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Wayzata Public Schools Enrollment Projections & Facility Utilization Analysis Survival Cohort Method October 29, 2012 Analysis created for Wayzata Public Schools by the Insight Services Department at TeamWorks International, Inc. Centerville, MN

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WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

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Page 1: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Wayzata Public Schools

Enrollment Projections & Facility Utilization Analysis Survival Cohort Method

October 29 , 2012

Analysis created for Wayzata Public Schools by the Insight Services Department at TeamWorks International, Inc.

Centerville, MN

Page 2: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

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OAKWOOD EL.

GREENWOOD EL.

BIRCHVIEW EL. SUNSET HILL EL.GLEASON LAKE EL.

KIMBERLY LANE EL.

PLYMOUTH CREEK EL.

Current Attendance AreasBirchview

Gleason Lake

Greenwood

Kimberly Lane

Oakwood

Plymouth Creek

Sunset Hill

Ê Proposed Housing Developments

Natural Neighborhoods

Wayzata Public SchoolsCurrent Attendance Areas

Page 3: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Birchview Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 82 102 106 119 84 94 96 90 100 102 921 108 92 111 118 122 110 108 111 103 115 1172 103 108 97 117 116 121 110 108 111 104 1163 101 110 108 99 109 124 122 111 109 112 1044 88 99 114 110 103 107 125 123 112 110 1135 94 107 109 111 111 101 110 129 127 115 113

Total Enrollment

576 618 645 674 645 657 672 672 663 659 656

Potential Kindergateners Based on Live Births Birchview Attendance Area

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

400

450

500

550

600

650

700Total Enrollment

Birth Year* 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12

Begin K Year 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18

Births 112 102 134 123 114 118 120 112 125 127 115% Retention** 73.2% 100.0% 79.1% 96.7% 73.7% 79.7% 80.3% 80.3% 80.3% 80.3% 80.3%

*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 100 96 96% 100 90 90% 100 100 100% 100 102 102% 100 92 92%1 110 108 98% 110 111 101% 110 103 94% 110 115 105% 110 117 107%2 115 110 96% 115 108 94% 115 111 96% 115 104 90% 115 116 100%3 100 122 122% 100 111 111% 100 109 109% 100 112 112% 100 104 104%4 108 125 116% 108 123 114% 108 112 104% 108 110 102% 108 113 105%5 108 110 102% 108 129 119% 108 127 117% 108 115 107% 108 113 105%

Practical Capacity

641 672 105% 641 672 105% 641 663 103% 641 659 103% 641 656 102%

Facilities Utilization

Potential Kindergateners Based on Live Births - Birchview Attendance Area

Page 4: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Gleason Lake Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 77 96 108 120 95 109 90 87 95 80 981 126 84 104 127 97 99 107 89 85 93 792 110 125 90 114 133 94 101 109 91 87 953 121 116 122 96 113 133 95 102 110 91 884 118 118 112 125 101 110 134 95 102 111 925 116 119 117 113 123 109 113 137 97 105 113

Total Enrollment

668 658 653 695 662 654 639 619 581 567 565

*In 2010-2011, 21 students from Plymouth Creek were added to Gleason Lake and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Plymouth Creek

*In 2012-2013, 21 students from Kimberly Lane were added to Gleason Lake and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Kimberly Lane

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

Total Enrollment

Birth Year* 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12Begin K Year 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18

Births 105 97 114 100 97 79 82 78 85 72 88% Retention** 73.3% 99.0% 94.7% 120.0% 97.9% 138.0% 110.1% 111.4% 111.4% 111.4% 111.4%

*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 100 90 90% 100 87 87% 100 95 95% 100 80 80% 100 98 98%1 110 107 97% 110 89 81% 110 85 78% 110 93 85% 110 79 72%2 115 101 88% 115 109 95% 115 91 79% 115 87 76% 115 95 83%3 125 95 76% 125 102 81% 125 110 88% 125 91 73% 125 88 70%4 135 134 99% 135 95 70% 135 102 76% 135 111 82% 135 92 68%5 135 113 83% 135 137 101% 135 97 72% 135 105 78% 135 113 84%

Practical Capacity

720 639 89% 720 619 86% 720 581 81% 720 567 79% 720 565 78%

Facilities Utilization

Potential Kindergateners Based on Live Births - Gleason Lake Attendance Area

Page 5: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Greenwood Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12* 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 73 100 93 100 129 109 110 129 110 112 1161 97 87 115 89 117 112 118 119 139 114 1162 107 103 93 113 104 133 129 135 135 154 1263 124 107 108 92 124 115 147 144 150 144 1654 110 130 106 105 104 137 128 163 159 161 1555 118 108 131 107 110 121 150 142 178 170 172

Total Enrollment

629 635 646 606 688 727 781 832 871 855 851

*In 2011-2012 42 students from Plymouth Creek were added to Greenwood and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Plymouth Creek

