xcel energy bofa_09/16/03

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Banc of America Securities 33 rd Annual Investment Conference September 17, 2003 Banc of America Securities 33 rd Annual Investment Conference September 17, 2003

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Page 1: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

Banc of America Securities33rd Annual Investment Conference

September 17, 2003

Banc of America Securities33rd Annual Investment Conference

September 17, 2003

Page 2: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

This material includes forward-looking statements that are subject tocertain risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Such forward-looking statements include statements regarding projected earnings, cashflows, capital expenditures and other statements that are intended to be identified in this document by the words “anticipate,” “estimate,” “expect,”“projected,” “objective,” “outlook,” “possible,” “potential” and similar expressions. Actual results may vary materially. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include, but are not limited to: general economic conditions, including the availability of credit, actions of rating agencies and their impact on capital expenditures; business conditions in the energy industry; competitive factors; unusual weather; changes in federal or state legislation; regulation; risks associated with the California power market; currency translation and transaction adjustments; the higher degree of risk associated with Xcel Energy’s nonregulated businesses compared with Xcel Energy’s regulated business; the failure to realize expectations regarding the NRG settlement agreement; financial conditions of NRG; actions by the bankruptcy court in NRG’s bankruptcy case; and the other risk factors listed from time to time by Xcel Energy in reports filed with the SEC, including Exhibit 99.01 to Xcel Energy’s report on Form 10-K for year 2002.

Safe HarborSafe Harbor

Page 3: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

Wayne BrunettiChairman, President and CEO

Wayne BrunettiChairman, President and CEO

Page 4: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

Xcel Energy Investment MeritsXcel Energy Investment Merits

Integrated utility

No restructuring anticipated

Constructive regulation

Positive cash flow

Improving credit profile

Sustainable dividend

Liquid stock

Integrated utility

No restructuring anticipated

Constructive regulation

Positive cash flow

Improving credit profile

Sustainable dividend

Liquid stock

Page 5: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

Financial SummaryFinancial Summary

Dividend Yield 5%Earnings Growth 2-3% per yearDividend Payout Ratio 60-65%Market Capitalization $6 billionTrading Volume 1.2 million shares/dayInstitutional Ownership 42%

(Excludes 5% EmployeeOwnership)

Bond Ratings Moody’s S&PHolding Co. (Unsecured Debt) Baa3 BBB-Operating Utilities (Secured Debt) A3 to Baa1 BBB+

Dividend Yield 5%Earnings Growth 2-3% per yearDividend Payout Ratio 60-65%Market Capitalization $6 billionTrading Volume 1.2 million shares/dayInstitutional Ownership 42%

(Excludes 5% EmployeeOwnership)

Bond Ratings Moody’s S&PHolding Co. (Unsecured Debt) Baa3 BBB-Operating Utilities (Secured Debt) A3 to Baa1 BBB+

Page 6: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

Divesting NRG EnergyDivesting NRG Energy

NRG was 3rd largest independentpower producerBecame unprofitable with the collapseof wholesale power pricesWritten-off over $3 billion Relinquish ownership to NRG’s creditorsat completion of bankruptcy (expectedmid-December)Up to $752 million settlement payment to creditors in exchange for release from claims$1.1 billion tax benefit

NRG was 3rd largest independentpower producerBecame unprofitable with the collapseof wholesale power pricesWritten-off over $3 billion Relinquish ownership to NRG’s creditorsat completion of bankruptcy (expectedmid-December)Up to $752 million settlement payment to creditors in exchange for release from claims$1.1 billion tax benefit

Page 7: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

ForecastAnnual

Electric Gas Growth Rate

ForecastAnnual

Electric Gas Growth Rate

PSCoPSCo 1.31.3 1.21.2 1.9%1.9%NSPMNSPM 1.41.4 0.40.4 1.51.5NSPWNSPW 0.20.2 0.10.1 1.81.8SPSSPS 0.40.4 —— 0.30.3Total 3.3 1.7 1.6%

Customers (Millions)Customers (Millions)

Minneapolis/St. PaulMinnesotaMinneapolis/St. PaulMinneapolis/St. PaulMinnesotaMinnesota

Generating PlantsGenerating Generating PlantsPlants

Denver ColoradoDenver Denver ColoradoColorado

AmarilloTexasAmarilloAmarilloTexasTexas4th Largest Utility Based

on Customer Count4th Largest Utility Based

on Customer Count

Dynamic Service AreaDynamic Service Area

Headquarters to 21 Fortune 500 Companies

Headquarters to 21 Fortune 500 Companies

Page 8: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

Retail Electric Rate* ComparisonCentral US

Retail Electric Rate* ComparisonCentral US

* EEI typical bills – Winter 2002* EEI typical bills – Winter 2002

0

2

4

6

8Cents per KwhCents per Kwh

Amarillo

Amarillo

Kansas City

Kansas CityDenverDenver

Mpls/St. Paul

Mpls/St. Paul

St. Louis

St. Louis

Des Moines

Des Moines

Chicago

Chicago

Milwaukee

Milwaukee

Phoenix

Phoenix

Salt Lake City

Salt Lake City

4.424.42

5.845.84 5.855.85

Page 9: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

Balanced Power Supply2003 Energy (Projected)

