week runs from sunday to saturday ireland: predictions · nmp current closures asp azp dsp psp 0 0...
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![Page 1: Week runs from Sunday to Saturday Ireland: Predictions · NMP Current closures ASP AZP DSP PSP 0 0 4 0 Week 33: August 9th –15th 2020 Based on sites tested. HAB Bulletin [status](https://reader035.vdocument.in/reader035/viewer/2022081614/5fc0da825bcc052ad62a904e/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
HAB Bulletin [status of harmful and toxic algae]
Week runs from Sunday to Saturday
Ireland: Predictions
ASP event: Moderate to high.AZP event: Low in general, moderate in Western sites.
DSP event: Highest SW, W, NW. High all remaining areas.
PSP event: Highest SW site specific. Low to moderate elsewhere .
ASP: Moderate to high caution as cell levels in some sites increasing significantly. Patches , below regulatory limits , occurring around entire coastline, related to environmental suitable conditions.
AZP: Moderate precaution in SW, low elsewhere on coastline. Continued negligible levels of toxins present in samples tested ,with no clear presence trend. This species has caused sudden acute issues in the past and rarely presents any reliable trends.
DSP: Highest caution in affected areas. Environmental conditions suitable for cell level increases and spread. Highest SW and W, now experiencing closures as indicated, and moderate to high throughout all coastline. Full caution advised during this time.
PSP: No Change- 5 week trend. Highest SW region, see specific sites. Suitable environmental conditions expected and may increase risk – adjacent sites’ caution advised. Low elsewhere. Alexandrium cells can occur in both toxic and nontoxic forms. Southerly transportation possible.
Blooms: Highest :Currently bloom levels of multiple species are occurring in localised areas. Both beneficial and detrimental blooms may occur in areas of good growth and suitable environmental conditions. Transient wind driven blooms of some species may temporarily accumulate on shores. Any unusual water discoloration should always be noted and regional labs contacted if concerned /regarding possible need for additional sampling. All feedback is welcome at [email protected]
NMP Current closures
ASP AZP DSP PSP
0 0 4 0
Week 33: August 9th – 15th 2020
Based on sites tested
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HAB Bulletin [status of harmful and toxic algae]
National Monitoring ProgrammeHISTORIC TRENDS
ASP events: mid-March to early May
AZP events: April to December
DSP events: May to December
PSP events: June to mid-July and end September. Predominantly in Cork Harbour.
AZP
DSP
PTX
ASP
PSP
Levels from week 1 to present week. Regulatory limit - - - - - - -
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DSP and Dinophysis sp. current trends
Ireland HAB & Biotoxin Distribution maps
[current status of harmful and toxic algae]
Phytoplankton species – last 3 wks.
All levels of DSP biotoxin recorded - last 3 wks.
Current closures levels≥ DSP 0.16 µg/g
CommentsWk.33 – Continued highestcaution. Dinophysis cellscontinue to be present inaffected areas. Areas adjacentto closed areas should exercisehigh caution also. Suitableenvironmental conditions forincreasing levels. Highestcaution and good samplingadvised until cells decreasecompletely.
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Ireland HAB & Biotoxin Distribution maps
[current status of harmful and toxic algae]
Phytoplankton species – last 3 wks. All levels of AZP biotoxin recorded - last 3 wks.
AZP and Azadinium like species current trends
Current closures levels≥ AZP 0.16 µg/g
CommentsWk. 33 Continuednegligible toxin levelscurrently . No clear trendestablished. Possibleincrease in caution in SW, 1wk trend.
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ASP
Ireland HAB & Biotoxin Distribution maps
[current status of harmful and toxic algae]
ASP and Pseudo nitzschia sp. current trends
Current closures levels≥ASP 20 µg/g
CommentsWk. 33 - Increasing morestrongly all areas - moderatecaution in all affected areasdue to increases in cellpresence and fluctuatingtrends. Currently only lowlevels of toxins observed.
Phytoplankton species – last 3 wks.
All levels of ASP biotoxin recorded – last 3 wks.
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Ireland HAB & Biotoxin Distribution maps
[current status of harmful and toxic algae]
PSP and Alexandrium sp. current trends
Phytoplankton species (last 3 wks.)
