2005 arab public opinion survey
DESCRIPTION
Public opinion survey about the growing anti-US perception in the Middle EastTRANSCRIPT
Anwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Anwar Sadat Chair for Peace and Development University of Development University of
Maryland/Zogby International Maryland/Zogby International 2005 Annual Arab Public Opinion 2005 Annual Arab Public Opinion
SurveySurvey
A Six Country Study: Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, A Six Country Study: Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, Saudi Arabia (KSA) and UAEMorocco, Saudi Arabia (KSA) and UAE
Professor Shibley Telhami, Principal InvestigatorProfessor Shibley Telhami, Principal InvestigatorSpecial thanks to the Carnegie Corporation of New YorkSpecial thanks to the Carnegie Corporation of New York
MediaMedia
Media in the Arab World
45
1210 9 8
4 41
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Al Jazeera MBC LBC Al Arabiya Abu DhabiTV
Al Manar An EgyptianNetwork
Al Hurra
When you watch the international news, which of the following network’s news broadcasts do you watch most
often?
Media in the Arab World25
20
1110
76
5 5
0
5
10
15
20
25
Al Arabiya Al Jazeera Abu DhabiTV
An EgyptianNetwork
MBC LBC Al Manar Al Hurra
Which network's news broadcast is your second choice?
Media in the Arab World
65
34
19 1916 14
96
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Al Jazeera Al Arabiya Abu DhabiTV
MBC LBC An EgyptianNetwork
Al Manar Al Hurra
First and Second Choice for Broadcast News Combined
Media in the Arab World
53 53
45 43 43 41
29
10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Al Manar Al Hurra LBC Abu DhabiTV
An EgyptianNetwork
MBC Al Arabiya Al Jazeera
Respondents who “never” watch the following networks:
DemocracyDemocracy
Democracy
6
16
69
3
15
78
5
24
59
1610
69
5
22
63
17
77
10
19
59
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Total Egypt Jordan Lebanon KSA Morocco UAE
The United States has been actively advocating the spread of Democracy in the Middle East especially since the Iraq
War. Do you believe that:
Important Objective - will make a difference
Important Objective - going about it wrong way
Do not believe democracy is a real objective
IraqIraq
Iraq
3027
23
17
42
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Iraq may bedivided
Iraq will remainunstable and willspread instability
in the region
US will continueto dominate aftertransfer of power
Trouble in Iraqwill divert
attention awayfrom other
important issues
Iran is now amore powerful
state
Not concernedabout
consequences ofIraq War
Which of the following is your biggest concern about the consequences of war with Iraq?
Iraq
6
81
12
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
More Peace Less Peace Neither
Did the war in Iraq bring more peace or less peace in the Middle East?
Iraq78
10 11
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
More Terrorism Less Terrorism Neither
The War in Iraq: More or Less Terrorism?
Iraq
9
58
29
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
More Democracy Less Democracy Neither
The War in Iraq: More or Less Democracy?
Iraq
6
77
13
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Better Off Worse Off About the Same
Do you feel most of the Iraqi people are now better or worse off after the war, or do you feel things for them are
about the same as before the war?
IranIran
Iran
60
21 19
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Right to Program -International
Pressure shouldCease
Iran Should bePressured to Stop its
Nuclear Program
Other/NS
There is international pressure on Iran to curtail its nuclear program. What is your opinion?
Iran
32
43
25
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Iran is merelyconducting research
for peaceful purposes
Iran is trying todevelop nuclear
weapons
Other/Not Sure
Do you believe that:
Al QaedaAl Qaeda
Al Qaeda
36
20
7 68
23
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Confronts theUS
Stands up forMuslim Causes
such asPalestinian
Issue
Its Methods ofOperation
Seeks toCreate Islamic
State
Other None
When you think about Al Qaeda, what aspect of the organization, if any, do you sympathize with most?
Arab Israeli ConflictArab Israeli Conflict
Arab-Israeli Conflict
8
55
32
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Better Prospects Worse Prospects Neither
In your view, did the war with Iraq bring better prospects or worse prospects for a settlement on the Arab-Israeli
dispute?