Balanced Power Supply2003 Energy (Projected)

Purchases24%

Purchases24%

Other2%

Other2%

Nuclear12%

Nuclear12%

Coal51%Coal51%

Gas11%Gas11%

Page 10: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003*

Sulfur Dioxide Emission RateNitrogen Oxide Emission Rate

Sulfur Dioxide and NitrogenOxide Emission Rates

Sulfur Dioxide and NitrogenOxide Emission Rates

Pounds per MwhPounds per Mwh

* Estimated emission rates* Estimated emission rates

Page 11: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

Sources 2003 2004 2005Sources 2003 2004 2005Cash from Operations $1,300 >$1,300 >$1,300Avoided Tax Payment/Refund 125 475 125Citadel Greenshoe Option 58Dividend Reinvestment 20 40 40

Total Sources $1,503 >$1,815 >$1,465

UsesCapital Expenditures $ 932 $1,023 $1,115Current Dividend Payment Rate 300 320 320NRG Settlement 0 752

Total Uses $1,232 $2,095 $1,435

Cash from OperationsCash from Operations $1,300$1,300 >$1,300>$1,300 >$1,300>$1,300Avoided Tax Payment/RefundAvoided Tax Payment/Refund 125125 475475 125125Citadel Greenshoe OptionCitadel Greenshoe Option 5858Dividend ReinvestmentDividend Reinvestment 20 20 4040 4040

Total Sources $1,503 >$1,815 >$1,465

UsesCapital ExpendituresCapital Expenditures $ 932$ 932 $1,023$1,023 $1,115$1,115Current Dividend Payment RateCurrent Dividend Payment Rate 300300 320320 320320NRG SettlementNRG Settlement 00 752752

Total Uses $1,232 $2,095 $1,435

Positive Cash FlowPositive Cash Flow

* Excludes $391 million of Xcel Energy cash on hand as of August 27, 2003** Assumes exercise of convertible option* Excludes $391 million of Xcel Energy cash on hand as of AugustExcludes $391 million of Xcel Energy cash on hand as of August 27, 200327, 2003** Assumes exercise of convertible optionAssumes exercise of convertible option

**

**** ****

Dollars in MillionsDollars in Millions

Page 12: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

2003 Earnings Guidance2003 Earnings Guidance

Utility Operations $1.25 – $1.30Holding Company Interest Expense (0.09)Other Nonregulated Subsidiaries

(Excluding NRG) (0.01)

Xcel Energy — Pro forma Continuing Oper $1.15 – $1.20

Xcel Energy Share of NRG’s Losses (0.62)Tax Effect of Settlement Payments 0.65Additional NRG Tax Benefit 0.24Gain on Sale of Viking Gas 0.05

Xcel Energy — GAAP $1.47 – $1.52

Utility Operations $1.25 – $1.30Holding Company Interest Expense (0.09)Other Nonregulated Subsidiaries

(Excluding NRG) (0.01)

Xcel Energy — Pro forma Continuing Oper $1.15 – $1.20

Xcel Energy Share of NRG’s Losses (0.62)Tax Effect of Settlement Payments 0.65Additional NRG Tax Benefit 0.24Gain on Sale of Viking Gas 0.05

Xcel Energy — GAAP $1.47 – $1.52

EPS Range Dollars per ShareDollars per Share

Page 13: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

Projected Retained EarningsYear-end 2003

Projected Retained EarningsYear-end 2003

Dollars inDollars inMillionsMillions

Retained Earnings Balance (6/30/2003) $(245)Earnings July – December* 290Additional Tax Benefit from NRG Basis Study 105Tax Benefit for Settlement Payments** 260Reversal of Negative NRG Investment** 115Dividend Declaration** (150)Projected Year-End Retained Earnings $ 375

Retained Earnings Balance (6/30/2003) $(245)Earnings July – December* 290Additional Tax Benefit from NRG Basis Study 105Tax Benefit for Settlement Payments** 260Reversal of Negative NRG Investment** 115Dividend Declaration** (150)Projected Year-End Retained Earnings $ 375

* For illustration purposes, assumes earnings at the low-end of earnings guidance range

** Assumes NRG emerges from bankruptcy prior to year-end 2003

* For illustration purposes, assumes earnings at the low-end of earnings guidance range

