wind tre · • arpu decrease to 10.6 €/month(-4.1%) impacted by lower pay-per-use and extra...
TRANSCRIPT
2
Regulation
Integrate
Other
Optimize
Differentiate
H1 2018 highlights
• Persistent and intense competition in both mobile and fixed markets
• Pricing pressure led by new entrant, main operators reacting with second brands and dedicated offers
• Solar monthly billing cycle applied since April per legal mandate
• 5G rules issued by authorities; auction scheduled to take place in September 2018
• Integration planning well advanced with cumulative synergies achieved at 245M€ as of the end of June,
corresponding to an annual run-rate of OPEX synergies of 284M€ out of 490M€ final target
• More than 40% reduction in interest expense YoY, resulting in annualized savings of 270M€
External environment
Internal progress
• Strategy confirmed in mobile: rational, targeted acquisition strategy focused on value
• Strategic progress in fixed-line: acceleration on fixed-mobile convergence and strong FTTx growth
• Radio consolidation re-started with ZTE and Ericsson as partners
• Several internal projects ongoing to streamline, simplify and merge operational processes
• U.S. denial order on ZTE, though now lifted after three months, has slowed Wind Tre’s network consolidation
and modernization process
Market
3
Strategy update
Building an healthier Customer Base
Main value driver
• Dedicated M4M & M4S ATL & One2One offers
• Tailored campaigns for subscribers renewal on tied customer base to increase loyalty
• Push on upselling opportunities with dedicated fixed/mobile convergent offers
• Strengthen partnership with smartphone vendors to increase tied customers
Customer Value
Management
empowered
Offer
improvement
and portfolio
completion
• Push on tied offers on both brands
• Accelerate FTTx customer base growth through dedicated local campaigns and POS
productivity increase
• Reinforce convergent offer launching a dedicated hard bundle
• Focus on business segment both on commercial offer and sales channels, increasing
market share once network consolidation is advanced
Main actions
4
Network update
Mobile radio
• ~35% of mobile radio access network target already consolidated & modernized,
including Rome, Milan and Bologna
• Network performance in consolidated areas comparable to the best in Country
• Introduced Ericsson as 2nd radio supplier
• U.S. Department of Commerce lifted Denial Order on ZTE; operations have re-
started after three months stop
Core network
• Core network consolidation & transformation to TelcoCloud kicked off
• Network Function Virtualization infrastructure implementation planned for 2019
IT
• Consolidation progressing according to plan, delivering expected synergies
5
Network & IT
Commercial
SG&A & HR
Synergies
1. CAPEX synergies are calculated as difference between Wind Tre CAPEX at the end of the plan and the sum of 2016 CAPEX of Wind and H3G on a stand-alone basis
OPEX
CAPEX
490M€Annual run-rate
OPEX synergies
Annual run-rate CAPEX synergies1 210M€
Finance
Expense700M€
total synergies
270M€annual interest savings
on top of
167
49078
FY 2017 H1 2018 FY 2018E FY 2019E Run-rate
~90%(M€, %)
PlanAchieved
~60%Achieved as % of
run-rate100%
Cumulative 245M€
Network & IT
Annual Run-rate 284M€
• 40.4% saving YoY (137M€) in H1 2018
6
Financial highlights H1 2018
Total Revenue
-10.1% vs H1 2017
2,771M€
995M€
516M€
-4.1% vs H1 2017
1,901M€
-8.8% vs H1 2017
Mobile TLC revenues
Fixed TLC revenues
EBITDA1
EBITDA1 Margin
35.9%
Op. Cash Flow(EBITDA1 – CAPEX)
535M€
+0.2% vs H1 2017
FY 2017: 9,695M€
Net Debt2
9,576M€
Leverage ratio2
FY 2017: 4.4x
4.5x
Note: H1 2018 financial data are reported in accordance with IFRS 15. H1 2018 figures based on IAS 18 are used for “like-for-like comparison purposes” (where needed). For further details please refer to back-up slides
1. H1 2018 EBITDA before approx. 60M€ of one-off integration costs. H1 2017 EBITDA before approx. 140M€ of one-off integration costs
2. Leverage ratio calculated on H1 2018 LTM EBITDA, under IAS 18, before one-off integration costs of approx. 186M€. FY 2017 EBITDA before one-off integration costs of approx. 266M€.
