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Ten Trends and Technologies to Impact IT Over the Next Five Years
David Cappuccio@davecapp
Trends You Need to Watch
Technologies
Demand
1
2
3
Organization 9
10
4
5
6
7
Nonstop Demand
IT Service Continuity
Enterprise Defined Data Centers
Edge Computing
Every Business Unit is a Technology Startup
Integrated Systems
Bimodal IT
Enterprise Workload Monitoring
Global Data Center Management
Open Source Hardware
8
Trends You Need to Watch
Technologies
Demand
1
2
3
Organization 9
10
4
5
6
7
Nonstop Demand
IT Service Continuity
Enterprise Defined Data Centers
Edge Computing
Every Business Unit is a Technology Startup
Integrated Systems
Bimodal IT
Enterprise Workload Monitoring
Global Data Center Management
Open Source Hardware
8
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Did You Know?
1 - http://www.hawaii.edu/suremath/jsand.html
2 - http://www.cisco.com/c/en/us/solutions/collateral/service-provider/global-cloud-index-gci/Cloud_Index_White_Paper.html
1 Byte 5 Mb 7.5 Hexabytes1
1 Pb
Global Data Center IP traffic (per month)
34 x
255 Exabyte per month2
2013
95 x
715 Exabyte per month2
2018
If a grain of sand = 1 byte
The New Scale of IT
Scale
Social Change
Rise of Middle Class
Ageing Population
Digitalization
Hyperconnectivity
New Technologies
1 Forecast: Servers, All Countries, 2012-2019, 2Q15 Update – G002756042 Forecast: External Controller-Based Storage, Worldwide, All Countries, 2015-2019, 1Q15 – G002756343 Forecast: Enterprise Network Equipment by Market Segment, Worldwide, 2012-2019, 1Q15 Update – G00273630
Servers1(Units)
2012: 9.7 billion
2015: 10.6 billion
2019: 11.9 billion
Storage2(Tb)
18.4 million
37.8 million
89.2 million
Networking3(Ports SW 40G)
0.1 million
2.2 million
8.4 million
Data Center Infrastructure
4 Gartner Technology Planner July 2015
IT Infrastructure Scale is Evolving Rapidly
Example: Server HP - ProLiant DL3804
Available RPE2(max config)
2010: G7 18,750
2012: G8 28,475
2014: G9 55,645
Consequences on
Data Centers
Strong focus on:
Planning!
Resource Management /Capacity Planning processes,
tools, people and business alignment.
Impact on Power, Cooling and Space due to “Vertical Growth”.
1
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
• Server Workloads: 10% AAGR
• Network Bandwidth: 35% AAGR
• Storage Capacity: 50% AAGR
• Power Costs: 20% AAGR
• I/O Traffic: 75% AAGR
50%
0%
Annual Average Growth Rate
Nonstop Demand1
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Every Business Unit is a Technology Startup2Inform the Digital Business Strategy by Studying How CEOs Allocate
Responsibility for Leading Digital Innovation and Change
Source: IT Metrics: A Critical Evaluation of Decentralized IT Spending and Digital Enterprise Readiness G00252797
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Every Business Unit is a Technology Startup2
Physical Digital
Cloud
Mobile
IoTBU
BU
BU
IT
BU
BU
Cloud
IoT
Mobile
Digital Business
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
• Small devices or services
• Remote sites
• Latency dependent services
• Geo-specific applications
• IoT Analytics
Edge Computing3
Source: Disney MagicBand
Source: CANYON BICYCLES GMBH
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Cloud/"Internet"
Enterprise/On-PremisesThing Gateway
AnalyticsDataApplication Logic and Rules
User Interface
1010100101010011010101010010
10110101011
The end user experience is still IT’s responsibility
Edge ComputingIT Staff Need to Start Thinking Differently3
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Trends You Need to Watch
Technologies
Demand
1
2
3
Organization 9
10
4
5
6
7
Nonstop Demand
IT Service Continuity
Enterprise Defined Data Centers
Edge Computing
Every Business Unit is a Technology Startup
Integrated Systems
Bimodal IT
Enterprise Workload Monitoring
Global Data Center Management
Open Source Hardware
8
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Defined Data Centers
The New Data Center is Everywhere4
EDDC
DR Site
Hosted Site
SaaS
DRaaS
Public Cloud
Social Platforms
PaaSProvider
Branch Office
Second DC
BranchMicroDC
SaaS
It’s not about “my data center” –it’s about delivering computeresources to the business the
best way possible.
Colocation
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
• Centrally operate,
orchestrate and automate.
• Allows configuration
from one place.
• Enhances workload
and traffic flow.
• Networks, storage,
servers, data centers, etc.
Enterprise Defined Data Centers4
Applications
Integrated Orchestration
Services delivered from the right place, for the right price, from the right platform.
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
• Integrated one or many vendor products.
• "Stack" sale versus component sale.
• Competes with general purpose designs.
• Optimized for ease of use
• Best of brand versus best of breed.
5 Integrated Systems
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Pre-Evolved: Take it or leave it; you get what you pay for; upgrade when outgrown or
obsolete: employ an integrator or DIY
Evolving: Pre-built; Compute-Network-Storage integrated through virtualization and
management to vendor specifications; automation and policy provisioning; hyperscale
High-Evolved: Adaptable; frequent and continuous; SW-driven; intelligent-aware; IoT
and Nexus of forces
High-Evolved2020+
Evolving2010-2020
Pre-Evolved2000-2010
Beyond Integrated Systems
5 Integrated Systems Evolution
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
• Customer Composed Solutions
• Shared interconnects.
