structure
* - as of 12.05.2010
IDGC of Center has a diversified share capital structure. Free float according to the Company‟s management estimations is about 30%.
www.mrsk-1.ru 6
Management bodies structure
General Meeting of Shareholders
Board of Directors
Committee for Technological Connection (5)
Committee for Strategy and Development (1)
Internal Audit Commission
Auditor
Internal Control and Audit Department
Reliability Committee(2)
Committee for Personnel and Remuneration (3)
Committee for Audit(4)
Chairman of the MB–Director General
Management Board
Executive bodies:
High authority:
Strategic management body:
Committees (5):
Internal control bodies over business activity
External bodies responsible for monitoring financial and economic activities:
Control bodies over the Company’s business activity
Bodies providing recommendations for the Board of Directors over the Company’s strategic development
formed in 2009
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Target subsystems of the management:
• Growth and changes• Finance• Consumers• Main business processes• Management system• Personnel
Strategic vision of the management
Challenges of the top level
Goals of the Company
Growth Finance Consumers
Industry leadership
Management PersonnelProcesses
Ensure long- term growth of
shareholder capital value
Enhance the efficiency of
business
Ensure effective sales of
services
Realize efficient and safe functioning and
innovative development of
electricity network complex
Ensure development and
efficient functioning of management
system
Enhance efficiency of
human resources
www.mrsk-1.ru 8
Credit rating
The level confirms the Company‟s ability to extend credit
History of credit rating
Confirmed July „10
Assigned November ‗09
www.mrsk-1.ru 9
Scale of international rating(in foreign currency)
IDGC of
Centre
Mosenergo
MUEC
Outlook (C-Stable)(Н-Negative)
In 2009 Standard&Poor‟s assigned credit rating to the
Company «ВВ-/В/ruAA-» forecast «Stable»,
In July 2010 the rating was confirmed on the same level
National rating of CG
History of RCG of IDGC of Center
Confirmed July‟ 09
Confirmed February‗09
Assigned September ‗08
“7” Developed practice of
corporate governance. Leading position
among IDGCs
www.mrsk-1.ru 10
Rating NRCG 7 indicates low risks of corporate
governance, compliance with the RF legislation
and the Code of Corporate Behavior
Developed practice of corporate governance
Stock market
www.mrsk-1.ru 11
Dynamics of changes in IDGC of Centre share price, MicexPWR
and Network Index in 2010Start of trading:May 21, 2008
Quotation list:«B» MICEX
IDGC of Centre shares are included in MICEX PWR index calculation base
Ticker symbols
MICEX MRKC
RTS classic MRKC
RTS stock MRKCG
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
31
.12
.09
22
.01
.10
05
.02
.10
19
.02
.10
09
.03
.10
23
.03
.10
06
.04
.10
20
.04
.10
04
.05
.10
18
.05
.10
02
.06
.10
16
.06
.10
30
.06
.10
14
.07
.10
28
.07
.10
11
.08
.10
25
.08
.10
08
.09
.10
22
.09
.10
05
.10
.10
МРСК ЦентраMicexPWRИндекс Сети
c 31.12.09IDGC of Center
MICEX-PWR
Index “Network”
From 31.12.2009
Market multiples on IDGCs and foreign companies-analogues *
Capitalization of distribution grid companies as of 31.12.10 and of 30.09.10, RUR bln (MICEX)
* Calculations of the Company, data of investment banks covering the activities of IDGCs
** Calculations of the Company, data of investment banks covering the activities of IDGCs (foreign analogues: Eletropaulo, Compania General de Electricidad, Aksu Enerji ve Ticaret, etc.)
**
www.mrsk-1.ru 12
Key indicators of stock market (1)
IDG
C H
old
ing
MO
ES
K
IDG
C o
f C
entr
e
Lenenerg
o
IDG
C o
f C
entr
e a
nd V
olg
a
IDG
C o
f S
iberia
IDG
C o
f U
rals
IDG
C o
f N
ort
h-W
est
IDG
C o
f V
olg
a
IDG
C o
f S
outh
IDG
C o
f N
ort
h C
aucasus
140
53
3421 23 22 26 23 22
9 4
197
69
52
28 27 26 25 21 208 5
0,00
50,00
100,00
150,00
200,00
250,00
Капитализация на 31.12.09, млрд. руб. Капитализация на 30.09.10, млрд. руб.1,0
5,6
13,5
0,8
5,7
22,5
2,2
11,210,2
0,00
5,00
10,00
15,00
20,00
25,00
EV/S 2010П EV/EBITDA 2010П P/E 2010П
МРСК Центра
Среднее по российским аналогам
Среднее по развивающимся странам
IDGC of Center
Average on Russian companies
Average on developing countries
Capitalization as of 31.12.09, RUR bln Capitalization as of 30.09.10, RUR bln
Average bid-ask spread of MRKC at MICEX (%) , 2009-2010
Day-average number of contracts at MICEX
Stock turnover at MICEX, Jan- Aug 2010, RUR mln
28,60%
3,48%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
НДЦ (% от УК)
ДКК (% от УК)
Proportion of shares in the nominal holding by depository exchanges 2009-2010gg:
www.mrsk-1.ru 13
Key indicators of stock market (2)
4,86%
0,41%
0,00%
1,00%
2,00%
3,00%
4,00%
5,00%
6,00%
янв.0
9
фев.0
9
мар.0
9
апр.0
9
май.0
9
ию
н.0
9
ию
л.0
9
авг.