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

450500550600650700750800850900

Total Enrollment

Birth Year* 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12

Begin K Year 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18

Births 82 61 74 47 57 51 48 55 44 36 47% Retention** 89.0% 163.9% 125.7% 212.8% 226.3% 213.7% 228.4% 234.6% 249.6% 311.1% 247.7%

*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st

** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 120 110 91% 120 129 108% 120 110 92% 120 112 93% 120 116 97%1 132 118 89% 132 119 90% 132 139 105% 132 114 86% 132 116 88%2 137 129 94% 137 135 99% 137 135 99% 137 154 113% 137 126 92%3 125 147 118% 125 144 115% 125 150 120% 125 144 116% 125 165 132%4 135 128 95% 135 163 121% 135 159 118% 135 161 119% 135 155 115%5 135 150 111% 135 142 105% 135 178 132% 135 170 126% 135 172 127%

Practical Capacity

784 781 100% 784 832 106% 784 871 111% 784 855 109% 784 851 108%

Facilities Utilization

Potential Kindergateners Based on Live Births - Greenwood Attendance Area

Page 6: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Kimberly Lane Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 95 82 120 105 64 115 105 85 81 59 611 116 114 110 147 122 83 142 130 105 100 732 114 127 129 117 153 122 87 148 136 110 1053 120 133 132 144 122 151 127 90 155 141 1144 107 130 142 140 147 119 154 130 92 158 1445 113 113 137 152 145 146 122 158 133 95 162

Total Enrollment

665 699 770 805 753 736 737 742 702 663 659

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

P i l Ki d B d Li Bi h Ki b l L A d A

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

850

Total Enrollment

Birth Year* 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12

Begin K Year 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18

Births 59 56 65 55 43 56 59 47 63 56 61% Retention** 161.0% 146.4% 184.6% 190.9% 148.8% 205.4% 178.0% 180.9% 128.6% 105.4% 100.0%

*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 100 105 105% 100 85 85% 100 81 81% 100 59 59% 100 61 61%1 110 142 129% 110 130 118% 110 105 96% 110 100 91% 110 73 66%2 115 87 75% 115 148 129% 115 136 118% 115 110 95% 115 105 91%3 125 127 102% 125 90 72% 125 155 124% 125 141 113% 125 114 92%4 135 154 114% 135 130 96% 135 92 68% 135 158 117% 135 144 107%5 135 122 91% 135 158 117% 135 133 99% 135 95 70% 135 162 120%

Practical Capacity

720 737 102% 720 742 103% 720 702 97% 720 663 92% 720 659 92%

Facilities Utilization

Potential Kindergateners Based on Live Births - Kimberly Lane Attendance Area

Page 7: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Oakwood Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 72 68 84 86 87 59 64 70 67 51 631 71 83 75 83 101 84 63 69 75 72 542 88 74 90 75 86 94 84 63 69 75 723 77 92 71 96 76 88 96 86 65 71 774 85 76 101 77 100 80 92 101 90 68 745 88 85 75 99 80 98 80 93 101 90 68

Total Enrollment

481 478 496 516 530 503 480 482 467 427 409

P i l Ki d B d Li Bi h O k d A d A

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

300

350

400

450

500

550

Total Enrollment

Birth Year* 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12

Begin K Year 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18

Births 77 67 77 83 58 61 55 61 58 44 55% Retention** 93.5% 101.5% 109.1% 103.6% 150.0% 96.7% 117.2% 115.1% 115.1% 115.1% 115.1%

*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 100 64 64% 100 70 70% 100 67 67% 100 51 51% 100 63 63%1 110 63 58% 110 69 63% 110 75 69% 110 72 65% 110 54 49%2 115 84 73% 115 63 55% 115 69 60% 115 75 66% 115 72 62%3 125 96 77% 125 86 69% 125 65 52% 125 71 57% 125 77 62%4 135 92 68% 135 101 75% 135 90 67% 135 68 50% 135 74 55%5 135 80 59% 135 93 69% 135 101 75% 135 90 67% 135 68 50%

Practical Capacity

720 480 67% 720 482 67% 720 467 65% 720 427 59% 720 409 57%

Facilities Utilization

Potential Kindergateners Based on Live Births - Oakwood Attendance Area

Page 8: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Plymouth Creek Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 95 106 116 141 112 150 122 151 171 164 1711 124 120 117 139 153 131 172 140 173 196 1882 122 132 118 114 150 166 139 182 149 183 2083 104 129 144 125 118 161 176 147 193 157 1944 115 112 120 147 128 128 168 183 153 201 1645 102 118 117 119 151 127 130 170 185 155 203

Total Enrollment

662 717 732 785 812 863 906 973 1,024 1,056 1,128

P i l Ki d B d Li Bi h Pl h C k A d A

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

450

550

650

750

850

950

1,050

1,150

1,250

Total Enrollment

Birth Year* 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12

Begin K Year 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18

Births 70 71 69 87 69 78 73 88 102 98 102% Retention** 135.7% 149.3% 168.1% 162.1% 162.3% 192.3% 167.7% 171.5% 167.7% 167.7% 167.7%

