xcel energy regulation

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Executing The Regulatory Plan Executing The Regulatory Plan Dave Sparby Vice President – Government and Regulatory Affairs Dave Sparby Vice President – Government and Regulatory Affairs Regulators/ Legislators Value to Value to Customers Customers Environmental Environmental Stewardship Stewardship Financial Financial Performance Performance Invest in Regulated Utility Business Invest in Regulated Utility Business

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Page 1: xcel energy  Regulation

Executing The Regulatory PlanExecuting The Regulatory Plan

Dave Sparby Vice President – Government and Regulatory Affairs

Dave Sparby Vice President – Government and Regulatory Affairs

Regulators/Legislators

Value toValue toCustomersCustomers

EnvironmentalEnvironmentalStewardshipStewardship

FinancialFinancialPerformancePerformance

Invest in Regulated Utility BusinessInvest in Regulated Utility Business

Page 2: xcel energy  Regulation

This material includes forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Such forward-looking statements include projected earnings, cash flows, capital expenditures and other statements and are identified in this document by the words “anticipate,”“estimate,” “expect,” “projected,” “objective,” “outlook,” “possible,”“potential” and similar expressions. Actual results may vary materially. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include, but are not limited to: general economic conditions, including the availability of credit, actions of rating agencies and their impact on capital expenditures; business conditions in the energy industry; competitive factors; unusual weather; effects of geopolitical events, including war and acts of terrorism; changes in federal or state legislation; regulation; final approval and implementation of the pending settlement of the securities, ERISA and derivative litigation; costs and other effects of legal administrative proceedings, settlements, investigations and claims including litigation related to company-owned life insurance (COLI); actions of accounting regulatory bodies; risks associated with the California power market; the higher degree of risk associated with Xcel Energy’s nonregulated businesses compared with Xcel Energy’s regulated business; and other risk factors listed from time to time by Xcel Energy in reports filed with the SEC, including Exhibit 99.01 to Xcel Energy’s report on Form 10-K for year 2004.

This material includes forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Such forward-looking statements include projected earnings, cash flows, capital expenditures and other statements and are identified in this document by the words “anticipate,”“estimate,” “expect,” “projected,” “objective,” “outlook,” “possible,”“potential” and similar expressions. Actual results may vary materially. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include, but are not limited to: general economic conditions, including the availability of credit, actions of rating agencies and their impact on capital expenditures; business conditions in the energy industry; competitive factors; unusual weather; effects of geopolitical events, including war and acts of terrorism; changes in federal or state legislation; regulation; final approval and implementation of the pending settlement of the securities, ERISA and derivative litigation; costs and other effects of legal administrative proceedings, settlements, investigations and claims including litigation related to company-owned life insurance (COLI); actions of accounting regulatory bodies; risks associated with the California power market; the higher degree of risk associated with Xcel Energy’s nonregulated businesses compared with Xcel Energy’s regulated business; and other risk factors listed from time to time by Xcel Energy in reports filed with the SEC, including Exhibit 99.01 to Xcel Energy’s report on Form 10-K for year 2004.

Safe HarborSafe Harbor

Page 3: xcel energy  Regulation

Well-Positioned for Regulatory SuccessWell-Positioned for Regulatory Success

Constructive regulationConstructive regulation

Innovative regulatory recoveryInnovative regulatory recovery

Competitive rates due to strong cost managementCompetitive rates due to strong cost management

Increase investment to meet customer requirementsIncrease investment to meet customer requirements

Environmental stewardshipEnvironmental stewardship

Page 4: xcel energy  Regulation

An Experienced Regulatory TeamAn Experienced Regulatory TeamAn Experienced Regulatory Team

YearsYears

Xcel EnergyXcel Energy Dave SparbyDave Sparby 2525(Cross Functional)(Cross Functional) Debbie BlairDebbie Blair 2323

Ron DarnellRon Darnell 2222NSP (M)NSP (M) Scott WilenskyScott Wilensky 2020

Judy PoferlJudy Poferl 2020NSP (W)NSP (W) Don ReckDon Reck 2626PSCoPSCo Fred StoffelFred Stoffel 2626SPSSPS David HudsonDavid Hudson 2222

Page 5: xcel energy  Regulation

Key Regulatory InitiativesKey Regulatory Initiatives

Minnesota electric rate caseMinnesota electric rate case

Minnesota rate rider recovery and resource Minnesota rate rider recovery and resource planningplanning

