within-week variability and long-term trends in traffic, power plant emissions, and ambient co, no y...

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Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer L. Perry* and Patrick M. Owens Department of Chemistry Winthrop University, Rock Hill, SC 29733 *Current address: Department of Chemistry, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708

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Page 1: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NOy and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area

Jennifer L. Perry* and Patrick M. OwensDepartment of ChemistryWinthrop University, Rock Hill, SC 29733

*Current address: Department of Chemistry, Duke University, Durham, NC 27708

Page 2: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

2

Objectives

Show Charlotte regional growth by traffic volumes and power plant emissions

Characterize trends in NOy, CO, Hydrocarbon, and Ozone monitoring data

Understand how traffic and power plant emission fluctuations within each week affect pollutant levels

Page 3: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

3

Type of Data Monitoring

SiteSelected Data

Traffic Counts

Interstate I-77Jun-Aug, 1990-1997 

South Blvd, Wilkinson Blvd,

Graham St.

May-Sep, 1990-1997(8-9 AM, 6-7 PM, daily)

Mecklenburg County Ambient

Air Monitors

Plaza, County Line

 O3 : May-Sep, ’90-00CO: May-Sep, ’93-00NOy: May-Sep, ’95-00

Hydrocarbons, ’95-99 

Arrowwood O3: May-Sep, ’90-00

Power Plant Emission Monitors

(CEM)

Riverbend, AllenMarshall, Buck

NOx: May-Sep, ’96-00

 

Page 4: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

4

Traffic Locations, Monitoring Sites, & Power Plants

Page 5: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

5

Regional NOx Sources

1997 Gaston County Power Plant Emissions 12,930 tons (Allen) 3,780 tons (Riverbend)

1996 Mecklenburg County Emissions 17,295 tons (mobile sources) 687 tons (stationary sources)

Page 6: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

6

Traffic Sites

Roadway Tachograph Loc. Data Available

Interstate 77 SC Welcome CenterBetween Exits 88 & 90

June-August 1990-1997(Hourly data)

South Blvd (Hwy521)

Between Poindexter &Marsh @ Pepsi Plant

May-Sept 1990-1998, (7-8AM, 5-6PM, Daily)

Wilkinson Blvd (Hwy 29&74)

Remount RdIntersection

May-Sept 1990-1998,(7-8AM, 5-6PM, Daily)

Graham St. Past Railroad Tracks @ 12th St.

May-Sept 1990-1998,(7-8AM, 5-6PM, Daily)

Page 7: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

7

I-77 Traffic Volume vs. Time of Day

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Time of Day (Hour)

Ho

url

y V

olu

me

Sun Mon Tues Wed

Thu Fri Sat

Page 8: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

8

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23

Time of Day

Avg

Ho

url

y N

O y

Co

nce

ntr

atio

n (

pp

b)

Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday

Thursday Friday Saturday

May-Sep ‘95-‘98 Plaza Average Hourly NOy

Page 9: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

9

May-Sep ‘93-‘98 Plaza Average Hourly CO

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23Time of Day (Hour)

Avg

. H

ou

rly

CO

R

ead

ing

(p

pb

)

Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday

Thursday Friday Saturday

Page 10: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

10

1990-1998 May-Sep Diurnal Charlotte Ozone Averages

By Day of Week (weekend days-lines, weekdays-markersCounty Line

0

0. 01

0. 02

0. 03

0. 04

0. 05

0. 06

0. 07

0. 08

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

Arrowwood

0

0. 01

0. 02

0. 03

0. 04

0. 05

0. 06

0. 07

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23

Plaza

0

0. 01

0. 02

0. 03

0. 04

0. 05

0. 06

0. 07

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1415 16 17 18 19 2021 22 23

Page 11: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

11

Day of Week NOx Emissions from

Four Coal-fired Plants near Charlotte

-25

-20

-15-10

-5

0

510

15

20

Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat

Day of Week

% D

iffe

ren

ce f

rom

7-D

ay

Av

era

ge

Allen

Riverbend

Marshall

Buck

Page 12: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

12

Coal-fired Power Plant Hourly NOx Emissions by Day of Week for a Recent

Season

25.00

30.00

35.00

40.00

45.00

50.00

55.00

0 5 10 15 20

Hour of Day

Dai

ly T

on

s

NO

x E

mis

sio

ns

Sun

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Page 13: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

13

Day of Week Variation at Fontana Urban BTEX Sampling Site

-0.15

-0.1

-0.05

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

Sun-Thu Thu-Sat Sat-Sun

Benzene

Toluene

m/p-Xylene

I-77 Traffic Cts

Day of Week Variation at Kennedy Urban BTEX Sampling Site

-0.3

-0.2

-0.1

0

0.1

0.2

Sun-Thu Thu-Sat Sat-Sun

Fra

cti

on

of

Dif

f fr

om

7-D

ay

Av

g

Benzene

Toluene

m/p-Xylene

I-77 TrafficCts

Day of Week Variation in Average Noon to Noon BTEX Levels in Charlotte Aug-Sep ’96 and May-