-8.5% vs H1 2017
on a like-for-like basis
+60 bps vs H1 2017
on a like-for-like basis
7
Total – Revenue & EBITDA
2,624 2,417 2,418
377 319 319
82
34 34
3,083 2,770 2,771
H1 2017 H1 2018 IAS 18 H1 2018 IFRS 15
CPEOther
Total
Service
revenue
-10.1%
-15.5%
-7.9%
• 10.1% total revenue decline (-313M€) mainly due to:
➢ 7.9% service revenue decrease (-206M€) concentrated in
mobile consumer segment
➢ 15.5% CPE1 revenue decrease (-58M€) due to lower
handset sales offset by increased volumes coming from the
fixed-line equipment sales
➢ 48M€ other revenue decline mainly coming from the fixed-
line segment
Revenue (M€) Highlights
33.7% 34.4%35.9%
Note: H1 2018 financial data are reported in accordance with IFRS 15. H1 2018 figures based on IAS 18 are used for “like-for-like comparison purposes” (where needed). For further details please refer to back-up slides
1. CPE = Customer Premises Equipment
2. H1 2018 EBITDA before approx. 60M€ of one-off integration costs. H1 2017 EBITDA before approx. 140M€ of one-off integration costs
+60bps
1,040 952 995
H1 2017 H1 2018 IAS 18 H1 2018 IFRS 15
-8.5%
EBITDA1 and Margin (M€, %)
(Like-for-like comparison)
• 8.5% EBITDA2 decline on a like-for-like basis (-88M€) due to
pressure on top line, partially offset by synergies and cost
efficiencies
• 60bps EBITDA2 margin increase on a like-for-like basis
(Like-for-like comparison)
8
Mobile – Revenue & EBITDA
2,085 1,901 1,901
365 262 262
42
28 28
2,492 2,191 2,191
H1 2017 H1 2018 IAS 18 H1 2018 IFRS 15
-8.8%
Other
Total
Service
revenue
-12.1%
CPE
Revenue (M€) Highlights
Note: H1 2018 financial data are reported in accordance with IFRS 15. H1 2018 figures based on IAS 18 are used for “like-for-like comparison purposes” (where needed). For further details please refer to back-up slides
1. EBITDA before integration costs
857 786 829
H1 2017 H1 2018 IAS 18 H1 2018 IFRS 15
34.4%35.9%
37.8%
-8.3%
+150bps
EBITDA1 and Margin (M€, %)
(Like-for-like comparison)
• 8.3% EBITDA1 decline on a like-for-like basis (-71M€) due to
top line pressure, not completely offset by synergies and cost
cutting initiatives
• 150bps EBITDA1 margin increase on a like-for-like basis
(Like-for-like comparison)• 12.1% mobile revenue decrease (-301M€), mainly due to:
➢ 8.8% service revenue decrease (-184M€) as a result of
highly competitive market impacting both customer base
and ARPU
➢ 28.3% low-margin CPE revenue decline (-104M€) due to
lower handset sales coupled with a tighter credit policy,
introduced from second half of 2017, aimed to increase
the quality of the customer base
9
Mobile performance
ARPU (€/month)
Customer base (M)
• Reduction in mobile customer base due to highly competitive
market characterized by:
➢ dedicated offers
➢ overall mobile number portability balance worsening with
aggressive new market entrant
• Network consolidation delay negatively impacting Wind Tre’s
ability to compete and retain customers in non consolidated
areas
• Mobile internet users, at 19.3 million, representing 67% of the
customer base
30.3 28.6
H1 2017 H1 2018
Highlights
-5.3%
11.1 10.6
H1 2017 H1 2018
-4.1%
• ARPU decrease to 10.6 €/month (-4.1%) impacted by lower
pay-per-use and extra bundle revenue due to increased data
allowance, attributable to both monthly billing requirements
and market competition
• Data ARPU at 5.7€/month, stable YoY
10
Fixed-line – Revenue and EBITDA
EBITDA1 and Margin (M€, %)
Revenue (M€)
183 166
H1 2017 H1 2018
30.9%
28.6%
-9.4%
-230bps
• 2.0% decline in fixed-line revenue (-12M€) due to:
➢ 4.1% decline in service revenue (-22M€) as a consequence
of the replacement of old ADSL customers with new FTTx
subscribers at lower ARPU
➢ decrease in other revenue (-35M€) mainly related to one-off
adjustment on regulated tariffs registered in H1 2017
These drivers were partially offset by:
➢ higher CPE revenue (+45M€), derived from the new
modem/router selling proposition introduced in Q4 2017
539 516
12 57 41 6
591 579
H1 2017 H1 2018
-4.1%
-2.0%
Other
Total
Service
revenue
1. EBITDA before integration costs
Highlights
CPE
• 9.4% EBITDA1 decline (-17M€) mainly impacted by other
revenue decline
• 230 bps EBITDA1 margin decrease at 28.6%
11
Fixed-line performance
Customer base (M)
• Direct fixed-line customer base slightly increasing (+1.1%)
to 2.55 million thanks to continued strong progress on FTTx
