why does it take so long to deploy new technology in...

GSAW 2009

Why does it take so long to deploy new t h l i G d S t D t technology in Ground Segment Data

Systems?

N Peccia – ESA/ESOC25th March 2009

JFK/RB, 2005-11-30

Outline The Top-Down Approach

The European View The Operations Centre View The Industry View

The Bottom-Up approach Collision of Approaches in the “Legacy Systems” arena

H t fi d th i ht b l ? M i I How to find the right balance ? Main Issues

29-08-2008

The European Vision

The ESA Technology Strategy is derived from ESA overall strategy (Agenda 2007 + 2011) th E S L T Pl d EC Whit 2007 + 2011), the European Space Long Term Plan and EC White paper

It presents the technology Cross-Sectorial strategy (i.e. High level strategic objectives applicable transversally to all technology programmes and domains)

d th t h l S t i l t t i (i i d i ) and the technology Sectorial strategies (i.e. service domains).

ESA Global Strategy- Agenda 2007ESA Global Strategy- Agenda 2007EU White PaperEU White Paper European Space LTPEuropean Space LTP

ESA T h l St t TechnologyTechnology

ESA Global Strategy- Agenda 2007ESA Global Strategy- Agenda 2007EU White PaperEU White Paper European Space LTPEuropean Space LTP

ESA T h l St t TechnologyTechnology

Inputs from the progress activities/

achievements of the existing

Programmes (e.g.TRP,

GSTP ARTES




GSTP ARTES

ESA Technology StrategyESA Technology Strategy

Industry ConsultationIndustry Consultation

ESA Technology Long Term PlanESA Technology Long Term Plan

Technology ObservatoryTechnology Observatory

User Programme Needs





GSTP ARTES




GSTP ARTES

ESA Technology StrategyESA Technology Strategy

Industry ConsultationIndustry Consultation

ESA Technology Long Term PlanESA Technology Long Term Plan

Technology ObservatoryTechnology Observatory



W h e r ew e a r e :

•Technology base•Market share•European products portfolio•Future missions

S t r a t e g i c o b j e c t i v e s :

•Increased competitiveness•Prepare and enable future programmes•Advance innovation •Ensure European

S t r a t e g yE l e m e n t s

a n d a c t i o n s

GSTP, ARTES, FLPP, EOEP,

CTP,…)


CTP,…)

….….


CTP,…)


CTP,…)

….….

ESA Technology Strategy ESA Technology Strategy

C S t i l St tCross Sectorial Strategy







•R&D processes• Resources

•Ensure European non-dependence

Sectorial Strategy Sectorial Strategy

Earth Obser ation

Earth Observation

Cross-Sectorial StrategyCross-Sectorial Strategy

Science/ Robotic

Science/ Robotic

Human Space flight/

Human Space flight/ Space

TransportationSpace

Transportation

Telecommuni -cation /



Earth Obser ation

Earth Observation


Science/ Robotic

Science Human Space flight/

Human Space flight/ Exploration Space

TransportationSpace

Transportation



Telecommunication /

Telecommunication /

Telecommunication /

GenericTechnologies &T h i

/


Earth Obser ation

Earth Observation


Science/ Robotic

Science/ Robotic

Human Space flight/

Human Space flight/ Space

TransportationSpace

Transportation




Earth Obser ation

Earth Observation


Science/ Robotic

Science Human Space flight/

Human Space flight/ Exploration Space

TransportationSpace

Transportation



Telecommunication /

Telecommunication /

Telecommunication /

GenericTechnologies &T h i

/

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ObservationObservationExplorationExploration

gExplorationExploration TransportationTransportation

NavigationNavigationObservationObservationExploration

gExplorationPreparation TransportationTransportation

NavigationNavigation NavigationNavigationNavigationTechniquesObservationObservationExplorationExploration

gExplorationExploration TransportationTransportation

NavigationNavigationObservationObservationExploration

gExplorationPreparation TransportationTransportation

NavigationNavigation NavigationNavigationNavigationTechniques

The European Vision

Technology is key strategic element within ESA R&T objectives (including E d d )European non dependence)

ESA has recognized experience and expertise in technology and makes it available to Participating States (i.e. National Agencies, Industry, University)

Technology often key element in attracting new Cooperating or Member States to ESA

ESA successfully demonstrating a coordinating role recognized on European ESA successfully demonstrating a coordinating role recognized on European level for requirements coordination (Dossier 0), technology harmonization and European Space Technology Master Plan (ESTMP)

