west coast data roundup -- buyouts west final version

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  • 8/14/2019 West Coast Data Roundup -- Buyouts West Final Version

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    US M&A Activity down nearly 40%; Private Equity-backedM&A declines 85% over 2007

    0

    100

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    500

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    700

    1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08

    Volume($bil)

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    40%

    %PrivateEquityAc

    tivity

    Strategic M&A

    Private Equity M&A

    Private Equity M&A as % of Total M&A

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    West Coast Buyout Investments up 18% over 2007;Number of West Coast Buyout Investments Decline

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08

    Volume($bil)

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    NumberofDeals

    Buyout Investments by West Coast Firms ($bil)

    Number of Deals

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    0

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    Americas Europe Central Asia/Asia-

    Pacific

    Japan Africa/Middle East

    Volume($bil)

    Volume: 1/1/2008-11/17/2008 Volume: 1/1/2007-11/17/2007

    Private Equity Slump is a Global Phenomenon

    -59%

    -81%

    -4% -51% -72%

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    Measured decline in mid-market buyouts; less reliant onglobal debt financing

    $0

    $100

    $200

    $300

    $400

    $500

    1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08

    Value($bil)

    Lo-$500 $500m-$1b $1b-$5b $5b-Hi

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    Global Buyout Investments by Sector

    Worldwide Buyouts by Industry

    21.6

    14.4

    11

    9.5

    8.9

    6.3

    5.8

    5.3

    4.8

    4.3 3.6

    4.5

    Financials Energy and Power

    High Technology Consumer Products and Services

    Industrials Materials

    Media and Entertainment Healthcare

    Telecommunications Consumer Staples

    Real Estate Retail

    Global M&A - Buyouts Impact

    0

    50

    100

    150

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    350

    400

    450

    500

    Financials

    EnergyandPower

    ConsumerProducts

    ConsumerStaples

    Materials

    Industrials

    Healthcare

    HighTech

    RealEstate

    Telecom

    Media

    Retail

    Strategic Volume ($bil)

    Buyout Volume ($bil)

    *Data through 9/30/2008

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    PE Activity was a Key Driver of the M&A Market andInvestment Banking Fees

    Imputed Fee Estimates by Freeman & Co

    0

    2000

    4000

    6000

    8000

    10000

    12000

    14000

    16000

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

    Fees($mil)

    M&A Exit

    Equity Exit

    Portfolio Activity

    Buyout Financing

    Buyout

    Fees paid by Financial Sponsors

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    Global Retraction in Credit Markets Slows Buyout

    Activity; HY Activity down 80% over 2007

    0

    10000

    20000

    30000

    40000

    50000

    60000

    70000

    80000

    '04 '05 '06 '07 '08

    0

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    High Yield Bonds ($mil) Number of Deals

    0

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    '04 '05 '06 '07 '08

    0

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    900

    Leveraged Loans ($bil) Number of Deals

    *Data through 9/30/2008

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    Frozen Exit Markets for Venture and Buyouts

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008*

    Venture-backed IPO Buyout-backed IPO

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008*

    Venture-backed M&A Buyout-backed M&A

    US Initial Public Offerings US Mergers & Acquisitions

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    Global Private Equity Fundraising

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008*

    Venture Fundraising ($bil) Buyout Fundraising ($bil)

    *Data through 9/30/2008

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    West Coast Buyout Fundraising Down 38% from 2007levels; Number of Funds on Par with Year-Ago

    0

    5

    10

    15

    1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08

    Funds($bil)

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    NumberofFun

    ds

    Funds Raised by West Coast Buyout Firms ($bil) Number of Funds

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    * net of management fees and carried interest

    All calculations are done at the fund level* by Thomson Reuters based on cash flows

    and NAVs reported by participating LPs and GPs

    Cash flow database contains 1800+ US private equity funds (480+ buyout funds)

    Pooled IRR: IRR of a group of funds where their cash flows have been aggregated

    together before IRR calculation

    Investment Horizon Return: IRR calculated with Net Asset Value as capital outflow atbeginning of period, Net Asset Value at end of period, and actual cash flow in

    between

    Definitions:

    Performance Methodology

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    US Private Equity Performance Index

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    1 yr 3yr 5yr 10yr 20yr

    All Venture All Buyouts NASDAQ S&P 500

    *Data through 6/30/2008