acquisitions
• FTTx customers at approx. 26% of direct subscriber base
tripled year over year
0.21 0.16
2.52 2.55
2.73 2.71
H1 2017 H1 2018
+1.1%
Indirect
Direct
Total
Highlights
ARPU (€/month)
27.8 27.0
H1 2017 H1 2018
-2.9%
• 2.9% fixed-line ARPU decline (to 27.0 €/month), mainly due
to a highly competitive environment increasing churn of old
customers with higher ARPU coupled with new gross
additions with lower monthly fees
12
CAPEX
CAPEX (M€, %)
506
417 459
H1 2017 H1 2018 IAS 18 H1 2018 IFRS 15
17.6%19.9%
CAPEX1 on
revenue (LTM)
-17.6%
(Like-for-like comparison)
Note: H1 2018 financial data are reported in accordance with IFRS 15. H1 2018 figures based on IAS 18 are used for “like-for-like comparison purposes” (where needed). For further details please refer to back-up slides
1. H1 CAPEX on revenue (LTM) under IAS 18
• 17.6% decline in CAPEX on a like-for-like basis due to delay
in network consolidation and modernization roll-out activities
(ZTE ban)
Network KPIs
Mobile
• ~97% 4G/LTE population coverage
• ~35% sites consolidated with significant network performance
improvement
Fixed
• ~70% LLU direct coverage
• ~60% FTTx coverage
• ~36,100 km of fiber optic backbone
13
P&L Highlights
* like-for-like comparison based on 2018 and 2017 financial data both following IAS 18 standard. For further details please refer to back-up slides
H1 2017
(M€) IAS 18 IFRS 15IFRS 15
ImpactIAS 18 Change
Change
(%)Highlights
Revenue (Service rev. & CPE/HS rev.) 3,001 2,737 (0) 2,737 (264) (8.8)%
Other Revenue 82 34 - 34 (48) (58.9)%
Total Revenue 3,083 2,771 (0) 2,770 (313) (10.1)%
EBITDA before integration costs 1,040 995 (42) 952 (88) (8.5)%
Integration costs (140) (60) - (60) 80 (57.1)%
EBITDA 900 935 (42) 892 (8) (0.9)%
Depreciation & amortization (766) (718) 52 (666) 100 (13.1)%
EBIT before exceptionals 134 217 10 226 92 68.9%
Impairment/write off and revised useful life
on NTW assets to be dismissed(855) (373) - (373) 482 n.a.
Including revised useful lives (in line with roll-out plan)
related to network infrastructures to be modernized and to
be offered to Iliad (full effect spread between 2017 and
2018)
EBIT (721) (156) 10 (147) 574 n.a.
Finance income 54 51 - 51 (3) (5.6)%
Finance expenses (339) (202) - (202) 137 (40.4)% Effect of refinancing of the capital structure
Net foreign exchange gains/(losses) (2) (1) - (1) 1 (50.0)%
EBT (1,008) (308) 10 (299) 709 n.a.
Income Tax (42) (9) (3) (12) 30 n.a.2017 includes (25) M€ deferred tax assets adjustment due
to decrease of tax rate in Luxemburg
Net Result (1,050) (317) 7 (311) 739 n.a.
H1 2018H1 2018 vs. H1 2017
like-for-like*
14
Capital structure
1. H1 2018 LTM EBITDA, under IAS 18, before one-off integration costs of approx. 186M€. FY 2017 EBITDA before one-off integration costs of approx. 266M€.
2. Intercompany credit towards former WAHF: approx. 1,140M€ at year end 2017 and approx. 1,191M€ in H1 2018; Intercompany loan towards former 3 Italia S.p.A. and former H3G Italy investments S.a.r.l.: approx. 1,764M€
at year end 2017 and 1,788M€ in H1 2018
(M€)As of
Dec. 31, 2017
As of
June 30, 2018Change
June 30, 2018
on H1 2018
LTM EBITDA
Cash and Equivalents (612) (862) (250) (0.4x)
Bank Loan 2,970 2,974 4 1.4x
EUR Senior Secured Notes 2023 1,619 1,641 22 0.8x
EUR Senior Secured Floating Rate Notes 2024 2,242 2,245 3 1.1x
EUR Senior Secured Notes 2025 1,760 1,788 28 0.8x
USD Senior Secured Notes 2026 1,665 1,755 90 0.8x
Derivatives and Other 51 34 (16) 0.0x
Total External Net Debt (excluding Intercompany Loans) 9,695 9,576 (118) 4.5x
LTM EBITDA1 2,211 2,123
Total External Net Debt / LTM EBITDA1 ratio 4.4x 4.5x
Intercompany Loans2 624 597
Total Net Debt 10,319 10,173
Total Net Debt / LTM EBITDA1 ratio 4.7x 4.8x
2
4
4
2
4
15
Gross debt breakdown and maturity profile1
450
600
1,950
1,625
2,250
1,7501,700
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
M€
Average interest rate2
~2.7%
5.00%
Term Loan A
3.125%Euribor + 2.75%2.625%
(USD 2,000 M)
1. Notional amounts. USD tranche has been converted at Cross Currency Swaps €/USD Exchange Rate
2. Nominal annual interest rate including hedging costs
Euribor + 2.00% Euribor + 2.00% Euribor + 2.00%
USD SSNsEUR SSNsEUR FRNsEUR SSNs
16
CEO Final remarks
• Generating good momentum and progress in fixing the basics across
our key customer touchpoints
• Network consolidation to re-start leveraging both ZTE and Ericsson;