Technology Monitoring

ESA Technology Master Plan

Monitoring

EuropeanSpace

Technology Master Plan

National AgenciesTechnology Plans

ESANational Agencies

Industry EC

Dossier 0Data

Consoli-dation

IPC IPC R&DContractsMaster Plan

(ESTMP)European Union Technology Plans

Harmonised Roadmaps

EC

Harmonisation

StrategicCompetitiveness

InnovationEnabling

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Harmonisation

TechnologyMapping

Dual use

The European Vision ESA is actually

Supporting industry competitiveness on the market (short term) Supporting industry competitiveness on the market (short term) Preparing and maturing technologies for future projects (medium term,

according to ESA LTP) Stimulating innovation (long term)g ( g )

Main Criticisms Too much reliant by funding for market driven activities

F di t t d t th i ht ti d t th i ht l Funding not guaranteed at the right time and at the right place No ESA-wide (and even less European-wide) product policy No sufficient use of ESA tech. products (product readiness on time) No evaluation of the outcome of technology programmes No evaluation of the outcome of technology programmes Further dispersion Europe wide (in spite of the efficient harmonization process,

because of far-from-complete implementation, leading to gaps and duplications, insufficient volume and insufficient competitiveness of industry)

Lack of efficiency of the more than 500 M€ invested in Europe every year in technology activities

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The European Vision: Suitable Implementation Tracks

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Ops Centre Vision: Elements of ESA/ESOC R&T Initiative

Missions / Customers / Markets

Services &Products

Services &Products

OPS Industry

implementation channels:studies, development activities,

in-orbit demonstration

oduc sProducts

Mission Operations Infrastructure

Technologies and Expertise

urce

s

kinglic

y

technical competence, competition, harmonisation,

European independence, market position

lopm

ent

g p

man

Res

ou

ti lifi ti &D

Net

wor

k

academia, research institutes, industry forums, presentations,

trainees, PhDs

dust

rial P

o

olog

y D

eve

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Humexpertise, qualification,

training, exchanges, recruitments

R&Ind

Tech

no

OPS Centre Vision: D/OPS R&T Top-Level Roadmap

Smart

R&

D Them

e

Smart Operations

AutonomousOperations

es

OPS 2020+

Exomars

MSR

SWARM

GMES / Sentinels

Lisa-PF

L1 (Lisa)

M1

XEUS DarwinBepiColombo

Galileo…

Human Exploration Missions…

Adv. Grd. Stat.

GMES / Sentinels…

XEUS

Darwin

BepiColombo

R&

D Spotligh

Real-Time Ops

Adv. Space Links

Fail. Detect.,Identif.,Recov.

Next Generation FD Methods & Toolshts

Space Situational AwarenessB2B Special Navigation Services

Adv. FD Ops

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2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 20202008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020

OPS Centre Vision: D/OPS R&T Top-Level Roadmap

Spot Lights and ThemesApplications, “Clients”Initiation Development (common / dedicated) Applications, “Clients”Initiation Development (common / dedicated)

p g

Mission A

Mission B

Mission A

Mission B

Application Need : Pull Advanced FD Ops.: Formation Flying

TRP Advanced FD Ops.: Formation FlyingAdvanced FD Ops.: Formation FlyingTRP

SSA

ESTRACK

SSA

ESTRACK

New Technology : Push

TRP TRPTRP TRP

Advanced Space Links

GSP TRP STD

952 933

Advanced Space LinksAdvanced Space Links

GSP TRP STD

952 933

EGOS

ORATOS-NG

EGOS

ORATOS-NG

Strategy for Change

Smart Operations

Improved EfficiencyScalable Ground SegmentDistributed Ops.Virtualised MCSGSP

GSTP

Smart Operations

Improved EfficiencyScalable Ground SegmentDistributed Ops.Virtualised MCSGSP

GSTP

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9TRL 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9TRLIO

DIO

D

29-08-2008

IOIO

R&D Theme Example: Autonomous Operations

“How to evolve current operations and infrastructure”Autonomy in Operations is a change in paradigm Key subjects:

Autonomous Operations – concepts, processes and tools(planning and re-planning, execution, monitoring, diagnosis & repair)Offli t ti Offline space systems operations

Autonomous ground stations

Customers / users Potentially all missions first clients: exploration and science missions Reduced requirements missions Infrastructure (for ground stations) Infrastructure (for ground stations)

Time Horizon: 2008-2015

29-08-2008

Example Spot Light 2: Advanced Space Links

Develop space link technologies and topologies for future needs Key subjects:

IP t t k t l i di ti / d l t l t t k (DTN) IP-type network topologies, disruption- / delay-tolerant networks (DTN) Flexible communication and data relay architectures

Customers / users Future science and exploration missions New Avenue: European Data Relay System

Time Horizon: 2008-2013

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Ops Centre Vision: Why can R&T help ??? R&T is “producing” technologies and expertise

E bli i f b d b Enabling new services for a broader customer base “homework” when addressing the new opportunities (“New Avenues”)

Integrated Applications SSA SSA European Data Relay System Security

new business models: push/pull effects for customers new business models: push/pull effects for customers Enabling potential reductions in fixed cost through higher efficiency, increased

flexibility, disruptive changes

R&T only can help when combined with the right mind set: R&T only can help when combined with the right mind set: Re-orient and be open for new customers, opportunities, technologies Apply / offer already available technologies for scaled/flexible services Be targeted and consequent for implementing R&T results in infrastructure e g Be targeted and consequent for implementing R&T results in infrastructure, e.g.

