4q 2018 earnings results...profits lower after one-off costs including rebranding to orange life,...
TRANSCRIPT
Investor Relations 2019
4Q 2018 Earnings Results
This presentation has been prepared by Orange Life Insurance, Ltd. (the “Company”) solely for informational
purposes in its presentation to current and prospective investors of the Company and should not be construed to be,
directly or indirectly, in whole or in part, an offer to buy or sell and/or recommendation and/or a solicitation of an offer
to buy or sell any security or instrument or to participate in any investment or trading strategy, nor shall any part of it
form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision in relation to any securities
or otherwise.
The information contained in this presentation has not been independently verified. No representation or warranty
expressed or implied is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or
correctness of the information or any opinion contained herein. The information contained in this presentation should
be considered in the context of the circumstances prevailing at the time and will not be updated to reflect material
developments that may occur after the date of the presentation. Neither the Company nor any of its affiliates,
officers, directors or advisors shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss arising
from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation.
This document is not intended for access or use by any person or entity in any jurisdiction where such access or use
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contents.
134
116
2017 2018
Growth
-14.0%
5,330
5,578
2017 2018
RoEV
8.8%*
* RoEV before dividend outgo
5,799 Dividend outgo
308 327
2017 2018
6.3%
Profitability
428
351
2017 2018
-1.1%*
340
311
2017 2018
7.1%* 364*
8.4%
8.7%
9.8%
2017 2018
1.1%p*
*
Reported
basis
* Adjusted for one-off expenses (Rebranding, Stock option vesting, and Employee special bonus)
424*
Capital Management
2017 2018
Interim Final
2,600 2,400
8.3% 455% 425%
2017 2018
-30%p
1,600
1,000
* 2018 final dividend to be approved at AGM
*
1,700
700
68.5%
58.0% 58.5%
2017 2018
*
Reported
basis
* Adjusted for one-off expenses
(Rebranding, Stock option vesting, and Employee special bonus)
01. Key Financial Highlights
02. New Business Growth
03. VNB (Value of New Business) Growth
04. VNB (Value of New Business) Margin
05. Premium Income & Profits
06. Source of Earnings
07. Investment Results
08. Reserves / Crediting Rate
09. Efficiency
10. Capital Adequacy
11. Embedded Value
12. Strategic Direction Towards 2021
13. 2019 Growth Targets
14. Next Reporting Due Date
(Unit: KRW bln)
4Q 2018 4Q 2017 yoy 2018 2017 yoy
Annualized Premium Equivalent (APE) 179.7 157.6 14.1% 718.0 684.3 4.9%
Protection APE 80.7 85.1 -5.3% 327.3 307.9 6.3%
Value of New Business (VNB) 24.9 31.3 -20.3% 115.7 134.5 -14.0%
Premium Income 1) 1,199.3 1,014.6 18.2% 4,664.7 4,113.3 13.4%
Operating Result Before Tax 2) 36.3 92.1 -60.6% 351.3 428.4 -18.0%
ORBT excluding one-offs 2) & 3) 100.0 92.1 8.6% 423.7 428.4 -1.1%
Profit After Tax (PAT) 46.2 66.7 -30.7% 311.3 340.2 -8.5%
PAT excluding one-offs 3) 92.8 66.7 39.2% 364.4 340.2 7.1%
Total Assets 32,744.1 31,455.4 4.1% 32,744.1 31,455.4 4.1%
Invested Assets 26,319.3 24,558.2 7.2% 26,319.3 24,558.2 7.2%
Investment Yield 4) 4.0% 4.0% 0.0%p n/m n/m n/m
Shareholders' Equity 3,772.4 3,668.6 2.8% 3,772.4 3,668.6 2.8%
RBC Ratio 425% 455% -30%p 425% 455% -30%p