Monticello nuclear plant relicensingMonticello nuclear plant relicensing

Wisconsin gas and electric rate casesWisconsin gas and electric rate cases

Colorado gas and electric rate casesColorado gas and electric rate cases

Texas electric rate caseTexas electric rate case

North Dakota electric rate caseNorth Dakota electric rate case

Page 6: xcel energy  Regulation

Minnesota Regulatory StructureMinnesota Regulatory Structure

Public Utilities CommissionPublic Utilities Commission—— Five membersFive members—— SixSix--year termsyear terms—— Appointed by GovernorAppointed by Governor—— Balanced party affiliationsBalanced party affiliations

Department of CommerceDepartment of Commerce—— Public advocate and enforcement agencyPublic advocate and enforcement agency

for Commissionfor Commission

Office of the Attorney GeneralOffice of the Attorney General—— Represents residential and commercial Represents residential and commercial

customerscustomers

Page 7: xcel energy  Regulation

Minnesota Regulatory PracticeMinnesota Regulatory Practice

Provides direct recovery for stateProvides direct recovery for state--supported supported initiatives (conservation, renewable energy, initiatives (conservation, renewable energy, transmission)transmission)

Provides monthly forecast fuel and purchased Provides monthly forecast fuel and purchased energy cost recoveryenergy cost recovery

Provides interim rates 60 days after rate caseProvides interim rates 60 days after rate casefiling and decision in 10 monthsfiling and decision in 10 months

Allows forecast test yearAllows forecast test year

Page 8: xcel energy  Regulation

Minnesota Electric Case HighlightsMinnesota Electric Case Highlights

Requested $168 million increase, basedRequested $168 million increase, basedon forecasted 2006 test yearon forecasted 2006 test year

11% return on common equity11% return on common equity

$141 million interim rate increase,$141 million interim rate increase,expected January 1, 2006expected January 1, 2006

Customer impactCustomer impact—— Base rate increase of 8%Base rate increase of 8%—— Interim rate increase of 6.9%Interim rate increase of 6.9%

Final decision expected third quarter 2006Final decision expected third quarter 2006

Page 9: xcel energy  Regulation

Increasing DemandIncreasing Demand

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

MWMW

60%

Page 10: xcel energy  Regulation

1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006

Effective Demand-Side Management (DSM)Effective Demand-Side Management (DSM)

Number of plantsNumber of plants

1 Plant = 250 MW Combined Cycle 1 Plant = 250 MW Combined Cycle

Plants Avoided through Conservationand Load ManagementPlants Avoided through Conservationand Load Management

1.61.62.72.7

3.73.74.74.7

5.55.56.56.5

7.47.48.28.2

Page 11: xcel energy  Regulation

400

500

600

700

800

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Dollars in millionsDollars in millions Composite Inflation 44%

Careful Management of CostsMinnesota O&M ExpensesCareful Management of CostsCareful Management of CostsMinnesota O&M ExpensesMinnesota O&M Expenses

Page 12: xcel energy  Regulation

0100200300400500600700800

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

General & Common

Other Generation

Nuclear

Transmission &DistributionMERP

Dollars in millionsDollars in millions

NSP (M) Increasing Capital InvestmentsNSP (M) Increasing Capital Investments

Page 13: xcel energy  Regulation

Proposed Policy ChangesProposed Policy Changes

Resource selection – Making the shareholders indifferent to DSM, purchased power or build

Wholesale margins – Sharing the benefits of the new market

Time-of-day rates – Charging the cost of service for large customers

Nuclear – Reflecting the prospect of life extension

Resource selection Resource selection –– Making the shareholders Making the shareholders indifferent to DSM, purchased power or buildindifferent to DSM, purchased power or build

Wholesale margins Wholesale margins –– Sharing the benefits of the Sharing the benefits of the new marketnew market

TimeTime--ofof--day rates day rates –– Charging the cost of service Charging the cost of service for large customersfor large customers

Nuclear Nuclear –– Reflecting the prospect of life extensionReflecting the prospect of life extension

Page 14: xcel energy  Regulation

Equalizing Resource ImpactsEqualizing Resource ImpactsPurchased Capacity Equity Rider (PCER)Purchased Capacity Equity Rider (PCER)

Proposed mechanism to address increased Proposed mechanism to address increased imputed debt costs of new power purchase imputed debt costs of new power purchase agreementsagreements

Calculate by applying equity ratio to imputed debt Calculate by applying equity ratio to imputed debt and earning an equity return less the embedded and earning an equity return less the embedded debt cost on this equity capital debt cost on this equity capital

If approved, recovery through PCER effective July If approved, recovery through PCER effective July 2007 with annual adjustments2007 with annual adjustments

Page 15: xcel energy  Regulation

Equalizing Resource ImpactsEqualizing Resource ImpactsDSM Financial Neutrality FactorDSM Financial Neutrality Factor

Proposed annual recovery of reduced earnings Proposed annual recovery of reduced earnings growth resulting from avoided plant investmentsgrowth resulting from avoided plant investments