Single platform / OS convergence Virtualization

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Ops Centre Vision: Why can R&T help ??? Complement D/OPS portfolio of services: “scalable ground

segments”segments” functions, performance, reliability, availability, cost, risk based on negotiated user requirements (performance vs. cost and risk),

“Advanced” “standard” “lower requirements / different risk level” Advanced , standard , lower requirements / different risk level

Enable new operations concepts, services and expertise Future mission needs (mission model) New Avenues Shared / distributed operations concepts (ESA, agencies, commercial operators) Fully transparent ground segment

Enable improved efficiency Provision of OPS services Development, maintenance, operation of OPS infrastructurep , , p

Develop competitivity of European industry in the ground segment EU industry to succeed on global market

ESA to access best ind str prod cts at best price

29-08-2008

ESA to access best industry products at best price

OPS Centre Vision: R&T IFs and its high entropy

D/OPS

Director’s Subcommitteedirect orH/Dept.

TECNET End-To-End Process

OPS R&T Office

TECNET Chairs

TECNET 7TECNET 6

TECNET 5

OPS TECNET Representatives

coordinated / consolidatedR&T NetworkingInitiate, facilitate

coordinate

TD 9 TD 12TD 11TD 10TD 9 TD 12TD 11TD 10

TECNET 4TECNET 3

TECNET 2TECNET 1

OPS Inputs

TECNET 1

Academic

Industry

coordinate

…GSP

GSTPTRP

ESA Study Programmes OPS R&T Technical CommunityIndustry

Institutional(EU, national)

…Proba 3

IOD

Demonstrators

29-08-2008

OPS Centre Vision: An Example of Avionics Cross Sectorial

Reference Building

Discipline Requirements

SystemArchitecture

Developmentand validation

Individual Activity Outputs

SystemIntegration

Final ReportsOutputs

Reference Hardware

ArchitectureCommon

development Building

gBlocks Onboard

Test-BenchValidated Approach

Building Blocks

Avionics

Software

Reference Software

Architecture

p& validationmethodology

and supporting

t l

Building Blocks

Building Blocks

ApproachBuilding

blocks and lessons learned

Comms

Control

Reference Communication

Architecture

toolsGround

Test-Bench

Security

OPS

Building Blocks

Building Blocks

Alignment with Industry

29-08-2008

D/TIA View: An Example for Telecoms

Another ESA Business Model

TRP COMPANY DEVELOPMENT

ProgrammeSYSTEM STUDIESMARKET STUDIES

Another ESA Business Model

P

GSDEVELOPMENTMARKET STUDIES

PROD

QUALIFICATION MODELINDUSTRIALISATION

BB, EBB,EM / PROTOTYPE

TRL 5 a must

75% ESA funded DUC

TRL 6 a must

50% ESA fundedIndustry initiative

75% ESA fundedIndustry initiativeBB, EBB,

EM / PROTOTYPETRL 3, 4 and 5

T100% ESA fundedESA initiative

29-08-2008

The Industry Vision

KEY TO SUCCESS: COMMON UNDERSTANDING OF COMPLEMENTARY ROLE OF INSTITUTIONS INDUSTRY d RESEARCH ORGANISATIONS IN ROLE OF INSTITUTIONS, INDUSTRY and RESEARCH ORGANISATIONS IN EACH AREA.

Emerging technologies and innovative architectural concepts are generally kept fid ti l t l l i fi t tconfidential at company level in a first stage.

Transition from confidential status to European recognition needs in depth technical exchanges. Comparison with alternative technologies needs specific effortsefforts.

Space Industry tends only to support Short / Mid Term Innovation Many projects in internal industry R&D plans correspond to innovation. Innovation in the Technology

Facilities and Tools for Concurrent Engineering Tools, Simulation, Software / Hardware design and development, AIT, Harmonization, Standardization approaches.