Note 1) Includes premium income from variable business
Note 2) Operating Result Before Tax is Profit Before Tax excluding market variance (Realized capital & FX gains, losses/impairments)
Note 3) One-off costs for 2018 include Rebranding to Orange Life, Stock Option vesting, and Employee special bonus
Note 4) Adjusted investment yield & 12-month rolling basis: Net Investment Income/Invested Asset (Excludes Unrealized Gains and Losses)
Stock market volatility has weakened demand for Variable products, while
lower market interest rates supported sales of BA Savings
Total APE rose 14.1% on high BA volumes, while Protection APE was 5.3%
lower as FC and GA channels face temporary headwinds from rebranding
Value of New Business was 20.3% lower, largely due to a pause in
Protection growth, and falling interest rates
Profits lower after one-off costs including rebranding to Orange Life, stock
option vesting, and employee special bonus
Total Assets and Invested Assets up 4.1% and 7.2%, respectively
Shareholders’ Equity 2.8% higher, as lower interest rates lift bond values
RBC ratio remains very strong at 425%, after the 2018 final dividend
Note: Dotted lines represent brokers’ 2018 KTB 5yr and 10yr quarterly projection
consensus at start of the year
Note: Brokers’ 2018 KOSPI band projection at start of the year
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3.0
Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18
BOK Base rateKTB 5yrKTB 10yr
BOK base rate hike(30 Nov 2017)
↑
BOK base rate hike(30 Nov 2018)
↑
1,800
2,000
2,200
2,400
2,600
2,800
3,000
Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18
KOSPI
2,041.04P(28 Dec 2018)
Range of outlooks for KOSPI
Bond yields continue to fall, despite US
Fed rate rises
Against market expectations, KTB yields
declined through 3Q and 4Q18
Where KTB 10yr yields were expected to
rise towards 2.7%, they have instead
fallen to 1.95% at end-2018
These low bond yields depress the Net
Investment Earnings Rate (NIER) used to
evaluate 2018 VNB, and can delay the
release of GMxB reserves to profits
Korean equities’ performance disappoints
Despite a bright outlook at the start of the
year, the Korean equity market dropped
17.3% over the year, leading to higher
GMxB reserves on in-force Variable
policies, and reduced customer demand
for new variable policies
The 2019 outlook for equities remains
uncertain, and our 2020 SAA equity
allocation has been reduced to 2% (from
3%)
APE: Annualized Premium Equivalent
FC: Financial Consultant, BA: Bancassurance, GA: General Agency
83.0 61.4
39.2 84.3
35.3
34.0 157.6
179.7
4Q 2017 4Q 2018
FC BA GA
369.2 308.4
204.9 280.4
110.2 129.2
684.3 718.0
YTD 2017 YTD 2018
85.1
307.9
80.7
327.3
4Q YTD
14.1%
-5.3%
4.9% 6.3%
4Q
2017
2Q 2018 YTD 2017 2Q 2018 4Q
2018
YTD
2017
YTD
2018
4Q
2017
4Q
2018
YTD
2017
YTD
2018
Total APE rose 14.1% (KRW +22.2 bln)
FC channel increased Protection mix to
76.1% of APE (from 61.2%) but steep
declines in Savings and Variable APE
pulled the channel’s total APE lower
Demand for Variable products was
already depressed as we entered 2018,
but this year’s stock market volatility has
made the market even more challenging
BA channel continued the recovery
started in 3Q, and lifted their 2018 APE
by 36.9%. APE is now overweight on BA
channel, and will be reduced in 2019 by
targeting less single premium sales
GA reduced 3.8% with 99.8% Protection
mix with the balance being Variable
Protection APE fell 5.3% (KRW -4.5 bln)
The slower FC productivity experienced
