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Greece – OP “Competitiveness & Entrepreneurship” Pilot Indicators Exercise

Managing Authority of Operational Programme "Competitiveness & Entrepreneurship"  

 Christos Drymousis

UNIT A1 - "Programming & Evaluation of OP"

March 2013

Hellenic RepublicMinistry of Development, Competitiveness, Infrastructures, Transportation & Networks

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

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Choice for implementation of New Logical Framework: Energy Sector

Priority Axis 4: Integration of the country's energy system and strengthening of sustainability

Questions:

• What are our strategic priorities for the Energy Sector?

• Which Result Indicators can demonstrate this direction better?

• Will our Output Indicators contribute to change in the Result Indicators?

• Do we know the baseline values for 2008? Are there validated data?

• Could we evaluate the contribution of policy actions? How?

ERDF Allocation 2007-2013 330.990.000 € (25.6% of OP)

Total Public Contribution 2007-2013 479.400.000 €

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Restructuring of Priorities

Priorities

before after

AXIS 4 :INTEGRATION OF COUNTRY’S

ENERGY SYSTEM ANDSTRENGTHENING OF

SUSTAINABILITY

Priority 1Secure supply of the market with Natural Gas and gradual reduction of

the country’s dependence on Oil

Priority 2Increase of Renewable Energy Sources

(RES) penetration in electricity generation

Priority 3Energy Efficiency in housing sector

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Result Indicators (1/3)

Result Indicators

before after

AXIS

4

Name_1: Annual committed transmission capacity of medium and low pressure Natural Gas mains Definition_1: million cubic meters (m3)Source_1: MIN. OF DEVELOPMENT / Energy sector DEPATarget_1: 75 (The indicator refers to the cubic meters committed by contract)

Name_2: Annual committed transmission capacity of high pressure Natural Gas mains Definition_2: million cubic meters (m3)Source_2: MIN. OF DEVELOPMENT / Energy sectorTarget_2: 4050 (The indicator refers to the cubic meters committed by contract)

Name_3: Population covered by Natural GasDefinition_3: NumberSource_3: MIN. OF DEVELOPMENT / Energy sector DEPATarget_3: 300.000 (includes the new Eastern Macedonia Thrace Natural Gas Company and the large urban centres to be supplied by priority)

Name_4: Percentage of population covered by Natural GasDefinition_4: Percentage (%)Source_4: MIN. OF DEVELOPMENT / Energy sector DEPATarget_4: 2.80 % (The indicator is a derivative of the «Population covered by Natural Gas» indicator)

PRIORITY

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Name: Annual consumption of Natural GasDefinition: Increase of Natural Gas consumption in the country in million cubic meters per year (mil m3/y)Source: Ministry of Environment, Energy & Climate Change / DESFA S.A.Baseline: 3990 (2008)Target: 1036 (net value)

Name: Annual decrease of greenhouse gas

emissions (CO2) (resulting from Natural Gas

actions)Definition: Decrease of greenhouse gas emissions, kton

CO2 per year (kt CO2/y)

Source: Ministry of Environment, Energy & Climate ChangeBaseline: 2.000 (2008) (for all actions of “Competitiveness and Entrepreneurship” 2007-2013)Target: 1.507 (net value)

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Result Indicators (2/3)

Result Indicators

before after

AXIS

4

Name_5: Annual primary energy saving from RES and High-efficiency CHP investments Definition_5: TOESource_5: MIN. OF DEVELOPMENT / Energy sectorTarget_5: 297.638 (Primary energy saved thanks to the improved efficiency of energy conversion and the replacement of conventional sources of energy with RES. Conversion of new installed RES and High-efficiency CHP into primary energy)

Name_6: Additional energy production capacity from RES (MWh) as a result of OP Competitiveness and Entrepreneurship actions Definition_6: MWhSource_6: MIN. OF DEVELOPMENT / Energy sectorTarget_6: 1.218.516

PRIORITY

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Name: Share of electricity generation by RES in total Energy Balance of the country

Definition: Increase of electricity generation share by RES in Energy Balance of the country (Percentage, %)

Source: Ministry of Environment, Energy & Climate Change

Baseline: 9 % (2008)

Target: 10 % (indicatively, resulting only from O.P. “Competitiveness and Entrepreneurship” 2007-2013 actions, without taking into account other actions, like Incentives Investment Law)

Name: Annual decrease of greenhouse gas emissions (CO2) (resulting from RES actions)

Definition: Decrease of greenhouse gas emissions, kton CO2 per year (kt CO2/y)

Source: Ministry of Environment, Energy & Climate Change

Baseline: 2.000 (2008) (for all actions of O.P. “Competitiveness and Entrepreneurship” 2007-2013)

Target: 315 (net value)

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Result Indicators

before after

AXIS

4

Name_7: Annual decrease of greenhouse gas emission (kt CO2) resulting from RES and Energy saving actions Definition_7: kt CO2

Source_7: MIN. OF DEVELOPMENT / Energy sectorTarget_7: 2.100

PRIORITY

3

Name: Annual primary energy saving in housingDefinition: Primary energy saving in housing, total oil equivalent per year (TOE/y)Source: Ministry of Environment, Energy & Climate Change / ETEAN S.A.Baseline: Available at later stage (data from the 2 energy inspections that are conducted before and after the interventions in houses)Target: 40.700 (net value)

Name: Annual decrease of greenhouse gas emissions (CO2) (resulting from energy saving in housing sector)Definition: Decrease of greenhouse gas emissions, kton CO2 per year (kt CO2/y)

Source: Ministry of Environment, Energy & Climate ChangeBaseline: 2.000 (2008) (for all actions of “Competitiveness and Entrepreneurship” 2007-2013 )Target: 165 (net value)