*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 100 122 122% 100 151 151% 100 171 171% 100 164 164% 100 171 171%1 110 172 156% 110 140 127% 110 173 157% 110 196 178% 110 188 171%2 115 139 121% 115 182 158% 115 149 129% 115 183 159% 115 208 181%3 125 176 141% 125 147 118% 125 193 154% 125 157 126% 125 194 155%4 135 168 124% 135 183 136% 135 153 113% 135 201 149% 135 164 121%5 135 130 96% 135 170 126% 135 185 137% 135 155 115% 135 203 151%

Practical Capacity

720 906 126% 720 973 135% 720 1024 142% 720 1056 147% 720 1128 157%

Facilities Utilization

Potential Kindergateners Based on Live Births - Plymouth Creek Attendance Area

Page 9: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Sunset Hill Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 88 92 86 91 91 92 81 86 78 104 801 91 92 108 88 104 94 100 88 94 85 1132 109 92 91 110 92 96 93 99 87 93 843 91 105 94 86 103 90 92 90 95 84 894 84 93 100 101 89 101 91 93 91 96 855 90 95 94 104 99 89 102 92 94 92 97

Total Enrollment

553 569 573 580 578 562 560 548 539 554 549

P t ti l Ki d t B d Li Bi th S t Hill Att d A

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

400

450

500

550

600Total Enrollment

Birth Year* 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12

Begin K Year 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18

Births 76 78 81 75 88 93 77 80 74 99 76% Retention** 115.8% 117.9% 106.2% 121.3% 103.4% 98.9% 105.3% 107.9% 105.3% 105.3% 105.3%

*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 100 81 81% 100 86 86% 100 78 78% 100 104 104% 100 80 80%1 110 100 91% 110 88 80% 110 94 85% 110 85 77% 110 113 103%2 115 93 81% 115 99 86% 115 87 76% 115 93 81% 115 84 73%3 125 92 74% 125 90 72% 125 95 76% 125 84 67% 125 89 72%4 135 91 67% 135 93 69% 135 91 67% 135 96 71% 135 85 63%5 135 102 76% 135 92 68% 135 94 70% 135 92 68% 135 97 72%

Practical Capacity

720 560 78% 720 548 76% 720 539 75% 720 554 77% 720 549 76%

Facilities Utilization

Potential Kindergateners Based on Live Births - Sunset Hill Attendance Area

Page 10: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Wayzata School District

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 582 646 713 762 662 728 668 698 702 672 6811 733 672 740 791 816 713 810 746 774 775 7402 753 761 708 760 834 826 743 844 778 806 8063 738 792 779 738 765 862 855 770 877 800 8314 707 758 795 805 772 782 892 888 799 905 8275 721 745 780 805 819 791 807 921 915 822 928

Total Enrollment

4,234 4,374 4,515 4,661 4,668 4,702 4,775 4,867 4,845 4,780 4,813

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

Potential Kindergateners Based on Live Births - Birchview Attendance Area

450

1,450

2,450

3,450

4,450

5,450Total Enrollment

Birth Year* 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12Begin K Year 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18

Births 581 532 614 570 526 536 514 521 551 532 544% Retention** 100.2% 121.4% 116.1% 133.7% 125.9% 135.8% 130.0% 134.0% 127.4% 126.3% 125.2%

*Both Birth Year and Begin K Year is based on a School Year beginning on September 1st and ending on August 31st** %Retention is calculated by taking the total K for that given Begin K Year divided by the total births in that given Birth Year

Grade Capacity* Current

Enrollment 12-13

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 720 728 101% 720 668 93% 720 698 97% 720 702 98% 720 672 93% 720 681 95%1 792 713 90% 792 810 102% 792 746 94% 792 774 98% 792 775 98% 792 740 93%2 827 826 100% 827 743 90% 827 844 102% 827 778 94% 827 806 97% 827 806 97%3 850 862 101% 850 855 101% 850 770 91% 850 877 103% 850 800 94% 850 831 98%4 918 782 85% 918 892 97% 918 888 97% 918 799 87% 918 905 99% 918 827 90%5 918 791 86% 918 807 88% 918 921 100% 918 915 100% 918 822 90% 918 928 101%

Practical Capacity

5025 4702 94% 5025 4775 95% 5025 4867 97% 5025 4845 96% 5025 4780 95% 5025 4813 96%

Facilities Utilization

Potential Kindergateners Based on Live Births - Birchview Attendance Area

Page 11: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Wayzata School District

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 582 646 713 762 662 728 668 698 702 672 6811 733 672 740 791 816 713 810 746 774 775 7402 753 761 708 760 834 826 743 844 778 806 8063 738 792 779 738 765 862 855 770 877 800 8314 707 758 795 805 772 782 892 888 799 905 8275 721 745 780 805 819 791 807 921 915 822 928