in 3Q18, following the announcements of
rebranding to OrangeLife, and the
‘change of control’ to Shinhan Group,
continued through 4Q18. We expect
momentum to pick up again from 1Q19
The nationwide rebranding campaign ran
from early September through to late
November, culminating in the successful
title sponsorship of the Orange Life
Champions Trophy – a widely watched
KLPGA golf tournament
39.6 30.9
35.7
30.8
34.0
29.0
24.9
1-3Q2018
Reported
YTD2018
Restated
YTD2017
4Q2017
4Q2018
VNB: Value of New business
4Q
2017
4Q
2018
YTD
2017
115.7
134.5
24.9 31.3
4Q
2Q
1Q
3Q
109.3
98.0 (1-3Q)
19.7%
16.1%
0.0%p -0.6%p
-1.0%p
-1.9%p
YTD2017
Volume Product &Business
Mix
BEAs Market YTD2018
BEA: Best Estimate Assumption
-20.3%
-14.0%
Note 1) NIER: Net Investment Earnings Rate
YTD VNB margin declined -3.5%p to 16.1%
Lower KTB yields pushed NIER1) down a
further 25bps this quarter to 2.90% (or
35bps below the end-2017 rate), which cut
1.9%p from the full-year VNB margin
[Historical NIERs: 2.90% (1Q17), 3.00%
(2Q17), 3.15% (3Q17), 3.25% (4Q17),
3.35% (1Q18), 3.30% (2Q18) , 3.15%
(3Q18) and 2.90% (4Q18)]
Significant volumes of low margin Savings
products in 3Q and 4Q18 have diluted the
company-level VNB margin, but still
generated positive value
Negative impact from BEA changes largely
reflects higher expenses in 2018
KRW 6.3 bln lower VNB
The lower volume of FC sales in 4Q, led
by the decline in Variable APE, resulted in
lower VNB
VNB is calculated independently each
quarter based on the quarter-end NIER.
At year-end, the VNB for 1Q~3Q is
restated on year-end assumptions (year-
end NIER) and added to the 4Q VNB
As at 3Q18 the sum of quarterly reported
VNBs was KRW 109.3 bln compared to
KRW 98.0 bln for the same 3 quarters of
2017. Because of the drop in NIER to
2.90% at end-2018, the restated 1~3Q18
VNB reduced to KRW 90.7 bln (against
the restated 1~3Q17 VNB of KRW 103.2
bln at NIER 3.25%)
30.8%
4.0%
11.6%
31.0%
3.0%
9.2%
FC BA GA
YTD 2017 YTD 2018
38.1%
5.3% 3.5%
32.3%
3.3%
0.7%
Protection Savings Variable
YTD 2017 YTD 2018
VNB margins lower as interest rates tumble
Protection VNB Margin dropped on lower
NIER (down 35bps from end-2017) and also
from a higher mix of GA business which has
a lower margin than FC Protection
Savings margin remains positive but has
been squeezed by lower interest rates,
leading to lower investment spreads
VNB margins show mixed results
FC channel’s VNB margin rose 0.2%p to
31.0% on the increased mix of Protection
business
BA volumes recovered strongly to exceed
prior year, but revaluing the full-year
volume at year-end NIER led to 1.0%p
lower VNB margin at 3.0%
GA channel increased volumes by almost
20%, but the lower NIER and high cost
base led to lower VNB margin at 9.2%
3,684.6 3,801.9
428.6
862.9 4,113.3
4,664.7
YTD2017
YTD2018
92.1
36.3
4Q 2017 4Q 2018 YTD 2017 YTD 2018
66.7
46.2
4Q 2017 4Q 2018
340.2
311.3
YTD 2017 YTD 2018
904.5 974.6
110.1 224.7
1,014.6 1,199.3
4Q 2017 4Q 2018
Regular Single
Premium income includes variable business
18.2%
13.4%
-1.1%*
4Q
2017
4Q
2018
YTD
2017
YTD
2018
4Q
2017
8.6%*
100.0*
423.7*
92.8**
364.4**
428.4
351.3
Operating Result Before Tax: Profit Before Tax excludes market variance
(Realized capital & FX gains and losses/Impairments)
* ORBT adjusted for one-off costs
(Rebranding to Orange Life, Stock option vesting, and Employee special bonus)
Operating Result Before Tax
Profit After Tax
4Q
2018
YTD
2017
YTD
2018
4Q
2017
4Q
2018
YTD
2017
YTD
