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  • 1

    Financial Decisions

    8a. Dividend RelevanceDoes Dividend Polcy matter?

    1. Dividend Policy is irrelevant 2. Dividend Polciy is relevant

    Instructor: A. Ashta

    References: Ross, Westerfield Jordan: Ch. 14Emery, Finnerty & Stowe: Ch. 17

  • 2

    1. MM Dividend Irrelevance Proposition

    In perfect capital markets, in the

    absence of taxes and transaction

    costs, dividend policy is

    irrelevant in the sense that it

    cannot effect shareholder value.

    The effect of any dividend policy

    can be offset by management

    adjusting the sale of new stock

    or by investors adjusting their

    dividend stream through stock

    purchases or sales.

    Dans un March parfait, en

    absence des impts et aucun

    cot de transaction, la politique

    de dividende est inutile : aucun

    effet sur le valeur dactionnaire.

    Leffet de toute politique du

    dividende peut tre compense

    par lemission des nouvelles

    actions par la socite ou par

    lachat et vente des actions par

    les actionnaires

    Modigliani-MillerInutilit de dividende

  • 3

    Dividend irrelevance

    Three cases to explain M-M irrelevancy proposition: dividends do not effects firmvalue:

    1.Firm has necessary cash for dividend

    2.Firm sells new shares to generatethe cash needed to pay the dividends

    3.Firm does not pay any dividendsand the shareholder wants cash

    First two cases are from firm view-point and last one from shareholderview-point

    3 faons dexpliquer le proposition de M-M : la politique de dividende est inutile :

    1.La socit a des disponibilits

    2.La socit met des nouvelles actions

    3. La socit ne paie pas de dividende mais lactionnaire a besoin de cash.

    Les premiers deux cas sont de point de vue de la socit tandis que le dernire est celui de lactionnaire

    Inutilit de dividende

  • 4

    Case1.Firm has necessarycash to pay the dividend

    Cash balance decreaseswhen dividend is paid

    Equity account is alsoreduced

    Only financial asset and financial liability changes

    Net Operating assetsremain unchanged

    Therefore, firm value remains unchanged

    Trsorie diminue quand dividede pay

    Capitaux propres rduit autant

    Que les actifs financiers et passifs financirs ont t modifs

    Les actifs dexploitation nont pas t modifi

    Donc, la valeur de la socit est le mme

    Cas1: Le dividende est vers de la trsorie

  • 5

    Case 2: A firm issues new sharesto finance the dividend

    The sale of new sharesincreases the firmsfinancial value

    The payment of dividends decreases the firms financial value

    As long as shares are sold at their fair marketvalue, the two effectsoffset each other

    Firm value remainsunchanged

    Les nouvelles actions augmentes la valeur financier

    Le paiement des dividendes rduit le valeur financier

    Tant que les actions ont t mit a leur valeur intrinsique correcte, les deux effets sont compensatoires

    La valeur de la socitest le mme

    Cas 2: Le dividende est fainancpar lemission des nouvelles

    actions

  • 6

    Dividend Irrelevance: Case 2 illustrated MicroGeneral

    Balance Sheet (Market Values)

    Cash $ 2,000 Debt $ 4,000Fixed Assets $ 5,000Growth Opportunities* $ 3,000 Equity $ 6,000

    Total Assets $10,000 Value of Firm$10,000

    *The value of future opportunities to invest in posi tive NPV projects

    Equity consists of 100 shares

    Dividende Inutile: Cas 2 illustrMicroGeneral

  • 7

    Dividend Irrelevance -MicroGeneral

    MicroGeneral needs $2,000 in cash to invest

    in growth opportunities. Each share is worth

    $___. Suppose management decides to pay

    a dividend of $10 a share for a total of $____.

    Total assets drop to $_____ giving the firm a

    net worth of $_____. The new price of the

    stock is $___ a share, a decline of $____ a

    share.