Total Enrollment

4,234 4,374 4,515 4,661 4,668 4,702 4,775 4,867 4,845 4,780 4,813

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

450

1,450

2,450

3,450

4,450

5,450Total Enrollment

Grade Capacity* Current

Enrollment 12-13

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 720 728 101% 720 668 93% 720 698 97% 720 702 98% 720 672 93% 720 681 95%1 792 713 90% 792 810 102% 792 746 94% 792 774 98% 792 775 98% 792 740 93%2 827 826 100% 827 743 90% 827 844 102% 827 778 94% 827 806 97% 827 806 97%3 850 862 101% 850 855 101% 850 770 91% 850 877 103% 850 800 94% 850 831 98%4 918 782 85% 918 892 97% 918 888 97% 918 799 87% 918 905 99% 918 827 90%5 918 791 86% 918 807 88% 918 921 100% 918 915 100% 918 822 90% 918 928 101%

Practical Capacity

5025 4702 94% 5025 4775 95% 5025 4867 97% 5025 4845 96% 5025 4780 95% 5025 4813 96%

Facilities Utilization

Page 12: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Wayzata Public Schools

Enrollment Projections & Facility Utilization Analysis Attendance Area Scenario #3

Neighborhoods 54,55 & 56 – Birchview to Sunset Hill Neighborhood 42 – Oakwood to Gleason Lake

Neighborhoods 8,9,10, 11A, 12 & 13 – Greenwood to Oakwood Neighborhoods 2 & 3 – Greenwood to Kimberly Lane Neighborhood 30 – Plymouth Creek to Kimberly Lane

Neighborhoods 33 & 34 – Plymouth Creek to Oakwood

October 29 , 2012

Analysis created for Wayzata Public Schools by the Insight Services Department at TeamWorks International, Inc.

Centerville, MN

Page 13: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

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OAKWOOD EL.

GREENWOOD EL.

BIRCHVIEW EL. SUNSET HILL EL.GLEASON LAKE EL.

KIMBERLY LANE EL.

PLYMOUTH CREEK EL.

Attendance Area Color CodeBirchview

Gleason Lake

Greenwood

Kimberly Lane

Oakwood

Plymouth Creek

Sunset Hill

Ê Proposed Housing Developments

Natural Neighborhoods

Wayzata Public SchoolsAttendance Area Scenario #3

Page 14: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Birchview Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 82 102 106 119 84 94 74 69 77 79 711 108 92 111 118 122 110 88 90 84 94 962 103 108 97 117 116 121 85 84 86 80 893 101 110 108 99 109 124 95 87 85 87 824 88 99 114 110 103 107 96 95 87 85 875 94 107 109 111 111 101 84 98 97 88 87

Total Enrollment

576 618 645 674 645 657 524 524 516 514 512

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

400

450

500

550

600

650

700Total Enrollment

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 100 74 74% 100 69 69% 100 77 77% 100 79 79% 100 71 71%1 110 88 80% 110 90 82% 110 84 77% 110 94 85% 110 96 87%2 115 85 74% 115 84 73% 115 86 75% 115 80 70% 115 89 78%3 100 95 95% 100 87 87% 100 85 85% 100 87 87% 100 82 82%4 108 96 89% 108 95 88% 108 87 80% 108 85 79% 108 87 81%5 108 84 78% 108 98 91% 108 97 90% 108 88 82% 108 87 80%

Practical Capacity

641 524 82% 641 524 82% 641 516 81% 641 514 80% 641 512 80%

Facilities Utilization

Page 15: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Gleason Lake Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 77 96 108 120 95 109 97 95 102 86 1051 126 84 104 127 97 99 120 103 101 108 902 110 125 90 114 133 94 111 117 98 96 1033 121 116 122 96 113 133 115 120 124 106 1044 118 118 112 125 101 110 149 112 117 122 1045 116 119 117 113 123 109 120 145 106 113 119

Total Enrollment

668 658 653 695 662 654 712 691 649 630 626

*In 2010-2011, 21 students from Plymouth Creek were added to Gleason Lake and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Plymouth Creek

*In 2012-2013, 21 students from Kimberly Lane were added to Gleason Lake and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Kimberly Lane

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

500

550

600

650

700

750

Total Enrollment

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 100 97 97% 100 95 95% 100 102 102% 100 86 86% 100 105 105%1 110 120 109% 110 103 94% 110 101 92% 110 108 98% 110 90 82%2 115 111 96% 115 117 101% 115 98 86% 115 96 83% 115 103 90%3 125 115 92% 125 120 96% 125 124 99% 125 106 85% 125 104 83%4 135 149 110% 135 112 83% 135 117 87% 135 122 90% 135 104 77%5 135 120 89% 135 145 107% 135 106 79% 135 113 84% 135 119 88%