Supplement existing DSM mechanismSupplement existing DSM mechanism

Calculation based on equity return on avoided Calculation based on equity return on avoided capital investmentcapital investment

Supports accomplishment of expansionSupports accomplishment of expansionof DSM goalsof DSM goals

Page 16: xcel energy  Regulation

ShortShort--Term Wholesale Margin Term Wholesale Margin

Proposed pass through of proceeds from Proposed pass through of proceeds from traditional wholesale margins up to a set thresholdtraditional wholesale margins up to a set threshold

First $16 million of shortFirst $16 million of short--term wholesale margin term wholesale margin flows through fuel clause to customerflows through fuel clause to customer

Allow for 50/50 sharing beyond threshold amountAllow for 50/50 sharing beyond threshold amount

Reduces exposure by using fuel clause to pass Reduces exposure by using fuel clause to pass through actual results rather than forecasting a through actual results rather than forecasting a base rate creditbase rate credit

Page 17: xcel energy  Regulation

0

2

4

6

8

10

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005Base Rate Fuel Cost Other CPI

Average Residential RateAverage Residential Rate

Average rate (675 KWh monthly use) has increased 17% during the same period. Average rate (675 KWh monthly use) has increased 17% during the same period.

CPI Up 35% CPI Up 35% Cents per KWhCents per KWh

Page 18: xcel energy  Regulation

Residential Interim Rate Bill ImpactResidential Interim Rate Bill Impact

Interim Rates

MERP

Riders

Fuel Cost

Base Cost

$59.97$59.97$59.97$51.40$51.40$51.40

39.5439.54

10.2710.271.591.59

39.5439.54

13.9113.911.991.990.820.823.713.71

January 2005 January 2006

Page 19: xcel energy  Regulation

Next Steps in MinnesotaNext Steps in Minnesota

AcceptanceAcceptance

November/November/DecemberDecember

20052005

January January 20062006

InterimInterimRatesRates

SpringSpring20062006

HearingsHearings SettlementSettlement(Possible)(Possible)

AugustAugust20062006

DecisionDecision

Page 20: xcel energy  Regulation

Other Minnesota InitiativesOther Minnesota Initiatives

New transmission cost recovery tariffNew transmission cost recovery tariff—— Allowed by lawAllowed by law—— Effective for costs post rate caseEffective for costs post rate case

Resource PlanResource Plan—— Identifies base load need midIdentifies base load need mid--decadedecade—— Sets up build/buy/conserve decisionsSets up build/buy/conserve decisions—— Expanded DSM, wind resourcesExpanded DSM, wind resources

Monticello Certificate of Need/RelicensingMonticello Certificate of Need/Relicensing

CommunityCommunity--based energy developmentbased energy development—— Required to purchase by lawRequired to purchase by law—— Assists in meeting renewable energy objectiveAssists in meeting renewable energy objective

Page 21: xcel energy  Regulation

Wisconsin Regulatory StructureWisconsin Regulatory Structure

Public Service Commission (PSCW) Public Service Commission (PSCW) —— Three membersThree members—— SixSix--year termsyear terms—— NonNon--partisan office, appointed by Governorpartisan office, appointed by Governor

Consumer and environmental groups as wellConsumer and environmental groups as wellas large C&I customers typically interveneas large C&I customers typically intervene

Wisconsin has an intervenor compensation fundWisconsin has an intervenor compensation fund

Page 22: xcel energy  Regulation

Wisconsin Regulatory PracticesWisconsin Regulatory Practices

File rate cases every odd year File rate cases every odd year

Forecast test yearForecast test year

Rates effective at beginning of test yearRates effective at beginning of test year

Electric fuel cost recovery cases filed ifElectric fuel cost recovery cases filed ifactual cost varies by actual cost varies by ++ 2% from base amount2% from base amount

Full recovery of public benefits chargeFull recovery of public benefits charge(DSM, low(DSM, low--income assistance)income assistance)

Page 23: xcel energy  Regulation

Wisconsin Rate Cases HighlightsWisconsin Rate Cases HighlightsCombined Electric and Gas CaseCombined Electric and Gas Case

$53.1 million electric increase requested with $53.1 million electric increase requested with a customer impact of 13.4%a customer impact of 13.4%

$7.7 million gas increase requested with$7.7 million gas increase requested witha customer impact of 4.8%a customer impact of 4.8%

11.9% return on equity11.9% return on equity

56.32% common equity56.32% common equity

New rates effective January 1, 2006New rates effective January 1, 2006

Page 24: xcel energy  Regulation

Wisconsin Rate Case StatusWisconsin Rate Case Status

PSCW staff recommendationsPSCW staff recommendations—— $45.4 million electric increase$45.4 million electric increase—— $5.8 million gas increase$5.8 million gas increase—— 11.0% ROE11.0% ROE—— 56.43% common equity56.43% common equity