2018 ** Profit After Tax adjusted for one-off costs
(Rebranding to Orange Life, Stock option vesting, and Employee special bonus)
39.2%**
7.1%**
Premium Income up 18.2%
Regular premium income climbed 7.8%
on BA volume recovery, with single
premium income up 104.1%
On a YTD basis, regular premium income
is up 3.2%, while single premium income
has more than doubled
After holding back in 1Q and 2Q18, BA
volumes recovered in 3Q and 4Q, but we
plan much lower single premium volumes
(KRW) in 2019
Lower 4Q profits due to one-off costs
Profit figures (ORBT & PAT) are shown
both excluding (‘adjusted’) and including
(‘reported’) one-off 2018 costs,
including Rebranding to Orange Life
(KRW 21.2 bln), Stock Option vesting
(KRW 31.5 bln), and Employee special
bonus (KRW 19.6 bln)
The one-off costs were removed to show
‘adjusted’ profits, and the final 2018
shareholder dividend is based on the
higher ‘adjusted’ results
Adjusted ORBT rose 8.6%, which helped
the YTD figure recover and end the year
down just 1.1%
Adjusted PAT climbed 39.2%, lifting the
adjusted YTD figure 7.1% above prior
year
Loadings +772.6
Risk Premiums
+734.4
Investment Return +955.7
Claims -587.2
Investment
Credited
-849.6
36.0
0.9
42.3
30.0
16.7
22.9
95.0
53.8
4Q 2017 4Q 2018
220.3
159.5
142.2
147.2
89.7
106.1
452.2
412.9
YTD 2017 YTD 2018
InvestmentMargin
Mortality &Morbidity Margin
Expense & OtherMargins
Note 1) Other Margins includes Reserves, Lapses, Surrenders, Policyholders’ Profit Share, and others
Note 2) Expenses: Acquisition and Maintenance Expenses – Other Margins
Note 3) PBT: Profit Before Tax
1)
PBT3)
412.9
159.5
147.2
106.1
Expenses2)
-613.1
4Q
2017
4Q
2018
YTD
2017
YTD
2018
Balanced Source of Earnings with a positive investment margin
Expense & Other margins reduced by KRW 35.1bln, including KRW 63.7 bln of one-off 4Q
2018 costs (Rebranding to Orange Life, Stock Option vesting, and Employee special
bonus). Including Rebranding costs of KRW 8.4 bln in 3Q18, KRW 0.3 bln in 1~2Q18, the
full year one-off costs totaled KRW 72.4 bln
Mortality margin improved, while morbidity margin reduced further due to carcinoid tumor
payment (KRW 2.4 bln) which was imposed by the regulator across the industry, leading to
a net decrease in mortality & morbidity margin of KRW -12.2 bln
Investment margin increased by KRW 6.1 bln and remains ahead on a YTD basis by KRW
16.4 bln
Excluding one-off 2018 costs, 2018 total PBT increased by KRW 33.1 bln to KRW 485.3 bln
4.5% 4.4%
4.2% 4.2% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1%
4.0% 4.0% 4.0%
4.0% 4.0%
4.2% 4.1% 4.1%
3.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.8%
3.8% 3.7%
3.9%
3.8% 4.0%
3.8% 3.8% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7%
3.5% 3.6% 3.6% 3.5%
1Q2016
2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q2017
2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q2018
2Q 3Q 4Q
Orange Life
Industry Average(Weighted)
Industry Average(Simple)
85.8%
81.3%
8.7%
9.8%
2.3%
2.0%
1.2%
3.1%
1.5% 3.2%
0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
4Q 2017 4Q 2018
Other Securities
Domestic Stock
Investment Funds
Overseas Securities
Cash & Cash Equivalent
Loans
Domestic Bonds
Note 1) Adjusted investment yield & 12-month rolling basis: Net Investment Income/Invested Asset (Excludes Unrealized Gains and Losses)
Note 2) Weighted mean of 24 life insurance companies(including Orange Life). 4Q 2018 results not yet available
Note 3) Arithmetic mean of 24 life insurance companies(including Orange Life). 4Q 2018 results not yet available