Practical Capacity

720 712 99% 720 691 96% 720 649 90% 720 630 88% 720 626 87%

Facilities Utilization

450

Page 16: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Greenwood Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12* 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 73 100 93 100 129 109 97 112 93 103 1071 97 87 115 89 117 112 102 100 115 101 1032 107 103 93 113 104 133 118 121 117 144 1173 124 107 108 92 124 115 131 124 128 131 1504 110 130 106 105 104 137 120 151 144 154 1495 118 108 131 107 110 121 150 142 178 170 172

Total Enrollment

629 635 646 606 688 727 720 750 775 802 797

*In 2011-2012 42 students from Plymouth Creek were added to Greenwood and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Plymouth Creek

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

850Total Enrollment

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 120 97 81% 120 112 93% 120 93 77% 120 103 85% 120 107 89%1 132 102 78% 132 100 75% 132 115 87% 132 101 77% 132 103 78%2 137 118 86% 137 121 88% 137 117 85% 137 144 105% 137 117 86%3 125 131 105% 125 124 100% 125 128 102% 125 131 105% 125 150 120%4 135 120 89% 135 151 112% 135 144 107% 135 154 114% 135 149 110%5 135 150 111% 135 142 105% 135 178 132% 135 170 126% 135 172 127%

Practical Capacity

784 720 92% 784 750 96% 784 775 99% 784 802 102% 784 797 102%

Facilities Utilization

Page 17: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Kimberly Lane Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 95 82 120 105 64 115 111 93 90 67 701 116 114 110 147 122 83 152 138 115 111 842 114 127 129 117 153 122 94 158 144 120 1163 120 133 132 144 122 151 140 101 169 153 1294 107 130 142 140 147 119 164 140 101 169 1545 113 113 137 152 145 146 127 164 140 100 169

Total Enrollment

665 699 770 805 753 736 788 794 758 721 721

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

850

Total Enrollment

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 100 111 111% 100 93 93% 100 90 90% 100 67 67% 100 70 70%1 110 152 138% 110 138 125% 110 115 104% 110 111 101% 110 84 76%2 115 94 82% 115 158 138% 115 144 125% 115 120 104% 115 116 101%3 125 140 112% 125 101 81% 125 169 135% 125 153 122% 125 129 103%4 135 164 121% 135 140 104% 135 101 75% 135 169 125% 135 154 114%5 135 127 94% 135 164 122% 135 140 104% 135 100 74% 135 169 126%

Practical Capacity

720 788 109% 720 794 110% 720 758 105% 720 721 100% 720 721 100%

Facilities Utilization

Page 18: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Oakwood Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 72 68 84 86 87 59 93 108 109 85 971 71 83 75 83 101 84 89 94 106 97 802 88 74 90 75 86 94 114 105 110 114 1163 77 92 71 96 76 88 117 109 101 92 1024 85 76 101 77 100 80 110 122 111 93 925 88 85 75 99 80 98 106 128 139 120 109

Total Enrollment

481 478 496 516 530 503 629 666 676 601 596

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

Total Enrollment

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 100 93 93% 100 108 108% 100 109 109% 100 85 85% 100 97 97%1 110 89 81% 110 94 85% 110 106 96% 110 97 88% 110 80 73%2 115 114 99% 115 105 91% 115 110 95% 115 114 99% 115 116 101%3 125 117 94% 125 109 87% 125 101 81% 125 92 74% 125 102 82%4 135 110 81% 135 122 90% 135 111 82% 135 93 69% 135 92 68%5 135 106 79% 135 128 95% 135 139 103% 135 120 89% 135 109 81%

Practical Capacity

720 629 87% 720 666 92% 720 676 94% 720 601 83% 720 596 83%

Facilities Utilization

Page 19: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Plymouth Creek Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 95 106 116 141 112 150 93 114 130 125 1301 124 120 117 139 153 131 139 113 140 158 1522 122 132 118 114 150 166 103 136 111 136 1553 104 129 144 125 118 161 138 115 151 123 1524 115 112 120 147 128 128 133 146 122 160 1305 102 118 117 119 151 127 99 129 141 118 154

Total Enrollment

662 717 732 785 812 863 705 753 794 820 873

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

450500550600650700750800850900

Total Enrollment

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 100 93 93% 100 114 114% 100 130 130% 100 125 125% 100 130 130%1 110 139 126% 110 113 103% 110 140 127% 110 158 144% 110 152 138%2 115 103 90% 115 136 118% 115 111 96% 115 136 119% 115 155 134%3 125 138 110% 125 115 92% 125 151 121% 125 123 99% 125 152 122%4 135 133 99% 135 146 108% 135 122 90% 135 160 118% 135 130 97%5 135 99 73% 135 129 96% 135 141 104% 135 118 87% 135 154 114%