    Dividende Inutile: MicroGeneral

  • 8

    Dividend Irrelevance - MicroGeneral

    Holding capital structure constant, MicroGeneral

    must raise $______ in new equity by issuing ____

    new shares at ____ a share for a total of $_____.

    MicroGenerals new balance sheet will look identica l

    to the old except that the equity account will list

    ____shares. MicroGenerals old stockholders

    wealth position remains the same since the value of

    their shares $_____ plus the dividend of $______

    equals their original position.

  • 9

    Case 3: HomemadeDividends

    If the firm does not issue dividends and the shareholder wants cash The shareholder can sell

    her shares to anotherinvestor

    This creates homemadedividends

    If the shares are sold atfair market value, neitherthe buyer nor seller gain

    Firm value is unchanged

    Cas 3: Dividendes fabriqus

    Si la socit ne distribue pas de dividende et lactionnaire en veux Lactionnaire peut vendre

    ses actions une autre personne

    Ceci cre des dividendes fabriqus maison

    Si les actions sont vendu leur prix correct, ni le vendeur ni lacheteur nont profit.

    La valeur de la socitna pas chang

  • 10

    Quiz: True or False

    If there is perfect competition and thereare no taxes

    Dividends are irrelevant

    Dividend policy is irrielevant

  • 11

    2. In the real world, dividendsare Relevant

    A. Taxes

    B. Transactions Cost

    C. Legal Constraints

    D. Risks

    E. Agency Theory

    2. En pratique, les dividendes sont utiles

    A. Impts

    B. Cots de transaction

    C. Contraintes lgales

    D. Risque

    E. Thorie dagence

  • 12

    A. Dividends and Taxes - An Example

    Suppose that tax on dividend income for the highest earning individual is 40%, whereas, capital gains are taxed at 20%. What are the differences in valuation for a firm that pays no dividends, and one that pays out all of its earnings in dividends?

    Si le taux dimpt sur les dividendes est de 40% tandis que les plus values sont impos 20%, quelle sera la diffrence en valeur dune socitqui ne paie pas de dividende dune socitqui versent tout en dividendes.

  • 13

    Dividends and Taxes - An Example

    CompanyA B

    Dividend Payout Ratio 0% 100%

    Income Available to Shareholder E E

    Investors After Tax Return

    After-Tax Required Return on Equity r r

    Market Value of the Equity

    As Equity is valued _______ times higher

  • 14

    B. Transaction Costs

    For a firm Floatation Costs for new

    equity to finance dividends This reduces profit and firm

    value Firms prefer not to pay

    dividends

    For individuals Brokerage Costs This reduces capital gains Individual prefers dividends

    B. Cots de transaction

    Socit Cots dmission des actions Impliquent rduction du

    rsultat et du valeur de la socit

    Socits prfrent de ne pas payer de dividendes

    Individus Courtage Implique rduction des plus-

    values Individus prfrent

    dividendes

  • 15

    Dividends, Transaction costs and Taxes

    Dividends help those investors who need current income and would incur transaction costs to sell off part of their holdings.

    Each investor, therefore, trades off the transaction cost benefits of dividends against the tax disadvantages.

    Dividendes, cots de transaction et impts

    Les dividendes sont avantageux aux actionnaires qui ont besoin de revenu courant et qui auront de cots de transaction si ils cdent leurs actions.

    Chaque investisseur doit valuer les bnfices de moindre cots de transaction associs avec des dividendes contre les pertes fiscales.

  • 16

    C. Legal Restrictions on Dividend Payments

    Restrictive covenants in bond indentures, loan agreements, and preferred stock agreements

    Designed to prevent excessive payments of dividends.

    No Dividends Unless Earnings or Net Assets reach certain levels

    Net profit rule or Capital impairment rule Cant pay out of capital

    In some States only par value considered, in others capital surplus (premium) also cannot be eroded

    Insolvency rule: insolvent firms cannot pay dividends

    C. Restrictions lgales sur versement des dividendes

  • 17

    D. Risk and Bird-in-the-Hand Argument

    An argument for paying dividends based on the

    idea that since investors are risk-averse, they pre fer

    a stream of relatively certain dividends over

    uncertain capital gains.