Arab Israeli Conflict
17
30
47
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
More Optimistic aboutPalestinian Israeli Peace
Less Optimistic Same as beforeWithdrawal
Now that Israel has withdrawn from Gaza, are you:
Arab-Israeli Conflict
2726
20
15
54
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Resilience ofthe Palestinian
People
Armed Attacksagainst Israelby Palestinian
Factions
Desire to FocusControl onWest Bank
InternationalPressure
Desire forPeace
Election ofMahmoud
Abbas
What factor in your opinion explains the Israeli withdraw from Gaza best:
Global PerspectivesGlobal Perspectives
World Powers
76
6863
59
25
8 6 6
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Oil Protect Israel Domination ofRegion
WeakeningMuslim world
PreventingWMD
Peace/Stability Democracy SpreadingHuman Rights
When you consider American Objectives in the Middle East, how important do you think the following factors
are to the United States?
World Powers
21
13
10 10
76
5
0
5
10
15
20
25
France China Pakistan Germany Britain US Russia
In a world where there is only one superpower, which of the following countries would you prefer more than the others
to be that superpower?
World Powers
36
15
11 10
42 2
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
France Germany Britain US Pakistan Russia China
If you had to live in one of the following countries, which one would you prefer most?
World Powers
37
1613 13
42 1
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
France Britain Germany US Pakistan Russia China
If a member of your family had to study in one of the following countries, which country would you prefer?
World Powers
11
80
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Based on AmericanValues
Based on AmericanPolicies
Would you say that your attitudes toward the United States are based more on American values or on American policy
in the Middle East?
World Powers
70
63
116
11
3
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Israel US Britain Iran Other None
Name the two countries that you think pose the biggest threat to you:
World Powers
45
1714
118
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
France Germany US Britain Sweden
Name two countries where you think there is most freedom and democracy for their own people:
World Powers
13
43
2 2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Chirac Arafat SaddamHussein
Schroeder Bush
Please tell me which world leader (outside of your own country) you admire most:
World Powers
45
30
3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Sharon Bush Blair
Please tell me which world leader (outside of your own country) you dislike most:
President Bush
4
55
16
11
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
His strong belief indemocracy
His pursuit of theAmerican national
interest
American domesticpolitics
Need to spread hisChristian religious
convictions
When you examine the Middle East policy of the American President, George W. Bush, do you believe his primary
motivation is:
Consumer Choices
72
21
7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Best price Politics ofcountry of origin
Other
When you purchase any product in the marketplace, how do you make a decision about what to buy?
Methodology
• 800 interviews were conducted in Egypt from October 18-24, 2005 in Cairo, Alexandria and Luxor. Slight weights were applied to religion, age and education to more accurately reflect the adult population. MOE +/- 3.5%
• 500 interviews were conducted in Jordan from October 15-23 in Amman, Irbid and Al-Zarqa. Slight weights were applied to religion, age and education to more accurately reflect the adult population. MOE +/- 4.5%
• 500 interviews were conducted in Lebanon from October 15-21 in Beirut, Beqaa and Mountain Lebanon and South Lebanon. Slight weights were applied to religion, age and education to more accurately reflect the adult population. MOE +/- 4.5%
Methodology – con’t
• 800 interviews were conducted in Morocco from October 15-22 in Rabat, Casablanca and Tangier. Slight weights were applied to age and education to more accurately reflect the adult population. MOE +/- 3.5%
• 800 interviews were conducted in Saudi Arabia (KSA) from October 15-21 in Dammam, Riyadh, Jeddah and Mecca. Slight weights were applied to education and gender to more accurately reflect the adult population. MOE +/- 3.5%
• 217 interviews were conducted in UAE from October 18-24 in Dubai, Abu Dhabi and Sharjah. Slight weights were applied to religion, age, education, nationality and city to more accurately reflect the adult population. MOE +/- 6.8%