Practical Capacity

720 705 98% 720 753 105% 720 794 110% 720 820 114% 720 873 121%

Facilities Utilization

Page 20: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Sunset Hill Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 88 92 86 91 91 92 103 107 101 127 1011 91 92 108 88 104 94 120 108 113 106 1352 109 92 91 110 92 96 118 123 112 116 1103 91 105 94 86 103 90 119 114 119 108 1124 84 93 100 101 89 101 120 122 117 122 1115 90 95 94 104 99 89 121 115 114 113 118

Total Enrollment

553 569 573 580 578 562 701 690 676 693 687

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

750Total Enrollment

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 100 103 103% 100 107 107% 100 101 101% 100 127 127% 100 101 101%1 110 120 109% 110 108 99% 110 113 103% 110 106 96% 110 135 123%2 115 118 103% 115 123 107% 115 112 98% 115 116 101% 115 110 96%3 125 119 95% 125 114 91% 125 119 95% 125 108 87% 125 112 90%4 135 120 89% 135 122 90% 135 117 86% 135 122 90% 135 111 82%5 135 121 90% 135 115 85% 135 114 84% 135 113 84% 135 118 87%

Practical Capacity

720 701 97% 720 690 96% 720 676 94% 720 693 96% 720 687 95%

Facilities Utilization

Page 21: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Wayzata School District

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 582 646 713 762 662 728 668 698 702 672 6811 733 672 740 791 816 713 810 746 774 775 7402 753 761 708 760 834 826 743 844 778 806 8063 738 792 779 738 765 862 855 770 877 800 8314 707 758 795 805 772 782 892 888 799 905 8275 721 745 780 805 819 791 807 921 915 822 928

Total Enrollment

4,234 4,374 4,515 4,661 4,668 4,702 4,775 4,867 4,845 4,780 4,813

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

450

1,450

2,450

3,450

4,450

5,450Total Enrollment

Grade Capacity* Current

Enrollment 12-13

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 720 728 101% 720 668 93% 720 698 97% 720 702 98% 720 672 93% 720 681 95%1 792 713 90% 792 810 102% 792 746 94% 792 774 98% 792 775 98% 792 740 93%2 827 826 100% 827 743 90% 827 844 102% 827 778 94% 827 806 97% 827 806 97%3 850 862 101% 850 855 101% 850 770 91% 850 877 103% 850 800 94% 850 831 98%4 918 782 85% 918 892 97% 918 888 97% 918 799 87% 918 905 99% 918 827 90%5 918 791 86% 918 807 88% 918 921 100% 918 915 100% 918 822 90% 918 928 101%

Practical Capacity

5025 4702 94% 5025 4775 95% 5025 4867 97% 5025 4845 96% 5025 4780 95% 5025 4813 96%

Facilities Utilization

Page 22: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Wayzata Public Schools

Enrollment Projections & Facility Utilization Analysis Attendance Area Scenario #4

Neighborhoods 38 & 39 – Plymouth Creek to Sunset Hill Neighborhood 42 – Oakwood to Gleason Lake

Neighborhoods 8,9,10, 11A, 12 & 13 – Greenwood to Oakwood Neighborhoods 2 & 3 – Greenwood to Kimberly Lane Neighborhood 30 – Plymouth Creek to Kimberly Lane

Neighborhoods 33 & 34 – Plymouth Creek to Oakwood

October 29 , 2012

Analysis created for Wayzata Public Schools by the Insight Services Department at TeamWorks International, Inc.

Centerville, MN

Page 23: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

ÊÊ

Ê Ê

Ê ÊÊ

Ê

Ê Ê

Ê

Ê

Ê

ÊÊ

ÊÊ

å

åå å

åå

å

70

5

12

8

7

1

6

81

6867

4A

72

80

75

71

64

65

9

69

78

66

62

16

36

13 14

79

43

54

6145

39

44

73

42

77

58

11A

29

46

56

52

25

55

63

57

76

28

27

74

15

40

35

24

31

60

17

26

48

47

51

37

38

3233

53

11B

49

59

30

23

34

3

50

4B

41

19

18

10

20

212

22

OAKWOOD EL.

GREENWOOD EL.

BIRCHVIEW EL. SUNSET HILL EL.GLEASON LAKE EL.

KIMBERLY LANE EL.

PLYMOUTH CREEK EL.

Attendance Area Color CodeBirchview

Gleason Lake

Greenwood

Kimberly Lane

Oakwood

Plymouth Creek

Sunset Hill

Ê Proposed Housing Developments

Natural Neighborhoods

Wayzata Public SchoolsAttendance Area Scenario #4

Page 24: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Birchview Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 82 102 106 119 84 94 96 90 100 102 921 108 92 111 118 122 110 108 111 103 115 1172 103 108 97 117 116 121 110 108 111 104 1163 101 110 108 99 109 124 122 111 109 112 1044 88 99 114 110 103 107 125 123 112 110 1135 94 107 109 111 111 101 110 129 127 115 113