Yield-enhancing
Investments 6.8%
4Q
2017
4Q
2018
Investment return remains above industry
average
Interest rates dropped sharply lower during
the quarter with the KTB10 falling 41 bps to
1.95% (4Q18)
Investment of new cash is a challenge as
equity markets and domestic bond yields
both decline, while hedging costs for
overseas assets remain stubbornly high
Asset portfolio remains low-risk
Domestic bond allocation reduced by 4.5%p
to 81.3% of total Invested Assets
A large proportion of net new money is
being invested in yield-enhancing assets
which increased from 3.2% (4Q17) to 6.8%
(4Q18) of the Investment Portfolio
• KRW 45.2 bln into US & EU real estate
funds
• Investment in foreign bonds has been
suspended for the quarter due to high
hedging cost back to Korean won
ALM duration gap reduced to 0.61 years
(from 0.81 at 4Q17) from longer asset
duration and shorter liability duration
Loans increased to 9.8% and are largely
policy loans
20,522 22,170
4.0% 3.9%
4Q 2017 4Q 2018
Reserves Crediting Rate
49.3% 49.2%
50.7% 50.8%
10.1% 9.8%
4Q 2017 4Q 2018
Floating Crediting RateFixed Crediting RateFixed Crediting Rate 6% or More
4Q
2017
4Q
2018
4Q
2017
4Q
2018
Crediting rate has been managed lower
Fixed rate guarantees decreased by
4bps from 4.96% to 4.92% as new
business continues to dilute the
portfolio
Floating crediting rate on Savings and
Annuities was reduced from 3.04% to
2.96%
Floating crediting rates are driven by
market interest rates and competition
for Savings APE
Maintaining a sound reserve composition
Fixed reserve portion remains close to
50% while the share of reserves with high
guarantees is below 10%
The mix of floating crediting rate reserves
increased slightly (by 0.1%p) as a result of
high new business volumes from BA, but
is expected to reduce in 2019 on lower
planned volumes of BA Savings
1,232 1,217
80.2% 80.2%
70.8%
61.0%
4Q 2017 4Q 2018
Number of In-force CustomersPersistency - 13th monthPersistency - 25th month
4Q 2017 4Q 2018 YTD 2017 YTD 2018
Expense Ratio (Maintenance Cost / Premium Income)
Loss Ratio (Claims/Risk Premium)
+0.1%p
-9.8%p
42.3% 42.1%
89.0% 101.0%
72.3% 81.3%
4Q 2017 4Q 2018
Mortality Morbidity Total
YTD 2017 YTD 2018
YTD
2017
YTD
2018
4Q
2017
4Q
2018
YTD
2017
YTD
2018
4Q
2017
4Q
2018 YTD
2017
YTD
2018
10.8% 6.4%
5.6%1)
4.9%1)
Note 1) Excluding one-off maintenance costs (Rebranding to Orange Life, Stock option
vesting, Employee special bonus)
6.5%
5.6%
76.1% 76.2%
95.4% 92.9%
41.7% 42.4%
Expense/Loss ratio
Expense Ratio increased to 10.8% (or
5.6% if we exclude KRW 61.8 bln of one-
off maintenance costs)
Loss Ratio hiked to 81.3%, but the YTD
loss ratio was down 0.1%p to 76.1%
•KRW 2.4 bln was paid out on carcinoid
tumor which was imposed by the
regulator across the industry. It
increased morbidity claims for the
quarter
Persistency/Number of in-force policyholders
13th month persistency rose 0.1%p as
management has taken steps to improve the
25th month persistency
25th month persistency dropped 9.8%p to
61.0% and will continue to be influenced by
two historic issues until later in 2019
• In 2016, FC Channel sold a customer-
friendly high-CSV variable product, but
surrender rates were higher than expected,
so the product was redesigned in 1H17
• In 2016, GA channel paid commission over 2
years, creating an opportunity for some GAs
to lapse the business before year 3 – the
commission scheme was revised from 1H17