Intervenor recommendationsIntervenor recommendations—— 10.25 10.25 –– 10.5% ROE10.5% ROE—— 51% common equity51% common equity

Hearings completed November 2005 Hearings completed November 2005

Commission decision expected December 2005Commission decision expected December 2005

Page 25: xcel energy  Regulation

Colorado Regulatory StructureColorado Regulatory Structure

Public Utilities CommissionPublic Utilities Commission—— Three membersThree members—— FourFour--year staggered termsyear staggered terms—— Appointed by the GovernorAppointed by the Governor—— Balanced party affiliationsBalanced party affiliationsTrial Staff Trial Staff –– public advocate, enforcement public advocate, enforcement branch of the Commissionbranch of the CommissionOffice of Consumer CounselOffice of Consumer Counsel—— Public advocate for residential, small Public advocate for residential, small

commercial and irrigation customerscommercial and irrigation customersOther PartiesOther Parties—— Cities and municipalitiesCities and municipalities—— Large industrial customersLarge industrial customers

Page 26: xcel energy  Regulation

Colorado Regulatory PracticesColorado Regulatory Practices

Recovery of Comanche 3 CWIP allowedRecovery of Comanche 3 CWIP allowed

Recovery of fuel and purchased energy cost Recovery of fuel and purchased energy cost subject to incentive mechanism subject to incentive mechanism ++ $11.25 million$11.25 million

Rider recovery of approved capacity costs (PCCA)Rider recovery of approved capacity costs (PCCA)

Rider recovery of forecast gas costs Rider recovery of forecast gas costs

Rider mechanism for environmental improvement Rider mechanism for environmental improvement costs (AQIR) (Amendment 37)costs (AQIR) (Amendment 37)

Historic test yearHistoric test year

Rates effective eight months after filingRates effective eight months after filing

Page 27: xcel energy  Regulation

Colorado Gas Rate Case Highlights Colorado Gas Rate Case Highlights

Xcel Energy request:Xcel Energy request:—— $34.5 million request$34.5 million request—— 11.0% return on equity11.0% return on equityStaff recommendationStaff recommendation—— $8.5 million revenue increase $8.5 million revenue increase —— 9.5% Return on equity9.5% Return on equityOCC recommendationOCC recommendation—— $0.2 million revenue decrease $0.2 million revenue decrease —— 8.5% ROE8.5% ROEHearings scheduled for December 2005Hearings scheduled for December 2005Resolution expected February 2006Resolution expected February 2006

Page 28: xcel energy  Regulation

Colorado Electric Rate Case HighlightsColorado Electric Rate Case Highlights

Filing date April 2006Filing date April 2006

2005 test year with pro forma adjustments2005 test year with pro forma adjustments

Include Comanche 3 CWIP through 2006Include Comanche 3 CWIP through 2006

Extend fuel and purchased power adjustment Extend fuel and purchased power adjustment clausesclauses

Imputed debt recoveryImputed debt recovery

Page 29: xcel energy  Regulation

Regulatory practicesRegulatory practicesHistoric test yearHistoric test yearInterim rates 35 days after filingInterim rates 35 days after filingDecision in six monthsDecision in six monthsSemiSemi--annual fuel recovery adjustmentsannual fuel recovery adjustmentsNew transmission cost recovery riderNew transmission cost recovery rider

Electric rate case highlightsElectric rate case highlightsPlanned filing May 2006Planned filing May 2006Large industrial customer intervenersLarge industrial customer interveners

Texas RegulationTexas Regulation

Page 30: xcel energy  Regulation

North Dakota RegulationNorth Dakota Regulation

Regulatory practicesRegulatory practicesForecast test yearForecast test yearInterim rates allowed 60 days after filingInterim rates allowed 60 days after filingDecision within six months of filingDecision within six months of filingMonthly fuel cost recoveryMonthly fuel cost recovery

Electric rate case highlightsElectric rate case highlightsExpect to file early December 2005Expect to file early December 2005PLUS plan rate increases in 2004 & 2005PLUS plan rate increases in 2004 & 2005

Page 31: xcel energy  Regulation

SummarySummary

Strong basis for rate reliefStrong basis for rate relief

Experienced team to execute strategyExperienced team to execute strategy

Rate riders will provide bridge between rate casesRate riders will provide bridge between rate cases

Fuel clause mechanism will provide current Fuel clause mechanism will provide current recoveryrecovery

History of constructive regulatory treatmentHistory of constructive regulatory treatment