Total Enrollment

576 618 645 674 645 657 671 672 662 658 655

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

400

450

500

550

600

650

700Total Enrollment

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 100 96 96% 100 90 90% 100 100 100% 100 102 102% 100 92 92%1 110 108 98% 110 111 101% 110 103 94% 110 115 105% 110 117 106%2 115 110 96% 115 108 94% 115 111 97% 115 104 90% 115 116 101%3 100 122 122% 100 111 111% 100 109 109% 100 112 112% 100 104 104%4 108 125 116% 108 123 114% 108 112 104% 108 110 102% 108 113 105%5 108 110 102% 108 129 119% 108 127 118% 108 115 106% 108 113 105%

Practical Capacity

641 671 105% 641 672 105% 641 662 103% 641 658 103% 641 655 102%

Facilities Utilization

Page 25: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Gleason Lake Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 77 96 108 120 95 109 97 95 102 86 1051 126 84 104 127 97 99 120 103 101 108 902 110 125 90 114 133 94 111 117 98 96 1033 121 116 122 96 113 133 115 120 124 106 1044 118 118 112 125 101 110 149 112 117 122 1045 116 119 117 113 123 109 120 145 106 113 119

Total Enrollment

668 658 653 695 662 654 712 691 649 630 626

*In 2010-2011, 21 students from Plymouth Creek were added to Gleason Lake and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Plymouth Creek

*In 2012-2013, 21 students from Kimberly Lane were added to Gleason Lake and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Kimberly Lane

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

500

550

600

650

700

750

Total Enrollment

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 100 97 97% 100 95 95% 100 102 102% 100 86 86% 100 105 105%1 110 120 109% 110 103 94% 110 101 92% 110 108 98% 110 90 82%2 115 111 96% 115 117 101% 115 98 86% 115 96 83% 115 103 90%3 125 115 92% 125 120 96% 125 124 99% 125 106 85% 125 104 83%4 135 149 110% 135 112 83% 135 117 87% 135 122 90% 135 104 77%5 135 120 89% 135 145 107% 135 106 79% 135 113 84% 135 119 88%

Practical Capacity

720 712 99% 720 691 96% 720 649 90% 720 630 88% 720 626 87%

Facilities Utilization

450

Page 26: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Greenwood Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12* 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 73 100 93 100 129 109 97 112 93 103 1071 97 87 115 89 117 112 102 100 115 101 1032 107 103 93 113 104 133 118 121 117 144 1173 124 107 108 92 124 115 131 124 128 131 1504 110 130 106 105 104 137 120 151 144 154 1495 118 108 131 107 110 121 150 142 178 170 172

Total Enrollment

629 635 646 606 688 727 720 750 775 802 797

*In 2011-2012 42 students from Plymouth Creek were added to Greenwood and these numbers were NOT included here and will be added to Plymouth Creek

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

850Total Enrollment

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 120 97 81% 120 112 93% 120 93 77% 120 103 85% 120 107 89%1 132 102 78% 132 100 75% 132 115 87% 132 101 77% 132 103 78%2 137 118 86% 137 121 88% 137 117 85% 137 144 105% 137 117 86%3 125 131 105% 125 124 100% 125 128 102% 125 131 105% 125 150 120%4 135 120 89% 135 151 112% 135 144 107% 135 154 114% 135 149 110%5 135 150 111% 135 142 105% 135 178 132% 135 170 126% 135 172 127%

Practical Capacity

784 720 92% 784 750 96% 784 775 99% 784 802 102% 784 797 102%

Facilities Utilization

Page 27: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Kimberly Lane Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 95 82 120 105 64 115 111 93 90 67 701 116 114 110 147 122 83 152 138 115 111 842 114 127 129 117 153 122 94 158 144 120 1163 120 133 132 144 122 151 140 101 169 153 1294 107 130 142 140 147 119 164 140 101 169 1545 113 113 137 152 145 146 127 164 140 100 169

Total Enrollment

665 699 770 805 753 736 788 794 758 721 721

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

450

500

550

600

650

700

750

800

850

Total Enrollment

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 100 111 111% 100 93 93% 100 90 90% 100 67 67% 100 70 70%1 110 152 138% 110 138 125% 110 115 104% 110 111 101% 110 84 76%2 115 94 82% 115 158 138% 115 144 125% 115 120 104% 115 116 101%3 125 140 112% 125 101 81% 125 169 135% 125 153 122% 125 129 103%4 135 164 121% 135 140 104% 135 101 75% 135 169 125% 135 154 114%5 135 127 94% 135 164 122% 135 140 104% 135 100 74% 135 169 126%

Practical Capacity

720 788 109% 720 794 110% 720 758 105% 720 721 100% 720 721 100%

Facilities Utilization

Page 28: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Oakwood Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 72 68 84 86 87 59 93 108 109 85 971 71 83 75 83 101 84 89 94 106 97 802 88 74 90 75 86 94 114 105 110 114 1163 77 92 71 96 76 88 117 109 101 92 1024 85 76 101 77 100 80 110 122 111 93 925 88 85 75 99 80 98 106 128 139 120 109