to lengthen the commission payment period
3,638 3,731
799 878
455%
425%
440%
4Q 2017 4Q 2018
Available Capital Required Capital RBC Ratio
3,669 3,772 +311 -221
+14
4Q 2017 PAT Dividend OCI 4Q 2018
RBC Ratio: Risk Based Capital Ratio OCI: Other Comprehensive Income
Net increase in
Retained Earnings:
+90
4Q
2017
4Q
2018
4Q
2017
4Q
2018
(before year-end dividend)
(after year-end dividend)
Shareholders’ Equity increases as bond
values rise (on lower interest rates)
Reported Shareholders’ Equity reflects
the 2018 interim dividend payment of
KRW 82 bln, in addition to the year-end
2017 final dividend of KRW 139 bln
ROE was 5.0% on reported PAT of KRW
46.2 bln for the quarter (8.4% on a YTD
basis)
Adjusted ROE would be 10.0% on PAT of
KRW 92.8 bln (excluding one-offs) for the
quarter (9.8% on a YTD basis)
RBC reduced slightly to 425%
A regulatory strengthening of GMxB
risk (from CTE85 to CTE90) became
effective from December 2018,
reducing RBC ratio by 7%p
There was no impact from the
regulatory increase in the liability
duration cap from 25 to 30 years (also
effective from December 2018)
because this change was early-
adopted in June 2017 and has already
been reflected in our reported RBC
ratios
Available Capital increased as AFS
bond values increased due to lower
market interest rates
3,743
4,615 4,393
1,587
1,184
1,184
EV Operating Profit: 414
Opening EV
31, Dec. 2017
VNB Unwinding Operating variances
Operating assumption
changes
Changes in market
variances
Other non-operating
variances
Total EV Profit
EV
31, Dec. 2018
(before dividend)
Dividend paid
Closing EV
31, Dec. 2018
5,330
-221
5,799 5,578
VIF
ANW
Note: Yellow and turquoise boxes not to exact scale
RoEV 8.8%
ANW Mvmt 871
Present Value of future premiums: 298
New business strain: -182
Value of new business: 116
321 -9 0 560
116 -15 -8 -37 -513 56
VIF Mvmt -402
EV before dividend outgo stood at KRW 5.8 trn, giving an 8.8% RoEV
2018 EV operating profit was KRW 414 bln, including VNB and Unwinding
Value of New Business was KRW 116 bln, including KRW 182 bln of New Business Strain
Lower market interest rates reduced the Value of In-Force by KRW 513 bln but increased
the Adjusted Net Worth by KRW 560 bln
2018 closing EV stood at KRW 5.578 trn after deducting KRW 221 bln of dividends paid out
during 2018
Target # of Customers Ratio of Multi-contract
holders
1.40Mln
1.22Mln
Create synergies with Shinhan Financial Group
Obtain quality customer DB through strategic
alliances with third-parties
Enter into new markets to capture new
customer segment with purchasing power
Expand utilization of digital platform,
such as Omni Platform
Launch new products to specified
customer segments
Build healthcare platform
Upgrade and newly conceptualize
our existing products
FC: Organic + Inorganic Growth
(Focus on growing active # of FCs)
GA: Strengthen relationships to expand
market presence
BA: Focus on Variable, USD Savings,
Asset-linked Products
CUSTOMER
PRODUCT
CHANNEL
2018 2021 2018 2021
50% 30%
Tap Blue
Ocean market
Time to Market
# of Active FCs GA M/S
First in
the market
Fast follow
within
2 month
4,420
3,420
2018 2021 2018 2021
TOP
5 TOP
12
Striking the right balance between 4 drivers (Growth, Profitability, Efficiency, Risk & Capital
Management) whilst aiming for a Quantum leap over the next 3 years
Customer Strategy
- Targets: Increase #of customers from 1.2 million in 2018 to 1.4 million in 2021, while expanding
the ratio of customers holding multiple contracts from 30% in 2018 to 50% in 2021.