All levels of PSP biotoxin recorded (last 3 wks.)
CommentsWk. 33 – NO change -
Continued highest cautionadvised in SW areas with highpotential cell levels. Adjacentsites should also exerciseadditional caution duringcurrent favourableenvironmental /transportconditions. Elsewhere lowlevels of insitu potential cellsobserved. This is now thehistorical period of occurrenceand localised issues can occurrapidly in specific sites .
Current closures levels≥ PSP 800 µg/Kg
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Ireland Fish killing phytoplankton Distribution maps
[current status of harmful and toxic algae]
Karenia mikimotoi
(old name: Gyrodinium aureolum)Current general conditions: Wk. 33
Potential for problematic species to cause issues : High
Alexandrium sp. Highest - specific sites only
Karenia mikimotoi High, rapidly increasing.
Heterocapsa sp. Moderate
Noctiluca scintillans Moderate –high increasing
Coscinodiscus species Moderate increasing.
Phaeocystis sp. Moderate to high.
Chaetoceros sp Moderate to High.
Continued high levels of Phytoplankton cells observed in most
areas, particularly in sheltered innerbay areas .Calm weather,
with high UV indices combined with localised onshore winds have
caused sporadic localised bloom issues. Please note , any species
at sufficient numbers may cause temporary issues in water quality
which could impact specific areas over the course of a tidal cycle
or for a period of days while specific suitable conditions prevail. All
areas should maintain good routine sampling if concerned.
Karenia sp. cells now observed inshore at significant levels in
some sites. This species has been known to come inshore
suddenly, at bloom levels, during suitable environmental
conditions. If concerned about a problematic or toxic species level
please check specific site information updates at www.marine.ie .
Phaeocystis speciesKarenia mikimotoiHeterocapsa spp.Noctiluca scintillans
Alexandrium spp.
Any part of coastline
SW currently
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Ireland Satellite data: surface chlorophyll and temperature maps
Top 5 phytoplankton cell levels in all areas last week
NW coast (M4) Below average by 1.14°C wk.32SW coast (M3) Below average by 0.14°C wk.32SE coast (M5) Below average by 0.51°C wk.32
Week 33
Warm waters influencing all Southern areas.Continued increases of Chlorophyll levels indicatinghigh localised growth in sheltered innerbay areas.Caution should be exercised asweather/environmental conditions allow transportonto exposed shorelines. Warmer waters, peaksunlight and potential nutrient increases from heavyrain shower runoff will increase risks. Suitableenvironmental conditions for increase localisedbloom activity. Some areas are now experiencingproblematic blooms. Extra caution advised in allareas.