Total Enrollment

481 478 496 516 530 503 629 666 676 601 596

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650

700

Total Enrollment

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 100 93 93% 100 108 108% 100 109 109% 100 85 85% 100 97 97%1 110 89 81% 110 94 85% 110 106 96% 110 97 88% 110 80 73%2 115 114 99% 115 105 91% 115 110 95% 115 114 99% 115 116 101%3 125 117 94% 125 109 87% 125 101 81% 125 92 74% 125 102 82%4 135 110 81% 135 122 90% 135 111 82% 135 93 69% 135 92 68%5 135 106 79% 135 128 95% 135 139 103% 135 120 89% 135 109 81%

Practical Capacity

720 629 87% 720 666 92% 720 676 94% 720 601 83% 720 596 83%

Facilities Utilization

Page 29: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Plymouth Creek Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 95 106 116 141 112 150 60 72 80 79 801 124 120 117 139 153 131 102 82 103 114 1122 122 132 118 114 150 166 82 106 88 105 1183 104 129 144 125 118 161 108 91 118 95 1184 115 112 120 147 128 128 96 106 90 113 945 102 118 117 119 151 127 68 87 95 83 108

Total Enrollment

662 717 732 785 812 863 516 544 573 589 630

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

450500550600650700750800850900

Total Enrollment

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 100 60 60% 100 72 72% 100 80 80% 100 79 79% 100 80 80%1 110 102 93% 110 82 75% 110 103 93% 110 114 104% 110 112 102%2 115 82 72% 115 106 92% 115 88 76% 115 105 92% 115 118 103%3 125 108 86% 125 91 73% 125 118 94% 125 95 76% 125 118 94%4 135 96 71% 135 106 79% 135 90 67% 135 113 84% 135 94 70%5 135 68 50% 135 87 64% 135 95 70% 135 83 61% 135 108 80%

Practical Capacity

720 516 72% 720 544 76% 720 573 80% 720 589 82% 720 630 87%

Facilities Utilization

Page 30: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Sunset Hill Elementary

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 88 92 86 91 91 92 114 128 128 150 1301 91 92 108 88 104 94 137 118 131 129 1532 109 92 91 110 92 96 114 129 110 124 1223 91 105 94 86 103 90 122 114 128 111 1224 84 93 100 101 89 101 128 134 124 142 1225 90 95 94 104 99 89 126 126 131 122 138

Total Enrollment

553 569 573 580 578 562 741 749 752 778 787

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

400450500550600650700750800850

Total Enrollment

Grade Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 100 114 114% 100 128 128% 100 128 128% 100 150 150% 100 130 130%1 110 137 125% 110 118 107% 110 131 119% 110 129 117% 110 153 139%2 115 114 99% 115 129 112% 115 110 96% 115 124 108% 115 122 106%3 125 122 98% 125 114 91% 125 128 102% 125 111 89% 125 122 98%4 135 128 95% 135 134 99% 135 124 92% 135 142 105% 135 122 90%5 135 126 93% 135 126 93% 135 131 97% 135 122 90% 135 138 102%

Practical Capacity

720 741 103% 720 749 104% 720 752 104% 720 778 108% 720 787 109%

Facilities Utilization

Page 31: WPS Attendance Area Scenarios

Enrollment Projections and Facility Utilization Analysis

Wayzata School District

Grade 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18K 582 646 713 762 662 728 668 698 702 672 6811 733 672 740 791 816 713 810 746 774 775 7392 753 761 708 760 834 826 743 844 778 807 8083 738 792 779 738 765 862 855 770 877 800 8294 707 758 795 805 772 782 892 888 799 903 8285 721 745 780 805 819 791 807 921 916 823 928

Total Enrollment

4,234 4,374 4,515 4,661 4,668 4,702 4,775 4,867 4,846 4,780 4,813

Projected EnrollmentHistorical Enrollment

450

1,450

2,450

3,450

4,450

5,450Total Enrollment

Grade Capacity* Current

Enrollment 12-13

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 13-14

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 14-15

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 15-16

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 16-17

% Utilization

Capacity* Projected

Enrollment 17-18

% Utilization

K 720 728 101% 720 668 93% 720 698 97% 720 702 98% 720 672 93% 720 681 95%1 792 713 90% 792 810 102% 792 746 94% 792 774 98% 792 775 98% 792 739 93%2 827 826 100% 827 743 90% 827 844 102% 827 778 94% 827 807 98% 827 808 98%3 850 862 101% 850 855 101% 850 770 91% 850 877 103% 850 800 94% 850 829 98%4 918 782 85% 918 892 97% 918 888 97% 918 799 87% 918 903 98% 918 828 90%5 918 791 86% 918 807 88% 918 921 100% 918 916 100% 918 823 90% 918 928 101%

Practical Capacity

5025 4702 94% 5025 4775 95% 5025 4867 97% 5025 4846 96% 5025 4780 95% 5025 4813 96%

Facilities Utilization