    This argument confuses the investment and

    dividend decision.

  • 18

    E. Agency Theory

    This conjecture is based on the notion that the market will oversee otherwise not perfectlyenforceable contracts.

    Therefore, taking excess cash (whatever thatmight be) out of the firm will force management to go to the market place and compete for funds.

    The idea is then to siphon out as much cash as possible in the form of dividends.

    E. Thorie dagence

  • 19

    Dividends and the Real World

    A low payout is better if one considers: Flotation costs Taxes Indenture restrictions

    A high payout is better if one considers: The need for current income Uncertainty resolutionthe bird-in-

    hand argument Taxes Agency Theory

    Who is right? Resolving the issue ---

    Clientele effects Signaling or Information Effect

    Une distribution basse est prfrablesi on considre: Cots dmission Impts Restrictions des contrats de

    dette

    Une distribution haute est prfrablesi on considre: Le besoin du revenu courant La rsolution dincertitude Impts Thorie dagence

    Qui a raison?

    Leffet des Clienteles Leffet des signaux ou

    dinformation

    Dividendes en pratique

  • 20

    The Clientele Case for Tax Neutrality of Dividends

    Investors sort themselves into three clienteles: those that prefer dividends

    those that are indifferent towards dividends

    those that are averse to dividends

    Thus, companies dont have to worry about their

    payout policy since clienteles will select the payo ut

    policy that serves them best.

    So high-tax bracket individuals would invest in lowor no-

    dividend-paying firms, and vice versa.

    Le cas clientle pour la neutralit fiscale des

    dividendes

  • 21

    Signaling With Dividends

    Dividend changes may have communications value if

    investors believe the change contains useful inform ation

    Talk is cheap but dividends are backed by cash

    Especially in countries where corporate information is

    not reliable

    A dividend cut would give a negative signal about future earnings

    A dividend increase would give a positive signal about future

    earnings

    Criticism : Dividend cut may reflect growth opportunities.

    Dividend increase may reflect firm cant use money!

    Signalisation par Dividendes

  • 22

    Psychological/ Sociological Explanations

    hard cold cash has more power than anythingelse.

    The dividend payment is a ritual meant to strengthen the bond between the owners and the stewards of the firm, a reinforcementnecessary because of the separation of ownership from management.

    Seem to resemble Bird in Hand and AgencyTheory

  • 23

    Homework

    Read Ross ch 14 (sections 14.1 to 14.3)

    Try Questions 14.1 16 and 17

    Devoir

  • 24

    References

    The Bird in Hand explanation Gordon and Shapiro [1956], Gordon [1963] and Walter [1963].

    The tax effect explanation (see, for example, Miller and Scholes [1978], Litzenberger and Ramaswamy [1982],

    Lakonishok and Vermaelen [1983], and Masulis and Trueman [1988]).

    The clientele effect explanation, which is closely relat ed to the tax effect (see Elton and Gruber [1970], Pettit [1977], Fung [1981], Booth and Johnston [1984], and

    Bajaj and Vijh [1990]).

    The agency theory explanation (see Rozeff [1982], Easterbrook [1984], Jensen [1986], Crutchley and Hansen [1989], and

    Dempsey and Laber [1992]).

    The signaling model explanation (see Bhattacharya [1979, 1980], John and Williams [1985], Asquith and Mullins [1986], and

    Bar-Yosef and Huffman [1986]).

    The psychological/sociological explanation (see Shefrin and Statman [1984], Shiller [1986], and Frankfurter and Lane [1992]).

    Source: George Frankfurter, Arman Kosedag, Hartmut Schmidt a nd Mihail Topalov: The Perception of Dividends By Management, The Journal of Psychology and Financial Markets 2002, Vol. 3, No. 4, 202217