west coast data roundup -- buyouts west final version
TRANSCRIPT
-
8/14/2019 West Coast Data Roundup -- Buyouts West Final Version
1/15
-
8/14/2019 West Coast Data Roundup -- Buyouts West Final Version
2/15
-
8/14/2019 West Coast Data Roundup -- Buyouts West Final Version
3/15
US M&A Activity down nearly 40%; Private Equity-backedM&A declines 85% over 2007
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08
Volume($bil)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
%PrivateEquityAc
tivity
Strategic M&A
Private Equity M&A
Private Equity M&A as % of Total M&A
-
8/14/2019 West Coast Data Roundup -- Buyouts West Final Version
4/15
West Coast Buyout Investments up 18% over 2007;Number of West Coast Buyout Investments Decline
0
500
1000
1500
2000
1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08
Volume($bil)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
NumberofDeals
Buyout Investments by West Coast Firms ($bil)
Number of Deals
-
8/14/2019 West Coast Data Roundup -- Buyouts West Final Version
5/15
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Americas Europe Central Asia/Asia-
Pacific
Japan Africa/Middle East
Volume($bil)
Volume: 1/1/2008-11/17/2008 Volume: 1/1/2007-11/17/2007
Private Equity Slump is a Global Phenomenon
-59%
-81%
-4% -51% -72%
-
8/14/2019 West Coast Data Roundup -- Buyouts West Final Version
6/15
Measured decline in mid-market buyouts; less reliant onglobal debt financing
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08
Value($bil)
Lo-$500 $500m-$1b $1b-$5b $5b-Hi
-
8/14/2019 West Coast Data Roundup -- Buyouts West Final Version
7/15
Global Buyout Investments by Sector
Worldwide Buyouts by Industry
21.6
14.4
11
9.5
8.9
6.3
5.8
5.3
4.8
4.3 3.6
4.5
Financials Energy and Power
High Technology Consumer Products and Services
Industrials Materials
Media and Entertainment Healthcare
Telecommunications Consumer Staples
Real Estate Retail
Global M&A - Buyouts Impact
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Financials
EnergyandPower
ConsumerProducts
ConsumerStaples
Materials
Industrials
Healthcare
HighTech
RealEstate
Telecom
Media
Retail
Strategic Volume ($bil)
Buyout Volume ($bil)
*Data through 9/30/2008
-
8/14/2019 West Coast Data Roundup -- Buyouts West Final Version
8/15
PE Activity was a Key Driver of the M&A Market andInvestment Banking Fees
Imputed Fee Estimates by Freeman & Co
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Fees($mil)
M&A Exit
Equity Exit
Portfolio Activity
Buyout Financing
Buyout
Fees paid by Financial Sponsors
-
8/14/2019 West Coast Data Roundup -- Buyouts West Final Version
9/15
Global Retraction in Credit Markets Slows Buyout
Activity; HY Activity down 80% over 2007
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
High Yield Bonds ($mil) Number of Deals
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
'04 '05 '06 '07 '08
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Leveraged Loans ($bil) Number of Deals
*Data through 9/30/2008
-
8/14/2019 West Coast Data Roundup -- Buyouts West Final Version
10/15
Frozen Exit Markets for Venture and Buyouts
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008*
Venture-backed IPO Buyout-backed IPO
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008*
Venture-backed M&A Buyout-backed M&A
US Initial Public Offerings US Mergers & Acquisitions
-
8/14/2019 West Coast Data Roundup -- Buyouts West Final Version
11/15
Global Private Equity Fundraising
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008*
Venture Fundraising ($bil) Buyout Fundraising ($bil)
*Data through 9/30/2008
-
8/14/2019 West Coast Data Roundup -- Buyouts West Final Version
12/15
West Coast Buyout Fundraising Down 38% from 2007levels; Number of Funds on Par with Year-Ago
0
5
10
15
1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08
Funds($bil)
0
5
10
15
20
25
NumberofFun
ds
Funds Raised by West Coast Buyout Firms ($bil) Number of Funds
-
8/14/2019 West Coast Data Roundup -- Buyouts West Final Version
13/15
* net of management fees and carried interest
All calculations are done at the fund level* by Thomson Reuters based on cash flows
and NAVs reported by participating LPs and GPs
Cash flow database contains 1800+ US private equity funds (480+ buyout funds)
Pooled IRR: IRR of a group of funds where their cash flows have been aggregated
together before IRR calculation
Investment Horizon Return: IRR calculated with Net Asset Value as capital outflow atbeginning of period, Net Asset Value at end of period, and actual cash flow in
between
Definitions:
Performance Methodology
-
8/14/2019 West Coast Data Roundup -- Buyouts West Final Version
14/15
-
8/14/2019 West Coast Data Roundup -- Buyouts West Final Version
15/15
US Private Equity Performance Index
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
1 yr 3yr 5yr 10yr 20yr
All Venture All Buyouts NASDAQ S&P 500
*Data through 6/30/2008