Result Indicators (3/3)

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Output IndicatorsOutput Indicators

before after

AXIS

4

Name_1: Length of Natural Gas medium and low pressure mains

Definition_1: kmSource_1: MIN. OF DEVELOPMENT / Energy

sector DEPATarget_1:580

Name_2: Length of Natural Gas high pressure mains

Definition_2: kmSource_2: MIN. OF DEVELOPMENT / Energy

sector DEPATarget_2: 605

Name_3: Installed power from RES and High-efficiency CHP

Definition_3: MWSource_3: MIN. OF DEVELOPMENT / Energy

sectorTarget_3: 513 (The total installed power of

the 8 regions)

Name_4: Number of RES projectsDefinition_4: NumberSource_4: MIN. OF DEVELOPMENT / Energy

sectorTarget_4: 515

P1

Name: Length of Natural Gas high pressure mains Definition: Length of constructed Natural Gas high pressure pipelines in kilometers

(km)Source: Ministry of Environment, Energy & Climate Change / DESFA S.A.Baseline: 441 (2008)Target: 159 (net value)

Name: Storage capacity of Liquefied Natural GasDefinition: Increase of storage capacity of LNG in cubic meters (m3)Source: Ministry of Environment, Energy & Climate Change / DESFA S.A.Baseline: 130.000 (2008)Target: 95.000 (net value)

P2

Name: Installed power by RES and High-Efficiency CHP Definition: Change of installed power by RES and High-efficiency CHP (MW)Source: Ministry of Environment, Energy & Climate ChangeBaseline: 766 (2008)Target: 156 (net value, in the 8 regions of O.P. “Competitiveness and

Entrepreneurship” 2007-2013)

P3

Name: Energy upgraded houses through the programme “EXOIKONOMISI KAT’ OIKON”

Definition: Number of energy upgraded private household buildings through the programme (number)

Source: Ministry of Environment, Energy & Climate Change / ETEAN S.A.Baseline: - (Not applicable)Target: 18.000 (net value, in the 8 regions of O.P. “Competitiveness and

Entrepreneurship” 2007-2013)

Name: Air-condition devices replaced & recycled through the programme “Allazo KLIMAtistiko”

Definition: Number of old & energy consuming A/C devices replaced and recycled (number)

Source: Ministry of Environment, Energy & Climate Change Baseline: - (Not applicable)Target: 36.400 (net value, in the 8 regions of O.P. “Competitiveness and

Entrepreneurship” 2007-2013)

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Implementation in Priority 1

New Logical Framework

PRIORITY 1 : Secure supply of the market with Natural Gas and gradual reduction of the country’s dependence on Oil

Result Indicators Output Indicators

Name: Annual consumption of Natural GasDefinition: Increase of Natural Gas consumption in the country in million cubic meters per year (mil m3/y)Source: Ministry of Environment, Energy & Climate Change / DESFA S.A.Baseline: 3990 (2008)Target: 1036 (net value)

Name: Annual decrease of greenhouse gas emissions

(CO2) (resulting from Natural Gas actions)

Definition: Decrease of greenhouse gas emissions, kton CO2

per year (kt CO2/y)

Source: Ministry of Environment, Energy & Climate ChangeBaseline: 2.000 (2008) (for all actions of “Competitiveness and Entrepreneurship” 2007-2013)Target: 1.507 (net value)

Name: Length of Natural Gas high pressure mains Definition: Length of constructed Natural Gas high pressure pipelines in kilometers (km)Source: Ministry of Environment, Energy & Climate Change / DESFA S.A.Baseline: 441 (2008)Target: 159 (net value)

Name: Storage capacity of Liquefied Natural GasDefinition: Increase of storage capacity of LNG in cubic meters (m3)Source: Ministry of Environment, Energy & Climate Change / DESFA S.A.Baseline: 130.000 (2008)Target: 95.000 (net value)

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Conclusions (1/3)About Current Framework

1. Phrasing of the Priority Axis 4 of OP: • not very clear & open to interpretation, but• flexibility to include or substitute a project

2. Output Indicators: • somehow vague, not always related directly to their results• do not always reflect the intended effects of the OP explicitly

3. Result Indicators for Natural Gas referring to committed values (not actual) or to population covered (potentially, but not necessarily)

4. Result Indicator – “Annual decrease of Greenhouse Gas Emissions (CO2)” initially not linked to every action separately, as considered result of all

5. Heavy reliance on the Monitoring System fine as long as data reported in a timely and correct manner

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Conclusions (2/3)About New Logical Framework

6. Indicators:

• Result clear & directly linked to policy intervention

• Output well-defined & measurable

7. Data / Sources:

• explicitly identified for each indicator

• statistically validated data - promptly collected mostly by Ministry of

Environment, Energy & Climate Change

8. Baseline values:

• available only after energy inspections are conducted / no values

indicated

• difficulties in defining when change can be expected (i.e. consumption

of natural gas, real data one year after the end of project)

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Conclusions (3/3)General Comments

9. In the design phase of an OP wide variety of fields (R&D, Tourism, Entrepreneurship, Financial Engineering, Energy, Culture, etc.): • no information about resource allocation or programme architecture• not always easy to implement the “smart approach” to other areas (i.e.

measurement of state aid effect to exports of an enterprise) • sometimes difficult to determine the exact time of expected change to

actually emerge

10.Concentration is the key: fewer indicators - deliberation process

11.Data / Databases: • proper monitoring – statistically validated past data• identification of intended results that reflect the strategy of the OP

12.Results: affected by other factors, like great economic crisis & recession (i.e. energy saving not by interventions, but because of decreased oil / electricity consumption in houses)

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A

Thank you very much for your attention !

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