· Coordination with Shinhan Financial Group affiliates and utilize outside database through
selective partnerships
· Apply flexible underwriting guidelines to meet new customer needs in untapped markets
· Continue digitalization program (example: Omni Platform)
Product Strategy
· Develop trend setter products that are new to the market
· Fast adapt to new health products to widen the scope of our healthcare platform
· Improve customer demand and loyalty by upgrading existing products and introducing
new concepts
Channel Strategy
· Maintain focus on FC channel: Increasing # of active agents to sell more protection policies
· Strengthen GA market presence via broader alliances (Aiming for Top 5 in GA)
· Strategic focus on profitable products in BA, such as Variable, USD Savings, Asset-linked products
Protection APE
VNB
EV (before dividend outgo)
PAT
15%
8%
-
6%+∆
FC 5%
GA 30%
• Increasing # of active FCs with higher
protection mix
• Quantum Leap in GA channel sales
: Expanding from Corporate to mass market
• Enhancing the health portfolio
• VNB growth to pick up with higher
Protection APE
• Operational and experience improvements
• Investment in digitalization & IFRS17 systems
• New business strain from high growth in
protection new business
• Increase allocation to yield-enhancing assets
amid continuing ALM practice for IFRS17
• Double digit growth in protection
(GA to lead higher growth than FC channel)
• Total APE expected to decline with lower
demand in variable and savings
Ambitions for 2019
Protection APE growth of 15%, while Total APE to be reduced by lower sales in Variable
and Savings
VNB growth of 6%, as higher mix towards protection will offset reduction of sales Volume
(expecting higher protection growth from GA than from FC)
EV growth of 8% through a combination of higher VNB, improving efficiency, and driving
improvements in experience (lapses, claims, etc.)
PAT to remain almost flat, given the current state of financial markets (bonds and equities).
Improved efficiencies will offset increased new business strain from high protection growth.
Expect some equity impairment losses in 2019, given poor stock market performance in
2018, which will be offset by other gains
3,772
4,393 +886
-36 -19 -210
Shareholder'sEquity (2017)
① ② ③ ④ EV ANW
① Fair value adjustment on deposits and derivatives,
and Held to Maturity bonds
② Adjustment on intangible assets
③ Deduct Long-term activity bonus to tied agents
④ Tax on pre-adjustments at 25.3%
Reported stand-alone quarterly VNB
Adjustment to 2.90% NIER
Restated : 30.9 30.8 29.0 24.9
@ NIER
3.35%
Reported : 39.6
@ NIER
3.30%
35.7
@ NIER
3.15%
34.0
@ NIER
2.90%
24.9
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
Reported stand-alone quarterly VNB
Adjustment to 2.90% NIER
Total
115.7
499 451
412 385 362 340 320 293 261 238
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Total Pre-Tax Income
•
•
•
•
•
Market Interest
Rate
Discount Rate
Lapses
Mortality
/ Morbidity
Maintenance
Expenses
-193
-155
-28
-408
-47
175
179
31
408
47
10
-20
-13
-13
-3
-10
23
14
13
3
1Q 2019 Earnings Results will be released in May 2019
Until then…… we would like to encourage all of our
shareholders to cast their votes at our AGM
(date to be announced)