Aug ’97Day of Week Variation at Dilworth Urban BTEX

Sampling Site

-0.15

-0.1

-0.05

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

Sun-Thu Thu-Sat Sat-Sun

Benzene

Toluene

m/p-Xylene

I-77 TrafficCts

Page 14: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

14

Traffic Growth for I-77 and South Blvd Locations

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998

Year

Average Hour Traffic 8:00 Traffic 18:00 Traffic

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997

Year

Page 15: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

15

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Year

NO

y C

on

cen

trat

ion

(p

pb

)

County Plaza

300

400

500

600

700

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Year

CO

Co

nce

ntr

atio

n (

pp

b)

County Plaza

7-9 AM Yearly NOy and CO Trends at County Line and Plaza

(Gar ’00) Sites

Page 16: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

16

May-Sep Mecklenburg County Ozone Trends

0.04500

0.05000

0.05500

0.06000

0.06500

0.07000

0.07500

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000

Year

County Line Arrowwood Plaza

Page 17: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

17

NOx Emission Trends from the two Coal-fired Power Plants, Allen and Riverbend, near Charlotte

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

70.00

80.00

June July Aug Jun-Aug May-Sep

Avg

To

ns

NO

x /

Day

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

Page 18: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

18

Long-term Trends for Allen & RB NOx Emissions, Power, and Emissions per Unit of

Power

3000.00

4000.00

5000.00

6000.00

7000.00

8000.00

9000.00

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

NO

x em

iss

ion

s +

Gig

aWa

tt-H

ou

rs

2.00

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

5.50

Lb

s N

Ox

/ Meg

aw

att-

hr

Tons NOx emissions GigaWatt-Hours Lbs NOx/Mwt-hr

Page 19: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

19

’95-’99 AM Hydrocarbon Reactivity-weighted Concentration Trends for the

Plaza Site

0

15

30

45

60

75

90

105

120

135

PAMS Tot. Paraffins Olefins Aromatics

MIR

* C

on

ce

ntr

ati

on

(p

pb

C)

1995 1996 1997* 1998 1999

Page 20: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

20

’95-’99 AM NMOC/NOy Ratios for the Plaza Monitoring Site

0

5

10

15

20

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

NM

OC

/NO

y

NOx Limited

VOC Limited

Page 21: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

21

7-8 AM Within Week Fluctuations for NOy, CO and Traffic Data

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

Sun Mon Tue-Fri SatRea

din

g /

7 D

ay A

vera

ge

NOy CO Traffic

Page 22: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

22

May-Sep 1990-1998 Within Week Ozone Averages for the three Mecklenburg County

Monitors

0.95

0.97

0.99

1.01

1.03

1.05

Sun Mon Tue-Fri SatRea

din

g /

7 D

ay A

vera

ge

County Line Arrowwood Plaza

Page 23: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

23

Days Traffic CO NOy Ozone Power NOx

Su/Tu-Fr 0 0 0 0.3373 0

Mo/Tu-Fr 0.7488 0.9473 0.0381 0.3484 0.0023

Sa/Tu-Fr 0 0.0012 0 0.4683 0.0025

P-Values for Day of Week Comparisons of Traffic, Ambient Pollutants, and Power Plant NOx Emissions

Page 24: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

24

Conclusions

AM CO and NOy ambient concentrations correlate well with observed traffic patterns Weekend AM levels much lower than weekdays Monday AM CO comparable to other weekdays Monday AM NOy lower than other weekdays

Within week power plant NOx emissions Tues-Fri 10% above 7-day average Mon & Sat 7.5% below 7-day average Sun 19% below 7-day average Monday AM NOx lowest in week; low Monday AM NOy

ambient levels may be due to this

Page 25: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

25

Conclusions

Total Power Plant NOx emissions from Allen and Riverbend Power Plants are stable From 1996-2000, power generated during

May-Sep by the two Gaston Co. plants increased 27%.

From 1996-2000, NOx emissions per unit of power decreased 20%.

From 1996-2000, total NOX emissions from Allen and Riverbend increased 4%.

Page 26: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

26

Conclusions

Hydrocarbon Trends From 1997-1999, average AM

Hydrocarbons levels at Plaza decreased

The Charlotte metropolitan region appears to be a VOC-limited area 1995-1999 Plaza AM VOC/NOy ratios

are primarily between four and eight.

Ozone within week variation: Weekend ozone levels in Mecklenburg

County are equivalent to weekday levels

Page 27: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

27

RecommendationsFor the city of Charlotte, implement ozone control measures that reduce ambient VOC levels

Replace the use of ozone action days with practices to be implemented throughout ozone season

Evaluate the use of total NOx emissions budgets for all power plants in the Charlotte region

Page 28: Within-Week Variability and Long-Term Trends in Traffic, Power Plant Emissions, and Ambient CO, NO y and Ozone for the Charlotte Metropolitan Area Jennifer

28

AcknowledgementsNorth Carolina Division of Air Quality (Steve Few, Brian Timin)

Winthrop University students (Gentry Ridgeway and Steve Hudson)

City of Charlotte Department of Transportation (Charles Able)

South Carolina Department of Transportation (Joe Boozer)

Duke Energy (Buddy Davis and Kris Knudsen)