completion expected by 2019
• Strategy pillars confirmed: value vs. volume, exiting low margin offers,
improving offer transparency, accelerating Fixed-Mobile
Convergence across the consumer and business segments, FTTx
coverage enhancement
• Addressing policy challenges with the relevant stakeholders both as
an industry as well as issues specific to Wind Tre
• New leadership team in place with a clear sense of direction, purpose
and urgency
19
Revenue
From IAS 18 to IFRS 15 (1/2)
• 2018 figures: IFRS15 compliant
• 2017 figures: unchanged IAS18 compliant
In adopting IFRS15 Wind Tre opted for the
modified retrospective approach which implies: Proper disclosure of “Beginning of Period”
balances and P&L adjustments are provided in
relation to figures affected by IFRS15 adoption
• IFRS15 adoption limited to ‘direct sales channel’
• Revenue allocation with Stand-alone Selling Price
method in line with current revenue recognition
model
Bundle
offers
Activation
fees
• Activation fees will be allocated to the separate
performance obligations included in the offer
• Revenue recognized consistently with the timing of
the separate performance obligations
None
“Beginning of
Period”
adjustment
Recurrent
adjustment
None
Not
relevant
7M€
Deferred income
20
From IAS 18 to IFRS 15 (2/2)
1. H1 2018 EBITDA before approx. 60M€ of one-off integration costs; H1 2017 EBITDA before approx. 140M€ of one-off integration costs.
Customer
Acquisition
Costs
Recurrent adjustment
• Impact mainly due to commissions on
non-lock-in offers (mobile only) to be
treated as an asset
• Amortisation of these assets will be
represented below EBITDA
• Amortization period is on a straight line
basis and consistent with the relevant
average life of such customer segment
None
95M€
Asset
recognition
“Beginning of Period”
adjustment
EBITDA1 (M€)
D&A (M€)
994 952
43
H1 2018(IFRS 15)
from OPEXto CAPEX
Q1 2018(IAS 18)
H1 2018(IFRS 15)
IFRS 15variance
H1 2018(IAS 18)
( )
(1,091) (1,039)
52
21
Mobile – Focus on internet performance
Mobile internet customer base1 (M, €/month)
Mobile internet revenue (M€)
1. Mobile internet users include customers that have performed at least one mobile internet event in the previous month
719 713
H1 2017 H1 2018
-0.8%
19.3 19.3
H1 2017 H1 2018
stable
67%64%Percentage
on total CB
Highlights
Data ARPU5.7 5.7
stable
• Stable mobile internet users1 at 19.3 million, representing
67% of total customers
• Stable Data ARPU at 5.7 €/month
• Slight decrease of internet revenue (-6M€) negatively
affected by increased data allowance
22
Fixed-line – Focus on broadband performance
Broadband customer base and ARPU (M, €/month)
Broadband revenue (M€)
2.38 2.41
H1 2017 H1 2018
+1.1%
21.8 20.7
-5.1%ARPU
307 296
H1 2017 H1 2018
-3.5%
Highlights
• 3.5% fixed-line broadband revenue decline (-11M€) due to
the replacement of old ADSL customers with new FTTx
subscribers at lower ARPU
• 1.1% fixed-line broadband customer base growth driven
by acceleration on convergence and FTTx with FTTx gross
additions almost tripled vs. 2017
• 5.1% broadband ARPU decrease (reaching 20.7 €/month)
mainly due to substitution of old customers with legacy offers
and higher ARPU with new gross additions at a lower monthly
fee due to competitive environment
23
Disclaimers
Rounding
Certain numerical figures set out in this results presentation, including financial data and percentages, have been subject to
rounding adjustments and, as a result, the totals may vary slightly from the actual arithmetic totals and could differ from the
consolidated financial statements of Wind Tre.
Forward-looking statements
This document contains predictions of events and future results of Wind Tre that are based on the current expectations,
estimates and projections regarding the sector in which the company operates and on the current opinions of its
management. These elements have by their nature a component of risk and uncertainty, because they depend on future
events taking place. It should be noted that the actual results may differ significantly from those announced due to a
multiplicity of factors, including global economic conditions, the impact of competition, and political, economic and regulatory
developments in Italy.
Investor relations department [email protected]
+39 02 3011 3510
+39 06 83 111