Innovation in Ground System Concept & Architecturey Small missions / Single satellite(s) versus Constellation Overall Ground System Architecture (fostering standardization / Interoperability) Low cost HW / SW (use of COTS) and Low cost of operation Low cost of EO Data acquisition and rapid access to data

29-08-2008

Low cost of EO Data acquisition and rapid access to datao Synergies between meteorology and earth observation systems

Models and Policies influencing Technology Several factors are influencing the Technology deployed at ESA, National

Agencies and / or IndustryAgencies and / or Industry Customer Procurement Policy

Space / Ground Procurement (all in one) Multiple OCC / Lack of Ground Synergy Space and Ground are procured separately Towards Common Ground Systems

Customer Ground Segment Facilities Common Areas for different satellites / family of satellites One facility per procured satellite

Customer / Industry Ground Segment Data Systems (SW and HW) Customer / Industry Ground Segment Data Systems (SW and HW) Use of a common infrastructure

For MCS For all Data Systems

Re-usability of previous projects Re-invention of the wheel

Organizational aspects Only 1 group responsible of infrastructure / Data Systems Development Only 1 group responsible of infrastructure / Data Systems Development Different teams responsible of Data Systems Procurement

Innovation, proof of concept, prototype, TRL increase, deployment in Data Systems lead by ESA and / or National Agency

I tit ti l I d t

29-08-2008

Institutional + Industry Only Industry

The Bottom-Up Approach

The SW engineer (without “managerial” dreams (yet)) working as a “civil servant” i ESA N ti l A thi k t T h l i 180 d t in ESA or a National Agency thinks wrt Technology in a 180 degrees apart direction when compared to his managersNew Technology On which Space Ops Domain? Maps any existing driver?

H b id T h l f• Hybrid Technology for behavioural SIM

• SOA / MDA / MDD

Vi t li ti

• RT Ops

• Off-line Ops

• Performance

• Innovation

• Cost reduction

• Competitiveness• Virtualization

• Thin Clients• Model based Sys Eng and Ops Val

Assessment

• Diagnostics

• Optimisation

Competitiveness

• Quality of service

• Reduced time to Ops

R d d R i tOps Val

• Statistical analysis

• Data Warehousing + BI

• Visualisation

• Reporting

• Mission planning

• Reduced Requirements

• Low cost of data acquisition

Sh t ti t• AI Planning + automation

• Genetic Algs

• 3D VR

• Mission planning

• Training

• Automation

• Short time to access data

• etc.

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• Web based applications • Decision Making

• etc.

The Technology Deployment saga

A long process

Tech

nolog

y

Discov

ery

Prototype

Inclusioni

Data Syst in

ystem

GenericProduc o in Pilo

t

ionuctDemo

Missio

Technology Discovery T0Activity in Tech Programme

Start + Prototype TRL 3

Enhanced Tech Development TRL 6

T0 + 1 year

TO + 3 years

TO + 4 yearsInclusion in Data System Delivery

Pilot Mission Usage

Generic Product

T0 + 5 years

T0 + 6 years

T0 + 7 years

29-08-2008

Generic Product T0 + 7 years

Collision of Approaches in the “Legacy Systems” arena

Simple technologies takes until 5 years to be deployed in the ESA/ESOC Data Systems,

Tech

nolog

y

Discov

ery

Prototype

Inclusion in

Data System Te

chno

logy

Discov

ery

Prototype

Inclusion

Data Syshnolo

gyov

ery

Prototype

IncD

and 7 years to be operationally demonstrated

Tech

nolog

y

Discov

ery

Prototype

Inclusion i

Data Systechn

ology

cove

ry

Prototype

Inclu

Dat gy Prototype

Top-DownGeneric

ProductDemo in

Pilot

Mission

n in

ystem

GenericProduct

Demo in Pilo

t

Mission

Tech

nDisc

ov

clusion in

Data System

GenericProduct

Demo in Pilo

t

Mission

in

ystem

GenericProduct

Demo in Pilo

t

Mission

Tec

Discusion in

ata System

GenericProduct

Demo in Pilo

t

Mission

Tech

nolo

gy

Discov

ery

PrototypeInclusion in

Data System

GenericProduct

Demo in Pilo

t

Mission

ID Task Name1 Data System Release 12 Data System Release 23 Data System Release 3

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

y P t t

4 Data System Release 45 Data Systems Release 56 Data System Release 6

Tech

nolo

gy

Discov

ery

Prototype

Inclusion in

Data System

GenericProduct

Demo in Pilo

t

Mission

And every release shall be mature 3 months prior to Mission SVT0(normally 1.5 / 2 years before Launch

29-08-2008

Other technologies (C++ , CORBA) are kept for 10 – 20 years Bottom-UP

How to find the right balanceVision, Strategy, Roadmap, Objectives, Plans

Fast Prototyping

Is it possible to speed up

Industry & R&D Budget

What is important

for a manager Secure Funding

Is it possible to speed up Tech Programmes ? Learning, Formation

Business Modelg

And / or a technology

Engineer ?

Secure Funding

Technology DiscoveryTechnology Deployment

How can we convince users

To deploy technology in their systems?!! Organizational High Entropy!!

Long Term Maintainability

Balance between Products and a “good prototype”

SUCCESS ORIENTED

!! Gaps & Duplications !!

29-08-2008

g yHow many technologies are failing to be deployed ?

why does it take so long to deploy new technology in...

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