Rank Region Species Rounded Count
1 East Rhizosolenia spp. 89000
2 East Pseudo-nitzschia seriata complex
17000
3 East Leptocylindrus danicus 3000
4 East Striatella spp. 2000
5 East Chaetoceros (Hyalochaete) spp.
2000
1 South-East Leptocylindrus danicus 15000
2 South-East Pseudo-nitzschia seriata complex
11000
3 South-East Guinardia delicatula 3000
4 South-East Lauderia / Detonula sp 1000
5 South-East Scrippsiella spp. 1000
1 West North-west Rhizosolenia spp. 33000
2 West North-west Asterionellopsis spp. 4000
3 West North-west Leptocylindrus danicus 4000
4 West North-west Chaetoceros (Hyalochaete) spp.
2000
5 West North-west Scrippsiella spp. 2000
1 North-West Leptocylindrus danicus 689000
2 North-West Prorocentrum micans 332000
3 North-West Chaetoceros (Hyalochaete) spp.
256000
4 North-West Skeletonema spp. 15000
5 North-West Pseudo-nitzschia delicatissima complex
5000
1 West Skeletonema spp. 487000
2 West Chaetoceros (Hyalochaete) spp.
314000
3 West Striatella spp. 17000
4 West Leptocylindrus danicus 8000
5 West Rhizosolenia spp. 4000
1 South Cylindrotheca closterium/ Nitzschia longissima
10000
2 South Pseudo-nitzschia seriata complex
2000
3 South Odontella spp. 1000
4 South Euglena/Eutreptiella spp. 1000
5 South Odontella aurita 1000
1 South-West Gymnodinium spp. 4147000
2 South-West Alexandrium spp. 1066000
3 South-West Skeletonema spp. 258000
4 South-West Pseudo-nitzschia seriata complex
24000
5 South-West Haptophytes 22000
1 West South-West Azadinium/heterocapsa spp. 21000
2 West South-West Alexandrium spp. 18000
3 West South-West Cilliates 4000
4 West South-West Protoperidinium spp. 4000
5 West South-West Paralia sulcata 2000
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Ireland modelled data: Estimated Water PathwayWeek runs from Sunday to Saturday
Week 23: 31 May – 6 June, 2015Ireland modelled data: Estimated Water Pathway
The maps show the most
likely transport pathways
for the next 3 days of
phytoplankton found along
the presented transects
(black lines off Mizen Head
and the Mouth of Bantry Bay)
and water depths (bottom,
20 metres and surface)
Bottom water Water @ 20 metres Surface water
Reddish colours represent areas
where phytoplankton remain
longest
Cooler colours represent areas
where phytoplankton remain for
shorter periods
Offshore Northerly directional water movements in all depth of waters.
Minimal water transportation conditions creating possible temporary conditions for layers to
form in calm conditions, with low levels downwelling.
SOUTHWEST: Bantry Bay Forecast for the next 3 days
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Ireland modelled data: Estimated Water Pathway
Bantry Bay3 day estimated water flows at the mouth and mid-bay sections of Bantry Bay
T1
T1
T2
Forecast for next 3 days
De
pth
20 m
20 m
Water surface
Sea bed
Flow (m3 s-1)
100
80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
IN
OUT
Shot Head cross section:
Downwelling and possible
layering expected to be main
activity and transportation of outer
waters into inner regions.
Mouth cross section:
Downwelling of surface
waters expected as
deeper waters transport
bring water into bay into
inner bay areas.
CURRENT inflowInflow is 23% lower than the long term mean at Shot Head
Inflow is 24% lower than the long term mean at mouth of Bay
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Ireland modelled data: Estimated Water PathwayWeek runs from Sunday to Saturday
Week 23: 31 May – 6 June, 2015Ireland modelled data: Estimated Water Pathway
The maps show the most
likely transport pathways
for the next 3 days of
phytoplankton found along
the presented transects i.e.
white lines off Aughrus Point
and the Mouth of Killary
Harbour, and water depths
(bottom, 20 metres and
surface)
Reddish colours represent
areas where phytoplankton
remain longest
Cooler colours represent
areas where phytoplankton
remain for shorter periods
WEST: Killary Harbour Forecast for the next 3 days
Bottom water Water @ 20 metres Surface water
ClegganNortherly dominant water movements in all depth zones in offshore and near shore waters,
becoming more active towards surface waters .
KillaryOffshore waters entering bay in deeper zones while surface waters expected to remain stable with
low flows.
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Ireland modelled data: Estimated Water Pathway
Killary Harbour - 3 day estimated water flows at the mouth of Killary Harbour
T1
T1
Killary Harbour
De
pth
CURRENT inflow
Inflow is 44% lower than average long term mean at mouth of
Bay
Water
surface
Forecast for next 3 days
Flow (m3 s-1)
100
80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
IN
OUT
Killary Harbour Mouth cross section:
Deeper offshore water transportation
through upwelling expected into midbay
areas .
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Ireland modelled data: Estimated Water Pathway
West Coast - 3 day estimated water flows along a transect off Aughrus Point
T1
110 m
Water surface
Forecast for next 3 days
northward
flow
southward
flow
T1
Killary Harbour
Cleggan transect
Aughrus Point
De
pth
Flow (m3 s-1)
100
80
60
40
20
0
-20
-40
-60
-80
-100
northward
flow
southward
flow
T1
Killary Harbour
Cleggan transect
Aughrus Point
Cleggan section: Dominant
Southerly transportation in all
depths offshore with minor
squeezed Northerly transport in
nearshore areas.