09
сен.0
9
окт
.09
ноя.0
9
дек.
09
янв.1
0
фев.1
0
мар.1
0
апр.1
0
май.1
0
ию
н.1
0
ию
л.1
0
авг.
10
сен.1
0 20
105
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
янв.0
9ф
ев.0
9м
ар.0
9апр.0
9м
ай.0
9ию
н.0
9ию
л.0
9авг.
09
сен.0
9окт
.09
ноя.0
9д
ек.
09
янв.1
0ф
ев.1
0м
ар.1
0апр.1
0м
ай.1
0ию
н.1
0ию
л.1
0авг.
10
сен.1
0
2 685
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
NDC (%SC)
DCC (%SC)
www.mrsk-1.ru 14
IDGC of Centre
• RAS for 1H 2010, forecast for 2010
• Transit to RAB-based regulation
www.mrsk-1.ru 15
Revenue by activities: results, forecast
(RAS)
www.mrsk-1.ru 16
RUR bln 30.06.2009 30.06.2010 Change
Revenue 24.92 29.41 18.0%
Cost 21.33 25.04 17.4%
Gross profit 3.58 4.37 22.0%
Gross profit margin 14.4% 14.9% 0.5 p.p.
EBITDA 4.61 5.57 20.8%
EBITDA margin 18.5% 18.9% 0.4 p.p.
Net profit 1.77 2.49 41.2%
Net profit margin 7.1% 8.5% 1.4 p.p.
05.57
4.61
+20.8%
EBITDA, RUR bln
1H2009
1H2010
1H2010 performance
(RAS)
12,93%
10,99%
8,63% 8,58%
31.12.2009 г.31.03.2010 г.30.06.2010 г.31.08.2010 г.
www.mrsk-1.ru 17
Capital structure
RUR bln 31.12.2009 30.06.2010 Change
Equity 41.23 43.73 6.1%
Long-term liabilities 10.73 11.23 4.7%
Short-term liabilities 0.40 - -100%
Accounts payable 6.59 8.33 24.4%
Other 2.1 2.22 5.7%
Total liabilities 61.05 65.51 7.3%
Short-term liabilities –
0%
67%
18%
1%
11%3%
Собственный капитал
Долгосрочные обязательства
Краткосрочные обязательства
Кредиторская задолженность
Прочее
67%
17%
0%13%
3%
Собственный капитал
Долгосрочные обязательства
Краткосрочные обязательства
Кредиторская задолженность
Прочее
Liabilities structure
31.12.2009 30.06.2010
Average interest rate on credits, 2008 - 2010
1H2010 performance
(RAS)
Equity
Long-term liabilities
Short-term liabilities
Accounts payable
Other
0,0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1,0
1,2
1,4
1,6
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
EBITDA Чистая прибыль NetDebt/EBITDA
RUR bln Ratio
www.mrsk-1.ru 18
1H2010 performance
(RAS)
Year EBITDA Net Profit Net Debt Net debt/
EBITDA
2006 4,74 1,31 3,27 0.69
2007 6,83 1,98 6,14 0.90
2008 7,49 0,87 9,31 1.24
2009 7,64 1,33 10,76 1.41
2010(F) 10,86 3,59 13,61 1.25
1 H „10 5,57 2,49 9,6* 1,72
EBITDA vs. Net Profit, RUR blnRatio Net Debt/EBITDA
Net profit
* as of 31.08.2010
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Освоение К
В
Вво
д О
Ф
Осво
ен
ие
КВ
Вво
д О
Ф
Осво
ен
ие
КВ
Вво
д О
Ф
Осво
ен
ие
КВ
Ввод
ОФ
Осво
ен
ие
КВ
Вво
д О
Ф
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Прочее
Новое строительство и расширение действующих объектов
Техперевооружение и реконструкция
YearVolume of capital
investments,RUR bln w/o VAT
Commissioning of fixed assets. RUR bln w/o
VAT
2006 4.509 4.350
2007 7.839 6.372
2008 9.071 7.739
2009 6.529 7.687
2010F* 10.701 10.797
RUR bln
www.mrsk-1.ru 19
Investment activity
Others
New construction and expansion
of existing facilities
Modernization and reconstruction
CI
FA CI
FA CI
FA CI
FA CI
FA
1
265
146
132
226
110
343
50
274
402
Investments (plan), RUR mln
