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West Contra Costa USD General Obligation Bond Update Presentation to the Facilities Subcommittee September 9, 2014

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West Contra Costa USD. General Obligation Bond Update Presentation to the Facilities Subcommittee September 9, 2014. Objectives for Today’s Presentation. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: West Contra Costa USD

West Contra Costa USDGeneral Obligation Bond Update

Presentation to the Facilities SubcommitteeSeptember 9, 2014

Page 2: West Contra Costa USD

Objectives for Today’s Presentation

Present new “Base Case” long-term plan of finance scenario for 2010 Measure D and 2012 Measure E new money bonds based on a $135 million issuance in 2015, 4.0% AV growth and $48 tax rate target.

Present alternative long-term plan of finance scenarios assuming! 5.00% and 6.00% AV growth at a $48 tax rate target. $60 tax rate target.

Present tentative schedule for next new money issuance.

Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page

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Page 3: West Contra Costa USD

Original Base Case: Measure 2010D/2012 E Financing Plan Assumptions: Target tax rate of $48, 4.0% annual AV growth

issuance of $125 million in bonds in alternating years through 2019.

Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page

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Year Series2010

Measure D2012

Measure E Total

Previously Issued $140,000,000 $85,000,000 $225,000,000

2014-15 Elec. 2010 Ser. CElec. 2012 Ser. B 50,000,000 75,000,000 125,000,000

2016-17 Elec. 2010 Ser. DElec. 2012 Ser. C 60,000,000 65,000,000 125,000,000

2018-19 Elec. 2010 Ser. EElec. 2012 Ser. D 65,000,000 60,000,000 125,000,000

2020-21 Elec. 2010 Ser. FElec. 2012 Ser. E 42,205,011 71,719,572 113,924,583

2045 Elec. 2010 Ser. GElec. 2012 Ser. F 22,794,989 3,280,428 26,075,417

  $380,000,000 $360,000,000 $740,000,000

Issuance amounts are subject to change based on future A.V. growth, market conditions, interest rates at the time of sale, and structure assumptions. Bonds after the 2015 issuance may be required to use AB 182 compliant capital appreciation bonds and/or the use of Bond Anticipation Notes.

Page 4: West Contra Costa USD

New Base Case: Next Issue at $135 Million / 4% AV

Growth Under the same assumptions of a $48 tax rate and 4% AV

growth, the new base case increases the first issuance to $135 million from $125 million.

Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page

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Year Series2010

Measure D2012

Measure E Total

Previously Issued $140,000,000 $85,000,000 $225,000,000

2014-15 Elec. 2010 Ser. CElec. 2012 Ser. B 50,000,000 85,000,000 135,000,000

2016-17 Elec. 2010 Ser. DElec. 2012 Ser. C 60,000,000 65,000,000 125,000,000

2018-19 Elec. 2010 Ser. EElec. 2012 Ser. D 65,000,000 60,000,000 125,000,000

2020-21 Elec. 2010 Ser. FElec. 2012 Ser. E 44,714,718 56,963,559 101,678,277

2045 Elec. 2010 Ser. GElec. 2012 Ser. F 20,285,282 8,036,441 28,321,723

  $380,000,000 $360,000,000 $740,000,000

Issuance amounts are subject to change based on future A.V. growth, market conditions, interest rates at the time of sale, and structure assumptions. Bonds after the 2015 issuance may be required to use AB 182 compliant capital appreciation bonds and/or the use of Bond Anticipation Notes.

Page 5: West Contra Costa USD

Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page

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The 2015 Bonds need to be structured to provide debt service capacity for future bond issuances.

A longer final amortization of up to 40 years using only current interest bonds will help near-term debt service constraints and provide maximum future flexibility.

New Base Case: 2015 Bonds

2015

2017

2019

2021

2023

2025

2027

2029

2031

2033

2035

2037

2039

2041

2043

2045

2047

2049

2051

2053

2055

$0

$10,000,000

$20,000,000

$30,000,000

$40,000,000

$50,000,000

$60,000,000

$70,000,000

$80,000,000

$90,000,000

$100,000,000

Prior Bonds 2015 Bonds

Revenue assuming 4.0% AV Growth, $48 taxNote: Indicative debt structure, subject to change.

Page 6: West Contra Costa USD

Alternative Scenario: Financing Plan with 5% AV Growth At 5.0% AV growth assumption, the District could issue its

entire Measure D and Measure E authorizations on an every other year schedule by the end of fiscal year 2021 and stay within a $48 tax rate target.

Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page

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Year Series2010

Measure D2012

Measure E Total

Previously Issued $140,000,000 $85,000,000 $225,000,000

2014-15 Elec. 2010 Ser. CElec. 2012 Ser. B 50,000,000 85,000,000 135,000,000

2016-17 Elec. 2010 Ser. DElec. 2012 Ser. C 60,000,000 65,000,000 125,000,000

2018-19 Elec. 2010 Ser. EElec. 2012 Ser. D 65,000,000 60,000,000 125,000,000

2020-21 Elec. 2010 Ser. FElec. 2012 Ser. E 65,000,000 65,000,000 130,000,000

  $380,000,000 $360,000,000 $740,000,000

Issuance amounts are subject to change based on future A.V. growth, market conditions, interest rates at the time of sale, and structure assumptions. Bonds after the 2015 issuance may be required to use AB 182 compliant capital appreciation bonds and/or the use of Bond Anticipation Notes.

Page 7: West Contra Costa USD

Alternative Scenario: Financing Plan with 6.0% AV Growth

At 6% AV growth assumption, the 2017 financing can be increased by $10 million and all remaining authorization can be issued by 2021, within $48 tax rate.

Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page

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Year Series2010

Measure D2012

Measure E Total

Previously Issued $140,000,000 $85,000,000 $225,000,000

2014-15 Elec. 2010 Ser. CElec. 2012 Ser. B 60,000,000 75,000,000

135,000,000

2016-17 Elec. 2010 Ser. DElec. 2012 Ser. C 70,000,000 65,000,000

135,000,000

2018-19 Elec. 2010 Ser. EElec. 2012 Ser. D 65,000,000 60,000,000

125,000,000

2020-21 Elec. 2010 Ser. FElec. 2012 Ser. E 45,000,000 75,000,000 120,000,000

  $380,000,000 $360,000,000 $740,000,000

Issuance amounts are subject to change based on future A.V. growth, market conditions, interest rates at the time of sale, and structure assumptions. Bonds after the 2015 issuance may be required to use AB 182 compliant capital appreciation bonds and/or the use of Bond Anticipation Notes.

Page 8: West Contra Costa USD

Alternative Scenario: Financing Plan with $60 Tax Rate / 4.0%

AV Growth A $60 tax rate for five years starting in 2016-17 allows

issuances of approximately $190 million in 2017 and 2019 and the completion of the bonding program in 2019.

Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page

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Year Series2010

Measure D2012

Measure E Total

Previously Issued $140,000,000 $85,000,000 $225,000,000

2014-15 Elec. 2010 Ser. CElec. 2012 Ser. B 50,000,000 85,000,000 135,000,000

2016-17 Elec. 2010 Ser. DElec. 2012 Ser. C 100,000,000 90,000,000 190,000,000

2018-19 Elec. 2010 Ser. EElec. 2012 Ser. D 90,000,000 100,000,000 190,000,000

2020-21 Elec. 2010 Ser. FElec. 2012 Ser. E - - -

  $380,000,000 $360,000,000 $740,000,000

Issuance amounts are subject to change based on future A.V. growth, market conditions, interest rates at the time of sale, and structure assumptions. Bonds after the 2015 issuance may be required to use AB 182 compliant capital appreciation bonds and/or the use of Bond Anticipation Notes.

Page 9: West Contra Costa USD

Summary

At a size of $135 million, the 2015 new money issue can be issued within the constraints of: $48 target tax rate. 4% annual AV growth assumption. Current interest bonds only - no use of capital appreciation

bonds.

For later issuances, the District can consider strategies to access remaining authorization sooner, if necessary, including: Assessed valuation growth assumption in excess of 4%. Target tax rate in excess of $48 per $100,000 of assessed

value.

Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page

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Page 10: West Contra Costa USD

Preliminary Financing Schedule*Date Activity

September 9, 2014 Subcommittee approval of financing schedule and structure

September 17, 2014 Board approval of financing team

September 18, 2014 Financing Kickoff Meeting

September-October Drafting of legal documents and preliminary official statement

October 15, 2014 Board approval of resolution authorizing sale (1st of 2 required consecutive meetings)

November 12, 2014 Board approval of resolution, legal documents, and preliminary official statement

November-December Drafting of rating agency presentation

Week of January 12, 2015 Meetings with rating agencies

February 11, 2015 Board approval of updated preliminary official statement

Week of February 23 Investor outreach & discussion

February 26 or March 4 Pricing

March 11, 2015 Closing

Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page

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*Subject to change

Page 11: West Contra Costa USD

Appendix

Page 12: West Contra Costa USD

The District’s Assessed Value The growth in assessed value has been uneven in the recent

past for the District: 30-Year compounded annual growth rate: 4.94% 15-Year compounded annual growth rate: 4.45% 10-Year compounded annual growth rate: 2.23% 5-Year compounded annual growth rate: 0.72%

Presentation to the West Contra Costa Unified School District Facilities Subcommittee | page

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1985

-86

1986

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1989

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2010

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2014

-15

$-

$5,000,000,000

$10,000,000,000

$15,000,000,000

$20,000,000,000

$25,000,000,000

$30,000,000,000