** Assumes NRG emerges from bankruptcy prior to year-end 2003

Page 14: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

2003 Priorities2003 Priorities

Complete resolution of NRG

Pay full dividend in 2003

Improve credit ratings

Manage costs and capital expenditures

Deliver good value to our customers

Complete refinance plan

Meet earnings per share objective

Complete resolution of NRG

Pay full dividend in 2003

Improve credit ratings

Manage costs and capital expenditures

Deliver good value to our customers

Complete refinance plan

Meet earnings per share objective

Page 15: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03
Page 16: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

AppendixAppendix

Page 17: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

Minnesota EmissionReduction Proposal (MERP)

Minnesota EmissionReduction Proposal (MERP)

Coal to gas conversion— High Bridge 272 Mw— Riverside 79

Refurbish— King (coal-fired plant) 60

Total 411 MwEmission reduction

— SO2 36,000 tons/year— NOX 29,000 tons/year

Capital expenditures $1 billion 2005-2009Contingent on approval of costrecovery through rate rider mechanism

Coal to gas conversion— High Bridge 272 Mw— Riverside 79

Refurbish— King (coal-fired plant) 60

Total 411 MwEmission reduction

— SO2 36,000 tons/year— NOX 29,000 tons/year

Capital expenditures $1 billion 2005-2009Contingent on approval of costrecovery through rate rider mechanism

Net DependableCapacity IncreaseNet Dependable

Capacity Increase

Page 18: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

Capital ExpendituresCapital Expenditures

2003 2004 20052003 2004 2005

Core Utility $862 $ 861 $ 954Prairie Island Steam

Generator 25 71 9Minnesota MERP 13 68 137 Total Utility $900 $1,000 $1,100Nonregulated 32 23 15Total Capital Expenditures $932 $1,023 $1,115

Core UtilityCore Utility $862$862 $ 861$ 861 $ 954$ 954Prairie Island SteamPrairie Island Steam

GeneratorGenerator 2525 7171 99Minnesota MERPMinnesota MERP 1313 6868 137 137 Total Utility $900 $1,000 $1,100NonregulatedNonregulated 3232 2323 1515Total Capital Expenditures $932 $1,023 $1,115

Dollars in MillionsDollars in Millions

Other

Customer Additions

Upgrade

50%15%

25%10%

Refurbishment

Page 19: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

Financing PlanFinancing Plan

NSPMNSPM $408$408 7.0%7.0% $ 375$ 375 3.8%3.8%PSCoPSCo 589589 7.27.2 250250 4.8754.875PSCoPSCo 575575 4.94.9Xcel EnergyXcel Energy 195195 3.43.4TotalTotal $997$997 7.1%7.1% $1,395$1,395 4.4%4.4%

Redeemed IssuedRedeemed IssuedDollars in MillionsDollars in Millions

NSPWNSPW $150$150 6.9%6.9%PSCoPSCo 3030 6.456.45SPSSPS 100100 7.857.85

Potential Future Redemptions**Potential Future Redemptions**

**

* Used to pay down Xcel Energy credit facility** Includes maturing debt and opportunistic redemptions* Used to pay down Xcel Energy credit facility** Includes maturing debt and opportunistic redemptions

Page 20: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

2002 Generation Production CostS&P Electric Index Companies

2002 Generation Production CostS&P Electric Index Companies

0

10

20

30

40

50

60Dollars per MwhDollars per Mwh

Xcel EnergyXcel EnergySource: Platts PowerdatSource: Platts Powerdat

$21.39$21.39

Page 21: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

Fossil Generation*Equivalent Forced Outage Rate

Fossil Generation*Equivalent Forced Outage Rate

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

* Greater than 100 Mw* Greater than 100 Mw

Percent of TimePercent of Time

4.6%4.6%4.1%4.1% 3.8%3.8%

2.8%2.8%

YTD June 30YTD June 30

2.8%2.8%

Page 22: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

1999 2000 2001 2002

Fossil Generation Operating and Maintenance Costs

Fossil Generation Operating and Maintenance CostsDollars per Mwh Generated Dollars per Mwh Generated

$3.87$3.87$3.65$3.65 $3.61$3.61 $3.56$3.56

Page 23: xcel energy  BofA_09/16/03

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

SEC Acts on NRG’s Reorganization Plan andDisclosure Statement

SEC Acts on NRG’s Reorganization Plan andDisclosure Statement

Confirmation Hearing on NRG’s Plan of ReorganizationConfirmation Hearing on NRG’s Plan of Reorganization

FERC Approval of Transfer of AssetsFERC Approval of Transfer of Assets

NRG Settlement Schedule — 2003*NRG Settlement Schedule — 2003*

Completion of SolicitationProcess of NRG’sReorganization Plan

Completion of SolicitationProcess of NRG’sReorganization Plan

* The actual timing of the schedule for NRG’s bankruptcy proceeding is beyond the control of Xcel Energy and is dependent on actions by the SEC, FERC and the bankruptcy court.

* The actual timing of the schedule for NRG’s bankruptcy proceeding is beyond the control of Xcel Energy and is dependent on actions by the SEC, FERC and the bankruptcy court.