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
1 – AIIS KUE of retail market2 – Input of transformer capacity of substation 110 kV ―Manezhnaya" (40 МVА)3 – Construction of substation 110/6/6 ―Kotorosl" and construction of HL-110 kV Frunzenskaya-1 to substation ―Kotorosl‖ (50 МVА/7 km)4 – Reconstruction of substation ―Sovetskaya‖ 110/6 kV (40 МVА)5 – Reconstruction of substation 110/10/6 kV ―Zapadnaya" – 2nd stage (63 МVА)6 –Modernization of Substation 110/6 kV №45 ―Kalininskaya" with installation of KRUE-110 kV (7 pcs.)7 –Modernization of substation 110/6-6 kV №10 with installation of KRUE-110 kV cells (2 pcs.), 6 kV cells (33 pcs.)8 – Complex of works on reconstruction of substation 35 kV ―Zubtsov‖ (transfer to 110 kV(50 МVА)9 –substation 110 kV ―Universitetskaya‖ – 2nd stage (40 МVА)
1,947
2010
18%
82%
9 крупнейших ИП
Прочее
TOTALfunding 2010:
RUR 8.83 bln
Key investment projects
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Key investment projects in 2010
Key 9 IP
Others
forecast
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Полная величина ИК
Остаточная величина ИК
184
64
158
54
Филиалы по которым планируется переход на RAB
RAB филиалы
Date of transition
Branch IRAB,RUR bln
From 01.01.2009
Belgorodenergo 19.930
Lipetskenergo 10.030
From 01.01.2010
Tverenergo 14.366
Kurskenergo 10.802
Yarenergo 8.968
During 2010
Bryanskenergo 6.687
Orelenergo 6.590
From 01.01.2011
Kostromaenergo 7.437
Tambovenergo 6.607
Voronezhenergo 12.810
Smolenskenergo 13.785
Transition to RAB
www.mrsk-1.ru 21
Expected IRAB on all branches according to independent estimations –RUR 118 bln
RAB planned
branches
RAB branches
IC full
value
IC residual
value
Contact information
www.mrsk-1.ru 22
JSC “IDGC of Center”
129090 Russia, Moscow, Glukharev per., 4/2Tel./fax: +7 (495) 747 9292www.mrsk-1.ru
Director on Corporate RelationshipsTatiana A. [email protected]
Head of Department for Shareholders RelationshipTatiana N. [email protected].: +7 (495) 747 9292, ext. 3181
www.mrsk-1.ru 23
Appendix
24
Investment activity*
Year
Volume of capital investments,
RUR bln w/o VAT
Commissioning of fixed assets. RUR bln w/o
VAT
2009 6,529 7,687
2010F 10 616 10 785
2011F 18 929 17 895
2012F 22 717 21 457
2013F 33 622 32 653
2014F 33 231 33 983
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Ос
во
ен
ие
КВ
Вв
од
ОФ
Ос
во
ен
ие
КВ
Вв
од
ОФ
Ос
во
ен
ие
КВ
Вв
од
ОФ
Ос
во
ен
ие
КВ
Вв
од
ОФ
Ос
во
ен
ие
КВ
Вв
од
ОФ
Ос
во
ен
ие
КВ
Вв
од
ОФC
I
FA CI
FA CI
FA CI
FA CI
FA CI
FA
RUR bln
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
*Presented data on investment program have been formed without taking into account changes made by FTS Order from 01.09.2010 N 218-E / 5 «On Amendments to the Order of the Federal Tariff Service of 15.08.2008 N 152-e/15 «On approval of the rate of return on invested capital».
(Registered by Ministry of Justice on 21.09.2010 N 18491).
Perhaps there will be changes in the middle of October 2010, when approving theadjusted investment program by the Board of Directors of IDGC of Centre.