• Shared power feeds.
• Component open connect.
• Intel's silicon photonics.
• OEM choice
• Low component costs
6 Open Source Hardware
Proof of concept unit shown by Intel
Proof of concept unit shown by HP
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
• Workload dependent
• Design to fail applications
• Retrofits
• Micro or remote sites
• Vendor support structure needed
• Augments rather than competes with integrated systems
6 Open Source Hardware
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
7
• Integrate IT continuity and
disaster recovery.
• Part of overall DC strategy.
• RTO and workload focus.
• Hybrid approach.
Use location and networking options to implement entirely new application topologies.
IT Service Continuity
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
• Utilizes colocation-connected providers backbone.
• "Self-managed, nonvariable CDN."
• Application performance topology.
• Less Internet!
Use location and networking options to implement entirely new application topologies.
7 IT Service Continuity— Example
Latency map
10 ms
20 ms
10ms
10 ms
30 ms
20 ms20 ms
30 ms
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Trends You Need to Watch
Technologies
Demand
1
2
3
Organization 9
10
4
5
6
7
Nonstop Demand
IT Service Continuity
Enterprise Defined Data Centers
Edge Computing
Every Business Unit is a Technology Startup
Integrated Systems
Bimodal IT
Enterprise Workload Monitoring
Global Data Center Management
Open Compute
8
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
8 Global Data Center Management
PredictiveAnalytics
What will happen?
Workload Analytics
DiagnosticAnalytics
What’s happening now?
What happened?
DescriptiveAnalytics, Audit
Va
lue
Difficulty
How doe’s it all tie together?
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
8 Global Data Center Management
Human Effort
Data
Decision
PredictiveWhat will happen?
DiagnosticWhy did it happen?
DescriptiveWhat happened?
Prescriptive
What should I do?
Analytics
Action
Decision Automation
Decision Support
…
Servers Storage Networking
GDCM
Data CenterCloud Services
Resource tracking at a global scale
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
9 Bimodal IT
Bimodal IT means —
having two modes of IT, each designed to address different information and
technology goals:
Mode 1is traditional
Mode 2is exploratory
Protect the Business
Enable the Business
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
9 Bimodal IT
Think Sprinter
Think Marathon Runner
Mode 2Mode 1
Reliability Goal Agility
Price for
performanceValue
Revenue, brand,
customer experience
Waterfall, V-Model,
high-ceremony IIDApproach
Agile, kanban,
low-ceremony IID
Plan-driven,
approval-basedGovernance
Empirical, continuous,
process-based
Enterprise suppliers,
long-term dealsSourcing
Small, new vendors,
short-term deals
Good at conventional
process, projectsTalent
Good at new and
uncertain projects
IT-centric, removed
from customerCulture
Business-centric,
close to customer
Long (months) Cycle Times Short (days, weeks)
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Enterprise Workload Monitoring10
Who owns it?
Where is it?
What’s it doing?
How’s performance?
Who can diagnose?
KPI Management.
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Growth in IT Complexity
24/7 Support
Faster Change Cycles
Shorter Development
TimelinesEnd User Driving IT
Reduced Budgets
Cloud Services
Skills Shift
Enterprise Workload Monitoring10
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Prepare for organizational disruptions —Externally and internally generated.
Software networks are coming —Begin updating skills now.
Hybrid cloud services are evolving rapidly; evaluate based on need, price, value, viability.
The Internet of Things — IP address will be everywhere — IT must prepare to support them.
Operational complexity will increase —Reduce it via standard platforms and processes.
Recommendations
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Action Plan for CIOs and Enterprise Architects
Monday morning:
- Assess all projects and their relationships — Look horizontally.
- Prioritize based on risk, reward and long-term impact.
Your next 90 days:
- Look again at capacity planning — without presumptions.
- Assess staff skills based on breadth of knowledge and value to the business, not just value to IT.
Your next 12 months:
- Review opportunities to converge networks, infrastructures,and skill sets.
- Establish the impact on other business plans.
© 2014 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Recommended Gartner Research
For more information, stop by Gartner Research Zone.
Emerging Technology Analysis: OpenFlow and Software-
Defined Networking for CSPs
Akshay Sharma (G00233227)
'Big Data' and Content Will Challenge IT Across the Board
Mark Beyer and David Cearley (G00231456)
The Internet of Everything
Mark Raskino and Hung LeHong (G00234337)
Hype Cycle for Cloud Services Brokerage, 2012
Michele Cantara (G00234256)
Gartner Symposium/ITxpo: The world's most important
gathering of CIOs and senior IT executives
31
• Hundreds of analyst-led sessions, workshops, how-to clinics and more
• Role-based tracks designed to address your key priorities and challenges
• Immediately actionable take-aways—a clear action plan for the next three, six and 12 months
• Mastermind Interview Keynotes with industry leaders
• ITxpo exhibit floor with hundreds of top solution providers and exciting startups
October 19 - 22 Sao Paulo, Brazil
October 26 - 29 Gold Coast, Australia
November 2 - 5 Goa, India
November 8 - 12 Barcelona, Spain
September 28 -30 Cape Town, South Africa
October 4 - 8 Orlando, FL
October 14 - 16 Tokyo, Japan
Visit gartner.com/symposium
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