25
Productive supply, forecast on 2010-2014
50,00
51,00
52,00
53,00
54,00
55,00
56,00
57,00
58,00
59,00
‗09
Bln KWh
‘10F ‘11F ‘12F ‘13F ‘14F
53,13
56,21
55,14
57,89
57,05
58,48
+3.8%
+1.9%
+1.5%
+1.5%
+1.0%
www.mrsk-1.ru 26
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
MVBln KWh
Полезный отпуск э/э, млрд. кВтч Объемы ТП, МВт
YearProductive supply, bln
kWh
Growth rate,
%
Volume of technological
connection, MV
Growth rate,
%
2006 54.0 - 280.47 -
2007 56.4 4.4% 481.28 71.6%
2008 56.6 0.4% 479.84 -0.3%
2009 53.1 -6.2% 445.62 -7.1%
2010(F) 53.5 0.8% 531.55 19.3%
Appendix 1Sales of services (RAS)
Productive supply, bln KWh Volume of TC,
MW
www.mrsk-1.ru 27
Indicator 1H 2009 1H 2010 Change
Output, bln kWh 28.99 31.06 7.1%
Useful output, bln kWh 25.98 27.8 7.0%
Losses, bln kWh 3.0 3.3 1%
Losses, % 10.4 10.6 0.2 p.p.
1 полугодие 2009 г.
1 полугодие 2010 г.
27.8
25.98
+7.0%
Useful output,bln kWh
Appendix 2Production results for 1H 2010
1H 2009 1H 2010
www.mrsk-1.ru 28
Power transmission share market in 2008-2009 (in terms of money)
Technological connection share market in 2008-2009 (in terms of money)
Appendix 3Market share in 1H 2010
OWN REVENUE
REVENUE OF TGCs
OWN REVENUE
REVENUE OF TGCs
Bryanskenergo
Voronezhenergo
Tambovenergo
Yarenergo
Lipetskenergo
Tverenergo
Orelenergo
Kurskenergo
Smolenskenergo
Belgorodenergo
Kostromaenergo
Company‟s share in the power transmission market in regions, % (2009)
www.mrsk-1.ru 29
Tariffs
Average distributional tariffs, kop/kWh
Branch 2006 2007 2008* 2009* 2010*
Belgorodenergo 48,4 52,4 65,2 80,8 100,1
Bryanskenergo 40,5 74,9* 86,9 106,0 130,5
Voronezhenergo 38,2 45,5 74,0 91,1 102,4
Kostromaenergo 64,3 76,2 91,1 106,4 130,8
Kurskenergo 46,4 47,6 59,1 69,1 98,7
Lipetskenergo 33,5 42,3 64,8 82,2 111,1
Orelenergo 48,3 66,5 105,6 117,0 140,5
Smolenskenergo 65,4 73,0 90,3 110,4 123,8
Tambovenergo 47,0 49,3 87,3 100,3 108,3
Tverenergo 52,7 58,4 103,4 138,3 154,2
Yarenergo 48,4 43,3 59,8 74,0 86,2
* Tariffs are inclusive of the territorial network organizations
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Tariffs
Average distributional tariffs w/o TNO, kop/kWh
Branch 2008 2009 2010
Belgorodenergo 64,5 79,8 98,9
Bryanskenergo 55,4 70,3 83,8
Voronezhenergo 52,8 62,6 71,5
Kostromaenergo 90,2 104,5 126,7
Kurskenergo 52,0 60,4 65,8
Lipetskenergo 52,9 68,9 91,8
Orelenergo 79,6 91,1 108,2
Smolenskenergo 85,7 105,3 118,0
Tambovenergo 51,8 62,6 70,9
Tverenergo 72,4 102,2 120,5
Yarenergo 42,1 51,2 60,6
www.mrsk-1.ru 31
Fixed assets
Fixed assets characteristic (as 0f 30.06.2010)
Capacity Length
35-110 kV, MVA
6-10/0,4 kV, MVA
35-110 kV, km
0,4-10 kV, km
IDGC of Center 31 013,4 14 866,2 51 615,5 320 777,3
Belgorodenergo 2 634,50 2 755,0 4 206,5 38 540,2
Bryanskenergo 2 281,80 759,1 3 516,7 22 048,2
Voronezhenergo 4 465,50 1 532,6 6 792,1 43 545,1
Kostromaenergo 1 707,00 1 420,3 4 304,5 20 648,2
Kurskenergo 3 286,50 1 420,4 4 716,9 29 541,1
Lipetskenergo 2 587,20 1 020,6 3 836,8 22 855,1
Orelenergo 1 682,00 794,4 3 082,2 24 692,3
Smolenskenergo 3 071,60 1 775,5 6 332,9 33 563,5
Tambovenergo 2 452,30 928,7 4 970,8 23 196,8
Tverenergo 3 962,20 1 521,6 6 718,0 39 475,3
Yarenergo 2 882,80 937,9 3 138,1 22 671,5